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CNBC Daily Open: Hot inflation data spooks Wall Street
  + stars: | 2024-03-15 | by ( Sumathi Bala | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. In Japan, the Nikkei 225 slipped, while Topix gained as investors awaited for updates on the country's spring wage talks. Why Japan's wage talks matterJapan's "shunto" wage negotiations hit fever pitch this week as several corporate giants revealed salary increases. Wealth tax in spotlightCan a wealth tax work in reality? The proposals, outlined in the 2024 budget, rekindled debate about a wealth tax on the world's richest.
Persons: Hang Seng, Hong, Topix, Joe Biden Organizations: CNBC, China's CSI, Nikkei, Dow, Nasdaq, Bank of, HSBC bullish, Nvidia Investment, Fidelity International, Nvidia Locations: Asia, Japan, U.S, China
Dollar advances as U.S. inflation data weighs on rates outlook
  + stars: | 2024-03-15 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
The dollar was firm on Friday and set to snap a three-week losing streak as hotter-than-expected U.S. inflation data stoked worries about when and by how much the Federal Reserve would start cutting interest rates this year. The dollar was firm on Friday and set to snap a three-week losing streak as hotter-than-expected U.S. inflation data stoked worries about when and by how much the Federal Reserve would start cutting interest rates this year. Data on Thursday showed the U.S. producer price index for final demand rose 0.6% in February above the 0.3% rise economists had forecast. The dollar index , which measures the U.S. currency against six rivals, was 0.058% higher at 103.44, after rising 0.55% on Thursday. In other currencies, the Australian dollar fell 0.18% to $0.657, while the New Zealand dollar fell 0.39% to $0.611.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Ryan Brandham, Carol Kong, bitcoin Organizations: Federal Reserve, Risk, Traders, Bank of, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, New Zealand Locations: U.S, North America
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWage negotiations are unlikely to significantly shift the BOJ's policy direction: Portfolio managerJamie Halse of Platinum Asset Management thinks says wage increases at Japan's large companies is unlikely to affect the Bank of Japan's cautious approach to monetary policy.
Persons: Jamie Halse Organizations: Asset Management, of
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via Email'More likely' the Bank of Japan will hike interest rates in April: ANZMahjabeen Zaman of ANZ explains why she thinks the Bank of Japan will refrain from making a move on interest rates until April.
Organizations: Bank of, ANZ Mahjabeen Zaman, ANZ, Bank of Japan Locations: Bank of Japan
CNBC Daily Open: Another hot inflation gauge fuels worry
  + stars: | 2024-03-15 | by ( Sumathi Bala | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Why Japan's wage talks matterJapan's "shunto" wage negotiations hit fever pitch this week as several corporate giants revealed salary increases. "I think the legislation should pass and I think it should be sold," Mnuchin told CNBC. [PRO] Look beyond NvidiaInvestment firm Fidelity International said investors should look beyond highfliers like Nvidia to ride the AI wave.
Persons: Dow, Steven Mnuchin, Mnuchin Organizations: CNBC, Nasdaq, Bank of, U.S, HSBC bullish, Nvidia Investment, Fidelity International, Nvidia Locations: U.S, China
CNBC Daily Open: U.S. consumer spending data looms
  + stars: | 2024-03-14 | by ( Sumathi Bala | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Asia stocks mixedAsia markets were mixed Thursday as investors assessed Japan's spring wage negotiations. "If you have a position that does not cost you ever to lose an employee, it's not a position," Karp said in an interview on CNBC. [PRO] China stocks worth the riskChinese stocks are a "risk worth taking," said Jason Hsu, chairman and chief investment officer of Rayliant Global Advisors.
