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☆ Here's the inflation breakdown for May 2023, in one chart
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-13 | by ( Greg Iacurci | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

The CPI is a key barometer of inflation, measuring prices of anything from fruits and vegetables to haircuts and concert tickets. Where consumers saw inflation, deflation in MayConsumers saw gasoline prices decline 5.6% between April and May, according to the CPI report. "Energy prices at this time last year were just absurd," Leer said. watch nowBut food and energy prices can be volatile. "The progress on core inflation has stalled out in recent months," said Greg McBride, chief financial analyst at Bankrate.

Persons: Michael M, Leer, Greg McBride, They're, Ben Bernanke, Olivier Blanchard Organizations: Lincoln Market, Santiago, Getty, U.S . Bureau of Labor Statistics, Consumers, CPI, Bureau of Labor Statistics, BLS, U.S . Federal Reserve, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Bankrate Locations: Prospect, Brooklyn, New York City, U.S, Ukraine

☆ Inflation continues to come back to earth in May as the Fed decides its next move
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-13 | by ( Noah Sheidlower | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

CPI rose 0.1% month over month, per seasonally adjusted data. Core CPI continued to cool last month, as the previous year-over-year increase in April was 5.5%. Core CPI rose 0.4% from April to May, per seasonally adjusted data, on par with the 0.4% forecast and month-over-month growth of 0.4% in April. Food prices increased just 0.2% after two months of no changes. In a separate release, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported a 0.3% increase in average hourly earnings, adjusted for inflation, for May.

Persons: May, —, it's Organizations: of Labor Statistics, Service, Index, BLS, CPI, Transportation

☆ Inflation rose at a 4% annual rate in May, the lowest in 2 years
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-13 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

So-called core inflation rose 0.4% on the month and was still up 5.3% from a year ago, indicating that while price pressures have eased somewhat, consumers are still under fire. The inflation rate cooled in May to its lowest annual rate in more than two years, likely taking pressure off the Federal Reserve to continue raising interest rates, the Labor Department reported Tuesday. Food prices rose just 0.2%. Average hourly earnings adjusted for inflation rose 0.3% on the month, the Bureau of Labor Statistics said in a separate release. The consumer price index report featured a growing discrepancy between the core and headline numbers.

Persons: Dow, Jeffrey Roach, hasn't Organizations: Federal Reserve, Labor Department, Dow Jones, Stock, LPL, of Labor Statistics, BLS Locations: U.S

☆ The Fed is about to decide whether or not to keep ramping up its fight against inflation
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-13 | by ( Noah Sheidlower | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

Some anticipate the Fed will raise rates again in July in an attempt to bring inflation down to the 2% target. Even if the Fed forgoes a rate increase on Wednesday, Fed officials have suggested the Fed may hike rates again at later meetings. The survey also found people's expectations of job loss fell 1.3 percentage points to 10.9%, suggesting rising job market strength. "I do not think that wages are the principal driver of inflation," Fed Chair Jerome Powell told reporters after the Fed's May policy meeting. "For instance, recent evidence shows that wage growth tends to follow inflation, as well as expectations of future inflation."

Persons: —, it's, Jerome Powell, Adam Shapiro, Shapiro Organizations: Federal, Service, Committee, Fed, payrolls, Labor Statistics, Labor, Index, BLS, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Silicon Valley Bank, First Republic Bank, New York Federal Reserve, Federal Reserve Bank of San, National Federation of Independent Business Locations: Ukraine, Silicon, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco

☆ The job market enters a new phase as the Great Resignation ends
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-13 | by ( Samantha Delouya | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

Amid a tight labor market, many were also able to find a better job, with better pay. The combination of a tight labor market and structural change from the pandemic catalyzed job reshuffling over the past three years, he said. The BLS shows the rate of job growth is up in the construction, manufacturing, health, education and food services industries. Despite the apparent end of the Great Resignation, the job market continues to hum along; the US economy added 339,000 jobs in May. The fact that quit rates are down indicates that there’s low confidence in the job market,” Kriegel said.

