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☆ Israel’s economy is paying a high price for its widening war
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-04 | by ( Hanna Ziady | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +10 min

London CNN —In late September, as Israel’s nearly year-long war widened and its credit rating was downgraded yet again, the country’s finance minister, Bezalel Smotrich, said that, while Israel’s economy was under strain, it was resilient. Israel’s economy could shrink even more than that, based on a worst-case estimate by the Institute for National Security Studies at Tel Aviv University. Before the October 7 attack and ensuing Israel-Hamas war, the International Monetary Fund forecast that Israel’s economy would grow by an enviable 3.4% this year. Smotrich, the finance minister, is confident that Israel’s economy will bounce back once the war ends, but economists are concerned the damage will far outlast the conflict. Florion Goga/ReutersOther sectors of Israel’s economy, while less important than tech, have been hit much harder.

Persons: London CNN —, Bezalel Smotrich, ” Smotrich, Hassan Nasrallah, ratcheting, Karnit, ‘, Menahem Kahana, ”, “ Israel, “, Smotrich —, Flug, Ahmad Gharabli, Fitch, —, Coface, Avi Hasson, Hasson, Florion Goga, Yaron Liberman, ” Liberman Organizations: London CNN, CNN, West Bank, United Nations, BMI, Fitch Solutions, Institute for National Security, Tel Aviv University, International Monetary Fund, of Israel, Getty, Bank of Israel, Israel Democracy Institute, Institute for National Security Studies, Moody’s, Startup Nation Locations: Lebanon’s, Beirut, Israel, Lebanon, Gaza, Israel’s, Iran, AFP, Egypt, Syria, Golan, Jerusalem's Old City, United States, Tel Aviv, housebuilding . Tourism

☆ Economy's still very solid if you look at a broad range of indicators, says Goldman's Jan Hatzius
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-04 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailEconomy's still very solid if you look at a broad range of indicators, says Goldman's Jan HatziusJan Hatzius, Goldman Sachs chief economist, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss Hatzius' thoughts on Friday's jobs report, the economic revisions, and if extreme weather will impact future economic data.

Persons: Goldman's Jan Hatzius Jan Hatzius, Goldman Sachs

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWhy middle-class wages aren't growingBetween 1979 and 2024, productivity in the U.S. soared by 80.9%, while hourly pay grew by just 29.4%, according to a research by the Economic Policy Institute. This trend has often been referred to as wage stagnation. But more recently, economists have suggested that deliberate policy decisions have actively suppressed workers' wage growth. So what exactly is preventing the middle class from earning a higher paycheck?

Organizations: Economic, Institute Locations: U.S

☆ US economy added 254,000 jobs in September, logging surprisingly robust growth
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-04 | by ( Alicia Wallace | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

CNN —US job growth surged in September, blowing past expectations and providing solid reassurance for the ongoing stability of the labor market. Employers added an estimated 254,000 jobs in September, according to data released Friday by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. “The outlook for the economy in the months ahead is quite favorable, according to the September jobs report. As job gains dropped off from their once breakneck pace, economists were quick to note that the labor market was merely slowing and not at risk of imminent collapse. “The labor market is strong,” she said.

Persons: “, ” Brian Bethune, —, Chris Rupkey, ”, Elise Gould, Gould, Jerome Powell, September’s, it’s, ” Bethune, ‘, ’, Josh Hirt, ” Hirt, they’ve Organizations: CNN, Employers, Bureau of Labor Statistics, BLS, Boston College, Service, Federal Reserve, FwdBonds, Economic Policy Institute, Federal, Vanguard, Boeing

☆ Fed close to pulling off the elusive economic soft landing in 2024 after great September jobs report
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-04 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

"It also increases the possibility of a no-landing as well, meaning even stronger economic data for 2025 than we currently expect." watch nowBeyond that, it virtually eliminated any chance that the Federal Reserve would be repeating its half percentage point interest rate cut from September anytime soon. But broadly speaking, the news was very good and raised questions over just how aggressive the Fed will need to be. Jones said the Fed will have a dilemma on its hand as it figures out the proper policy response. "In an election year, passions run high and every economic report or event can garner intense reaction.

