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The International Energy Agency (IEA) and consultancy Rystad Energy have brought forward forecasts of China's peak gasoline demand by about a year to 2024, while Chinese state majors PetroChina and Sinopec (600028.SS) see it in 2025. The earlier halt in gasoline demand growth in the world's No. Reuters GraphicsAs a result of accelerating EV sales, Paris-based IEA now expects Chinese gasoline demand to peak in 2024 at about 3.7 million barrels per day (bpd), bringing forward an earlier projection of demand plateauing in 2025/2026. The research arm of China's state refiner CNPC expects gasoline demand to peak in 2025, citing accelerating sales of EVs, and sees gasoline demand shrinking 2.3% annually between 2026 and 2030. China's massive move into petrochemicals is already causing a glut globally, prompting companies to shift investments to high-end energy transition materials.
Persons: Aly, refiners, Toril Bosoni, EV's, Gaurav Batra, Mukesh Sahdev, Ma Yongsheng, Mohi Narayan, Carman Chew, Matthew Chye, Chen Aizhu, Zoey Zhang, Andrew Hayley, Florence Tan, Sonali Paul Organizations: Porsche, Auto Shanghai, REUTERS, International Energy Agency, Rystad Energy, China Association of Automobile Manufacturers, Reuters Graphics, Reuters, China, Shenghong Petrochemical, Energy, Graphics, Thomson Locations: Shanghai, China, Jan, Sinopec, Asia, Reuters Graphics China, Paris, U.S, North America, India, Sun, New Delhi, Singapore, Beijing
The US economy is surging
  + stars: | 2023-07-27 | by ( Madison Hoff | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +5 min
Real gross domestic product, or real GDP, grew at an annualized rate of 2.4%. That advance estimate for the second quarter beat the 1.8% increase expected. A recent GDP preview from Gregory Daco, chief economist of EY, also highlighted strength in the US economy and what it may mean. "Still, the economy continues to face significant headwinds from persistently elevated prices and costs, tightening credit conditions and rising interest rates. That's also much higher than the 3.2% seen in the second quarter of 2022.
Persons: Bill Adams, Jerome Powell, Powell, Gregory Daco, Daco, That's Organizations: Service, BEA, Consumer, Federal Reserve, Comerica Bank's, Fed Locations: Wall, Silicon
Washington CNN —The US economy picked up steam in the second quarter despite punishing rate hikes and still-high inflation, the Commerce Department reported Thursday. Economic growth in the second quarter was driven by business investment, government purchases, inventory investment and consumer spending, though at a much weaker pace than in the first quarter. Consumer spending, which accounts for about two-thirds of economic output, grew at just a 1.6% rate in the second quarter, down sharply from a 4.2% rate in the first three months of the year. Nonresidential business investment rose sharply to a 7.7% growth rate in the second quarter, up from a 0.6% rate in the beginning of the year. The GDP report showed that spending on structure slowed to a 9.7% rate in the second quarter from a 15.8% rate in the prior one.
Persons: , Lydia Boussour, , ” Shannon Seery, Seery, , , Diane Swonk, Thursday’s, Carol Schleif, Jerome Powell Organizations: Washington CNN, Commerce Department, Gross, Federal Reserve, Fed, CNN, Employers, Wells, Investment Bank, Manufacturers, KPMG, restrengthens Investors, BMO Family Office, Investors, Locations: EY
REUTERS/Kai Pfaffenbach/File PhotoFRANKFURT, July 27 (Reuters) - New construction plunged in Germany during the first half of the year, data on Thursday showed, the latest sign of stress in the property market of Europe's largest economy. The data underscore a steep rut that dominates the nation's real-estate sector in its worst crisis in decades. "There's strong caution in project development," said Sven Carstensen, chief executive of Bulwiengesa. The nation's property industry will ask the government for multi-billion euro support at a meeting with Chancellor Olaf Scholz in September, Reuters reported last week. "The situation is dramatic," said Jan-Marco Luczak, a parliamentarian who has pushed for a property tax cut demanded by industry.
Persons: Kai Pfaffenbach, Sven Carstensen, Chancellor Olaf Scholz, Marco Luczak, Marcus Gwechenberger, Bulwiengesa, Florian Schwalm, EY, Karim Rochdi, Tom Sims, Hugh Lawson Organizations: REUTERS, Bulwiengesa, Reuters, European Central Bank, Thomson Locations: Frankfurt, Germany, FRANKFURT, Frankfurt's
The United States is entering a new economic era as the Federal Reserve hikes its benchmark interest rate. As interest rates climb, economists say financial conditions are headed back to being more normal. Government bonds, Treasury securities and savings accounts all return very little yield when interest rates are low. At the same time, low interest rates increase the value of stocks, homes and Wall Street firms that make money by taking on debt. "Barring a catastrophe, I don't think we'll see lower interest rates any time soon," said Mark Hamrick, Washington bureau chief at Bankrate.com.
