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It's time to buy shares of HVAC company Comfort Systems , according to UBS. "We also expect Manufacturing to benefit from reshoring and an increased emphasis on U.S. manufacturing capabilities, with Manufacturing construction spend now 19% of [nonresidential] construction, nearly doubling from 10% in 2019," he added. "Notably, nonresidential construction spending and manufacturing construction spending have increased 89% and 207%, respectively, since the start of 2015," he said. Among the six analysts covering it, three have a strong buy or buy rating, while the other three have a hold rating, per LSEG. FIX YTD mountain FIX, year-to-date Shares rose nearly 1% in the premarket after UBS' upgrade.
Persons: Joshua Chan, Chan Organizations: Comfort Systems, UBS, Manufacturing Locations: 2024E, 2025E
Morgan Stanley reiterates Apple, Microsoft and Meta as overweight The firm says "mega-cap tech under-ownership narrows" in the third-quarter but that it's sticking with all three stocks. " UBS upgrades Comfort Systems to buy from neutral UBS says the HVAC company is a beneficiary in tech and data center cooling. UBS upgrades American Water Works to buy from neutral UBS says it sees "consistent" total returns for the water company. " Jefferies reiterates Netflix as buy The firm raised its price target on the stock to $1,000 per share from $800. TD Cowen names Datadog a best idea The firm says the stock is a top idea in 2025.
Persons: Stifel, it's, Morgan Stanley, Okta, , Jefferies, Uber, Needham, Joby, Piper Sandler downgrades Kraft Heinz, Piper, Kraft Heinz, Piper Sandler, Paul, Tyson, NFLX, TD Cowen, United, Datadog, Scott Thomson, it's bullish Organizations: Nvidia, Apple, Microsoft, Barclays, UBS, Comfort Systems, Works, Edison Electric, Kraft, Apollo, TAM, Netflix, Bank of America, Bank of, Scotiabank, JPMorgan Locations: Bank of Nova Scotia, robotaxis
Market Navigator: Here's who could benefit from reshoring
  + stars: | 2024-11-15 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMarket Navigator: Here's who could benefit from reshoringManish Kabra, head of U.S. equity at Societe Generale, joins CNBC's 'Power Lunch' to discuss stock picks ahead of expected reshoring
Persons: Manish Kabra, reshoring Organizations: Societe Generale
7 US stocks set to rally from Trump tariffs
  + stars: | 2024-11-15 | by ( Christine Ji | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +4 min
AdvertisementThere's been a lot of buzz about how president-elect Donald Trump's proposed tariffs could negatively impact some of the market's biggest names. However, for every company losing out from Trump's tariffs, there's another set to benefit from the red wave election outcome. Another big winner from tariffs and Trump policies in general is the financial sector. These businesses will experience minimal impact from tariffs while also benefitting from lower corporate taxes, which Gardner expects to go down under Trump. AdvertisementGarner and Rines shared some stocks they believe will benefit the most from Trump's proposed tariffs.
Persons: Trump's, , There's, Donald Trump's, David Bianco, Trump, Bianco, Banks, Clayton Gardner, Gardner, Samuel Rines, Rines, Biden, Garner Organizations: Service, Biden, Trump, Ford, Companies Locations: China, America, Kentucky, Tennessee
Cryptocurrencies and banks have been on a tear since President-elect Donald Trump's victory last week, and Societe Generale thinks these "Trump trades" have more room to run into January. The firm specifically underscored bank stocks, companies exposed to the reshoring theme, small-cap names and crypto. "Trump trades are in full bloom and should continue to outperform until Inauguration Day, in our view," U.S. chief economist Stephen Gallagher wrote in a Thursday research note. Gallagher is not the only one on Wall Street who thinks the "Trump trade" has more legs. Societe Generale said its Trump 2.0 thematic basket has jumped more than 7% in the week since the election, but it is only up 15% in 2024, compared to the S & P 500 's 25% year-to-date gains.
Persons: Donald Trump's, Stephen Gallagher, Russell, bitcoin, Gallagher, Jason Draho Organizations: Societe Generale, Trump, US, US Banks, SG Global, Wall, UBS Locations: US
A 145-year-old British industrial company is positioned to capitalize on major trends, including the reshoring of manufacturing and increased defense spending, according to analysts at Shore Capital. London-listed Renold plc , which traces its roots to 1879 and Hans Renold , the inventor of roller chains, is the world's second-largest industrial chain manufacturer. Shore Capital has a "buy" rating and a target price of 90 pence per share, which points to more than 60% upside from the current share price of 55 pence. U.K. shares are generally priced in pence, with 100 pence equal to one British pound ($1.27). In September, Renold acquired MAC Chain Company for $31.4 million, expanding its presence in the United States and Canada even further.
