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Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailJim Grant on rising bond yields: The market thinks the Fed may have overdone itJim Grant, Grant’s Interest Rate Observer founder and editor, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest Treasury market trends, future of U.S. monetary policy, state of the economy, and more.
Persons: Jim Grant Organizations: Treasury
London CNN —Rolls-Royce has created a one-of-a-kind car in honor of the 60th anniversary of the James Bond movie “Goldfinger,” with bespoke gadgets that would be the envy of Q. Rolls-Royce Phantom Goldfinger pictured at Stoke Park, southern England. Benedict Campbell/Rolls-RoyceUnsurprisingly, this Bond-worthy car is full of bespoke gadgets - many of which are, obviously, gold. Rolls-Royce Phantom Goldfinger features gold-plated golf putter in the trunk. Fancy getting your hands on a similar bespoke car?
Persons: Royce, James Bond, Goldfinger, Sean Connery, , Benedict Campbell, Auric Goldfinger’s, Nick Rhodes, Bond, ” Rhodes, Georgina Cox Organizations: London CNN —, Royce, Fort Knox, CNN Locations: Ville, Stoke, England, Fort, Furka, Swiss, Goodwood
Five people have been charged in Texas, accused of organizing and participating in an illegal cheating scheme that certified more than 200 unqualified teachers and saw the plot’s “kingpin” rake in more than $1 million, prosecutors announced. Investigators noticed a pattern: Numerous teacher certification candidates who previously failed certification exams would drive from faraway Texas cities to the Houston area to take an exam. Then a tip came in that exposed the cheating scheme. He'd pay her about 20% of the $2,500 to allow the cheating, Levine said. “They are going to go over every teacher, I’m sure, and take whatever action they see fit if they believe someone fraudulently obtained a certification,” Levine said.
Persons: proctor, Kim Ogg, Vincent Grayson, Booker T, Tywana Gilford Mason, Nicholas Newton, Nikole, LaShonda Roberts, Ken Paxton, Mike Levine, Texas “, , Ogg, , Levine, proctors, ” Levine, Grayson, Gilford Mason, He'd, Nicolas Newton, Newton, , Roberts, HTEC, It's, Brandon G, Leonard, I’m, — Grayson, Alexandra Elizondo Organizations: Washington High School, Houston Independent School District, Texas Education Agency, Training, Education Center, DA, Public, Houston Training, Booker, Yates High School, NBC News, TEA, Houston ISD, HISD, Public Affairs, Communications Locations: Texas, Houston, Harris County, Newton, Houston ISD, TACTIX
Gold's record-breaking rally may have even more room to run, according to Goldman Sachs. Analyst Lina Thomas forecasts the commodity will rise around 10% by December 2025, hitting the $3,000 threshold in that period. After advancing to a fresh record last week , spot gold reached an all-time high on Wednesday. "We still see significant hedging value in long gold positions in geopolitical or macroeconomic scenarios that are less friendly for equity-bond portfolios than our soft landing base case," she wrote. That said, she anticipates demand moderation could also allow for more upside.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Lina Thomas, Thomas Organizations: U.S Locations: Russia, Ukraine, London
Every weekday, the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer releases the Homestretch — an actionable afternoon update, just in time for the last hour of trading on Wall Street. Then there were selloffs in Club stocks Eli Lilly and Advanced Micro Devices after their earnings releases. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Eli Lilly, Lilly's, AMD's financials, Stanley Black, Decker, Estee Lauder, Jim Cramer's, Jim Organizations: CNBC, Dow, Caterpillar, Devices, Nasdaq, Microsoft, Starbucks, MGM Resorts, Linde, Merck, ConocoPhillips, Mastercard, Roblox, Myers, Jim Cramer's Charitable Locations: Bristol
Define your real estate goalsWhat are you looking to gain from real estate investing, and what risks are you willing to take? REITs (real estate investment trusts)One of the best ways to start investing in real estate as a beginner is with a real estate investment trust (REIT). Real estate limited partnershipsA real estate limited partnership (RELP) provides investors with a diversified portfolio of real estate investment opportunities. Other notable real estate books worth checking out include:"The Warren Buffet Way" By Robert G. Hagstrom"The Real Estate Investor's Guide to Flipping Houses" By J. Scott"The Intelligent Investor" By Benjamin GrahamLocal real estate investment clubsConnecting with local real estate investment enthusiasts can be a great way to engage with the real estate community and expand your knowledge. FAQs about real estate investing for beginnersHow much money do I need to start investing in real estate?
