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Three months of inflation data have brought those expectations back down to earth. "Not that you've put a pin in inflation getting to the Fed's target, but it's not happening imminently." The 2-year Treasury note , which is especially sensitive to Fed rate moves, jumped to 4.93%, an increase of nearly 0.2 percentage point. The pricing in of seven rate cuts earlier this year was completely at odds with indications from Fed officials. However, when policymakers in December raised their "dot plot" indicator to three rate cuts from two projected in September, it set off a Wall Street frenzy.
Persons: Michael M, Liz Ann Sonders, Charles Schwab, you've, There's, Today's, Phillip Neuhart, Joseph LaVorgna, Schwab's Sonders, Sonders Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Santiago, Getty, Federal, Labor, CPI, Fed, Traders, First, Bank Wealth, Dow Jones, Treasury, Nikko Securities, Atlanta Fed Locations: New York City
Morgan Stanley raised its price target on Ford after the company reassessed its electric vehicle strategy. That "paints path to ~$230-$290 stock price as we argue AMZN could warrant an even higher multiple in this scenario," he added. — Michelle Fox 7:38 a.m.: Evercore hikes Disney price target, points out near-term catalysts Walt Disney has a bright near-term outlook, according to Evercore ISI. In addition to cutting his price target, Harned also pulled down his outlook for free cash flow and deliveries. — Alex Harring 5:48 a.m.: KeyBanc raises Nvidia price target There's no slowing down Nvidia , according to KeyBanc.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, KeyBanc, Brian Nowak, Jon Tower, — Michelle Fox, Walt Disney, Vijay Jayant's, Jayant, Bob Iger, — Lisa Kailai Han, David Palmer, Palmer, Uber, — Alex Harring, Bernstein, Douglas Harned, Harned, Dave Calhoun, Alex Harring, Anthony Chukumba, Chukumba, selloff, Ross Seymore, Seymore, TD Cowen, Doug Anmuth, Anmuth, there's, John Blackledge, Blackledge, Jason Bazinet, Bazinet, There's, Goldman, Goldman Sachs, Kate McShane, McShane, BJ, Mark Strouse, Strouse, Adam Jonas, Jonas, Ford, John Vinh, Vinh, Fred Imbert Organizations: CNBC, Monday's, Ford, Nvidia, Amazon, Citi Citi, Grill, ISI, Disney, India's Reliance Industries, Reliance Industries, Netflix, Hulu, Boeing, Dow Jones, Capital, Loop Capital, Deutsche Bank, Broadcom, VMWare, JPMorgan, Citi, BJ's Wholesale, GE, GE Vernova Locations: Michigan, Alaska, F1Q, California, The Massachusetts, Friday's, China
That would mark a milestone for the company, which launched Disney+ on Nov. 12, 2019. It would be the first time Disney showed it can make money from Disney+, Hulu and ESPN+. Disney will need to sustain and grow streaming profit to justify Iger's five-year-old strategy to go "all in" on the segment. Disney has already offered ESPN+, a sports streaming service that has some but not all of ESPN's content. Trian Partners' Nelson Peltz, who failed to join Disney's board Wednesday after securing just 31% of the vote, publicly questioned what he has called Disney's "woke" content strategy.
