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The S & P 500 rebounded 4% this past week, almost clawing back all of the prior week's horrible decline. Fed watch The Fed is the big market event this week. ET: Fed rate decision Before the bell: General Mills (GIS) After the bell: Steelcase (SCS) Thursday, Sept. 19 8:30 a.m. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Jensen Huang's, Goldman Sachs, Jim, Huang, Lisa Su, Su, Vimal Kapur, Morgan, Brian Niccol, Wells, Morgan Stanley, Jerome Powell, They're, Lennar, Doug Yearley, Mills, LEN, Jim Cramer's, Spencer Platt Organizations: Federal, Dow, Nasdaq, Nvidia, Club, Technology, CNBC, Oracle, Devices, TAM, Apple, Honeywell, Starbucks, Barclays Global Financial Services, Fed, FedEx, homebuilder, Home Depot, Darden, Jim Cramer's Charitable, New York Stock Exchange, Getty Locations: Las Vegas, U.S, America, Horton, New York City
All of our Super Six megacaps were higher, even Club stock Apple was pushing to stay in the green after getting mixed reviews on Monday's iPhone 16 event. That's an interesting line because you could argue that Starbucks needs to pullback its aggressive expansion plans in the world's second-largest economy. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Daniel Pinto, Pinto, JPMorgan's, else's, Jamie Dimon, Wells, Morgan Stanley, ramping, Brian Niccol, Niccol, Buster's, Jim Cramer's, Jim Organizations: CNBC, ., Apple, JPMorgan, Barclays Global Financial Services Conference, Dow, Starbucks, The Club, GameStop, Dave, Jim Cramer's Charitable Locations: Banks, U.S, United States, China
Stocks have made a nice comeback after testing support last week in the wake of a violent summer swoon tied to the yen carry trade. I run four equity portfolios at Inside Edge Capital, the most actively managed is appropriately named "Active Opps." In this article I'll cover the technical formation of the resistance zone as well as the option hedge we're using. If this is an ill-fated rally, or a so-called bear market rally, my bet is it will fail around this zone. BEFORE MAKING ANY FINANCIAL DECISIONS, YOU SHOULD STRONGLY CONSIDER SEEKING ADVICE FROM YOUR OWN FINANCIAL OR INVESTMENT ADVISOR.
Persons: Nvidia's, Todd Gordon Organizations: Edge, Nasdaq, Inside Edge, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL
Oil futures clawed back some losses on Wednesday, recovering from 7-week lows as geopolitical tensions rose after Israel retaliated against an attack by Hezbollah, although prices remained under pressure from concerns about demand in China. Oil futures clawed back some losses on Wednesday, recovering from 7-week lows as geopolitical tensions rose after Israel retaliated against an attack by Hezbollah, although prices remained under pressure from concerns about demand in China. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures rose 52 cents, or 0.7%, to $75.25 a barrel. "While (WTI) crude oil remains below the 200-day moving average at $78.66, downside risks remain towards trendline support in the $74.20/00 area," Sycamore said, adding that a sustained break below $74 would open up a move towards $70. Slowing fuel demand in China, the world's largest crude oil importer and the biggest contributor to global demand growth, is also weighing on oil markets.
Persons: Israel, Brent, WTI, Hezbollah's, Tony Sycamore, Sycamore Organizations: Brent, . West Texas, Saturday's, U.S, UN, Organization of, Petroleum, Reuters Locations: China, Beirut, Israel, Gaza, OPEC, Russia
Small caps should also get a boost from interest rate cuts, which typically translate to disproportionately large gains for the group. That helps confirm what investors are realizing: small caps are the place to be. When large caps sneeze, the market catches a coldThe small-cap breakout has coincided with large technology stocks breaking down. Small caps also tend to have less of an international presence than their larger peers, so they don't miss out as much when converting overseas profits to dollars. The small-cap index is closely tied to economically sensitive parts of the market, which should continue to participate in this rally.
Persons: , chartmaster, BMO Capital Markets David Keller, who's, Russell, David Keller, StockCharts.com, Keller, you've, he'd, Keller didn't Organizations: Service, Tech, Nvidia, Meta, Business, BMO Capital Markets, BMO Capital, BMO, Therapeutics, Myriad Genetics, Holdings
I'm always on the lookout for stocks with ideal technical set-ups, and my favorite one is a chart with a long-term uptrend and short-term pullback. I actually call this setup a "fat pitch" chart. So when a chart is in a primary uptrend, and then has a decent pullback to make a higher low, this fat pitch chart can often provide a fantastic "buy on the dips" opportunity. We can also see that the RSI is currently just above the 40 level, which tells us that the price momentum remains fairly bullish despite the recent price pullback. BEFORE MAKING ANY FINANCIAL DECISIONS, YOU SHOULD STRONGLY CONSIDER SEEKING ADVICE FROM YOUR OWN FINANCIAL OR INVESTMENT ADVISOR.
