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Gold slips as dollar firms; market eyes crucial U.S. data
  + stars: | 2024-10-28 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
A one kilogram gold bar sits on top of silver bars. Gold prices fell on Monday as the U.S. dollar held firm, while investors awaited U.S. economic data for fresh insights on the Federal Reserve's monetary policy path. Spot gold fell 0.5% to $2,733.01 per ounce, as of 0232 GMT. A stronger dollar makes gold less appealing for other currency holders. Gold hit a record high of $2,758.37 on Wednesday, driven by safe-haven demand due to geopolitical uncertainties.
Persons: Tim Waterer, CME's, Benjamin Netanyahu, Ali Khamenei, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris Organizations: U.S ., Federal, U.S, KCM, Fed, Iranian Locations: U.S
The one big fear that could upend the bull market
  + stars: | 2024-10-28 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
A chain reaction sparked by continued inflation could put the bull market to rest, according to Trivariate Research. As the bull market enters its third year, investors are wondering how much more room there is to run before a pullback is due. Now, Fed funds futures are pricing in a more than 95% likelihood of another drop to the borrowing costs at the central bank's November gathering, according to CME's FedWatch tool. In 2021 and 2022, Parker said there was a "strong and statistically significant relationship" between Fed funds futures and the price-to-earnings multiple on growth stocks. Though that connection now looks different, the Morgan Stanley alum said he would be "surprised if multiples did not compress meaningfully" if the expectation for the Fed funds rate rises from 3.5% to 5% or above.
Persons: Adam Parker, Paul Tudor Jones, Stanley Druckenmiller, Parker, Morgan Stanley, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Tudor Jones, Dow Jones Organizations: Research, Federal Reserve, CNBC, Dow
European markets are expected to start the week on a lackluster note Monday as investors review the geopolitical situation in the Middle East. The U.K.'s FTSE 100 index is expected to open 8 points lower at 8,243, Germany's DAX up 30 points at 19,747, France's CAC up 12 points at 7,508 and Italy's FTSE MIB up 108 points at 34,648, according to data from IG. Market participants will be digesting a cooling geopolitical situation in the Middle East Monday after weekend airstrikes by Israel against Iran did not target oil or nuclear facilities as feared. Oil prices slid more than 4% Monday, although Citi analysts discounted the chance of an escalation that disrupts oil supplies. U.S. equity futures jumped as investors looked ahead to a batch of mega-cap technology earnings to keep driving the Nasdaq Composite to new heights this week.
Persons: Germany's DAX Organizations: France's CAC, IG, Citi, Nikkei, Nasdaq Locations: Israel, Iran, Asia, Pacific
For all we know, the yield curve may simply be going through the birthing of an un-inverted yield curve. GOOGL YTD mountain Alphabet YTD Search used to be so simple. META YTD mountain Meta Platforms YTD Meta Platforms has run big ahead of the quarter. AMZN YTD mountain Amazon YTD Let's get to the two toughest of the week, Amazon and Apple. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio.
Persons: let's, Eli Lilly, nonfarm payrolls, Carl Quintanilla, batty, Jeff Marks, Waymo, Elon Musk, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Department's, Mark Zuckerberg, Jensen Huang, Marc Benioff, Trump, Warren Buffett, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim Organizations: CNBC, Microsoft, Apple, Treasury, Federal Reserve, charlatans, Honeywell, Twitter, Club, Gemini, YouTube, Google, Donner Party of cannibalization, AMD, Nvidia, Intel, Merck, Pfizer, Tech Titans, Meta, Amazon Web Services Locations: Wall, cyclicals, California, Philly
U.S. equity futures jumped as investors looked for a batch of megacap technology earnings to keep driving the Nasdaq Composite to new heights this week. Weekend airstrikes by Israel against Iran did not target oil or nuclear facilities as was feared and oil futures were lower in early trading. S&P 500 futures gained 0.4% and Nasdaq 100 futures increased by 0.5%. Both the Dow and S&P snapped a six-week winning streak, but the Nasdaq eked out its seventh positive week in a row. "One thing we expect to see play out is these megacap tech names continuing to reinforce commitment to AI in tech spending broadly," Yung-Yu Ma chief investment officer at BMO Wealth Management, told CNBC.