Persons: Bob Iger, Sun Valley , Idaho David A, Iger, Disney, they've, Cowen, Doug Creutz, Needham, Laura Martin, Gabby Jones, David Greenbaum, Sean Bailey, Alan Bergman, Indiana Jones, Nelson Peltz, Peltz, shouldn't, Bob Chapek, He'll, Bergman, Jimmy Pitaro, Josh D'Amaro, Dana Walden, They've, Cowen's, you've, That's, it's, — CNBC's Sarah Whitten, Needman's Martin Organizations: Disney, Allen & Company Sun Valley Conference, Grogan, CNBC Disney, Disney Disney, Hulu, ESPN, Co, Warner Bros . Discovery, Fox, CNBC, Athletic, Bloomberg, Getty, Marvel, Star Wars, Searchlight, Walt Disney Motion, Disney Entertainment, Century Fox, Sony, Disney's Marvel Studios, Trian Partners, Financial Times, Resorts, Iger Locations: Sun Valley , Idaho, Brooklyn , New York, Iger, Parks, Disney
The central bank's current chief, Jerome Powell, is yet to defeat his mythical beast — and Wall Street is getting worried. Powell warned on Wednesday that the Fed's fight against inflation isn't over after annualized price growth accelerated to 3.2% in February. AdvertisementRaising the alarmBank of America analysts have suggested that stubborn inflation could mean the Fed doesn't start cutting rates until March next year. It's no wonder, then, that investors are waiting impatiently for the Fed to cut rates. Fundstrat's famously bullish boss, Tom Lee, proclaimed this week that it's dropping "like a rock" and the first rate cut is still likely to be in June.
Persons: , Paul Volcker, Jerome Powell, Powell, Greenlight Capital's David Einhorn, Einhorn, Greenlight, Dad, Robert Kiyosaki, Gary Shilling, Julia La Roche, We've, Merrill Lynch's, they've, Shilling, It's, Fundstrat's, Tom Lee Organizations: Service, Federal, Business, of America, CNBC, Trust, Wall Street, Fed
He mentioned a handful of stocks that are nearing buy levels but bigger declines would need to bigger. So, with stocks selling off and cash at the ready, the question is, when do we step in? The fourth quarter was a pretty great one for Club stocks. When a stock is trading above these levels, then investors will look to these levels as support (meaning levels that might serve as a near-term floor). Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio.
Persons: Tuesday's selloff, annualized, Jim Cramer, Jim, haven't, we've, We've, Jim Cramer's, Timothy A, Clary Organizations: CME, Federal Reserve, Abbott Laboratories, Palo Alto Networks, Investment, Fed, NYSE, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, New York Stock Exchange, Getty
Greenlight's David Einhorn said Wednesday at the Sohn Investment Conference in New York he has bought shares of European chemicals company Solvay . "Solvay is an essential chemical company that holds the number one position across all of its markets" Einhorn said. "While all of these are thought of as commodity businesses, they are higher margin and much more stable than most commodity chemical businesses." "All told, Solvay is a commodity chemical company with relatively high and stable margin, a higher return on capital." "At 3.7 times targeted 2028 earnings per share with almost a double-digit dividend yield, it seems too cheap," Einhorn added.
Persons: Greenlight's David Einhorn, Solvay, Einhorn, CNBC's Scott Wapner, Yun Li Organizations: Sohn Investment, Solvay, Wall, Greenlight Locations: New York, U.S, Brussels, Belgium
Here are Wells Fargo's top trades for the second quarter
  + stars: | 2024-04-02 | by ( Samantha Subin | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
The second quarter is underway, and Wells Fargo has laid out its top stock ideas to maximize investor returns during the period. Here are some of Wells Fargo's top names for the next three months: Wells Fargo is bullish on Amazon , naming the stock as an overweight tactical idea. Wells Fargo's $211 price target implies about 17% upside from Tuesday's close. Despite a difficult start to the year that saw shares slump about 5%, Wells Fargo anticipates about 15% upside in store for the coffee chain retailer. Wells Fargo named Tesla among its four underweight ideas for the quarter, citing slowing delivery growth and dwindling demand.
Persons: Wells, Stocks, Ken Gawrelski, Wells Fargo's, INSM, Tiago Fauth, Zack Fadem, Colin Langan's Organizations: Insmed, Starbucks, Citigroup, Devon Energy Locations: Wells Fargo, Wells, North America, Monday's
And even though gold prices are at an all-time high, many market watchers are still taking a shine to it. But even with a favorable outlook, gold should play a very different role in your portfolio than stocks or bonds, investing experts say. Why gold is up and could continue to riseDifferent investors cite different reasons for owning gold. In addition to a rising tide, a weakening U.S. dollar and falling bond rates have boosted gold prices of late, says Hayes. At lower rates, bonds and cash accounts "have less of a competitive advantage" over gold, he tells CNBC Make It.
