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☆ Morning Bid: Fed leaves shoe dangling in policy parade
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-21 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

At least eight major central banks are meeting on Thursday. Central banks in South Africa and Turkey are also meeting. Futures now show the implied Fed policy rate for the end of next year at a new cycle high of 4.85% - up a whopping 35 basis points in just over a week. Key developments that should provide more direction to U.S. markets later on Thursday:* Bank of England policy decision; South Africa Reserve Bank policy decision, Central Bank of Turkey policy decision. European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde speaks* Philadelphia Fed's September business survey, U.S. weekly jobless claims, U.S. Aug existing home sales, U.S. Q2 current account estimate.

Persons: Sarah Silbiger, Mike Dolan, Jerome Powell, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Jan Hatzius, Robin Brooks, Brooks, BoE, Christine Lagarde, Darden, Christina Fincher Organizations: Eccles Federal Reserve, Washington , D.C, REUTERS, Swiss National Bank, Bank of, Fed, for International Finance, Treasury, Swiss, Africa Reserve Bank, Central Bank of, European Central Bank, Factset, Reuters, Thomson Locations: Washington ,, U.S, Norwegian, Bank of England, South Africa, Turkey, Central Bank of Turkey, Philadelphia

Part of the order essentially directed the environmental, health and transportation officials to continue doing what they are doing to make sure Norfolk Southern fulfills its responsibilities and report on the progress. Norfolk Southern has also promised to pay for upgrading East Palestine's parks and water treatment center. Norfolk Southern has also said it will establish funds to pay for lost home values, any long-term health concerns and water contamination issues that result from the derailment. “From the beginning, Norfolk Southern has committed to making it right in East Palestine and covering all costs associated with the clean-up. “This is an overdue but welcomed step to support the people of East Palestine,” said Brown.

Persons: Joe Biden, Biden, Mike DeWine, Dan Tierney, “, Jessica Conard, Jami Wallace, Sen, Sherrod Brown, ”, Brown, aren't, Patrick Orsagos Organizations: Norfolk Southern, FEMA, Federal Emergency Management Agency, Ohio Gov, Southern, Norfolk, Ohio, East, East Palestine Unity Council, Norfolk Southern ., Associated Press Locations: Ohio, Pennsylvania, East Palestine, Norfolk Southern, Palestine, Norfolk, Atlanta, Norfolk Southern . U.S, Columbus , Ohio

☆ Philadelphia's mayor says his fellow Democrats just voted for more people to die from drug overdoses. Experts say he's right.
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-20 | by ( Charles R. Davis | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +8 min

People should not, generally, inject into their bodies a substance they bought with cash from a stranger on the street. And many will not resort to best practices, like using a clean needle, and contract diseases that require lifelong treatment. In 2019, the former president's Department of Justice sued to stop a Philadelphia-based nonprofit, Safehouse, from opening what would have been the country's first safe injection site, citing a federal law originally aimed at crack houses. AdvertisementAdvertisementBesides, Philadelphia, a city battling not just drug addiction but poverty and gun violence, is not about to open drug treatment resorts. Philadelphia Mayor Jim Kenney is one of the few public officials to explicitly endorse supervised injection sites.

Persons: Philadelphians, Scott Burris, Isaiah Thomas, Thomas, Mike Driscoll, Donald Trump, Biden, Nora Volkow, Ronda, Goldfein, —, Jim Kenney, Cherelle Parker, Kenney Organizations: Service, Center of Public Health, Research, Temple University, Philadelphia Inquirer, president's Department of Justice, National Institute on Drug, New York Times, of Pennsylvania, Walmart, Philadelphia, Democratic Locations: Philadelphia, Wall, Silicon, Kensington, Vancouver, Canada, Philadelphia's, New York City, Ronda Goldfein, Europe

☆ Morning Bid: Fed vigil sees oil recoil and UK surprise
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-20 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

Canada's consumer prices raced ahead at an unexpectedly brisk clip last month, but outlier Britain got a positive surprise as inflation there fell back in August. Starts swooned last month, but building permits - which many see as a better gauge of future activity - beat forecasts and pushed higher. Although Asia bourses were in the red earlier, European stocks pushed higher and Wall St futures were positive ahead of the open too. Relief in the oil market pulled two-year Treasury yields back about 5 basis points from two-month highs at 5.12%. Key developments that should provide more direction to U.S. markets later on Wednesday:* U.S. Federal Reserve policy decision, new economic projections and press conference.

