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US stocks are set to give up almost all of their year-to-date gains, according to Morgan Stanley. Investors are starting to gravitate toward high-quality growth stocks despite high interest rates, according to Morgan Stanley. 9 defensive stocks to buy nowIn his note, Wilson updated Morgan Stanley's fresh-money buy list of stocks worth owning now. Despite what the name might suggest, these aren't new recommendations, but are rather firms that Morgan Stanley is very bullish on. Morgan StanleyBelow are the nine names on Morgan Stanley's fresh-money buy list, along with the ticker, market capitalization, sector, price target, and percent upside to that target for each.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Morgan, that's, Mike Wilson, Morgan Stanley's, Wilson
Here are the seven smartest ways to invest in Chinese markets, according to UBS. Stimulus should keep Chinese stocks from sinkingHowever, UBS believes that plenty of pain has already been priced into Chinese stocks. Naturally, China's property market turmoil has inspired comparisons to the US housing market bubble that led to the global financial crisis, but Yu is confident that such fears are overblown. "The government has the toolkit to minimize the risk of having something that is systematically disastrous in the financial markets," Yu said. If China's growth exceeds expectations, companies in the consumer discretionary and materials sectors will be among the biggest beneficiaries, according to UBS.
Persons: David Kelly, Xingchen Yu, Solita Marcelli, Yu, there's Organizations: US, UBS, Asset Management Locations: China, Shanghai, People's Republic, Swiss, Beijing, Taiwan
Media analysts say this dispute could be the beginning of the end for the cable bundle. After a decade of steady decline, the pay TV bundle now appears to be on life support. Charter refuses to pay Disney's higher asking price for its family of networks, including ESPN, without including Disney+ and Hulu in the bundle. The cable giant also wants its customers to have a Disney-free option for a reduced price, which may also be a non-starter. Otherwise, it plans to send its pay TV customers elsewhere.
Persons: Tim Nollen, That's, Jessica Reif Ehrlich, John Hodulik, Hodulik Organizations: Disney, Media, UBS, ESPN, Hulu, Macquarie, Bank of America, Netflix, Charter Locations: imploding
When it comes to Hulu, value is in the eye of the holder. However, Comcast claims Hulu is worth double what Disney is saying, according to Bloomberg — even in a tough media environment. "It's what would a willing buyer in a robust auction pay," Roberts said of Hulu's valuation at a MoffettNathanson conference in May. Another way to value Hulu is by comparing its EV-to-subscriber ratio with that of Netflix. By buying all of Hulu, Disney can position itself for the next big trend in media, Noell said.
Persons: Bob Iger, Bloomberg —, Peacock, Brian Roberts, Roberts, financials, maven, Hulu, Tim Nollen, Netflix's, Nollen, Iger, Matthew Thornton, who's bullish, Barton Crockett, Crockett, Brandon Nispel, Nispel, Jason Bazinet, Bazinet, Davis Noell, Noell Organizations: Disney, Comcast, Hulu, Bloomberg, Wall Street, Macquarie, Netflix, Rosenblatt Securities, Citigroup, Star Wars, Marvel, Providence Equity Partners Locations: Hulu
Late last summer, veteran technical strategist and hedge fund manager David Lundgren urged his clients to bet against US stocks. "That pile of wood is just sitting there waiting for a catalyst, and I think it's coming," Lundgren said. "It's not our job to agree with the market's assessment of the fundamentals," Lundgren said. 5 sectors with strong momentum right nowMany investors remain concerned about a possible recession, but Lundgren has learned to lean on market trends instead of his gut. Coincidentally — or not — 11 of the names were in one of the five sectors that Lundgren highlighted.
