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Here's how UBS looks at Target and Walmart post-earnings
  + stars: | 2024-11-20 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailHere's how UBS looks at Target and Walmart post-earningsMichael Lasser, UBS retail analyst, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss Target's quarterly earnings results, the state of the consumer, and much more.
Persons: Michael Lasser Organizations: UBS, Target, Walmart
Get the most out of these tax-favored accounts in 2025
  + stars: | 2024-11-20 | by ( Darla Mercado | Cfp | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
Benefits enrollment season is here, and with it comes an opportunity for workers to tune up their workplace savings plans and sock away more money on a tax-favored basis. Traditional tax-deferred accounts, like 401(k) plans and individual retirement accounts, are just the beginning for savers. As tempting as it may be for savers to plow money into HSAs and other tax-favored accounts, they'll need to draw up a strategy before they do so. They can also earmark additional funds toward 529 college savings plans and taxable brokerage accounts. In a tax-deferred account, investors won't be on the hook for the tax bill until they begin drawing down from it.
Persons: Marguerita Cheng, Cheng Organizations: Devenir, Blue, Global Wealth, UBS, Chief Investment Locations: Gaithersburg , Maryland
The runup in the 10-year Treasury yield is proving to be more than a short-term fluctuation, and that is starting to draw nervous looks on Wall Street. US10Y 3M mountain The 10-year Treasury yield started to climb ahead of the election and has moved higher still after Donald Trump's victory. With the 10-year yield close to a key psychological level of 4.5%, there is concern that another move higher could lead to a downturn in the stock market. If the 10-year yield does break through the 4.5% level, technical patterns suggest it could make a significant climb. Strong economic growth and optimism around artificial intelligence are two reasons why stocks may be able to tolerate higher rates, said Solita Marcelli, UBS global wealth management chief investment officer for the Americas.
Persons: Bond, Donald Trump's, Wolfe, Chris Senyek, Trump, Senyek, Paul Ciana, Stocks, Solita Marcelli, Marcelli Organizations: Treasury, Wolfe Research, Bank of America, UBS Locations: 1Q25
Stocks are primed for another big stock market gain in 2025 given U.S. economic strength and likely deregulation under President-elect Donald Trump, according to Wells Fargo. The Wall Street bank expects the S & P 500 will advance to 6,600 by the end of 2025. .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500 Wells Fargo is the latest big firm to release its 2025 S & P 500 year-end target, with virtually all shops thus far anticipating a roughly 10% gain or more for the broad market index. Goldman Sachs' David Kostin this week said he expects the S & P 500 to end next year at 6,500. The S & P 500 surged 24% in 2023, and is up more than 23% this year.
Persons: Donald Trump, Darrell Cronk, Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Morgan Stanley's Mike Wilson, Brian Belski, Cronk Organizations: Wells, Investment Institute, BMO, UBS, CNBC, & $ Locations: Wells Fargo, Tuesday's
Luxury retailer Burberry 's shares present an attractive investment opportunity after the company revealed a new turnaround strategy, according to hedge fund manager David Neuhauser. The stock, which is also traded in the U.S. and Germany, remains down around 40% year-to-date, however. UBS said Burberry was the only luxury retailer not to report "weak organic sales growth" in the latest quarter. "I think Burberry has a good turnaround in place with a new CEO," Neuhauser added, while cautioning that the recovery might take longer than expected. "I think over some time, a good turnaround by Burberry, with strong leadership, could really see the stock price increase.
Persons: David Neuhauser, Neuhauser, CNBC's, Livermore, they're, Zuzanna Pusz, Burberry, , Joshua Schulman, Rogerio Fujimori, Adam Cochrane, FactSet, — CNBC's Karen Gilchrist Organizations: Burberry, Livermore Partners, UBS, Deutsche Bank, Stifel Locations: London, U.S, Germany, Asia, Swiss
Customer traffic gains were similar at the two stores, yet Walmart's sales trends looked much better than Target's. Walmart's traffic growth edged out its rival's, with a gain of 3.1% at Walmart U.S. versus 2.4% at Target. Walmart's e-commerce sales in the U.S. rose 22%, a bigger increase than the nearly 11% at Target. About 60% of Target's sales come from discretionary items, such as home goods and clothing. On a call with investors on Wednesday, Cornell pointed to "green shoots" in the business, even as sales results disappointed.