Persons: Mike Dolan, Asia bourses, Mills, Toby Chopra Organizations: Federal Reserve, People's Bank of China, Bank of England, Fed, Friday's Bank of Japan, Arm Holdings, U.S, New, . Federal, Bank of Canada, FedEx, United Nations General Assembly, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Reuters, Reuters Graphics Housing, Thomson Locations: U.S, Asia, Europe, New York City, New York

But the essence of the argument is that lower bond volatility ups the amount of cash liquidity flowing around world markets, and vice versa. But it is the incremental movement in this giant pool that arguably matters most for stock markets and asset prices. Even though global liquidity is shrinking as you might expect in the face of rising Western interest rates, central bank balance sheet reduction and a higher dollar, other offsets are significant. But falling bond volatility has likely played a big part in softening the blow too. "The two together have helped overall liquidity conditions - but we are mindful that bond markets are likely to remain volatile and need to be monitored carefully."

Persons: CrossBorder, Mike Dolan, Matthew Lewis Organizations: Federal Reserve, coy, Treasury, Fed, Bank, People's Bank of, New York Fed, Reuters Graphics, Reuters, Thomson Locations: Treasuries, punchbowl, People's Bank of China, United States

☆ Morning Bid: Messy market mood as oil irks
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-19 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

Model of Oil barrels are seen in front of rising stock graph in this illustration, July 24, 2022. The crude spur is more supply than demand related and most fingers point to the latest output cuts from Saudi Arabia and Russia. Headline inflation rates are already backing up as a result of the energy price rebound and U.S. gas pump prices rose last week to $3.88 per gallon - the highest since October 2022. Stock markets around the world were mixed to positive and U.S. futures were up a fraction ahead of Wall St's open. They do not reflect the views of Reuters News, which, under the Trust Principles, is committed to integrity, independence, and freedom from bias.

Persons: Dado Ruvic, Mike Dolan, Claudio Borio, Mehmet Simsek, Goldman Sachs, Christina Fincher Organizations: REUTERS, U.S . Energy, Administration, Federal Reserve, Bank for International, U.S, Economic, American Chamber of Commerce, Stock, Kingfisher, . Federal Reserve, Treasury, Turkey's, Goldman, Reuters Graphics, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Reuters, Thomson Locations: U.S, Saudi Arabia, Russia, Treasuries, China, Shanghai, Europe, Canada, New York

SACRAMENTO, Calif. (AP) — California lawmakers, union leaders and truck drivers are trying to steer Democratic Gov. Gavin Newsom toward signing into law a proposal that could save jobs as self-driving trucks are tested for their safety on the roads. Businesses say self-driving trucks would help them transport transport products more efficiently in the future. In Phoenix, companies have tested self-driving trucks on highways and to deliver mail through a partnership with the U.S. There are about 200,000 commercial truck drivers in California, according to Teamsters officials.

