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U.S. equity futures fell on Sunday evening as investors braced for key inflation data, after almost completely reversing its violent market rout last week. S&P 500 futures dipped 0.08% and Nasdaq 100 futures inched lower by 0.05%. Fear often works in our favor as stock market investors. "Another round of good [inflation] data could help calm fears that the Fed is potentially losing the plot," Cox said. "Retail sales and retailer earnings may show that fears of a job market slowdown are overblown," she added.
Persons: Callie Cox, they'll, Cox Organizations: Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Dow, Ritholtz Wealth Management, CNBC, Walmart
Vance looks to turn tables on Walz
  + stars: | 2024-08-11 | by ( Eric Bradner | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +9 min
“Tim Walz gave his wife a nice, firm Midwestern handshake, and then tried to sort of awkwardly correct for it,” Vance said. Vance said “of course” he acknowledges the families of Harris and Buttigieg, and argued his comments were taken out of context. The Ohio senator said Republicans’ goal is to contrast the policies Trump stood for during his term in office with those of the Biden-Harris administration. “I think all President Trump was saying was that look, it’s kind of weird that you have so many bureaucrats making so many important decisions. “And I think that’s what President Trump was getting at.
Persons: Vance, Tim Walz, CNN’s Dana Bash, Walz, Kamala Harris, he’d, “ Tim Walz, ” Vance, , , Dana, doesn’t, Walz “, Walz —, Harris, , Donald Trump, Pete Buttigieg, Buttigieg, Trump, Joe Biden’s, , Joe Biden, Harris “, Joe Biden doesn’t, Walz misspoke —, I’m, Tim Walz’s, “ It’s, Doug Julin, CNN’s Laura Coates, Julin, “ I’m, Tim Walz didn’t, Kate Cox, … You’ve, Harris –, India – Vance, “ She’s, hasn’t Organizations: CNN, Republican, Democratic, MSNBC, Union, Transportation, Trump, Biden, Biden White, Army National Guard, Congress, Federal, National Association of Black Journalists Locations: Minnesota, Ohio, Philadelphia, “ State, United States, Milwaukee, Italy, Afghanistan, Iraq, Texas, Jamaica, India
Read previewTesla has a California problem — its residents aren't buying as many of Elon Musk's electric cars as they used to. And California isn't the only place where Tesla's chokehold on the EV market is beginning to slip. Tesla CEO Elon Musk has attributed lackluster sales to high interest rates and economic uncertainty in the US. But, while Tesla's sales are dropping, the EV market as a whole is expanding, including in California. Similarly, data from CNCDA shows that EV sales in California hit their second-highest quarter on record in July.
Persons: , Tesla, Elon, Elon Musk, Gavin Newsom, Newsom, Noam Galai, Musk, Donald Trump, wouldn't, Ivan Drury, Edmunds, California there's, Brian Moody, Moody Organizations: Service, Golden State, Car Dealers, US, Business, Cox Automotive, California, Forbes, Experian Automotive, SpaceX, Democratic Party, Auto Locations: California
That was the obvious crowd sentiment at the D23 Disney Entertainment Showcase on Friday, where the company previewed its upcoming lineup of film and streaming comfort content. D23, for those unfamiliar with the biennial pilgrimage of Disney fans to Anaheim, California, is part cosplay convention, part promotional pep fest. It was as if Disney, borrowing a line from Russell Crowe in “Gladiator,” asked, “Are you not entertained?”Hard not to be. Walt Disney Studios and AnimationAuli'i Cravalho and Dwayne Johnson appear at the Disney Entertainment Showcase on August 9. He previewed “Dream Productions,” an “Inside Out” spinoff series, set in Riley’s mind in a time period between the two films, due to release on Disney+ next year.