Persons: David Lundgren, who's, we're, Lundgren, isn't, MOTR, I'm, there's, Guess what's, Industrials, Organizations: MOTR Capital Management & Research, Dow Jones Market, MOTR Capital Management, Research, Investors, Bank Locations: cyclicals
The mid-cap growth fund manager shared what qualities she's looking for in stocks. However, the mid-cap growth fund she's managed since 2001 is still a top-7% performer in the last 15 years, according to Morningstar. There's 'magic' to be found in mid-cap growthBut while elevated interest rates aren't kind to stocks, Scott still sees opportunities in many mid-sized companies. Within mid caps, Scott tends to tilt toward growth-focused companies, specifically those with sound business models that are profitable and have abundant cash flow. Instead of investing in so-called "bleeding edge" growth stocks, Scott said she prefers steady, reliable compounders.
Persons: Kimberly Scott, she's, we've, Scott, Morningstar, we're Organizations: Delaware Ivy, Growth, Federal, Growth Fund
"We're one gust of wind away from recession," Kelly said. While he hasn't seen any cracks in that industry recently, he's wary of dismissing that as a risk, especially if interest rates climb further. The smartest investments to make now are in Europe, Japan, and emerging markets excluding China, Kelly said. But emerging markets are where many of the most tantalizing opportunities are, in Kelly's opinion. An exception within emerging markets is China.
Persons: JPMorgan's David Kelly, Kelly, David Kelly, Kelly inched, It's, hasn't, homebuilding, it's, he's Organizations: Asset Management, Fed, Federal, JPMorgan Asset Management, 19.9x, Japan's Nikkei Locations: Europe, Japan, China
Rent growth is rapidly decelerating across the US after taking off during the pandemic. Lower rent growth means that the cost of an apartment is still climbing, just at a slower pace. Renting may be expensive, but considering how many are feeling about the economy, it's easy to see why so many are sticking to apartments — especially as rent growth steadily slides. 42 cities that are getting more affordableBelow are 42 real estate markets where median rent for a one-bedroom apartment is lower than it was in 2022, according to Zumper. Along with each city are its year-over-year and month-over-month rent changes, average rent price, and national rent ranking among the largest 100 US cities.
Persons: Price, Anthemos Georgiades, Georgiades
Hopeful homebuyers can use price-to-rent ratios to see where the best deals are. Decade-high mortgage rates and a housing market shortage have made homebuying complicated for everyone, and impossible for many. That way, buyers can get an attractive deal and build equity instead of getting caught in a housing market bubble. Below are the 34 such markets, along with the price-to-rent ratio as of July 31, the average price-to-rent ratio since March 2015, and the current premium to that long-term average. Only one city — New Orleans, Louisiana — has a discounted price-to-rent ratio, meaning that the city is especially appealing for buyers right now.
Persons: Ken Johnson, Johnson, Eli Beracha, William Hardin of, Beracha, — New Orleans , Louisiana — Organizations: Florida Atlantic University, Florida International University, Florida Atlantic, William Hardin of Florida International University Locations: West Coast, East Coast, Florida, — New Orleans , Louisiana
Sports has become a hot area for private investment, from private equity to venture capital. For the first year, Insider is looking to highlight the top VCs investing in the sports industry. Submit your nominations through this Google Form by September 8. AdvertisementAdvertisementPrivate investors have flocked to sports in recent years, viewing it as a relatively stable corner of the shaky economy. For the first year, Insider is looking to highlight the top venture capitalists investing in sports startups, from seed to the later stages.
Organizations: Morning
Here are 20 stocks that hedge funds are gravitating toward in this uncertain market. Although several economic signals have offered investors reasons for optimism right now, hedge funds can't seem to shake their cautious convictions. Bank of AmericaManagers of hedge funds and long-only funds have shifted toward defensive stocks over the last few years, according to Bank of America. 20 stocks hedge funds love nowWhile hedge funds are playing defense until further notice, that's not to say they're bearish. Below are the 20 stocks that hedge funds are unusually bullish about along with the ticker, sector, and net relative weight in hedge funds for each.