Persons: I'm, CROX, that's, trendline Organizations: Crocs, Inc, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL
In a more defensive environment, we instead gravitate to lower volatility, higher dividend-paying stocks. By October, AT & T had pounded out a series of higher lows, confirming a rotation to a bullish trend. As a long-term trend gauge, I would assume that any price action above this trendline is still within the context of a bullish phase. I've also drawn a short-term trendline in pink, lining up the price lows in April, May, and June. Since an uptrend is formed by a pattern of higher highs and higher lows, then a consistent short-term uptrend would most likely remain above this trendline.
Persons: we've, I've, I'm, David Keller Organizations: CMT, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL, & $
SLB (SLB) has been on our radar for some time and its recent underperformance produces an interesting opportunity to gain long exposure with substantial upside potential. That's nearly a 35% discount to the average S & P 500 stock, implying that the technical upside target is well within its historical valuation range. With low volatility, options prices on SLB are extremely inexpensive and would benefit from a simple strategy such as buying a call option. Additionally, we are only risking 7.7% of the stock's price to gain unlimited upside exposure. BEFORE MAKING ANY FINANCIAL DECISIONS, YOU SHOULD STRONGLY CONSIDER SEEKING ADVICE FROM YOUR OWN FINANCIAL OR INVESTMENT ADVISOR.
Persons: SLB, That's Organizations: CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL
However, our technical indicators suggest a bigger counter-trend rally could be in store for TSLA in the weeks ahead. Fairlead Strategies Disclaimer: This communication has been prepared by Fairlead Strategies LLC ("Fairlead Strategies") for informational purposes only. Securities, investment products, other financial products or strategies discussed herein may not be suitable for all investors. The recipient of this information must make its own independent decisions regarding any securities, investment products or other financial products mentioned herein. This material is not to be reproduced or redistributed absent the written consent of Fairlead Strategies.
Persons: TSLA Organizations: Nvidia, TSLA, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL, Fairlead, CNBC Pro, Securities Locations: TSLA
Some concerning candle patterns for leading technology names have caused me to focus on potential downside targets for the S & P 500 . To be clear, this is a short-term pattern, and is really just intended to inform our thinking for the next couple trading sessions. The most important level to watch is S & P 5,200, which would represent about a 5% pullback from the recent market peak. A move below S & P 5200 would cause me to revisit long positions and start to raise cash due to an elevated risk of a correction. If and when the S & P pushes below 4950, I would be positioned way more defensively, waiting for some signs of accumulation to emerge.
Persons: I've, David Keller Organizations: Nvidia Corp, Semiconductor, Nvidia, Micron Technology, CMT, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL
The financial sector, along with other value-oriented sectors, is beginning to significantly underperform the major equity benchmarks over the last six weeks. We'll share a potential short candidate, close to breaking down through a key support level that could indicate much further downside to come. First, let's visualize the relative performance of the financial sector, along with three other value sectors that have all shown deterioration since April. In searching through the financial sector for an actionable chart to play potential downside, I discovered that Progressive Corp. (PGR) is showing all the signs of a bearish rotation. BEFORE MAKING ANY FINANCIAL DECISIONS, YOU SHOULD STRONGLY CONSIDER SEEKING ADVICE FROM YOUR OWN FINANCIAL OR INVESTMENT ADVISOR.
Persons: PGR, I'm, David Keller Organizations: Progressive Corp, Progressive, PGR, CMT
—Katie Stockton with Will Tamplin Access research from Fairlead Strategies for free here . Fairlead Strategies Disclaimer: This communication has been prepared by Fairlead Strategies LLC ("Fairlead Strategies") for informational purposes only. Securities, investment products, other financial products or strategies discussed herein may not be suitable for all investors. The recipient of this information must make its own independent decisions regarding any securities, investment products or other financial products mentioned herein. This material is not to be reproduced or redistributed absent the written consent of Fairlead Strategies.
Persons: TAN, Katie Stockton Organizations: Fairlead, CNBC Pro, Securities Locations: TAN
CNN —The guilty verdict against Donald Trump in his New York hush money trial is a momentous news story in itself. What’s far less clear, and what no polling can predict, is the effect it will have on voters’ willingness to support Trump in the presidential election. Fifteen percent said they’d be more likely to vote for Trump and 17% that they’d be less likely to do so. Take the roughly one-quarter of Trump supporters in the NPR/PBS/Marist poll who said that a conviction would increase their chances of supporting him over President Joe Biden. The best gauge of any immediate, tangible effect on voters’ preferences might be polls of the presidential race.