Persons: Hans Renold, Donald Trump, Akhil Patel, Renold, Robert Purcell Organizations: Shore Capital ., Renold, Shore Capital, Shore, MAC Chain Company, The Shore Capital Locations: Shore Capital . London, Manchester, U.S, China, United States, United Kingdom, Australia, Canada
Executives focused on hiring told Business Insider that the newfound clarity is already making some employers more willing to post jobs. "Our phone was basically ringing off the hook with companies looking to hire," Lief Larson, CEO of Salesfolks, a staffing firm focused on sales roles, told BI. "We're seeing a pretty healthy number of roles planning to be posted in January, probably more than we even expected," Volberg told BI. A postelection rush to hireAaron Cleavinger, a managing partner at Murdoch Mason Executive Search Group, told BI that he's been "inundated" with new search requests from clients since the election. Rahbar said reductions to immigration could hurt industries beyond agriculture and construction, including tech.
Persons: Donald Trump's, , haven't, Lief Larson, Tim Glowa, Michelle Volberg, who's, Volberg, she's, that's, Kathleen Lin Hurtubise, Hurtubise, Jason Leverant, Leverant, reshoring, Elon Musk, Aaron Cleavinger, they're, Cleavinger, Peter Rahbar, Rahbar Organizations: Service, Aloha Hospitality Professionals, AtWork Group, Tesla, Murdoch
Morgan Stanley estimated that bringing manufacturing back to the US could add $10 trillion to the economy. The bank pointed to a 20-year stagnation of the industrial economy as production was sent offshore. AdvertisementThe US economy could unlock trillions in value over the next decade if more manufacturing activity comes back to the US, according to Morgan Stanley. The Biden administration, meanwhile, has poured billions into its push to increase chip production in the US and boost the manufacturing and industrial sectors. The cumulative effects could be "pretty profound" across the US economy, Snyder said, with the boost to industry and manufacturing bound to raise GDP.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, , Chris Snyder, Snyder, Morgan Stanley's, Trump, Biden Organizations: Service, Biden, of Supply Management, Commerce Department, Economic
And for the first time since 2020, more farmers expect farmland values to go down rather than up. James Mintert, director of Purdue University's Center for Commercial Agriculture, expects land values to likely flatten in the short term. Higher estate tax exemptions approved under the Trump administration's Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017 are set to expire next year. She added: "Let's be clear that the Trump administration resulted in a trade deficit, one of the highest we've ever seen in the history of America." "It also benefits from some of the tax policies that have been supported by the Trump administration [in] the past, including things like accelerated depreciation [and] lower corporate tax rates."
Persons: Farmer, , James Mintert, Mintert, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Michael Langemeier, They're, Langemeier, that's, Kristen Owen, Oppenheimer, That's, Owen, Harris, Trump, Stocks, Owen doesn't, reshoring, Cerity, Jim Lebenthal Organizations: Purdue University, CME, Purdue University's Center, Commercial Agriculture, CNBC, NBC, Purdue, Trump, Biden, Republican, Deere, Caterpillar, Farmers, Management, Democratic, Republicans Locations: U.S, Mexico, China, Green
The central bank has been aiming to keep the long-run inflation rate at this level to maintain stable prices and a healthy economy. "There is now a higher base inflation rate than there was before COVID for a number of reasons." Related storiesBut there are other factors contributing to an increased long-term inflation rate, many of which Blitz tracked even before the pandemic. AdvertisementChanging demographics in the workplace are also driving increasing debt and higher long-term inflation, according to Blitz. In Blitz's perspective, all of these factors add up to an inflation rate exceeding 2% going forward.
Persons: isn't, Steven Blitz, , Mark Higgins, Blitz, Bonds Organizations: Service, Fed, stoke, Blitz, Technology, iShares Semiconductor, Index
As election day draws near, 400 Wall Street money managers identified their top concerns. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . Policy initiatives could have a significant impact on the economy, especially on issues concerning inflation, the housing market, employment, and international trade. Investors can benefit from both parties: Republicans would likely pass investor-friendly tax and energy policy, while Democrats would pass more favorable US-China and trade policy. AdvertisementHere's what Wall Street is worried about this election cycle and how top money managers are preparing their portfolios for November.
