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☆ Trump's plan to build more homes on federal land could push prices higher, UBS says
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-15 | by ( Kelly Cloonan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Trump's plan to transform federal land into housing will be costly, given minimal existing infrastructure, UBS says. Those policies, plus a set of potentially inflationary proposals, could drive up both home prices and mortgage rates, they say. Trump's plan to transform federal land into more housing seems particularly challenged, the analysts say. The higher rates will likely continue the housing lock-in effect, where existing homeowners prefer to remain locked in at their current lower rates. In prepared remarks on Thursday, Fed Chair Jerome Powell said the US is in no hurry to cut rates, signaling that mortgage rates could stay higher for longer.

Persons: —, Donald Trump's, homeownership, Trump, JD Vance, Vance, homebuyers, Jerome Powell Organizations: UBS, Service, Builders

☆ The 'Trump trades' that also give you income as you wait for policies to come to fruition
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-11 | by ( Michelle Fox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

In addition, analysts had to predict further gains ahead — the stocks have at least 1% upside to the average price target, according to FactSet. Bank of America is among those on Wall Street that think the banks' move since Election Day has not been excessive. Citizens gained 30% from Election Day 2016 through the end of that year and jumped 14% on Wednesday. It added nearly 4% the day after the election and gained 18% from Election Day 2016 through the end of that year. Halliburton, which yields 2.3%, has the largest potential upside ahead — nearly 32% to the average price target.

Persons: Donald Trump, Jeremy Siegel, Ebrahim Poonawala, Trump, Piper Sandler, Mark Fitzgibbon, Keith Horowitz, Halliburton, Jeff Miller Organizations: Dow Jones, Wharton School, CNBC, Bank of America, UST, Trump, Regional Banking, Citizens Financial, Fifth Third Bancorp, Citizens, Fifth, Citigroup, Citi, Marathon Petroleum, Halliburton Locations: Gulf of Mexico

☆ What investors are watching Thursday: Trump trades and a Fed decision
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-07 | by ( Frank Holland | In Frank-Holland | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

(This is a wrap-up of the key money moving discussions on CNBC's "Worldwide Exchange" exclusive for PRO subscribers. Worldwide Exchange airs at 5 a.m. The "Trump trade" and how the Federal Reserve could impact the trend was top of mind for investors Thursday. Also, Wedbush's Dan Ives and Alex Fishman of Empros Capital share their outlook on tech under a second Trump administration. Fishman said the Trump administration benefits all private tech company valuations, but especially the names in what he calls the "Musk-economy," including Neuralink and the xAI.

Persons: Trump, Wedbush's Dan Ives, Alex Fishman, Victoria Fernandez, Crossmark, Fernandez, financials, Anna Paglia, Paglia, Trump Dan Ives, Ives, " Fishman, Elon, Fishman, Crossmark's Fernandez Organizations: PRO, Worldwide, Federal, Empros, State Street Global Advisors, Trump Administration, P Bank ETF, Tech, Trump, Exchange, Qualcomm Locations: Wedbush, Palantir, United States

☆ Where Vanguard sees opportunity to earn income right now
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-24 | by ( Michelle Fox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

With the Federal Reserve rate-cutting cycle now underway, income investors may want to take a closer look at their portfolios. In this environment, Vanguard likes higher-quality, fixed-income assets. However, with high yield credit, Vanguard is focusing on bottom-up security selection due to the dispersion among issuers. CCC-rated bonds gained 12.5% year to date, as of Sept 30, versus the 4.3% return in AA credit, according to Vanguard. Individual investors can get access to corporate credit through mutual funds or exchange-traded funds comprising investment-grade or high-yield bonds.

