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☆ 2024 marks a 21st century rarity: Almost everyone thinks the election results are legitimate
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-20 | by ( Harry Enten | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

CNN —The reaction from Democrats to Donald Trump’s 2024 victory is, to put it mildly, very much unlike their reaction to his 2016 win. When asked whether Trump’s win was legitimate, about 94% of voters said it was. This includes 64% who agreed that Trump’s win was legitimate and supported his presidency and another 30% who accepted Trump’s victory but indicated that they would oppose his presidency. A third of Clinton supporters in a mid-November 2016 ABC News/Washington Post poll said that Trump’s win was not legitimate. Democrats may have accepted Trump’s win, but he’s likely to upset them greatly during his presidency.

Persons: Donald Trump’s, Biden’s, Trump, Biden, Kamala Harris, – it’s, Hillary Clinton, Barack Obama, Donald Trump, Trump's, Spencer Platt, Clinton, Trump’s, didn’t, George W, Obama’s, delegitimize Obama’s, Obama Organizations: CNN, Reuters, Quinnipiac University, Republicans, Trump, Electoral, GOP, Biden, Getty, ABC, Washington Post, Gallup, CBS Locations: New York

☆ Many women are unsure about Trump’s style and agenda. They voted for him anyway
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-19 | by ( Ronald Brownstein | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +20 min

But even with Trump’s gains among men, women still had greater leverage to decide the election’s outcome. Both the exit polls and VoteCast showed her winning 57% of white women with at least a four-year college degree. Solid majorities of Black, Latina and college-educated White women described Trump in the exit poll as “too extreme,” as did over two-fifths of the White women without a college degree. But among the White women without a college degree who described Trump as “too extreme,” almost 1 in 5 voted for him anyway. Though many women are expressing unease about mass deportation, Trump’s claim that immigrants are driving crime may provide him considerable leeway to pursue his agenda, particularly among the blue-collar White women who proved most receptive to that argument.

Persons: Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Joe Biden’s, Harris, ”, Jenifer Fernandez Ancona, Trump, –, Biden, Joe Rogan, NORC, VoteCast, Harris’s, John Kerry, George W, Bush, White, Chip Somodevilla, Court’s Dobbs, Voters “, ‘, ’, pollster Nicole McCleskey, Dobbs, Harris ’, “, pollster Christine Matthews, Jackie Payne, ” Payne, Will Lanzoni, Bill Clinton, Robert F, Kennedy Jr, Mifepristone, Matthews, ambivalently, Tresa Undem, …, Trump’s, Fernandez Ancona, can’t, Hillary Clinton Organizations: CNN, Trump, Edison Research, AP, Gallup, Democratic, Biden, Santander Arena, Nationwide, Wall, White, Latina, Voters, Republican National Convention, Republican, GOP, Congressional, Republicans, White House, Trump ., Human Services Department, Pew Research Center, Pew, ” Locations: Michigan , Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Reading , Pennsylvania, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Nebraska, Milwaukee , Wisconsin, America

But the decline in support for Ms. Harris in some of the country’s most liberal areas is particularly notable. For example, in Fulton County, which contains most of Atlanta, Ms. Harris gained about 4,500 votes, but Mr. Trump gained more than 7,400. He similarly outran Ms. Harris where she made gains in Wake County, N.C., Lancaster County, Pa., and Montgomery County, Texas. In Milwaukee County in swing-state Wisconsin, Ms. Harris lost 1,200 voters compared with Mr. Biden’s total in 2020, while Mr. Trump gained more than 3,500. But he lost votes, as did Ms. Harris, in majority-Black counties, especially those in the South where turnout dropped overall.

