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Why gold prices are at record highs
  + stars: | 2024-04-09 | by ( John Towfighi | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +6 min
Central banks see gold as a long-term store of value and a safe haven during times of economic and international turmoil. When interest rates fall, gold prices tend to rise, as bullion becomes more appealing than income-paying assets like bonds. Investors also regard gold as a hedge against inflation, betting bullion will retain its value when prices rise. The People’s Bank of China bought gold for the 17th straight month in March, adding 160,000 ounces to bring reserves to 72.74 million troy ounces of gold, according to Reuters. Higher oil prices are likely to stoke concerns over inflation, boosting gold prices, according to the UBS research note.
Persons: China —, Ulf Lindahl, Lindahl, Morgan, JP Morgan, Janet Yellen’s, Yellen, Mark Zandi, Jerome Powell, Wells, Richard Galanti, It’s Organizations: New, New York CNN, Investors, Federal Reserve, China, People’s Bank of China, Reuters, UBS, Research Associates, Moody’s, of Commerce, Costco Locations: New York, China, India, Turkey, Central, Wells Fargo
But there is a growing threat to that sunny economic backdrop: surging oil prices. Global oil prices are flirting with $92 a barrel amid worries about a wider war in the Middle East. US oil prices surged above $87 a barrel late last week for the first time since late October, leaving them up about 21% this year. First, drone attacks on oil refineries deep inside Russia helped lift oil prices last month. Beyond the Middle East tensions, oil and gas prices have been boosted by OPEC and its allies, which continue to restrain supply.
Persons: , , Mark Zandi, Moody’s, Donald Trump, Trump, ” Zandi, hasn’t, Andy Lipow, Brent, ” Helima Croft, Joe Brusuelas, ” Brusuelas, Brusuelas, Vincent Reinhart, Mellon, ” Reinhart, he’s, Patrick De Haan, ” De Haan Organizations: New, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, Wall, CNN, , Iranian Revolutionary Guards, Lipow Oil Associates, CIA, RBC Capital Markets, RSM, AAA, OPEC, Lipow Locations: New York, Iran, Russia, Syria, Israel, Quds,
Thousands of residents and visitors viewed the event from the baseball field at Hidalgo de Dolores Elementary School. Residents began renting out their homes after area hotels reached capacity. ET Cuatro Ciénegas Amid a vast landscape of gypsum dune fields — formed over millions of years — spectators viewed the eclipse. ET Dallas Crowds set up their picnic blankets alongside the Trinity River, which runs through Dallas, one of the largest cities to experience the total eclipse. ET Russellville More than 100 couples were married in a giant ceremony just minutes before the eclipse, during the Total Eclipse of the Heart festival.
Persons: — Dennis Overbye, Andrés Manuel López Obrador, ” Federico Garza, , David Bowie, Pink Floyd, Sun Ra, Taylor Swift Organizations: North America Today, Hidalgo de Dolores Elementary School, Nazas, Residents, Dallas Crowds, Russellville, Eclipse, Liverpool, Illinois Department of Transportation, Indiana, Indianapolis, Indianapolis Zoo, Lucas Oil, Roll Hall of Fame, Attica Railroad, Eclipse Fest, Buffalo State, Syracuse, Syracuse Mets, Worcester Red Sox, Hotels, Montreal Locations: North America, — Dennis Overbye Mexico, Sinaloa State, Mazatlán, Mexico, Hidalgo, Texas, Eagle, Dallas, Arkansas, Ozark, . Illinois, Southern Illinois, Midwest, . Ohio, Lake Erie, Cleveland, Taylor Swift . New York, Niagara Falls, England, Burlington , Vt, Burlington, Lake Champlain, Maine, Canada, U.S, Montreal, Fredericton , New Brunswick, New Brunswick, EclipseFest
President Joe Biden is fighting to convince inflation-weary voters that the U.S. economy is healthy. "America has the best economy in the world," he told NBC's Today Show on Monday, laying out an argument that is central to his reelection campaign. "The U.S. economy is leading the way for the global economy. It's driving the global economic train," Moody's Chief Economist Mark Zandi told CNBC. Besides sticky high prices that are projected to cool in the coming year, Zandi said that the fundamentals of the current U.S. economy are nearly ideal: "The economy is picture perfect.