Persons: Donald Trump, That’s, , Trump’s staunchest, Joe Biden, Trump, aren’t, , They’ve Organizations: CNN, Trump, NPR, PBS, Marist, Reuters, Republicans, Biden Locations: New York, Quinnipiac
"We definitely look forward to engaging in a constructive dialogue with Elliott," Ilan said at AllianceBernstein's Strategic Decisions conference, marking his first public remarks since the activist revealed a $2.5 billion position in the company. Texas Instruments has spent heavily on chip fabrication plants, or fabs, as it seeks to maintain its dominant position in the analog semiconductor market. But that growth in capex has come at a significant cost to free cash flow per share, a self-declared key metric for TI, Elliott noted. By Elliott's analysis, FCF per share fell from $6.40 in 2022 to $1.47 per share in 2023. But it remains a giant business, accounting for $13 billion or 74% of TI's revenue in 2023.
Persons: Haviv Ilan, Elliott, Ilan Organizations: Texas, CNBC, TI, Texas Instruments, Micron Technologies Locations: Utah, capex
Natural gas futures have cleared their 200-day moving average and appear to have entered a long-term basing process. Given the potential for a long-term turnaround phase in natural gas prices, we were drawn to the energy sector as a source of potential long-term stock opportunities. Secondary resistance for natural gas comes from a Fibonacci retracement level near $3.50/MMBtu. How to play it One of the natural gas-related stocks that sets up well from a technical perspective is Cheniere Energy (LNG) , which is a provider of liquified natural gas. Fairlead Strategies Disclaimer: This communication has been prepared by Fairlead Strategies LLC ("Fairlead Strategies") for informational purposes only.
Persons: Katie Stockton Organizations: Energy, Fairlead, CNBC Pro, Securities
That increase is largely due to dynamics in the market for crude oil, which is refined into gasoline, economists said. Annual housing inflation declined to 5.5% in April from 5.7% in March. Shelter and gasoline inflation combined contributed more than 70% of the monthly CPI increase for all items, according to the BLS. Americans' buying patterns also simultaneously shifted away from services — such as entertainment and travel — toward physical goods since they stayed at home more, driving up demand and fueling decades-high goods inflation. Wage growth has been one contributor to services inflation, for example, economists said.
Persons: Grace Cary, That's, Mark Zandi, we're, Zandi, Michael Pugliese, Trump, Stephen Brown, Pugliese Organizations: U.S . Labor Department, Moody's Analytics, Federal Reserve, of Labor Statistics, Wells, Wells Fargo Economics, U.S, U.S . Energy Information Administration, Finance, GameStop, AMC, Biden, North, Capital Economics, Supply Locations: U.S, Wells Fargo, North America
Investors should look to energy stocks as stubborn inflation weighs on the stock market amid growing anxiety over whether the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates at all this year, according to Wolfe Research. "This inability to adequately tame inflation of course coincides with the reacceleration of Oil and Energy stocks over the past few months," analysts Rob Ginsberg and Read Harvey told clients in a Monday note. The Wolfe analysts said investors should take advantage of any near-term overbought consolidations and make a play for the stock to rise back into the mid $40s. Crude oil and the 10-year breakeven inflation rate, meanwhile, are both on the upswing from multiyear bases, according to the Wolfe analysts. "Needless to say, we want to keep playing Oil and Energy stocks to the upside over near – mid term, which should in turn put continued upward pressure on inflation," the Wolfe analysts said.
Persons: Rob Ginsberg, Read Harvey, Ginsberg, Harvey, Halliburton, EQT, Wolfe, CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Federal Reserve, Wolfe Research, Oil, Energy, Halliburton, EQT Corporation, HAL, Securities Locations:
Technical analyst Rob Ginsberg said in a note to clients Wednesday that the Global X FinTech ETF (FINX) looks attractive after a long period of underperforming the broader market. "Now that we're past much of the big bank earnings, there are a number of fintech and financial service names on the docket this week and next. FINX 5Y mountain The FINX ETF has shown early signs of a rebound in 2024. Ginsberg wrote that the ETF has some positive technical signals of its own. To be sure, earnings reports could prove to be a downside catalyst for financial technology stocks and the fund.
Persons: Rob Ginsberg, Ginsberg, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: titans, Wolfe Research, Paypal Locations: Fintech, FINX
But with the market at an all-time high, now is probably a good time to hedge against potential downside, experts say. That's especially the case because there's an elevated degree of risk facing stocks, and the cost of some insurance measures is historically cheap. Related storiesThe S&P 500 also looks overextended on a technical basis, according to many measures. AdvertisementRosenberg Research"The definition of a stretched market is one when the S&P 500 gaps 14% or more above the 200-day trendline. Beyond extreme, in fact — back to 1928, the S&P 500 has only drifted this far above the moving average 7% of the time," Rosenberg said.