Persons: Anna Rose Layden, We've, Beth Ann Bovino, Friday's nonfarm, Dow Jones, Bovino, David Royal, Kathy Jones, Charles Schwab, Jones, they're, Elizabeth Renter Organizations: Outfitters, Getty, Federal Reserve, U.S . Bank, Fed, Fed Bank of America, Wall, U.S Locations: Tysons , Virginia, U.S

☆ Not allowing any automation at U.S. ports is foolish, says Zuoz Industrial's Urs Dur
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-03 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailNot allowing any automation at U.S. ports is foolish, says Zuoz Industrial's Urs DurUrs Dur, Zuoz Industrial principal, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest developments on the U.S. port strike, why he believes both sides may see value in holding firm on their positions for the time being, the economic impact of the strike, and more.

Persons: Zuoz, Urs Dur Urs Dur

☆ A three-headed economic monster lurches into the presidential campaign
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-03 | by ( Allison Morrow | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

New York CNN —With barely a month to go before the US presidential election, a trifecta of economic shocks is threatening to sap Vice President Kamala Harris’ momentum on voters’ No. 1 issue: a port strike, a hurricane and an escalation of fighting in the Middle East. Price pain could crop up elsewhere if the East Coast port strike, which began Tuesday, drags on longer than a week. “If the Boeing strike and the port strike … last through the second week of October, job growth for October could be negative,” researchers at Oxford Economics wrote Wednesday. A negative jobs report hasn’t been seen in this country since December 2020, the last full month of the Trump administration.

Persons: CNN Business ’, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump hasn’t, “, ”, Harris, Emily Elconin, Harris ’, Price, Biden, Hurricane Helene, Moody’s, Helene, hasn’t, Trump, — Organizations: CNN Business, New York CNN, Republican, Democratic, Bloomberg, Getty, Boeing, Biden, Oxford Economics Locations: New York, Georgia, East, Maine, Texas, Carolinas, Florida, Tennessee

See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowWhat Are Today's Mortgage Refinance Rates? See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's mortgage rates will affect your monthly and long-term payments. Current 30-Year Mortgage RatesAverage 30-year mortgage rates are hovering around 5.90%, according to Zillow data. Current 15-Year Mortgage RatesAverage 15-year mortgage rates are in the low 5% range, according to Zillow data. But now that inflation has decelerated and the Fed is expected to cut rates soon, mortgage rates have trended down.

Persons: Freddie Mac, it's, Fannie Mae Organizations: Fed, ADP, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Zillow, Mortgage, Association, ARM, . Government Locations: Chevron, Government

☆ Vatican Bank fires couple whose marriage breached new workplace ban
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-03 | by ( Jack Guy | Christopher Lamb | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +2 min

CNN —The Vatican Bank has fired two employees whose recent wedding violates a newly-introduced ban on marriages between staff. The bank said that its policy is designed to prevent conflicts of interest at an institution with only around 100 employees, all of whom work at the same location. Sgro said the couple, who have three children, were told that their employment had been terminated on October 1. The Vatican Bank has a history of financial scandals and in 2013 Pope Francis set up an expert committee to recommend reforms to the economic and administrative structures of the Holy See to combat the problem. He’s the first cardinal to be convicted and sentenced by a Vatican court.

Persons: Laura Sgro, Sgro, Pope Francis, Gian Franco Mammi, Angelo Caloia, Giovanni Angelo Becciu, Becciu Organizations: CNN, Vatican Bank, Institute, Vatican

☆ Active bond funds put up a strong performance — and they may be poised to stand out as rates fall
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-03 | by ( Darla Mercado | Cfp | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

Over the 12-month period ending June, about 2 of 3 active bond managers trounced their average passive counterpart, according to a recent analysis from Morningstar . There were a few tailwinds in active managers' favor. With the Fed recently cutting rates by a half point — and Chair Jerome Powell noting that two more quarter-point cuts could be in the cards this year — a new challenge awaits these active bond funds. As interest rates fall, active managers can position accordingly, said Roger Hallam, global head of rates at Vanguard. "We expect active managers to make a little more, and they should be because they're doing more trades and it costs more to manage active portfolios," said Olmsted.

Persons: —, Ryan Jackson, Jerome Powell, it's, Jackson, Paul Olmsted, Roger Hallam, wouldn't, Hallam, Morningstar, Olmsted Organizations: Federal Reserve, Morningstar, Vanguard, Bond Fund, SEC

☆ Dockworkers are waging a battle against automation. The rest of us may want to take notes
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-02 | by ( Allison Morrow | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

Here’s the deal: The East Coast port strike is getting a lot of attention for its potential disruption to the economy — which is precisely the point. No dockworkers means no bananas (or whatever), which means no profits for the companies that produce and ship them. While research shows automation has obvious benefits, like lower operating costs and fewer human-related errors, port automation does not, on its own, significantly improve performance, according to a 2018 McKinsey report. But automation anxiety is rapidly spilling over into office work, where managers are adopting AI in the hopes of replacing human work or amplifying production. As Washington Post columnist Heather Long wrote Tuesday, the strike is “an early battle of well-paid workers against advanced automation.