Persons: Sara Devereux, Devereux, Colleen Cunniffe, Cunniffe, outsized Organizations: Federal, Vanguard, Fed, Investor, Securities, Exchange Commission, Fund Locations: Utilities

☆ Dow sinks sharply as Wall Street gears up for possibility of a Trump victory
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-23 | by ( Nicole Goodkind | Lucy Bayly | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +3 min

Investors have been increasingly on edge about the prospect of former President Donald Trump winning the election, a possibility for which Wall Street has been preparing to a greater extent. While polls remain effectively dead-even, Trump’s prospects have grown since the start of this month in political betting markets. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite led the decline, ending the day down by 1.6%; while the S&P 500 and Dow both fell about 1%. Recent strong economic data has led traders to question whether the central bank might maintain higher rates for longer than anticipated. The current market environment suggests continued volatility ahead, said Torres, warning of the potential for further yield curve steepening and increased market turbulence ahead.

Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, ” Steven Ricchiuto, Kamala Harris, Dow, ”, José Torres, McDonald’s, Kelly Ortberg, Torres Organizations: New, New York CNN, Mizuho Securities, Treasury, Nasdaq, Dow, Interactive Brokers, Nvidia, Apple, Boeing, Federal Locations: New York, United States

☆ Honeywell signs deal with Google to bring Gemini generative AI to industrial sector
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-21 | by ( Eric Rosenbaum | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

"Everyone has that problem in industrials," he said at the recent CNBC Evolve AI Opportunity event. The Google AI will offer images, videos, text and sensor readings to engineers. According to Honeywell data, 82% of companies in the industrial sector that consider themselves AI leaders are behind on adoption, with only 17% having fully launched initial AI plans. Siemens and Microsoft announced a gen AI deal for the industrial sector late last year, which included an AI copilot for use across industries. "Awareness is high, adoption is low, but there will be an inflection point," he said at the recent CNBC AI event.

Persons: Rick Osterloh, Vimal Kapur, Kapur, Suresh Venkatarayalu, Carrie Tharp, Delangue Organizations: Devices, Google, Honeywell, CNBC, Honeywell Forge, Workers, Companies, Gemini, Amazon, Nvidia, Siemens, Microsoft Locations: Mountain View , California, industrials

☆ Here's the trading playbook as data piles up in support of a 'no landing' for the US economy
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-20 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Odds of a "no landing" scenario for the economy are rising amid continued strong economic data. The "no landing" scenario entails a continued run of hot economic data and growth that boosts markets but also precludes a steep rate-cutting cycle from the Federal Reserve. According to Cox, that means that short-term interest rates will drop to around 3% in the no landing scenario, even if long-term rates remain elevated. AdvertisementAfter all, a no landing scenario is the best outcome for the economy, Cox said, and given hot growth, the situation effectively tosses recession fears out the window. This would be just the fourth time in US history that the Fed has cut interest rates without a downturn, he added.

Persons: —, BofA, Reacceleration, Jamie Cox, Cox, They're, Morgan Stanley Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, Bank of America, UBS, Fed, Nvidia, Apple

☆ Why Honeywell CEO Vimal Kapur doesn't think the AI payoff will come from productivity
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-14 | by ( Eric Rosenbaum | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

As CEO of one of the world's largest industrial conglomerates, Honeywell 's Vimal Kapur doesn't think about AI like most individuals. "There is always a trend which makes your skills obsolete, every five years," Kapur said at the recent CNBC Evolve: AI Opportunity Summit in New York City. The AI opportunity for Honeywell is creating a new labor pool that can learn and work alongside AI and accumulate and deploy institutional knowledge much faster. "The future belongs to companies with 'first-order' data sets," he told CNBC "Closing Bell Overtime" anchor Jon Fortt at the Evolve: AI Opportunity event. "Data and data sets are the next frontier for AI," Delangue said.

Persons: Kapur, It's, it's, Jake Loosararian, Jon Fortt, Clément Delangue, Delangue, Katherine Forrest, Paul, Weiss, Garrison, Honeywell's Kapur Organizations: Honeywell, Labor, Nvidia, Gecko Robotics, CNBC, Amazon, Google Locations: New York City, industrials, Rifkind, Wharton

☆ CNBC Daily Open: Don't ignore the risks as a dovish Fed drives markets
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-10 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Valerie Plesch | Picture Alliance | Getty ImagesThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Sentiment in markets, it seems, was buoyed by encouraging comments from the Fed. The Fed, in other words, is keeping a close eye on the economy and wants to make sure it maintains its smooth landing. It's as if Stephen Sondheim's musical "Into the woods to get the money," markets are merrily singing.