Persons: Roger Ferguson, we'd, Gregory Daco, Mark Hamrick Organizations: Federal, Federal Reserve, Wall Street Locations: States, America, EY, Washington, Bankrate.com, U.S
Saudi Mbappé bid even less rational than it looks
  + stars: | 2023-07-25 | by ( Liam Proud | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +4 min
Yet a possible outlay of 1 billion euros, including compensation, takes the country’s sporting tactics to surreal new heights. Added to the transfer fee, that takes the outlay to around 1 billion euros. Spain’s LaLiga generated about 900 million euros in international broadcast revenue in the 2020-2021 season, according to Deloitte. CBS Sports reported that Al Hilal was also offering Mbappé a total one-year compensation package worth 700 million euros. The Guardian reported that Mbappé’s one-year salary would be 200 million euros, rising to 700 million euros after including other commercial arrangements and proceeds from image rights.
Persons: Al Hilal’s, Kylian, Germain, Declan Rice, Mbappé, Mbappé aren’t, Al Hilal, George Hay, Streisand Neto Organizations: Reuters, Paris Saint, Arsenal, Saudi Pro League, Guardian, Deloitte, English Premier League, Saudi, Newcastle United, Premier League, Economics, Regional, Qatar, Britons, Al, Financial Times, Bloomberg, CBS Sports, Thomson Locations: Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Paris, China, Saudi, France’s, Saudi Arabian, French
Although borrowing remains high after the shocks of the coronavirus pandemic and last year's energy price surge, the budget deficit in June stood at 18.5 billion pounds ($23.8 billion), down by 0.4 billion pounds from June 2022. A Reuters poll of economists had pointed to higher borrowing of 22 billion pounds last month. "Now more than ever we need to maintain discipline with the public finances," Hunt said after Friday's borrowing figures. As this week's fall in inflation showed, we will start to see results if we stick to our plan to halve inflation, grow the economy and get debt falling." However, a measure of consumer confidence fell in July for the first time since January as households felt the hit from higher inflation, borrowing costs and taxes.
Persons: Hunt, Jeremy Hunt, Rishi Sunak, Samuel Tombs, Tombs, Martin Beck, Beck, David Milliken, Angus MacSwan Organizations: LONDON, Conservative Party, National Statistics, Conservatives, Pantheon, Treasury, Thomson Locations: Britain
US stocks traded mixed Friday, with the Dow capping off a 10-day winning streak. It's the longest run of gains for the index since August 2017. Next week investors will be watching big earnings from Microsoft and Meta, as well as a Fed meeting. Get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in business, from Wall Street to Silicon Valley — delivered daily. More than 70% of the companies that have reported so far have beat expectations, according to FactSet data.
Persons: Gregory Daco Organizations: Dow, Microsoft, Meta, Service, Dow Jones, American Express, Interpublic, Nasdaq Locations: Wall, Silicon
LONDON — Shares of British cybersecurity firm Darktrace surged 26% Tuesday after the company said that auditing firm EY had concluded a review into the company's financial processes and controls. The cybersecurity firm said its sales got a boost from client interest in generative artificial intelligence. EY conducted a "thorough review" of its policies, processes and controls, Darktrace said. Copies of the EY report are being voluntarily shared with the Financial Conduct Authority and the Financial Reporting Council, Darktrace said. "We call upon Darktrace to fully unveil the details of the EY review and facilitate an open dialogue on its findings," Quintessential said in a statement posted on Twitter.