Persons: Gavin Newsom, Republican Assemblymember Tom Lackey, aren't, ” Lackey, ”, Newsom, Dee Dee Myers, Mike Di Bene, Brian Rice, ” Rice, Jerry Brown, Assemblymember Cecilia Aguiar, Curry, Steve Gordon, Gordon, ___ Sophie Austin, Austin @sophieadanna Organizations: Democratic Gov, Republican, administration’s Department of Finance, Business, Economic, state's Department of Motor Vehicles, U.S . Postal, Drivers, International Brotherhood of Teamsters, Oakland Teamsters, California Professional Firefighters, ” Labor, Hollywood, Department of Motor Vehicles, DMV, Associated Press, America Statehouse News Initiative, America Locations: SACRAMENTO, Calif, California, “, San Francisco, Phoenix, Sacramento

☆ Morning Bid: Dot plots, oil blots and auto strikes
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-18 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

A nighttime view of Marathon Petroleum's Los Angeles Refinery, which processes domestic & imported crude oil into gasoline, diesel fuel, and other refined petroleum products, in Carson, California, U.S., March 11, 2022. But updated quarterly economic and rate projections from its individual policymakers will map out the remainder of the year and 2024. And just like global markets have been discombobulated this month, the central bank will be grappling with low visibility and a plethora of mixed signals. Chief among the irritants for the central banks has been the rebound in crude oil price and the fading annual base effects that have flattered headline disinflation progress this year. Events to watch for on Monday:* U.S. September NAHB Housing Market Survey, July TIC data on foreign holdings of U.S. Treasuries* U.S. Treasury auctions 3- and 6-month bills* European Central Bank Board Member Fabio Panetta speaksReuters Graphics Reuters GraphicsReuters GraphicsReuters GraphicsReuters GraphicsReuters Graphics Reuters GraphicsBy Mike Dolan, editing by Bernadette BaumOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: Bing Guan, Mike Dolan Gatecrashed, That's, Detroit's, Taiwan's, TW, chipmaker, Member Fabio Panetta, Mike Dolan, Bernadette Baum Organizations: Petroleum's, Angeles Refinery, REUTERS, U.S . Federal, Bank of England, Bank of Japan, University of Michigan's, automakers, United Auto Workers, General Motors, Ford, chipmakers, China, HK, Survey, Treasury, Central Bank, Member, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Reuters, Thomson Locations: Angeles, Carson , California, U.S, Saudi, China

☆ Microsoft product chief Panos Panay is leaving the company
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-18 | by ( Jordan Novet | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

Panos Panay, Microsoft's chief product officer, talks about Windows 11 at the Windows 11 launch event that was streamed live on June 24, 2021. Microsoft's product chief, Panos Panay, will leave the software and hardware maker, executive vice president Rajesh Jha told employees on Monday. The shakeup represents a changing of the guard after more than a decade of sales of Microsoft's Surface PCs, which Panay has presented to consumers at company events. Team,After nearly 20 years at the company, Panos Panay has decided to leave Microsoft. Best,RajeshWATCH: The Microsoft Surface Go is a good computer, but a very bad tablet

Persons: Panos Panay, Panos, Rajesh Jha, Yusuf Mehdi, Satya Nadella, Mehdi, Charles Simonyi, Jha, I've, I'm, Pavan Davuluri, Brett Ostrum, Nino Storniolo, Linda Averett, Ken Pan, Ralf Groene, Aidan Marcuss, Carlos Picoto, Stevie Bathiche, Robin Seiler, Ruben Caballero, Anuj, Shilpa Ranganathan, Jeff Johnson, Ali Akgun, Mikhail Parakhin, Terri Chudzik, Erin Kolb, Mike Davidson, Let's, Rajesh Organizations: Windows, Microsoft Locations: Panos Panay, Panay, New York

Importantly, the site is near Wright-Patterson Air Force Base and the headquarters of the U.S. Air Force Research Laboratories. With this announcement, that aspiration has been realized.”Political Cartoons View All 1163 ImagesThe Wright brothers, Orville and Wilbur, lived and worked in Dayton. Joby CEO JoeBen Bevirt told the AP that the company chose Ohio after an extensive and competitive search. 3 in the nation on manufacturing jobs — and that depth of manufacturing prowess, that workforce, is critical to us as we look to build this manufacturing facility. That included the loss of tens of thousands of auto and auto parts manufacturing jobs in the early 2000s and the loss of ATM maker NCR Corp.'s headquarters to an Atlanta suburb in 2009.

