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Every weekday the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer holds a "Morning Meeting" livestream at 10:20 a.m. Deutsche Bank upgraded Eli Lilly to a buy from hold rating on Monday after a blowout quarterly earnings report last week. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Eli Lilly, We've, Jim Cramer's, Jim Organizations: CNBC, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Federal, The Club, Management, Amazon Web Services, Deutsche Bank, Novo Nordisk
The latest global market volatility has reinforced China's status as a distinct market, even if its growth has slowed recently. While U.S. tech stocks plunged and Japanese stocks swung wildly in a historic two days of price action , Chinese stocks suffered less . The investors remained net buyers of Chinese stocks for the third quarter so far as of Aug. 6, the data showed. Finally, the low correlation of the China stock market with the U.S. stock market could provide investors with diversification benefits." Chinese stocks, especially those traded on the mainland, have historically been less correlated to global market moves due to Beijing's capital controls and other restrictions.
Persons: Matt Wacher, William Yuen, Invesco, That's, Steven Sun, Paul Christopher, Morningstar's Wacher, it's, Wacher Organizations: Nasdaq, Nikkei, Morningstar Investment Management, U.S, HSBC, Technology, Shanghai —, Bank of, Federal Reserve, Treasury, HSBC Qianhai Securities, National Bureau, Statistics, Wells, Wells Fargo Investment Institute, Index Locations: Asia, U.S, Shanghai, China, Pacific, EPFR, Hong Kong, Bank of China, Wells Fargo
These stocks have low share price volatility over the past five years, and their total return — including share price gains and dividends — are greater than the S & P 500's over the past five years. Take a look at the names below: Health-care companies Amgen , UnitedHealth Group and AbbVie are among the names with low volatility and strong returns in recent years. Pharmaceutical company AbbVie's roughly 262% gain over the past five years is the highest of the stocks in the group. Amgen's share price has a 5-year total return of 104%, making it a steady grower, but still the slowest of the list. Other stocks with low volatility and attractive valuations include automotive replacement parts retailer AutoZone and insurance company Aflac .
Persons: Stocks, They're, Morgan Stanley, Wells, Mohit Bansal, TD Cowen, Kannan Venkateshwar, — CNBC's Christopher Hayes Organizations: CNBC, UnitedHealth, Pharmaceutical, Morgan Stanley Wealth Management, Humira, Barclays, Mobile
For example, this season started with the banks roaring higher on great numbers, legitimately great numbers led by a phenomenal Bank of America quarter. The later just made no sense because it is pulling away from Intel on the low end and if Nvidia really does have production problems then AMD is the de facto winner. In fact, the only stock that didn't suffer from an Nvidia relation, Apple, got through earnings without too much trouble. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio. If Jim has talked about a stock on CNBC TV, he waits 72 hours after issuing the trade alert before executing the trade.
Persons: , techs, We've, Warren Buffett, Buffett, industrials Eaton, Donald Trump, we've, execs, I've, Kamala Harris, Trump, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Rob Kim Organizations: Federal Reserve, of America, Bank of America, Club, Apple, Fed, SL Green, Boston Properties, Nvidia, Arista Networks, Micron, Dell, Hewlett Packard Enterprise, Devices, Intel, AMD, Accenture, Deloitte, McKinsey, White, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC Locations: Lowe's
With this in mind, CNBC Pro screened for the most overbought and oversold stocks on the Street, as measured by their 14-day relative strength index, or RSI. Alternatively, stocks are viewed as oversold with an RSI below 30, which suggests a possible buying opportunity. While shares are slightly positive on the week, up nearly 1%, the stock has tumbled 10% in 2024. TTWO YTD mountain Take-Two Interactive Software, year-to-date Other stocks that made the oversold group are artificial intelligence infrastructure play Super Micro Computer and Ulta Beauty . The stock closed out the week nearly 25% higher and is up more than 41% this year.