Persons: Yung, Yu Ma Organizations: Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Dow, Presidential, Microsoft, Meta, Apple, BMO Wealth Management, CNBC Locations: Israel, Iran
Oil prices rose on Friday and are on track for a weekly gain of more than 1%, as tensions in the world's top oil-producing region, the Middle East, and a restart in Gaza ceasefire talks in the coming days kept traders on edge. Both benchmarks settled down 58 cents a barrel in the previous session after prices fluctuated against expectations of heightened or reduced tensions in the Middle East. Oil traders are waiting for Israel's response to a missile attack by Iran on Oct. 1 that may involve hitting Tehran's oil infrastructure and disrupt supplies, although reports said Israel would strike Iranian military, not nuclear or oil, targets. U.S. and Israeli officials are set to restart talks for a ceasefire and the release of hostages in Gaza in the coming days. Ceasefire talks have a small net negative impact on oil prices, Sycamore said, adding the focus is more on the conflict in Lebanon and Israel's potential response to Iran.
Persons: Tony Sycamore, Israel, Antony Blinken, Sycamore Organizations: Brent, West Texas, NPC, East ., U.S Locations: Gaza, East, Iran, United States, Lebanon, France, China
Gold eyes weekly gains as geopolitical uncertainty boosts appeal
  + stars: | 2024-10-25 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Spot gold slipped 0.2% at $2,730.09 per ounce, as of 01:55 GMT. U.S. gold futures fell 0.2% to $2,742.80. "In the next three months, gold may reach $2,800, and from the annual perspective, it can surpass the psychologically important $3,000 barrier." The U.S. asked the Group of Seven allies to consider sanctions on Russian palladium and titanium, Bloomberg News reported. It benefits from its dual role of monetary value and as an industrial metal with growth driven by the breakneck growth of photovoltaics," said Paul Wong, market strategist at Sprott Asset Management.
Persons: Alexander Manzyuk Gold, Julia Khandoshko, Nornickel, Daniel Hynes, Silver, Paul Wong Organizations: REUTERS, Bloomberg News, ANZ, Sprott Asset Management Locations: Siberian, Krasnoyarsk, Russia, Gaza . U.S, Doha, Gaza, U.S
Their memories are so short,” the man said, incredulous that any union member in Wisconsin is now backing Trump. Teamsters members who backed Harris carried out what’s considered by the campaign to be among the most persuasive of arguments: those made peer to peer. After the news broke that the national organization wouldn’t endorse Harris, however, local Teamsters groups, including many of the largest, swiftly backed Harris. Trump’s a scab!”The United Auto Workers union, which has a vast representation in the swing state of Michigan, has also put its weight behind Harris. It’s my tax money going to union workers,” Jones said.
Persons: Kamala Harris, Scott Walker’s, Donald Trump, , Trump, , Harris, Tim Walz, Democratic Sen, Tammy Baldwin, what’s, Elon Musk, ” Josh Orton, Harris ’, Bill Carroll, Mandel Ngan, Sean O’Brien, Joe Biden, Karoline Leavitt, ” Leavitt, Leavitt, Jim Ridderbush, ” Ridderbush, didn’t, Shawn Fain, Biden, John A, Daniel Jones, “ That’s, ” Jones, “ Donald Trump, he’d, Scott Walker, Tesla, “ I’m Trump, ” Jacob Ralph, Lori Jensen, Sean O’Brien didn’t, Sean, “ I’ll Organizations: Teamsters, Republican Gov, Gov, Democratic, Trump, NBC News, Getty, International Brotherhood of Teamsters, United Food, Commercial Workers, , United Auto Workers union, Biden, Neenah Locations: OSHKOSH, Wisconsin, Foxconn, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Madison, Wis, AFP, Green Bay, Oshkosh, Duluth , Minnesota, Superior , Wisconsin
Where Vanguard sees opportunity to earn income right now
  + stars: | 2024-10-24 | by ( Michelle Fox | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
With the Federal Reserve rate-cutting cycle now underway, income investors may want to take a closer look at their portfolios. In this environment, Vanguard likes higher-quality, fixed-income assets. However, with high yield credit, Vanguard is focusing on bottom-up security selection due to the dispersion among issuers. CCC-rated bonds gained 12.5% year to date, as of Sept 30, versus the 4.3% return in AA credit, according to Vanguard. Individual investors can get access to corporate credit through mutual funds or exchange-traded funds comprising investment-grade or high-yield bonds.