Persons: , King ”, David Blaine, Lin Manuel Miranda, Russell Crowe, , Dwayne Johnson, Jesse Grant, Disney Dwayne Jonnson, “ Maui’s, ” Johnson, Jamie Lee Curtis, Lindsay Lohan, ” Lohan, ” Curtis, Oscar, Barry Jenkins, Miranda, Lin, Manuel Miranda, Braelyn Rankins, Aaron Pierre, Kelvin Harrison Jr, Theo Somolu, Anika Noni Rose, Billy Eichner, Seth Rogen, Jim Cameron, ” Cameron, “ It’s, Zoe Saldana, Sam Worthington, Ginnifer Goodwin, ” Rachel Zegler, Gal Godot, Jeff Bridges, Jared Leto, Greta Lee, Ares, Disney Pixar Pete Docter, Docter, “ Elio, Marvel, America, Kevin Feige –, Ryan Reynolds, Marvel Jesus ”, , Feige, Anthony Mackie, Harrison Ford’s Thaddeus ‘ Thunderbolt ’ Ross –, William Hurt –, Agatha All, Kathryn Hahn, Agatha Harkness, ” Hahn, Aubrey, Patti LuPone, Joe Locke, Okwui Okpokwasili, Ali Ahn, Agatha, Charlie Cox, Lucasfilm Grogu, Din Djarin, Pedro Pascal, Jude Law, Diego Luna, wunderkinds Jon Favreau, Dave Filoni, Yoda Organizations: CNN, Disney, Walt Disney Studios, Disney Entertainment, Pixar, Disney Pixar, Marvel Marvel, Marvel, , Aubrey Plaza, Lucasfilm, Star Locations: Anaheim , California, , Moana, New Zealand, “ WandaVision
Brazilian investigators on Saturday began analyzing the black boxes from a São Paulo-bound flight to try to understand why the passenger plane fell from 17,000 feet on Friday, in a crash that killed all 62 on board. But to aviation experts around the world who watched the videos showing the 89-foot plane spinning slowly as it plummeted before crashing almost directly on its belly, the question of what had happened was simple to answer: The plane had stalled. In other words, the plane’s wings had lost the lift needed to keep the aircraft aloft, causing it to stop flying and start falling. “You can’t get into a spin without stalling,” said John Cox, an airline pilot for 25 years who now aids plane crash investigations. “It’s A plus B equals C.”
Persons: , John Cox,
In just a few short days, markets have taken some of the urgency off the table for the Federal Reserve to slash interest rates. Earlier in the week, there were even some calls for an emergency intermeeting rate cut. At the least, markets figured the Fed was a near-certainty to reduce benchmark rates by at least a half percentage point. Wharton professor Jeremy Siegel has been one of the loudest voices for aggressive Fed action, calling Monday for an emergency cut . The Fed has been holding its benchmark rate in a range between 5.25%-5.50% for more than a year.
Persons: we've, Steven Wieting, Wieting, Wharton, Jeremy Siegel, Jerome Powell, Siegel, Powell Organizations: Federal Reserve, Reserve, Citi Wealth, Labor Department
The Federal Reserve is gearing up to cut interest rates as soon as next month, which could bring relief to people with mortgages, credit cards and car loans. Certificates of deposit — fixed-rate bank accounts with term limits — are a go-to when interest rates are high. With interest rates coming down, the idea is just pay and save as much as you can right now. There’s no bad time to do that, but when the central bank lowers interest rates, it can be even more valuable. “It’s tempting to say, ‘Well, when interest rates go down, stocks are going to do well, because people are switching from low-return to higher-return assets,’” she said.
Persons: Mark Hamrick, , , Hamrick, Rodney Lake, Laura Veldkamp, Veldkamp, Jude Boudreaux, now’s, ” Jude Boudreaux, you’re, ” Boudreaux, ” DON’T, Jonathan Smoke, Cox, Edmunds, Ivan Drury Organizations: Federal, GW Investment, George Washington University School of Business, Columbia University’s Graduate School of Business, Chipping, Columbia Business, Philadelphia Fed, Federal Reserve, Mortgage, Association, Fed Locations: U.S, Orleans, New Orleans, Edmunds
Initial claims for unemployment insurance totaled less than expected last week, countering other signs that the labor market is weakening. Stock market futures, which had been negative earlier, turned sharply positive following the 8:30 a.m. In the previous week, claims had jumped by 14,000, adding to worries that layoffs are on the rise. "If you're looking for additional weakness in the labor market, you'll need to find it somewhere else." Concerns escalated over the state of the labor market following last Friday's nonfarm payrolls report, which showed an increase of just 114,000 in July.