Persons: Dana Bull, Chad Carson, CoachCarson.com, Equity REITs, Richard Ratner, Ratner, Bull, , Brandon Turner, Insider's, Robert G, Scott, Benjamin Graham Organizations: Dana Bull Real Estate Consulting, Equity, Publicly, Bel Air Investment Advisors, Property, Resources, Beginners, Benjamin Graham Local Locations: Chevron, REITs
An Australian one dollar coin sits atop a United States one dollar bill in this illustration photo taken February 12, 2016. The dollar hovered close to a three-month peak on Wednesday in a big week for macroeconomic data that could reveal the path for U.S. monetary policy. The Australian dollar edged closer to a three-month trough after some stickiness in inflation suggested a Reserve Bank of Australia interest rate cut is unlikely this year. The ADP employment report is due later in the day, ahead of the potentially crucial monthly payrolls report on Friday. "The U.S. dollar continues to garner strong support as markets adjust their rate path expectations," said James Kniveton, senior corporate FX dealer at Convera.
Persons: James Kniveton, Kniveton, Donald Trump, Rachel Reeves, Keir Starmer, Liz Truss Organizations: Reserve Bank of Australia, Federal Reserve, U.S ., Reserve Bank, Australia's, U.S, Treasury, Republican, European Central Bank, Sterling, Labor Locations: States, U.S, Australia, Europe
The case for a 50/30/20 portfolio is growing as investors seek to diversify into alternatives as a hedge against a stock and bond market that are each flashing cautionary signals. "And so, let me allocate a little bit, because instead of a 60/40, perhaps it's a [50/30/20]," she said, clarifying 50% to stocks, 30% to bonds, and the remaining 20% to alternatives. The case for alternatives The case for alternatives is two-fold. Still, investors say that the the asset class can help hedge against real risks ahead of stocks and bonds. One ETF investing in private equity asset managers is the Invesco Global Listed Private Equity ETF (PSP) .
Persons: Ayako Yoshioka, you've, Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Corporates, Yoshioka, Paul Tudor Jones, Mark Malek, it's, , Jesse Pound Organizations: Investors, Bank of America, Treasury, U.S, State Street, Apollo Global Management, Blackstone, Ares Management, KKR, Co, Carlyle Group, Equity ETF Locations: U.S, Siebert
Every weekday the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer holds a "Morning Meeting" livestream at 10:20 a.m. Meanwhile, fellow Club stock Advanced Micro Devices fell 9.5% on Wednesday, the morning after it issued light guidance. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Brian Niccol, Jim, Eli Lilly, Lilly, Stocks, Jim Cramer's Organizations: CNBC, Microsoft, Starbucks, Meta, Google, Club, Nvidia, AMD, GE Healthcare, Reddit Locations: China
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWaddell: The bond market is acting rationally, even with yields on the riseDavid Waddell, CEO of Waddell & Associates, discusses whether rising bond yields are actually having much of an impact on stocks, based on historical patterns.
Persons: Waddell, David Waddell Organizations: Waddell & Associates
The U.K.'s Labour Party is set to unveil its national budget for the first time in 14 years later on Wednesday. Investment bank analysts have highlighted several stocks that could win or lose ground if the rumored measures are unveiled or curtailed. The Wall Street bank's analysts added that "U.K. long-dated yields might decline with easing budget uncertainty and continued inflation relief". The chancellor is reported to want to remove the inheritance tax relief available to investors holding stocks listed in this market in the Wednesday budget. Such a move may entice existing investors to sell the stocks, if the tax policy change likely impacts them.