Persons: Brian Cornell, Walmart's, Michael Baker, Davidson, Baker, Paul Lejuez, Kate McShane, Goldman Sachs, Davidson's Baker, Cornell, Michael Lasser, We'll Organizations: Walmart, Walmart U.S, Target, D.A, Amazon, Costco, Citi Research, Deutsche Bank, HSBC Global Research, Citi, Cornell, UBS Locations: U.S, Minneapolis, America
Jim Cramer said Wednesday he's feeling even better about Apple after a new piece of Wall Street research. "This piece makes me feel more confident [about Apple]," Jim said Wednesday. "They are transitioning in a very deft way from making China by far their biggest market to India," Jim said. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. An Apple logo is displayed on a smartphone with stock market values in the background.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Bernstein, Toni Sacconaghi, , Jim, Donald Trump's, Jim Cramer's Organizations: Apple, JPMorgan, Apple's, F1Q25, UBS, Apple Intelligence, CNBC, Getty Locations: China, India, Philippines, Indonesia
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailUBS Global Wealth Management: still positive on markets, valuation 'cheap' in AsiaAdrian Zuercher of UBS Global Wealth Management remains positive on markets, noting that upcoming Fed cuts will be good for bonds and equities. He believes that China has the tools and willpower to introduce more policies to shore up consumer confidence especially if Trump tariffs materialize, and combat structural issues.
Persons: Asia Adrian Zuercher Organizations: UBS Global Wealth Management, Trump Locations: Asia, China
Now, they're waiting "until the last moment of need, focusing on deals, and then stocking up," CEO Brian Cornell said. Chief Commercial Officer Rick Gomez provided additional detail about how this new consumer pattern has played out for the company. Advertisement"Our Target Circle week this quarter was one of our biggest yet," he said. Unseasonably warm temperatures also meant that shoppers delayed their purchases of cold-weather apparel until they actually needed it, Gomez said. "Would you be willing to trade some of the upside in those areas for even more consistency from quarter to quarter?"
Persons: Brian Cornell, Rick Gomez, Gomez, Neil Saunders, , Fitch, David Silverman, Michael Lasser, Cornell Organizations: Target, Walmart, Data, UBS Locations: New York
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Individual stocks sway indexesOn Monday, the S&P 500 rose 0.4% and the Nadaq Composite added 0.6%, mostly spurred higher by Tesla . Shares of Goldman Sachs and Salesforce fell, causing the Dow Jones Industrial Average to drop 0.1%. Autonomous vehicles on the agendaTesla shares jumped 5.6% after it was reported that President-elect Donald Trump's incoming administration plans to draw up a federal framework that will regulate self-driving vehicles.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Salesforce, Donald, Howard Marks, Goldman Organizations: CNBC, Tesla, Dow Jones, China's CSI, Nasdaq, BDO, Vice, JPMorgan, UBS Locations: Asia, Pacific, Hong Kong, China China, China
Three Wall Street banks have taken differing views on gold's trajectory in 2025, reflecting the complex economic outlook. Goldman Sachs expects the price of the yellow metal to reach $3,000 per ounce by December 2025, saying "Go For Gold" in a note from Nov. 17. The gold price has declined by 7% since late October as the risk of a disputed U.S. election result diminished. While maintaining a positive outlook on gold, UBS warned that its gains — gold had risen 35% this year until November — could slow down. Goldman Sachs pointed to a fivefold increase in central bank gold purchases, driven by concerns about financial sanctions and sovereign debt sustainability.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Donald Trump's, Goldman, Daan Struyven, Karen Ward, Ward, Arend Kapteyn, Bhanu Baweja, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Trump, JPMorgan Asset Management, UBS Locations: U.S, Europe, Middle East, Africa, Switzerland, Russia, Ukraine
It's time to buy shares of HVAC company Comfort Systems , according to UBS. "We also expect Manufacturing to benefit from reshoring and an increased emphasis on U.S. manufacturing capabilities, with Manufacturing construction spend now 19% of [nonresidential] construction, nearly doubling from 10% in 2019," he added. "Notably, nonresidential construction spending and manufacturing construction spending have increased 89% and 207%, respectively, since the start of 2015," he said. Among the six analysts covering it, three have a strong buy or buy rating, while the other three have a hold rating, per LSEG. FIX YTD mountain FIX, year-to-date Shares rose nearly 1% in the premarket after UBS' upgrade.
Persons: Joshua Chan, Chan Organizations: Comfort Systems, UBS, Manufacturing Locations: 2024E, 2025E
The S & P 500 has been drifting lower for a week. Pity the Wall Street strategists Pity the poor Wall Street strategists who are now writing their 2025 outlooks. That is about 10% above the current S & P 500 level. What is the current average yearly return of the S & P 500? The S & P 500 is up 0.3% since the close on Election Day.
Persons: Donald Trump's, Brian Belski, Morgan Stanley, Mike Wilson, Goldman Sachs, David Kostin Organizations: Bulls, Street, BMO Capital, UBS, ISI, Trump Locations: Russia, Ukraine, Iran
Art on the auction blockA little more than half of Phillips, Christie’s and Sotheby’s sales — which will carry the three aforementioned art pieces — were based in New York, where 34 of the top 50 auction lots were sold in 2023, according to an Art Basel and UBS Art Market Report. Christie’s is auctioning 689 lots this week as part of the November art auctions. But Todd Levin of Levin Art Group was skeptical that tax cuts would do much for the art market. Interest ratesAnother drag on the art market over the last few years: high interest rates. A signal for what’s to comeNew York’s art auctions in the spring and fall could be a sign of things to come for the global art market, according to Woodham.
