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China Daily via REUTERS/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsBEIJING, Oct 31 (Reuters) - China's manufacturing activity unexpectedly contracted in October, an official factory survey showed on Tuesday, underlining the challenge facing policymakers trying to engineer a durable economic recovery. Recent indicators pointed to encouraging signs of stabilising in the world's second-largest economy, supported by a flurry of policy support measures, although a protracted property crisis and soft global demand remain major headwinds. "Although there are signs of exports bottoming out, a strong recovery in external demand is probably elusive," he added. But analysts say more policy support may be needed to ensure the economy reaches Beijing's annual growth target of about 5%. "The additional 1 trillion yuan will help in November and December," Economist Intelligence Unit's Xu said.
Persons: Xu Tianchen, Dan Wang, Nomura, Unit's Xu, Joe Cash, Sam Holmes Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, National Bureau, Statistics, PMI, Economist Intelligence Unit, Hang Seng Bank China, JPMorgan, Moody's, Thomson Locations: Hangzhou, Zhejiang province, China, Rights BEIJING
REUTERS/Kim Kyung-Hoon/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsNov 1 (Reuters) - A look at the day ahead in Asian markets from Jamie McGeever, financial markets columnist. But Asian markets' first chance to react to that will be Thursday. But if the yuan is under pressure, it is nothing compared to the onslaught Japan's yen is facing. The currency and bond market reactions to the BOJ's policy tweak could not have been more different - the yen fell the most since April, while Japanese bond yields surged to a fresh decade-high. World, U.S. and Asian stocks all fell for a third month in a row, bond yields surged and financial conditions tightened significantly.
Persons: Kim Kyung, Jamie McGeever, China's Organizations: National Printing Bureau, Bank of Japan, REUTERS, U.S . Federal, U.S, Treasury, PMI, Tuesday, China PMI, Indonesia CPI, Thomson, Reuters Locations: Tokyo, Japan, Asia, India, South Korea, Indonesia, Korean, Hong Kong, China
People walk in front of the bank of Japan building in Tokyo, Japan, April 7, 2023. REUTERS/Androniki Christodoulou/ File photo Acquire Licensing RightsOct 31 (Reuters) - A look at the day ahead in Asian markets from Jamie McGeever, financial markets columnist. Will the BOJ spook markets on Halloween and the final trading day of the month by effectively tightening monetary policy further with another tweak to its 'yield curve control' policy? Inflation in Japan has finally taken off, and for the first time in decades, appears to be sticking well above 2%. Here are key developments that could provide more direction to markets on Tuesday:- Bank of Japan policy decision- China PMIs (October)- Japan unemployment, industrial production, retail sales (September)By Jamie McGeever;Our Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Persons: Androniki, Jamie McGeever, Will, Government Bonds, China PMIs Organizations: REUTERS, Bank of, U.S . Federal, Bank of England, Nikkei, Japan, Government, PMI, Bank of Japan, Thomson, Reuters Locations: Japan, Tokyo, Hong Kong, Taiwan, China
Euro, Hong Kong dollar, U.S. dollar, Japanese yen, British pound and Chinese 100-yuan banknotes are seen in a picture illustration shot January 21, 2016. A PMI data deluge, inflation figures in the euro zone and U.S. nonfarm payrolls also add to the mix of the event-packed week. "I think for the FOMC and the Bank of England, they will be pretty low key with them leaving interest rates on hold. The BOJ meeting will be the most interesting one (given) heightened speculation over a policy tweak at this meeting." The yen was last 0.1% lower at 149.75 per dollar, getting a slight reprieve after having struck a one-year trough of 150.78 per dollar last week.
Persons: Jason Lee, nonfarm payrolls, Carol Kong, Israel, Chris Weston, Christian Scherrmann, Rae Wee, Muralikumar Organizations: Hong, REUTERS, Rights, Bank of, U.S . Federal Reserve, Bank of England, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, New Zealand, Aussie, Fed, Thomson Locations: Hong Kong, Rights SINGAPORE, Bank of Japan, Gaza's, Palestinian, U.S
A Chinese bank employee counts 100-yuan notes and U.S. dollar bills at a bank counter in Nantong in China's eastern Jiangsu province on August 6, 2019. The dollar inched broadly higher in cautious trade on Monday and held near 150 yen as traders looked to a policy decision by the Bank of Japan later in the week, alongside other major central bank meetings and a slew of economic data releases globally. A PMI data deluge, inflation figures in the euro zone and U.S. nonfarm payrolls also add to the mix of the event-packed week. "I think for the FOMC and the Bank of England, they will be pretty low key with them leaving interest rates on hold. The yen was last 0.1% lower at 149.75 per dollar, getting a slight reprieve after having struck a one-year trough of 150.78 per dollar last week.