Persons: Stocks, Hugh Johnston, Mars, Lockheed Martin, Northrop Grumman Organizations: Federal Reserve, Nasdaq, Dow Jones Industrial, CNBC Pro, Disney, Software, Lockheed, RBC Locations: U.S
Up to this point, wealth management businesses have only facilitated trades if customers specifically requested exposure to these new spot crypto funds. Of Morgan Stanley's $1.5 trillion in assets under management, the bank disclosed in a May 13F filing that it held around $270 million in spot bitcoin ETFs. The expectation is that other wirehouses and asset managers, who have been on the sidelines performing in-house due diligence on spot crypto ETFs, might feel the pressure to soon follow Morgan Stanley's lead. The spot ether ETFs, which launched less than three weeks ago, have seen relatively tepid flows compared to the blockbuster launch of spot bitcoin ETFs in January. The bitcoin funds collectively hold $54.30 billion in assets under management, versus $7.25 billion across the spot ether funds.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Morgan, Morgan Stanley's Organizations: BlackRock, Fidelity Locations: bitcoin, Japan, lockstep
Goldman Sachs has added a number of stocks to its lists of top picks for August. These lists are the bank's "curated and active" picks of between 15 and 30 top buy-rated stocks for each region. Goldman gave the stock a price target of 2,499 pence ($31.79), or about 34% upside. Goldman gave the stock a price target of 13.98 Hong Kong dollars ($1.79), or about 46% upside. Goldman gave the stock a price target of 125 Chinese yuan ($17.51), or nearly 61% upside.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Goldman, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Goldman, Lenovo, Hong Locations: United States, Europe, Asia, London, U.K, Hong Kong
Bank of America is offering up a selection of stocks to help investors sleep soundly during bouts of market volatility. The picks come on the heels of a roller-coaster week for Wall Street. Here are some of the companies that made the list: Several consumer staples stocks showed up, with the S & P 500 sector up more than 11% this year. PG 1M mountain Shares over the last month Lockheed Martin was another low-beta stock that made the cut. Shares of the aerospace and defense company have rallied more than 21%, outperforming the market year to date.
Persons: Stocks, Savita Subramanian, Gamble, Lockheed Martin Organizations: of America, Wall, Bank of America, Walmart, PepsiCo, Procter, Starbucks, Elliott Management, T Bank, Home Depot, Cisco Systems, Consolidated Edison, New Locations: U.S, China, New York
Initial claims for unemployment insurance totaled less than expected last week, countering other signs that the labor market is weakening. Stock market futures, which had been negative earlier, turned sharply positive following the 8:30 a.m. In the previous week, claims had jumped by 14,000, adding to worries that layoffs are on the rise. "If you're looking for additional weakness in the labor market, you'll need to find it somewhere else." Concerns escalated over the state of the labor market following last Friday's nonfarm payrolls report, which showed an increase of just 114,000 in July.
Persons: Dow Jones, Beryl, Robert Frick, nonfarm Organizations: Labor Department, Navy Federal Credit Union, Federal Reserve Locations: Michigan, Texas, U.S
On Thursday, investors in Asia will assess trade data from Japan and interest rate decision from the Reserve Bank of India. Global equities and currencies plunged earlier this week after the Bank of Japan hiked interest rates to their highest levels since 2008, and the U.S. released weaker-than-expected employment numbers. Asia-Pacific markets were mostly down in choppy trading on Thursday after U.S. stock benchmarks fell overnight, while investors assessed trade data from Japan and awaited India's rate decision. "Assuming that the price stability target will be achieved in the second half of fiscal 2025, the Bank should raise the policy interest rate to the level of the neutral interest rate toward that time," the summary read. Japanese technology investor SoftBank Group said in a statement on Wednesday that it would buy back up to 500 billion yen ($3.4 billion) of its shares as part of its efforts to boost shareholder returns.
Persons: Shinichi Uchida, Lasertec, Korea's Kospi Organizations: Reuters, The Reserve Bank of, Reserve Bank of India, Global, Bank of Japan, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Nvidia, Nikkei, Bank, SoftBank, Semiconductor, Isuzu Motors, China's CSI, Cathay, Hong Kong's, Airbus Locations: The Reserve Bank of India, Asia, Japan, U.S, Pacific, Hong, Cathay Pacific
Every weekday the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer holds a "Morning Meeting" livestream at 10:20 a.m. Eli Lilly shares declined 1.7% Wednesday after peer Novo Nordisk posted disappointing earnings results before the bell. Investors are weighing if the same fate is in store for Club holding Eli Lilly and its GLP-1 drugs Zepbound and Mounjaro. Still, Jim said Eli Lilly shares could fall further after the drugmaker releases its own quarterly results on Thursday. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER .
Persons: Jim Cramer, Dow, Eli Lilly, , Jim, That's, Jim Cramer's Organizations: CNBC, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Novo Nordisk, Club, Novo Nordisk's, CVS, Management
Stock futures pointed to a mild market bounceback following a significant sell-off Monday that left major indexes with their worst day in nearly two years. ET Tuesday, Dow Jones Industrial Average futures, S&P 500 futures, and and Nasdaq futures were each up about 0.4%. The recovery comes as Japan's Nikkei stock index, which saw its worst day in a generation Monday, rallied for its best day since 2008, surging 10.2%Still, Tuesday's gains are unlikely to make up for the losses stocks suffered Monday. Torsten Slok, chief economist at Apollo Global Management, said in a note Tuesday that the economy remains in decent shape. "If the economy were crashing, default rates would be spiking higher, and that is not what the data shows.” he wrote.
Persons: Dow, Goldman Sachs, Torsten Slok, Organizations: Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Nikkei, Federal, Citibank, Federal Reserve, Citi, Fed, Apollo Global Management Locations: U.S
The S & P, Nasdaq and Dow also are on pace to snap three-session losing streaks Tuesday. Breaking through: The S & P 500 may be down about 1% the past two days, but that doesn't mean every stock is down. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Hugh Johnston, Bob Iger, Jim Cramer's, Jim Organizations: CNBC, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Dow, Club, Nvidia, Meta, Broadcom, Costco, Disney, Devices, Dover, ABC, Netflix, CVS Health, Novo Nordisk, Emerson Electric, Jim Cramer's Charitable Locations: Eaton, Dover, U.S
The S & P 500 is off by nearly 9%, and it could soon join the tech-heavy index. .VIX 1D mountain VIX On Wall Street, however, many investors expect the fears of a slowing economy are overdone, and that markets are overreacting. "We don't see an earnings recession, we don't see an economic recession," said Sam Stovall, chief investment strategist at CFRA Research. The strategist expects the S & P 500 could fall into a correction, somewhere between 10% and 15%. To be sure, investors who aren't expecting a recession say any weakness in the consumer should continue to be monitored.
Persons: It's, Stocks, Mark Malek, Siebert, Malek, nonfarm, John Butters, , Sam Stovall, Stovall, that's, aren't, Siebert's Malek, Jamie Meyers, he's, we've, it's, I've, Meyers, CFRA's Stovall Organizations: Nikkei, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Treasury, Fed, Federal Reserve Bank, Atlanta's, Bank of America, CFRA, Nvidia Locations: Japan, U.S
Global Stock Market Chaos
  + stars: | 2024-08-06 | by ( Ben Casselman | ) www.nytimes.com   time to read: +1 min
Markets around the globe fell sharply; the S&P 500 index was down 3 percent. Stock markets are fickle, and their movements can’t tell you much about the health of the economy. But yesterday’s tumult reflects an underlying reality: The job market is cooling. Now, the unemployment rate, at 4.3 percent, is basically back to normal. By April 2020, the unemployment rate — which had been at a five-decade low of 3.5 percent — jumped to nearly 15 percent.
Persons: Covid Organizations: Stock
As Japanese stocks plummet, confirming a bear market, there are opportunities in small-cap and domestic-focused companies, according to fund manager Richard Kaye. 'Yen is just getting normal' Kaye believes the Yen's appreciation is a return to normalcy rather than an anomaly. "If you look even on Friday in all the bloodbath, domestic names, small cap names [were] actually outperforming," he noted. Indeed, the MSCI Japan Small Cap index has fallen 8.6% since July 11, outperforming the 14.4% decline in the MSCI Japan index on a local currency basis. In U.S. dollar terms, the losses, while proportionate, are smaller, with ETFs such as the iShares MSCI Japan Small-Cap ETF falling by 2.1% compared to the iShares MSCI Japan ETF, which is down 8.9% over the same period.