Persons: ”, Nicholas Bloom, that’s, “, Bloom, Nick Bunker, Jessica Kriegel, ” Kriegel, Bunker, “ There’s, there’s, ” Bunker Organizations: Los Angeles CNN, Federal Reserve, Stanford University, Bureau of Labor Statistics bolsters, Labor, BLS, Federal Reserve Bank of, Conference Board, Bed, Stanford, Workers, Gallup, Bank of America, Georgetown University Locations: Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta

☆ CPI in May: US inflation cooled significantly — but it's still not where the Fed wants it
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-13 | by ( Alicia Wallace | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +8 min

The Consumer Price Index, a key inflation gauge that measures price changes for a basket of goods and services, increased 4% for the year ending in May. That represents a sharp pullback from April’s 4.9% and is slightly below economists’ expectations for a 4.1% gain, according to Refinitiv. It’s the 11th consecutive month that inflation has slowed, and it’s a welcome reprieve from the painful shock of persistently high inflation endured during the past two years. The Fed would like to see inflation (as measured by the core Personal Consumption Expenditures index) settle in at 2%. Markets are currently pricing in a 95.3% probability that the Fed pauses on Wednesday, according to CME FedWatch.

Persons: It’s, “, Nancy Vanden Houten, it’s, Chris Zaccarelli, “ They’ve, ”, Scott Olson, Vanden Houten, There’s, Kurt Rankin, ” Rankin Organizations: Minneapolis CNN, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Oxford Economics, CNN, Federal Reserve, Independent, CPI, Fed, FedWatch, Walmart, Federal Reserve Bank, Richmond, Hospitality, PNC Financial Services, PNC, United Locations: Minneapolis, Chicago , Illinois, United States

But while the Fed in 2019 was asking "'is this as strong as the labor market can get?' Fed rate hikes could have "very significant, uneven short-term impacts" on the job market. So far headline payroll employment growth remains strong. Reuters Graphics Reuters GraphicsWANTING IT BOTH WAYSFor now, though, the Fed might mark the pandemic labor rebound as essentially complete, despite the risks. The economy needs to create about 100,000 payroll jobs a month to keep pace with population growth.

Persons: Bryan Woolston, Michael Madowitz, Raphael Bostic, Trump, Howard Schneider, Dan Burns, Andrea Ricci Organizations: Kentucky, Center, REUTERS, . Federal Reserve, Washington Center for Equitable, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Atlanta Fed, BLS, American Progress, White House Council, Economic Advisers, Thomson Locations: Frankfort , Kentucky, U.S, Bryan Woolston WASHINGTON, COVID

☆ New job data show a changed labor market
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-12 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

TRUCKERS, MANAGERS AND THERAPISTS The Post-Pandemic Workforce What new data show about the U.S. labor market that emerged from the coronavirusThe pandemic sparked what seemed a massive reshuffling of who does what in the American workforce. Keeping track of that shifting landscape falls to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, which every year details how many people do different types of jobs. The graphic shows the number of jobs in 22 occupational categories in 2016, 2019 and 2022. The graphic shows how the percentage share in the total workforce changed from 2019 to 2022 for each of 22 occupational categories. With natural population growth slowing, immigration could play an important role in how labor demands are met.

Persons: Jobs, Green Roofers Organizations: Bureau of Labor Statistics, BLS, Movers, Sales, Mental Health, Federal Reserve Locations: COVID, U.S

☆ A Goldman Sach star jumps to hedge fund giant Citadel as demand for inflation traders burns red hot
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-09 | by ( Kaja Whitehouse | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

Goldman Sachs just lost one of its star traders to billionaire Ken Griffin. The move comes amid a fierce talent war for inflation traders. Goldman Sachs just lost one of its stars to billionaire Ken Griffin as demand for inflation traders burns up across Wall Street. Joaquin de Soto, a top inflation trader for Goldman Sachs in London, is heading to Citadel, the $60 billion hedge fund founded by Griffin, according to people familiar with the matter. Trader pay is also skyrocketing due to swelling assets at multistrategy funds like Citadel and Millennium, leading to a war for talent.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, Ken Griffin, Banks, Joaquin de Soto, Griffin, Brevan Howard, De Soto, efinancialcareers, Goldman, they've Organizations: Citadel, Wall, Goldman, Bloomberg, Vali Analytics, BLS, Trader, Millennium Locations: London

☆ Companies are worried about a recession, but they’re hanging on to employees anyway
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-08 | by ( Alicia Wallace | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +9 min

Minneapolis CNN —US companies wary about their economic prospects are battening down the hatches. Recent job market data shows more and more businesses have taken to “labor hoarding” and maintaining headcounts even as demand softens. Employees work at CannaCraft's March and Ash retail cannabis store in San Diego's Mission Valley neighborhood. Grey Duck’s sales picture will become clearer in the next three months, Bossen said. “We’re going to do whatever it takes to keep that staff employed and productive, even if things slow down,” he said.