Persons: Joe Biden, NBC's, Donald Trump, Trump, Mark Zandi, Dow Jones, Zandi Organizations: Flex, International Monetary Fund, IMF, CNBC Locations: U.S, West Columbia, South Carolina, America, United States, Georgia
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailInflation will be key to Fed's decision on rate cuts: Moody's Mark ZandiMark Zandi, Moody's Analytics chief economist, and Ted Rossman, senior industry analyst at Bankrate, and CNBC's Steve Liesman join 'The Exchange' to break down Jerome Powell's Wednesday remarks and more.
Persons: Mark Zandi Mark Zandi, Ted Rossman, Steve Liesman, Jerome Powell's
Inflation in the 20-nation euro zone eased to 2.4% in March, according to flash figures published on Wednesday, boosting expectations for interest rate cuts to begin in the summer. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast the rate would hold steady against the previous month at 2.6%. The core rate of inflation, excluding energy, food, alcohol and tobacco, cooled from 3.1% to 2.9%, also coming in below expectations. Markets expect the euro zone's central bank will begin lowering borrowing costs in June — a position reflected in the recent messaging of ECB decision-makers. "Inflation has declined despite a jump in energy inflation, and a boost from an early Easter.
Persons: European Central Bank —, Price, Robert Holzmann, Carsten Brzeski, Kamil Kovar, Kovar Organizations: Reuters, European Central Bank, ECB, ING, Moody's Locations: Rome, Italy, France, Spain, Germany, Austrian
Yields may be down from last year's highs, but there is still plenty for income investors to like about investment-grade corporate bonds, according to UBS. The effective yield on the ICE BofA U.S. Corporate Bond Index , which tracks the performance of U.S. dollar-denominated investment-grade corporate debt, is currently hovering around 5.5%. "This measures IG's return over duration-matched Treasuries, meaning that it's been advantageous to own IG over U.S. government bonds," he added. Inside the investment grade market, UBS prefers the financial sector over nonfinancial issuers, and favors short- and intermediate-term duration. Meanwhile, the spread pickup from A-rated bonds to BBB-rated bonds is historically tight, on average.
Persons: Barry McAlinden, McAlinden, Fitch Organizations: UBS, ICE, Corporate, ., Treasury, Poor's
After-tax profits hit a record high of $2.8 trillion in the fourth quarter, per the Commerce Department. "The gangbuster gain in profits helps explain why businesses have been able and willing to hold the line on layoffs, which was key to avoiding recession," he said. Advertisement"It also helps explain the record stock market, and the resulting positive wealth effects and resilient consumer spending." Related storiesAs for stocks, they're generally valued at a multiple to company profits so they've hit record highs too. That has made stockholders feel wealthier and more comfortable spending, Zandi said.
Persons: , Mark Zandi, That's, Zandi Organizations: Service, Corporate America, Corporations, Commerce Department, Business, Federal Reserve, Companies
Baltimore’s regional economy has a lot going for it such as low unemployment and low inflation. That’s well below the national rate of 3.9% in February and ranks 43rd out of 389 regions across the country with more than one million residents. Low inflationThe US economy is still dealing with high inflation, but that’s not much of a problem for the Baltimore metro. Inflation in Baltimore slowed dramatically last year from April to June, falling to a 2.8% annual rise from April’s 5.3%. Like across the country, rising energy prices have recently pushed up overall inflation in the Baltimore metro.