Persons: nonfarm payrolls, Carol Kong, Israel, Chris Weston, Christian Scherrmann Organizations: Bank of, U.S . Federal Reserve, Bank of England, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, New Zealand, Aussie, Fed Locations: Nantong, China's, Jiangsu, Bank of Japan, Gaza's, Palestinian, U.S
The Federal Reserve meeting and October jobs report are on the docket next week as investors wrap up a brutal month for markets. Both the S & P 500 and Nasdaq Composite slid into correction territory this week following some disappointing megacap tech reports. "I suspect that the Fed is not going to comfort the market," said James Camp, managing director at Eagle Asset Management. Many investors expect stocks could remain choppy until the markets gain clarity on when the Fed will start to cut rates. Jobs report Investors will get another look into the labor market next week soon after the Fed decision.
Persons: Jerome Powell, James Camp, Dave Sekera, Sekera, Dow Jones, Nick Galluccio, you'll, Powell, Charlie Ripley, Ripley, Galluccio, we've, Eli Lilly Organizations: Reserve, Nasdaq, Eagle Asset Management, Fed, Teton Advisors, Treasury, Asset, Apple, Investors, Allianz Investment Management, Advisors, Dallas Fed, Simon Property, Semiconductor, Western, ECI Civilian Workers, Chicago PMI, Devices, Caesars Entertainment, Pfizer, GE Healthcare Technologies, Caterpillar, ADP, PMI, Manufacturing, Costco Wholesale, Qualcomm, Cruise Line Holdings, Brands, Labor, Factory, News Corp, Booking Holdings, Paramount Global, Moderna, Jobs, Services PMI, Health Locations: U.S, FactSet, Chicago
London CNN —The European Central Bank (ECB) held off raising interest rates Thursday for the first time in 15 months as evidence mounts of a deepening economic downturn in Europe. The ECB kept the benchmark interest rate in the 20 countries that use the euro at 4%, its highest level since the launch of the currency in 1999. The decision to pause after 10 consecutive rate hikes follows a series of data showing a continued decline in inflation and a further slowdown in economic activity. A survey published Tuesday of euro area companies in manufacturing and services showed a steep decline in output as demand weakened. “There is much to suggest that a recession in Germany is well underway,” de la Rubia said this week.
Persons: , Cyrus de la Rubia, la Rubia Organizations: London CNN, European Central Bank, ECB, Companies, Hamburg Commercial Bank, Global, PMI Locations: Europe, Hamburg, ” Germany, Europe’s, Germany
MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan (.MIAPJ0000PUS) rose 0.9% and the Hang Seng (.HSI) 2%. China's top parliament approved a 1 trillion yuan ($137 billion) bond issue, state media reported adding the funds would be spent rebuilding disaster zones and improving infrastructure. Investors pulled forward European rate cut expectations a little and the euro was nursing losses at $1.0594. The annual pace of inflation in Australia slowed in the third quarter, but at 5.4% was above forecasts of 5.3%. Oil fell in commodity trade on Tuesday, thanks to the weak economic data from Europe, and was nursing losses on Wednesday.
Persons: Dado Ruvic, hawkish, Bonds, Steven Leung, UOB Kay Hian, Leung, Glenn Yin, Lincoln Organizations: REUTERS, Japan's Nikkei, Treasury, Central, Central Huijin, Investors, 25bp, ANZ, Brent, AETOS Capital Group, U.S . Securities, Exchange Commission, Thomson Locations: China, SINGAPORE, Asia, Pacific, Japan, Tokyo, U.S, Hong Kong, Central, Australia, Europe, Melbourne, United States, Russia, Israel, Gaza, BlackRock
Weak euro zone lending adds to recession fears
  + stars: | 2023-10-25 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
A view shows the logo of the European Central Bank (ECB) outside its headquarters in Frankfurt, Germany March 16, 2023. REUTERS/Heiko Becker/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsFRANKFURT, Oct 25 (Reuters) - Bank lending across the euro zone came to a near standstill last month, European Central Bank data showed on Wednesday, providing further evidence that the 20-nation bloc was skirting a recession. Still, detailed data suggest that underlying trends may be more nuanced as the monthly flow of fresh loans was a positive 14.0 billion euros, reversing much of the previous month's negative 19.9 billion euro reading. Lending is taking a hit after a string of interest rate hikes took the ECB's key rate to a record high 4% last month, all in the hope this would depress activity enough for inflation to return to 2%. Lending to households meanwhile rose by just 0.8% after a 1.0% increase in August with the monthly flow of loans at a positive 4.5 billion euros, ECB data showed.