Persons: Wright, Mike DeWine, Jon Husted, ” Husted, Orville, Wilbur, Orville Wright's, Hawthorn Hill, Joby, JoeBen Bevirt, Bevirt, J.P, Nauseef, that’s, —, ” Bevirt, DeWine —, John Glenn, Neil Armstrong Organizations: Joby Aviation Inc, ” Republican Gov, Associated Press, Intel, Dayton International, Republican, Gov, Patterson Air Force Base, U.S . Air Force Research Laboratories, “, U.S, Hawthorn, Wright Model B, Toyota, Delta Airlines, Air Force, U.S . Department of Energy, AP, Boeing, Airbus, NCR Corp, U.S . Air Force’s, . Space Command, Space Force Locations: COLUMBUS , Ohio, Ohio, Wright, Dayton, Santa Cruz , California, “ Ohio, Atlanta, Springfield, Marina , California

“His response to me was, ‘I’ve given you leverage now to make a better deal,’” recalled DeMastus, who supports some form of a federal ban but isn't ruling out backing Trump even if he doesn't. 2 in part because of his credibility with social conservatives, has declared that every Republican running for president should endorse, at a minimum, a federal abortion ban 15 weeks into pregnancy. Ron DeSantis, who often answers questions about a federal ban by saying his state recently passed a ban on abortion after six weeks of pregnancy. Trump maintains that even some anti-abortion activists believe the six-week ban — before many women even know they’re pregnant — is too harsh. The country’s leading anti-abortion group, Susan B. Anthony Pro-Life America, wants GOP presidential candidates to advocate for a 15-week federal ban.

Persons: — Donald Trump, he's, Roe, Wade, Trump, Mike Pence, He's, ”, Steve Scheffler, “, Joe Biden, Donald Trump, who’s, MAGA, Ammar Moussa, Tudor Dixon, Dixon, Gretchen Whitmer, Mike DeMastus, ‘, ’ ”, DeMastus, Pence, Carolina Sen, Tim Scott, Nikki Haley, Vivek Ramaswamy, Ron DeSantis, —, Susan B, Anthony Pro, Marjorie Dannenfelser, ” Trump, Steven Cheung, Trump's, aren't, Kim Lehman, Lehman, Timmaraju, they’ll, ” Timmaraju, Marlys, Jill Colvin, Sara Burnett Organizations: DES, Republican, White, GOP, Iowa Faith, Freedom Coalition, Republican National Committee, Family Research Council, America's Leadership, Coalition, Voters, MAGA Republicans, Michigan, Michigan Democratic Gov, Trump, Florida Gov, America, RNC, NARAL, Associated Press Locations: DES MOINES, Iowa, U.S, lockstep, Washington, Des Moines, South Dakota, Kansas, Ohio, York, Carolina, New York, Chicago

U.S. Commerce Secretary Gina Raimondo's trip to China last month had promised some economic and trade detente between the two superpowers now at loggerheads. And none of the 222 funds polled expected China economic growth to be any higher next year than this - mirroring a recent Reuters survey of domestic and overseas banks and investors. As these sorts of surveys go, there's an awful lot in there that could spell "peak gloom". Indeed, shorting China equities was deemed the second "most crowded trade" behind long exposure to supercharged Big Tech stocks. Even if the economy turns, political catalysts for a return to China may be slow in coming.

