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☆ Billionaire Asness says he is 'more a bond guy' at this moment
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-16 | by ( Carolina Mandl | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

Cliff Asness, Co-Founder, Managing Principal and Chief Investment Officer of AQR Capital Management, speaks at the Milken Institute Global Conference in Beverly Hills, California, U.S., May 2, 2016. REUTERS/Lucy Nicholson/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsNEW YORK, Nov 16 (Reuters) - Billionaire quant investor Cliff Asness said on Thursday that he currently favors bonds over equities, given the returns that U.S. Treasuries are offering. "I'm more of a bond than a stock guy at this point," the founder principal of AQR Capital Management said when asked about his asset preferences at a virtual event hosted by Brazilian bank Banco Bradesco. "Bonds are starting to look pretty, pretty reasonable. Asness added he believes U.S. stocks are unlikely to repeat the same valuation growth they posted in the last 30 years.

Persons: Cliff Asness, Lucy Nicholson, Bonds, Asness, Carolina Mandl, Jonathan Oatis, Nick Zieminski Organizations: AQR Capital Management, Milken Institute Global Conference, REUTERS, Banco Bradesco, Treasury, Reserve, Carolina, Thomson Locations: Beverly Hills , California, U.S, Banco Bradesco . U.S, New York

☆ Systematic hedge funds pummeled in post-U.S. CPI stocks rally - Goldman Sachs
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-16 | by ( Nell Mackenzie | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

A trader works on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., October 27, 2023. Stockpicking hedge funds that actively chose bets managed to gain 0.6% on Tuesday and are now poised for their best month since January this year, said Goldman Sachs. These hedge funds posted a positive 2.7% performance for the month to November 14 and up were up 5.8% for the year so far, the Goldman note added. Quantitative multi-strategy hedge funds have been the best performing strategies so far this year, with an 11.05% positive performance to end-October, said BNP Paribas. Hedge funds which trade on market volatility bear the lowest average of a 2.46% gain for the year to the end of October, said the French bank.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Nell Mackenzie, Dhara Ranasinghe Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Global, Reuters, Nasdaq, BNP, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S

☆ Exclusive: Three Fed governors tell US senator there is room to reduce balance sheet
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-16 | by ( Michael S. Derby | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

"Under plausible assumptions the size of the balance sheet could decline considerably further before reserves reach the level consistent with the ample reserves operating framework," Jefferson wrote in response to a series of questions from Scott about the roughly $8 trillion balance sheet. The senator also wrote letters to Fed Governors Lisa Cook and Adriana Kugler at the same time. Fed officials who have spoken on the matter have said the balance sheet can be reduced for an extended period. Speaking after the central bank's Oct. 31-Nov. 1 policy meeting, Fed Chair Jerome Powell said it was "not considering changing the pace of balance sheet runoff. Many market participants are eyeing next year or maybe 2025 as a potential time to end the drawdown of the balance sheet.

Persons: Philip Jefferson, Jefferson, Rick Scott, Scott, Lisa Cook, Adriana Kugler, Cook, Kugler, Jerome Powell, Loretta Mester, General, Michael S, Dan Burns, Paul Simao Organizations: Federal, Republican U.S, Fed, Reuters, Federal Reserve, Cleveland Fed, Thomson Locations: Jefferson

☆ BoE's Ramsden: UK interest rates to stay high for extended time
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-16 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

LONDON, Nov 16 (Reuters) - The Bank of England is likely to need to keep interest rates high for an extended period, Deputy Governor Dave Ramsden said on Thursday, sticking close to the central bank's existing language on the topic. Ramsden voted with the majority on the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) this month to keep interest rates on hold at a 15-year high of 5.25%. "Monetary policy is likely to need to be restrictive for an extended period of time," Ramsden said in prepared remarks for the European Systemic Risk Board's annual conference. "The MPC have communicated that monetary policy will need to be sufficiently restrictive for sufficiently long to return inflation to the 2% target sustainably in the medium term," he added. The BoE currently holds 748 billion pounds ($931 billion) of gilts, down from a peak of 875 billion pounds in December 2021, and committed to reduce its stockpile by 100 billion pounds between October 2023 and September 2024.

