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U.S. stock futures hovered near the flatline Tuesday night following a winning session for the major averages. Dow Jones Industrial Average futures rose 11 points, or 0.03%. S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq 100 futures dipped 0.01% and 0.01%, respectively. Wall Street is coming off a strong session for the major averages as tech stocks outperformed, and oil prices eased off their highs. The S&P 500 rose nearly 1%, while the Nasdaq Composite rallied about 1.5%.
Persons: Dow, Keith Lerner, Lerner, Wells Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Nvidia, Broadcom, Truist, U.S, Treasury, Fed, JPMorgan Chase Locations: what's, Wells Fargo
Gold eases as dollar firms; focus on Fed cues, U.S. data
  + stars: | 2024-10-08 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Spot gold was down 0.2% to $2,639.45 per ounce, as of 0303 GMT. U.S. gold futures lost 0.3% to $2,658.70. The dollar index hovered near a seven-week high, making bullion more expensive for holders of other currencies, while the benchmark U.S. Treasury 10-year yield topped 4% for the first time in more than two months. Investors are focused on the minutes of the Fed's latest policy meeting, due on Wednesday, followed by the U.S. Consumer Price Index on Thursday and the Producer Price Index data on Friday. "Looking ahead, if we see any upside surprises in the U.S. CPI numbers this week, this could boost further boost the dollar and pressure gold," Waterer added.
Persons: Gold, Tim Waterer, Israel, Bullion, Waterer, Louis, Alberto Musalem Organizations: Treasury, KCM Trade, U.S . Consumer, U.S, CPI, Louis Fed Locations: Singapore, Haifa, Lebanon, Gaza, St
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe Fed is now ahead of the curve with rate cuts, says Morgan Stanley's Brian WeinsteinBrian Weinstein, Morgan Stanley Investment Management head of global markets, joins CNBC to discuss outlooks on China, expectations for the Federal Reserve, and more.
Persons: Morgan, Brian Weinstein Brian Weinstein Organizations: Morgan Stanley Investment Management, CNBC, Federal Reserve Locations: China
Two Democratic lawmakers are demanding that some of the biggest food and beverage companies stop engaging in “shrinkflation” — the practice of reducing product sizes while charging prices that are the same or higher. Spokespeople for General Mills, Coca-Cola and PepsiCo did not immediately respond to requests for comment. President Joe Biden has mentioned shrinkflation numerous times, declaring it a “rip-off” in a video he posted to X. Sarah Gallo, senior vice president of federal affairs at Consumer Brands Association, a trade group that Coca-Cola, PepsiCo and General Mills all belong to, defended industry practices to NBC News. Dean said the letters were sent to “ease the wrongful burden” the companies are imposing on consumers.
Persons: Sen, Elizabeth Warren of, Madeleine Dean of, Mills, General Mills, Jeff Harmening, James Quincey, , Ramon Laguarta, Spokespeople, Warren, Dean, ” Warren, ” Sen, Elizabeth Warren, Ting Shen, Joe Biden, Nailya Ordabayeva, , ” Ordabayeva, shrinkflation, Doritos, Sarah Gallo, ’ ” Dean Organizations: Democratic, Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts, Cola, PepsiCo, NBC, North, Retail, CNBC, Gatorade, Republican, Taxation, Economic, , NBC News, Bloomberg, Boston University Questrom School of Business, Consumer Brands Association, General, Federal Reserve Bank of San Locations: shrinkflation, Washington, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
A television broadcasts the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange on Sept. 18, 2024. Roche said the figures made the Fed's "jumbo interest rate cut look silly, populist and panicky." 1 is that [it gives the impression that] the economy is more fragile than it is ... and the economy is fine, thank you very much, and doesn't need jumbo rate cuts," he told CNBC's "Squawk Box Europe." And headline and core inflation will stay above the Fed target of 2%, so the case for aggressive rate cuts [is not there]," he said. "Yes there is a case for modest rate cuts, there is a case for 25 to 50 basis point cuts by January next year, but a case for 50 basis point cut at the next meeting just does not exist," Parker said.
