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On the other hand, Dow Jones Industrial Average futures hovered near the flatline. The Dow Jones Industrial Average added 0.97%, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite respectively gained 1.25% and 1.3%. The action follows a Wednesday sell-off that started after Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell indicated that a rate cut at the March meeting was unlikely. Economists polled by Dow Jones are calling for payrolls to have grown by 185,000 positions, and for the unemployment rate to inch higher to 3.8%. That compares to December's blowout of 216,000 positions added and an unemployment rate of 3.7%.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Art Hogan, It's, it's, Hogan, Dow Jones Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Nasdaq, Dow Jones Industrial, Meta, Facebook, Amazon, Apple, Dow Jones, Federal, Riley Wealth Management, CNBC, Chevron, Exxon Mobil, Myers Squibb Locations: China, mull, Bristol, Cigna
That's according to the "January barometer" from the "Stock Trader's Almanac," which argues that "as the S & P 500 goes in January, so goes the rest of the year." The S & P 500 has managed to trade above the 4,900 level already this month and is currently up 3.3% in the new year. That's enough to put the broad market index trading above Wall Street strategists' average 2024 target of 4,914, according to the CNBC PRO Market Strategist Survey. .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500 in 2024 Election Year Notably, 2024 is a U.S. presidential election year. By comparison, the S & P 500 typically gains 15% in those years with a higher January.
Persons: Stocks, Stephen Suttmeier, Suttmeier, Sam Stovall, Outperformers, Dow, Stovall, What's, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Wall, CNBC, Market, Survey, Bank of America, Dow Jones Locations: U.S
Fixed indexed annuity sales brought in a record $95.6 billion, up from 20% from the record hit the year prior. Indexed annuities earn interest that is calculated based on the changes within a market index, such as the S & P 500 or the Nasdaq 100. However, they also receive downside protection: They are credited zero interest if the index their annuity is tracking declines. The term of index annuities typically range from three to 15 years, according to Annuity.org . Fixed indexed annuities can also be complicated, warned David Blanchett, head of retirement research for PGIM DC Solutions.
Persons: Bryan Hodgens, Buyers, Hodges, Cannex, Melody Evans, Evans, David Blanchett, Blanchett, DIAs Organizations: Nasdaq, Cannex, Products, Insurance, TIAA, DC Solutions, FIA Locations: Connecticut
The market has officially entered a new bull market, leaving investors wondering which stocks can continue to outperform. Will Rhind, CEO at GraniteShares, thinks AI remains one of the strongest market themes in 2024. Nvidia Nvidia is "very much the leader in terms of AI stocks," said Rhind. AMD shares are up more than 20% year to date, and 135.8% during a 12-month period. Alibaba The China-based tech giant has experienced some turbulence, amid greater concerns of a weak Chinese economy and battered stock market.
Persons: Will Rhind, Rhind, hasn't, Alibaba, Jack Ma, Joe Tsai, Meta Rhind, we're Organizations: Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Nvidia, AMD, Meta Locations: China
The market has managed to put behind the "economic anxiety" it faced as recently as the fourth quarter of 2023, according to Citadel CEO Ken Griffin. "The [Federal Reserve] can start to cut rates come this summer, and we will see unemployment touch up a little bit. But the overall economy looks pretty damn good right now," Griffin told CNBC's Leslie Picker on Tuesday at the MFA Network event in Miami. However, Griffin noted that the current level of federal spending has created an economy that "feels really good right now," but could come at a cost. It's creating [a] bit of euphoria right now, but it will come with a hangover," said Griffin.
