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The runup in the 10-year Treasury yield is proving to be more than a short-term fluctuation, and that is starting to draw nervous looks on Wall Street. US10Y 3M mountain The 10-year Treasury yield started to climb ahead of the election and has moved higher still after Donald Trump's victory. With the 10-year yield close to a key psychological level of 4.5%, there is concern that another move higher could lead to a downturn in the stock market. If the 10-year yield does break through the 4.5% level, technical patterns suggest it could make a significant climb. Strong economic growth and optimism around artificial intelligence are two reasons why stocks may be able to tolerate higher rates, said Solita Marcelli, UBS global wealth management chief investment officer for the Americas.
Persons: Bond, Donald Trump's, Wolfe, Chris Senyek, Trump, Senyek, Paul Ciana, Stocks, Solita Marcelli, Marcelli Organizations: Treasury, Wolfe Research, Bank of America, UBS Locations: 1Q25
Yet, some experts say they are seeing a renewal of so-called animal spirits. "Animal spirits" is a term first coined by economist John Maynard Keynes and refers to the tendency for human emotion to drive investment gains and losses. watch nowSome experts say animal spirits are a sign of consumer confidence. "It's essentially why dead investors outperform living investors, because dead investors are not impacted by their animal spirits," Klontz said. Research has shown dead investors' portfolios tend to outperform, since they are left untouched because they are less likely to be influenced by emotional decisions, such as panic selling or buying.
Persons: Timothy A, Clary, Donald Trump, John Maynard Keynes, Brad Klontz, Klontz, Scott Wren, Wells, Wren, , We're Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Getty, Trump, Dow Jones, Research, Investors Locations: Wells Fargo, U.S
Stocks still have significant gains in front of them heading into 2025, at least according to BMO Capital Markets. Although bull markets over the past 50 years have averaged about six years in length, the current bull market is just starting its third year but, unfortunately, the third year of past bull markets have been the weakest of the bunch, he cautioned. .SPX YTD mountain The S & P 500 is little changed on Monday, but has gained about 23% in 2024. Heading into 2024, the S & P 500 had advanced more than 24% in 2023. The latter envisions the S & P 500 ending 2025 at 5,500, or about a 6% decline from the index's current price, mostly as a result of inflation picking up steam.
Persons: Stocks, Brian Belski, Belski, Belksi Organizations: BMO Capital Markets, BMO, Federal Reserve, & $ Locations: Canadian
“Donald Trump’s bungling of public health policy during the Covid pandemic cost hundreds of thousands of lives. “FDA’s war on public health is about to end,” he said in a social media post. Pack your bags.”That warning followed comments Kennedy has made about ending National Institutes of Health research into infectious diseases, putting doctors in the field on edge. water systems to remove fluoride from public water. Kennedy’s messaging on food policy has resonated with some health experts in that field.
Persons: Donald Trump’s, Robert F, Kennedy Jr, Dr, Ashish Jha, , Carlos del Rio, Trump, ” Trump, “ Robert F, Kennedy, Jr, ” Robert Weissman, “ Donald Trump’s bungling, Michael Osterholm, , Osterholm, he’d, Ronald Reagan’s, he’s, ” Kennedy, Paul Offit, Jesse Watters, I’ve, Jason Schwartz, Edward Chen, it’s, I’m, Ashley Malin, ” Malin, Food Kennedy, Sanjay Gupta, Marion Nestle, Sen, Ron Johnson, Nestle, ” Nestle, CNN’s Carma Hassan, Nadia Kounang, Daniel Dale, Aaron Pellish Organizations: CNN, US Department of Health, Human, Brown University School of Public Health, Emory School of Medicine & Grady Health, Public Health, Health, HHS, Department of Health, Human Services, Public Citizen, Infectious Disease, University of Minnesota, US Centers for Disease Control, US Food and Drug, FDA, Pharma, of Health, Vaccine Education Center, Children’s Hospital of Philadelphia, CDC, Vaccines, Health Defense, Fox News, Yale School of Public Health, Trump White, U.S, American Dental Association, Environmental Protection Agency, MSNBC, Epidemiology, University of Florida’s College of Public Health, CNN Health Locations: Wisconsin
"A Kamala presidency would have meant the same exact things for crypto and digital assets in four years' time as a Trump presidency," Brokate says. Part of crypto's upward price momentum stems from investor optimism in what a Republican-controlled government could mean for digital assets, Brokate says. But forward-looking investors say that the current market for crypto is barely scratching the surface of potential investor demand. That is, crypto advocates say, if the U.S. government provides a clearer regulatory framework for financial institutions to market and sell crypto and other digital assets to customers. Ideally, crypto enthusiasts say, the U.S. would eventually establish regulatory frameworks similar to the one that exists in Europe known as MiCA — Markets in Crypto Assets.