Persons: CNN Business ’, It’s, ”, Dennis Daggett, Mark Felix, Sameera Fazili, Biden, it’s, …, ” Fazili, Heather Long Organizations: CNN Business, New York CNN, Hollywood, McKinsey, International Longshoremen’s Association, Economic, Getty, National Economic Council, Washington Locations: New York, East Coast, China, Singapore, Europe, Port of New York, New Jersey, Long Beach, Los Angeles, AFP

☆ Investors are realizing the economic cost of climate disruptions, Germany's climate envoy says
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-02 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailInvestors are realizing the economic cost of climate disruptions, Germany's climate envoy saysJennifer Morgan, state secretary and special envoy for international climate action for Germany, discusses global climate policy at the Berlin Global Dialogue.

Persons: Jennifer Morgan Organizations: Berlin Locations: Germany

☆ The East and Gulf Coast ports strike could be a no-win situation for the Biden administration
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-02 | by ( Lori Ann Larocco | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +11 min

President Biden said on Tuesday that his administration will be "monitoring for any price gouging activity" that benefits foreign ocean carriers, including those on the USMX board. He also said "foreign ocean carriers have made record profits since the pandemic, when Longshoremen put themselves at risk to keep ports open." UBS forecast that 20% of Maersk's total volume would touch a U.S. port that would be impacted by the strike. Acting Secretary Julie Su lashed out at the idea that labor wage increases would be passed onto U.S. exporters and importers. I know they understand, just as consumers and American workers understand, that foreign companies who profit from our economy and who employ American workers and have an impact on American consumers should do the right thing, and in that battle, we are always going to stand with American workers, American businesses and American consumers."

Persons: Biden, Longshoremen, majeure, Daggett, Harold Daggett, Lars Jenson, Pete Buttigieg, Julie Su, Taft, Hartley, Buttigieg, Larry Lindsey, Su, Peter Friedmann, I've, nonfarm, Helene, switchers, they're, Jim Bianco, CNBC's, Peter Boockvar, Alan Baer, Steve Lamar, Taft Hartley, Lamar, CNBC's Jeff Cox Organizations: CMA, U.S, United States Maritime Alliance, Vespucci, Federal Reserve, Transportation, Labor, International Longshoremen's Association, UBS, Maersk, Federal Maritime Commission, ILA, Boeing, The Lindsey Group, Agriculture Transportation Coalition, Bianco Research, Bleakley Financial, USA, American Apparel and Footwear Association, Biden Administration, — Locations: East, Gulf Coast, U.S, autoworkers

Mortgage rates are starting the month a little higher, with 30-year rates hovering around 5.90%, according to Zillow data. But if conditions hold up, mortgage rates will likely remain near their current levels through the end of 2024. 5-Year Mortgage Rate TrendsHere's how 30-year and 15-year mortgage rates have trended over the last five years, according to Freddie Mac data. Mortgage rates are determined by a variety of different factors, including larger economic trends, Federal Reserve policy, your state's current mortgage rates, the type of loan you're getting, and your personal financial profile. This means your entire monthly mortgage payment, including taxes and insurance, shouldn't exceed 28% of your pre-tax monthly income.

Persons: they've, Jerome Powell, you'll, They've, Freddie Mac, it's, Fannie Mae Organizations: Federal, Today's, Zillow, ARM, Federal Housing Administration, Department of Veterans Affairs, Fed, Mortgage, Association Locations: Nashville, Chevron

☆ How to factor in Social Security benefits when saving for retirement
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-02 | by ( Jeanne Sahadi | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +6 min

Today, on average, Social Security benefits may replace about 40% of a person’s pre-retirement income assuming they start collecting benefits at their full retirement age. To be in those categories your earnings are often at or near the annual maximum income subject to the Social Security payroll tax. If you had to replace $24,000 in Social Security benefits, you might need a $600,000 portfolio. If you have no idea what Social Security benefits are promised to you under current law, get an official estimate based on your average career earnings to date from the Social Security Administration. Or …17% in 2035: The cut could be reduced and delayed until 2035 if the Social Security retirement trust fund is merged with its trust fund for disability benefits.