Persons: Harris, Biden, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris’s, Joseph R, Iowa Kan, Trump, Larry Sabato, Mr, Sabato, “, Trump Harris, Eli Murray, Elena Shao, Charlie Smart, Christine Zhang, Biden’s, Christine Zhang Ms, Joel Benenson, Barack Obama’s, ” Mr, Benenson, Harris Trump, John McLaughlin, pollster, McLaughlin, ” Organizations: Trump, New York Times, Hawaii Idaho Ill, N.D . Ohio Okla, D.C, Biden, Mr, Harris Trump, Democratic, Lean Democratic, Lean Republican, Center, Politics, University of Virginia, Florida’s Miami, Republican, Republicans, Harris Trump Arizona, Indiana, Nebraska, Washington, of Columbia Locations: Ala, Alaska, Calif, Colo, Conn, Del, Fla . Ga, Hawaii Idaho, Ind, Iowa, Ky, La . Maine Md, Mass, Mich, Minn, Miss, Mo, Mont, Neb, N.H . N.J, N.M, N.Y, N.C, N.D . Ohio, N.D . Ohio Okla ., Pa, S.D . Tenn . Texas Utah, Va, Wash, W.Va . Wis, Wyo, Chicago, Los Angeles and New York, Texas, Florida, New Jersey, New York, Georgia, Fulton County, Atlanta, Wake County, Lancaster County, Montgomery County , Texas, Milwaukee County, Wisconsin, Milwaukee, Charlotte, Flint, Scranton, Dade County, Miami, Fresno County, Pinellas County, Fla, Black, Michigan, Nevada, Carolina, Alabama, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Connecticut, Delaware, Hawaii, Idaho, Illinois, Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, Minnesota, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana, Hampshire, Jersey, Mexico, York, Dakota, Ohio, Oklahoma, Oregon, Tennessee, Utah, Vermont, Virginia, Wyoming

☆ Top pollster Ann Selzer to retire after bombshell Iowa poll ended in historic miss
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-17 | by ( Liam Reilly | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

New York CNN —Top pollster J. Ann Selzer will retire from the Des Moines Register’s famed Iowa Poll and the survey will “evolve” after it failed to accurately capture former President Donald Trump’s strong support in the 2024 election, resulting in a 16-point miss. Trump ultimately swept to victory over Harris in the state by a 13-point margin, winning the actual vote 56-43%. Prior to the 2024 survey, the Iowa Poll under her stewardship had been considered by many to be the methodological gold standard. As of June 2024, election forecaster Nate Silver gave Selzer an A+ rating. In an op-ed for the Register, Selzer said that her decision to part ways with the poll predated the erroneous results.

Persons: Ann Selzer, Donald Trump’s, Selzer, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Harris, Trump, ’, ” Kristin Roberts, ”, ” Roberts, “, John Kerry, Republican George W, Bush, Barack Obama, Nate Silver, ” Selzer, I’m, Carol Hunter, ” Hunter, Iowans Organizations: New, New York CNN, Des Moines Register’s, Iowa, Trump, Republican, Gannett Media, Des Moines Register, CNN, ”, Iowa Poll, Selzer Locations: New York, Des, Iowa, West Des Moines

☆ Older voters prioritized personal economic issues, helped Republicans win on Election Day, new AARP poll finds
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-15 | by ( Lorie Konish | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

the answer for many older voters ages 50 and over was "no," according to a new post-election poll released by the AARP. Almost half — 47% — of voters ages 50 and over said they are "worse off now," the research found, while more than half — 55% — of swing voters in that age cohort said the same. Among voters 50 to 64, Trump won by seven points. With voters ages 65 and over, Vice President Kamala Harris won by two points. Interviews were conducted with 2,348 "likely voters" in targeted congressional districts following Election Day between Nov. 6 and 10.

Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, Kamala Harris, Fabrizio Ward, Bob Ward, Ward Organizations: AARP, Finance, Research, Republican Locations: Bethlehem , Pennsylvania

After Republican President-elect Donald Trump’s dramatic performance with Latino voters, a coalition of Democratic-leaning Latino groups is grappling with the shift and trying to reconcile it with the policies they say many Hispanics support. Along with UnidosUS, Latino-focused advocacy groups such as Voto Latino, Somos Votantes, Hispanic Federation and La Brega y Fuerza Fund sponsored a poll of Latino voters. The coalition rejected national exit poll findings showing that Trump won the majority of Latino men — 55% — to Harris’ 43%. Edison Research, which conducts national exit polling for NBC News and other news organizations, surveyed 2,750 Latino voters nationally. Thirty-seven percent of male participants in exit polling identified as white, while 6% identified as Latino in the Latino groups’ poll.