Persons: Darktrace, EY Organizations: British, Capital Management, CNBC, Financial, Authority, Twitter Locations: New York
MUNICH, July 18 (Reuters) - Former Wirecard (WDIG.H) board member Jan Marsalek, who has been on the run since the implosion of the German payments company in 2020, has contacted a Munich court through his lawyer, according to the court and the public prosecutor's office. The turn of events comes amid a trial of Wirecard's former chief executive and marks the first known official communication from Marsalek, Wirecard's former chief operating officer, whose exact whereabouts have been unknown for several years. German police have been conducting an international search and had issued an arrest warrant for Marsalek, whom they accuse of "fraud in the billions". Spokespeople for the public prosecutor's office and the court confirmed on Tuesday that a letter from Marsalek's lawyer had been received, but did not comment on the content of the letter. ($1 = 0.8910 euros)Reporting by Alexander Huebner, writing by Tom Sims; Editing by Bernadette BaumOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Persons: Jan Marsalek, Marsalek, Wirecard, EY, WirtschaftsWoche, Alexander Huebner, Tom Sims, Bernadette Baum Organizations: Thomson Locations: MUNICH, Munich, Marsalek
Retail sales rose in June for third straight month
  + stars: | 2023-07-18 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +4 min
Washington, DC CNN —Spending at US retailers rose in June for the third month in a row, in a subdued show of resilience from American consumers. Retail spending, which is adjusted for seasonality but not inflation, rose 0.2% in June, the Commerce Department reported Tuesday. Furniture sales jumped 1.4% in June from the prior month, while spending at department stores fell by 2.4% during the same period. Excluding sales at gasoline stations and on cars and parts, retail sales rose 0.3% in June from May. From a year earlier, overall retail sales rose 1.5% in June, the second-weakest pace since May 2020.
Persons: , Ian Shepherdson, Kieran Clancy, , Lydia Boussour Organizations: DC CNN, Retail, Commerce Department, , Employers, Federal Reserve, ” Fed, Fed Locations: Washington, EY
July 16 (Reuters) - UBS Group (UBSG.S) has decided to retain EY as its external auditor, enlarging its role to include Credit Suisse's accounts from 2024, the Financial Times reported on Sunday, citing people with knowledge of the decision. UBS agreed to buy Credit Suisse for 3 billion Swiss francs ($3.48 billion) in March after panicked customers withdrew cash from their accounts at the stricken lender. PwC in Credit Suisse's 2022 annual report had included an "adverse opinion" on the effectiveness of the bank's internal controls over its reporting but said its statements "present fairly, in all material respects" the financial position of the bank from 2020 through 2022. UBS and EY did not immediately respond to requests for comment on the FT report while PwC said it would not be making any comment on the story. ($1 = 0.8617 Swiss francs)Reporting by Juby Babu in Bengaluru; Editing by Jamie FreedOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Persons: EY, PwC, Juby Babu, Jamie Freed Organizations: UBS, Financial Times, Big, PricewaterhouseCoopers, Credit Suisse, Thomson Locations: Bengaluru
UBS to retain EY as auditor after Credit Suisse takeover- FT
  + stars: | 2023-07-16 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +1 min
July 16 (Reuters) - UBS Group (UBSG.S) has decided to retain EY as its external auditor, enlarging its role to include Credit Suisse's accounts from 2024, the Financial Times reported on Sunday, citing people with knowledge of the decision. The size of the contract will require the Big Four accounting firm to call in staff from other countries to work on the audit, two people told the FT.PricewaterhouseCoopers (PwC), which has been Credit Suisse's auditor since 2020, will audit the acquired bank's accounts for 2023, according to the newspaper. UBS agreed to buy Credit Suisse for 3 billion Swiss francs ($3.48 billion) in March after panicked customers withdrew cash from their accounts at the stricken lender. UBS, EY and PwC did not immediately respond to requests for comment on the FT report. ($1 = 0.8617 Swiss francs)Reporting by Juby Babu in Bengaluru; Editing by Jamie FreedOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Persons: PwC, Juby Babu, Jamie Freed Organizations: UBS, Financial Times, Big, PricewaterhouseCoopers, Credit Suisse, EY, Thomson Locations: Bengaluru
There were 7.6 million open jobs in the U.S. in June, according to the Adzuna database, with a growing share calling for AI skills: 169,045 jobs in the U.S. cited AI needs, and 3,575 called for generative AI work in particular. The average tax manager job that'll use AI pays $100,445 a year, according to Adzuna data. AI jobs have been around for decades but exploded in recent months as ChatGPT entered the scene in late 2022. Companies like EY explicitly listed AI as one of their top three hiring priorities, while Wells Fargo and Kaiser Permanente are implementing it across their workflows. Those interested in building their generative AI skills can look into certification and training courses online, from the University of Michigan, Coursera and other e-learning platforms.
Persons: James Neave, Adzuna's, ChatGPT, Jay Shankar, Neave, Kelly Evans Organizations: Companies, Kaiser Permanente, Amazon Web Services, CNBC, University of Michigan, Stanford, MIT Locations: U.S, Wells Fargo, India
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWe're headed for a world of two dominant decentralized blockchains, EY saysPaul Brody of the professional services firm compares regulatory competition in cryptocurrency and says there are "more and more good regulatory choices."