Persons: Savita Subramanian, defensives, Subramanian, that's Organizations: Bank of America, BofA's, Equity Locations: defensives,
Nvidia has captured the hearts of investors, but at least one market veteran refuses to show the artificial intelligence pioneer any love. "Nvidia is the stock market's new Tesla, where the market blindly assigns a ridiculously high and unrealistic valuation," Trainer wrote in an email to Insider on August 24. Trainer continued: "Investors should not be chasing Nvidia stock, as it is way too expensive. "While we recognize that artificial intelligence is an exciting technology and Nvidia is a great company, investors must pay attention to a company's valuation," Trainer wrote. To live up to its current valuation, Nvidia would have to increase revenue by 20% per year for the next 25 years, the investment research firm CEO wrote.
Persons: Nvidia's, David Trainer, We're, SIMO Organizations: Nvidia, Bank of America, Rosenblatt Securities, KLA Corporation, Motion Technology Locations: Santa Clara, Nashville
Investors should prepare for fiscal, banking, and energy crises, a hedge fund manager warned. And thanks to a strong performance in July, the $254 million hedge fund has risen 16.8% after fees in 2023. Oil prices came under pressure when government reserves were released, but Kupperman said that's not a viable long-term recipe for reasonable energy prices. He expects a massive spike in oil prices in either 2024 or 2025, which will greatly benefit companies tied to the commodity. The investing opportunity Kupperman said he's most excited about is uranium, which he's playing through the Sprott Physical Uranium Trust.
Persons: Capital's Harris Kupperman, he's, Harris Kupperman, Kupperman, , He's, he'll, we've, Macrotrends Banks, it's, that's, Joe, JOE Organizations: Praetorian Capital Management, Praetorian, Fund, Treasury, Uranium Trust, Energy, Florida Panhandle Locations: Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan, Russia, Ukraine, Florida
Hedge funds' top holdings have performed much better this year than in 2022 or 2021. Here are eight artificial intelligence beneficiaries that hedge funds are gravitating toward. The heaviest investments from hedge funds recently have been to energy and financials stocks, Snider wrote. 8 AI winners that hedge funds still loveWhile hedge funds haven't turned their back on tech, it may appear that way at first glance. Along with each is its ticker, industry, the number of hedge funds that owned it in December 2022 and June 2023, and the increase in the number of hedge funds that owned the stock in that span.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Goldman Sachs Goldman Sachs, Ben Snider, Snider, they're, Russell, they've, haven't, it's Organizations: Microsoft, Nvidia, Goldman Sachs Research, Apple
The JPMorgan Nasdaq Equity Premium Income ETF (JEPQ) is dominating the competition. Of course, Reiner and his colleagues, Eric Moreau and Andrew Stern, aren't complaining about their fund's 22.6% rise in 2023. It's hard to poke holes in JPMorgan's growth-focused income ETF. JPMorgan's income-focused ETF uses an AI model that gathers and sorts through a treasure trove of information, especially financial statements, to help find suitable investments. Other than putting a premium on income and using AI to find standout stocks, a pair of traits that make JPMorgan's income ETF sing are its transparency and its liquidity.
Persons: Hamilton Reiner, Reiner, Eric Moreau, Andrew Stern, aren't, what's, it'll, Morningstar, , I'm, Moreau, Stern didn't, they've, Bonds, — it's, it's, Moreau spotlighted, he's Organizations: JPMorgan Nasdaq Equity, Nasdaq, JPMorgan, NXP Semiconductors, NextEra Energy, NextEra Locations: Netherlands, Florida
Companies encouraged investors to focus on artificial intelligence on Q2 earnings calls. These 72 companies outside of the technology sector touted AI in Q2, according to Goldman Sachs. Though some market commentators think that AI hype has gone too far, Goldman Sachs agrees with its peers that the enthusiasm is well-founded. That's reflected by a surge of mentions of AI by firms of all types on Q2 earnings calls, Goldman Sachs researchers recently noted. 72 under-the-radar AI winnersAfter poring over earnings call transcripts, Goldman Sachs researchers found that executives disproportionately discussed three topics: AI, economic growth, and sales growth drivers.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, that's, Goldman Sachs Goldman Sachs, they're Organizations: Companies, Management
Technology investor Jonathan Curtis is bullish, though he's worried about AI stocks in late 2023. "But we're in an experimentation phase for AI — we're not in the revenue phase for AI." Although revenue and earnings for many companies connected to AI aren't substantial, the demand for workers with AI know-how certainly is, Curtis said. Still, while he keeps his focus on the long term, he acknowledged that valuations for AI stocks are ambitious, if not a bit crazy. And while the portfolio management director thinks investors should be wary of AI stocks' volatility in the near term, he made clear that AI is absolutely worth investing in for the long term.