Persons: Donald Trump’s, —, Clarissa Martinez de Castro, Kamala Harris, ” Martinez de Castro, ”, Somos, Donald Trump, Anna Moneymaker, Martinez de Castro, Trump, Harris, Matt Barreto, “, Rob Farbman, Latinas, Joe Biden, Starr County, Gary Segura, ” Segura, Barreto, Carlos Odio, Vanessa Cardenas, ” Cardenas Organizations: Republican, Democratic, Democratic Party, Latino, UnidosUS, Republicans, Hispanic Federation, Brega, Fund, American Civil Liberties Union, Advancing Justice, Climate Power, Nations Development Institute, Trump, Harris ’, BSP Research, African American Research, Harvard University, American, NBC, Edison Research, NBC News, Edison, Biden, Dade, Equis Research, America’s Locations: Doral, Fla, Miami, Florida, South Texas, Rio Grande, Starr, U.S

What issue did your vote come down to in the end? Starting in mid-August, we spoke regularly to 13 young voters who were torn about their choice in the presidential election, to track how and why their opinions were evolving. “I can’t believe it, but I did end up voting for Donald Trump,” said Abigail, a 23-year-old Virginian who backed Mr. Biden last time. She felt Mr. Trump was a strong leader, liked his choice of JD Vance and felt Democrats made assumptions based on gender. Even those in our group who sharply disagreed with one another felt a measure of appreciation for the chance to talk and listen.

Persons: Joe Biden, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Trump, “, ”, Abigail, Biden, JD Vance, Harris, Joe Rogan’s, Gen Organizations: Biden, Mr, Trump Locations: Gaza, America

An NBC News poll at that time showed that at least 20% of Black men would support Trump — an alarming number for Democrats. Harris introduced an Opportunity Agenda for Black Men, outlining what her administration would do to support that voting constituency that seemed movable. But that effort was one of the few that addressed Black men directly, he added. Black men younger than 30 and older than 65 were the most likely to support Harris at 78% and 87%, respectively. We must avoid casting Black men as scapegoats and saviors.”Jones added that the numbers should be considered with nuance.

Persons: Donald Trump, Joe Biden’s, Kamala Harris, Harris, Alvin Tillery, “, ” Tillery, Tillery, ”, Black, ” Darius Jones, ” Jones, Trump, ” Marcus Hans, Harris ’, ” Hans, ” Harris, NFL standouts Antonio Brown, Le’Veon Bell, Kamala ’ isn’t Organizations: NBC, Trump, Biden, Northwestern University, PAC, For Black Equity, Black, NBC News, National Empowerment, Action Fund, Democratic Party, Democrats, Howard University, NFL Locations: Tuesday’s

ET Wednesday showed large gender gaps for the candidates: Among men, who made up 47% of the electorate, Harris won 42% of the vote and Trump won 55%. Among women, who made up 53% of the electorate, 53% voted for Harris and 45% for Trump. Broken down by race and education, the gender gap showed even wider splits in some cases: An overwhelming 91% of Black women voted for Harris vs. 7% who voted for Trump, and 57% of college-educated white women voted for Harris vs. 41% who voted for Trump. But among white female non-college graduates, only 35% voted for Harris vs. 63% who voted for Trump. But just 14% of voters said abortion mattered the most to their votes when they were asked to choose out of five issues.

Persons: Harris, Trump, ”, Jeff Horwitt, Bill McInturff, —, Walsh, Hillary Clinton, Biden Organizations: NBC, Trump, Democratic, Hart Research, Republican Locations: Trump

☆ Harris couldn't escape Biden's unpopularity
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-07 | by ( Brent D. Griffiths | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

Kamala Harris' advisors said she struggled to dig herself out of a hole. Related Video Can Kamala Harris win over Democrats after Joe Biden drops out of 2024 presidential election? Throughout the 2024 race, Trump posted some of his highest approval numbers since he launched his first presidential run in 2015. AdvertisementEvan Roth Smith, the lead pollster at BluePrint, said there's no doubt that Biden's unpopularity impacted Harris. The Trump campaign didn't forget."