Persons: Francis Scott Key, Prince, it’ll, Matt Rourke, Matt Jaffe, , ” Jaffe, that’s, That’s, ” Christina DePasquale, Johns, Freddie Mac Organizations: Washington CNN, CNN, Towson, Labor Department, Washington D.C, U.S, Baltimore, Johns Hopkins Carey Business School, National Association of Realtors, NAR, Fed Locations: Baltimore, Port, Baltimore County, Columbia, Boston, Orlando, Atlanta, Washington, Dundalk, Md
Here are Tuesday's biggest calls on Wall Street: Oppenheimer reiterates Nvidia as outperform Oppenheimer said it's sticking with its outperform rating on shares of Nvidia. Citi reiterates Eli Lilly as buy Citi said the biopharma company is "riding the GLP-1 rocket." Citi downgrades Clorox to neutral from buy Citi said that the bullish thesis for the stock has largely played out for now. Citi upgrades Estee Lauder to buy from neutral Citi said it sees a "topline inflection point" for the stock. Barclays upgrades Array Technologies to overweight from equal weight Barclays said it sees share gains for the solar company.
Persons: Oppenheimer, McCormick, Argus, Needham, it's, Nelson Peltz, Melius, Horton, Citi, Eli Lilly, Estee Lauder, ARRY, JMP, Piper Sandler, Piper, Nio, CFRA, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Blackstone, Petco Organizations: Nvidia, JPMorgan, Disney, Boeing, Citi, Coca, MTH, RBC, GE Vernova, General Electric, Bank of America, Meta, Travel, Barclays, Eaton, MI, Olema Pharmaceuticals, UBS, Bank of, of America Locations: underperform, LEN, DHI, Asia, Eaton, 4Q23
Octavio Jones | Getty ImagesThe Florida Supreme Court issued rulings Monday allowing the state's voters to decide whether to protect abortion rights and legalize recreational use of marijuana, rejecting the state attorney general's arguments that the measures should be kept off the November ballot. Abortion rightsThe proposed amendment would protect the right to an abortion after the state in back-to-back years passed tougher restrictions currently being challenged in court. Faith Halstead, chants along with other protesters and activists near the Florida State Capitol where Florida State Senators voted to pass a proposed 6-week abortion ban in Tallahassee, Florida, on Monday, April 3, 2023. While many voters aren't enthusiastic about a rematch between former President Donald Trump and President Joe Biden, it could inspire more abortion rights advocates to cast a ballot. People gather on the steps of the Federal Courthouse in Fort Lauderdale on May 7, 2022 for a rally to support abortion rights.
Persons: Octavio Jones, General Ashley Moody, Faith Halstead, Donald Trump, Joe Biden, Moody, Roe, Wade Organizations: Getty, Florida Supreme, Republican, Florida State Capitol, Florida State, Washington Post, Trump, Florida, Florida Sun, Tribune, Service, Supreme Locations: Tampa , Florida, Florida, Tallahassee , Florida, Fort Lauderdale, U.S, Maryland, New York
Detroit is set to host the NFL draft next month, a decade after it went bankrupt. Mayor Mike Duggan told BI that he hopes the event will reintroduce the city to the rest of the US. AdvertisementThe new DetroitApril's NFL draft — one of the biggest weekends on the sporting calendar — is set to bring eyeballs back to Detroit. AdvertisementDowntown Detroit will host the 2024 NFL draft. "No matter where you went in southeastern Michigan, everyone was smiling and talking to each other about the Lions," Duggan added.