Persons: ”, Dana Peterson, ” Peterson, it’s, Ash, Tiffany Devitt, CannaCraft, Ash CannaCraft, “, Devitt, Stephen Juneau, they’re, Matt Bigelow, Gusset Jean, Bigelow, ‘ Waddle, Rob Bossen, Grey, Eli Nord, Bossen, “ We’re, waddle Organizations: Minneapolis CNN, Conference Board, Conference, Business, CNN, Golden State, of Labor Statistics, Bank of America, Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics, USA Brands, Gusset Jean Co, Vermont, Company Locations: Minneapolis, ”, headcount, California, Golden, Diego's, CannaCraft, Sonoma County, Juneau, Vermont, Johnson , Vermont, Roseville , Minnesota, China, Roseville

☆ People are spending more on groceries. But they’re buying less
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-06 | by ( Danielle Wiener-Bronner | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

New York CNN —The past few months of robust grocery store sales would suggest that shoppers aren’t stretched for cash. Fresh eggs shot up 48.2%, milk rose 5%, bread rose 12.7% and fresh root vegetables went up 14.7. The following month, grocery prices continued to fall. But food inflation is still outpacing inflation overall, and grocery prices are still quite a bit higher than they were last year. We are still seeing prices, month over month, they’re still going up — although much less than they were.”— CNN’s Nathaniel Meyersohn contributed to this report.

Persons: that’s, ”, Alastair Steel, Spencer Platt, they’ve, Steel, “ we’ve, Richard Galanti, Jeff Gennette, “, Brandon Bell, Jeff Owen, Ramon Laguarta, it’s, they’re, —, Nathaniel Meyersohn Organizations: New, New York CNN, Kellogg, PepsiCo, Getty, Steel, Costco, Aldi, ”, Dollar, Assistance, SNAP, Consumers, Bureau of Labor Statistics, BLS Locations: New York

☆ The job market held up in May. But the Fed may have already decided to pause
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-02 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +8 min

Washington, DC CNN —The US labor market picked up momentum in May, once again defying expectations of a slowdown. Many economists, including those at the Fed, still expect a recession later in the year. The labor market and signs of future disinflationThe May jobs report mostly showed that the labor market held up. Some top economists have argued that the strong labor market has had a minor, albeit growing, impact on inflation. Hawkish Fed officials still think the Fed’s job isn’t done.

Persons: That’s, Joe Biden’s, ”, Philip Jefferson, Patrick Harker, “, ” Harker, It’s, ” Julia Pollak, ZipRecruiter’s, you’ve, you’d, Dave Gilbertson, hasn’t, Ben Bernanke, ” Jack Macdowell, Louis President James Bullard, Bullard, Louis Fed’s, Louis, Jerome Powell, there’s, Ian Shepherdson, Eugenio Alemán, Raymond James Organizations: DC CNN, Federal, Fed, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, National Association for Business Economics, CNN, Employers, of Labor Statistics, BLS, UKG, The Palisades Group, Hawkish Fed, Federal Reserve Bank of St, Louis Fed, Pantheon Locations: Washington, Washington ,

☆ The US labor market is still red-hot, adding 339,000 jobs in May
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-02 | by ( Madison Hoff | Andy Kiersz | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

The unemployment rate climbed to 3.7% in May, according to the jobs report on Friday. This monthly job growth came in far above the forecast of 180,000. Job openings data for April was released by the BLS on Wednesday. Data from the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) showed that after a few months of job openings consecutively falling, there was an uptick from March to April. The number of layoffs and discharges fell by 264,000 from March to April to 1.6 million, according to the latest JOLTS report.

Persons: —, Daniel Zhao, Glassdoor's, Nick Bunker, Nela Richardson Organizations: Service, payrolls, Labor Statistics, BLS, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Federal Reserve, Labor, Bank of America Institute, Bank of America

☆ Premarket stocks: The Fed can't figure out what's happening with the job market
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-01 | by ( Nicole Goodkind | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

New data out Wednesday showed that job openings and hiring both rose in April, while unemployment sits near 53-year lows. What’s happening: The number of available jobs in the United States rose unexpectedly in April after three months of declines. Job openings climbed to 10.1 million in April, according to data released Wednesday by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Fed Chair Jerome Powell has said that he wants to see more slack in the labor market. “I love what I do,” Dimon told Bloomberg, adding he’s “quite happy” in his current job.