Persons: Dow Jones, Beryl, Robert Frick, nonfarm Organizations: Labor Department, Navy Federal Credit Union, Federal Reserve Locations: Michigan, Texas, U.S
Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump on Thursday said that he should have a voice when the Federal Reserve makes its decisions on interest rates. Among the ideas being floated are forcing the Fed to consult with the president when making rate decisions. While in office from 2017 to 2021, President Trump was a fierce critic of Chair Jerome Powell, whom Trump appointed in 2018. The Fed hiked benchmark interest rates 5.25 percentage points from March 2022-July 2023 in an effort to bring down inflation. Trump generally favors lower interest rates and criticized the Fed frequently for raising in 2018.
Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, Jerome Powell, Powell, Kamala Harris, Sen, Elizabeth Warren Organizations: Republican, Federal Reserve, Wall Street, White, Treasury Department, Federal, Fed, Trump, Democrat, CNBC Locations: Lago, Palm Beach , Florida, Florida
Wharton School Professor Jeremy Siegel no longer thinks it's vital for the Federal Reserve to implement an emergency interest rate reduction, but still wants policymakers to cut quickly and aggressively. "Obviously, I wanted to shake things up," Siegel said of his call for an intermeeting move. However, those expectations have been volatile as investors watch how quickly the Fed thinks it should ease policy. An emergency cut under these circumstances is "just not the way Jay Powell does things," Siegel said. "But Jay Powell has done things way too slow, certainly on the way up, and I just want to make sure he doesn't make the same mistakes on the way down."
Persons: Jeremy Siegel, Siegel, Jerome Powell, Powell, Jay Powell Organizations: Wharton, Federal Reserve, CNBC Locations: WisdomTree
Disappointing economic data recently generated worries that the Fed missed an opportunity at its meeting last week to, if not cut rates outright, send a clearer signal that easing is on the way. In the past, the Fed has implemented just nine such cuts, and all have come amid extreme duress, according to Bank of America. Lacking a catalyst for an intermeeting cut, the Fed is nonetheless expected to cut rates almost as swiftly as it hiked from March 2022-July 2023. Why wait?”LaVorgna, though, isn’t convinced the Fed is in a life-or-death battle against recession. Still, any quakes in the data, such as Friday’s downside surprise to the nonfarm payrolls numbers, could ignite recession talk quickly.
Persons: Jerome Powell, ” Steven Blitz, , Andrew Hollenhorst, , ’ ”, Michael Gapen, Powell, Joseph LaVorgna, , “ They’ll, isn’t, Goldman Sachs, David Rosenberg Organizations: Federal Reserve, TS Lombard, Fed, Citigroup, Bank of America, Nikko Securities, Rosenberg Research Locations: Jackson Hole , Wyoming, Nikko
Squeeze on carry trades leave currency markets on edge
  + stars: | 2024-08-06 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
The Japanese yen and U.S. dollar on display in Yichang, Hubei province, Nov 13, 2023. The yen was 1% lower on Tuesday at 145.78 per dollar in early trading, after rising for five straight sessions and touching a seven-month high of 141.675 on Monday. "Sell-offs that manifest themselves through wild swings in the currency markets are sharp and swift, but usually very short lived," said Jamie Cox, managing partner at Harris Financial Group. "Markets are clearly nervous about the divergent paths central banks are taking, leading to lots of volatility." The dollar index , which measures the U.S. unit versus six rivals, was flat at 102.87 in early trading after touching a seven-month low of 102.15 on Monday.
Persons: Jamie Cox, James Athey, undervaluation Organizations: U.S, Federal Reserve, Federal, Harris Financial, Traders, Bank of Japan, Marlborough Investment Management Locations: Yichang, Hubei province, recessionary, Japan, Switzerland, Tokyo
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMarkets are going through a growth scare but it's not as bad as people think, says Ritholtz' CoxCallie Cox, Ritholtz Wealth Management chief market strategist, joins 'Money Movers' to discuss how Cox would advise investors regarding the market's sharp pullback, the process for getting market rebalanced, and much more.