Persons: Topix, Israel, Alex Karp, it's, Karp, Jason Hsu Organizations: CNBC, Nikkei, Bank of Japan, Nasdaq, Dow, Ford Motor, General Motors, Mercedes, Benz, House, U.S . House, Rayliant Global Advisors Locations: Asia, Israel, China
TOKYO (AP) — Global shares are mixed Thursday in lackluster trading. U.S. shares were set to drift higher with Dow futures up nearly 0.3% at 39,632.00. Nissan Motor Co. stock jumped 2.2% after an unconfirmed Japanese media report that the automaker behind the Leaf electric car was about to enter an agreement on EVs with domestic rival Honda Motor Co. Honda shares rose 1.1%. Photos You Should See View All 60 ImagesThe Japanese central bank has set a target of 2% inflation. That higher inflation has in turn dashed Wall Street’s hopes that the Federal Reserve could start offering relief at its meeting next week by cutting interest rates.
Persons: Germany's DAX, Sydney's, Hang Seng, , Anderson Alves, Brent Organizations: TOKYO, , CAC, Dow, Nikkei, Nissan Motor Co, Honda Motor Co, Honda, Nissan, Bank of Japan, Bank of, Federal Reserve, Fed, U.S Locations: Hong, Shanghai, ActivTrades, Bank of Japan
Currency market subdued ahead of fresh U.S. economic data
  + stars: | 2024-03-14 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
The currency market was sedate on Thursday, with the U.S. dollar consolidating against major peers as market players awaited more data out of the world's largest economy for clues on the direction of Federal Reserve policy. With the Fed widely expected to hold rates steady at its meeting next week, attention will be on the bank's updated economic projections. The dollar index , which measures the greenback against a basket of six currencies, was mostly flat at 102.77. Sources told Reuters that Japan's central bank will debate ending negative rates next week if big firms' wage talks yield strong results. Elsewhere, the euro was holding steady against the dollar at $1.0949, ahead of remarks by several European Central Bank officials on Thursday.
Persons: Kyle Rodda, Jerome Powell, Sterling, bitcoin Organizations: U.S, Federal Reserve, Fed, U.S ., PPI, Bank, Reuters, European Central Bank Locations: Buenos Aires, Argentina, U.S
Beautiful and colorful aerial view of Mumbai skyline during twilight seen from Currey Road, on February 16, 2022 in Mumbai, India. Pratik Chorge | Hindustan Times | Getty ImagesAsia-Pacific markets are set for a mixed open after Wall Street's tech-fueled rally dissipated, with Nvidia falling 1.1%, Meta slipping 0.8% and Apple dropping 1.2%. On Thursday, investors will assess India's wholesale inflation, while also monitoring any news coming out of Japan's spring wage negotiations. Japan's wage negotiations wrapped up on Wednesday, with the first overall estimate due out on Friday. Japan's Nikkei 225 is set to fall following these reports as markets price in the possibility of the BOJ tightening policy.
Persons: Pratik Organizations: Hindustan Times, Getty, Nvidia, Apple, Bank of Japan, Japan's Nikkei Locations: Mumbai, India, Asia, Pacific, Chicago, Osaka, Australia
(Photo by Kazuhiro NOGI / AFP) (Photo by KAZUHIRO NOGI/AFP via Getty Images)At Japan's highly anticipated "shunto" spring wage negotiations this year, the world's largest automaker Toyota agreed to the biggest annual pay increase for workers in 25 years. Market speculation reached fever pitch this week as various corporate giants announced robust negotiated salary increments that in some instances exceeded what unions petitioned for. Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda has repeatedly said the outcome of this year's wage negotiations will influence the central bank's decision on when to exit the world's last negative interest rate policy. Japan's largest trade union grouping, known as Rengo, will announce the first collation of ongoing wage negotiations on Friday. Here's what you need to know about this year's spring wage talks, which takes place annually in March.
Persons: Kazuhiro NOGI, KAZUHIRO NOGI, Kazuo Ueda Organizations: Bank of Japan, The Bank of Japan, Getty, Toyota Locations: Tokyo, AFP
EIU also expects the Bank of Japan will exit its negative interest rate policy in the second quarter. Markets currently expect the Fed to start with a 25-basis-point rate cut in June. Euro zoneThe European Central Bank last week also held its policy rate at a record high of 4%, signaling that it won't cut rates before June. JPMorgan said in a research note that the Turkish central bank may cut its policy rate in November and December, keeping its year-end policy rate forecast of 45%. IndonesiaIndonesia's central bank kept its benchmark policy rate at 6% in its recent meeting.
