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Sebastian Kahnert | Picture Alliance | Getty ImagesAnnual euro zone inflation rose to 2.3% in November, statistics agency Eurostat said Friday, climbing back above the European Central Bank's 2% target. Economists polled by Reuters had expected the 2.3% annual rate for the month, up from 2% in October. Core inflation, excluding volatile energy, food, alcohol and tobacco prices, held at 2.7% for a third straight month in November. Inflation came in slightly higher than forecast in October, while ECB policymakers, including executive board member Isabel Schnabel, have stressed the need for caution in monetary easing. The ECB's decision will largely be informed by the latest staff macroeconomic projections it will receive just ahead of its upcoming Dec. 12 meeting.
Persons: Sebastian Kahnert, Price, Isabel Schnabel, Donald Trump Organizations: Getty, Eurostat, Central, Reuters, ECB Locations: Dresden, Union
The Summary For years, a special mud has been rubbed on every baseball before every major league game to make them less slippery. Called Lena Blackburne Baseball Rubbing Mud, it comes from a single source: a secret spot along the banks of a tributary of the Delaware River. The magic mud is applied to every ball used in Major League Baseball, including in this year’s World Series. The authors concluded that any attempt to create a synthetic substance to replace the mud — something Major League Baseball has explored — would be foolish. An undated photo shows Burns Bintliff, a prior owner of Lena Blackburne Rubbing Mud, with a can of mud.
Persons: Lena Blackburne, Jim Bintliff, , Doug Jerolmack, Mark Griffey, ” Jerolmack, Carl Mays, Ray Chapman, , ” Bintliff, Burns Bintliff, Blackburne, Bintliff, Shravan Pradeep, Paulo Arratia, Xiangyu Chen, Felipe Macera, Emanuela Del Gado, Del Gado, Rob Manfred Organizations: MLB, University of Pennsylvania, National Academy of Sciences, Major League Baseball, Penn Engineering, New York Yankees, Cleveland, National League, Baseball Hall of Fame, Philadelphia Athletics, Dodgers, Penn, Georgetown University’s Institute, Little League, National Football League teams, Dow Chemical Locations: Delaware, New Jersey
The Omaha-based conglomerate held $69.9 billion worth of Apple shares at the end of September, according to its third-quarter earnings report released Saturday morning. That implied Buffett offloaded approximately a quarter of his stake with about 300 million shares remaining in the holding. Warren Buffett sold another big chuck of his Apple stake, downsizing Berkshire Hathaway 's biggest equity holding for four quarters in a row. Before Apple, Buffett largely avoided technology companies for most of his career, saying they were outside of his circle of competence. Apple shares are up 16% on the year, trailing the S&P 500's 20% gain.
Persons: Buffett, Warren Buffett, Berkshire Hathaway, Ted Weschler, Todd Combs, buybacks Organizations: Oracle, Apple, Berkshire, U.S Locations: Omaha, Berkshire
An Australian one dollar coin sits atop a United States one dollar bill in this illustration photo taken February 12, 2016. The dollar hovered close to a three-month peak on Wednesday in a big week for macroeconomic data that could reveal the path for U.S. monetary policy. The Australian dollar edged closer to a three-month trough after some stickiness in inflation suggested a Reserve Bank of Australia interest rate cut is unlikely this year. The ADP employment report is due later in the day, ahead of the potentially crucial monthly payrolls report on Friday. "The U.S. dollar continues to garner strong support as markets adjust their rate path expectations," said James Kniveton, senior corporate FX dealer at Convera.