Persons: won’t, —, Jerome Powell, Philip Jefferson, ”, Jefferson, Mark Hamrick, “, Sam Stovall, David Kotok, Joe Biden, It’s, Mitch McConnell, ” Biden, Biden, Jamie Dimon, Elon Musk, Dimon, he’s, ” Dimon, Matt Egan, he’d Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, Bureau of Labor Statistics, BLS, Fed, Index, Commerce Department, FedWatch, Cumberland Advisors, Senate, ”, JPMorgan, Bloomberg Television, Bloomberg Locations: New York, China, Europe, United States, America

☆ Measuring inflation can be tricky and quirky. Here are 3 examples
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-01 | by ( Greg Iacurci | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

HousingRichard Newstead | Moment | Getty ImagesHousing is perhaps the most consequential category in the consumer price index, a key inflation barometer. But Covid-19 warped that dynamic: Housing costs shot up but have slowed and even started to fall in some areas, economists said. Overall inflation is expected to slow sharply during the second half of the year as the CPI incorporates the housing price cooldown, economists said. The government doesn't calculate health insurance inflation by measuring consumers' direct costs, such as monthly premiums. Health insurance inflation readings may flip positive in fall 2023 and persist into 2024 due to this dynamic, Zandi said.

Persons: Housing Richard Newstead, Zandi, Price, Mark Zandi, Andrew Hunter, Hunter, There's, Jordi Mora Igual Organizations: Housing, Capital Economics, U.S . Bureau of Labor Statistics, BLS, CPI, Health, Images, Kaiser Family Foundation, Consumers

☆ The ‘great resignation’ — a trend that defined the pandemic-era labor market — seems to be over
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-31 | by ( Greg Iacurci | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Quits started to surge in early 2021 as Covid-19 vaccines rolled out to the masses and the U.S. economy started to reopen. Business' demand for workers outstripped the supply of people looking for a job, giving workers an unprecedented amount of power in the labor market. We are much closer to the labor market we had in 2019, which was hot but not overheating. Conditions are still favorable for job seekersIt's unclear if the labor market will cool further from here. While quits and job openings told different labor market stories in April, quits are generally a less volatile and more reliable indicator, economists said.

Persons: Quits, Julia Pollak, Pollak, Daniel Zhao Organizations: Getty Images Workers, Business, Employers, Glassdoor, Federal, BLS Locations: U.S

☆ The number of available US jobs surged in April
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-31 | by ( Alicia Wallace | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +3 min

Minneapolis CNN —The number of available jobs in the United States unexpectedly rose in April, bucking economists’ predictions after a three-month stretch of declines. Economists were expecting 9.375 million job openings, according to consensus estimates on Refinitiv. As openings rose in April, so did the ratio of available jobs to Americans looking for work. Job openings started skyrocketing in 2021 as America’s economy sought to fully recover from the deep job losses suffered the year before, at the pandemic’s onset. The number of available jobs set records and bounced around those heights for much of the past two years.

Persons: Mark Hamrick, there’s, Matthew Martin, JOLTS, Martin Organizations: Minneapolis CNN, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Federal, Bankrate, Fed, Labor, Survey, Oxford Economics Locations: Minneapolis, United States, US

☆ Here’s the inflation breakdown for April 2023 — in one chart
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-10 | by ( Greg Iacurci | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Where consumers saw prices fall in AprilConsumers saw average prices decline outright in April in certain categories. Housing — the largest component of the average household's budget — was the largest contributor to inflation in April, the BLS said. watch now"It looks like inflation in the [shelter] category has peaked," Andrew Hunter, senior U.S. economist at Capital Economics, said. Overall, households are faring much better than they were months ago relative to inflation in staples like food, energy and housing, according to Zandi at Moody's Analytics. Why inflation surged to multi-decade highsConsumer prices began rising rapidly in early 2021 as the U.S. economy started to reopen after the pandemic-related shutdown.