Persons: Ritholtz, Cox Callie Cox, Cox Organizations: Ritholtz Wealth Management
Axios Laying Off 10% of Staff
  + stars: | 2024-08-06 | by ( Katie Robertson | More About Katie Robertson | ) www.nytimes.com   time to read: +1 min
Axios was started in 2017 by Mr. VandeHei and his business partners Mike Allen and Roy Schwartz, all of whom previously worked at Politico, the political news site. Mr. VandeHei said in the email to staff on Tuesday that moving forward, Axios would increase its focus on U.S. news coverage and more rapidly expand its city-specific newsletters to new locations. He also said the company would continue building its paid subscription product, Axios Pro, which is aimed at business professionals. Mr. VandeHei told The Times earlier this year that the rise of A.I. Mr. VandeHei said at the time that Axios would increase the number of live events it holds as well as build paid memberships around some of its star journalists.
Persons: Axios, VandeHei, Mike Allen, Roy Schwartz Organizations: Mr, Politico, Cox Enterprises, Times
Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) on August 05, 2024, in New York City. "The market got a little bit ahead of itself in that run-up that it's had. Soon, traders began pricing in aggressive Fed rate cuts after expecting the central bank to do little the rest of the year. "This is the confluence of a very high market that has been soaring and riding on a lot of sentiment and emotion. For several months now, the momentum trade has been the successful trade," said Michael Farr, CEO of Farr, Miller & Washington.
Persons: Spencer Platt, Robert Teeter, it's, John Belton, , Kamala Harris, Republican Donald Trump, Michael Farr, Farr Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Getty, Federal Reserve, Silvercrest Asset Management, Dow Jones, Labor Department, Gabelli, Bank of Japan, Nvidia, Democratic, Republican, Miller & Washington Locations: New York City, cumulatively, Ukraine, U.S
The stock market crashed Monday, with the Nasdaq 100 dropping nearly 6%. AdvertisementUS stocks crashed on Monday, with the Nasdaq shedding nearly 6% as the global market rout that kicked off late last week accelerated. AdvertisementThe losses accelerated on Monday after Japan's stock market experienced its worst decline since the Black Monday crash in 1987, falling 12%. Berkshire Hathaway now holds a record $277 billion in cash, leading to some investors worrying that Buffett has soured on the stock market. The bigger question is whether this bloodletting will prove sufficient to provide a basis for a resumption of the stock market rally, and ultimately fresh record highs.
Persons: , nonfarm payrolls, Jamie Cox, Warren, Berkshire Hathaway, Buffett, bitcoin, David Morrison Organizations: Nasdaq, Berkshire Hathaway's Apple, Service, Dow Jones, Amazon, Intel, Bank of Japan, Federal Reserve, Harris Financial, Berkshire Hathaway's, Berkshire, FCA Locations: Berkshire
Mary Daly, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, during the National Association of Business Economics (NABE) economic policy conference in Washington, DC, US, on Friday, Feb. 16, 2024. San Francisco Federal Reserve President Mary Daly on Monday said she expects that interest rates will be cut later this year but declined to provide a timetable or the extent to which the central bank will ease. At their meeting last week, Fed officials provided some hints that lower rates are coming but were short on specifics. Earlier in the day, Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee told CNBC that the central bank's "restrictive" rates policy doesn't make sense if the economy isn't overheating, which he said it is not. If there are trouble signs with the economy, Goolsbee said the Fed will "fix it."
Persons: Mary Daly, Daly, we've, Austan Goolsbee, Goolsbee Organizations: Federal Reserve Bank of San, National Association of Business Economics, San Francisco Federal, Market, Chicago Fed, CNBC Locations: Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, Washington , DC, Hawaii
Chicago Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee on Monday vowed that the central bank would react to signs of weakness in the economy and indicated that interest rates could be too restrictive now. Policymakers have been focused on the "real" fed funds rate, which is the Fed's benchmark minus the inflation rate. As inflation declines, the real rate increases — unless the Fed chooses to cut. The real rate now is around 2.73%; Fed officials judge the long-term real rate to be closer to 0.5%. Traders expect the Fed to slice 1.25-1.5 percentage points off the funds rate by the end of the year, according to the CME Group's FedWatch Tool.