Persons: Dave Ramsden, Ramsden, BoE, David Milliken, Sachin Ravikumar, Kylie MacLellan Organizations: Bank of England, Monetary, Financial, Thomson

☆ JPMorgan boss Jamie Dimon warns it's too early for a Fed victory lap, as inflation 'may not go away that quickly'
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-15 | by ( George Glover | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Markets are probably overreacting to the October inflation data, according to Jamie Dimon. The JPMorgan CEO told Bloomberg that he's "afraid inflation may not go away that quickly". AdvertisementThe Federal Reserve shouldn't call time on its inflation fight just yet, according to Jamie Dimon. "I'm afraid inflation may not go away that quickly," Dimon added. AdvertisementThe JPMorgan boss isn't the only big name on Wall Street telling markets not to put too much stock in Tuesday's CPI print.

Persons: Jamie Dimon, —, Stocks, Dimon, El Financiero, that's, Dimon –, they've, isn't, Ken Griffin Organizations: JPMorgan, Bloomberg, Service, JPMorgan Chase, El Financiero Bloomberg, CPI, Billionaire Citadel

☆ U.S. Treasury yields have peaked, say strategists for fourth straight month
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-14 | by ( Sarupya Ganguly | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration Acquire Licensing RightsBENGALURU, Nov 14 (Reuters) - U.S. Treasury yields will fall in coming months, though not as sharply as forecast previously, according to bond strategists polled by Reuters, who said for a fourth month running in even greater numbers that the 10-year note yield had peaked. The benchmark 10-year Treasury note yield breached the 5% mark last month for the first time since July 2007, more than a full percentage point above its August low of 3.96%. Yet, when asked whether the 10-year note yield had peaked in the current cycle, an overwhelming 94% majority of respondents, 30 of 32, said it had. The interest-rate sensitive 2-year Treasury note yield , currently at 5.04%, was expected to decline about 20 basis points by end-January, before falling to 4.00% in a year, according to the survey. If realized, this would mean a complete reversal of the inverted spread between yields of U.S. 2-year and 10-year Treasury notes - historically a reliable indicator of impending recession - by end-October 2024.

Persons: Dado Ruvic, Thomas Simons, Mike Sanders, Sarupya Ganguly, Prerana Bhat, Purujit Arun, Anitta Sunil, Sujith Pai, Christina Fincher Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, Treasury, Reuters, Federal Reserve, Hamas, Jefferies, Madison Investments, Thomson Locations: U.S, Israel

☆ Man Group's new AI lead breaks down plans to change how investors work at the largest publicly listed hedge fund
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-13 | by ( Bianca Chan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

The goal is to concentrate Man's AI and machine learning firepower to reduce duplicative efforts across disparate trading desks and teams. The company's software engineers are using generative AI to generate code, which could help Man's some-500 technologists be more efficient. In that way, uniting Man's data and machine learning efforts to explore generative AI use cases was a natural step, Mace said. Generative AI creates new human-like content like images, text, or even snippets of code based on prompts. Generative AI is "very different to how we use the other AI techniques, which is really exciting.

Persons: Tim Mace, I've, Mace

☆ Lebanon front with Israel heats up, stoking fears of wider war
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-13 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

Israeli strikes killed two people in south Lebanon on Monday, according to a first-responder organisation affiliated to the Hezbollah-allied Amal Movement. Hezbollah has been trading fire with Israeli forces since its Palestinian ally Hamas went to war with Israel on Oct. 7. The exchanges mark the deadliest violence at the border since Israel and Hezbollah fought a month-long war in 2006. So far, more than 70 Hezbollah fighters and 10 civilians have been killed in Lebanon, and 10 people including seven troops have been killed in Israel. The 2006 war killed 1,200 people in Lebanon, mostly civilians, and 157 Israelis, mostly soldiers.