Persons: Valerie Plesch, Gregory Daco, Goldman Sachs, Stephen Suttmeier, Philip Jefferson reemphasized, we're, Mike Bailey, Stephen Sondheim's, Jeff Cox, Samantha Subin, Sarah Min Organizations: Federal Reserve, Getty, CNBC, Brent, Bank of America, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Apple, Micro Computer, Fed, FBB Capital Partners Locations: USA, Washington, Florida, U.S, Israel

☆ Strategist: Yield curve steepening in reaction to positive signals
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-25 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailStrategist: Yield curve steepening in reaction to positive signalsNoah Wise, Senior Portfolio Manager from Allspring Global Investments', talks about his outlook on US fixed income, in the face of the weaker labor market, persistent inflation, and other risks on the horizon.

Persons: Noah Wise Organizations: Allspring Global Investments

☆ Bitcoin jumps while Japan holiday dulls most currencies
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-23 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

The Bank of Japan left interest rates unchanged last week and indicated it was not in a hurry to hike them again. That decision, coming just days after the Fed's 50 basis points rate cut, put a pause to the yen's sharp gains this month. With Japan closed for Autumnal Equinox Day, the main driver of trade was expectations around further Fed rate cuts and the gains those have spurred in equities, commodity currencies and other risk assets. The Fed's rate cut "appears to have calmed market fears of a U.S. recession", Goldman Sachs said in a note. Meanwhile, the majority of economists polled by Reuters anticipate two more 25 bps rate cuts at the Fed's final two meetings this year.

Persons: Bitcoin, Goldman Sachs, Christopher Waller, Fumio Kishida, Takaichi —, —, Shigeru Ishiba, Shinjiro Koizumi, Junichiro Koizumi, Takaichi, pare Organizations: Federal, Bank of Japan, Japan, U.S, U.S ., FedWatch, Treasury, Reuters, House Republicans, Liberal Democratic Party, Barclays, The Bank of Locations: United States, Japan, U.S, The Bank of England

☆ These stocks should benefit the most as the Fed keeps lowering rates, analysts say
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-21 | by ( Michael Bloom | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

These companies are expected to benefit from lower interest rates over the long haul, according to analysts. They include Western Alliance , Best Buy, Coca-Cola, Zillow , UPS and FedEx. The analyst said he sees Best Buy as a key beneficiary of lower interest rates in several ways. He noted that Best Buy continues to be a worthy competitor to e-commerce juggernaut Amazon, pointing to a recent pricing study the firm conducted. Meanwhile, Best Buy shares remain undervalued compared to those of its peers in the sector, Chukumba added.

Persons: Zillow, Jay McCanless, McCanless, Wells, Chris Carey, Carey, Coke bottlers, Morgan Stanley, Anthony Chukumba, Chukumba, FedEx — Goldman Sachs, — D.A, Davidson Organizations: Federal, CNBC, Western Alliance, UPS, FedEx, Software, —

☆ Bitcoin will surge 117% by year-end if 'crypto president' Trump wins the election, Standard Chartered says
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-12 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Bitcoin will reach $125,000 by the year's end if Trump wins the election, Standard Chartered said. Bitcoin would reach $75,000 under Kamala Harris, as she is more open to crypto than president Biden, SC said. Under the self-branded "crypto president," bitcoin could reach $125,000 by the year's end, analyst Geoff Kendrick wrote on Thursday. If Harris wins the presidency, bitcoin will reach $75,000 by the end of the year, Kendrick estimates. Even if Trump wins, Kendrick tempered his prior outlook that bitcoin can reach $150,000 by the year's end.

