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Trump Media & Technology Group — Shares of President-elect Donald Trump's media company fell another 4.6% in premarket trading following a 23% plunge in the previous session. The company saw $162 million in revenue, topping the consensus expectation for $150 million. Analysts polled by FactSet penciled in 43 cents in earnings per share and $1.91 billion in revenue. Affirm lost an adjusted 31 cents per share, narrower than the consensus forecast of 35 cents, according to LSEG. Bath & Body Works — The fragrance retailer slid 2.7% in the wake of a Barclays downgrade to underweight from equal weight.
Persons: Donald Trump's, platform's, DraftKings, Sweetgreen, LSEG, Toast, StreetAccount penciling, Versace, Michael Kors, FactSet, BioNTech, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, — CNBC's Sean Conlon, Yun Li, Pia Singh, Samantha Subin Organizations: Trump Media & Technology, LSEG, Arista Networks, Arista, Capri Holdings, Capri, Beverage, Revenue, Barclays Locations: LSEG, BioNTech —
The euro rose 0.4% to $1.0876 but faces resistance around $1.0905, while the dollar dipped 0.3% on the yen to 152.45 yen . Analysts believe Trump's policies on immigration, tax cuts and tariffs would put upward pressure on inflation, bond yields and the dollar, while Harris was seen as the continuity candidate. "A Harris win and a split Congress would likely result in 'Trump trades' quickly reversed and priced out," he added. Uncertainty over the outcome is one reason markets assume the Federal Reserve will choose to cut rates by a standard 25 basis points on Thursday, rather than repeat its outsized half-point easing. Futures imply a 99% chance of a quarter-point cut to 4.50%-4.75%, and an 83% probability of a similar-sized move in December.
Persons: Kamala Harris, Republican Donald Trump, Harris, Chris Weston, Trump, Goldman Sachs, Jan Hatzius Organizations: Democratic, Republican, Dealers, Trump, Reserve, of England, Norges Bank, Reserve Bank of Australia, Labor, China's National People's Congress, Reuters Locations: Asia, United States, Iowa, Treasuries, gilts, Beijing
For the period, UPS earned $1.76 per share on $22.25 billion in revenue, above the LSEG consensus estimates of $1.63 per share and $22.14 billion. The company posted earnings of 86 cents per share on revenue of $4.16 billion, above the consensus estimate of 80 cents per share and revenue of $4.05 billion, per LSEG. Newmont – The stock fell more than 4% after the company posted weaker-than-expected earnings for the third quarter. Newmont posted earnings of 81 cents per share, excluding items, on revenue of $4.61 billion. Whirlpool posted earnings of $3.43 per share, more than the $3.20 per share expected by analysts polled by FactSet.
Persons: Elon Musk, Transocean, Newmont, FactSet, Boeing machinists, Molina, Robert Isom, , Alex Harring, Sarah Min, Michelle Fox Theobald Organizations: United Parcel Service, UPS, Lam Research, Bloomberg, Bloomberg News, Mobile, Boeing –, Boeing, Mattel, Wall Street, Honeywell, Northrop Grumman –, LSEG, Southwest Airlines, Revenue, Molina Healthcare, IBM, Whirlpool, FactSet . American Airlines, American Airlines
Here are five wellness days that Tallent suggests including on your calendar each month, or when you can, for positive mental health. Balancing responsibilities like work and caring for your family, oftentimes means your own health and wellness is put on the back burner. "I feel like oftentimes we schedule our month or our week or our lives, and we forget about sleep." It may seem as if prioritizing work over sleep can help you be more productive, but the opposite is true. A day devoted to yourselfHaving time to yourself is extremely important, Tallent says.
Persons: Tallent, It's, Casey Tallent Organizations: Harvard, Centers for Disease Control, CNBC
Vice President Kamala Harris is planning to travel to six battleground states with her yet-to-be-named running mate over four days next week, according to two people briefed on the plans. Aides to Ms. Harris are penciling in travel for the new Democratic ticket beginning next Tuesday and running through Friday, according to the two people, who insisted on anonymity to discuss sensitive plans that have not been finalized. The draft travel schedule suggests that Ms. Harris will name her running mate no later than next Tuesday, earlier than the deadline on Aug. 7 that her campaign set last week to have the vice-presidential nominee in place. Reuters was first to report that she was scheduled to campaign with her running mate next week. Details on which states Ms. Harris and her running mate will visit first, or on which day, were still being worked out Tuesday afternoon.
Persons: Kamala Harris, Harris, Ms Organizations: Democratic, Reuters Locations: Arizona , Michigan, Nevada , North Carolina , Pennsylvania, Wisconsin
US stocks rose to fresh records Wednesday as traders took in cool inflation and Fed comments. AdvertisementUS stocks rose on Wednesday as investors took in cool inflation data and the Federal Reserve's latest guidance on rate cuts, helping the S&P 500 to another record close. The 10-year Treasury fell seven basis points to 6.33%, rising from steeper losses earlier in the day after the central bank updated its outlook to include fewer rate cuts than previously expected. FOMC members said they didn't believe it was "appropriate" to cut rates until they had gained more confidence inflation is trending back to 2%. Fed fund futures show that investors see a 62% chance the Fed will cut rates three times or more by year-end, according to the CME FedWatch Tool.