Persons: Israel, Hamas, Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah, Benjamin Netanyahu, Yoav Gallant, Nasrallah, Najib Mikati, Al, Lloyd Austin, Mohanad Hage Ali, Phil Stewart, Crispian Balmer, Dan Williams, Edmund Blair Organizations: Amal, Israel Electric Company, Hezbollah, United, Israeli, U.S . Defense, Carnegie Middle East Center, Thomson Locations: Israel, BEIRUT, JERUSALEM, Lebanese, Iran, Lebanon, Gaza, United States, Beirut, Al Jazeera, Israel's, Seoul, U.S, Jerusalem

☆ Hezbollah says front with Israel will remain active
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-11 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

Lebanon's Hezbollah leader Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah addresses his supporters through a screen during a rally commemorating the annual Hezbollah Martyrs' Day, in Beirut's southern suburbs, Lebanon November 11, 2023. REUTERS/Aziz Taher Acquire Licensing RightsBEIRUT, Nov 11 (Reuters) - The head of Lebanon's powerful Hezbollah said on Saturday that his armed group had used new types of weapons and struck new targets in Israel in recent days, and pledged that the front in the south against its sworn enemy would remain active. It was Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah's second speech since the war between Israel and Hamas began in October. But the tit-for-tat shelling has been largely restricted to the border and Hezbollah has mostly struck military targets. Israel tightened its siege of Hamas-ruled Gaza following the Oct. 7 cross-border assault by the group that Israel says killed around 1,200, with about 240 abducted as hostages back to the Palestinian enclave.

Persons: Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah, Aziz Taher, Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah's, Nasrallah, Israel, Laila Bassam, Giles Elgood Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, Hamas, Lebanese, Iran's, Guards, Thomson Locations: Beirut's, Lebanon, Rights BEIRUT, Israel, Kiryat Shmona, Tehran, United States, Gaza

☆ Hezbollah Says Front With Israel Will Remain Active
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-11 | by ( Nov. | At A.M. | ) www.usnews.com time to read: +2 min

BEIRUT (Reuters) - The head of Lebanon's powerful Hezbollah said on Saturday that his armed group had used new types of weapons and struck new targets in Israel in recent days, and pledged that the front in the south against its sworn enemy would remain active. It was Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah's second speech since the war between Israel and Hamas began in October. Nasrallah said on Saturday there had been "an upgrade" in Hezbollah's operations along its front with Israel. But the tit-for-tat shelling has been largely restricted to the border and Hezbollah has mostly struck military targets. Israel tightened its siege of Hamas-ruled Gaza following the Oct. 7 cross-border assault by the group that Israel says killed around 1,200, with about 240 abducted as hostages back to the Palestinian enclave.

Persons: Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah's, Nasrallah, Israel, Laila Bassam, Giles Elgood Organizations: Hamas, Lebanese, Iran's, Guards Locations: BEIRUT, Israel, Kiryat Shmona, Tehran, United States, Gaza

☆ These losing stocks could surge as the year winds down, Bank of America says
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-10 | by ( Darla Mercado | Cfp | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

One investor's portfolio loser could be another's winning stock as 2023 draws to a close, according to Bank of America. Buy rated and cheap Bank of America screened for buy-rated stocks that fell at least 10% in 2023 through the end of October that were also overweight by long-only funds as of September. However, Bank of America still rates both names as buys – and others on Wall Street spot potential. Retailer Target is another name that made the cut, garnering a buy rating from Bank of America. Other stocks in Bank of America's list include agriculture play Mosaic , life insurer MetLife , defense giant Northrop Grumman , as well as gas and electric utility CenterPoint Energy .

Persons: Savita Subramanian, Dexcom, Insulet, –, Piper Sandler's Matt O'Brien, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Bank of America, Internal Revenue, Bank of, Target, MetLife, Northrop, CenterPoint Energy Locations: Bank of America, Bank

☆ Bank of America: 4 signs that a company might be acquired and see shares pop — and 12 stocks primed for a deal right now
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-10 | by ( Mark Reeth | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Our experts answer readers' investing questions and write unbiased product reviews (here's how we assess investing products). There are few catalysts that are almost guaranteed to juice a stock's value. One of the most surefire ways to send a company's stock soaring is for another company to acquire it. Unfortunately, if it were easy to predict mergers and acquisitions before they happened then everyone would be doing it. Among these is their "preferred M&A valuation metric: FCF/EV, where we screen for those trading below the universe median," Subramanian wrote.