Persons: Kamala, Trump, Brokate, Federico Brokate, bitcoin, Geoff Kendrick, Andy Baehr, hasn't, Baehr Organizations: Republican, Trump, Crypto, CNBC Locations: U.S, Europe
Tesla employees are contending with a CEO whose list of commitments grows by the day. Most celebrated the company's surging stock price — it's up nearly 33% year to date — as Tesla stock makes up a significant share of most workers' compensation. Musk's growing list of commitmentsIn the runup to the election, Tesla CEO Elon Musk threw his money and influence behind Donald Trump. 🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸 — Ashok Elluswamy (@aelluswamy) November 6, 2024Kimbal Musk, Elon Musk's brother and a Tesla board member, also appeared to celebrate the win. "On one hand, you want to celebrate the fact that the stock is up an insane amount," the employee said.
Persons: Elon Musk, Donald Trump, Vivek Ramaswamy, Musk, Trump's, Postelection, hasn't, Ashok Elluswamy, Elon, Don ’, cris, ric cars. At, vic Organizations: Elon, Tesla, Trump, PAC, America PAC, Department of Government, Palm, House Republicans, icl Locations: California, Texas, Palm Beach , Florida, Trump's, Mar, Palm Beach, Washington, DC, Palm
Shares in Trump Media & Technology are surging after the election. Furthermore, Trump threatened the "market manipulators or short sellers" who he said were spreading the "fake, untrue, and probably illegal rumors and/or statements" that he did intend to sell Trump Media shares. AdvertisementShares in Trump Media were up around 15% by late afternoon Friday trade. Neither the Trump campaign nor Trump Media immediately responded to requests for comment from Business Insider. Trump's majority stake comprises 115 million shares worth around $3.7 billion as of Friday.
Persons: Donald Trump, he's, , Trump, could've feasibly, Elon Musk's Organizations: Trump Media & Technology, Service, Trump Media, Business, Trump Media's, Trump, Social, Elon
Treasury yields have ripped higher of late, even as the Federal Reserve continues to cut rates. The benchmark 10-year Treasury note yield has soared nearly 70 basis points to 4.3% since mid-September, when the Fed cut rates by a half-point. Despite the Fed's latest action, the incoming Trump administration is likely to keep yields elevated, according to Ned Davis Research. Dimitrova noted that rising debt-to-GDP ratio has been closely linked with higher bond yields. The question for investors now is: How long until higher yields start putting pressure on equities?
Persons: Trump, Ned Davis, Veneta, Dimitrova, Goldman Sachs, BNTX Organizations: Federal Reserve, Ned Davis Research
But that doesn’t mean as a result interest rates are now low — or will soon be low. “‘Falling interest rates’ are not the same as ‘low interest rates.’ Interest rates are high and will only decline to ‘not as high’ as … we move into 2025,” said Greg McBride, chief financial analyst at Bankrate. Credit cards: Just before the Fed cut its key rate in September, the average credit card rate was 20.78%, according to Bankrate. Another option: Try transferring your balance to a credit card from a credit union or local bank. Before the Fed’s September rate cut many of those accounts were offering yields between 4.25% and 5.3%, according to those listed on Bankrate.com.
Persons: , Greg McBride, Matt Schulz, Chris Diodato, they’re, Freddie Mac, Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s, ” McBride, Sinead Colton Grant, Colton Grant, , Don’t, Diodato, you’re, BNY, they’ve Organizations: CNN, Reserve, Bankrate, Fed, LendingTree, Treasury, Savings Locations: Treasuries
The U.S. dollar was little changed against other global currencies on Tuesday evening as voting began to wind down in the presidential election. The foreign exchange market could be one of the first areas of the financial system to react as election results roll in. Traders generally expect that a strong night for former President Donald Trump and Republicans in Congress could push the greenback higher. The dollar has generally strengthened in the runup to Election Day. The ICE U.S. Dollar Index rose more than 3% in October, though it has dipped in recent days.