Persons: Heiko Becker, Balazs Koranyi, Francesco Canepa Organizations: European Central Bank, REUTERS, Rights, Bank, PMI, Thomson Locations: Frankfurt, Germany
Morning Bid: Megacaps scatter in the cloud
  + stars: | 2023-10-25 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +5 min
Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., September 28, 2023. But after the S&P500 staged an impressive 0.7% bounce on Tuesday, futures were back in the red again ahead of the open. The negativity cut across what was otherwise a more upbeat macro picture and a calmer bond market following recent ructions. Chinese developer Country Garden (2007.HK) is deemed in default on a dollar bond for the first time, Bloomberg News reported. They do not reflect the views of Reuters News, which, under the Trust Principles, is committed to integrity, independence, and freedom from bias.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, Mike Dolan, Alphabet's, Microsoft's, Baker Hughes, Teradyne, Hess, Jerome Powell, Barbara Lewis Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Big Tech, Google, Microsoft, Meta, IBM, Boeing, Bloomberg News, Treasury, Bank of Canada, Deutsche Bank, United Health, General Dynamics, Whirlpool, Otis, Hilton, U.S, Reuters, PMI, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, HK, United States, Europe, Worldline, Germany, Ameriprise, EQT, Washington
HCOB's flash euro zone Composite Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI), compiled by S&P Global and seen as a good guide to overall economic health, fell to 46.5 in October from September's 47.2, its lowest since November 2020. "In the euro zone, things are moving from bad to worse," said Cyrus de la Rubia, chief economist at Hamburg Commercial Bank. "We wouldn't be caught off guard to see a mild recession in the euro zone in the second half of this year with two back to back quarters of negative growth." While the 20-country euro zone will narrowly dodge a recession, according to a recent Reuters poll, the economy was expected to have only flatlined last quarter and will do the same again in the current one. The composite employment index fell to 49.4 from 50.8.
Persons: Sarah Meyssonnier, Cyrus de la Rubia, Rubia, Jonathan Cable, Hugh Lawson Organizations: Carrefour, REUTERS, P Global, Hamburg Commercial Bank, Service, PMI, Reuters, Thomson Locations: Montesson, Paris, France, September's, Hamburg
Dollar dips ahead of key U.S. data, bitcoin soars
  + stars: | 2023-10-24 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
The dollar softened against a basket of currencies on Tuesday, mirroring a dip in Treasuries yields as investors awaited key U.S. economic data before the Federal Reserve's monetary policy meeting next week. The dollar index last sat around 105.57, having lost over 0.5% in the previous session as U.S. Treasury yields tumbled. Bitcoin returned the market spotlight with the virtual currency soaring on speculation that the United States could soon approve a bitcoin exchange-traded fund. The PMI data could set the market expectations ahead of the GDP report, said Matt Simpson, senior market analyst at City Index. Traders see the 150 threshold as a possible line-in-the-sand for Japanese authorities to intervene in the currency market.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Bitcoin, Matt Simpson, Kyle Rodda, bitcoin Organizations: Federal, Treasury, PMI, Fed, European Central Bank, Traders, Capital.com Locations: United States
The HCOB German Flash Composite Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI), compiled by S&P Global, fell to 45.8 in October from September's 46.4, below the 46.7 forecast by economists. A reading below the 50 level points to a contraction in business activity. The composite PMI index tracks the services and manufacturing sectors that together account for more than two-thirds of the German economy, Europe's biggest. Business activity in the services sector was unexpectedly back in contraction territory after slight growth the month before, with the reading falling to 48.0 from 50.3 in September. Well there are, especially in the manufacturing sector," said de la Rubia, pointing to improvements in new orders and output, as well as an increase in stocks of purchases.