Persons: Sara Devereux, Devereux, Colleen Cunniffe, Cunniffe, outsized Organizations: Federal, Vanguard, Fed, Investor, Securities, Exchange Commission, Fund Locations: Utilities
Below, two gold experts share four ways investors can add gold to their portfolios. AdvertisementIn general, physical gold is a less liquid way to own the asset and is quite costly. Synthetic gold ETFs don't hold physical gold, investing instead in gold derivatives such as futures and options. In Milling-Stanley's opinion, investing in mining stocks instead of directly investing in gold erodes some of the metal's portfolio protection, as mining stocks behave more in line with the general equity market. Royalties limit the holder's exposure to the risks associated with directly investing in mines, such as exploration, development, and regulatory compliance.
Persons: , Jeff Muhlenkamp, they'll, George Milling, Stanley, Muhlenkamp Organizations: Service, Costco, Muhlenkamp & Company, State Street Global Advisors, Trust, MiniShares, Mining, Eagle Mines, Newmont Mining Corp, Wheaton Precious Metals Locations: Franco, Nevada
Gold ticks higher as safe-haven bids offset firm dollar
  + stars: | 2024-10-24 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Gold bars seen at Gold Investments bullion dealers in London, U.K., on January 15, 2014. Gold prices drifted higher on Thursday, as safe-haven demand countered a firmer dollar, while palladium hit a more than one-month peak. Spot gold rose 0.3% to $2,725.51 per ounce by 0143 GMT. A stronger dollar makes gold more expensive for other currency holders. "The Fed's monetary easing cycle, stimulus measures in China, and supply constraints will continue to drive silver prices higher into 2025 where it could potentially scale higher levels of around $45," Sachdeva said.
Persons: Kamala Harris, Republican Donald Trump, Sugandha Sachdeva, Sachdeva, Nornickel Organizations: Gold Investments, U.S, Republican, New, SS, Bloomberg News Locations: London, New Delhi, ., China, U.S
S&P 500 futures are muted Thursday night after the broad index ended a three-day negative streak. Futures tied to the broad index added less than 0.1%, as did Nasdaq 100 futures . The Nasdaq Composite joined the S&P 500 in finishing the session in the green, with both lifted by Tesla' s post-earnings rally. A slide in Treasury yields also gave the S&P 500 and Nasdaq upward momentum, according to Megan Horneman, chief investment officer at Verdence. The Dow has fared the worst with a drop of more than 2% as of Thursday's close, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq have shed 0.9% and 0.4%, respectively.
Persons: Dexcom, Tesla, Elon, Megan Horneman, Horneman, Dow, They'll Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Treasury, IBM, Boeing, Colgate, Palmolive, AutoNation, Newell Brands, University of
Oil prices edge higher, on track for 3% weekly gain
  + stars: | 2024-10-24 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Oil prices edged higher on Thursday, recouping some of the more than 1% losses from the previous session after U.S. crude inventories rose much more than estimated. Brent was on track for a 3.2% gain in the week, while WTI was set to rise 2.9%. Last week oil fell more than 7% on worries about Chinese demand and easing concerns about potential disruptions of Middle East oil supplies. Smaller-than-expected rate cuts will temper the reduction in borrowing costs, which in turn could affect economic activity and oil demand. Meanwhile, Israeli strikes pounded Beirut's southern suburbs on Wednesday and Hezbollah said it fired precision guided missiles for the first time at Israeli targets, keeping markets nervous about supply.