Persons: Kamala Harris, Joe Biden, Harris, —, Doug Sosnik, Bill Clinton, Biden, Trump, Obama, David Plouffe, Harris's, Kamala, AWwpZQHhVo — Alex Thompson, Evan Roth Smith, Kamala Harris's, Roth Smith, would've, Rishi Sunak, George H.W, Bush, Ryan Ryan Williams, Mitt Romney's Organizations: Service, Democratic, CNN, Biden, British, Conservative Party, Democratic Party, New, Trump, GOP, Voters Locations: United States, South Korea, Germany, Iowa, New Hampshire

☆ If Trump wins, he may be stronger than in 2016, says pollster Frank Luntz
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-06 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailIf Trump wins, he may be stronger than in 2016, says pollster Frank LuntzFrank Luntz, Pollster and political strategist, discusses how he sees the race with several battleground states still undecided.

Persons: pollster Frank Luntz Frank Luntz Organizations: Trump

☆ Trump's support was so intense it didn't matter what people said about him, says Frank Luntz
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-06 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailTrump's support was so intense it didn't matter what people said about him, says Frank LuntzFrank Luntz, pollster and political strategist, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss Donald Trump's victory in the 2024 presidential election, biggest takeaways from the election, and more.

Persons: Frank Luntz Frank Luntz, Donald Trump's

According to the same polls, boomer men supported Trump over Harris 57% to 39% while boomer women chose Harris 52% to 43%. On Monday, Trump, at a battleground on the eve of Election Day, invited Lara Trump and his daughter Tiffany to the stage. The Trump campaign has been pointing to partisan turnout numbers as evidence that he is building an advantage with early voting. Since 1980, nearly every presidential election has seen a split, which in recent decades has shown Democrats winning with women voters. This was the case in 2016, when Hillary Clinton led women by double digits, and in 2020, when President Joe Biden won women voters as well.

Persons: Kamala Harris girding, Liz Cheney, Donald Trump, Harris, Trump, Ann Selzer, “ Harris, ”, Partners Scarlett Maguire, “, Joe Rogan, Lex Fridman, Republican pollster Kellyanne Conway, you’re, Lara Trump, Danica Patrick, Kristi Noem, Morgan Ortagus, Tiffany, Megyn Kelly, Kelly, Nikki Haley, ” Trump, Haley haven't, Cheney, — Trump, Tom Bonier, Covid, Wade, don’t, Lala Johnson, Ned McCarthy, Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden, Harris ’ Organizations: Democratic, Republican, J, Des Moines Register, Democrat, J.L, Boys, MIT, NBC, Trump, Harris, NBC News, Republican National Committee, NASCAR, South Dakota Gov, Pittsburgh, Republicans —, Arizona voters Locations: Trump, Iowa, Harris, Arizona, Roe

For our final Times Opinion focus group of the 2024 election, we spoke with late-deciding voters — Americans who were seesawing between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump recently and making up their minds at the last minute. All of our 15 late deciders were from swing states like Pennsylvania and Michigan, and many of them voted for Mr. Trump in 2016 and for Joe Biden in 2020. No surprise, most of them had concerns and hang-ups about both of the candidates, but it quickly became clear that Mr. Trump, in particular, was doing himself no favors with these voters. As for Ms. Harris, most of these voters thought she would be "more of the same" as president, rather than a leader who pursues changes, and saw her as less authentic than Mr. Trump.. But in the end, years of misgivings and doubts about Mr. Trump outweighed the uncertainty about Ms. Harris with several participants, and more of them saw her winning than Mr. Trump.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Harris, Trump, Joe Biden, Hillary Clinton, Barack Obama Organizations: Trump, Mr Locations: Pennsylvania, Michigan, Madison

☆ Gender? Economy? Experts weigh in on which factor is most likely to flip the presidential race
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-05 | by ( Steve Liesman | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

When the votes are counted in U.S. presidential election, will it be the gender gap, the income gap, the Latino vote or the media and marketing campaigns that turned out to be decisive? CNBC Senior Economics Reporter Steve Liesman sat down with four polling experts for an in-depth look into the data to see which ones could turn the election to either Vice President Kamala Harris or former President Donald Trump. The panel included Steve Kornacki, NBC News national political correspondent; Mark Murray, NBC News senior political editor; Micah Roberts, Public Opinion Strategies partner and CNBC's Republican pollsters; and Jay Campbell, Hart Research partner and CNBC's Democratic pollster. Yes, it's likely to be the economy. See the full video above to hear the discussion.