Persons: Michael Nagle, David Roche, Roche, CNBC's, " Roche, Bob Parker, Parker, Dave Pierce Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Bloomberg, Getty, Federal Reserve, CNBC, Quantum, Federal, Market, International Capital Markets Association, Fed, Global, Capital, Dow Jones Industrial Locations: Israel, U.S
Harris’ plan would boost the debt by $3.5 trillion over the next decade, while Trump’s platform would cause it to spike by $7.5 trillion, according to the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget’s report, released Monday. It found that Harris’ measures could have no significant impact on the debt or could increase it by $8.1 trillion. And Trump’s proposals could balloon the debt by between $1.5 trillion and $15.2 trillion. These proposals would cost $2.3 trillion in total. But the committee estimates these tariffs would bring in between $2 trillion and $4.3 trillion over a decade — not enough to cover Trump’s agenda.
Persons: CNN —, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Harris ’, Harris, , Trump, Jerome Powell, “ We’re, ” Marc Goldwein, Brian Hughes, Trump’s, , That’s, Joe Biden’s, Katie Lobosco, Matt Egan Organizations: CNN, Republicans, Democrats, Trump, Social Security, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Center, of Education Locations: American
In pointed letters, Sen. Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts and Rep. Madeleine Dean of Pennsylvania accused General Mills, Coca-Cola and PepsiCo of engaging in a "pattern of profiteering" through shrinkflation and by "dodging taxes." The same with PepsiCo, which "replaced its 32 oz Gatorade bottle with a 28 oz bottle for the same price." Spokespeople for General Mills, Coca-Cola and PepsiCo did not immediately respond to requests for comment. President Joe Biden has mentioned shrinkflation numerous times, declaring it a "rip-off" in a video he posted to X. Sarah Gallo, senior vice president of federal affairs at Consumer Brands Association, a trade group that Coca-Cola, PepsiCo and General Mills all belong to, defended industry practices to NBC News.
Persons: Sen, Elizabeth Warren of, Madeleine Dean of, Mills, General Mills, Jeff Harmening, James Quincey, Ramon Laguarta, Spokespeople, Warren, Dean, Joe Biden, Nailya Ordabayeva, Ordabayeva, shrinkflation, Doritos, Sarah Gallo Organizations: Democratic, Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts, Cola, PepsiCo, NBC, North, Retail, CNBC, Gatorade, Republican, Taxation, Economic, NBC News, Boston University Questrom School of Business, Consumer Brands Association, General, Federal Reserve Bank of San Locations: Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
Asia-Pacific markets mostly climbed on Monday, led by Japan's Nikkei 225 gaining 2% as investors look ahead to a week of central bank decisions from around the region. Three central banks are set to release their interest rate decisions this week, namely the Bank of Korea, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand and the Reserve Bank of India. Economists polled by Reuters expect the BOK and RBNZ to cut rates, while the RBI will hold. The BOK on Friday is expected to lower its benchmark interest rate to 3.25% from 3.5%, while the RBNZ is expected to enact a 50-basis-point cut to 4.75% on Wednesday. Back in August, the RBNZ surprised economists after it lowered its policy rate to 5.25% from 5.5%.
Persons: BOK Organizations: Japan's Nikkei, Bank of, Reserve Bank of New, Reserve Bank of India, Reuters Locations: Seoul . Asia, Pacific, Bank of Korea, Reserve Bank of New Zealand
Inflation could be a market-driving fear again this week when September data is released, according to Bank of America. But last week's stronger-than-expected jobs report has shaken up the consensus outlook for the economy. "After the blowout jobs report, CPI is no longer a 'non-event.' The CPI report is due out before the opening bell Thursday. Economists surveyed by Dow Jones expect the CPI report to show a 0.1% increase in September and a 2.3% rise from 12 months earlier.