Persons: Ken Griffin, Griffin, CNBC's Leslie Picker, Griffin's, Dow Organizations: Citadel, Federal, Fed, U.S, Dow Jones, CNBC PRO Locations: Miami, Taiwan, China, U.S
Hong Kong CNN —China’s top securities regulator has limited short-selling, in its latest effort to stem a protracted $6 trillion-dollar stock market rout that began in 2021. The China Securities Regulatory Commission announced Sunday it would “fully” suspend the lending of restricted shares on bourses in mainland China. The Shenzhen stock exchange is the second-largest in mainland China after Shanghai. Bloomberg/Getty ImagesCalm returns but challenges remainChinese authorities have stepped up their measures to stem the stock market rout over the past week. A day later, in an unprecedented move, regulators said they were considering evaluating the performance of the heads of state-owned companies based on their stock market value.
Persons: Hong Kong CNN —, , Ken Cheung, Evergrande, ” Cheung, Hong, Li Yunze, Pan Gongsheng Organizations: Hong Kong CNN, China Securities Regulatory Commission, Mizuho Bank, Bloomberg, Shanghai Shenzhen, Administration of Financial, People’s Bank of China Locations: Hong Kong, bourses, China, Shanghai, Shenzhen
Even as the market rallies, the latest short interest data reveals several stocks that could see losses. CNBC Pro screened FactSet data for stocks trading on the New York Stock Exchange and Nasdaq Exchange with the most short interest as of Jan. 12. Lucid Group , another EV maker, saw short interest increase to about 29% of its float. Companies that make auto parts, including Luminar Technologies and Atmus Filtration , also saw short interest increase. Short interest increased 3% and 8% for thrift store chain Savers Value Village and department store Kohl's , respectively.
Persons: Fisker, That's, VinFast, Goldman Sachs, Nick Wells Organizations: Nasdaq, CNBC, New York Stock Exchange, Nasdaq Exchange, Lucid Group, Traders, EV, VinFast, Companies, Luminar Technologies, Dyne Therapeutics, Enliven, Allogene Therapeutics
Hong Kong CNN —It’s been a rollercoaster week for stocks trading in mainland China and Hong Kong. “For a sustained rally in China stocks, we think China will need to address the core of these concerns (predominantly property sector issues and US-China tensions),” the analysts added. In the 7 days to January 24, exchange-traded funds (ETFs) tracking Chinese stocks recorded large inflows of $12.6 billion, according to a Citi survey of global fund managers. Still, investors have been fleeing Chinese stocks over a much longer period because they are worried about the country’s economic prospects. The country is facing the prospect of a vicious cycle whereby lower demand leads to lower investment, lower production and lower income, thus causing even lower demand.
Persons: Hong Kong CNN — It’s, Hong, — haven’t, ” Nomura, , Li Qiang, , Li Yunze, Pan Gongsheng, Florence Lo, HSI, Raymond Yeung, ” Yeung Organizations: Hong Kong CNN, Shanghai Shenzhen, , Shanghai Financial Exchange, Bloomberg, State, Supervision, Administration Commission, Administration of Financial, Reuters, People’s Bank of China, Citi, Enodo Economics, HSBC, Greater China, ANZ Research Locations: China, Hong Kong, Shanghai, United States, Beijing, Davos, Switzerland, Greater
The US economy may be about to relive the "roaring '20s," according to Ed Yardeni. "We're in the early stages of a productivity growth boom," the veteran strategist told Bloomberg. His comments come with the economy expanding at a stronger-than-expected pace and the S&P 500 trading at an all-time high. AdvertisementVeteran market strategist Ed Yardeni thinks the US economy might be about to relive the "roaring '20s". I think we've got a technology revolution that started in the 1990s… every company is a technology company.
Persons: Ed Yardeni, Bloomberg, , Merryn, he's, We've, we've Organizations: Service, Yardeni, Bloomberg, UBS Locations: Swiss
The Dow Jones and S&P both hit all time highs with the Dow Jones closing over 38,000 points for the first time ever as stocks continue to rise. S&P 500 futures dropped 0.2%, while Dow Jones Industrial Average futures slipped 68 points, or 0.2%. During the regular session, the S&P 500 leapt to fresh all-time high. The S&P 500 advanced 0.5%, and the Nasdaq ticked up by 0.2%, while the Dow added 0.6%. Economists polled by Dow Jones expect that core PCE prices gained 3% in December on a year-over-year basis.