Persons: Mari Adam, Adam, you’ll, Shai Akabas, ” Akabas, ” Adam, you’re, don’t, “ You’re, ” Organizations: CNN, Social Security, Security, Social Security Administration, Center, Social, IRA

☆ Wizz says passengers will 'suffer' through 7-hour flights on its new Airbus A321XLR for cheap tickets. See the no-frills cabin.
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-02 | by ( Taylor Rains | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

Wizz Air is set to launch new long-haul routes using its upcoming Airbus A321XLR. The first flights, a seven-hour trek, will start in March between London and Jeddah, Saudi Arabia. Wizz Air will offer significantly cheaper fares compared to competitors like British Airways. AdvertisementLow-cost carrier Wizz Air is banking that price-sensitive customers will book its new no-frills narrowbody planes to save money on long-haul flights — and it's not being shy about the cabin. Wizz's new long-haul flights on the A321XLR won't even come with free water.

Persons: —, Wizz, József Váradi, Abu Dhabi Organizations: Airbus A321XLR, British Airways, Service, Wizz, Airbus, London, Etihad Airways Locations: London, Jeddah, Saudi Arabia, Hungarian, London Gatwick, Milan, Abu Dhabi, Abu, UAE

☆ The US port strike isn't just hitting imports. America's farmers could be hurt, too.
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-02 | by ( Huileng Tan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

The US port strike on the East and Gulf Coasts could threaten farm exports amid harvest season. AdvertisementThe US port strike at East and Gulf Coast ports isn't just impacting bananas and consumer imports into the country — it could hurt America's farm exports too. Seyfert told Politico on Friday that while some farm exports can be moved to the West Coast for shipping, there's probably not enough capacity there. "A prolonged strike would force importers to seek alternative supplies, either from West Coast ports or other countries," wrote Glauber. AdvertisementLogistics experts told Business Insider's Tim Paradis that the port strike could damage the US economy badly.

Persons: Joe Biden, —, Mike Seyfert, Seyfert, Joseph Glauber, Tim Paradis, Biden Organizations: Association, Service, White, Politico, Food Policy Research Institute, Logistics, United States Maritime Alliance, International Longshoremen's Association Locations: Gulf, East, Gulf Coast, West Coast, Mexico

☆ Why China stocks are not suitable for long-term investment
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-02 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWhy China stocks are not suitable for long-term investmentJared Woodard, BofA Securities head of research investment committee and ETF strategy, joins CNBC's 'The Exchange' to discuss the economic impact of China's new stimulus, why he thinks it is risky to trade in the country right now, and more.

Persons: Jared Woodard Organizations: BofA Securities Locations: China

☆ Singapore private housing prices cool, ending an over year-long rally
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-01 | by ( Dylan Butts | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Singapore's private home prices fell for the first time in five quarters amid depressed sales, preliminary market data showed on Tuesday. The data released by the Urban Redevelopment Authority showed that its private home price index fell 1.1% last quarter as compared to the previous three months. The fall reversed gains from the second quarter and represented the index's first drop since the second quarter of 2023. In total, prices were up only 1.1% in the first three quarters of 2024 compared with a 3.9% gain over the same period the prior year. Sales transaction volume also fell by about 11% in the third quarter from the previous three months.

Organizations: Urban, Authority

☆ East Coast port worker strike will hit every industry, says Moody's John Donigian
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-01 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailEast Coast port worker strike will hit every industry, says Moody's John DonigianJohn Donigian, Moody’s senior director of supply chain strategy, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss the economic impact of the port worker's strike, the products likely to be most affected, and much more.

Persons: Moody's John Donigian John Donigian, Moody’s

☆ Stocks tumble, oil spikes as Mideast tensions flare
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-01 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Gold and crude oil rallied, while the 10-year Treasury yield dropped. On the economic data front, job openings rose unexpectedly in August. Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. Traders elected to crowd into safe-haven assets like gold as Iran launched a barrage of missiles toward Israel on Tuesday. AdvertisementAs oil rallied, so did gold and the bond market, with investors piling into risk-off assets.

Persons: —, Helima Croft, Quincy Krosby, Bill Adams Organizations: Treasury, Service, Traders, RBC Capital Markets, CNBC, Global, LPL, Labor, Comerica Bank Locations: Israel, Iran, Lebanon

White House officials on Friday met with representatives from the consortium, the US Maritime Corporation, to encourage the association to stay at the negotiating table. President Joe Biden has sent a clear message that he has no plans to do the latter. Without taking that move, there’s not much else the White House can do. “The administration is using its bully pulpit, and has been for a while,” says John Porcari, who served as the White House supply chain czar under Biden. “In political terms, there’s no good time for a strike,” the former official said.