Persons: Bitcoin, Kamala Harris, Biden, —, bitcoin, Donald Trump, Geoff Kendrick, Trump, Gary Gensler, Kendrick, Joe Biden, Harris, Bernstein, Gautam Chhugani Organizations: Trump, Chartered, SC, Service, Securities and Exchange Commission, BTC, MicroStrategy, BlackRock's ETF, Democratic, Treasury

☆ Small caps are finally getting their moment in the sun. Here's why managers think the rally can last
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-25 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Instead, small caps spent the first half of this year doing what they've been doing for the last decade: falling behind. The Russell 2000 Value was up 10%, while the Russell 2000 having gained 11%. A sustainable rally Small caps have underperformed for roughly the last decade, but they've typically done better historically. Meanwhile, Teton Westwood's Galluccio thinks it can last much longer: "I think small caps stand to outperform for the next three years." "The last decade was the first time in many, many years when small caps underperformed, leading the talking heads to say that quality, quality, quality is large-cap growth.

Persons: Jerome Powell, they've, Russell, Nicholas Galluccio, It's, You've, I've, Mike Rode, Rode, Galluccio Organizations: Federal, TW Smallcap Equity, Fama, Investments, Panasonic, LSEG Locations: Fama French, De Soto , Kansas

☆ The bond market is on watch for a Trump win. What it'll mean for the deficit, inflation, and yields.
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-24 | by ( Laila Maidan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

AdvertisementThe chart below shows a Trump lead based on how users are betting money on an outcome on Predictit's platform. So there's not really any change to tax policy and Trump has been looking to cut taxes further on companies and potentially on individuals as well." AdvertisementInflationWhere inflation is concerned, under a second Trump administration, expect a 10% import tariff on all goods. BondsAdvertisementExpectations for increased deficits, higher inflation, and slower growth have put upward pressure on interest rates over the last few weeks, Goldberg noted. And going forward, it's going to continue to put downward pressure on bond prices and upward pressure on yields, he added.

Persons: We've, Gennadiy Goldberg, Kamala Harris, — Goldberg, Goldberg, there's, Trump, Trump's, it's, Donald Trump Organizations: Service, TD Securities, Business, Republican, Trump, Predictit, Republican House, Democratic, Republicans, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Pew Research Center Trump, Washington, Federal Reserve, Investors Locations: Washington, Mexico, Canada

☆ The small cap rally ‘has legs,’ says Citi’s stock strategist Scott Chronert
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-18 | by ( Hakyung Kim | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

After a difficult two years for small cap stocks, the sector finally appears on path for a comeback, according to Citi Research head of U.S. equity strategy Scott Chronert. The small cap benchmark Russell 2000 index is up 4.3% week to date alone amid a 9.4% rally in July. As investors become more enthusiastic on the prospect of forthcoming interest rate cuts, they've started to sell off mega cap technology names — which have led the market rally — in favor of the rate-sensitive small cap sector. Banks currently have an "easier" valuation starting point, according to Chronert. The sector overall contains little exposure to tariffs — which has become a major campaign platform of former president Donald Trump.

Persons: Scott Chronert, they've, Chronert, CNBC's, Russell, Banks, Donald Trump Organizations: Citi Research, Federal, Trump, CNBC, Market, Survey

☆ Trump 2.0 could be bad news for global inflation, analysts say
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-16 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Brendan Smialowski | Afp | Getty ImagesA second presidential term for former President Donald Trump could reignite global inflation as his America-first policies drive up costs across the world, analysts warned. "The level of inflation is higher, inflation expectations are higher, and we're still in this inflation mindset." A recent poll of economists suggested, however, that the majority see inflation ticking higher under Trump due to his hard-line protectionist stance. watch nowThat higher inflation could spill over into Asia, too, Nomura's Gareth Nicholson said in a note to CNBC. In Europe, Goldman Sachs predicted in a Friday note that a Trump presidency could add a 0.1 percentage point increase to inflation as higher tariffs weigh on global trade.