Persons: Mike Duggan, , Duggan, Axios, Joshua Lott, Bill Pugliano, it'll, we've, Kirby Lee, Dan Gilbert, who's, Jared Goff, Dan Campbell, Gilbert, Kyusung Gong, it's Organizations: Detroit, NFL, Lions, Service, Ford, GM, Detroit Free Press, Reuters, Economic, KC, Sports, Vegas and Kansas City, Getty, Cleveland Cavaliers NBA, Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Los Angeles Rams, San Francisco 49ers, The Lions, NCAA College Locations: Detroit, Midwest, Korean, Michigan, America, Motor City, Reuters Detroit, Detroit ., Kansas City, Vegas and Kansas
Like much music of longing and sorrow from this time — such as the sadly beautiful arias of Mozart’s operas — “Caro Mio Ben” is in a major key, and has endured as such for more than two centuries as a concert and recording staple. But that’s also where Beyoncé comes in. “Daughter” excerpts “Caro Mio Ben” as a bridge and distorts its major-key atmosphere into a minor one to fit with the rest of the song. In Beyoncé’s “If you cross me, I’m just like my father/I am colder than Titanic water,” you can hear a spiritual descendant of Carmen’s warning to “be on your guard” from another opera classic, the Habanera. She doesn’t have the voice of an opera singer, but that doesn’t really matter.
Persons: — “ Caro Mio Ben ”, that’s, Beyoncé, “ Caro Mio Ben ”, “ Carmen ”, I’m,
download the appSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. Federal regulators used the word "moat" eight times in their civil antitrust complain to describe the defenses that Apple sets up to keep competitors at bay. AdvertisementCastles and moatsBuffett popularized the concept of a company having a "moat" around it that protects it from rivals. The dynamics of capitalism guarantee that competitors will repeatedly assault any business 'castle' that is earning high returns. AdvertisementThe Department of Justice has added insult to injury by not only targeting Buffett's biggest stock bet, but also wielding the investor's moat metaphor against him, at least indirectly.
Persons: , cheekily, Warren Buffett, Buffett, Berkshire Hathaway, you've, Elon Musk, he's, Charlie Munger, Apple, He's, Tim Cook, they're Organizations: Service, Justice, Apple, Business, Berkshire, Coke, Gillette, Costco, Cola, American, Regulators, of Justice Locations: Berkshire, Apple, Buffett's, Berkshire's
Marine insurance companies will be on the hook for much of the costs. These insurance companies are backed by insurance companies of their own – a type of business known as a reinsurer. The potential cost of insurance claims from the bridge collapse could be between $1 billion and $3 billion, analysts at Barclays wrote in a note Wednesday. “But other than that, the economic impact of what has happened will be enormous, but not recoverable from the ship,” Davies said. Maryland lawmakers, meanwhile, are drafting an emergency bill to provide income replacement for Port of Baltimore workers impacted by the bridge collapse.
Persons: Baltimore’s Francis Scott Key, , John Miklus, Dali, Brendan Holmes, Miklus, Loretta Worters, Worters, Martin Davies, ” Davies, Joe Biden, Francis Scott Key, it’s, ” Biden, Scott Olson, Davies, Bill Ferguson Organizations: New, New York CNN, American Institute of Marine Underwriters, , Barclays, Grace Ocean, Britannia, Indemnity, International Group, International, CNN, Insurance, Costa, Maritime Law Center, Tulane University, “ Maersk, Federal Highway Administration, Infrastructure Investment, Jobs, Biden, . Workers, Robins, Repair, Port, Maryland Locations: New York, Singapore, Costa Concordia, Italy, Danish, Baltimore , Maryland, Maryland, Baltimore
Economist discusses Baltimore bridge collapse
  + stars: | 2024-03-28 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBaltimore bridge collapse won't be 'straw that broke the camel's back' in global shipping: EconomistHarry Murphy Cruise, associate economist at Moody's Analytics, says, however, that it comes at a "really fragile time" in global shipping.
Persons: Harry Murphy Cruise Organizations: Moody's Locations: Baltimore
The wealth of the 1% just hit a record $44 trillion
  + stars: | 2024-03-28 | by ( Robert Frank | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
Middle-class Americans have also seen a rising wealth tide, with the middle 50% to 90% of Americans seeing their wealth increase 50%. The value of corporate equities and mutual fund shares held by the top 1% surged to $19.7 trillion from $17.65 trillion the previous quarter. The wealth of the top 1% hit a record $44.6 trillion at the end of the fourth quarter, as an end-of-year stock rally lifted their portfolios, according to new data from the Federal Reserve. Economists say the rising stock market is giving an added boost to consumer spending through what is known as the "wealth effect." "Of course, this highlights a vulnerability of the economy if the stock market were to falter.