Persons: Rachel Reeves, Goldman Sachs, Christian Mueller, Glissmann, Pound Sterling, Investec's Ben Newell, Alan Brierley, Investec's, Genuity, Canaccord Genuity, Alex Brooks, Justin Bates, Portia Patel, Michael Bloom Organizations: Labour, Finance, Investment, London Stock Exchange, Foresight, Fund, Greencoat, Renewables, Infrastructure, International, AIM, London Stock Exchange's, Technology Ashtead Tech Locations: United Kingdom
Voters across the country are set to decide on nearly 150 ballot measures next week that will shape the future of a wide variety of policy issues in their states. (In addition, Louisiana will let voters decide on four constitutional amendments on its Dec. 7 ballot.) “Everyone knows this is a big issue this year — it’s the most we’ve ever seen for reproductive freedom ballot measures in history,” Fields Figueredo said. Voting and electionsThere are 39 ballot measures on the November ballot related to democracy, elections and voting procedures, according to the Ballot Initiative Strategy Center. And voting rights groups have argued it is designed to galvanize conservative turnout and counter enthusiasm for the state’s abortion rights proposal.
Persons: , Chris Melody Fields Figueredo, Figueredo Organizations: Strategy Center, Republican, noncitizens, Republicans Locations: Louisiana, Arizona, Nevada, Montana, Florida, In Arizona , Florida , Missouri, South Dakota, Maryland , Montana , Nevada, New York, Colorado, Nebraska, — Idaho , Iowa , Kentucky , Missouri, North Carolina , Oklahoma, South Carolina, Wisconsin, North Dakota, Florida , Nebraska, In Nebraska, Immigration Arizona, California, Alaska, Missouri, Washington
Mortgage rates will remain above 6% throughout 2025, Goldman Sachs said. In the bank's 2025 Housing Outlook, the analysts forecast mortgage rates will remain elevated, even as the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates. They expect mortgage rates to stay above 6% next year and end 2025 at 6.1%. "Our strategists expect mortgage rates to remain elevated for the foreseeable future," the analysts, led by Jan Hatzius, said in a Monday note. AdvertisementThey pointed to a variety of technical factors, including lower rates volatility and a rebound in demand for mortgage-backed securities that will help close the gap between risk-free rates and mortgage rates.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, , Freddie Mac, Jan Hatzius Organizations: Analysts, Service, Federal Reserve, Treasury
Stanley Black & Decker stock plunged Tuesday on the company's quarterly earnings release — a move Jim Cramer said investors should capitalize on. As the Federal Reserve continues to lower borrowing costs, activity in the housing market should pickup, boosting demand for Stanley Black & Decker's tools. "If you believe the rate cycle is coming, that's the stock to buy," Jim added. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. Stanley Black & Decker power drills are displayed for sale at a Home Depot store in Colma, California.
Persons: Stanley Black, Jim Cramer, Jim, Decker, we're, Jim Cramer's, David Paul Morris Organizations: Federal Reserve, CNBC, Bloomberg, Getty Locations: U.S, Colma , California
Every weekday, the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer releases the Homestretch — an actionable afternoon update, just in time for the last hour of trading on Wall Street. We will hear more about this broader strategy on the company's earnings call Wednesday night. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Wolfe, Oleato, Brian Niccol's, Eli Lilly, Jim Cramer's, Jim, Jeff Greenberg Organizations: CNBC, Nasdaq, Treasury, Honeywell, We're, Wolfe Research, Bloomberg, Starbucks, GE Healthcare . Caterpillar, Humana, Brinker International, Trane Technologies, Otis, Jim Cramer's Charitable, Universal, Getty Locations: Dover, Illinois, Atlanta , Georgia
There could be trouble ahead for consumers and the economy if interest rates don't come down, the latest financial results from D.R. "While mortgage rates have decreased from their highs earlier this year, many potential homebuyers expect rates to be lower in 2025," he said in a statement . Horton year to date The rate for a 30-year fixed mortgage is currently 7%, according to Mortgage News Daily . Mortgage rates are tied to the yield on the 10-year Treasury note, which has recently spiked higher. For the fiscal fourth quarter that just ended, it reported earnings of $3.92 per share on revenue of $10 billion.