Persons: , Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, PGIM, Wall, Kara Murphy, , isn't, Murphy, Trump, Harris, we've Organizations: Service, Republican, White House, Congress, Investors, Kestra Investment Management, Social Security, Biden, Research, Senate, Democrat Locations: China, Latin America, Southeast Asia, deglobalization
US efforts to produce semiconductor chips will continue regardless of who wins the election. AdvertisementNo matter who wins the presidential election this November, President Joe Biden can rest easy knowing one thing: The US's chip manufacturing push isn't going anywhere. The US has seen its share of overall chip production fall from 37% of the world's supply in 1990 to 12%. While many factories remain under construction, the federal funding has already helped boost US chip production. According to a report published last year by the trade and lobbying group Semiconductor Industry Association and Oxford Economics, the US semiconductor industry will face a shortage of 67,000 workers by 2030, including technicians, computer scientists, and engineers.
Persons: Harris, Trump, , Joe Biden, Biden, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Stephen Ezell, Anna Kelly, Kelly, Arizonans, Chris Miller, Mark Muro, Dylan Patel, SemiAnalysis, Ezell, Muro Organizations: Service, Trump, Information Technology, Innovation Foundation, ITIF's Center for Life Sciences, Biden, Republican, Intel, American Enterprise Institute, Brookings Metro, Apple, Nvidia, Democratic, Semiconductor Industry Association, Oxford Economics Locations: Arizona, USA, China, Taiwan
Trump has said he would consider new tariffs on imports from the country at rates of 60% or higher. watch nowU.S. allies could become a key target of Trump's "America First" policy that is increasingly grouping European and Asian partners alongside rival China. "We have been treated so badly, mostly by allies ... our allies treat us actually worse than our so-called enemies," Trump said at a rally in Wisconsin earlier this month. Retaliation by other U.S. trade partners — whether that be via reciprocal, retaliatory tariffs, or other non-tariff measures — is a potential consequence of all of this," Marro said. Economist Stephen Roach also told CNBC that Trump's tariffs would hurt America's trade partners while only increasing the costs of goods for American consumers and manufacturers.
Persons: Donald Trump, Brandon Bell, Trump, We're, Nick Marro, William Pesek, CNBC's, Marro, Stephen Weymouth, Stephen Roach, William Reinsch, Scholl Organizations: Johnny Mercer Theatre, Getty, Republican, China, Global Trade, Economist Intelligence, Trump Presidency, Georgetown University, CNBC, Business, Center for Strategic, International Studies Locations: Savannah , Georgia, China, Pennsylvania, Korea, North Carolina, Germany, Georgia, German, American, Wisconsin, Taiwan, U.S, Japan
Trade will work regardless Yet, reshoring is the one macroeconomic trade that will work no matter who wins the White House, according to Societe Generale. Last year, there were 287,000 reshoring and foreign direct investment job announcements, the second-highest year on record, according to the Reshoring Initiative . "One trade that has worked under both of the last two administrations is our US Reshoring 'beneficiary' equities," Kabra wrote. The company provides industrial automation products and services. The industrial conglomerate has a hand in a range of industries, including industrial automation solutions and building automation.
Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, Kamala Harris, John Deere, Harris, Dan Levy, Manish Kabra, Kabra, reshoring, Morgan Stanley, Blake Moret, Jill Carey Hall, Michael Feinger, Feinger, Peter Matt Organizations: Barclays, Societe Generale, Science, Generale's, China, Reshoring, Trump, Packaging Corporation of America, Cummins, Rockwell Automation, Honeywell, Bank of America, Eaton, Steel Dynamics, United Rentals, Commercial Metals Locations: United States, Mexico, China, U.S, reshoring, Midwest
download the appSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. He believes that the rise of the US trade deficit over the past year will likely make it a key issue for both political parties. AdvertisementAlthough the Trump administration has traditionally been linked to trade wars and more protectionist measures, Biden's administration maintained the Chinese tariffs. It will create more manufacturing jobs and boost demand for domestic companies with in the logistics and supply chain process. A September 19 research note from Bank of America suggests that this shift is set to benefit domestic small- and mid-cap stocks most.