Persons: Aly, Gina Raimondo's, it's, Jamie Dimon, Jay Clayton, Jenny Johnson, Franklin Templeton, Willem Sels, Mike Dolan, Sharon Singleton Organizations: REUTERS, . Commerce, Bank of, Big Tech, Reuters, Reuters Graphics Reuters, JPMorgan, Investments, The Ontario Teachers, Caisse, Franklin, HSBC Private Banking, Thomson Locations: Shanghai, Shenzhen, China, loggerheads, Wall, Asia, Silicon Valley, Hong Kong, Temasek, Bridgewater, Blackrock, India, Indonesia, Washington, United States

☆ Morning Bid: Risk and rates moving in tandem
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-12 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., August 15, 2023. Or it may just be a series of idiosyncratic news events. Although both stock futures and bond yields edged back a touch again on Tuesday ahead of the bell, the fact they are moving in tandem ahead of a critical week for macro policy is notable. Overseas, European markets held up as this week's European Central Bank meeting is awaited with economists split on its outcome. They do not reflect the views of Reuters News, which, under the Trust Principles, is committed to integrity, independence, and freedom from bias.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Mike Dolan, Morgan Stanley, Farmer Bros, Ed Osmond Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Big Tech, Tesla's, Dojo, Apple, chipmaker Qualcomm, Oracle, Reserve, Overseas, Central Bank, HK, Bank of, Smurfit Kappa, Treasury, Cable Corp, Altamira Therapeutics, Lesaka Technologies, Reuters Graphics, Reuters, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, China, London, Altamira

☆ Morning Bid: Japan jolt as inflation forks
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-11 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

A man walks past the headquarters of Bank of Japan in Tokyo, Japan, January 17, 2023. "If we judge that Japan can achieve its inflation target even after ending negative rates, we'll do so," Ueda said. The yen surged 1% against the dollar, knocking the U.S. currency back more generally (.DXY) on the foreign exchange markets. If Japan's does tighten further by yearend, it comes as the Federal Reserve and European Central Bank rate hike campaigns are coming to halt. News of an expected return of headline Chinese consumer price inflation to positive territory last month and above-forecast August lending data helped mainland shares (.CSI300) higher, with the yuan bouncing back from 16-year lows.

Persons: Issei Kato, Mike Dolan, Kazuo Ueda, Ueda, Alibaba, Daniel Zhang, Bank of England policymaker Catherine Mann, Christina Fincher Organizations: Bank of Japan, REUTERS, U.S, Tokyo Stock, Nikkei, Global, Treasury, yearend, Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, ECB, Fed, CPI, OpenAI, Wall Street, SoftBank Group, underwriters, Bank of England, Oracle, Graphics, Graphics Reuters, Thomson, Reuters Locations: Tokyo, Japan, U.S, Hong Kong, Ottawa

☆ Morning Bid: Markets find feet after Apple topples
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-08 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

People walk near an Apple logo outside its store in Shanghai, China September 8, 2023. The stock appeared to stabilize in out-of-hours trade on Friday and Morgan Stanley analysts claimed China's iPhone bans would at most hit Apple revenues by about 4%. The upshot was the rates market calmed a bit - with the odds on another Fed hike in the cycle falling back below 50% despite the red hot jobless claims readout. That helped Treasury yields <US10YT+RR> fall back too, aided by the stock market wobble and an oil price coming off the boil. The stock exchange there halted trading in both securities and derivatives markets due to a black rainstorm warning.

Persons: Aly, Mike Dolan, Apple sideswipe, Morgan Stanley, We've, John Williams, Austan Goolsbee, Lorie Logan, Michael Barr, Mary Daly, Andrew Cawthorne Organizations: Apple, REUTERS, Federal, Huawei, New, Fed, Chicago Fed, Dallas Fed, San Francisco Fed, Kroger Reuters Graphics Reuters, Reuters, Thomson Locations: Shanghai, China, U.S, India, Asia, Hong Kong, United States, New Delhi