Persons: Robert Frank, Mark Zandi, Zandi, Liz Ann Sonders, Charles Schwab, – Sonders Organizations: Federal Reserve, Moody's, Stocks, Conference Board Locations: U.S
Huge insurance claims are expected after the Dali collided with a major bridge on Tuesday. The claims could be on par with the $1.5 billion from the Costa Concordia disaster, an expert told Insurance Business. AdvertisementThe marine insurance industry is bracing for huge claims from Tuesday's Baltimore bridge disaster. AdvertisementThe marine insurance and reinsurance markets are likely to foot most of the bills, S&P Global reported on Tuesday. The Baltimore bridge itself is insured by insurance giant Chubb, per Insurance Insider.
Persons: Dali, , Francis Scott Key, John Miklus, Miklus, Costa Concordia's, You've, Cintia Nazima, Chubb, SCOR Organizations: Business, Insurance, Service, American Institute of Marine Underwriters, Costa Concordia, Maryland Transportation Authority, Wall, P Global, Britannia Locations: Costa Concordia, Tuesday's Baltimore, Costa, Italy, Baltimore, Dali's Baltimore, Britannia, London, Suez
The Port of Baltimore said in a post on X that vessel traffic was suspended until further notice, but trucks were still being processed at its terminals. It said it would discharge cargo destined for Baltimore in other ports nearby, but Maesrk warned customers that could mean delays. Closer to the Midwest than any other port on the East Coast, Baltimore is a major hub for vehicles, containers and commodities. Baltimore ranks first among US ports for autos and light trucks, handling a record 850,000 vehicles last year. While many of the 30,000 to 35,000 cars and trucks that used the Key Bridge daily can be rerouted through the two nearby tunnels, that will cause traffic delays.
Persons: Dali, Judah Levine, ” Maersk, , VW, Oren Klachkin, Levine, Mark Zandi, , Zandi, Wes Moore, Joe Biden, Francis Scott Key, Tasos Katopodis, — Moore, Emily Stausbøll, Matt Lupoli, Hanna Ziady, Peter Valdes, Rob North, Sugam Pokharel Organizations: New York CNN, Baltimore, Atlantic, Nationwide Financial, US, Moody’s, Maryland Gov, Rebuilding, Francis Scott Key Bridge, Domino, Company, Royal Caribbean, Cruises, Cruise, Cruise Lines International Association, Royal Locations: London, New York, Port, Baltimore, East Coast, Singapore, East Coast , Baltimore, Philadelphia, Norfolk, of New York, New Jersey, Asia, Africa, Suez, Maryland, Patapsco, Rebuilding Baltimore, Baltimore , Maryland, Tasos, , Norway, Royal Caribbean
Auto companies like BMW and Volkswagen will likely be hit hardest at first, he added, given their heavy reliance on the Baltimore port. Regional economyFor the city of Baltimore, though, the economic impacts of the bridge collapse will hit harder and last longer. The Baltimore port directly employs over 15,000 workers and indirectly supports nearly 140,000 jobs via other port activities, according to Maryland Gov. Baltimore port employees could be temporarily furloughed, or see disruption in their work hours amid the shutdown. "The bridge collapse is the latest challenge for Northeast U.S. supply chains," said S&P Global Head of Supply Chain Research Chris Rogers.