Persons: Horton, David Auld, LSEG Organizations: Wall, Mortgage News, Federal Reserve, Treasury, Toll, Pulte, KB, Home Locations: Arlington , Texas
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe disinflationary path will be a lot slower than people anticipate, says Subadra RajappaSubadra Rajappa, Societe Generale head of U.S. rate strategy, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest market trends, state of the economy, what to make of the volatility in bond market, the Fed's inflation fight, and more.
Persons: Subadra Organizations: Societe Generale
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBond market factoring in Trump win, if Harris wins bond yields come down: Wells Fargo's SchumacherMichael Schumacher, Wells Fargo, joins 'Fast Money' to talk the market's response to the upcoming election.
Persons: Harris, Wells Fargo's Schumacher Michael Schumacher, Wells Organizations: Trump Locations: Wells Fargo
CNBC's Jim Cramer on Tuesday lamented rising bond yields' effect on the market, saying this action could narrow the rally to tech and diminish broader sector gains. Some on Wall Street were expecting bond yields to decline after the Federal Reserve issued a hefty 50-basis-point cut and indicated there would be more to come over the next several months. Cramer said investors are drawn back to tech stocks as higher rates complicate the growth narratives for economically sensitive corners of the market. In recent months, investors were hoping that lower borrowing costs would help companies — such as those in the industrial sector and other housing-related areas — see an increase in business and, by extension, their stock prices. "If [the bond market] doesn't stop its retreat, then we're going to start questioning the idea that the Fed will keep cutting rates, ushering in a fabulous economy for 2025," Cramer said.
Persons: CNBC's Jim Cramer, Cramer Organizations: Federal Reserve, Dow Jones, Nasdaq
The SPDR S & P Regional Banking ETF (KRE) has jumped nearly 5% since the fourth quarter began on Oct. 1, while the S & P 500 is ahead a little more than 1%. In the event of a Trump win but with a divided Congress, the S & P 500 is likely to remain flat in the days following the election, Emanuel wrote. Evercore ISI expects the S & P 500 falling in the 10 days after the election, to roughly 5,700, as markets re-price their expectations. 3Fourteen Research co-founder Pies expects a Harris win would translate into a drop in cyclical and small-cap stocks, and spur investors to turn to high-quality tech names. However, a Harris win, with a split Congress, is an outcome that could spur a drop in the S & P 500 immediately after the election, down to about 5,525, according to Evercore ISI.
Persons: Stocks, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Mike Mullaney, Trump, Harris, Julian Emanuel, Warren, CNBC's, Emanuel, Evercore, Jeff Schulze, Evercore ISI's Emanuel Organizations: U.S, Nasdaq, NBC, Boston Partners, Treasury, Trump, Republican, Regional Banking, Evercore ISI, 3Fourteen Research, Democratic, ClearBridge Investments, ISI
Every weekday, the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer releases the Homestretch — an actionable afternoon update, just in time for the last hour of trading on Wall Street. We would be surprised if CEO Lisa Su provided 2025 AI chip sales guidance. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Lisa Su, Raymond James, George Kurtz, Delta, Stanley Black, Decker, Hubbell, Jim Cramer's, Jim Organizations: CNBC, ., West Texas, AMD, Intel, Air Lines, Microsoft, Atlanta, Ford Motor, Cadence Design Systems, Corp, PayPal, Pfizer, Royal Caribbean Cruises, Jim Cramer's Charitable Locations: Israel, Corning
Income investors have a lot riding on the outcome of next week's presidential election, according to RBC Global Asset Management. Positioning if Harris wins A win by Harris would be constructive for fixed-income, Skiba said. With money markets close to multi-year highs, there is a lot of money that investors can put to work, he noted. There is $6.51 trillion sitting in money market funds as of the week ended Oct. 23, according to the Investment Company Institute . "There actually might be a window of opportunity for fixed-income investors to reposition their portfolios without too much pain incurred in the process," Skiba said.