Persons: it's, Tim Hayes, Ned Davis, Warren Buffett, It's, Ford O'Neill, we've, Hayes, Buffett Organizations: Ned, Ned Davis Research, Billionaire, Berkshire Hathaway, Fidelity, CNBC, Federal Reserve, ExxonMobil Locations: Berkshire, U.S
AI companies run into hurdlesOne of the more eye-opening developments of this new phase came last week from a barely two-year-old OpenAI rival named Inflection AI. Related storiesIt has quickly become apparent that Inflection AI wasn't the only one struggling, however. Stability's Mostaque, meanwhile, seems to have conceded that Big Tech companies wield unassailable power in AI. In a post on X, he said that centralized AI was not going to be beaten with "more centralized AI". Not going to beat centralized AI with more centralized AI.
Persons: , Bill Gates, Mustafa Suleyman, DeepMind, Suleyman, Reid Hoffman, Gates, Eric Schmidt, Emad Mostaque, Googlers —, Ali Barr, Pi, Cohere, Stability's Mostaque, ike C oatue Organizations: Service, Nasdaq, Business, Big Tech, Microsoft, Nvidia
Truth Social had just 494,000 monthly active US users on iOS and Android combined in February, according to Similarweb stats provided to CNN. Even Threads had more than 10 times the number of monthly active users that Truth Social had in February, according to Similarweb. The last Trump company to go public, Trump Hotels and Casino Resorts in 1995, used the same DJT ticker symbol. Like any social media business, Truth Social faces pressure to grow its user base, expand its advertising business and build a subscription service. “If he wins in November, Truth Social will probably be the primary means of presidential communication,” said Kennedy.
Persons: Donald Trump’s, , , Jay Ritter, Ritter, , Reddit, Matthew Kennedy, Kennedy, Jonathan Macey, that’s, ’ Matthew Tuttle, Tuttle, it’s Trump, you’ve, ” “, I’m, Donald Trump, Trump, “ Donald J, TMTG, skeptically Organizations: New, New York CNN, Trump Media & Technology Group, Trump Media, University of Florida’s Warrington College of Business, GameStop, AMC, Trump, Renaissance, Truth, CNN, Facebook, Yale, Digital, Tuttle Capital Management, SEC, Trump Hotels, Casino Resorts, New York Stock Exchange Locations: New York, , United States
In the meantime, he’s also trying to sell “God Bless the USA” Bibles via his social media platform Truth Social for $59.99. )”A history of bankruptcyAnother note of caution for investors in DJT should the history of the last company Trump took public. Trump’s casino company also went by the ticker DJT, but on the New York Stock Exchange between 1995 and 2004, when it went bankrupt and was delisted. None of that has stopped what some experts have referred to as a bubble forming around the Trump Media & Technology Group. Susquehanna International Group did not return a request for comment about the company’s stake in Trump Media & Technology Group.
Persons: , Donald John Trump, he’s, CNN’s Matt Egan, , Kara Swisher, Laura Coates, Egan, Reddit, Trump, Daniel Dale, Jeff Yass, Jordan Libowitz, ” Libowitz, Kedric Payne, ” Payne, can’t, weren’t Organizations: CNN, Nasdaq, Trump, “ Trump Media, Trump Media, New York Stock Exchange, Trump Media & Technology, NYSE, GameStop, AMC, Susquehanna International Group, Yass ., Yass . Susquehanna International Group, Trump Media & Technology Group, Supreme, DC, Trump Organization, New York Times Locations: United States, New York, DJT, Trump’s, ByteDance, TikTok, Yass, Trump, Yass . Susquehanna, Washington, Saudi Arabia, Qatar, DC
For instance, the iShares MBS ETF (MBB) has a net expense ratio of 0.04% and a year-to-date total return of -1.24%. Vanguard's MBS ETF (VMBS) also carries an expense ratio of 0.04% and a total return of -1.08% in 2024. Stocks in developed markets have had the closest correlation with U.S. equities, while emerging markets equities are less correlated, the research firm found. ETFs that play on that theme include the Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets ETF (VWO) , which has an expense ratio of 0.08%, and the iShares Core MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (IEMG) , with an expense ratio of 0.09%. VWO has a year-to-date total return of 1.33%, while IEMG's total return for the period is 1.6%.