REUTERS/Brendan McDermid Acquire Licensing RightsLONDON, Sept 8 (Reuters) - Rising U.S. business bankruptcies may raise a red flag in what otherwise appears like an economy now impervious to rising interest rates. Commenting on the numbers, insolvency research organisation ABI blamed elevated interest rates, price inflation and a resumption of student loan payments as just some of the headwinds causing stress. That partly mirrors some of built-in household resilience to rising rates related to long-term fixed-rate borrowings and still-high cash savings that now earn significantly higher rates of interest now too. And that 10% - accounting for more than 60% of index market cap - had seen no rise in net interest payments so far in the Fed campaign. But creeping insolvencies among the smaller firms - many of whom have been dubbed 'zombies' for years due to their survival solely on low interest rates - may be a better reflection of what's starting to happen at the coalface of the economy.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Albert Edwards, Edwards, Andrew Lapthorne, Russell, NFIB, Mike Dolan, Josie Kao Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Yellow Corp, P Global Market Intelligence, Reuters, Societe Generale, Fed, National Federation of Independent Business, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, midyear

☆ Race to Be Trump’s Running Mate Begins, With Noem Likely to Endorse Him
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-08 | by ( Michael C. Bender | More About Michael C. Bender | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +1 min

Just three — Mike Dunleavy of Alaska, Jim Justice of West Virginia and Henry McMaster of South Carolina — have backed Mr. Trump. Two others — Ron DeSantis of Florida and Doug Burgum of North Dakota — are running against him. Some close to the former president said that was most likely rooted in superstition that such consideration would jeopardize his own nomination. Mr. Trump raised eyebrows among some associates with private, offhand comments that Mr. Scott had not received much coverage for his performance during the first Republican presidential debate. Mr. Scott has been mentioned as a potential vice-presidential pick even though he is currently running against Mr. Trump, who didn’t participate in his party’s first debate.

Persons: Ms, Mike Dunleavy, Jim Justice, Henry McMaster of, Trump, Ron DeSantis, Doug Burgum, Noem, I’d, ”, Scott Organizations: South, Republican, West, Henry McMaster of South, Fox News, White House, Mr Locations: South Dakota, Alaska, West Virginia, Henry McMaster of South Carolina, Florida, North Dakota

☆ Morning Bid: Transatlantic surprise gap opens up again
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-07 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

The exterior of the Marriner S. Eccles Federal Reserve Board Building is seen in Washington, D.C., U.S., June 14, 2022. And the gap between those two gauges, which had halved from July peaks, is starting to yawn wider yet again. Although the steep annual drop in Chinese exports and imports last month was marginally better than forecast, the ongoing funk in activity remains stark and threatens Beijing's overall economic growth target of about 5%. At least six senior Fed officials are in speaking engagements later on Thursday - including Fed board member Michelle Bowman and New York Fed chief John Williams. Events to watch for on Thursday:* U.S. weekly jobless claims, Q2 labor cost and productivity revisions* Federal Reserve Board Governor Michelle Bowman, New York Fed President John Williams, Chicago Fed chief Austan Goolsbee, Philadelphia Fed chief Patrick Harker, Atlanta Fed chief Raphael Bostic and Dallas Fed chief Lorie Logan all speak.

Persons: Sarah Silbiger, Mike Dolan, Andrew Bailey, Michelle Bowman, John Williams, bourses steadied, Austan Goolsbee, Patrick Harker, Raphael Bostic, Lorie Logan, Joe Biden, Susan Fenton Organizations: Eccles Federal Reserve, Washington , D.C, REUTERS, U.S, Federal, Treasury, Bank of England, Bank of Canada, Fed, New York Fed, Apple, Beijing, Federal Reserve, Michelle Bowman , New York Fed, Chicago Fed, Philadelphia Fed, Atlanta Fed, Dallas Fed, PMI Reuters Graphics Reuters, Thomson Locations: Washington ,, U.S, United States, Europe, China, Brent, Saudi Arabia, Russia, Japan, Asia, Michelle Bowman , New, Atlanta, India, New Delhi