Persons: recouping, Brent, WTI Organizations: Brightoil Petroleum, Holdings, Brent, U.S, West Texas, U.S . Energy, Administration, Reserve Locations: Waidiao, Zhoushan, Zhejiang Province, China, Israel, East, U.S, Washington, Iran
Ashley Brundage is one of two out transgender candidates running for a seat in the Florida House of Representatives. NBC News spoke with seven transgender candidates who are running for seats in state legislatures nationwide about what they hope to accomplish if they are elected. Courtesy Lisa Middleton CampaignA steady riseAt least 18 out trans candidates are running for seats in state legislatures this election cycle, according to the LGBTQ Victory Fund, a super PAC focused on electing LGBTQ candidates. They are running against a national political backdrop in which trans people have come to play an outsized role. Trans candidates’ presence on ballots has only continued to rise since 2017, when Virginia’s Danica Roem became the first out trans person elected to a state legislature.
Persons: Ashley Brundage, Ron DeSantis, Brundage, DeSantis, she’d, DeSantis —, , ” Brundage, , Lisa Middleton, Donald Trump, Gabriele Magni, ” Trump, Magni, there’s, Virginia’s Danica Roem, hasn’t, Sarah McBride, Sean Meloy, McBride, Nathan Bruemmer, Middleton, it’s, , Kim Coco Iwamoto, Lorna Woo, Veronica Pejril, Pejril, Wick Thomas, ” Thomas, Transphobia, , ” Iwamoto, Thomas, they’ve, Babe Pejril, It’s, ” Pejril Organizations: Republican, NBC, Democratic, City Council, Victory Fund, Pew Research, Loyola Marymount University, LGBTQ Victory Institute, Delaware Senate, Democrat, Florida Legislature, Florida Department of Agriculture, Consumer Services, Indiana Senate, Missouri, NBC News, Gun Safety Locations: Florida, California, Palm Springs, Calif, Los Angeles, Delaware, Tampa, Hawaii, Indiana, Greencastle, Council
Gold's record rally pauses due to stronger dollar, higher yields
  + stars: | 2024-10-23 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Gold prices surged to a record high on Wednesday as the conflicts in the Middle East and uncertainty surrounding the upcoming U.S. election spurred demand for safe-haven assets. Gold prices fell over 1% after hitting a record high on Wednesday, as a stronger dollar and a rise in U.S. Treasury yields countered support from safe-haven demand linked to the Nov. 5 U.S. election and Middle East war. Spot gold was down 1% to $2,721.12 per ounce as of 12:25 p.m. EDT (1410 GMT) after hitting a record high of $2,758.37 earlier in the session. However, gold could see the $2,800/oz level by the week's end on safe-haven demand, Haberkorn added. The dollar index rose 0.3% to near a three-month high, making gold less appealing for other currency holders, while U.S. bond yields climbed to a three-month high.
Persons: Bob Haberkorn, Haberkorn, Ole Hansen, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump Organizations: Treasury, Saxo Bank, U.S, Republican, Reuters Locations: U.S
(This is a wrap-up of the key money moving discussions on CNBC's "Worldwide Exchange" exclusive for PRO subscribers. Worldwide Exchange airs at 5 a.m. Investors on Wednesday were focused on big news involving two Dow Jones Industrial Average components: Boeing and McDonald's. The current bull market and how much more stocks can continue to rally was also on investors' minds. McDonald's E. coli outbreak, Boeing earnings McDonald's shares were lower and the primary drag on Dow futures after an E-coli outbreak linked to Quarter Pounders that has killed one person and lead to dozens being hospitalized.