Persons: Dow Jones, Michael M, Dow Organizations: NEW, New York Stock Exchange, Getty, Intel, Dow Jones Industrial, Mobile, Nasdaq, Dow, Gross, PCE, Federal Reserve, Norfolk Southern, Colgate, Palmolive, American Express Locations: New York City
The stock market may not go much higher for the rest of 2024, according to HSBC. "We expect to see better entry points once the market re-prices rates expectations." That's compared to market expectations of 140 basis points. "That slowing would likely dampen earnings growth expectations and increase recession probabilities." Tech and consumer discretionary sectors should see the highest earnings growth, according to the firm.
Persons: Stocks, Nicole Inui, Inui, Goldman Sachs Organizations: HSBC, Fed, Tech, Stock, Walmart, CVS Health, Procter & Gamble, Mondelez, Industries, Chevron, Citigroup Locations: Howden
Stock futures were little changed as investors readied for the fourth-quarter gross domestic product report. Futures tied to the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 futures flickered near the flat line. In after-hours action, electric vehicle maker Tesla slumped more than 5% after the company missed fourth-quarter estimates on the top and bottom lines. During regular trading Wednesday, a post-earnings surge in Netflix shares helped carry the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite to a fifth winning day. On the earnings front, health-care giant Humana is expected to report before the bell, along with Southwest Airlines and American Airlines.
Persons: Tesla, I've, Ed Yardeni Organizations: Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, IBM, Netflix, Dow Jones, Yardeni Research, Southwest Airlines, American Airlines, Intel, Mobile, Western Digital
Consumer sentiment is surging. A tough housing market and exorbitant child care costs continue to bedevil budgets, but the inflation pendulum is finally swinging in the other direction. A slowly improving US housing marketAmerica’s housing market is still tough, but there are some subtle signs of improvement. Builder confidence surged in January, according to the latest National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index, climbing seven points to a reading of 44. It’s unclear when the Fed will begin to cut rates, and how many cuts there will ultimately be this year, but rate cuts in general mean even lower mortgage rates, further improving affordability.
Persons: vibing, aren’t, it’s, Anna Rathbun, , isn’t, bode, Joe Biden’s, ” James McCann, Biden, Alicia Huey Organizations: Washington CNN, Big Tech, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, CBIZ Investment Advisory Services, CNN, Fed, Apple, Meta, Microsoft, Nvidia, Tesla, of Michigan’s, AAA, National Association of Home Builders Locations: Wells Fargo
Semiconductor stocks have been on a tear for more than a year, led by Nvidia , which has emerged as a leading stock in the excitement around artificial intelligence. That has helped the S & P 500 enter a new bull market and made the chipmakers an increasingly influential part of the major market indexes. "The % weight of the Semiconductors within the S & P 500 is now at nearly 9%. For example, the best-performing fund in the category so far this year is the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) . The ETF tracks the MVIS US Listed Semiconductor 25 Index , which has a modified market cap weight approach.
Persons: NVDA, Todd Sohn, . Sohn, Sohn Organizations: Semiconductor, Nvidia, VanEck Semiconductor, P Semiconductor
There could still be further gains ahead for tech stocks, even as the sector boosted the S & P 500 to a new record-high closing last Friday. After kicking off the new year with a lukewarm start, the technology sector turned the ship around, largely driven by the ongoing artificial intelligence frenzy . Despite these gains, broader analyst consensus indicates that there are still tech stocks poised to go higher from here. Likewise, analysts on average think design software company Synopsys could rally another 18%. Last week, the company announced it would acquire engineering simulation software company Ansys in an approximately $35 billion deal .