☆ Morning Bid: Restive markets simmer after oil sideswipe
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-06 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., July 20, 2023. That's a moment in the whole disinflation story as it virtually wipes out the negative annual base effect so powerful this year in helping drag headline inflation rates back down. The more complicated inflation picture comes against the week's downbeat business surveys from Europe and Japan. That take was reinforced overnight by a New York Fed study that suggested the theoretical 'neutral' interest rate keeping the economy at equilibrium continued to fall in the second quarter. The energy picture saw Asia and European bourses in the red again, with Japan's Nikkei (.N225) bucking the trend.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Mike Dolan Roiled, Lorie Logan, Susan Collins, Mike Dolan, John Stonestreet Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Treasury, Bank of Canada, New, New York Fed, NY, Japan's Nikkei, Dallas Federal, Boston Fed, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Thomson, Reuters Locations: New York City, U.S, Saudi Arabia, Russia, That's, Europe, Japan . U.S, New York, Asia, European, Canada

"Further progress is likely to become more difficult as base effects fade, and supply-constraints could drive global energy and food prices higher again." Brent crude prices have risen 27% since mid-year and U.S. crude is up 30%, with U.S. retail pump prices already up almost 10% so far since June. Oil and inflation expectationsReuters GraphicsSLOWING DESCENTAnd alongside creeping worries about rising debt supply, the long end of bond markets has been rattled again by the oil price jump. And this has been a far bigger influence on the inflation trajectory than oil prices per se. Yet, restive crude prices will still cloud a messy and tricky battle with inflation expectations just as policy tightening cycles near an end.

Persons: Brent that's, Christian Keller, Akash Utsav, Andrew Goodwin, there's, George H.W, Jamie Freed Organizations: Brent, UBS, Organization for Economic Cooperation, Development, Barclays, Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, Bank of England, U.S, Treasury, Oxford, Monetary Fund, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Reuters, Thomson Locations: Ukraine, Saudi Arabia, Russia, tailwind, U.S, Europe, Britain, West, George H.W . Bush

☆ Morning Bid: Global business splutters, dollar surges
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-05 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

But the U.S. jobs picture underscores the "soft-landing" consensus - something Tuesday's updates on global business surveys from last month suggest may not be the case elsewhere. Even though messy workouts of China's ongoing property bust were some relief - as real estate giant Country Garden made some last minute dollar bond payments - the funk in the wider economy clearly persists. That saw the euro fall back against the dollar to levels not seen since mid-June. But that provided little solace to sterling , which was also pummelled by the dollar to its lowest since June. The sour business polls took some heat out of the recent oil price rebound , but did little to calm the long end of the bond market.

Persons: Dado Ruvic, Mike Dolan, disinflation, Philip Lowe, Glazer, Luis de Guindos, Isabel Schnabel, Hugh Lawson Organizations: REUTERS, U.S, Reserve Bank of Australia, Stock, Wall, English football, Manchester United, Sunday, Central Bank, ECB, Treasury, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Reuters, Thomson Locations: U.S, Europe, China

REUTERS/Mario Anzuoni Acquire Licensing RightsVENICE, Sept 2 (Reuters) - The make-up artist for Bradley Cooper's Leonard Bernstein biopic "Maestro" apologised on Saturday for offending people by giving the lead character a prosthetic nose, but said he only wanted authenticity. When the first trailer of the film surfaced last month, some critics complained that the nose pandered to Jewish stereotypes. Bernstein died in 1990 but his adult children have defended the make-up in the film, saying their father had had a "nice, big nose". But his make-up designer Kazu Hiro met the press and said he was surprised by the nose criticism. It is one of 23 movies competing for the Golden Lion award at the Venice Film Festival, which runs until Sept. 9.

