“The polls — public and private — are closer in this election than any I have ever seen,” said Dan Pfeiffer, a former aide to Barack Obama.
Republican pollster Frank Luntz summed up the election with a single gif: A coin flip.
The Trump era brought a return of uncertainty after most pollsters and prognosticators missed his 2016 victory, and 2024 is the narrowest polling election of all three of his runs.
In 2020, the data correctly predicted Joe Biden’s victory, but Trump came much closer than many expected.
“This race is remarkable for its closeness but also the insane stability of polls here in the closing weeks,” said Republican pollster Kristen Soltis Anderson.
Persons:
James Carville, ”, “, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Dan Pfeiffer, Barack Obama, Jeff Horwitt, Bill McInturff, Tim Malloy, ” “ It’s, ” Nate Silver, Republican pollster Frank Luntz, Matt Gorman, “ It’s, Bush, Gore, Gorman, “ There’s, Hope, decamping, Ronald Reagan, Barack Obama’s, John McCain, Trump, prognosticators, Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden’s, Monmouth University pollster Patrick Murray, ” Murray, Obama, underestimating Harris, gaffes, pollster Kristen Soltis Anderson, Harris, Carville
Organizations:
Democratic, NBC, Republican, Quinnipiac University, Supreme, Trump, Monmouth University, Electoral College
Locations:
Manhattan, Florida, Erie County, Pennsylvania
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