Persons: Jim Smigiel, they've, Louis Fed, Phillip Colmar, Colmar, David Rosenberg, Rosenberg, Steve Sosnick, we're, Smigiel, Sosnick Organizations: Service, Nvidia, Microsoft, Bank of America's, Survey, Bank of America, SEI, Fed, Louis Fed Inflation, MRB Partners, Rebels, Rosenberg Research, Interactive Brokers Locations: Ukraine, Russia, Israel, Palestine, Suez
As oil prices climb above $80 for the first time since late last year, energy stocks are roaring back with strength across multiple timeframes. As we review the energy sector, SLB stands out as a stock where value can be unlocked by the current environment. Despite a record year in 2023, SLB (SLB) traded lower this year on the back of geopolitical factors. As we evaluate the business, we know that SLB is the largest services and equipment provider for oil and gas exploration. The trade Despite implied volatility on SLB at the very bottom of its 52-week range, I still believe that the best trade structure for this trade would be buying a call vertical.
Persons: SLB, I'm
He’ll also use the trip to highlight early organizing efforts in these two states that the campaign believes will be “core” to electoral victory. Biden will launch the campaign’s “Latinos con Biden-Harris” organizing initiative when he visits South Phoenix, Arizona, Tuesday evening, campaign officials said. And the vast majority of Arizonans support abortion access, as well,” Dan Kanninen, the Biden campaign’s battleground states director, said. Biden’s western swingAt a first stop in the Reno, Nevada, area, Biden will meet with local leaders and campaign volunteers in Washoe County. To that end, Biden has proposed $258 billion in housing investments in the budget he submitted to Congress earlier this month.
Persons: Joe Biden, Donald Trump, He’ll, Biden, Harris ”, , Dan Kanninen, Trump’s, ” Kanninen, Kanninen, MAGA, ” Julie Chavez Rodriguez, Kamala Harris, Chavez, ” Biden, White, , Gene Sperling, Harris Organizations: Las Vegas CNN, Democratic, Biden, Fox, Trump, Republican Party, Republicans, GOP, Union, Democrats ’, Las Vegas, Income Housing Coalition Locations: Nevada, Arizona, South Phoenix , Arizona, Georgia , Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Reno , Nevada, Washoe County, Las, president’s State, Phoenix, Mexican, America, Dallas, Houston , Texas
As the equity markets grind to new all-time highs, stocks that have been bid up over the past couple of months significantly beyond their average valuation are at risk of a pullback. In my opinion, the upside from here is limited and an opportunity to fade this incredible strength and momentum. We're just trading up against this trendline and a potential stopping point for this rally. Additionally, momentum indicators have reached severely overbought conditions that statistically point to a potential pullback in the short run. GE is effectively trading at the same price as it was in 2017, when it earned nearly three times more profits.
Persons: it's Organizations: Electric, GE
While the major equity averages were rallying off their October 2023 lows, many gambling names did not participate in the rally. DraftKings (DKNG) DKNG certainly has the most established uptrend in the group, having sustained a fairly consistent uptrend through much of 2023. Higher highs and higher lows have marked the next 14 months, forming a classic Dow Theory uptrend. The October 2023 low was noteworthy in that the stock found support right at the August low around $26. Wynn Resorts (WYNN) WYNN has undergone a similar reversal off a December 2023 low, and also has recently broken above the crucial 200-day moving average.
Persons: DraftKings, DKNG, we've, Wynn, WYNN, LVS, David Keller Organizations: Las Vegas Sands, Wynn Resorts, Nasdaq, Dow, Vegas Sands, RSI, WYNN, CMT Locations: Las Vegas, DraftKings, Vegas
In my opinion, this rally in GE is overdone and an opportunity to fade the strength. GE is trading at the same price as in 2016, when it was earning nearly three times more in profits. The trade structure that I prefer to use here is to sell options and collect premium while taking a neutral/bearish outlook. Selling a Call Vertical Spread is the structure that I would use for this GE trade. BEFORE MAKING ANY FINANCIAL DECISIONS, YOU SHOULD STRONGLY CONSIDER SEEKING ADVICE FROM YOUR OWN FINANCIAL OR INVESTMENT ADVISOR.
Persons: It's, it's Organizations: General Electric, GE
With the Chinese equity markets lagging further behind, China has now launched fiscal and monetary policy to stabilize it. This provides an opportunity for a significant bounce in an oversold and undervalued stock. These types of chart setups can potentially lead to a significant rally over a short period of time. With an outlook that is head and shoulders above its competition, XPEV trades at a relative discount and presents significant upside. The trade When we consider the macro environment in China and the significantly oversold and undervalued stock of XPEV, my preference is to add long exposure with a simple call option.
Persons: XPEV Locations: China, Europe
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