Persons: Austan Goolsbee, Goolsbee, nonfarm, I'm, we're Organizations: Chicago Federal, Dow Jones, Fed, Labor Department, Traders
The Olympic men’s golf competition was in the hands of Jon Rahm. In the battle for bronze, Japan’s Hideki Matsuayama shot a final-round 65 to finish at 17-under-par, two shots behind Scheffler and one behind Fleetwood. Scheffler has won seven of his last 11 outings, all coming in majors or signature events with limited fields. The biggest winner this week was perhaps golf as an Olympic sport. Massive crowds all three days, genuine Olympic energy, and a star-stacked leaderboard proved the sport has a place in the Games.
Persons: Scottie Scheffler, he’s, Jon Rahm, Scheffler, Tommy Fleetwood, Japan’s Hideki Matsuayama, Fleetwood, Frenchman Victor Perez, putts, Rahm, Xander Schauffele, Charles Sands, — Seve Ballesteros, José, Olazábal —, ” Rahm, there’s, , , Rory McIlroy, Kevin C, Cox Organizations: United State, Le, Schauffele, Spain, bogeys, Rio Games, Los Angeles Games, Riviera Country, Ryder Locations: QUENTIN, YVELINES, France, Scotland, Tokyo, Paris, Spain
CNN —Scottie Scheffler produced a remarkable final round to clinch gold in the men’s golf competition at the Paris Olympics on Sunday. Scheffler finished his final round level with Tommy Fleetwood, but a bogey on the 17th hole for the British golfer dropped him down to 17-under. Fleetwood then carded a par on the final hole, allowing Scheffler to clinch the victory and giving the Brit the silver. Heading into Sunday’s final round, Scheffler was on the peripheries of the contenders for the Olympic title but definitely not among the favorites. TV cameras showed the American being told he’d won gold, sharing an embrace with his caddie Ted Scott as their remarkable season continued.
Persons: Scottie Scheffler, Scheffler, Tommy Fleetwood, Fleetwood, It’s, Kevin C, Cox, Hideki Matsuyama, Jon Rahm, he’d, Ted Scott, Justin Ray Organizations: CNN, Paris Olympics, Sunday, Le, Brit, PGA, Augusta, Getty, Fleetwood, Games, Yahoo Sports Locations: Sunday’s, British, Kentucky, Japan, American
How do I start?”The ad then displays a website for a group called America PAC. “I have created a PAC, or a super PAC ... the America PAC,” Musk said in a recent interview. But what is unique about America PAC’s project is who is backing it and the timing of its creation. The America PAC raised over $8 million between April 1 and June 30, according to FEC records. He recently said on X that he is “making some donations to America PAC,” but did not say how much.
Persons: , Donald Trump, Trump, they’ll, Elon Musk, Kamala Harris, ” Musk, Musk, , Brendan Fischer, Fischer, ” Fischer, Phil Cox, Generra Peck, Dave Rexrode, Doug Leone, Cameron, Tyler Winklevoss, Joe Lonsdale, Lonsdale, Harris, Daniel Weiner, Brennan, Matthew Baum, Baum, Weiner Organizations: Google, America PAC, Tesla, Republican, Democratic, Forbes, PAC, Facebook, YouTube, America, “ America PAC, Trump, The New York Times, FEC, Harvard Kennedy School Locations: Michigan, California, Wyoming, Pennsylvania, Georgia, Arizona , Michigan, North Carolina , Nevada , Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, America, Trump
To many, "Baby Reindeer" is known as the Netflix series that swept the internet in the spring of 2024 with its harrowing, seemingly true tale based on creator Richard Gadd's experience of being stalked. Richard Gadd as Donny Dunn and Jessica Gunning as Martha Scott in "Baby Reindeer." The drama over "Baby Reindeer," which has been both a boon and a threat to the streamer, reflects a larger reckoning for prestige TV's favorite pastime: adapting true stories. Atsushi Nishijima/Netflix Show less "Baby Reindeer." Harvey's lawyer Roth doesn't think Netflix particularly cared about the risk of legal action when it greenlit "Baby Reindeer."