Persons: James Kniveton, Kniveton, Donald Trump, Rachel Reeves, Keir Starmer, Liz Truss Organizations: Reserve Bank of Australia, Federal Reserve, U.S ., Reserve Bank, Australia's, U.S, Treasury, Republican, European Central Bank, Sterling, Labor Locations: States, U.S, Australia, Europe
Germany's inflation surged to 2.4% in October, back above the European Central Bank's 2% target, even as the country narrowly avoided a technical recession in the third quarter. The preliminary print, announced by German statistics office Destatis, is harmonized across the euro area for comparability. Harmonized inflation had dropped to 1.8% in September, after coming in at the European Central Bank's 2% target in August. So-called core inflation, which strips out more volatile food and energy costs, came in at 2.9% in October, the German statistics office said Wednesday, an increase from the 2.7% reading of September. In a note translated by CNBC, Deutsche Bank economist Sebastian Becker said that the renewed rise in core inflation showed that the problem of growth in price increases was not resolved, and that further patience was needed.
Persons: Sebastian Becker, Carsten Brzeski, meanwhile, Destatis Organizations: Central, German, comparability, Reuters, CNBC, Deutsche Bank, ING Locations: Bavarian, Germany
AutoStore , founded in 1996 and listed since 2021 in Norway, provides robots and technology to automate traditional warehouses. The company has grown to control approximately 80% to 90% of the market, according to German investment bank Berenberg. The investment bank initiated coverage with a price target of 15 Norwegian kroner ($1.37), pointing to roughly 50% upside from the current share price level. Analysts at Norway-based Arctic Securities have the most bullish outlook with an 18 Norwegian krone price target, indicating a 78% upside. Instead, they cited media reports that Amazon will likely rely on AutoStore's technology in its grocery rollout in the United States.
Persons: Lasse Stueben, Stueben, Martin Wilkie, Berenberg Organizations: Citi, THG plc, Securities, Big Tech Locations: AutoStore, Norwegian, Norway, Germany, Europe, British, United States
Berkshire Hathaway's Bank of America stake has finally been cut to below the key 10% threshold, keeping Warren Buffett's next potential moves under wraps for a few months. The first 700 million shares had a low cost basis of only about $7 per share, while the average cost of the next 300 million shares was in the $30s, Goldberg estimated. "When we sell something, very often it's going to be our entire stake," Buffett said in 2020 when he entirely dumped his holdings in airlines. Still, Buffett sounded negative towards banking following 2023's regional bank crisis that took down Silicon Valley Bank, Signature Bank and First Republic Bank. It's gotten changed by [the regional bank crisis].
Persons: Warren Buffett's, Brian Moynihan, Jason Goldberg, Buffett, Goldberg, It's, That's, digitalization, fintech, Goldman Sachs, Wells Organizations: Berkshire Hathaway's Bank of America, Bank of America, Barclays, Federal, Bank, Signature Bank, First Republic Bank, JPMorgan, U.S . Bancorp Locations: Berkshire, Charlotte, Wells Fargo, U.S
Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway has reduced its stake in Bank of America to below 10% amid a selling spree that started in mid-July. The move brings his holdings down to 775 million shares, or a stake of about 9.987%. Since the holding is now under the key 10% threshold, Berkshire is no longer required to report its related transactions in a timely manner. The next 13F filing in mid-November will only reveal Berkshire's equity holdings as of the end of September. Bank of America CEO Brian Moynihan previously said the market is absorbing the stock, aided by the bank's own repurchasing.
Persons: Warren Buffett, Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway, Buffett, Omaha's, Brian Moynihan, Goldman Sachs, Wells, It's, digitalization, fintech Organizations: Berkshire, Bank of America, U.S . Securities, Exchange Commission, SEC, JPMorgan, U.S . Bancorp Locations: Omaha , Nebraska, Bank, Berkshire, Wells Fargo, U.S
When Warren Buffett, the ultimate buy-and-hold investor, sells a stock, it often sends a negative signal about the underlying business and maybe even the entire industry. "We're more reluctant to sell them than most people," Buffett said of his large positions at Berkshire's annual meeting in 2009. Bank of America sales Many top holdings in Berkshire Hathaway's equity portfolio are decades old — Buffett has held Coca-Cola shares since 1988 and American Express since 1991. Buffett said bank failures in 2008 during the Global Financial Crisis , and again in 2023, lessened confidence in the system, made worse by poor messaging by regulators and politicians. At the time, Buffett foresaw more bank failures down the road , but stuck with his Bank of America investment, partly because he personally negotiated the original deal and admired CEO Brian Moynihan.