Persons: Subramanian Organizations: Bank of America, Bank of

A BNY Mellon sign is seen on their headquarters in New York's financial district, January 19, 2011. "We're in a period when the Treasury market needs to be relied upon for its safety and liquidity," Nate Wuerffel, head of market structure at BNY Mellon, said in an interview. "And if on top of that you're trying to implement very rapidly a fundamental reassembly of the Treasury market, that's when you run the risk of having market functioning deteriorate." Liquidity crunches in recent years have raised regulatory concerns about the Treasury market's ability to function during times of stress. "Central clearing will strengthen the market’s core attributes of safety and liquidity in times of stress.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, BNY Mellon, Treasuries, Nate Wuerffel, Wuerffel, Davide Barbuscia, Laura Matthews, Richard Chang, Sam Holmes Organizations: REUTERS, Companies Bank of New York Mellon, U.S . Securities, Exchange Commission, Treasury, SEC, BNY, Federal Reserve, Federal, Thomson Locations: New

The central bank could revise up its price forecasts again in January, which would allow policymakers to justify pulling short-term interest rates out of negative territory, he said. "There's a chance the BOJ could end negative rates as early as January next year, if it judges that inflationary pressure is heightening," Maeda told Reuters in an interview on Wednesday. It also applies a charge to a pool of excess reserves to guide short-term rates at -0.1% under its negative-rate policy. Before adopting negative rates and YCC in 2016, the BOJ was pushing down long-term rates solely with a huge asset-buying programme called "quantitative and qualitative easing" (QQE). "After ending negative rates, the BOJ's policy would look quite similar to when it just had QQE," Maeda said.

Persons: Issei Kato, Eiji Maeda, Maeda, There's, BOJ, Leika Kihara, Gerry Doyle Organizations: Bank of Japan, REUTERS, Rights, Bank of, Reuters, Chibagin Research, Thomson Locations: Tokyo, Japan, Bank of Japan

☆ Analysis: The US presidential election is next year. Here’s what that could mean for stocks
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-09 | by ( Krystal Hur | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +6 min

New York CNN —The US presidential election is less than a year away. Wall Street has a laundry list of uncertainties that it worries could threaten the current stock rally, including the upcoming presidential election. But history shows that stocks typically gain during the fourth year of presidential terms. The S&P 500 has gained 6.2% on average during the fourth year of presidential terms since 1932, according to Yardeni Research. That’s below the 13.5% gain the index has averaged during the third year of presidential terms since 1931.

Persons: ’, There’s, Darrell Crate, ”, Goldman Sachs, Joe Abbott, Abbott, Loretta Mester, Bryan Mena, Elisabeth Buchwald, Hawkish, Mester, Heidi Gartland, “, ” Gartland, Read, Niron, Peter Valdes, Niron Magnetics, Jonathan Rowntree Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, The New York Fed, Management, Investors, Research, Yardeni Research, “, CNN, Cleveland Fed, Reserve Bank, Cleveland, Regional, Bank, General Motors, China General Motors Locations: New York, East, Russia, Ukraine, Wisconsin, China, Minnesota

☆ Bank of America says there are two things that will drive the next bull run in stocks
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-08 | by ( Brian Evans | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Artificial intelligence's influence on increased productivity and a strong consumer could underpin the next bull run on Wall Street, according to Bank of America. "I think this is actually a very underappreciated bull case," she added. The "Magnificent Seven" stocks in the S & P 500 have been large growth drivers for Wall Street for most of 2023. As long as those factors don't change, we think that the consumer can hang in there," she said. "We've had a big move in rates, but companies have so far been able to withstand it.

Persons: Savita Subramanian, Subramanian, it's, We've, Michael Bloom Organizations: Bank of America, Wall, Nvidia, Apple, Federal Reserve, Survey

REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsLONDON, Nov 8 (Reuters) - If the notorious 'term premium' is evaporating again, then last month's bond rout may just have been a nightmare. "If that's coming from term premium and it's tightening, then we have got to take that into account." As Summers estimated this week, a term premium just back at 60-year averages would put it at 150bps - 130bps above current levels. Morgan Stanley estimates an additional near $1 trillion in gross debt sales from G7 governments are coming down the pike next year. Morgan Stanley chart on G7 debt sales in 2024Reuters GraphicsThe opinions expressed here are those of the author, a columnist for Reuters.