Persons: Andrzej Skiba, Donald Trump, Trump, Kamala Harris, Skiba, Harris Organizations: RBC Global Asset Management, Federal, Trump, Investors, Investment Company Institute Locations: U.S
The one big fear that could upend the bull market
  + stars: | 2024-10-28 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
A chain reaction sparked by continued inflation could put the bull market to rest, according to Trivariate Research. As the bull market enters its third year, investors are wondering how much more room there is to run before a pullback is due. Now, Fed funds futures are pricing in a more than 95% likelihood of another drop to the borrowing costs at the central bank's November gathering, according to CME's FedWatch tool. In 2021 and 2022, Parker said there was a "strong and statistically significant relationship" between Fed funds futures and the price-to-earnings multiple on growth stocks. Though that connection now looks different, the Morgan Stanley alum said he would be "surprised if multiples did not compress meaningfully" if the expectation for the Fed funds rate rises from 3.5% to 5% or above.
Persons: Adam Parker, Paul Tudor Jones, Stanley Druckenmiller, Parker, Morgan Stanley, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Tudor Jones, Dow Jones Organizations: Research, Federal Reserve, CNBC, Dow
This is the first in a five-part series about the impact both Trump and Harris presidencies could have on US consumers. To date, Trump and Harris have outlined specific policy proposals that will impact different parts of the stock market. The guide covers four specific asset classes, and is divided between the Trump and Harris impact on each. Advertisement"Our upbeat projections for the stock market in 2024 and 2025 are predicated on a view that hype over AI will continue to fuel a stock market bubble," the research firm said. And since presidential actions usually impact rates, the bond market will be shaped by what either Trump or Harris end up doing.
Persons: Harris, , Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Today's, they're, BofA, It's, Financials, Trump's, Trump, Peter Berezin, Joe Biden's, Bonds, Crypto, Bernstein, Gautam Chhugani, bitcoin, Chhugani, Harris Harris, she's, I'm, Larry Fink, Biden, it's Organizations: Trump, Service, Business, Wall, Bank of America, Allies, Foundation, BCA Research, Harris, Democratic, Economics, Capital, Federal, Harris Capital Economics, Federal Reserve, Bloomberg, bitcoin, BlackRock, Capital Economics, Fed Locations: China
Unlike with the hurricane rumor response page, FEMA did not appear to respond to the rumors on its page for the wildfires. By 2009, Alex Jones, perhaps one of the most widely known modern conspiracy theorists, was promoting the false FEMA camps conspiracy theory and deriding those who attempted to debunk it. The FEMA camps conspiracy theory continued throughout the height of the pandemic after President Joe Biden signed various executive orders regarding vaccinations and testing. Ron DeSantis said the plan was “not necessary” and referred to the vaccination sites as “FEMA camps.”Although the FEMA camp conspiracy theory has been shot down again and again, Aniano believes this won’t be the last of it. “The conspiracy theory, it’s going to come up again,” Aniano said.
Persons: Helene, Milton, Hurricane Helene, , Tiffany Walters, Wendy Billot, Ida, Emily Kask, ” Sara Aniano, Fiona, Jimmy Carter, Camille, Carter, , Jonathan Drake, Oliver North, Reagan, Rebecca Rouse, ” Rouse, Conspiracism, antigovernment, , Alex Jones, Sandy, Jade Helm, conspiracists, insurrectionists, Aniano, ” Aniano, Donald Trump, Covid, Mike DeWine, Trump’s, ” DeWine, Bill Seitz, ’ ” Seitz, Seitz, Joe Biden, Biden, Ron DeSantis, “ Something’s Organizations: Federal Emergency Management Agency, FEMA, NBC News, Defamation League’s, Extremism, NBC, USA, Southern Poverty Law Center, Center for Strategic, International Studies, U.S ., Reuters, Tulane University, Oklahoma City, U.S . Army, The New York Times, Guardian, Ohio Gov, Trump’s FEMA, Ohio Department of Health, Republican, Ohio Public, Florida Gov Locations: Hurricane, North Carolina, , Houma, La, Texas, New Mexico, Hawaii, Maui, Mississippi, Canton , N.C, U.S, Mexico, Washington, America, Stafford, Ohio, Florida
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