Persons: Warren Buffett, Buffett, — Buffett, Goldman Sachs, Wells, BofA, digitalization, fintech, It's, Brian Moynihan Organizations: Herald, Buffalo News, Bank of America, American Express, Oracle, JPMorgan, U.S . Bancorp ., Silicon Valley Bank, First, Signature Bank Locations: Omaha, Berkshire, BofA, Wells Fargo, U.S, U.S . Bancorp . Berkshire, Bank, Silicon, First Republic, saviors
Dollar pinned down by 50 bp Fed cut bets
  + stars: | 2024-09-17 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
The dollar traded near its lowest levels of the year on Tuesday, on the eve of the expected the start to a U.S. easing cycle that markets are betting may begin with an outsized rate cut. The euro rallied overnight to $1.1138 and traded around there early in the Asia session, not far from the year's high against the dollar of $1.1201. Fed funds futures rallied on Monday to push the chance of a 50 basis point rate cut to 67%, against 30% a week ago. "That's because the contrast between central bank outlooks will remain starkest between the Fed and the BoJ, for the time being." The U.S. dollar index weakened 0.4% overnight to 100.7, not far from its 2024 low made last month at 100.51.
Persons: Sterling — Organizations: Macquarie, Fed, Bank of, The Bank of England, New, U.S Locations: U.S, Asia, Tokyo, Bank of Japan, New Zealand
Nearly all buyers (95%) — including hedge funds, venture capital managers, and consultants — surveyed by research firm Neudata expect their 2025 budget to grow or remain the same. "The mood among alternative data buyers and sellers is one of confidence," the report reads in a section about the expected "budget boom." AdvertisementAnd this boom might hurt hedge funds' wallets. Alternative datasets have become increasingly viewed as table stakes, shifting from "nice to have" to "need to have" internally. There's also a surge of interest in using alternative data backlogs to train AI models, giving long-running alternative data vendors another leg up in negotiations.
Persons: , There's, Neudata Organizations: Service, Business, Jefferies
The print is causing concern that inflation may not be going away, which would mean higher interest rates than markets expect going forward. Skyler Weinand, chief investment officer, Regan CapitalWeinand says the market's current outlook on rate cuts will only take place if the economy deteriorates significantly. If inflation does slow that much, the Fed would likely cut rates faster than just a quarter percent per meeting over the next 3-6 months," Adams said in an email. "However, the stickiness of service price inflation and shelter inflation suggests the Fed will cut rates slower than financial markets currently price in." This would be a disappointment to short-term bond markets that have priced over 250 bps of rate cuts by the end of 2025."
Persons: Brian Rose, UBS Global Wealth Management Rose, Rose, Skyler Weinand, Regan Capital Weinand, Bill Adams, Adams, Peter Perkins, MRB Partners Perkins, Josh Jamner, ClearBridge Investments Jamner, Chris Zaccarelli, Zaccarelli Organizations: Service, CPI, Business, UBS Global Wealth Management, UBS Global Wealth, Fed, Comerica Bank, MRB Partners, Investment, ClearBridge Investments, Independent, bps
Dollar firm as inflation data douse bets for big Fed rate cut
  + stars: | 2024-09-12 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
The dollar traded near a four-week high versus the euro on Thursday after signs of some stickiness in U.S. inflation reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve would avoid a super-sized interest rate cut next week. The dollar traded near a four-week high versus the euro on Thursday after signs of some stickiness in U.S. inflation reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve would avoid a super-sized interest rate cut next week. Meanwhile, a quarter-point rate reduction from the European Central Bank is widely expected later on Thursday, with investors anxious for hints on how soon the monetary authority will cut again. Early on Wednesday, Bank of Japan board member Junko Nakagawa reinforced the central bank's tightening bias by saying low real rates leave room for further rate hikes. As a result, traders essentially priced out the chances of a 50-basis point rate cut on Sept. 18, paring the odds to 15% versus 85% probability for a 25-bp reduction.