Persons: Dow Jones Organizations: Bank of America, Federal
Dollar on a roll after U.S. jobs data and Middle East flare-up
  + stars: | 2024-10-07 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
Bank notes of the Chinese yuan, Japanese yen and the U.S. dollar. Japan's yen fell to its lowest in nearly two months and other major currencies too were grappling with losses early on Monday as the dollar extended a rally sparked by Friday's strong U.S. jobs data and an escalation in the Middle East conflict. But that came on top of a more than 4% decline last week, its biggest weekly percentage decline since early 2009. Yields dipped early last week when investors bought safe-haven Treasuries after Iran launched more than 180 missiles against Israel in escalating geopolitical tensions. Market expectations have swung to the extreme for the Federal Reserve to do just a 25 bps cut in November, rather than 50 bps, following the jobs data.
Persons: Friday's, Chris Weston, haven't, Brent, underperformance, Shigeru Ishiba, Sterling, Huw Pill, Andrew Bailey, BoE Organizations: U.S ., Federal, U.S, Treasuries, Federal Reserve, Bank of England Locations: China, East, Israel, Lebanon, Gaza, Iran, Japan
Every weekday the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer holds a "Morning Meeting" livestream at 10:20 a.m. Oil prices also continued their climb higher on escalating tensions in the Middle East — though Jim Cramer cautioned investors against chasing the concurrent rally in energy stocks at this point. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.
Persons: Jim Cramer, downgrades, We'll, Morgan Stanley, Wells Fargo, Jim, Abbott, Louis, Stocks, Jim Cramer's Organizations: CNBC, Apple, DuPont, Constellation Brands, Federal, U.S, Bank, Abbott Laboratories, FDA, CDC, NIH, Abbott Labs, Pfizer, American Express, KB, Netflix, Air Products, Chemicals, Jim Cramer's Charitable Locations: U.S, St
Goldman lowers recession odds to just 15%
  + stars: | 2024-10-07 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
The bank's economists over the weekend lowered their recession probability to just 15%, which chief economist Jan Hatzius classified as the "unconditional long-term average." September's smashing nonfarm payrolls surge of 254,000 and a downward move in the unemployment rate served as a catalyst for the firm to nearly abandon the chance of a contraction. Prior to the report, traders had been betting that the Fed might repeat its 50 basis point — half percentage point — interest rate cut from September before the end of the year. But expectations have swung now, and Goldman concurs with market pricing that the "next few meetings" will see 25 basis point moves. That's about 1.5 percentage points lower than the current level and 2 full percentage points below the pre-September cut.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Jan Hatzius, Hatzius, Goldman, Lisa Shallett, Morgan Stanley, Shallett Organizations: Labor Department, Federal Reserve Locations: U.S
Friday's knockout jobs report has squashed fears of an imminent recession. Goldman Sachs cut the chances of a recession in the next year to 15%, and other analysts cheered. AdvertisementRecession fears have weighed on Wall Street recently, but Friday's blowout jobs report has assuaged worries of an imminent economic downturn. "Friday's US labor report put paid to US recession fears," Rabobank's research team wrote. The latest jobs report has relieved some concerns about the economy, but also dashed hopes for another jumbo cut in November.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, , Stocks, Goldman, Saxo, Kamala Harris Organizations: Service, Dow Jones, Labor Statistics, Federal Locations: There's
US stocks fell Monday as bond yields and oil prices moved higher. The rise in oil prices and solid September jobs report has revived inflation concerns. Friday's release of the September jobs report sparked the move higher in yields. AdvertisementMeanwhile, oil prices continued to surge on Monday, rising by about 4% as tensions in the Middle East continued to simmer on the first anniversary of the Hamas-led attack against Israel. The rise in oil prices and the stronger jobs report are fanning fears of a potential rebound in inflation, which would mean fewer rate cuts from the Federal Reserve.