Persons: Francis Scott Key, Roberto Schmidt, Baltimore's Francis Scott Key, Joseph Brusuelas, DALI, Joe Biden, Brusuelas, Mark Zandi, Wes Moore, Zandi, Research Chris Rogers, It's, we've Organizations: AFP, Getty, RSM, Auto, BMW, Volkswagen, Depot, IKEA, shipper FedEx, CNBC, Maryland Gov, Afp, Northeast, Supply, Research, Others Locations: Baltimore , Maryland, Singapore, Baltimore, of Baltimore, Port, United States, of LA, Northeast U.S, Sea, Panama
"We're back to that trend, despite these higher mortgage rates," she said. However, the market today is vastly different from the market two to eight years ago, experts say. The average home is still unaffordable for most potential buyers while inventory has slightly improved but not enough to meet demand. "The sentiment we're getting from our agents is that neither sellers nor buyers are satisfied with this market," Fairweather said. And buyers are disappointed in rising prices and rising mortgage rates."
Persons: Daryl Fairweather, Matthew Walsh, It's, Fairweather, Sellers Organizations: Finance, Moody's Locations: U.S
Last week, Nvidia announced deals with Johnson & Johnson for use of generative AI in surgery, and with GE Healthcare to improve medical imaging. "Health care, whether it's biotechnology, chemicals, or drug discovery is a very powerful area." About 41 percent of biotech CEOs surveyed by EY in late 2023 said they were looking at "concrete" ways generative AI could be used for their companies. "This is very high for my experience, having been 30 years in this industry," Ural said. It also partnered in 2021 with Schrödinger for drug discovery.
Persons: Johnson, Raj Joshi, It's, EY, it's, Colette Kress, Roche's Genentech Organizations: Nvidia, Johnson, GE Healthcare, Companies, NVIDIA, NVIDIA BioNeMo Locations: Arda, Americas, Ural, NVIDIA Clara
During oral arguments, justices asked questions about what constitutes coercion and in what cases the government can intervene with suggestions for the conduct of social media companies — and also showed off some of their media knowledge. AdvertisementMurthy v. Missouri is one of several cases the high court will hear about social media and the First Amendment this year. However, Roberts agreed with the pair and pointed out that government agencies do not have a "monolithic" point of view on moderation of social media content. An injunction previously handed down by the Fifth Circuit of Appeals on the same case barred a wide-ranging group of government officials from contacting social media companies. However, it is unlikely that the Supreme Court will uphold it, Vox reported.
Persons: , SCOTUS, Murthy, Moody, Paxton, Samuel Alito, Brett Kavanaugh, George W, Bush, Elena Kagan, Clinton, Kavanaugh, Justice Kavanaugh, I've, Kagan, John Roberts, Roberts, Ketanji Brown Jackson, Jackson, J, Benjamin Aguiñaga, Aguiñaga, Biden, Vox Organizations: Service, Business, Centers for Disease Control, Department of Homeland Security, Facebook, Washington Post, Fifth Circuit, Supreme, Department of Justice, Louisiana Attorney Locations: . Missouri, Missouri, Louisiana, Washington
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMoody's Analytics says it expects the Bank of Japan to exit negative interest ratesKatrina Ell of Moody's Analytics says that's partly because of the "upside surprise" of the shunto wage negotiations.
Organizations: Bank of Japan
His most beloved crooner sang a nationalistic ballad with an appeal to Russians: “The Motherland is calling. Don’t let her down.”His favorite band belted out a moody song about wartime sacrifice. And then he took the stage, under a banner celebrating the 10th anniversary of Crimea’s seizure from Ukraine, to remind thousands of Russians gathered on Red Square that his fight to add territory to Russia wasn’t over. President Vladimir V. Putin, a day after declaring victory in a performative election, signaled on Monday that the war against Ukraine would continue to dominate his rule and called for unity in bringing the people of eastern Ukraine “back to their home family.”“We will move on together, hand in hand,” Mr. Putin told the crowd, boasting of a restored railroad line that he said would soon connect to Crimea through territory taken from Ukraine. “And this is precisely what really makes us stronger — not words, but deeds.”
Persons: Don’t, , Vladimir V, Putin, Mr Locations: Ukraine, Russia, Crimea
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