Persons: Brad Zelnick, John Vinh, Trimble, , Fred Imbert Organizations: CNBC Pro, Oracle, Deutsche Bank, Semiconductor, KeyBanc Capital Locations: Oracle's
The most recent bear market was a garden variety bear, Stovall said. The decline, which lasted roughly 15 months from its October 2022 low, took 25.4% of the S & P 500 value from peak to trough. Regardless of what kind of bear market it was, a post-high five move still took place once a bull run was confirmed. The S & P 500 gained 5% on average over the following two to two-and-a-half months. He noted the S & P MidCap 400, S & P SmallCap 600, and Russell 2000 are all more than 10% below their previous record highs.
Persons: that's, Sam Stovall, it's, Stovall, Russell, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Research, CFRA Research
The firm rebalanced its return on equity growth basket of stocks, which is sector-neutral to the S & P 500. It contains 50 names with the highest consensus expected ROE growth over the next 12 months. Stocks with greatest expected ROE growth include gold mining company Newmont , wireless infrastructure real estate investment trust American Tower , chipmaker Advanced Micro Devices and toy manufacturer Hasbro , according to Goldman. The communications-focused REIT has the second-highest expected ROE growth — 48% — of the names on Goldman's list. In addition to these names, Netflix and T-Mobile are also among the names in Goldman's ROE growth basket.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, ROE, David Kostin, Kostin, Goldman, Newmont, REIT, Goldman's ROE Organizations: Federal Reserve, Devices, Hasbro, AMD, Nvidia, UBS, Netflix, Citigroup Locations: Newmont, Goldman's
Asia-Pacific markets were set to rise Monday, tracking Wall Street gains with the S&P500 surpassing its all-time high on Friday. The broad market index rose 1.23% to settle at 4,839.81, crossing both the prior record intraday and closing highs from January 2022. The Dow Jones Industrial Average , which set its own record at the end of last year, added 1.05%, while the Nasdaq Composite advanced 1.70%. Investors in Asia will be watching China's one- and five-year loan prime rates, which currently stand at 3.45% and 4.2%, respectively.
Organizations: Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Investors Locations: Asia, Pacific
The S & P 500 finally surpassed its prior all-time high from January 2022 on Friday, confirming the start of a new bull market that began in October 2022. But while the market continued to build on those gains early Monday, some technical analysts are worried that cracks are beginning to show in the broad market index. .SPX 1Y mountain S & P 500 in the last 12 months BTIG chief market technician Jonathan Krinsky forecasts a pullback for the S & P 500 before it reaches the key 5,000 level, or just around 3.5% above current prices. Around 73% of the S & P 500 is currently trading above its 50-day moving average, down from more than 90% in late December, according to David Keller, chief market strategist at StockCharts.com. "New index highs lead to fatigue," said Roth Capital Partners chief market technician JC O'Hara.
Persons: Jonathan Krinsky, Krinsky, David Keller, JC O'Hara, O'Hara, There's, Wolfe, Rob Ginsberg, pullbacks, Ginsberg, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Federal Reserve, Downside, Capital Partners Locations: Japan, Brazil, India, U.S, China, Europe
Yet the main IPO ETF, the Renaissance Capital IPO ETF ( IPO ), has been for sale most of the month. "For the IPO market to open up, it would help not to have our IPO ETF down 9%," he said. Forge Global maintains a Private Market Index , a measure of 75 late-stage pre-IPO companies. "This tells you valuations are getting reset in the private market," Ng told me. Can AI save the IPO market?
Persons: Matt Kennedy, Homebuilder Smith Douglas, Don Short, Salomon, Wilson, Howe Ng, Ng, Del, Waystar, Kim Kardashian's, Short, Vincent Harrison Organizations: Renaissance Capital, Nasdaq, Amer Sports, Arc'teryx, Forge, SEC, Companies, Reuters, Auto, Turo, CNBC, Microsoft, Gaming, SpaceX, Forge Global Locations: Kazakhstan, IPOs, Pitchbook
A trader works on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange on Dec. 4, 2023. U.S. stock futures were flat Monday night after the Dow Jones Industrial Average surpassed 38,000 for the first time ever. S&P 500 futures rose 0.03%, while Nasdaq 100 futures gained 0.07%. In extended trading, United Airlines rose more than 6% after reporting strong fourth-quarter results. The 30-stock Dow advanced more than 100 points, or 0.4%, to hit a new record and close above 38,000 for the first time.