Persons: Donald Trump, Brendan Smialowski, Michael Metcalfe, CNBC's, we're, Joe Biden, Trump, Nomura's Gareth Nicholson, Goldman Sachs, Manulife's Marc Franklin Organizations: Republican, Convention, Afp, Getty, Street Global Markets, Trump, Biden, CNBC, Republican National Convention Locations: Milwaukee , Wisconsin, America, U.S, Asia, Europe, China, Milwaukee, Pennsylvania

☆ Dollar sees safe-haven gains; sliding yen stays on intervention watch
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-15 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The risk-sensitive Australian dollar fell 0.18% to $0.6771, while the New Zealand dollar slid 0.35% to $0.6097. Under a Trump presidency, market analysts expect a more hawkish trade policy, less regulation and looser climate change regulations. Against the dollar, the yen was last 0.3% lower at 158.36, having strengthened to a roughly one-month high of 157.30 per dollar on Friday. "The confirmed FX intervention undertaken by the MOF in April and May proved that policymakers are prepared to be canny about choosing the timing of their moves," said Jane Foley, head of FX strategy at Rabobank. "In order to make more 'bang for their buck', FX intervention in quiet conditions or after the release of softer U.S. economic data seems like a sensible move.

Persons: Donald Trump, Jack Ablin, It's, Trump, Rong Ren Goh, Jane Foley Organizations: Trump, Cresset, New Zealand, Eastspring Investments, Cash U.S, Investors, . Bank of Japan, Finance, Analysts, Rabobank Locations: Asia, Japan, U.S, Tokyo

☆ Goldman's $2.8 trillion asset management arm says the S&P 500 will be 'flattish' for the rest of 2024. 5 places it says to invest your money instead.
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-14 | by ( Christine Ji | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

Don't expect the mammoth returns of the S&P 500 to continue this year, according to Goldman Sachs Asset Management's midyear investment outlook released last week. AdvertisementBut this doesn't mean that Goldman Sachs is expecting a severe downturn. Active management is more important now than ever, and Goldman Sachs recommends taking steps now to prepare for a lukewarm second half of 2024. To address geopolitical instability and financial shocks, Goldman Sachs recommends hedging risk through commodities. Goldman Sachs is seeing increasing opportunities in Asia.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, Alexis Deladerrière, —, Lindsay Rosner, Rosner, Deladerrière, it's Organizations: Service, Goldman, Business, Nvidia, Microsoft, Apple, Fed Locations: Mexico, France, East, Ukraine, industrials, underperformance, Asia, Japan, India

☆ Here’s where money managers are seeking income at mid-year as rates stay high
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-05 | by ( Darla Mercado | Cfp | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

The prospect of "higher for longer" rates has also made short-term fixed income assets especially attractive. "We had a lot of investors who were in, if not cash, then sub-2-year duration fixed income at the start of the year." Takeaways for investors It doesn't hurt for retail investors to review their fixed income allocation now that the year is halfway over. A combination of fixed income assets may be what it takes to benefit from today's higher rates, lock in yields and capture rising prices once the Fed cuts. "We don't buy that there's one fixed income asset class that you should tilt toward," said Calcagni.

Persons: –, Don Calcagni, it's, Shannon Saccocia, Neuberger Berman, Michael Rosen, Rosen, Janus Henderson, Vishal Khanduja, Eaton Vance, Khanduja, Callie Cox Organizations: Federal Reserve, FedWatch, Investment Company Institute, Money, Mercer Advisors, Investors, Municipal, Angeles Investment Advisors, AAA CLOs, Janus Henderson AAA CLO, SEC, Morgan Stanley Investment Management, Bond, Ritholtz Wealth Management, Stay Locations: Santa Monica, Calif

☆ UBS executives break down how markets will react to a Biden or Trump presidency — and the 3 best investment strategies to hedge election risk
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-30 | by ( Christine Ji | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

UBS executives covering fixed income and equity strategies outlined in a recent note four different scenarios come November: a blue sweep, a Biden presidency with a split Congress, a red sweep, and a Trump presidency with a split Congress. The two overwhelmingly likely outcomes would be a Biden presidency with a divided Congress (40%) and a Trump presidency with a Republican Congress (45%), per UBS. A Biden victory with a divided CongressA Biden presidency will likely usher in increased tax rates and regulatory oversight, UBS said. A Trump presidency combined with a Republican Congress would mean an extension of the current lower marginal tax rates, the bank said. While antitrust regulation will likely ease under Trump, he's hardly a Big Tech supporter: Trump sued Facebook, Google, and Twitter (now X) in 2021.