Persons: Steve Liesman, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Steve Kornacki, Mark Murray, Micah Roberts, Jay Campbell, Hart, it's Organizations: CNBC, NBC News, NBC, Republican, Hart Research, Democratic

☆ A record-setting turnout may be good news for Trump, says pollster Frank Luntz
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-05 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailA record-setting turnout may be good news for Trump, says pollster Frank LuntzFrank Luntz, pollster and political strategist, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the state of the 2024 election, what to watch for in tonight's election results, and more.

Persons: pollster Frank Luntz Frank Luntz Organizations: Trump

☆ What we learned spending the final weeks on the ground in Pennsylvania: From the Politics Desk
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-04 | by ( The Politics Desk | ) www.nbcnews.com time to read: +8 min

In today’s edition, political reporter Allan Smith and senior White House reporter Peter Nicholas empty their notebooks after spending the last two weeks on the ground in battleground Pennsylvania. And over the final two weeks of the race, both candidates and their running mates held 16 events in Pennsylvania — including Monday, marking some of Harris and Trump’s final rallies of the campaign. And 5% of Republican voters hold a positive view of Harris, while 92% hold a negative view (-87 net rating.) : Regardless of who wins the election, a key fixture of America’s political landscape for nearly a decade is set to disappear: the Trump campaign rally. Read more → Follow live updates from the campaign trail →That’s all from the Politics Desk for now.

Persons: Allan Smith, Peter Nicholas, Mark Murray, Peter Nicholas PITTSBURGH, It’s, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Trump, Harris, Jennifer Mann, Philipsburg, ”, ” Read, Allan, Peter → 🗺️, orth, arolina,, ake, ender, ault, ines, hite, lear, alf, Tod, Reg, Rob, Bowman Organizations: NBC, White House, Capitol, It’s, NBC News, Trump, State College, ust, ics Locations: Pennsylvania, oters, Poli

☆ Watch: Pollster outlines potential pathways for a Harris or Trump victory
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-04 | by ( ) edition.cnn.com time to read: 1 min

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☆ Trump attacks pollster after new Iowa poll is released. See her reaction
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-04 | by ( ) edition.cnn.com time to read: 1 min

☆ Meet the Press – November 3, 2024
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-03 | by ( ) www.nbcnews.com time to read: +55 min

KRISTEN WELKER:As the 2024 election nears the finish line, Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump make their last appeal to voters. Vice President Harris and former President Trump and their surrogates are making their closing arguments. North Carolina was the state former president Trump won in 2020 by the smallest margin and both candidates held events there on Saturday. I asked, what is his message to women who are thinking about voting for Vice President Harris. Today, Vice President Harris is in Michigan working to shore up the blue wall, her simplest path to winning the White House.