Persons: Sara Senatore, Senatore, Kelly Ortberg, Phil Lebeau, Tony Bancroft, , Ortberg, Piper, Craig Johnson, Piper Sandler, Johnson Organizations: PRO, Worldwide, Dow Jones, Boeing, Dow, Bank of America, New, CNBC, Gabelli, Aerospace, Defense, Federal Aviation Administration, Max Jets, Piper, Marvell, Scotts Miracle, Gro Locations: Corning, Illumina
Brent crude futures dropped $1.08, or 1.42%, to close at $74.96 a barrel. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures shed 97 cents, or 1.35%, to settle at $70.77 a barrel. "The large crude oil inventory build this week is offsetting the drop last week. Also pressuring oil prices, the dollar index rose on Wednesday to its highest since late July. The impact of the crude stocks build on prices was countered somewhat by persistent concerns over potential oil supply risk from conflict in the Middle East.
Persons: paring, Andrew Lipow, Antony Blinken's, Blinken, Yeap Jun Rong Organizations: Brent, . West Texas, Energy Information Administration, Lipow Oil Associates, ING Locations: East, Israel, Gaza, Lebanon, Middle, U.S, Milton, Lebanese
10-year Treasury yield tops 4.2% briefly
  + stars: | 2024-10-22 | by ( Pia Singh Jenni Reid | Pia Singh | In | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
Meanwhile, the yield on the 2-year Treasury was about two basis points higher at 4.047%. After jumping 12 basis points on Monday, the yield on the 10-year Treasury rose nearly three basis points to 4.21%, a level it has not reached in three months. The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield continued its gains on Tuesday after Federal Reserve officials urged caution on the path of interest rate cuts. It is a quiet week on the data front, but a busy week for Federal Reserve commentary, with an array of policymakers delivering speeches. Rates have actually increased since the Fed cut rates by a half point one month ago.
Persons: Neel Kashkari, Lorie Logan, Jeff Schmid, , Jeff Cox Organizations: Treasury, Federal, Federal Reserve, Minneapolis, Dallas Federal, Kansas, Traders Locations: U.S
"We aren't flashy with our wealth because money isn't our ultimate goal," one said. Gary said they had an "incredibly average" path to wealth, emphasizing prudent investments and modest living. Some stories of people striking it rich and retiring early include unrelatable circumstances, such as family wealth, entrepreneurship, or a superstar career at the top of the corporate ladder. Lawrence Delva-Gonzalez and his wife grew their net worth from $150,000 in debt in 2012 to $1.3 million in 2024. AdvertisementJustin Hall and his wife now live a nomadic lifestyle after retiring early.
Persons: , Anthony Drew Gary, Gary, could've, Xiao Yu, Xiao Yu Yu, It's, Yu, they're, it's, Lawrence Delva, Gonzalez, Delva, Justin Hall Organizations: Service, Indiana, Aldi, Federal, Federal Reserve, Marine Corps, Justin Hall Hall, Air Force Locations: Indianapolis, China, Washington, DC, Port, Prince, Haiti, Tallahassee, Virginia
Gold hovers near record high on safe-haven demand
  + stars: | 2024-10-22 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Gold prices rose on Tuesday and hovered near a record high hit in the previous session amid uncertainties around the U.S. election, ongoing Middle East tensions, and expectations of central banks' interest rate cuts. Gold prices rose on Tuesday and hovered near a record high hit in the previous session amid uncertainties around the U.S. election, ongoing Middle East tensions, and expectations of central banks' interest rate cuts. Spot gold rose 0.4% to $2,729.91 per ounce by 0303 GMT. Gold hit its all-time high of $2,740.37 on Monday and has gained about 32% so far this year. Benchmark 10-year Treasury yields rose to a 12-week high in the last session, while the U.S. dollar clung to a two-and-half-month high on Tuesday.
