A recent survey by pollster Vilmorus says that the Social Democratic Party, led by Vilija Blinkevičiūtė, would top the poll, with twice as many votes as Šimonytė's Homeland Union. However no party would obtain more than 20% of the vote, forcing anyone hoping to govern to to look for alliances. "Šimonytė and the entire Homeland Union looks battered, worn out and they would better spend some time on the spare bench." In 2020, Šimonytė led her Homeland Union to victory in the parliamentary election. The runoff is Oct. 27, when the majority of single-member constituencies will vote to choose between the two leading candidates.

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Persons: Ingrida, Rima Urbonaitė, Šimonytė, pollster Vilmorus, Vilija Blinkevičiūtė, Nemuno, Remigijus Žemaitaitis, Žemaitaitis, Darius Mikalauskas, Urbonaitė, Gitanas Nauseda Organizations: Social Democrats, Union, Mykolas Romeris University, Social Democratic Party, Šimonytė's, Analysts, Homeland Union, Freedom Party, Liberal Locations: Lithuania, Vilnius, Belarus, Russia, Africa, Russia's Kaliningrad, Ukraine