Persons: , Trump, Manish Kabra, Kabra, Jill Carey Hall Organizations: Service, Business, US, of, Tax, Bank of America Locations: China, Red
Here's a rapid-fire update on all 32 stocks in Jim Cramer's Charitable Trust, the portfolio we use for the CNBC Investing Club. AMD shares have caught a bid in recent days, but they're still cheap considering the growth of its AI processors. Broadcom : Investors who don't own any Broadcom yet should consider starting a position here, Jim said. Although it's tempting to offload shares, Jim said to stick with Honeywell for now because there's huge value in individual businesses like aerospace. There's little negative to say about this portfolio stock.
Persons: Jim Cramer's, Jim, Apple, haven't, it's, that's, he'll, Bob Iger, Bob Chapek, Larry Ellison, Biogen, Eli Lilly, Lowe's, Vimal Kapur, We'd, Linde, Lilly, Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, It's, Jensen Huang, Kamala Harris, Republican Donald Trump, CrowdStrike, Palo, — we're, we're, Brian Niccol, Sands, Stanley Black, Decker, Wells, Charlie Scharf's, Jim Cramer, Angela Weiss Organizations: Jim Cramer's Charitable Trust, CNBC, Club, Abbott Laboratories, Abbott Labs, AMD, Amazon, Web, Broadcom, VMWare, Federal Reserve, Costco Wholesale, Coterra, DuPont, New York Times, Oracle, GE Healthcare, GE, Honeywell, Linde, Microsoft, Nvidia, Republican, Palo Alto Networks, Palo, Procter & Gamble, Procter, Gamble, Constellation Brands, Modelo, Stanley, TJX, Marshalls, Jim Cramer's Charitable, Traders, New York Stock Exchange, AFP, Getty Locations: Nvidia's, San Francisco, China, Dover, United States, industrials, OpenAI, Palo Alto, Wells Fargo
Either way, fiscal spending or tax cuts will increase the deficit. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementIt will be a guessing game from now until November as investors try to forecast which party will soon take Washington. Fiscal spending from policies passed during President Joe Biden's administration, such as the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA), CHIPS Act, and Jobs Act, means more money out. On the other hand, the potential for widened tax cuts from Republican-favored policies would mean less money in.
Persons: , Joe Biden's Organizations: Washington, Service, Jobs, Republican, Business Locations: Washington
According to Bank of America, the most recent market pullback is a symptom of a "buffalo" market. Related stories"A buffalo market is still in the bull family," McGregor said. She expects that the buffalo market will roam around this summer before stabilizing into a bull market later this year. "We're expecting this earnings growth story to broaden beyond the Magnificent Seven in tech in the coming quarters." Bank of America believes small-caps could lead the stock market for the next ten years if interest rates come down and remain favorable.
Persons: , Marci McGregor, we've, McGregor, We're, Russell Organizations: Service, Nasdaq, Bank of America, Business, Energy, Vanguard Health Care Locations: Buffalo
AdvertisementAccording to Osterweis, investors should expect increased cyclicality going forward. Now, with increased investment in AI and several initiatives to revitalize domestic manufacturing, Osterweis believes the US could see a return to shorter expansion periods. AdvertisementInvestors can buckle up for more frequent economic fluctuations by increasing their concentration in quality growth equities. Investing in quality growth businesses not only drives strong returns but also protects against the ups and downs of business cycles. Osterweis also sees AI as a sustainable trend and recommends investors continue holding semiconductor companies.
Persons: , John Osterweis, Goldman Sachs, Management Offshoring, Osterweis Organizations: Service, Business, Capital Management, Osterweis, Infrastructure Investment, Jobs, Bank of America, Companies, Big Tech, Microsoft, Management, Nvidia, VanEck Semiconductor, Trust Nasdaq Semiconductor Locations: Rust, Mexico, China, East Asia, reindustrialization
Traditional infrastructure might not seem as sexy as the newer AI data centers, but Bank of America believes traditional infrastructure has stronger growth prospects than AI infrastructure. The heavy focus on technology and AI has resulted in investors overlooking traditional infrastructure investment. Invest in industrials and materialsIn particular, Bank of America identified the industrials and materials sectors as the best investment opportunity within traditional infrastructure. The industrials sector trades at a relative forward PE of 0.98, and materials trades at 0.92. AdvertisementSome specific industries within those sectors are especially undervalued, such as construction materials and metals & mining.