Persons: Dado Ruvic, Christopher Waller, Larry Summers, selloff, York Fed's, Jerome Powell, Austan Goolsbee, Lisa Cook, Summers, Morgan Stanley, Mike Dolan, Josie Kao Organizations: REUTERS, Federal Reserve, Treasury, Fed, ., The, NY, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Reuters, Chicago Fed, Congress, Thomson Locations: York, midyear, 150bps

A BNY Mellon sign is seen on their headquarters in New York's financial district, January 19, 2011. "We're in a period when the Treasury market needs to be relied upon for its safety and liquidity," Nate Wuerffel, head of market structure at BNY Mellon, said in an interview. "And if on top of that you're trying to implement very rapidly a fundamental reassembly of the Treasury market, that's when you run the risk of having market functioning deteriorate." Notably, in March 2020 the market seized up as pandemic fears gripped investors, prompting the Federal Reserve to buy Treasuries to support the market. "An extended implementation timeline in the final rule could substantially lower the risk that the transition itself could worsen market functioning," Wuerffel said in a note on Wednesday.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, BNY Mellon, Treasuries, Nate Wuerffel, Wuerffel, Davide Barbuscia, Laura Matthews, Richard Chang Organizations: REUTERS, Companies Bank of New York Mellon, U.S . Securities, Exchange Commission, Treasury, SEC, BNY, Federal Reserve, Federal, Thomson Locations: New

☆ Philip Meyer, Reporter Who Pioneered Data-Driven Journalism, Dies at 93
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-08 | by ( Clay Risen | More About Clay Risen | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +1 min

Philip Meyer, a former reporter who pioneered new ways to incorporate data, quantitative methods and computers into investigative journalism, died on Saturday at his home in Carrboro, N.C., a suburb of Chapel Hill. His daughter Melissa Meyer said the cause was complications of Parkinson’s disease. With a career spanning the latter half of the 20th century and several years into the 21st, Mr. Meyer was at the center of a revolution within the craft and business of journalism — a revolution that, to a large degree, he helped shape. When he began working as an assistant editor at The Topeka Daily Capital in Kansas in the mid-1950s, computers were room-size, turtle-speed contraptions, and reporting was done mostly through interviews, with the occasional trip to the library or the government records office. Mr. Meyer was among the few reporters who saw the growing power of computers to crunch data and produce new insight into complex questions.

Persons: Philip Meyer, Melissa Meyer, Meyer Organizations: The, The Topeka Daily Capital Locations: Carrboro, N.C, Chapel, The Topeka, Kansas

☆ Bank of America: Buy these 56 losing stocks that are on the verge of becoming winners, thanks to a little-known investing strategy that has consistently outperformed the market since 1986
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-05 | by ( Mark Reeth | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Tax-loss harvesting is simple: investors reduce capital gains taxes by selling securities for a capital loss. Bank of America analysts led by head of US equity & quantitative strategy Savita Subramanian endorse a new twist on the strategy. In a recent note to clients, Subramanian identified what she calls TLCs: tax-loss candidates. "We've historically seen evidence of tax-loss selling by institutional investors in Oct. (peak outflows), and by retail investors in Dec. ahead of the Dec. 31 cut-off for individual investors," Subramanian wrote. Institutional investors must sell their losing stocks to claim the benefits of tax-loss harvesting by October 31, while retail investors have until December 31.

Persons: shrug, Subramanian, they've Organizations: Bank of America, 1.9ppt, Institutional

REUTERS/Gonzalo Fuentes/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsNEW YORK, Nov 2 (Reuters) - Amazon.com Inc (AMZN.O) punished its own sellers to limit Walmart's reach as Walmart got into e-commerce, according to the Federal Trade Commission (FTC). Like Amazon, Walmart operates a third-party online marketplace, with merchandise from thousands of independent sellers. This, Amazon realized, could result in sellers passing on those savings to customers, the FTC said. To hamstring Jet.com, Amazon removed some third-party sellers' offers from its Buy Box. Amazon spokesperson Tim Doyle said the FTC "grossly mischaracterizes" the pricing tool and the company stopped using it several years ago.