Persons: EIU, Jerome Powell, LSEG, Nomura, Perry Warjiyo, CNBC's JP Ong, BOK, Goldman Sachs, Goohoon Kwon, Kwon Organizations: Getty, Economist Intelligence Unit, Bank of Japan, United, United States U.S, Federal, Fed, European Central Bank, ECB, Swiss National Bank, UBS, Bank of Canada, Bank of, JPMorgan, Reserve Bank of, ANZ, New Zealand Auckland Savings Bank, Bank, Bank Indonesia, BMI, Fitch Solutions, U.S, Oxford Economics, Macquarie Locations: Czech, China, Japan, United States, Switzerland Swiss, Bank of Canada, Turkey, Turkish, Reserve Bank of Australia, New, Indonesia, South Korea, Asia
Some of Japan's biggest companies are expected to formally offer sizeable pay increases at annual talks with unions that wrap up on Wednesday, clearing the way for the central bank to end negative interest rates as early as next week. Some of Japan's biggest companies are expected to formally offer sizeable pay increases at annual talks with unions that wrap up on Wednesday, clearing the way for the central bank to end negative interest rates as early as next week. Economists see substantial wage increases as a prerequisite for the Bank of Japan, or BOJ, to declare that its long-held goals of sustainable wage growth and stable prices are in sight and usher in an end to negative rates in place since 2016. As a result, some analysts expect this year's wage increases at 5% or more, from just under 4% previously. Unions across industries, including automobiles, electronics, metals, heavy machinery and the service sector have all demanded hefty pay hikes.
Organizations: Toyota Motor, Japan's, Bank of Japan, Workers Locations: Toyota, Nagoya, Japan
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Despite high inflation, the BOJ hasn't really shifted from its ultra-loose monetary policy that has been in place in 2016. Rate cut pivot in 2024Central banks worldwide could make a rate cut pivot in 2024. Boeing crisis hurt airlinesCEOs from several airlines say Boeing's delivery delays have forced the carriers to change their growth plans.
Persons: Thomas Calomiris Organizations: Washington , DC, CNBC, Japan's Nikkei, Dow, Nasdaq, Bank of Japan, Economist Intelligence, Boeing, Alaska Airlines Max, Southwest Airlines, Alaska Airlines, United Locations: Washington ,, Asia, BOJ, Central, Beijing
Speculation is swirling that the Bank of Japan may move to exit the world's last negative rate policy as early as next week, when policymakers gather for their March meeting. "We continue to expect that the BOJ will terminate NIRP in April," Goldman Sachs economists led by Tomohiro Ota wrote in a Tuesday note, referring to the negative interest rate policy. "While a March rate hike cannot be ruled out, we believe that the BOJ's communications at this juncture are not clear enough to justify assuming the March hike as the base case scenario." "The Bank of Japan has no right to keep monetary policy where [they are now]. The economy is not in any shape or form to have that ultra-loose monetary policy and quantitative easing, which we have been calling a major policy error," Amir Anvarzadeh, a market strategist at Asymmetric Advisors, told CNBC Tuesday.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Tomohiro Ota, Kazuo Ueda, Amir Anvarzadeh Organizations: Bank of Japan, Asymmetric Advisors, CNBC Locations: NIRP, Japan
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWage growth in Japan is a good milestone for sustainable inflation, says Tomohiro OtaTomohiro Ota, Senior Japan Economist at Goldman Sachs, discusses how wage hikes by several companies impacts the Bank of Japan and equities.