Persons: Junko Nakagawa, Naoki Tamura, Tony Sycamore Organizations: Federal, European Central Bank, Bank of Japan, IG, ECB, Sterling, Swiss Locations: U.S
Gold inches higher as investors eye U.S. data for rate cues
  + stars: | 2024-09-12 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Gold prices edged higher on Thursday, with traders focusing on the upcoming U.S. economic data that may offer further insights into an expected reduction in the Federal Reserve's interest rate next week. Gold prices edged higher on Thursday, with traders focusing on the upcoming U.S. economic data that may offer further insights into an expected reduction in the Federal Reserve's interest rate next week. Data on Wednesday showed that U.S. consumer prices rose marginally in August, but underlying inflation showed some stickiness, which could discourage the Federal Reserve from delivering a half-point interest rate cut next week. CPI data showed no major inflation spikes, which is supporting gold prices to hold above $2,500 and suggesting no immediate changes to Fed policy, Wong added. Palladium climbed 1.3% to $1,021.84, its highest since July 8, following comments on export regulations from Russian President Vladimir Putin.
Persons: Kelvin Wong, OANDA's, Price, Wong, Vladimir Putin, Putin Organizations: Asia Pacific, Traders, U.S, PPI, Reserve, West Locations: U.S, Moscow
US stocks traded mixed as traders reacted to a mixed inflation report. Core consumer prices rose more than expected, reducing chances of a 50 basis-point rate cut. AdvertisementUS stocks traded mixed on Wednesday, with investors staging a recovery after taking in a mixed inflation report. Odds for a 50 basis-point cut have been slashed by more than half to just 15%, according to the CME FedWatch tool. Markets will assess August producer price inflation data and weekly jobless claims on Thursday and fresh retail sales data next Tuesday.
Persons: , Bill Adams, Jensen Huang, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Service, Dow Jones, Traders, Comercia Bank, Bank of America, Tech, Nvidia, Here's
European private equity firm Hg expressed interest in buying a majority stake in the enterprise software company. For startups, private equity represents a deep-pocketed buyer willing to move quickly, pay a premium, and potentially help the business by tapping into complementary companies in their portfolio. AuditBoard is the kind of startup that private equity goes gaga over. Bidding warArnold then delivered the pitch deck that he had shown to public market investors just weeks before. Here's the 19-slide pitch deck that AuditBoard used to court a $3 billion buyout from private equity.
Persons: , Scott Arnold, Morgan Stanley, Arnold, AuditBoard, Corporates, Daniel Kim, Jay Lee, It's, Fortune, Alex Johnson, Johnson, Morgan Stanley's, Roxanne Oulman's, Nic, Humphries — Hg's, Goldman Sachs, Humphries, he's Organizations: Service, Business, Battery Ventures, Tiger Global, Morgan Locations: Silicon Valley, San Francisco, Shutterfly, Paris
Euro zone inflation dropped to a three-year low of 2.2% in August, flash figures from statistics agency Eurostat showed Friday, boosting expectations for a September rate cut from the European Central Bank. The core rate — excluding the more volatile components of energy, food, alcohol and tobacco — fell to 2.8% in August from 2.9% in July, also matching a Reuters poll. The euro nudged 0.04% higher against the U.S. dollar to $1.1083 as investors gear up from a September rate cut from the Federal Reserve in its first step toward monetary easing in the current cycle. It come after price rises in Germany, the euro area's biggest economy, cooled more than expected to 2% for the month, on a euro zone harmonized basis. Economists at ING expect euro zone core inflation to remain stubbornly above 2.5% for the rest of the year amid stickiness in goods and services.