Persons: Jonathan Curtis, he's, Curtis, Jonathan Curtis —, there's, We've, — we're, they'll, Curtis spotlighted Organizations: Technology, Federal, Franklin Equity Group
Now, the inverse has happened as stocks rally, inflation steadily falls, and the labor market stays healthy. By any historical measure, this is still a really strong labor market," he said. "There's a lot of market concern — understandably so — about the sustainability of the strong labor market," Porter said. "There are clear signs that we're weakening at the margin," Schurmeier said of the labor market. "And they're able to thread the needle on the other part of their mandate, which is the labor market."
Persons: John Porter, Jason Draho, Porter, David Lebovitz, Lebovitz, they're, Draho, Jonathan Curtis, Curtis, Brent Schutte, Schutte, Jake Schurmeier, Schurmeier, they'll, shouldn't, Charles Lemonides, Lemonides, Greg Calnon, Calnon, Franklin Equity Group's Curtis, he's Organizations: Newton Investment Management, UBS Global Wealth, Asset Management, Franklin Equity Group, Workers, Northwestern, Harbor Capital Advisors, Fed, Goldman Sachs Asset Management, Franklin Equity
Many view the deal as a "win-win" for ESPN, Penn, and its former partner Barstool Sports. Industry insiders say the deal could signal a potential ESPN spinoff, disrupt competition, and more. Here's what industry insiders are saying about the deal:1. FanDuel and DraftKings dominate US online sports-betting and gambling market share, followed by BetMGM, according to a July report from Macquarie that analyzed Vixio data. Industry insiders like affiliate-marketing company Gambling.com Group's Max Bichsel aren't sure about that prediction.
Persons: Barstool, Bob Iger, Penn, sportsbooks, who's, Chris Grove, Dave Portnoy, Portnoy, Fox's, Sharp, Sharp Alpha Advisor's Lloyd Danzig, Dan, Danzig, Brandon Nispel, he's, Nispel, Kimberly White, FanDuel, BetMGM, Zachary, Max Bichsel aren't, Bichsel, I'm, Grove, It's, DraftKings, let's, FuboTV, hasn't, Fox Bet, Ed Moed, Fox, Dan Wasiolek, Wasiolek Organizations: ESPN, Penn Entertainment, Penn, Barstool Sports . Industry, ESPN Bet, Investors, Acies Investments, Barstool Sports, Sharp Alpha, Disney, KeyBanc, CFRA Research, . Industry, ESPN —, Fox, Maxim Magazine, Sports, Fox Bet, Morningstar Locations: Macquarie, Canada
Investors are ignoring the parallel between today's market and 1999, an investment chief warns. Brent Schutte, the chief investment officer for Northwestern Mutual's wealth management arm, isn't sure this year's returns have staying power. "This reminds me a lot of 1999 to 2000 where a small group of stocks kept pulling the market higher," Schutte said in a recent interview with Insider. Unless there's a sudden influx of workers that drives down wage growth through competition, the investment chief said the economy will steadily lose momentum. 3 ways to protect your portfolio nowDespite the recent market pullback, investors don't seem to be too worried.
Persons: Brent Schutte, Schutte, you've, they're, hasn't, Schutte isn't Organizations: Northwestern, CPI, Workers
Standout hedge fund manager Charles Lemonides came into the year careful but is now more optimistic. Heading into 2023, hedge fund manager Charles Lemonides was preparing for the worst. His hedge fund is down 8% in 2023 through May, though it's still up 155% in the past five years. The hedge fund manager said the economy can take another rate hike or two, even though investors may groan about it. The hedge fund manager is currently bullish on energy stocks broadly — particularly those in the oil and gas industry.