Persons: Tomohiro Ota Tomohiro, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Senior Japan, Goldman, Bank of Japan Locations: Japan, Tomohiro Ota Tomohiro Ota
TOKYO (AP) — Asian shares mostly rose Wednesday, encouraged by a record rally on Wall Street that was led by technology companies. Speculation is rife that Japan's central bank is getting ready to end its super-easy monetary policy, which has set interest rates below zero, and start raising rates. Photos You Should See View All 60 ImagesOn Wall Street, the S&P 500 jumped 1.1% to top its all-time high set last week. The worse-than-expected data kept the door closed for long-sought cuts to interest rates at the Federal Reserve meeting next week. On Wall Street, big technology stocks did heavy lifting.
Persons: Australia's, Korea's Kospi, , Tim Waterer, Brian Jacobsen, Chris Larkin, Morgan Stanley, ” Larkin, , Dow, Brent Organizations: TOKYO, Nikkei, Bank of, KCM, U.S, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Federal Reserve, Annex Wealth Management, Fed, Treasury, Oracle, Nvidia Locations: Hong, Shanghai, Wall
Dollar on guard; BOJ speculation keeps yen supported
  + stars: | 2024-03-12 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
Against the dollar, the euro retreated from a roughly two-month high hit last week and last bought $1.0931. The Australian dollar rose 0.01% to $0.6615, while the New Zealand dollar edged 0.02% lower to $0.61685. The dollar index was little changed at 102.80, having hit a roughly two-month low of 102.33 last week. Over in Asia, swirling speculation that the BOJ could move away from its ultra-easy policy settings at its policy meeting next week kept the yen supported. Against the dollar, the yen steadied at 146.94, not far from Friday's one-month top of 146.48.
Persons: bitcoin, Ray Attrill, Jerome Powell, We're, NAB's, there'll, Shunichi Suzuki Organizations: Bank of Japan, Sterling, greenback, Federal Reserve, National Australia Bank, NAB, New Zealand, country's Finance Locations: Asia, Japan
Yen gains as bets firm for imminent rate hike; sterling slides
  + stars: | 2024-03-11 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
In this photo illustration, the man is holding several U.S. dollar bills with some Chinese yuan in the background. Sterling pulled back sharply from a multi-month high, following its best week since November of 2022, amid bets the Bank of England will be slower to cut rates than the Fed or European Central Bank. The greenback eased 0.17% to 146.82 yen , heading back toward the five-week low of 146.48 reached on Friday. The next Fed meeting runs March 19-20. The ECB left rates at record highs last Thursday while cautiously laying the ground to lower them later this year.
Persons: Sterling, Jerome Powell's, bitcoin Organizations: Bank of Japan, Federal Reserve, Bank of England, European Central Bank, Westpac, Fed, ECB
Japan averted a technical recession as revised official data on Monday showed the economy returned to growth in the the October-December period last year. Japan's gross domestic product expanded 0.4% in the fourth quarter compared with a year earlier. Provisional data last month had showed GDP contracting 0.4%. The Japanese economy also expanded 0.1% in the fourth quarter from the previous three months, compared with the provisional data that showed a 0.1% contraction. The economy had shrunk 0.8% in the third quarter from the previous three months.
Persons: Kazuo Ueda Organizations: Provisional, Bank of Japan, Ministry of Finance, Reuters, Bank of Locations: Japan, Bank of Japan
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWe expect the Bank of Japan to exit negative rates in April: Macquarie Group strategistThierry Wizman, global interest rates and currencies strategist at Macquarie Group, discusses how wage growth in Japan could affect the central bank's monetary policy.
Persons: Thierry Wizman Organizations: Bank of Japan, Macquarie Group Locations: Japan
U.S. equities aren't the only ones on a bull run — the Japanese stock market is also enjoying an upward climb. "It is the case that the Japanese stock market remains almost exclusively driven by foreign money," Jefferies head of global equity strategy Christopher Wood wrote in a March 7 note. According to Wood, foreign investors now own almost a third of the Japanese stock market, a dramatic rise from the 4% level in 1989, when the asset bubble reached its peak. Morgan Stanley noted that quality stocks have outperformed the broader market so far in 2024. Transitioning out of deflation Rate policy has been another big factor in the recent market rally.