Persons: Yeap Jun Rong, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris Organizations: U.S, Fed, Citi Research Locations: tailwinds, Israel, Lebanon, Gaza
A bronze bull statue outside the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) building in Mumbai, India, on Monday, June 3, 2024. India's stock futures jumped after exit polls indicated a resounding victory for Prime Minister Narendra Modi's ruling party in general elections that concluded Saturday. Photographer: Dhiraj Singh/Bloomberg via Getty ImagesAsia-Pacific markets slipped on Tuesday, trailing a mixed session on Wall Street. During the U.S. trading session, two Federal Reserve officials had spoken about the trajectory of interest rates. Dallas Federal Reserve President Lorie Logan said she supports the current move to lowering interest rates, but that a patient approach will be needed.
Persons: Narendra Modi's, Dhiraj Singh, Australia's, Kospi, Neel Kashkari, Lorie Logan Organizations: Bombay Stock Exchange, Bloomberg, Getty Images, Nikkei, Hyundai, Federal, Minneapolis, Dallas Federal Locations: Mumbai, India, Getty Images Asia, Pacific, South, Asia, Hyundai India
The Phillips 66 Carson refinery is shown after the company said it will shut its large Los Angeles-area oil refinery late next year, delivering a blow to California's fuel supply, in Carson, California, on Oct. 17, 2024. U.S. crude oil futures extended gains on Tuesday after rising nearly 2% in the previous session. Oil prices have bounced back somewhat after selling off steeply last week. Traders increasingly view a supply disruption in the Middle East due to Israel-Iran tensions as unlikely. Weak demand in China has also weighed on prices recently.
Organizations: Traders Locations: Carson, Los Angeles, Carson , California, Israel, Iran, China, Beijing
Oil prices ended down 7% last week and are lower this year-to-date, despite Middle East tensions. Oil prices have been depressed this year because China — the world's largest oil importer — is in a prolonged economic downturn. Last year, they each accounted for 11% of the world's oil supply. This means that Saudi Arabia is looking to corner a larger market share instead of targeting higher profit margins by restricting output. Advertisement"But the problem is when oil prices spike, it sends oil companies searching for temporarily profitable oil," he added, referring to the US shale boom as the most recent example.
Persons: , Abishur Prakash, Prakash, Anton Siluanov, Matthew Huber, we're, Huber Organizations: Service, , Financial Times, International Energy Agency, Brent, US West Texas, Syracuse University, Saudi, Trump, OPEC Locations: Saudi Arabia, Russia, China, Toronto, Israel, Iran, Europe, OPEC
Treasury yields are raining on the stock market's parade. The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield soared above 4.2% on Tuesday for the first time since late July. The bank compiled different scenarios for how the 10-year and 2-year Treasury yields may react, depending on the election outcome. "We think a blue or red sweep is likely to impact Treasury yields more than a divided government," traders at the bank wrote. "We expect FSLR to benefit from either candidate winning the presidential election," analyst Vikram Bagri wrote.
Persons: Donald Trump's, Trump, Kamala Harris, Vikram Bagri Organizations: Federal Reserve, JPMorgan, Trump, NBC News, Citi, Democratic, Republican Locations: China
Oil prices fell on Tuesday, paring the previous day's nearly 2% rise as the top U.S. diplomat renewed efforts to push for a ceasefire in the Middle East, and as slow demand in China, the world's top oil importer, continued to weigh on the market. Oil prices fell on Tuesday, paring the previous day's nearly 2% rise as the top U.S. diplomat renewed efforts to push for a ceasefire in the Middle East, and as slow demand in China, the world's top oil importer, continued to weigh on the market. "Crude oil prices have been fluctuating in response to mixed news from the Middle East, as the situation alternates between escalation and de-escalation," Satoru Yoshida, a commodity analyst with Rakuten Securities. U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken headed to the Middle East on Monday seeking to revive talks to end the Gaza war and defuse the spillover conflict in Lebanon. China's oil-demand growth is expected to remain weak in 2025 despite recent stimulus measures from Beijing as the world's No.
Persons: paring, Brent, WTI, recouping, Satoru Yoshida, Antony Blinken Organizations: Brent, . West Texas, Rakuten Securities, International Energy Agency Locations: China, Iran, Gaza, Lebanon, Beijing, Saudi Aramco
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