Persons: Maurizio Cattelan’s, , Andy Warhol’s “, Rene Magritte’s “, Sotheby’s, Phillips, Merrill Lynch, Donald Trump, Alex Glauber, ” Glauber, Christie’s, René Magritte, Marc Porter, Hiroko Masuike, Trump, bode, Todd Levin, “ It’s, Doug Woodham, , Fernando Botero's, Kena Batancur, Glauber, Amy Whitaker, , ” Whitaker Organizations: New, New York CNN, Andy Warhol’s “ New York Skyscrapers, of, Christie’s, Association of Professional Art Advisors, CNN, Art Basel, UBS Art, New York Times, UBS Survey, Global, Trump White, Levin Art, Federal Reserve, Trump, NYU Steinhardt Locations: New York, Belgian, Christie’s Americas, Woodham, AFP, Miami
CNN —A René Magritte painting depicting an eerily lit streetscape sold for more than $121 million at a Christie’s auction in New York on Tuesday –– surpassing its $95 million estimate and smashing the auction record for the Surrealist artist’s work. The auction also featured paintings by other modern giants like Ed Ruscha and Max Ernst. The painting sold for a record sum at a Christie's auction in New York. Two other Magritte works were included in the sale: The paintings “La cour d’amour” and “La Mémoire,” which sold for $10.53 million and $3.68 million, respectively. He produced a total of 17 oil paintings and 10 gouaches (water-based paintings) that all share the name “L’empire des lumières” –– and each with small alternations between versions.
Persons: Magritte, Mica Ertegun’s, Ed Ruscha, Max Ernst, , Max Carter, ” Carter, David Hockney, , Claude Monet, Vincent van Gogh, Peggy Guggenheim, Sandra Zalman, Zalman, ” “, ” Zalman Organizations: CNN, Century, Art Basel, Venice Biennale, University of Houston Locations: New York, British, Hong Kong, Belgian
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWe believe the market is going higher into end of the year, says UBS' Alan RechtschaffenAlan Rechtschaffen, UBS Global Wealth senior portfolio manager, joins CNBC's 'Money Movers' to discuss whether recent market dips represent opportunity, expectations for the new administration, and more.
Persons: Alan Rechtschaffen Alan Rechtschaffen Organizations: UBS, UBS Global Wealth
Morgan Stanley reiterates Apple, Microsoft and Meta as overweight The firm says "mega-cap tech under-ownership narrows" in the third-quarter but that it's sticking with all three stocks. " UBS upgrades Comfort Systems to buy from neutral UBS says the HVAC company is a beneficiary in tech and data center cooling. UBS upgrades American Water Works to buy from neutral UBS says it sees "consistent" total returns for the water company. " Jefferies reiterates Netflix as buy The firm raised its price target on the stock to $1,000 per share from $800. TD Cowen names Datadog a best idea The firm says the stock is a top idea in 2025.
Persons: Stifel, it's, Morgan Stanley, Okta, , Jefferies, Uber, Needham, Joby, Piper Sandler downgrades Kraft Heinz, Piper, Kraft Heinz, Piper Sandler, Paul, Tyson, NFLX, TD Cowen, United, Datadog, Scott Thomson, it's bullish Organizations: Nvidia, Apple, Microsoft, Barclays, UBS, Comfort Systems, Works, Edison Electric, Kraft, Apollo, TAM, Netflix, Bank of America, Bank of, Scotiabank, JPMorgan Locations: Bank of Nova Scotia, robotaxis
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's full interview with UBS' John Lovallo and Brown Harris Stevens' Bess FreedmanBess Freedman, Brown Harris Stevens CEO, and John Lovallo, UBS homebuilders analyst, join CNBC's 'The Exchange' to discuss the state of the housing market, what the incoming administration could do for housing supply and affordability, and more.
Persons: John Lovallo, Brown Harris Stevens, Bess Freedman Bess Freedman, CNBC's Organizations: UBS
Sim left banking in 2017 and is now a published author, professional speaker, and career coach. This as-told-to essay is based on a conversation with Eric Sim, 54, a former banker turned professional speaker and executive coach. When I picked banking as a career, I had very little idea of what the job would actually involve. I can play the game, but I don't enjoy the gameSim left UBS in 2017 and is now a professional speaker and executive coach. Through my work as a speaker and lecturer, I have been able to share my know-how in banking and career planning with more people.