Persons: , there's, Savita Subramanian, it's, Reshoring Organizations: Service, Big Tech, American Society of Civil Engineers, Business, Bank of, Bank of America Government, Bank of America, Bank, Invest, Industrial Locations: North America, industrials
Instead, small caps spent the first half of this year doing what they've been doing for the last decade: falling behind. The Russell 2000 Value was up 10%, while the Russell 2000 having gained 11%. A sustainable rally Small caps have underperformed for roughly the last decade, but they've typically done better historically. Meanwhile, Teton Westwood's Galluccio thinks it can last much longer: "I think small caps stand to outperform for the next three years." "The last decade was the first time in many, many years when small caps underperformed, leading the talking heads to say that quality, quality, quality is large-cap growth.
Persons: Jerome Powell, they've, Russell, Nicholas Galluccio, It's, You've, I've, Mike Rode, Rode, Galluccio Organizations: Federal, TW Smallcap Equity, Fama, Investments, Panasonic, LSEG Locations: Fama French, De Soto , Kansas
As the United States presidential election nears, there's one key theme that's expected to continue regardless of who wins: the reshoring of American manufacturing . Tema ETFs runs the actively managed American Reshoring ETF (ticker RSHO), designed to take advantage of this trend. "The American reshoring fund is built on the foundation that the world's not getting any safer. However, the fund manager cautioned that there could be challenges in hiring skilled labor due to the decline in the United States semiconductor manufacturing industry over the years. TSM 5Y line While TSMC is less than 1% of the American Reshoring ETF, Clean Harbors is a top 10 holding with 4.71% allocated.
Persons: Yuri Khodjamirian, CNBC's, PFAS —, Khodjamirian Organizations: United, Republicans, Democrats, Tema, American, Harbors, Clean Harbors, Taiwan Semiconductor, ETF Locations: United States, Tema, North America, Arizona
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Wiz walks awayCloud security startup Wiz rejected a $23 billion acquisition offer from Google, opting instead to pursue an IPO. The move allows Warner Bros. to retain some of its NBA broadcasting rights. However, the NBA may not want Warner Bros. as a media rights partner and could reject the company's matching rights, which could lead to a legal tussle.
Persons: Kamala Harris, Russell, CrowdStrike, George Kurtz, Mark Green, Andrew Garbarino, Wiz, Hai Precision Industry —, Hong Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, CNBC, Tech, Nvidia, Nasdaq, Dow Jones Industrial, Homeland Security, Microsoft, Delta Air Lines, Google, NBA, Warner Bros, Discovery, National Basketball Association, Amazon Prime, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Corp, Hai Precision Industry, CSI, U.S Locations: New York City, U.S, Asia, Pacific, Taiwan
Analyst Didier Scemama reiterated his buy rating and kept his $1,406 12-month price target on the stock, which implies shares can jump 50.8%. She noted that Palo Alto, which is up 12.5% year to date, continued to soar even as growth in cybersecurity-tied AI winners slowed. "However, consensus expects a sharp reacceleration in dollar growth from FY26 onwards, which we view as unlikely," the analyst added. "We view Palo Alto more defensive as it is skewed to a stickier customer base and a wider moat." — Pia Singh 5:45 a.m.: Baird upgrades elf Beauty There's a big buying opportunity in elf shares, according to Baird.
Persons: Baird, Morgan Stanley, Didier Scemama, Scemama, — Pia Singh, Dan Dolev, Dolev, Nina Marques, Marques, Palo, Morgan, Alex Straton, Straton, Mark Altschwager, Altschwager, — Fred Imbert Organizations: CNBC, Bank of America, of America, CMD, Mizuho, Mizuho Securities, Walmart, Palo Alto Networks, Palo, Palo Alto, Trump Locations: U.S, Palo Alto, Wednesday's, cybersecurity, China
Weight loss drugs and artificial intelligence have been dominating headlines, with investors betting that stocks in both categories have big potential upside. On Wednesday's Pro Talks , CNBC's Senior Technology Correspondent Arjun Kharpal will ask Tema ETFs' Yuri Khodjamirian how to best invest in these areas and more. Tema ETFs offers actively managed ETFs, with a focus on healthcare and life sciences. Before Tema ETFs, Khodjamirian spent over a decade at Majedie Asset Management, overseeing U.K. and global portfolios. Click here to join CNBC Pro Talks on Wednesday, July 17, at 7 a.m.
Persons: Arjun Kharpal, Yuri Khodjamirian, Eli Lilly, he'll, Khodjamirian Organizations: Tema, Novo Nordisk, pharma, Majedie Asset Management, Income, CNBC, Nvidia, Scotiabank Locations: Tema, , U.S, U.K, India
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