Persons: Charles NeSmith, Morningstar, Andrew Herzog, Herzog, Cash, Amy Arnott, There's, NeSmith, VWO Organizations: Nasdaq, Communications, Financial, Mortgage, Investors, MBS, Morningstar, Commodities, Vanguard FTSE, Markets Locations: Plantation , Florida, Plano , Texas, U.S
“The economy is strong, the labor market is strong and inflation has come way down,” Fed Chair Jerome Powell said Wednesday. Fed officials continue to expect three rate cuts this year but the days of ultra-low interest rates are long gone. Up NextMonday: The Chicago Fed releases its National Activity Index for February. The US Commerce Department releases February data on sales of new single-family homes. The US Commerce Department releases February data on household spending, income and the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Jerome Powell, Mike Skordeles, Skordeles, ” Stephanie Lang, Homrich Berg, , Clare Duffy, Reddit, Read, Lisa Cook, Christopher Waller Organizations: Washington CNN, Fed, Truist Advisory Services, CNN, Atlanta Fed, Employers, New York Stock Exchange, Trading, IPOs, Chicago Fed, US Commerce Department, McCormick, GameStop, Global, Board, Wednesday, Walgreens Boots Alliance, US Labor Department, University of Michigan, National Association of Realtors
Investors seeking some stability in their portfolios may want to consider high-quality dividend stocks, especially those with a track record of steady income payments. Here are three attractive dividend stocks, according to Wall Street's top experts on TipRanks, a platform that ranks analysts based on their past performance. Nonetheless, PepsiCo announced a 7% hike in its annualized dividend to $5.42 per share, effective with the dividend payable in June 2024. On March 18, Morgan Stanley analyst Dara Mohsenian upgraded PepsiCo stock to buy from hold with a price target of $190. (See PepsiCo Stock Buybacks on TipRanks)
Persons: Wall, Enbridge, Robert Kwan, Kwan, TipRanks, Gerard Cassidy, Brian Moynihan, Cassidy, Morgan Stanley, Dara Mohsenian, Mohsenian Organizations: Pepsi, Brooklyn borough New, Enbridge Energy, RBC Capital, East Ohio Gas Company, Ohio Gas, Public Service Company, Dominion Energy, Dominion, Bank of America, PepsiCo, TipRanks Locations: Flatbush, Brooklyn borough, Brooklyn borough New York City, U.S, North Carolina, TipRanks
Hussman FundsThese levels indicate the S&P 500 is likely to return around -5% annualized over the next 12 years, according to Hussman's math. AdvertisementBy the time the current market cycle bottoms out, the S&P 500 could well have fallen by 50%-70%, Hussman said. He predicted in 2000 that the S&P 500 would likely see negative total returns over the following decade, which it did. He predicted in April 2007 that the S&P 500 could lose 40%, then it lost 55% in the subsequent collapse from 2007 to 2009. The S&P 500, by comparison, is up about 33% over the past year.
Persons: , John Hussman's, Hussman, he's, we've, Jeremy Grantham, Grantham, There's, David Rosenberg, Merrill Lynch's, Gary Shilling Organizations: Service, Hussman Investment Trust, Business, Exchange, Federal Locations: Miami
The four-year total return for the S & P 500 since March 23, 2020, is just about 150%, or 25.7% annualized. .SPX mountain 2020-03-23 S & P 500 since the Covid low This is, of course, an idealized starting point from which to measure performance. While the S & P 500 bottomed at around a three-year low under 2,200, the index spent only a few weeks under 2,500. More qualitatively, it's a bull market, and in a bull market the overshoots occur to the upside, so a rally being "ahead of itself" is not fatal. And the S & P 500 is only 9% higher than it was more than two years ago, hardly reaching escape velocity from planet Sanity.