Persons: Russell, Cheryl Young, Johnson, Lockheed Martin Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Dow Jones Industrial, Dow, Nasdaq, United Airlines, Boeing, Max, Alaska Airlines, United . American Airlines, Southwest Airlines, Alaska Air Group, Delta Air Lines, Nvidia, Rockefeller, Family, Procter, Gamble, Lockheed, Netflix
The Dow Jones Industrial Average set its first record close since January 2022 in December and ended Friday's session at a record high above 37,800. The Nasdaq, on the other hand, ended Friday at 15,310.97 — meaning it needs to rally about 5% more to take out its Nov. 19, 2021 record high. It is worth noting that the Nasdaq 100 , which is weighed more heavily in Big Tech, did close at another record high Friday. Quite a bit has happened on Wall Street since the S & P 500's old high in January 2022. Take a look below to see how 31 of our 32 current Club stocks have fared between the S & P 500's record closes.
Persons: Eli Lilly, Jim Cramer, tirzepatide, Tirzepatide, Lilly, , Eaton, we've, it's, Jim Cramer's, Jim, Spencer Platt Organizations: Nvidia, Palo Alto Networks, Palo, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Big Tech, Federal Reserve, GE Healthcare, Abbott Labs, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, New York Stock Exchange, Getty Locations: Palo, Palo Alto, Covid, New York City
Wall Street is on the verge of confirming a new bull market has begun, and these stocks could be the next big winners. Here's the criteria: Average analysts' forecasts imply at least 15% upside moving forward. Average analysts' forecasts imply more than 15% upside moving forward. Analysts think the stock can climb even higher, with their average forecasts implying nearly 22% upside moving forward. Analysts forecast a further 21% upside moving forward.
Persons: Stocks, Jane Fraser's, Conor Cunningham, Wells Organizations: Nasdaq, CNBC, Financial, Citigroup, Citi, Shipping, FedEx, Analysts, Melius Research, JBL, L3Harris Technologies
Even as the S & P 500 nears a new high, JPMorgan's Dubravko Lakos-Bujas remains relatively pessimistic on how 2024 will pan out. In a Friday client report, he called the early results and forward guidance from S & P 500 companies "lackluster." Just about one out of every 10 S & P 500 companies has reported results, according to FactSet. His concerns come as the S & P 500 is poised to hit an all-time high closing level on Friday. The average analyst has a 4,914 target for the S & P 500 at the end of 2024, according to CNBC Pro's Market Strategist Survey.
Persons: JPMorgan hasn't, Dubravko, Bujas Organizations: JPMorgan, Federal, Traders, Fed, CNBC Pro's, Survey
“Consumer views were supported by confidence that inflation has turned a corner and strengthening income expectations,” Hsu added. “Like December, there was a broad consensus of improved sentiment across age, income, education, and geography,” Hsu said. There may, however, be some relief in 2024 as mortgage rates fall in line with reduced interest rates from the Federal Reserve. “Mortgage rates will continue to remain a wild card for home shoppers,” said Danielle Hale, chief economist at Realtor.com. "Mortgage rates are meaningfully lower compared to just two months ago, and more inventory is expected to appear on the market in upcoming months."
Persons: Joanne Hsu, ” Hsu, , Danielle Hale, Lawrence Yun Organizations: University of Michigan, Republicans, Federal Reserve, National Association of Realtors, , Realtor.com, National Association of Home Builders, Federal Reserve Bank of New, Federal Reserve Bank, Atlanta’s Locations: , Federal Reserve Bank of New York
Total: 25