Persons: Jefferies, Christopher Wood, Wood, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Makoto Furukawa, Ryota Sakagami, Citi's Sakagami Organizations: Nikkei, Global, Retailing, Holdings, Toyota Motor, Subaru, Mitsubishi, Citi, Japan, U.S, Bank of Locations: Japan, U.S, Tokyo, Bank of Japan
Tokyo Reuters —Japan’s economy expanded at an annualized clip of 0.4% in October to December from the previous quarter, better than the initial estimate for a 0.4% contraction, government data showed on Monday. The revised figure for gross domestic product (GDP) released by the Cabinet Office compared with economists’ median forecast for a 1.1% uptick in a Reuters poll. The fresh data meant Japan’s economy, now the world’s fourth-largest behind Germany, avoided a technical recession thanks to companies’ stronger-than-expected spending on plants and equipments. On a quarter-on-quarter basis, GDP grew 0.1%, compared with the initial 0.1.% drop reading and a median forecast for a 0.3% rise. Meanwhile, private consumption, which makes up about 60% of Japan’s economy, fell 0.3% in October to December, slightly worse than the 0.2% drop in the initial estimate.
Organizations: Tokyo Reuters, Bank of Japan Locations: Tokyo, Germany, Japan
Dollar ends week under pressure as data keeps rate cut hopes alive
  + stars: | 2024-03-08 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
The unemployment rate rose to 3.9% in February after holding at 3.7% for three straight months, the data showed. The euro got a lift this week as the dollar came under pressure after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell sounded more confident about cutting interest rates in coming months. Currencies typically weaken if central banks lower interest rates. Against the yen, the dollar was 0.68% lower at 147.05 yen, its weakest since Feb. 2. Firming hopes that interest rates in the U.S. and Europe will start to fall in June also helped prop up the risk-sensitive Australian and New Zealand dollars.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Stuart Cole, Cole, Powell, Lindsey Bell, Kathleen Brooks, Sterling, BoE, Firming, bitcoin Organizations: Federal Reserve, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Equiti, ECB, Federal, Ventures, Bank of, Reuters, European Central Bank, U.S . Federal, Bank of England, New Locations: Japan, Charlotte , North Carolina, Bank of Japan, U.S, Europe, New Zealand
Dollar a spectator to China news, yen ponders rate risks
  + stars: | 2024-03-05 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
There was more action in bitcoin , which gained 1.2% to $68,341 after surging more than 7% on Monday. The Japanese yen held steady after data showed Tokyo core inflation sped up to 2.5% in February, from 1.8% the previous month. "Accordingly, we're sticking to our forecast that the Bank of Japan will hike interest rates into positive territory next month." The dollar was a fraction lower at 150.44 yen , having again shied away from resistance around 150.85, which has capped the currency for more than three months now. The European Central Bank, or ECB, holds a meeting on Thursday and markets are convinced it will keep rates at 4.0%.
Persons: Marcel Thieliant, Jerome Powell, Sterling, Jeremy Hunt Organizations: People's Congress, Bank of Japan's, Capital Economics, Bank of, Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, ECB, Westpac, . Finance Locations: China, Tokyo, Japan, bitcoin, United States, Beijing, Asia, Bank of Japan
Koll was referring to the asset and equity bubble Japan saw in the late 80s, which resulted in the Nikkei hitting its 1989 highs. In July last year, Koll told CNBC's "Street Signs Asia" he expected the Nikkei to hit 40,000 "over the next 12 months." watch nowWhen asked what drives his optimism, Koll told CNBC on Monday that it was in part due to Japan's ability to be a "capital value-creating superpower." There is no question that Japanese 'salarymen CEOs' created more fundamental economic value than Wall Street's superstar CEOs. He said Japanese CEOs are the "undisputed global champions of delivering on the hard part, true economic value creation."
Persons: Jesper Koll, Koll, CNBC's, Fumio Kishida, Wall, Warren Buffett, Berkshire Hathaway Organizations: Nikkei, Monex Group, CNBC, Bank, Monex, Wall, Berkshire, Mitsubishi, Mitsui, Sumitomo Locations: Tokyo, Japan, Itochu
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