Persons: Organizations: PepsiCo, Service, Treasury, Israel, Federal Reserve, Amazon, Epic, Bank of America, Here's Locations: Hurricane Milton, Wells
Why a key borrowing rate is above 4% again
  + stars: | 2024-10-07 | by ( Krystal Hur | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +1 min
New York CNN —A key borrowing rate for American consumers has jumped to a level not seen in months. The yield on the benchmark 10-year US Treasury note breached 4% on Monday for the first time since August. The 10-year yield closed at 3.98% on Friday, up from 3.85% on Thursday. The 10-year yield tracks the rate on everything from mortgages to student loans to car loans, leaving consumers looking to borrow for big-ticket purchases with elevated costs. Investors will parse the Consumer Price Index report for September and wholesale inflation figures.
Persons: , Karl Schamotta Organizations: New, New York CNN, Treasury, Federal Reserve, Solutions, Fed Locations: New York
Ally automatically moves "safe-to-save" money into savings — I've saved over $4,000 this way. Toss a rock in any direction, and you'll find banks advertising high-yield savings accounts with interest rates between 4.5% and 5.0%, even after the Federal Reserve lowered interest rates. Ally has savings features that boost my financial goalsAlly also has easy-to-use savings features, such as creating up to 30 buckets for different goals. I also have surprise savings set up, and usually, a few times a month, I get a notification to expect a surprise savings. Since I opened my main savings account three years ago, I've stashed away nearly $4,000 in surprise savings from one account.
Persons: Ally doesn't, Ally, I've, Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve Locations: there's
But as we wind down 2024, one thing appears clear: The naysayers on Team Hard Landing got it wrong. The “soft landing” versus “hard landing” metaphor — perhaps overused but visually handy — refers to the economy as an airplane and the Fed as the pilot. Pull the right levers at the right time, and you get a nice comfortable soft landing, with inflation cooling and the labor market thriving. He was far from alone in thinking that a soft landing was little more than a fantasy. “We should just drop the soft landing versus hard landing discourse and start talking about a robust expansion at mid-cycle,” Joe Brusuelas, chief economist at RSM, told Schwab Network in an interview.
Persons: CNN Business ’, everyone’s, , Sung Won Sohn, we’d, ” Aaron, , there’s, Justin Wolfers, Bill Dudley, “ I’ve, Dudley, Larry Summers, they’re, Joe Brusuelas Organizations: CNN Business, New York CNN, Loyola Marymount University, Fed, . Upjohn Institute, Employment Research, ICYMI, Bureau of Labor Statistics —, Federal Reserve Bank of New, Bloomberg, RSM, Schwab Network Locations: New York, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
US stocks fell Monday as investors assessed interest rate moves after Friday's strong jobs report. The 10-year Treasury yield rose above 4% for the first time since late July. Investors will focus on earnings season and the upcoming September CPI report this week. AdvertisementUS stocks dipped to start the week as investors assessed the outlook for interest rates following the strong September jobs report. The September CPI report is also on the economic calendar this week, set to be released on Thursday.
Persons: Organizations: Treasury, Service, Dow Jones, Federal Reserve, Investors, PepsiCo, Here's
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailDavid Roche says misleading 50-basis-point Fed cut will create market instabilityDavid Roche, strategist at Quantum Strategy, says the Federal Reserve's initial jumbo cut gives markets the wrong impression that rates will return to rock bottom.
Persons: David Roche Organizations: Quantum
See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's mortgage rates would impact your monthly payments. 30-Year Mortgage Rates TodayAverage 30-year mortgage rates are hovering near 6% today, according to Zillow data. 15-Year Mortgage Rates TodayAverage 15-year mortgage rates remain in the low 5% range, according to Zillow data. Average Refinance Mortgage Rates TodayRefinance rates have inched up after dropping in September. 5-Year Mortgage Rate TrendsHere's how 30-year and 15-year mortgage rates have trended over the last five years, according to Freddie Mac data.