Persons: Bradley Cooper, Mario Anzuoni, Bradley Cooper's Leonard Bernstein, Maestro, Bernstein, Cooper, Kazu Hiro, Lenny, Hiro, Jamie, Carey Mulligan, Jamie Bernstein, Mike Davidson, Crispian Balmer, Angus MacSwan Organizations: Guardians, REUTERS, Netflix, Hollywood, Golden, Venice Film, Thomson Locations: Los Angeles , California, U.S, United States, Venice, British

☆ Judge withdraws from Medicare drug price case after stock ownership is revealed
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-01 | by ( Spencer Kimball | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Ohio Governor Mike DeWine, right, shakes hands with Judge Thomas Rose of the U.S. District Court Southern District of Ohio after taking his oath of office, Monday, Jan. 14, 2019, in Cedarville, Ohio. A federal judge on Friday withdrew from a case that could block Medicare from negotiating over drug prices, just hours after a watchdog group revealed his ownership of stock in two pharmaceutical companies that would be directly impacted by the new program. He also owns Moderna stock worth between $15,000 and $50,000, the filing shows. The suit asked the court to rule that for Medicare to negotiate drug prices would be unconstitutional. Merck, Bristol Myers Squibb, Johnson & Johnson, Boehringer Ingelheim, AstraZeneca and the drugmaker lobby PhRMA have all filed complaints in different districts courts.

Persons: Mike DeWine, Judge Thomas Rose, Judge Thomas M, Rose, Biden, George W, Bush, Johnson, Boehringer Ingelheim, Robert Davis, Davis Organizations: U.S, District Court Southern District of Ohio, Southern, Southern District of Ohio, Johnson, AstraZeneca, Republican, Moderna, U.S . Chamber of Commerce, Department of Health, Human Services, Centers, Medicare, Merck, Bristol Myers Squibb, Court, Circuit Court Locations: Cedarville , Ohio, Southern District

☆ 'Why is there no sex in movies anymore?' asks Yorgos Lanthimos
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-01 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

[1/5] The 80th Venice Film Festival - Premiere for the film "Poor Things" in competition - Red Carpet - Venice, Italy, September 1, 2023 - Director Yorgos Lanthimos poses. The picture was made by Yorgos Lanthimos and stars Emma Stone as Bella Baxter, a young woman brought back to life after committing suicide in Victorian London. So you can understand that there is a shorthand," Lanthimos said, adding this meant the actor understood why the myriad sex scenes were needed. Stone also produced "Poor Things", which meant she was involved in the decision-making from the word go. "Poor Things" is one of 23 movies competing for the prestigious Golden Lion award at the Venice Film Festival, which runs until Sept. 9.

Persons: Yorgos Lanthimos, Yara, Emma Stone, Bella Baxter, Mark Ruffalo, Stone, Lanthimos, Emma, Alasdair Gray, Elle McAlpine, it's Bella, Mike Davidson, Crispian Balmer, Alison Williams Organizations: REUTERS, Hollywood, Golden Lion, Venice Film, Thomson Locations: Venice, Italy, Victorian London, Paris

☆ Morning Bid: Early Labor Day for markets
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-01 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

REUTERS/Brendan McDermid/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsSept 1 - A look at the day ahead in U.S. and global markets from Mike DolanLabor Day comes a bit earlier for markets this year, with Friday's release of the critical August jobs report coming just ahead of Monday's end-of-season U.S. holiday. A series of updates showed private sector hiring slowing in August, while job openings fell back in July and layoffs jumped. On the flipside, more up-to-date weekly jobless claims fell again and the consensus payrolls estimate has ticked higher from 150,000 only last week. Going into Friday's report, futures markets remain split and stand 50-50 on the chances of another hike by November. And whatever they think about peak rates, markets are also grappling with the prospect of rates staying up here for some time.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Mike Dolan, JP Morgan, Saola, Gita Gopinath, Loretta Mester, Raphael Bostic, Alexander Smith Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Mike Dolan Labor, JP, Atlanta, HK, European Central Bank, Broadcom, Treasury, P Global, Cleveland Federal, Atlanta Fed, Reuters Graphics, United States Reuters Graphics Reuters, Reuters, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Hong Kong, Europe

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