Persons: Wolfgang Rattay, Cyrus de la Rubia, la, Miranda Murray, Hugh Lawson Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, P Global, Hamburg Commercial Bank, PMI, Reuters, Thomson Locations: ThyssenKrupp, Duisburg, Germany, September's, Hamburg
MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan (.MIAPJ0000PUS) was 0.28% lower at 473.37, having touched 472.73 - the lowest since November 2022. China shares remained under pressure, with the Shanghai Composite Index (.SSEC) 0.32% higher, while Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index (.HSI) slid 0.5%. China's blue-chip CSI300 Index (.CSI300) was 0.2% higher after closing at its lowest level in 4-1/2 years on Monday. The dollar index was 0.038% lower at 105.56. The Japanese currency was last at 149.62 per dollar, having hit the symbolic 150 level on both Friday and Monday.
Persons: Tyrone Siu, Hong, Gary Dugan, bitcoin, Chris Weston, Jamie Freed Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, U.S . Federal Reserve, Nikkei, Shanghai, Dalma, Microsoft, Facebook, U.S . Commerce Department, Treasury, West Texas, Brent, Thomson Locations: Exchange, Hong Kong, China, Rights SINGAPORE, Asia, Israel, Pacific, Japan, Britain, France, United States
Morning Bid: Bitcoin is back, stocks wobble
  + stars: | 2023-10-24 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
A bitcoin is seen in an illustration picture taken at La Maison du Bitcoin in Paris, France, June 23, 2017. Treasuries remain in the headlines with yields on 10-year notes briefly hitting 5% on Monday before quickly declining. The Japanese currency was at 149.57 per dollar having touched the symbolic 150 level on Friday and on Monday. Meanwhile, bitcoin prices soared on the back of rising speculation about the possibility of a bitcoin exchange-traded fund. Reuters GraphicsReuters GraphicsKey developments that could influence markets on Tuesday:Economic events: Oct flash PMI for Germany, France, UK and Euro zone; UK August ILO unemployment rateEarnings: Barclays, Puma, Microsoft and Google-parent Alphabet.
Persons: Benoit Tessier, Ankur Banerjee, Treasuries, Sam Holmes Organizations: La Maison du, REUTERS, Ankur, Microsoft, Google, Barclays, ICE, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Puma, Thomson Locations: La, Paris, France, Israel, Europe, Asia, Pacific, Japan, Britain, United States, Germany
In the United States, the manufacturing sector pulled out of a five-month contraction on a pickup in new orders, and services activity accelerated modestly amid signs of easing inflationary pressures. HEADACHE FOR THE ECBIn the euro zone, business activity drooped as demand fell in a broad-based downturn across the region, causing the bloc to enter the fourth quarter on the wrong foot and suggesting it may slip into recession. "The flash PMIs mark a poor start to October for the euro zone, especially after showing some early signs of recovery in September," said Rory Fennessy at Oxford Economics. Suggesting a recession is well underway in Germany, Europe's largest economy, business activity contracted there for a fourth straight month as the downturn in manufacturing was matched by a renewed decline in services, its PMI showed. In France, the euro zone's second-largest economy, business activity remained in contraction territory in October, PMI data showed, improving just slightly from September's near three-year low.
Persons: Rebecca Cook, Chris Williamson, Christine Lagarde's, Rory Fennessy, Williamson, Ajay Banga, Dan Burns, Jonathan Cable, Lindsay Dunsmuir, Andrea Ricci Organizations: Ford Rouge Electric Vehicle, REUTERS, P Global, Composite, Federal, Commerce Department, Reuters, P, P Global Market Intelligence, P Global PMI, September's, European Central Bank, Oxford Economics, PMI, European Union, Bank of, Palestinian, Hamas, Thomson Locations: Dearborn , Michigan, U.S, United States, joblessness, Germany, Europe's, France, September's, Britain, Gaza, Ukraine
REUTERS/Toru Hanai/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsTOKYO, Oct 24 (Reuters) - Japan's factory activity shrank for a fifth straight month in October while the service sector saw its weakest growth this year, a survey showed on Tuesday, amid growing uncertainty over the outlook for the world's third-largest economy. The au Jibun Bank flash Japan manufacturing purchasing managers' index (PMI) remained flat at 48.5 in October. However, the October PMI data indicated further softening in the service sector, which anchored Japanese economy over recent quarters. The au Jibun Bank flash services PMI fell further to 51.1 in October from 53.8 in September last month, marking the slowest rate of growth since the beginning of this year. The au Jibun Bank Flash Japan composite PMI, which combines both manufacturing and service sector activity, fell to 49.9 in October from 52.1 in September, dropping below into contractionary territory for the first time since December.