Persons: EY, Paul Brody Locations: cryptocurrency
Reuters GraphicsIndia is among the world's top exporters of services, doubling its share in global services trade to over 4% from 2% in 2005, according to WTO estimates. Sunil Talati, president of government-aided Services Export Promotion Council, said total services exports could overtake goods exports in the next five years to $750 billion. A report by Knight Frank consultancy last week said demand for office space has risen sharply in smaller cities, driven by expanding operations of global accounting and multinationals, pushing up rents by up to 10%. Domestic accounting firms are also moving to smaller towns and raising wages. "With the Big Four and other global firms coming to our cities, we are going even deeper to open offices in smaller cities."
Persons: Ernst & Young, Diksha Mehta, Debasish Mishra, PwC, Padmaja Alaganandan, Narendra Modi, Sunil Talati, Swagatika Parmanik, Knight Frank, Kshitij Patel, Shah, Manoj Kumar, Kripa Jayaram, Sam Holmes Organizations: Business, Diksha, Reuters Graphics India, Deloitte, KPMG, Export Promotion Council, Reuters, PwC, IBM, Manubhai, Shah LLP, Thomson Locations: BHUBANESWAR, India, Mumbai, Delhi, Bengaluru, Jaipur, Vadodara, Kochi, Chandigarh, Patiala, Australian, Europe, New Delhi, Asia, Odisha, Bhubaneswar, Gujarat, Ahmedabad
[1/2] British Chancellor of the Exchequer Jeremy Hunt holds a Ministerial Statement at the House of Commons in London, Britain, June 26, 2023. The government rocked pension savers last September with a fiscal statement that drove government bond yields higher and forced pension schemes to scramble for cash, triggering a parliamentary inquiry into their investments. The government is under pressure to revitalise domestic investor interest in several industries considered key to Britain's growth, including fintech, biotech, life science and clean technology. Encouraging greater investment in growth assets will help younger savers but the reforms offer little hope to those retiring in the near term. Inflation continues to ravage Britain's economy, with rates running higher than in any other major rich country.
Persons: Jeremy Hunt, Jessica Taylor, Handout, Richard Gnodde, Becky O’Connor, Jon Hatchett, Hymans Robertson, Andrew Bailey, Hunt, Anna Anthony, Sinead Cruise, Carolyn Cohn, Nick Macfie Organizations: REUTERS, Aviva, Goldman Sachs, Public Affairs, Bank of England, Financial, Thomson Locations: London, Britain, City, PensionBee, Britain's
Firdaus Wajidi | Anadolu Agency | Getty ImagesSoutheast Asia's initial public offering market is showing promising signs despite a global IPO slowdown in the first half of 2023, according to a new Deloitte report. In the last six months, Southeast Asia's market saw 85 IPOs raising $3.3 billion in proceeds, versus the 73 IPOs in the same period last year which raised $3.1 billion. That's a 16% increase in the number of IPOs and a 5% increase in proceeds for the first half of 2023. Indonesia's rising starIndonesia raised 70% of the total IPO proceeds in Southeast Asia for the first half of 2023. Indonesia "looks set to have its best year ever in terms of listing proceeds with 44 IPOs in 2023 H1," said Deloitte.
Persons: Firdaus, — GoTo, Joko Widodo, Harita Nickel Organizations: Anadolu Agency, Getty, Deloitte, Nasdaq, EV, PT Merdeka Battery Materials, Pertamina Geothermal, Indonesia, Harita Locations: JAKARTA, INDONESIA, Jakarta, Indonesia, Southeast Asia, Australia, Thailand, Malaysia, China
Reliance Retail includes Ambani's core retail businesses, including digital and brick-and-mortar stores. It is fully owned by Reliance Retail Ventures, which also houses other retail operations such as international partnerships and the billionaire's consumer goods business. In 2020, Reliance Retail Ventures raised 472.65 billion Indian rupees ($5.72 billion) by selling a 10.09% stake, valuing it at roughly $57 billion based on current exchange rates. EY valued Reliance Retail at 884.03 rupees per share, while BDO valued it at 849.08 rupees, the source said. Reliance Retail has in recent years partnered with a slew of global brands to launch and expand their presence in India.