Persons: , Warren, Ned Davis, Tim Hayes, bullishness, Rocky White Organizations: HSBC, 3Fourteen, Bank of Japan, Fed, Ned Davis Research, Schaeffer's Investment Research, Intelligence, Bank of America
Stubbornly high inflation could push the Federal Reserve into a more cautious stance this year regarding interest rate cuts, the central bank's former vice chair said Friday. "If the Fed were targeting CPI right now, we wouldn't even be discussing rate cuts," Clarida said. A Chicago Fed measure of financial conditions is at its loosest since January 2022. "What I think is going on here is a delicate balance that [Powell is] trying to navigate," Clarida said. "Financial conditions will very naturally start to ease when they get the sense the Fed is done and [will start] cutting.
Persons: Richard Clarida, Jerome Powell, Clarida, Powell Organizations: Federal Reserve, Market, Fed, Commerce Locations: Atlanta
Sales of existing homes surged 9.5% in February from January to 4.38 million units, on a seasonally adjusted annualized basis, according to the National Association of Realtors. Sales were down 3.3% year over year, but it was the largest monthly gain since February 2023. Sales surged the most in the West, up 19.4%, and the South, up 16.4%. "Additional housing supply is helping to satisfy market demand," said Lawrence Yun, NAR's chief economist. Inventory rose 10.3% year over year to 1.07 million homes for sale at the end of February.
Persons: Lawrence Yun, Yun Organizations: National Association of Realtors . Housing, Mortgage News Daily Locations: West, California, Florida, Georgia
Retail sales rose 5.5%, better than the 5.2% increase forecast in a Reuters poll, while industrial production climbed 7%, compared with estimates of 5% growth. Investment into real estate fell by 9% in the first two months of the year from a year ago. National Bureau of Statistics Spokesperson Liu Aihua said that real estate remains in a period of "adjustment," according to a CNBC translation of his statement in Mandarin. New loans in February missed expectations and fell from the prior month, "even after adjusting for seasonality," Goldman Sachs analysts said in a report Friday. Chinese authorities did not reveal significant new support for the massive real estate sector during an annual parliamentary meeting that ended last week.
Persons: Liu Aihua, Liu, Ting Lu, Goldman Sachs, Pan Gongsheng, Goldman Organizations: Pudong New, Investment, National Bureau of, CNBC, China, People's Bank of China, Reuters Locations: Dongyu, Qiantan, Pudong, Pudong New Area, Shanghai, China, BEIJING, Real, Beijing
The hikes also sweeten the potential total return for their stocks at a time when some Wall Street strategists are shining a light on that performance metric. That performance metric captures not just stock price moves but also gains from reinvested dividends. The difference between stock price performance and total return can be substantial, underscoring the benefits of reinvesting dividends. Consider that over the past 10 years, Linde's stock price has climbed 260%, according to FactSet. Eaton's stock price has climbed 321% over the past decade while its total return is 462%.
Persons: Savita Subramanian, Jim Cramer's, Eli Lilly, Linde, Stanley Black, Decker, Jim Cramer, Jim, Spencer Platt Organizations: Disney, TJX Companies, . Eaton Corp, Linde, DuPont de Nemours, Coterra, Procter, Gamble, Bank of America, Meta, Alto Networks, Bausch Health, Abbott Laboratories, Broadcom, Costco Wholesale, Ford Motor, Nvidia, Apple, Costco, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, New York Stock Exchange, Getty Locations: Cincinnati, New York City
Adobe shares slip 10% on soft sales forecast
  + stars: | 2024-03-14 | by ( Jordan Novet | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Adobe CEO Shantanu Narayen speaks during an interview with CNBC on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange on Feb. 20, 2024. During the quarter, Adobe abandoned its $20 billion acquisition of design software startup Figma after U.K. regulators found competitive concerns. Adobe will work with OpenAI around Sora, David Wadhwani, president of Adobe's digital media business, said on the earnings call. Adobe sees fiscal second-quarter earnings of $4.35 to $4.40 per share on an adjusted basis, with $5.25 billion to $5.30 billion in revenue. Leaving out the after-hours movement, Adobe shares have fallen 4% so far this year, while the S&P 500 index has gained 8% over the same time period.