Persons: Richard Kaye, Kaye, Yen, CNBC's, They've, Warren, sayonara, I've Organizations: Growth, Toyota, Sony, U.S ., Japan ETF, Kobe, U.S, Mitsubishi, Mitsui, Sumitomo Locations: Comgest, Japan
To be sure, the carnage on Wall Street and in equities markets around the world was real. But Monday’s panic was the Wall Street equivalent of a tantrum from a kid who just got told they can’t have ice cream for dinner. But don’t let the stock market drama fool you: The US economy is still in good shape, despite some turbulence. “And I’m not too worried about Wall Street becoming poor.”Stocks looked to bounce back Tuesday. Wall Street worked itself into a lather when ChatGPT came out two years ago.
Persons: CNN Business ’, Stocks, Dow, Wall, don’t, Rana Foroohar, That’s, it’s, Goldman Sachs, , Jan Hatzius, ” Goldman, There’s, Beryl, , Beryl didn’t, Aaron Sojourner, ’ ”, ChatGPT, Rob Haworth, ” Haworth Organizations: CNN Business, New York CNN, CNN, Nikkei, of Labor Statistics, Coast, BLS, WE Upjohn, Employment Research, White House Council, Economic Advisers, Fed, Federal, Markets, Big Tech, Nvidia, Microsoft, Wall, Bank of Japan, US Bank Locations: New York, Japan
In its simplest form, the yen carry trade has investors borrowing cheap yen to invest in higher yielding assets, often currencies. For example, because there is not a central source to track currency trades, we have no idea how big the yen carry trade is. The yen is rising, and that is making the yen carry trade less profitable. If the yen goes from 155 to 145, which is where it traded Monday, it will take $68,965 to repay that 10 million yen (10 million yen divided by 145 = $68,965). One positive sign: the ETF to watch is the Invesco Japanese Yen ETF (FXY), which tracks the price of the Japanese yen, had volume six times normal yesterday.
Persons: That's, Nicholas Colas Organizations: Nikkei, Street Journal, Federal Reserve, Bank of Japan, U.S, U.S ., Yen ETF Locations: U.S, Japan
The trip highlights the generational gap between Harris and President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump, Democratic allies said. Noah Lyles wins gold in epic photo finishDimitar Dilkoff / AFP - Getty ImagesLyles earned his first gold medal in 9.79 seconds, which was a personal best. Lyles was still unconvinced he had won the gold medal after finishing and the scoreboard offered no indication of who had won gold, silver or bronze as officials processed a photo finish. Track and field holds four medal events and surfing will finally have its medal day. ▶️ Watch top highlightsDebby makes landfall in Florida as a Category 1 hurricaneHurricane Debby has made landfall in Florida’s Big Bend as a Category 1 hurricane.
Persons: Kamala Harris, Hurricane, Noah Lyles, Harris, John Bazemore, Harris ’, Andy Beshear, Pete Buttigieg, Sen, Mark Kelly of, JB Pritzker, Josh Shapiro, Tim Walz, Joe Biden, Donald Trump, Biden, Trump, , Nikki Haley, Dimitar Dilkoff, Lyles, Jamaica’s Kishane Thompson, Fred Kerley, Thompson, ” Lyles, Kerley, Peacock, Read, ste, Caro, Ron, Flor, rais e d fear, ron e, Rob e, Ari z, ena, go to a, ake is b, , lea, ree Organizations: Kentucky, Mark Kelly of Arizona ,, Mark Kelly of Arizona , Illinois Gov, Minnesota Gov, Democratic, Trump, Republicans, Getty, Olympic, ust, NBC, POLI Locations: Florida, Mark Kelly of Arizona, Mark Kelly of Arizona , Illinois, Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, AFP, bou, spee, sto
LONDON — U.S. stocks are on course to open in the red Monday, with Japanese stocks suffering their worst day of trading since the 1980s and a global equities sell-off intensifying over fears of a U.S. economic slowdown. The Nikkei’s 12.4% fall marked the worst day for the Japanese index since 1987’s “Black Monday” — the sudden and unexpected stock market crash that raised fears of a depression. Noriko Hayashi / Bloomberg via Getty ImagesIn recent weeks, rising concerns around a potential U.S. recession have spooked investors. A rise in the value of the Japanese yen against the U.S. dollar — making Japanese assets more expensive for holders of other currencies — has also likely played a role in the selling. Even so, some investors put their money into U.S. Treasury bonds — so-called ‘haven’ assets that act as stores of wealth in volatile moments.