Persons: Toru Hanai, Jingyi, Satoshi Sugiyama, Sam Holmes Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, PMI, P Global Market Intelligence, Jibun Bank Flash Japan, Thomson Locations: Kawasaki, Japan
Dollar dips ahead of key US data, bitcoin soars
  + stars: | 2023-10-24 | by ( Brigid Riley | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +3 min
REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File photo Acquire Licensing RightsTOKYO, Oct 24 (Reuters) - The dollar softened against a basket of currencies on Tuesday, mirroring a dip in Treasuries yields as investors awaited key U.S. economic data before the Federal Reserve's monetary policy meeting next week. The dollar index last sat around 105.57, having lost over 0.5% in the previous session as U.S. Treasury yields tumbled. Bitcoin returned the market spotlight with the virtual currency soaring on speculation that the United States could soon approve a bitcoin exchange-traded fund. The PMI data could set the market expectations ahead of the GDP report, said Matt Simpson, senior market analyst at City Index. Traders see the 150 threshold as a possible line-in-the-sand for Japanese authorities to intervene in the currency market.
Persons: Dado Ruvic, Jerome Powell, Bitcoin, Matt Simpson, Kyle Rodda, bitcoin, Brigid Riley, Sam Holmes Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, Federal, Treasury, PMI, Fed, European Central Bank, Traders, Capital.com, Thomson Locations: United States
REUTERS/Issei Kato Acquire Licensing RightsOct 24 (Reuters) - A look at the day ahead in Asian markets from Jamie McGeever, financial markets columnist. September's PMIs showed that manufacturing activity in Japan and Australia shrank and services sector activity grew, although growth in Japan was the slowest this year. The big picture, however, is still dominated by the ebb and flow of the U.S. Treasuries market. And while a broad easing of financial conditions on Monday - lower Treasury yields and a weaker dollar - should support emerging market assets, Wall Street's late downward drift will warrant caution. The MSCI Asia ex-Japan and MSCI global emerging market indexes are both down around 13% over the past three months and on Monday both hit their lowest level since Nov. 11 last year.
Persons: Issei Kato, Jamie McGeever, bode, Michele Bullock, September's PMIs, Wall, Goldman Sachs, outflows, Goldman, Josie Kao Organizations: REUTERS, Reserve Bank of Australia, Nasdaq, Bank of Japan, PMI, Thomson, Reuters Locations: Tokyo, Japan, U.S, Korean, Australia, Asia, China, South Korea
A man is reflected on an electric stock quotation board outside a brokerage in Tokyo, Japan April 18, 2023. REUTERS/Issei Kato Acquire Licensing RightsOct 23 (Reuters) - A look at the day ahead in Asian markets from Jamie McGeever, financial markets columnist. The ICE BofA Treasuries index fell 1.4% last week, its biggest fall since May, and is at an eight-year low. Perhaps ominously, however, Friday's bond market relief didn't ease the pressure elsewhere - Wall Street's three main indices still closed 0.9%-1.5% lower. According to Goldman Sachs, financial conditions in emerging markets and globally are the tightest in almost a year.
Persons: Issei Kato, Jamie McGeever, Treasuries, That's, Goldman Sachs, Pan Gongsheng, September's, Diane Craft Organizations: REUTERS, ICE, Traders, Bank of Japan, Australian PMI, PMI, Thomson, Reuters Locations: Tokyo, Japan, U.S, South Korea, Australia, Singapore, Asia, China, Australian
Before writing off real estate as too expensive to invest in, you'll want to consider all of your options. Here's how it works and how you can use one to buy real estate and start building long-term wealth. How everyday people have leveraged FHA loans to buy property and build wealthBoston-based investor Karina Mejia used an FHA loan to buy her first property at age 22 . It's a joke but it is solid advice: Before you actually get married, you should each use your own FHA loan." You can get your foot in the door without too much upfront cash by using an FHA loan."