Persons: KRISTEN WELKER, PRES, KAMALA HARRIS, FMR . PRES, DONALD TRUMP, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Steve Kornacki, Liz Cheney, Let's, TONY HINCHCLIFFE, Raphael Warnock of, Doug Burgum, Chuck Todd, Cristina Londoño Rooney, Marc Short, Mike Pence, Jen Psaki, Kristen Welker, . PRES, Harris, Trump, Biden, haven't, Will Nikki Haley, hasn’t, Kamala, TIM WALZ, Donald Trump's, SEN, JD VANCE, FMR, MICHELLE OBAMA, She's, Hurricane Helene, NBC's Dasha Burns, DASHA BURNS, Kristen, Ann Selzer, “, we've, Dasha, We're, Alcindor, YAMICHE, STEVE KORNACKI, Harris ., They've, she's, Joe Biden's, Steve, they've, We've, –, Raphael Warnock of Georgia, Warnock, Press . SEN, RAPHAEL WARNOCK, It's, Martin Luther King Jr, Barack Obama, I've, I’ve, we're, They're, Governor Burgum, DOUG BURGUM, Nikki Haley, NIKKI HALEY, they're, Trump's, I'm, he's, Emerson, Iowa that's, I'd, Trump hasn't, It’s, Biden's, There's, Burgum, JEN PSAKI, Chuck, hasn't, CHUCK TODD, who's, – KRISTEN WELKER, she’s, Harris isn't, Jen, that's, Cristina, let's, CRISTINA LONDOÑO ROONEY, They’re, Obama, there's, o’clock, Clinton, JD Vance, RUDOLPH, MAYA RUDOLPH, we'd, Hillary Clinton, Marc, We'll, it's Organizations: FMR, NBC, Puerto Rico, Trump, Democratic, Republican, Washington, Telemundo, Staff, White House Press, Press, Rockefeller, Des Moines Register, NBC News, DONALD TRUMP : Georgia, GOV, TIM, FIRST, United States Capitol, Des Moines, White, Muslim, National, Black, Press ., Ebenezer Baptist Church, New York Times, Central, American, UN, Penn State football, Madison, –, Iowa, Republicans, oversampled, Puerto Ricans, Obama, it's, Democratic Party Locations: America, FMR ., United States, Puerto Rico, Raphael Warnock of Georgia, North Dakota, New York, ., Wisconsin, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, ELON, Hurricane, Greensboro, Iowa, Michigan, Detroit, East Lansing, Dearborn , Michigan, Gaza, Arizona, Des, Washington, Ebenezer, Georgia, Trump's, Puerto Rican, Madison, Korea, Ukraine, Israel, Iran, American, Pennsylvania , Wisconsin, Kansas, Puerto, Puerto Ricans, Trump, , Wisconsin, it's New Hampshire, New Hampshire

☆ Final NBC News poll: Harris-Trump race is neck and neck, with significant gender gap
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-03 | by ( Https | Media-Cldnry.S-Nbcnews.Com Image Upload Newscms Mark-Murray-Circle-Byline-Template.Jpg | Mark Murray | ) www.nbcnews.com time to read: +9 min

Just 2% of voters say they’re unsure about the choice. Trump, meanwhile, leads among rural voters (75%-23%), white voters (56%-42%) and white voters without college degrees (64%-34%). This net gender gap of 34 points is larger than the 30-point gap in October’s NBC News poll. That’s a significant change from the final 2020 NBC News poll, when Biden was ahead of Trump by more than 20 points among these voters. And when it comes to the battle for Congress, 47% of voters say they prefer Democrats control Congress, while 46% want Republicans in charge.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Republican Donald Trump, Harris, Trump, —, Joe Biden’s, ”, Jeff Horwitt, Bill McInturff, We’ve, we’ve, McInturff, — Trump, Biden, — Harris, they’ve, Trump’s, That’s Organizations: NBC, Republican, White, Trump, Democratic, Hart Research Associates, Republicans —, Democrats —, Electoral, Black, The NBC, Biden, Republican Party Locations: Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, U.S

☆ Kamala Harris' new lead in top Iowa poll could bode well for her in some key swing states
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-03 | by ( Lloyd Lee | John L. Dorman | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

A new Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa poll shows Harris leading Trump by 3 points in the state. Political experts told Business Insider that the Iowa poll is significant for the Harris campaign given that the demographic makeup of Iowa — rural, older, and largely white voters — is similar to some key swing states. AdvertisementThe Iowa Poll has scrambled the conventional wisdom that former President Donald Trump will easily win the state. And notably, 69% of female respondents in the Selzer poll opposed the law, while only 27% of Iowa women backed the new restrictions. In the Selzer poll taken in September, Reynolds' job approval rating sat at 45%, while 50% of Iowans disapproved of her performance.