Persons: David Zervos, Donald Trump, Paul Christopher Organizations: U.S, greenback, U.S ., Jefferies, Traders, Republicans, Wells, Investment Institute, ICE Locations: Mexican, U.S
Kamala Harris credits her ability to power through 90-hour workweeks, at least partially, to her consistent morning routine. "No matter how little sleep or how much sleep I've had, I work out every morning ... You know, mind, body and spirit. Harris seems to like consistency, from following the same routine every morning to starting all her meetings the same way: on time. Start today and use coupon code EARLYBIRD for an introductory discount of 50% off through November 26, 2024. Plus, sign up for CNBC Make It's newsletter to get tips and tricks for success at work, with money and in life.
Persons: Kamala Harris, Harris, Shannon Sharpe's, Shay Shay, who's, I've, Sharpe, DON'T, Harris didn't, it's, Dan Buettner, Brené Organizations: Democratic, NFL, New York Magazine, CNBC
Nasdaq 100 futures advanced Thursday night as traders analyzed major earnings reports in the runup to the all-important jobs report. Dow Jones Industrial Average futures rose 15 points, or 0.1%, while S&P 500 futures also gained 0.1%. Those moves come after a downbeat session on Thursday, which saw the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite dragged down by post-earnings slumps in Microsoft and Meta Platforms . The Dow led the major indexes down with a slide of 1.3%, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq shed 1% and 0.5%, respectively. On the earnings front, traders will monitor Friday reports from Chevron and Exxon Mobil .
Persons: Dow, Jay Hatfield, Dow Jones, nonfarm Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Nasdaq, Dow Jones Industrial, Amazon, Intel, Microsoft, Meta, Infrastructure Capital Management, Chevron, Exxon Mobil
Retail investors have increasingly focused in on Trump Media & Technology , Rumble and Phunware as stocks that can benefit if the Republican presidential nominee for president prevails. Trump Media & Technology, which owns the alternative social media platform TruthSocial, trades under a ticker — DJT — that's also the initials for the business mogul-turned-politician. On Tuesday alone, retail traders were net buyers of Trump Media to the tune of $14.4 million. Schwarz said there's no reason for Trump Media to even be publicly traded given its business fundamentals and high price-to-sales ratio. "Trump Media has no fundamental value — it's worthless," he said.
Persons: Donald Trump, That's, that's, Phunware, Kamala Harris, Christopher Schwarz, It's, Trump, There's, Irvine's Schwarz, Schwarz, there's, LSEG, hasn't, Peter Thiel, — CNBC's Robert Frank, Fred Imbert Organizations: Trump Media & Technology, Republican, Trump Media, NBC, University of California Irvine, CNBC, Vanda Research, U.S, Trump, Marriott, Mayo Clinic, PayPal Locations: United States, Atlantis
Shares of Trump Media dropped more than 22% Wednesday, pouring cold water on a remarkable rally that added billions of dollars to former President Donald Trump's on-paper net worth in the runup to the 2024 election. DJT stock, which closed at $51.51 per share on Tuesday, was trading under $40 around noon ET Wednesday. Trump, the Republican presidential nominee, owns nearly 57% of the company, according to recent regulatory filings. His stake as of midday Wednesday was worth around $4.5 billion, nearly $1.4 billion lower than where it stood Tuesday afternoon. Trump has vowed not to sell his shares.
Persons: Donald Trump's, Trump Organizations: Trump Media, Trump, Republican
The J-1 visa is for exchange visitors and can be used for foreign students to pursue academic training or research. Why Musk’s student status mattersMusk didn’t detail what institution sponsored his J-1 visa, or which years he had the visa. Working illegally isn’t a crime, Kuck says, but having done so would require certain steps to be taken to return to a legal immigration status. And in a 2020 podcast interview, Elon Musk said he had a “student work visa” at the time. Some of the hijackers involved in the attacks were in the U.S. on student visas, according to the official 9/11 Commission Report.
Persons: Elon, Musk, Musk hasn’t, Biden, he’d, ” Musk, he’s, , hasn’t, authorizations, Greg Siskind, who’s, Siskind, ” Siskind, Elon Musk, Charles Mostoller, Charles Kuck, Kuck, who’d, there’s, ” Kuck, Kimbal Musk, It’s, Maye, , Kimbal, Hunter Swanson, Swanson, ” Swanson, ” He’s Organizations: CNN, Washington Post, University of Pennsylvania, Penn, Stanford, Engineering, Elon, SpaceX, Tesla, AP, Reuters, Twitter, Center for International Education, Washington, Lee University Locations: South Africa, Philadelphia, Atlanta, , Palo Alto , California, Virginia, U.S
The bank is adding to the growing numbers of forecasts for a "no landing" of the US economy. Inflation will remain low enough to leave room for the Fed to cut interest rates, boosting stocks. The job market is proving resilient, despite tighter financial conditions and higher interest rates. AdvertisementCooling price growth sets the stage for the Fed to continue cutting interest rates, UBS said, which is bullish for stocks. The strategists added that while investors may see some volatility ahead of the November election, it's unlikely to interrupt more positive market catalysts.