Persons: —, Biden, David Lefkowtiz, Trump's, Tom McLoughlin, UBS's, Lefkowitz, he's, Trump, Leslie Falconio, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Service, UBS, Biden, Trump, Republican Congress, Business, Nvidia, OpenAI, Big Tech, Republican, Republicans, Democrats, Facebook, Google, Twitter, World Gold, Trust

☆ A former Bridgewater executive shares his 2 highest-conviction trades right now — and breaks down why the US labor market remains exceptionally strong despite apparent signs of weakness
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-15 | by ( William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Another common worry among investors is the risk that elevated interest rates pose to the labor market and overall economy. AdvertisementThat difference is that prior cycles have been driven by lending, Elliott said. Lending growth fueled economic expansions and drops in lending led to economic contractions. He said it can act as a hedge against the Fed cutting rates too early with the economy still strong. AdvertisementInvestors can gain exposure to gold through funds like the SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) and the iShares Gold Trust (IAU).

Persons: St, Louis, Bob Elliott, Elliott, Louis Fed, It's Organizations: Service, Unlimited Funds, Bridgewater Associates, Federal Reserve, Treasury, Trust

☆ Markets have embraced that the Fed is no longer raising rates: Wealth Enhancement's Yoshioka
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-03 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMarkets have embraced that the Fed is no longer raising rates: Wealth Enhancement's YoshiokaAyako Yoshioka, Wealth Enhancement Group senior portfolio manager, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss his investing focus, how the steepening of the yield curve will impact regionals, and more.

Organizations: Markets, Group

☆ U.S. could be facing stagflation as jobs market cracks, inflation remains sticky, warns BofA's Hartnett
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-15 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Stubbornly high inflation and a wobbly jobs market are combining to pose an ominous threat to the U.S. economy, Bank of America chief market strategist Michael Hartnett warned. The result is a narrative of "macro shifting from Q4/Q1 'Goldilocks' to Q1/Q2 'Stagflation,'" Hartnett said in his weekly "Flow Show" note to clients dated Thursday. As Hartnett indicated, the U.S. closed 2023 with the labor market looking strong and GDP posting a solid 3.2% gain. On the jobs market, while nonfarm payrolls have risen strongly , household employment actually is down by about 900,000 since November and full-time jobs have declined by nearly 1.8 million. The Fed is "implicitly ... tolerating higher inflation" as way to inflate the debt away, a condition that means "weaker policy credibility = weaker currency … why crypto & gold [are] at all-time highs."

Persons: Michael Hartnett, Hartnett, Stagflation, nonfarm, specter, That's Organizations: Bank of America, Federal Reserve, New, Fed, U.S ., Atlanta Fed, Nasdaq Locations: U.S

☆ Cocoa prices just hit a record high. Here's what's driving the gains and what it means for chocolate makers
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-17 | by ( Lisa Kailai Han | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

If you think chocolate prices this Valentine's Day were more expensive than usual, it's not you. Year to date, futures contracts are up nearly 27%, with cocoa prices rising in six of the past seven weeks. Here's a breakdown of what's driving cocoa prices higher and how it impacts the investment case around two major chocolate stocks. Doshi thinks cocoa prices could sell off about 20%, taking them to around $4,500 to $4,800 per ton. In an interview with CNBC last week, he underscored the rising cocoa price outlook as the key driver for his lower rating.

Persons: Humza Hussain, El, Aakash Doshi, Doshi, Bernstein, Bruno Monteyne, … There's, Mondelez, Alexia Howard, Hershey, Michele Buck, Bernstein's Howard, Howard, I'd, Bryan Spillane, Morgan Stanley, Pamela Kaufman, Bank of America's Spillane Organizations: Asset Management, CNBC, Hershey, Citi, 2H, Street, Bank of America, Bank of, Cadbury Locations: Mondelez, El Niño, Ghana, Ivory, Nigeria, Europe

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