Persons: dockworkers, Biden, Taft, Hartley, Joe Biden, “, ” Biden, Kamala Harris, there’s, ”, John Porcari, George W, Bush, Liz Shuler, Jeff Zients, Lael Brainard, USMX, Harold Daggett, Labor Julie Su, ” Daggett, Donald Trump, Harris, –, Ford, Ohio Sen, JD Vance, Tim Walz, Trump Organizations: CNN, International Longshoremen’s Association, US Maritime Corporation, White House, ”, White, Republicans, House Transportation, Labor, ” AFL, GOP, National Economic, International Longshoreman’s Association, Republican, Biden administration’s, Biden, Anderson Economic Group, Boeing, United Auto Workers, Minnesota Gov Locations: East, Gulf, Taft, West Coast, Michigan, Dearborn, Ohio, Minnesota

☆ Fixing Social Security funding woes requires addressing immigration 'fraud,' Vance said. Here's what experts say
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-01 | by ( Lorie Konish | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +12 min

Trump in March said on social media platform Truth Social that Democrats are "killing Social Security and Medicare by allowing the invasion of the migrants." The earnings suspense file is an electronic holding file for wage items where names and Social Security numbers on Form W-2s do not match the Social Security Administration's records, an agency spokesperson said via email. "Immigration, in general, has a very positive role," said Sam Gutterman, chairperson of the American Academy of Actuaries' Social Security committee. The Social Security Administration in an email explained that there are strict rules about who can legally receive benefits and Social Security numbers. "The Social Security Act does not permit payment of benefits to noncitizens residing in the U.S. if they're not lawfully present here," a Social Security spokesperson said.

Persons: Sen, JD Vance, Alex Wong, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris —, Vance, Harris, Tara Watson, Watson, Andrew Biggs, General, Jeffrey Brown, Brown, I've, " Biggs, Sam Gutterman, Renata Miller, they're, actuary, Stephen Goss, Goss Organizations: Radford University, Getty, Social Security, Medicare, Republican, Trump, CNBC, of Homeland, Brookings Institution, Immigration, Immigrants, American Academy of Actuaries, Taxation, Social, someone's Social, American Enterprise Institute, Social Security Administration, Social Security Administration Office, Finance, American Academy of Actuaries ' Social Security, Department of Health, Human Services, HHS, Department of Homeland, SSA Locations: Radford , Virginia, U.S, misdirection

See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's mortgage rates would impact your monthly payments. 30-Year Mortgage Rates TodayAverage 30-year mortgage rates are hovering near 5.70% today, according to Zillow data. 15-Year Mortgage Rates TodayAverage 15-year mortgage rates remain right around 5%, according to Zillow data. 5-Year Mortgage Rate TrendsHere's how 30-year and 15-year mortgage rates have trended over the last five years, according to Freddie Mac data. Mortgage rates are unlikely to drop back down to the historic lows of 2020 and 2021, when 30-year fixed rates fell below 3%.

Persons: We're, there's, you'll, Freddie Mac, it's, they've, They'll Organizations: Zillow, Fed Locations: Realtor.com, Chevron

☆ Some techies are leaving cushy Silicon Valley jobs to launch startups at home in India
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-01 | by ( Shubhangi Goel | Charissa Cheong | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +11 min

Some expat Indians are moving back home to launch companies of their own. But the chaos, where even established startups are trying and failing, makes India a fair playing field for new entrants, Hassan said. Programs like Startup India, which provides founders benefits like tax exemption, easier compliance, and funding support, have made creating a company smoother. Bhide returned to India in January, leaving behind about $580,000 in total compensation at ticketing platform StubHub. Bhide said the general sentiment among local founders is shifting from "Build from India" to "Build for India."

Persons: —, Nithin Hassan, — Hassan, Hassan, he's, Binod Khadria, Khadia, That's, Ben Mathias, VCs, Mathias said, Devyani Parameshwar, It's, Rohan Bhide, Bhide, Dhruv Anand, Dhruv Anand Dhruv Anand, Anand, Ruchit Garg, Garg, Niranjan Vemulkar, Vemulkar Organizations: Service, Amazon, Microsoft, Meta, Global Research, Diaspora, Business, Vertex Ventures, Indian, Startup, Reliance, Tech, Google Locations: India, Bengaluru, Oyo, Byju's, Asia, Africa, Delhi, Gurugram, Silicon Valley, It's, Mumbai, Bangalore

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