Persons: Organizations: UBS, Fed, Service, Bureau of Labor Statistics, New
The S&P 500 has enjoyed a bull market since October 2022, rising nearly 70%. AdvertisementThe stock market has been experiencing a bull market for the last two years. The Magnificent Seven drove much of the returns for the S&P 500 this year, contributing 34% of the index's total return. Analysts expect S&P 500 companies to report 4.2% profit growth for Q3. Ever since World War II, bull markets that have lasted two years continue onwards for a third.
Persons: LPL Financial's Quincy Crosby, , Quincy Crosby, LPL, Crosby, JPMorgan Chase, Goldman Sachs, Wells, Jack Ablin, Jerome Powell, Buchbinder Organizations: Service, LPL, Federal, Bull, JPMorgan, Wells Fargo, Morningstar, Cresset Capital Management, Federal Reserve Locations: America
Analysts surveyed by LSEG expect Netflix earnings to come in at $5.12 per share, while revenue should hit $9.769 billion. In the second quarter, Netflix earned $4.88 per share on $9.56 billion in revenue. Along with solid numbers for the quarter just ended, other analysts believe Netflix also has to raise prices to appease shareholders. Citigroup's Jason Bazinet says price hikes are warranted at Netflix due to strong engagement trends and competitors' own price increases. A ramping ad-tier Finally, Wall Street is keeping close watch on the advertising tier business Netflix rolled out in November 2022.
Persons: Evercore, Mark Mahaney, Citigroup's Jason Bazinet, Goldman Sachs, Eric Sheridan, Deutsche Bank's Bryan Kraft, Wells, Steven Cahall, Kannan Venkateshwar, NFLX, Alan Gould, Piper, Matt Farrell, Doug Anmuth, Morgan Stanley, Benjamin Swinburne, Alicia Reese Organizations: Netflix, Wall, LSEG, StreetAccount, Deutsche, Barclays, Wednesday's, JPMorgan
The political arm of Everytown for Gun Safety plans to spend $9 million to boost Democratic candidates in state legislative contests in five states, the group's first investment in such races this election cycle. “So much of the national progress we’ve made on gun safety can be traced back to pioneering laws passed at the state level,” Everytown for Gun Safety President John Feinblatt said in a statement. “Over the last few election cycles, Everytown has built a winning playbook for electing gun sense champions in key state legislative seats in order to flip chambers and pass life-saving legislation,” he added. The States Project, a Democratic-aligned group, plans to spend $70 million on state legislative races in nine states this cycle, while Forward Majority, a Democratic super PAC, plans to spend $45 million. The Democratic Legislative Campaign Committee is aiming to spending $60 million on such races, while the Democratic National Committee and the American Civil Liberties Union are also pumping money into those contests.
Persons: we’ve, John Feinblatt, we’re, Everytown, Republican Pamela Carter, Ron Robinson, Democrat Nate Shannon, Julie Greene, Republican Owen Michaelson Organizations: Gun Safety, Democratic, NBC News, Senate, Republican, Democrat, States, PAC, Democratic Legislative, Democratic National Committee, American Civil Liberties Union Locations: House, Arizona , Michigan, Minnesota , New Hampshire, Pennsylvania, , Arizona, Phoenix, Michigan, Detroit, Minnesota, Minneapolis, Democratic
AdvertisementKevin Stuteville, 45, is prepping his St. Pete Beach, Florida, home for a second hurricane, Milton, after Helene wreaked havoc just days before. St. Pete Beach is a barrier island about nine miles from downtown St. Petersburg. According to FEMA, the entire city of St. Pete Beach is a within a flood zone. Advertisement"I'm not evacuating out of St. Petersburg — I just can't," he said. Are you a landlord with properties affected by Hurricane Helene or Milton, and are open to sharing your story?