Persons: Shantanu Narayen, OpenAI, Sora, David Wadhwani, LSEG, Wadhwani Organizations: CNBC, New York Stock Exchange, Adobe, LSEG, Firefly Services Locations: Sora
Ken Griffin, Citadel founder and CEO, thinks the Federal Reserve should move slowly to cut interest rates in its fight against stubborn inflation. "If I'm them, I don't want to cut too quickly," Griffin said at the International Futures Industry conference in Boca Raton, Florida on Tuesday. "The worst thing they could end up doing is cutting, pausing and then changing direction back towards higher rates quickly. So we've got two big, big tailwinds that continue to support the inflation narrative," Griffin said. While the inflation rate is well off its mid-2022 peak, it still remains well above the Fed's 2% goal.
Persons: Ken Griffin, Griffin, we've Organizations: Citadel, Reserve, International Futures Industry, Boca, Fed Locations: Boca Raton , Florida, multistrategy Wellington
Here are three attractive dividend stocks, according to Wall Street's top experts on TipRanks, a platform that ranks analysts based on their past performance. Energy TransferThis week's first dividend stock is Energy Transfer (ET), a master limited partnership or MLP. With an annualized distribution per unit of $1.26, ET stock offers an attractive yield of 8.4%. Target's quarterly dividend of $1.10 per share reflects a 1.9% year-over-year increase and represents a dividend yield of 2.6%. Tarlowe noted that the retailer's Q4 revenue benefited from a 10% rise in other revenue, thanks to solid growth in advertising.
Persons: Wall, Selman Akyol, Akyol, TipRanks, Ivan Feinseth, Feinseth, Jefferies, Corey Tarlowe, Tarlowe, TGT Organizations: Energy, MLP, Management, Garmin, Tigress, Aviation, Automotive, Target Locations: Harlem, Crestwood
Tokyo Reuters —Japan’s economy expanded at an annualized clip of 0.4% in October to December from the previous quarter, better than the initial estimate for a 0.4% contraction, government data showed on Monday. The revised figure for gross domestic product (GDP) released by the Cabinet Office compared with economists’ median forecast for a 1.1% uptick in a Reuters poll. The fresh data meant Japan’s economy, now the world’s fourth-largest behind Germany, avoided a technical recession thanks to companies’ stronger-than-expected spending on plants and equipments. On a quarter-on-quarter basis, GDP grew 0.1%, compared with the initial 0.1.% drop reading and a median forecast for a 0.3% rise. Meanwhile, private consumption, which makes up about 60% of Japan’s economy, fell 0.3% in October to December, slightly worse than the 0.2% drop in the initial estimate.
Organizations: Tokyo Reuters, Bank of Japan Locations: Tokyo, Germany, Japan
The S & P 500 Volatility Index finished the week near 15 and is in a clear three- month uptrend from its mid-December low near 12, even as the S & P 500 has gained 10% since then. In fact, Friday the market minimized the headline damage to a mere two-thirds-percent dip in the S & P 500 through its signature rotational impulse. Some indicators — such as speculators remaining net short S & P 500 futures and brokerage strategists' muted index targets — imply the helpful wall of worry is not quite fully scaled. Since then, the S & P has delivered a 16.7% annualized total return, even after two bear markets and two other severe/prolonged corrections. And the S & P is only up 7% from its high 26 months ago, hardly in thin air.
Persons: what's, Eli Lilly, Martin Marietta, Nick Colas, Scott Chronert Organizations: Federal, Nvidia, Costco, pharma, Martin Marietta Materials, Vulcan, 3Fourteen Research, NYSE, Nasdaq, DataTrek, Citi
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