Organizations: Eiffel, Paris, European Central Bank, Reuters, U.S, Federal Reserve, ING, Markets, ECB Locations: Paris, Germany
LONDON — The British pound on Wednesday broke above the $1.30 level against the U.S. dollar for the first time in a year, as investors bank on a coming period of growth-friendly policies and political stability under the newly elected Labour government. Sterling was 0.5% higher against the U.S. dollar at $1.303 at 1:04 p.m. in London (8:04 a.m. U.K. inflation came in at the Bank of England's 2% target for a second straight month, figures published earlier Wednesday showed. However, the inflation print slightly reduced market bets on an August rate cut from the central bank due to the stickiness of the key services print. The U.K. currency has also been supported by the recent landslide parliamentary victory for the Labour Party, according to analysts.
Persons: Sterling, Joe Tuckey Organizations: U.S, Labour, Bank of England's, Labour Party Locations: London
Shortly after that, the far-right activist Laura Loomer posted on X about some recent remarks that President Biden made about Mr. Trump and then wrote, “They tried to kill Trump.” She did not provide evidence. An hour later, with official details of the assassination attempt still scant, the narrative that President Biden and his allies had engineered the attack on Mr. Trump was being amplified by Republican lawmakers, Russian sympathizers and even a Brazilian political scion. By the time 24 hours had elapsed, posts about the unverified claim had been viewed and shared millions of times. The idea that President Biden was behind the shooting of Mr. Trump was perhaps the most dominant conspiracy theory to emerge after the attack in Butler, Pa., on Saturday. The unproven conjecture surfaced almost instantly, hardened into a narrative and then catapulted between platforms large and small, even as information about the incident was limited.
Persons: Donald J, Trump, Joe Biden’s antifa, Laura Loomer, Biden, Organizations: , Mr, Central Intelligence Agency, Republican Locations: Butler, Pa
Here are Tuesday's biggest calls on Wall Street: Goldman Sachs reiterates Alphabet and Meta as buy Goldman said it's sticking with its buy rating on shares of Alphabet and Meta. Bank of America reiterates Apple as buy Bank of America said its checks show App Store revenue increasing for Apple. KeyBanc reiterates Nvidia as overweight KeyBanc said it's sticking with its overweight rating on Nvidia shares. Morgan Stanley reiterates Tesla as overweight Morgan Stanley said it's sticking with its overweight rating on Tesla shares. " "We initiate coverage on JMIA with a Buy rating and a PT of $14."
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Stifel, Jefferies, TD Cowen, it's, Piper Sandler, Piper, KeyBanc, Raymond James, Exscientia, Cowen, Morgan Stanley, Wolfe, Markel, it's bullish, Robinson, Tesla Organizations: Amazon, Netflix, YouTube, Mobile, Bank of America, " Bank of America, Apple, Nvidia, UBS, Group, Citizens, Investment, Ventures, Mizuho, First Bancorp, of America, JPMorgan, Technologies, Pan Locations: destocking, UW, F3Q, SensorTower, BRX, Puerto Rico, Pan -
The S & P 500 would increase 0.25%-0.75% under this outcome. 15% chance — CPI rises 0.25%-0.3%: The S & P 500 would drop 0.75%-1.25% under this scenario, as such a report could show shelter prices increasing. 15% chance — CPI gains by 0.1%-0.15%: This outcome would be viewed favorably by investors as it could signal accelerating "goods disinflation." The S & P 500 would jump 1%-1.5%. 2.5% chance — CPI rises more than 0.3%: Such a hot inflation report would spark a 1.25%-2.5% sell-off in the S & P 500, JPMorgan traders think.
Persons: Dow Jones Organizations: Federal Reserve, CPI, JPMorgan
That suggests the Bank of England won’t follow the European Central Bank in cutting interest rates when it meets Thursday. A rate cut in August, when UK policymakers meet next, is now also less likely. Other economists, including analysts at Nomura, thought an August rate cut was still possible if pay rises and the price of services cooled further. “For an August rate cut, we will need other economic news to play ball,” the analysts wrote in a note. UK inflation peaked at 11.1% in October 2022, driven to a 41-year high by surging food and energy costs.