Persons: Helene, Kevin Stuteville, he's, , Pete, Stuteville, Pete Beach, Florida who've, That's, I've, it's, Pete Beach Stuteville, Petersburg —, we've, Hurricane Helene, Milton, Jordan Pandy Organizations: Service, Business, FEMA, Stuteville, realtors, Consumer Federation of America, Milton Locations: Florida, Pete Beach , Florida, Milton, St, St . Petersburg, Tampa, COVID, Petersburg, Alabama, Jacksonville
Washington CNN —The Justice Department and Microsoft on Thursday announced the seizure of more than 100 web domains that a Russian intelligence agency allegedly used to try to hack current and former US officials, civil-society groups and Russians living in the US. It’s the latest in a series of moves from the Justice Department to expose alleged covert Russian operations targeting US democracy in the runup to the 2024 presidential election. The UK government last year accused the same Russian hacking group of conducting a “sustained unsuccessful attempts to interfere in UK political processes” over several years that hacked politicians, civil servants and journalists. The hackers operate on behalf of Russia’s FSB intelligence agency, the prime successor to the Soviet-era KGB, according to US officials. Another FSB-linked hacking group has posed a direct threat to US critical infrastructure by targeting energy facilities, according to US officials.
Persons: Steven Masada, , , John Scott, Natalia Krapiva Organizations: Washington CNN, The Justice Department, Microsoft, Justice Department, CNN, FSB, University of Toronto’s, Russian Embassy Locations: Russian, Ukraine, United Kingdom, Eastern Europe, United States, Washington ,
Costfoto | Nurphoto | Getty ImagesBEIJING — The rocket higher in Chinese stocks so far looks different from the market bubble in 2015, analysts said. Major mainland China stock indexes surged by more than 8% Monday, extending a winning streak on the back of stimulus hopes. Stock market leverage by percentage and value were far higher in 2015 than data for Monday showed, according to Wind Information. He added that there are market risks from how unprepared the stock trading system was for the surge of buying. Reports indicate brokerages have been overwhelmed with new requests, echoing how individuals piled into the stock market nearly a decade earlier.
Persons: Aaron Costello, We're, Xi Jinping, Zhu Ning, Stephen Roach, Yale Law School's Paul Tsai, Costello, Peter Alexander, it's, , Alexander Organizations: Nurphoto, Getty, Cambridge Associates, U.S ., greenback, U.S, CSI, People's Bank of China, Nikkei, Yale Law, Yale Law School's Paul Tsai China Center, Ministry of Finance, Ben Advisors, Shanghai Stock Exchange Locations: Hangzhou, China, BEIJING, Shanghai, Shenzhen, Asia, MSCI, People's Republic of China, Beijing
Utility stocks this year have mounted a rally unseen in more than two decades. In the third quarter, utilities are the best out of 11 sectors that comprise the S & P 500, climbing 18%. As a group, utilities are poised to score their largest quarterly gain since George W. Bush was president in 2003. If that holds through yearend, utilities will see their biggest annual advance since 2000, when they surged more than 50%. "Utilities are the hottest sector in the market currently," Wolfe Research Rob Ginsberg said in a note to clients in August.
Persons: George W, Bush, Wolfe, Rob Ginsberg, hasn't, It's, buildout, Ginsberg, Subramanian, Wells Fargo, Christopher Harvey, Harvey, LSEG Organizations: Utilities, Federal Reserve, Bank of, Nasdaq, Bank of America, Constellation Energy, CenterPoint Energy Locations: yearend, The Texas, Houston
Boulder, Colorado (AP) – A pharmacist who survived a 2021 mass shooting at a Colorado supermarket said Thursday during the gunman’s trial that she heard him say, “This is fun,” at least three times during the shooting. “I heard him screaming, ‘This is fun. Ahmad Al Aliwi Alissa is accused of killing 10 people at a Colorado supermarket. Another pharmacy worker, Maggie Montoya, testified about what she saw and heard while hiding in a room next to the pharmacy. That included hearing Alissa say he was naked while he surrendered.
Persons: , Sarah Chen, Ahmad Al Aliwi Alissa, , ’ ” Chen, Alissa, David Zalubowski, Maggie Montoya Locations: Boulder, Colorado
Tappable equity is the amount most lenders will allow you to take out while still leaving 20% in the home as a cushion. How to tap your home for cashAlternatively, a home equity loan is a type of second mortgage, which allows borrowers to pull cash while using the house as collateral. However, the current average home equity loan interest rate is 8.52%, according to Bankrate, notably higher than a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage. watch nowOtherwise, a home equity line of credit, also known as a HELOC, lets you borrow money against a portion of your home's equity. The average HELOC interest rate is just shy of 10%, according to Bankrate.
Persons: Jacob Channel, Andy Walden, Holden Lewis, Lewis Organizations: Louis Federal Reserve, Intercontinental Exchange's Mortgage, Intercontinental Exchange
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