Persons: Eric Sim, Sim, I'd, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley —, I've, I'm Organizations: DBS Bank, DBS, Lancaster University, Standard Chartered, Citibank, UBS, Banking Locations: Singapore, London, Shanghai, Hong Kong, secondments, China, Asia
Pure-play electric vehicle stocks like Rivian and Lucid are flat and down more than 3%, respectively, since Trump's victory. So why is Tesla soaring even as a second Trump administration is expected to fundamentally disrupt the U.S. electric vehicle market? And increased tariffs could make inputs for electric vehicles more expensive. These headwinds ignore the fact that Trump's new best friend is Tesla CEO Elon Musk, Bernstein analyst Toni Sacconaghi told clients in a Monday note. But Tesla's fundamentals are largely steady postelection, while Musk's relationship with Trump underlines how Tesla largely controls the self-driving vehicle narrative, the analyst said.
Persons: Tesla, Donald Trump, Trump, Elon Musk, Bernstein, Toni Sacconaghi, Musk, Vivek Ramaswamy, Sacconaghi, Dan Levy, Levy Organizations: U.S, Ford, General Motors, Trump, GOP, UBS, Bloomberg News, Traffic, Administration, Barclays, Tesla Locations: Friday's
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe American dream of buying a first home has become a real challenge, says Brown Harris Stevens CEOBess Freedman, Brown Harris Stevens CEO, and John Lovallo, UBS homebuilders analyst, join CNBC's 'The Exchange' to discuss the state of the housing market, what the incoming administration could do for housing supply and affordability, and more.
Persons: Brown Harris Stevens, Bess Freedman, John Lovallo, CNBC's Organizations: UBS
Here are Monday's biggest calls on Wall Street: Oppenheimer reiterates Netflix as outperform Oppenheimer said the Jake Paul-Mike Tyson fight "demonstrates [the] ability for meaningful" live event viewership for Netflix. Goldman Sachs initiates Ingram Micro as buy Goldman said the IT solutions provider is well positioned. Goldman Sachs initiates Gatx as buy Goldman said it's bullish on the railcar company. Baird upgrades Roku to outperform from neutral Baird said in its upgrade of Roku that it sees an "attractive long-term opportunity." Needham upgrades Robin Hood to buy from hold Needham said the stock is a beneficiary of the Trump election.
Persons: Oppenheimer, Jake Paul, Mike Tyson, it's bullish, Goldman Sachs, Ingram, Goldman, Baird, Morgan Stanley, Raymond James, Wells, Needham, Biogen, it's, Robin Hood, Trump, Donald Trump's, Bernstein, Tesla Organizations: Netflix, Citi, Astera, Ingram, GATX Corporation, RBC, UBS, Franco, Wheaton Precious Metals, WPM, HSBC, Moderna, Air Products, Hewlett Packard Enterprise, Enterprise, Aetna, Bank of America, Nvidia, " Bank of America, DOJ, Google, BMO, SEC, EV Locations: Nevada, Asia
UBS sees stocks rising to new heights in the new year, though not without a brief pullback. In a note Monday, UBS strategists said they see the S & P 500 rising to 6,400 by the end of 2025. The iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) has popped 2.6% since the election, outperforming the S & P 500's 1.3% advance. The S & P 500 financials sector has been on fire since the Nov. 5 vote, up more than 6%. The S & P 500 traded around 5,900 on Monday, above UBS strategist Jonathan Golub's 2024 target of 5,850 .
Persons: Stocks, Donald Trump, Russell, Jonathan Golub's Organizations: UBS, Trump, Still Locations: Friday's, U.S, Europe
Trump's plan to transform federal land into housing will be costly, given minimal existing infrastructure, UBS says. Those policies, plus a set of potentially inflationary proposals, could drive up both home prices and mortgage rates, they say. Trump's plan to transform federal land into more housing seems particularly challenged, the analysts say. The higher rates will likely continue the housing lock-in effect, where existing homeowners prefer to remain locked in at their current lower rates. In prepared remarks on Thursday, Fed Chair Jerome Powell said the US is in no hurry to cut rates, signaling that mortgage rates could stay higher for longer.
Persons: , Donald Trump's, homeownership, Trump, JD Vance, Vance, homebuyers, Jerome Powell Organizations: UBS, Service, Builders
If this year's closures are any indication — and if the economy worsens — they won't be alone. 2025 is still more than a month away, but it's already shaping up to be another rocky year for retail. Analysts at UBS project the total number of US retail closures could reach 45,000 over the next five years. For one thing, even healthy retailers like Walmart and Target periodically review and trim their store fleets in the normal course of business. In any event, the year hasn't even begun, but nearly 1,500 retail closures are slated — already roughly half the amount BI has tracked for full-year totals in recent years.
Persons: , Topping, Shane O'Kelly, Donald Trump's Organizations: Parts, Walgreens, UBS, Coresight Research, Walmart, Target, Blockbuster
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