Persons: Harris, Trump, bode, —, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, they're, John Conway, Christian Grose, J, Ann Selzer —, Selzer, FiveThirtyEight, Patricia Crouse, it's, Joe Biden, Chip Somodevilla, Crouse, Al Gore, George W, Bush, Barack Obama's, Obama, Hillary Clinton, Joni Ernst, Kim Reynolds, Reynolds, Iowans Organizations: Des Moines Register, Trump, Service, Republicans Voters Against Trump, University of Southern, Harris, Selzer, University of New, Hawkeye State, Getty, Democratic, Texas Gov, GOP, Republicans, Republican Gov Locations: Iowa, It's, Pennsylvania, Michigan , Wisconsin, University of Southern California, Wisconsin , Michigan, Kansas, University of New Haven

☆ Shock poll shows Harris leading Trump in Iowa
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-02 | by ( Dan Mangan | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Democratic presidential nominee and U.S. Vice President Kamala Harris speaks during a "When We Vote We Win" campaign rally at Craig Ranch Amphitheater on October 31, 2024 in North Las Vegas, Nevada. Kamala Harris leads Donald Trump in Iowa by 47% to 44% among likely voters, according to a shocking new poll released Saturday night, just three days before Election Day. The Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa Poll's results came as a complete surprise to political observers, as no serious analyst has predicted that the Democratic nominee will defeat Trump in the state. "It's hard for anybody to say they saw this coming," pollster J. Ann Selzer, president of Selzer & Co told the Des Moines Register. Harris' lead in the poll was powered by strong support from female voters, particularly older and politically independent ones.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Harris, Trump, J, Ann Selzer, pollsters Organizations: Democratic, U.S, Craig, Des Moines Register, Trump, Selzer Locations: North Las Vegas , Nevada, Iowa

☆ These older women voters remember a time before Roe — and they’re rallying around Kamala Harris
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-02 | by ( Arit John | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +12 min

Unlike younger generations, who until recently may have taken federal abortion protections for granted, older women recall the era of illegal backroom abortions that preceded Roe. A fight for the senior voteNot all older women are motivated by abortion. But in a race that is expected to be decided on the margins, boosting support among women and older voters could make a difference. There are some signs in early voting data that women seniors are highly motivated to vote, said Tom Bonier, a Democratic strategist and CEO of the data firm TargetSmart. Abortion bans in many states, including North Carolina, make exceptions for ectopic pregnancies, but patients have reported delays in care.

Persons: Betty Gunz, she’s, Court’s Dobbs, ” Gunz, Charlotte, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump’s, Roe, Wade —, “, ”, Diane Stevens, Stevens, Harris, KFF, Al Gore, Glen Bolger, they’ll, Trump, Anna Kelly, Tom Bonier, We’re, MaryAnne Handy, Hillary Clinton, Kamala, “ He’s, ” Handy, Cary, Naomi Jean Bernheim, —, “ I’ve, you’ve, ” Bernheim, it’s, ” Karen Taggart, Joe Biden, hoodie, Ulla Johnson, Dobbs, Taggart, Mary, Biden, Carolyn, hasn’t, “ It’s, ” Jeanne Gaffney, Mark Robinson, Gaffney, … Organizations: North Carolina CNN —, Democrats, CNN, Democratic, Republican, Trump, Republican Party, Social Security, Republican National, Harris, North Carolina Democrats, Chapel, Raleigh Young Democrat, NARAL, Cary, Mint Hill Locations: Charlotte, North Carolina, Carolina, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, Arizona, Cary, Raleigh, Texas, Morrisville, White

Election bets were approved legally just weeks ago, as the 2024 race headed into its home sprint. The ongoing legal wrangling could still lead to a shutdown of U.S. election betting markets, but not until after the 2024 vote. The CFTC permits only U.S. residents to use the newly opened election betting markets, meaning many bettors on the platforms are also potential voters. Nonetheless, Adam Cochran, founder of venture capital fund Cinneamhain Ventures, says he worries about how voters perceive election betting odds. Mansour acknowledged it’s a “fair concern” that the general public might mistakenly see betting odds as the size of a candidate’s lead.

Persons: Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, ” Robinhood, Rostin Behnam, Kalshi, John Aristotle Phillips, Phillips, ”, multibillionaire Trump, Elon Musk, “, ” Harris, Polymarket, bettors, Trump, Harris, Musk, Tarek Mansour, ” Mansour, Adam Cochran, ” Cochran, Mansour, it’s, There’s Organizations: Interactive, Futures Trading Commission, Republican, Democratic, Overseas, Victoria University of Wellington, NBC, Trump, Street Journal, Cinneamhain Ventures Locations: U.S, New Zealand, America

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