Persons: Richard Gadd's, Fiona Harvey, Gadd, Donny, he'd, Martha Scott, Martha, Richard Gadd, Donny Dunn, Jessica Gunning, Ed Miller, Piers Morgan, Harvey, Rachel DeLoache Williams, Anna Delvey, Anna Sorokin, Anna, Linda Fairstein, Ava DuVernay, Fairstein, Felicity Huffman, Katie Lowes, Rachel, Julia Garner, Laverne Cox, Duke, Alexis Floyd, Neff, Aaron Epstein, Buster Murdaugh, Alex Murdaugh, Kelly's, Kelly, Richard Roth, Joan of Arc, Victoria Price, Judge Horton, Ruby Bates, Bates, Michael, Bette, Joan ", Olivia de Havilland, we're, they're, Macbeth, Atsushi Nishijima, Griselda Blanco's, Griselda, Harvey's, Roth, There's, Jeff Lewis, there's, Lewis, Netflix hasn't, Jackie Ward, Ward Organizations: Netflix, Business, Former New York, Neff Dav, Lifetime, Hollywood, NBC, Scottsboro, Disney Locations: Scottish, England, California, Former New York City, Tennessee, New York, Los Angeles
The ad then displays a website for a group called America PAC. "I have created a PAC, or a super PAC ... the America PAC," Musk said in a recent interview. But what is unique about America PAC's project is who is backing it and the timing of its creation. He recently said on X that he is "making some donations to America PAC," but did not say how much. Musk on X mirrors Musk PAC
Persons: Elon Musk, The Beverly Hilton, David Swanson, Donald Trump, Trump, they'll, Kamala Harris, Musk, Brendan Fischer, Fischer, Phil Cox, Generra Peck, Dave Rexrode, Doug Leone, Cameron, Tyler Winklevoss, Joe Lonsdale, Lonsdale Organizations: SpaceX, Tesla, The Beverly, Reuters, Google, America PAC, Republican, Democratic, Forbes, PAC, Facebook, YouTube, America, Trump, The New York Times, FEC Locations: Beverly Hills , California, U.S, Michigan, California, Wyoming, Pennsylvania, Georgia, Arizona , Michigan, North Carolina , Nevada , Pennsylvania, Wisconsin
"A 50 basis point Fed cut in September is clearly justified as the labor market is now showing clear signs of softening," said Yung-Yu Ma, chief investment officer at BMO Wealth Management. The firm, which has long been saying the Fed will need to cut aggressively this year, expects another 50 basis point cut in November by a 25 basis point cut move in December. A basis point is 0.01 percentage point. The S & P 500 lost more than 2.5% and Treasury yields plummeted, sending the policy-sensitive 2-year note down more than a quarter percentage point to 3.91%. "It's very possible the Fed alters its inter-meeting communications on the balance of risks to remove all doubt [of] a September rate cut."
Persons: Yung, Yu Ma, David Donabedian, Preston Caldwell, David Rosenberg, Jerome Powell, Jamie Cox Organizations: Federal Reserve, Fed, Labor Statistics, BMO Wealth Management, Wall, Citigroup, CIBC Private Wealth, Morningstar, Rosenberg Research, Harris Financial
Job growth in the U.S. slowed much more than expected during July and the unemployment rate ticked higher, the Labor Department reported Friday. The unemployment rate edged higher to 4.3%, its highest since October 2021. "Temperatures might be hot around the country, but there's no summer heatwave for the job market," said Becky Frankiewicz, president of the Manpower Group employment agency. From a sector standpoint, health care again led in job creation, adding 55,000 to payrolls. The labor force also contracted by 214,000, though the participation rate as a share of the working-age population actually edged higher to 62.7%.
Persons: Nonfarm payrolls, Dow Jones, Becky Frankiewicz Organizations: Labor Department, Stock, Manpower Group Locations: U.S
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