Persons: Gonzalo Fuentes, it's, Burt Flickinger, Jet.com, Tim Doyle, Siddharth Cavale, Vanessa O'Connell, Lisa Shumaker Organizations: Viva Technology, Porte de, REUTERS, Amazon.com Inc, Walmart, Federal Trade Commission, Jet.com, Amazon, FTC, Jet, Thomson Locations: Paris, France, New York

☆ A timeline of Sam Bankman-Fried trial: Key moments leading up to FTX founder's conviction
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-03 | by ( Luc Cohen | Thomson Reuters | Reports On The New York Federal Courts. Previously Worked As A Correspondent In Venezuela | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

Indicted FTX founder Sam Bankman-Fried leaves the United States Courthouse in New York City, U.S., July 26, 2023. MAY 2019Bankman-Fried and former Google employee Gary Wang found FTX as a new platform to trade crypto tokens and derivatives. Bankman-Fried debuts on the Forbes billionaires list, which estimates his net worth at $22.5 billion. Alameda gives crypto lender Voyager Digital a $200 million credit facility, and FTX gives lender BlockFi a $250 million loan. In a post-arrest blog post, Bankman-Fried denies stealing funds and blames FTX's collapse on a broader downturn in crypto markets.

Persons: Sam Bankman, Fried, Amr Alfiky, Gary Wang, Larry David, CoinDesk, Binance, FTX, Changpeng Zhao, David, Tom Brady, Wang, Caroline Ellison, District Judge Lewis Kaplan, Nishad Singh, Kaplan revokes, Luc Cohen, Noeleen Walder, Daniel Wallis Organizations: United, REUTERS, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Jane Street Capital, Alameda Research, Google, Forbes, Alameda, NFL, DEC, U.S, District, New York Times, Metropolitan Detention Center, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Alameda, Bahamas, Manhattan, United States, Palo Alto , California, New York

☆ Bank of America: Buy these 21 stocks that will profit if the Federal Reserve decides to keep hiking interest rates next month
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-03 | by ( Mark Reeth | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

Investors breathed a sigh of relief late Wednesday after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell announced that interest rate hikes would remain paused. That pause was welcomed by the market after 11 interest rate hikes since March 2022 brought rates to their highest point in 22 years. But just because Powell decided to keep rate hikes paused for now doesn't mean they can't head higher from here. Higher interest rates tend to be a drag on stocks. Along with each company is its ticker, last closing price, sector, industry, and nominal interest rate beta.

Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell, there's, We're, Subramanian Organizations: Bank of, Bank of America

☆ A former Fed trader predicts mounting US debt will worsen the bond-market crash. He shares which Treasury duration investors should buy to eventually profit from rising prices.
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-03 | by ( Laila Maidan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

The central bank extended its pause on interest-rate hikes , trampling expectations of higher rates and causing investors to lock down higher yields while they still can. Joseph Wang, a former trader on the Fed's Open Market Trading Desk, says other than that, Powell's speech was uneventful. While Treasury yields have been dropping all week, Wang believes it's a temporary reaction. In the past, if Treasury yields suddenly became very high, banks could step in and buy the bonds. Wang says investors should opt for two-year notes because they're much more sensitive to potential Fed rate cuts, which would increase the price on those bonds.

Persons: Jerome Powell's, Joseph Wang, Wang, He's, they've, it's Organizations: Fed, Treasury Locations: Fedguy.com

☆ The Japanese yen's plunge forces Tokyo to pull back on biggest defense build-up since World War II as US weapons get pricier
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-03 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

A 10% drop in the yen since December has forced Japan to scale back defense spending, Reuters reported. The currency's decline has boosted the cost of US-made weapons that Japan plans to procure. In response, Japan is prioritizing frontline weapons and spending less on support systems. AdvertisementAdvertisementJapan is scaling back plans for its largest military build-up since World War II, after weakness in the yen raised the cost of US-made defense equipment, sources told Reuters. In response, Japan is prioritizing outlays on US-made frontline weapons that would be key in any conflict with China, sources told Reuters.

Persons: — Organizations: Reuters, Service, Industries, Federal Reserve, Bank of Japan, Deutsche Bank Locations: Japan, China

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