☆ Inflation rose 4.9% in April from a year ago, less than expectations
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-10 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Excluding volatile food and energy categories, core CPI rose 0.4% monthly and 5.5% from a year ago both in line with expectations. A widely followed measure of inflation rose in April, though the pace of the increase provided some hope that the cost of living will head lower later this year. Food prices, though, were flat while the energy index rose 0.6%, boosted by a 3% gain in gasoline. Of the six grocery store indexes the Bureau of Labor Statistics uses to compute food prices, four showed declines. For workers, real average hourly earnings, adjusted for inflation, rose 0.1% for the month but were still down 0.5% from a year ago, the BLS said in a separate report.

☆ What the April jobs report means for you, your employer, and the Fed
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-05 | by ( Alicia Wallace | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

Minneapolis CNN —High prices, rising interest rates and banking uncertainty be damned: The US labor market is still chugging right along. “The American labor market right now is simply unstoppable,” RSM economist Joseph Brusuelas wrote in a note Friday. “This is what a soft landing would look like, with job growth gradually slowing to a more sustainable pace,” Faucher added. The milestone comes just three years after the Covid-19 pandemic caused mass layoffs that pushed the Black unemployment rate as high as 16.8%. “Make no mistake, the Black [unemployment] rate is still too high,” Shierholz tweeted.

☆ Jobs report: US labor market heats back up, adding 253,000 jobs in April
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-05 | by ( Alicia Wallace | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +1 min

Minneapolis CNN —The labor market heated back up in April as employers added 253,000 jobs, according to data released Friday by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. It’s a surprising increase at a time when many indicators were pointing to a slowdown in the job market. The unemployment rate fell to 3.4% from 3.5%. Only three economists of the 87 polled by Refinitiv had projected job growth near or above 253,000. In March, the monthly and annual measures of wage gains in the private sector was up 0.3% and 4.3%, respectively.

☆ What to expect from the jobs report
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-04 | by ( Alicia Wallace | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

Minneapolis CNN —If the latest employment trends continue and economists’ forecasts prove true, Friday’s jobs report could bring back that pre-pandemic feeling. Economists expect the US economy to have added 180,000 jobs in April, according to consensus estimates on Refinitiv. It could also hammer home the fact that the US labor market has indeed cooled down from its red-hot recovery over the past two years. What a rising unemployment rate meansEconomists are expecting the unemployment rate to tick up to 3.6% from 3.5%, according to Refinitiv. Mixed signalsPayroll processor ADP’s monthly look at private-sector employment activity, released two days before the BLS’ employment report, is sometimes looked at as a preview of what to expect from the federal data.

☆ US private payrolls increase solidly; wage growth cools
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-03 | by ( Lucia Mutikani | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

SummarySummary Companies Private payrolls increase by 296,000 in AprilPrior month's gain revised lower to 142,000WASHINGTON, May 3 (Reuters) - U.S. private employers boosted hiring in April amid strong demand for workers in the leisure and hospitality industry, but a slowdown in wage growth offered some good news for the Federal Reserve's fight against inflation. Private payrolls increased by 296,000 jobs last month, the ADP National Employment Report showed on Wednesday. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast private employment would increase 148,000. It has not been a reliable gauge in forecasting private payrolls in the BLS employment report. According to a Reuters survey of economists, private payrolls likely increased by 160,000 jobs last month.

☆ Premarket stocks: Why a US recession is probably coming
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-02 | by ( Nicole Goodkind | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +6 min

That would catapult the United States into recession during the second half of 2023 (Europe and the UK will feel it even earlier). It’s possible that the economy sees disinflation in a way that it hasn’t in previous cycles.”Has the gig economy peaked? So is the height of the gig economy behind us? “It hasn’t changed anything about the odds of a recession,” the chief executive said in response to a question from CNN during a press call. “Down the road, rates going way up, real estate, recession — that’s a whole different issue.

Government officials, worried about a constrained labor force in a state where population growth has stalled, have taken a cover-the-waterfront approach. After raising starting wages from $17 an hour to around $24 and overhauling hiring strategies, Drees still has 200 open jobs at this and two nearby facilities, where he is hoping to add to current staffing of 1,200. That reshuffling may be one reason the Fed is finding it harder than expected to slow a job market struggling to match workers into open positions. Minnesota has had a particularly large imbalance: The 12-month moving average of available positions last year reached 2.75 for every unemployed person. "Nowadays you look online and there are just hundreds of day-shift job positions," he said.

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