Persons: Noriko Hayashi, Japan’s, Shunichi Suzuki, , ” Suzuki, Organizations: LONDON, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Tokyo Stock Exchange, Bloomberg, Getty, Federal Reserve, Labor, U.S ., Treasury Locations: U.S, Europe
The economist and market strategist David Rosenberg took a lot of heat for predicting that the Federal Reserve’s big increase in interest rates would tip the U.S. economy into recession. “I spent most of the past year being absolutely beaten up,” he told me last week. “I had email from clients that you would not believe, and many cancellations.”The latest economic data, including a sharp slowdown in job growth in July, is indicating that Rosenberg may well have been right all along. I asked him if he feels vindicated. Stocks also slumped in Europe and were off to a bad start in the United States on Monday as I was finishing this newsletter.
Persons: David Rosenberg, , , Rosenberg, Stocks Organizations: Federal, Nikkei Locations: U.S, Europe, United States
U.S. Vice President Kamala Harris and Republican presidential nominee and former U.S. President Donald Trump. Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump on Monday blamed Vice President Kamala Harris for the stock market's dramatic plunge, months after claiming he deserved credit for the market's then-record upswing. The night before, as Asian markets fell dramatically, the former president wrote, "STOCK MARKETS CRASHING. "THIS IS THE TRUMP STOCK MARKET BECAUSE MY POLLS AGAINST BIDEN ARE SO GOOD THAT INVESTORS ARE PROJECTING THAT I WILL WIN," he wrote on Truth Social that month. "To take us back to a time when insurance companies had the power to deny people with preexisting conditions," the vice president said.
Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Kamala, Crooked Joe, Trump, Harris, KAMALA DOESN'T, BIDEN, Joe Biden, Mark Zandi, Zandi, Biden, We're, CNBC's Kevin Breuninger Organizations: Republican, Monday, Democratic, Dow Jones Industrial, TRUMP, BIDEN, WIN, CNBC, CBS, Trump Locations: United States, Atlanta, Georgia, America
Data released Friday showed 114,000 jobs were created last month, far below a Dow Jones estimate of 185,000. The S & P 500, accounting for Monday's expected losses, will be down around 9% from its recent high. She sees support emerging for the S & P 500 around the 5,000 level, or another 6.5% from here. If market conditions get very dire in the meantime, there is a chance the Federal Reserve could step in, investors hope. "The fed funds rate right now should be somewhere between 3.5% and 4%," he said .
Persons: Dow Jones, Katie Stockton, There's, Stockton, CNBC's, Jeremy Siegel, They've Organizations: Nikkei, Federal, Wharton Locations: Japan, U.S
The VIX, Wall Street's go-to snapshot of market volatility, is at its highest point since the onset of the pandemic. And hedge funds are sifting through the wreckage, with some looking to survive and others planning to pounce. In any market meltdown, there are clear winners and losers given the strategies and positioning of different firms. The yen carry trade has also likely wrong-footed many macro funds, several industry veterans said. It also slowed dealmaking, annoying private equity investors whose capital was tied up in older vintage funds.
Persons: , Wall Street's, there's, allocators, Harvey Schwartz, Carlyle Organizations: Service, Business, Citadel, Eisler Capital, Universa Investments Locations: Europe, Asia, New York, London
With the stock market melting down, investors are scrambling for safety and ways to generate income. Treasury yields have also been falling as investors fled to safety, with the 10-year dropping more than 10 basis points earlier in the session. The move down in Treasury yields has Collin Martin, fixed income strategist at Schwab Center for Financial Research, shifting his outlook. "This is really attractive, especially considering that we have seen Treasury yields plunge so much," Martin said. Money needed in 12 months or less should be in a money market, he said.
Persons: Collin Martin, Martin, Barry Glassman, Glassman, Chuck Failla, Failla Organizations: Federal, Treasury, Schwab Center, Financial Research, Investment, Wealth Services, CNBC, Sovereign Financial Group
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