Persons: , Zara Noakes, Rebecca Florisson, Jake Finney Organizations: London CNN —, Bank of, Bank of England, European Central Bank, JPMorgan Asset Management, Nomura, “ Workers, Work Foundation, Lancaster University, PwC Locations: United Kingdom, England, United States, Europe
A staff wanted sign in the window of a restaurant in the Soho district of London, U.K., on Tuesday, Sept. 7, 2021. LONDON — U.K. unemployment unexpectedly rose to its highest level in two and a half years, data showed Tuesday, amid a heated general election campaign in which the economy is a key battleground. Simultaneous strong wage growth divided opinions from market-watchers mulling the timing of an interest rate cut from the Bank of England. While market pricing on Tuesday suggested next to no chance of a rate cut at the BOE's June meeting, and a 36% shot in August, that probability rises to nearly 60% for the September deliberations. Consultancy Capital Economics said that, while the stickiness of wage growth would be a "lingering concern" for the BOE, the rate should soon be on a "firm downward path" as unemployment rises.
Persons: Richard Carter, Cheviot, BOE, Capital's, Ruth Gregory, Rishi Sunak, Keir Starmer, Sunak, We've, it's, Starmer Organizations: LONDON, Bank of England, National Statistics, Reuters, Consultancy Capital Economics, Conservative Party, Labour, Conservatives Locations: Soho, London
Shares of Logitech are up 2% on the year and could rally another 17%, if Scemama's target price holds true. Analyst Kristine Liwag accompanied the move by raising her price target to $225 from $178. The bank reiterated its overweight rating on the credit card stock but lifted its price target to $275 from $265. International revs should run above the 10%+," the analyst added. Goldman analyst Tina Hou set a 12-month price target of $34, while Bank of America analyst Ming Hsun Lee set a price objective of $35.
Persons: Bernstein, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, TZE, Brian Lee, Lee, — Spencer Kimball, Didier Scemama, Scemama, — Lisa Kailai Han, Morgan Stanley, Kristine Liwag, Heico's, Liwag, Stanley Black, Decker, Julian Mitchell, Mitchell, Wells, Wells Fargo, Donald Fandetti, Fandetti, Canaccord, Kingsley Crane, Crane, Oppenheimer, Jed, Kelly foresees, FanDuel —, Kelly, Zeekr, Tina Hou, Ming Hsun Lee, Hou, Stacy Rasgon, Rasgon, Fred Imbert Organizations: CNBC, Broadcom, Bank of America, Investors, Technologies, Department of Energy, Logitech, Boeing, Barclays, Stanley, Nvidia, American, Express, American Express, U.S . American Express, Wall, Zeekr, China EV, China, Geely Automobile, AMD Locations: Monday's, EU, U.S, China, BofA
East West Bancorp shares have eked out a small gain in 2024, up 2%. Despite the heightened scrutiny around regional banks, little-known East West Bancorp has been able to pull ahead thanks to a key customer base: Asian Americans. American dream = home ownershipPart of what's helping East West succeed with Asian Americans goes all the way back to its origins. East West Bancorp was founded in 1973 as a federal savings and loan in the Los Angeles area to service the Chinese American and immigrant community struggling to obtain mortgages and business loans. East West also drives cross-border activity between the U.S. and other Asian countries, such as Thailand and Vietnam.
Persons: Alexander Yokum, Wells, Timur Braziler, Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, , Braziler, Christopher Del Moral, Niles, it's, Del, Steven Leung, Leung, CFRA's Yokum, Yokum, Dominic Ng, that's Organizations: East West Bancorp, Regional Banking, Bancorp, West Bancorp, CFRA, Federal Housing Finance Agency, East, East West, U.S, Bancorp's Locations: Southern California, U.S, United States, East, Los Angeles, Asia, FactSet, East West, New York, Beijing, China, Shanghai, Thailand, Vietnam, Washington
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