Persons: Ludomir Wanot, witxh, Wanot, Karina Mejia, Sasha, It's, Mejia, Avery Heilbron, Heilbron, Jervais, Jim Resonable, That's Organizations: Federal Housing Association, Evergreen Housing, Ludomir, Seattle, Department of Veterans Affairs Locations: Seattle, Boston, Georgia, North Carolina, North Carolina , California
Major earnings reports and economic data will be in focus next week as investors seek clarity on how the Federal Reserve will proceed from here. But next week will bring the lion's share of results including reports from mega-cap darlings Alphabet, Amazon , Meta Platforms and Microsoft . While the S & P 500 is higher by 10% in 2023, the equal-weighted index is down slightly. Of note, Tesla shares sank more than 9% on Thursday following a pessimistic economic outlook from CEO Elon Musk during the company's earnings call. Its the S & P 500's first weekly loss in three weeks.
Persons: bode, Elon Musk, We're, Sam Stovall, it's, Raphael Bostic, Ed Clissold, Ned Davis, Clissold, Katie Stockton, Rob Ginsberg, I'm, CFRA's Stovall, Stovall, Sherwin, Williams, Kimberly, Hess, Raymond James Financial, Keurig Dr Pepper, Northrop, Willis Towers Watson, Stanley Black, Rowe Price Organizations: Federal Reserve, Microsoft, Investors, CFRA, Dow Jones, Treasury, Fed, Atlanta Federal Reserve, Ned, Ned Davis Research, Wolfe Research, Chicago, P, PMI, P Global PMI Manufacturing, P Global PMI Services, Richmond Fed, Visa, Texas Instruments, General Electric, NextEra Energy, Raytheon Technologies, Dow, Inc, General Motors, Halliburton, Coca, Corning, Hilton Worldwide, General Dynamics, Dominion Freight, Mobile US, Boeing, Raymond, Technology, Whirlpool, International Business Machines, O'Reilly, Honeywell, Northrop Grumman, Mastercard, Amazon, Royal Caribbean Group, Tractor Supply, United Parcel Service, Hasbro, Southwest Airlines, Comcast, Hershey, Intel, L3Harris Technologies, Ford Motor, Energy, Chevron, Decker, Exxon Mobil, Colgate, Palmolive Locations: U.S, Atlanta, AbbVie
REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsOct 19 (Reuters) - Philip Morris International (PMI) on Thursday raised its annual profit forecast as its third quarter earnings beat expectations thanks to higher cigarette prices, demand for its heated tobacco products, and rapid growth of its oral nicotine product ZYN. PMI's core smoke-free tobacco product, however, is its IQOS heated tobacco device and the tobacco sticks used with it. The company said heated tobacco shipment volumes had increased 18% during the quarter, but its full-year forecast assumed these would be lower than previously expected. It said this was due to a delayed market launch in Taiwan, limited growth in Russia and Ukraine and inventory uncertainty in Europe amid incoming regulations on heated tobacco flavours. PMI also tempered its revenue expectations for the full year.
Persons: Philip Morris, Dado Ruvic, ZYN, Jacek Olczak, IQOS, Juveria Tabassum, Emma Rumney, Chizu Nomiyama, Kirsten Donovan Organizations: Philip Morris International, REUTERS, Swedish, PMI, Thomson Locations: Taiwan, Russia, Ukraine
Jeffrey Kleintop warned of a "cardboard-box recession" and a credit crunch for small businesses. Charles Schwab's top global strategist flagged a services slowdown and predicted stubborn inflation. (Kleintop warned that inflation has rarely plunged and stayed flat and low in past cycles, and suggested a period of higher, more volatile price growth was likely.) "We don't know how deep and how broad this is. It's one of those things where you just don't know how many things could get broken when it starts to move."
Persons: Jeffrey Kleintop, Charles Schwab's, Taylor Swift, , Kleintop, Walt, Banks, It's, We've, it's Organizations: Service, Walt Disney, Bloomberg, PMI Locations: , Florida, Japan
AdvertisementAdvertisementThe stock market is poised to disappoint investors over the coming months and into next year because S&P 500 earnings growth estimates are too optimistic, according to JPMorgan's quant guru Marko Kolanovic. Wall Street consensus expects S&P 500 earnings per share to deliver 4% year-over-year growth in the third-quarter, according to the note. Kolanovic doesn't expect much to change in 2024, arguing that Wall Street analysts are still too optimistic about the potential for earnings growth. Consensus estimates suggests that the S&P 500 will grow its earnings per share by 12% next year. Kolanovic is sticking by his year-end S&P 500 price target of 4,200, pointing to potential downside of 4% from current levels.
Persons: JPMorgan's, Marko Kolanovic, Kolanovic, Organizations: Service, PMI, Federal Reserve
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