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Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWhat Today's Inflation Data Will Mean for Next Week's Fed MeetingPGIM Fixed Income chief U.S. economist Tom Porcelli discusses what will be most important for the markets and Fed to look for in today's PCE report.
Persons: Tom Porcelli Locations: today's PCE
Key Fed inflation gauge at 2.2% in August, lower than expected
  + stars: | 2024-09-27 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Economists surveyed by Dow Jones had been expecting all-items PCE to rise 0.1% on the month and 2.3% from a year ago. Excluding food and energy, core PCE rose 0.1% in August and was up 2.7% from a year ago, the 12-month number 0.1 percentage point higher than July. "All quiet on the inflation front," said Chris Larkin, managing director of trading and investing at E-Trade from Morgan Stanley. Personal income increased 0.2% on the month while spending rose 0.2%. At their meeting last week, policymakers indicated a likelihood of another half percentage point in cuts this year then a full point in reductions for 2025, though markets expect a more aggressive path.
Persons: Dow Jones, Chris Larkin, Morgan Stanley Organizations: Commerce Department, Fed, Stock Locations: U.S
Encouraging inflation data stoked optimism that the Federal Reserve can cut interest rates in September. That changed Friday, as encouraging inflation data injected new life into the rally. Advertisement"Next week we expect [Fed Chair Jerome] Powell to set the table for future rate cuts, speaking confidently about progress bringing inflation down. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, the market no longer expects the Federal Reserve to keep rates steady in September. The market also forecasts high chances that the Fed will slash rates by up to 75 basis points through December.
Persons: Russell, , Jerome, Powell, David Donabedian, Chris Zaccarelli, Dexcom Organizations: Federal, Service, PCE, CIBC Private Wealth, Reserve, Independent, Alliance Locations: Here's,
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFerguson: A positive PCE report could be meaningful for the FOMC this time aroundRoger Ferguson, former Fed vice chairman and past president & CEO of TIAA, discusses what to expect from today's PCE data, and what slowing inflation could mean for potential rate cuts this year and next.
Persons: Ferguson, Roger Ferguson Organizations: PCE
US stocks rose Friday as traders took in new inflation data from the Fed's preferred price gauge. PCE inflation cooled to 2.6% last month, the lowest pace of price growth in three years. Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. AdvertisementUS stocks jumped on Friday as traders took in fresh inflation data, which showed price pressures continuing to cool off in May. Here's where US indexes stood shortly after the 9:30 a.m. opening bell on Friday:AdvertisementIn commodities, bonds, and crypto:
Persons: , Seema Shah Organizations: Service, Treasury, Federal, Asset Management, Nasdaq, Nvidia Locations: PCE, Here's
May marked the lowest annual rate since March 2021, which was the first time in this economic cycle that inflation topped the Federal Reserve's 2% target. An important economic measure for the Federal Reserve showed Friday that inflation during May slowed to its lowest annual rate in more than three years. Including food and energy, headline inflation was flat on the month and also up 2.6% on an annual basis. Outside of the inflation numbers, the Bureau of Economic Analysis report showed that personal income rose 0.5% on the month, stronger than the 0.4% estimate. Shelter-related costs have proven stickier than Fed officials have anticipated and have helped keep the central bank from reducing interest rates as expected this year.
Persons: Dow Jones, Seema Shah Organizations: Dow, Commerce Department, Federal, Asset Management, Gross, Atlanta Fed Locations: PCE
US indices rallied after a promising PCE report. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . As projected, core PCE rose 0.2% in April. ""The equity market wants to see a slowdown in economic growth and today's PCE data provided a soft-landing report," David Donabedian said, chief investment officer of CIBC Private Wealth US. Here's where US indexes stood at the 4:00 p.m. closing bell on Friday:AdvertisementHere's what else happened today:In commodities, bonds, and crypto:
Persons: , Friday's, David Donabedian, Eric Sterner Organizations: Dow, Nasdaq, Service, Dow Jones, Nvidia, Microsoft, PCE, CIBC Private Wealth, Federal Reserve, Apollon Wealth Management
Dollar steadies before inflation test; yen brushes off Tokyo CPI
  + stars: | 2024-05-31 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
The dollar was licking wounds against peer currencies on Friday after a downward revision to U.S. GDP for the first quarter suggested room for rate cuts this year, while investors braced for inflation data. The dollar index , which measures the currency against six major peers, consolidated around 104.82 after dipping as low as 104.63 overnight. Softer U.S. consumer price inflation data earlier in May rekindled rate cut expectations for this year, weakening the dollar across the board and setting it on track to post its first monthly losses in 2024. "All told, the Tokyo CPI leaves us confident that nationwide underlying inflation will fall below 2% as soon as July." Price data for the euro zone is due on Friday, following a stronger-than-expected April inflation reading for Germany on Wednesday.
Persons: John Williams, Matt Simpson, Index's Simpson, Marcel Thieliant, Sterling, bitcoin Organizations: Treasury, greenback, New York Fed, Index, PCE, Capital Economics, Japan's Ministry of Finance, Germany Locations: U.S, Tokyo, Asia
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailHow to position for growth in earnings, inflation, and the economySophie Lund-Yates, Senior Equity Analyst at Hargreaves Lansdown, and Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at the Carson Group, discuss mega-cap tech earnings, today's PCE report, and the direction of the markets.
Persons: Sophie Lund, Yates, Hargreaves Lansdown, Ryan Detrick Organizations: Carson Group, PCE
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via Email'We are expecting a pause' from the Fed next week, says Conference Board's Dana PetersonDana Peterson, Conference Board chief economist, joins 'Fast Money' to talk today's PCE data and what to expect from the FOMC meeting next week.
Persons: Board's Dana Peterson Dana Peterson Organizations: Fed, Conference Board
A reading from the Commerce Department showed consumer spending, which accounts for more than two-thirds of U.S. economic activity, rose 0.8% after an unrevised 0.6% increase in September. The core personal consumption expenditure (PCE) index, excluding volatile items, eased to 0.2%, against expectations of 0.3%. "People are feeling that the worst is behind us," said Sam Stovall, chief investment strategist at CFRA Research in New York. The S&P 500 index (.SPX) closed above its 200-day moving average for the first time since April in the previous session, while the Nasdaq index (.IXIC) ended over 4% higher. FEDWATCHInvestors also await nonfarm payrolls data on Friday, with the ADP report on Wednesday suggesting cooling demand for labor.
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