Persons: Charles Lemonides, Lemonides, hasn't, it's, We've, he's, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Investors, Federal Reserve, Netflix, Energy, P Oil & Gas Exploration, Production, Unit Corp, United Natural Foods, Yale Materials, Foods Locations: financials
Many view the deal as a "win-win" for ESPN, Penn, and its former partner Barstool Sports. Industry insiders say the deal could signal a potential ESPN spinoff, disrupt competition, and more. Gambling industry insiders thought Disney CEO Bob Iger might make quick work of setting a sports-betting strategy when he took back the reins of the ESPN owner late last year. Here's what industry insiders are saying about the deal:1. Industry insiders like affiliate marketing company Gambling.com's Max Bichsel aren't sure about that prediction.
Persons: Barstool, Bob Iger, Penn, sportsbooks, who's, Chris Grove, Dave Portnoy, Portnoy, Fox's, Sharp, Sharp Alpha Advisor's Lloyd Danzig, Dan, Danzig, Brandon Nispel, he's, Nispel, Kimberly White, FanDuel, BetMGM, Zachary, Gambling.com's Max Bichsel aren't, Bichsel, I'm, Grove, It's, DraftKings, let's, FuboTV, hasn't, Fox Bet, Ed Moed, Fox, Dan Wasiolek, Wasiolek Organizations: ESPN, Penn Entertainment, Penn, Barstool Sports . Industry, ESPN Bet, Investors, Acies Investments, Barstool Sports, Sharp Alpha, Disney, KeyBanc, CFRA Research, . Industry, ESPN —, Fox, Maxim Magazine, Sports, Fox Bet, Morningstar Locations: Macquarie, Canada
Instead of attempting to outsmart the market, Ivo Kovachev rides stocks' momentum. While many fund managers aim to buy beaten-down stocks before they rebound, Kovachev goes against the grain by riding momentum in markets. "We are humble guys — we listen to the market," Kovachev said in a recent interview with Insider. As its name suggests, Kovachev's JOHCM Emerging Markets Discovery Fund sticks to unnoticed stocks in developing international markets. Fortunately for stocks in emerging markets, Kovachev said their interest rates can finally fall as inflation declines alongside oil prices.
Persons: Ivo Kovachev, Kovachev, it's, Stephen Lew, Emery Brewer, J, he's Organizations: Market, Discovery Fund, J O Hambro Capital Management, Nvidia, Voltronic Power Technology, Ink Holdings, KPIT Technologies, Narayana Locations: Taiwan, China, Korea, India
Here are 18 stocks with double-digit upside right now, according to Goldman Sachs. Investors taking a top-down look at markets to find opportunities should study individual stocks instead, according to Goldman Sachs. Fund managers usually fare best when stock dispersion is high. The richest 20% of stocks across market sectors trades at a 30x earnings multiple, which is nearly triple that of the bottom quintile, according to Goldman Sachs. Goldman Sachs highlighted 25 stocks set to separate themselves the most from their index — either to the upside or downside.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Kostin, Goldman Sachs Goldman Sachs isn't, Morgan Stanley, Mike Wilson, Morgan Stanley's, Goldman, Wilson, Kosting, it's Organizations: Investors, Fund
Focusing on small caps and international companies has led to his outperformance. Large stocks have risen relative to their smaller peers in the last 10 years. What followed was a dominant stretch for small caps, the fund manager said. 10 top stocks to buy nowBesides small caps, Fine said he's now especially bullish on stocks in international markets. He estimated that 70% of his fund is in foreign stocks versus 20% in US names and 10% in cash.
Persons: Matthew Fine's, Matthew Fine, Morningstar, he's, Fine, Stocks, , that's, it's Organizations: Nasdaq, Companies Locations: United States
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