Persons: they're, they've, you'll, Freddie Mac, it's, They'll Organizations: of Labor Statistics, Federal, Zillow, Fed Locations: U.S, Chevron
U.S. Treasury yields were slightly higher early Monday as investors assessed future moves from the Federal Reserve following Friday's bumper jobs report. The 10-year Treasury yield was up by under a basis point at 3.984%, while the yield on the 2-year Treasury was over 3 basis points higher at 3.968%. One basis point equals 0.01%. Treasury yields jumped on Friday as investors digested a better-than-expected September jobs report. The CME Group's FedWatch tool indicates that traders are now pricing in an 91% chance of a quarter percentage point rate cut at the central bank's next meeting in November.
Persons: Nonfarm payrolls, Dow Jones, Neel Kashkari, Raphael Bostic, Michelle Bowman, Alberto Musalem Organizations: Treasury, Federal, Investors Locations: Israel
New York CNN —Fans of Whole Foods’ iconic Berry Chantilly Cake have been up in arms on social media over the past few weeks. Berry Chantilly fans say they were victims of skimpflation, a member of the shrinkflation and inflation family. Whole Foods customers were quick to catch on, and by Friday, the company announced it had reversed its changes. “Based on feedback from our customers, we will reintroduce single slices of the Berry Chantilly Cake that are the same as the classic our customers know and love,” a Whole Foods spokesperson told CNN on Friday. The cake slices will be back to their previous version by next week, the company said.
Persons: Berry, It’s, , Berry Chantilly, they’re, , ” Joseph Balagtas, Edgar Dworsky, ” Dworsky, Dworsky, Blommer, Balagtas, ” Balagtas Organizations: New, New York CNN, Foods, Purdue University, CNN, Louis Federal Reserve, Consumer, “ Manufacturers, St, Reuters, Companies Locations: New York, West Africa, North America
Last month, the Federal Reserve cut its benchmark interest rate by half a percentage point and signaled that more cuts are coming. He hopes interest rate cuts will increase his buying power. Mortgage rates have steadily fallen in anticipation of further interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve. Mortgage rates have steadily fallen in anticipation of further interest rate cuts from the Fed, with the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate dropping to 6.12% in the week ended October 3, according to Freddie Mac. “Even a decent interest rate today far exceeds what we’ve been planning and budgeting on since we bought this home,” said Tony, who said his interest rate was 3.75%.
Persons: Robert Galvez, , Galvez, , ” Galvez, Kamala Harris ’, homebuyers, Brandon Bell, Tony, Freddie Mac, it’s, Safiya Reid, Nico Williams, Reid, Nico Williams “ I’m, ” Reid, she’s Organizations: CNN, Federal Reserve, National Association of Realtors, Federal Housing Administration, NACA Locations: New Hampshire, Atlanta, Okinawa, Japan
Federal Reserve interest rate cuts may help turn the tide for commercial real estate. "Lower interest rates are not a magic bullet, but less restrictive monetary policy lays the groundwork for a commercial real estate recovery," wrote senior economist Charlie Dougherty. "Decreased long-term interest rates appear to be easing upward pressure on cap rates and slowing declines in property valuations. "That said, reduced interest rates should prevent distress from spreading and shorten the hurdles coming down the road," he added. Gimple specifically likes single-asset, single-borrower CMBS and commercial real estate collateralized loan obligations.
Persons: Wells Fargo, Charlie Dougherty, Dougherty, Douglas Gimple, Gimple, It's, that's Organizations: Treasury, Companies, Fed Locations: Central, Diamond, Los Angeles, New York, Miami, Hawaii
The Fed is done cutting interest rates for the rest of the year, according to Ed Yardeni. Fears of a recession have been almost completely eliminated, the market vet said in a note. The no-show Fed-triggered recession will remain a no-show, especially now that the Fed has started to lower the FFR even though it isn't warranted by the performance of the economy," Yardeni wrote. I think it broadens out from the Magnificent Seven to the S&P 493," Yardeni added, speaking to Bloomberg on Monday. "We're going to have another quarter where I think earnings will go to a record-high in the third quarter."
Persons: Ed Yardeni, Yardeni, , landers, they're Organizations: Service, Reserve, Yardeni, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Services, Institution of Supply Management, Atlanta Fed, Fed, Bloomberg, Investor
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