Persons: Mukesh Ambani, valuers, Ambani, Tiffany, Aditya Kalra, Sriram, Chris Thomas, Savio D'Souza, Louise Heavens, Mark Potter Organizations: Reliance, Reuters, BDO, EY, Reliance Retail Ventures, KKR, Saudi Public Investment Fund, General Atlantic, Reliance Retail, Burberry, Thomson Locations: DELHI, India, New Delhi, Mumbai, Bengaluru
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Interest rates are higher and so are prices, credit is drying up and there are signs that the labor market is finally softening. The problem is that no one, not even the Federal Reserve, knows how much longer the American consumer can keep on spending. Personal saving rates soared as a result, with US households amassing about $2.3 trillion in savings in 2020 and through the summer of 2021, according to Federal Reserve economists. Economists know that savings must be dissipating, but haven’t quite figured out just how much of that money is left. Just a few weeks later, economists at the Federal Reserve Board of Governors in Washington said just the opposite.
Persons: New York CNN — There’s, we’ve, , Torsten Slok, Lydia Boussour, Hanna Ziady, Xiaofei Xu, Beijing’s, Laura He, Wei Jianguo, Funflation, Beyflation — Taylor Swift, Fisher, don’t Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, Commerce Department, Federal Reserve Bank of San, Governors, Apollo Global Management, Consumer, Reuters, China Daily, Fisher Investments, National Statistics Locations: New York, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, Washington, United States, EY, Boussour, China, Beijing, Japan, Italy, Netherlands, Swiftflation
Strong IPO pipeline in the next 6 months, EY's Paul Go says
  + stars: | 2023-07-04 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailStrong IPO pipeline in the next 6 months, EY's Paul Go saysPaul Go, global IPO leader at EY, says there has been a lack of so-called "mega-IPOs" this year, but the outlook is more positive and there is hope that investors will return to the IPO market as there is more economic certainty.
Persons: EY's Paul Go, Paul Go
Minneapolis CNN —The Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge cooled off last month, and consumers reined in some spending as the economy slows, according to data released Friday by the Commerce Department. Personal spending ticked up by just 0.1%, a more moderate pace than April’s revised 0.6% growth rate. When adjusting for inflation, consumer spending was flat. Consumers refill the coffersThe data in recent months shows a gradual cooling in consumer spending, Gregory Daco, chief economist at EY-Parthenon, told CNN. “There were no fireworks within the Fed’s favorite inflation report today,” George Mateyo, chief investment officer for KeyBank, wrote in a statement.
Persons: Diane Swonk, , Gregory Daco, “ It’s, Friday’s, Abby Omodunbi, Janet Yellen, Yellen, ” Yellen, ” George Mateyo, KeyBank, Swonk, it’s, we’ve Organizations: Minneapolis CNN, Commerce Department, CNN, , PNC, Fed, Transportation Locations: Minneapolis, EY, New Orleans
"The economy is currently displaying genuine signs of resilience," said Gregory Daco, chief economist at EY-Parthenon in New York. Initial claims for state unemployment benefits decreased 26,000 to a seasonally adjusted 239,000 for the week ended June 24. Continuing claims covered the period during which the government surveyed households for June's unemployment rate. The unemployment rate was at 3.7% in May. GDP consumer contributionEconomists had expected first-quarter GDP growth would be raised slightly to a 1.4% pace.
Persons: Gregory Daco, Unadjusted, Rubeela Farooqi, Jerome Powell, Amira Karaoud, Scott Hoyt, Lucia Mutikani, Chizu Nomiyama, Andrea Ricci Organizations: Federal Reserve, Labor Department, Reuters, Financial, U.S, Treasury, REUTERS, Conference Board, Gross, Commerce Department, Thomson Locations: WASHINGTON, EY, New York, Minnesota, Ohio, California, Texas, Pennsylvania, Connecticut, New Jersey, White Plains , New York, Spanish, Madrid, Louisville, U.S, West Chester , Pennsylvania
Economic Data Points to Faster Growth Early in Year
  + stars: | 2023-06-29 | by ( Ben Casselman | ) www.nytimes.com   time to read: +1 min
The NewsThe United States economy grew faster early this year than previously believed. That was a significant upward revision from the 1.1 percent growth rate in preliminary data released in April. (An earlier revision, released last month, showed a slightly stronger rate of 1.3 percent.) An alternative measure of growth, based on income rather than production, painted a different picture, showing that the economy contracted for the second quarter in a row. That spending, fueled by a strong job market and rising wages, helped offset declines in other sectors of the economy like business investment and housing.
Persons: , Gregory Daco, Ernst, Young Organizations: United, Gross, Commerce Department, EY Locations: United States
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