Persons: , FOMC, Powell, Bill Adams Organizations: Service, Federal, Treasury, Fed, Comerica Bank Locations: April's
Goldman Sachs still expects stubbornly high U.S. inflation to ease over the coming months, despite investors slashing bets for Federal Reserve interest rate cuts, after yet another print showed that consumer prices remain sticky. The CPI, a broad measure of goods and services costs across the economy, rose 0.4% for the month, putting the 12-month inflation rate at 3.5%. In the Goldman Sachs view, the U.S. CPI will fall back to 2.4% this year, down from the current annualized rate of 3.5%. We obviously have oil prices currently going up, and that's certainly something that has been a bit stronger than what we initially anticipated," Mueller-Glissmann said. He added that the inflationary impact of rising oil prices will likely be limited, because the bank expects that the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries will eventually bring spare capacity online.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Christian Mueller, Glissmann, CNBC's, Mueller Organizations: Federal Reserve, Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics, U.S, CPI, of, Petroleum Locations: U.S, penciling
What next on inflation and rate cuts? The mood music on rate cuts has changed again. All eyes now are focused on the upcoming Consumer Price Index data for clues on when the Fed might finally start cutting interest rates. Economists on Tuesday are forecasting higher growth but also higher-for-longer inflation and rates. Traders are penciling in fewer than three cuts this year — lower than the Fed’s own projection — with the first coming not before July.
Persons: That’s
TOKYO (AP) — Shares declined Wednesday in Asia after disappointingly high U.S. inflation data sent stocks sliding on Wall Street and raised prospects that interest rates will remain elevated for longer. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index resumed trading after the Lunar New Year holiday, edging 0.7% higher to 15,861.77 after opening lower. High interest rates hurt all kinds of investments, and they tend to particularly hurt high-growth stocks like technology companies. Stocks of smaller companies fell even more because high rates could hurt them more than bigger rivals by making it more difficult to borrow cash. Yields jumped in the bond market as traders built up expectations for the Fed to keep rates high for longer.
Persons: Australia's, Korea's Kospi, Sensex, Tuesday’s, Russell, Alexandra Wilson, Elizondo, Carl Icahn Organizations: TOKYO, , Nikkei, Federal Reserve, Labor Department, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Microsoft, Fed, Treasury, Goldman, Goldman Sachs Asset Management, Wall, JetBlue Airways, New York Mercantile Exchange, Brent, U.S Locations: Asia, Indonesia, Southeast, China, Bangkok, Goldman Sachs
Investors are embarking on a hectic week with key tech companies reporting and a big Federal Reserve meeting – and it could shape the next steps for the stock market's rally, said Fundstrat's Tom Lee. The surge in Big Tech helped carry the S&P 500 to a fresh record – and its first close above 4,900. "We were penciling in 5,000 [on the S&P 500], and we could maybe go higher," he said. "I do think we continue to be strong, but then after that, there's a big air pocket," Lee added. His year-end target for the S&P 500 is 5,200.
Persons: Tom Lee, Lee, CNBC's Contessa Brewer Organizations: Research, Fundstrat Global Advisors, Investors, Reserve, Microsoft, Apple, Meta, Big Tech, Dow Jones
TOKYO (AP) — Asian shares were trading mostly lower on Wednesday after a decline overnight on Wall Street, while Tokyo's main benchmark momentarily hit another 30-year high. S&P 500 futures fell 0.5% to 4,775.25. Companies across the S&P 500 are likely to report meager growth in profits for the fourth quarter from a year earlier, if any, if Wall Street analysts' forecasts are to be believed. But optimism is higher for 2024, where analysts are forecasting a strong 11.8% growth in earnings per share for S&P 500 companies, according to FactSet. The index remains within 0.6% of its all-time high set two years agoFor now, traders are penciling in many more cuts to rates through 2024 than the Fed itself has indicated.
Persons: Australia's, Korea's Kospi, Stephen Innes, Brent, Stan Choe, Yuri Kageyama Organizations: TOKYO, Dow, Nikkei, Companies, Wall, Federal Reserve, Fed, U.S, AP Locations: Hong, Shanghai, New York
Wall Street's outlook on Fed rate cuts is setting the stage for a "lose-lose situation," says Deutsche Bank macroeconomic strategist Henry Allen. Indeed, the last four times we've seen rate cuts that fast, it's been because of the most recent four U.S. recessions," he wrote. To be sure, rapid rate cuts without a preceding recession isn't an impossible scenario, but that doesn't mean it's likely either, Allen noted. Paul Volcker's chairmanship of the Fed in the 1980s, for example, saw steep rate cuts, although that followed a period of extremely restrictive monetary policy. "[It's] hard to see how both rate markets and risk markets can both continue to thrive as they have recently," Stanley said.
Persons: Henry Allen, Allen, Paul Volcker's, Allen isn't, Stephen Stanley, Stanley, Stocks, Deutsche Bank's Allen Organizations: Deutsche Bank, Markets, Federal, Traders, Santander U.S, Deutsche Locations: U.S, Vietnam
The Federal Reserve's interest rate hikes starting in March 2022 led to a sharp runup in yields on Treasurys. Rates on a range of otherwise plain vanilla investments also rose sharply, with money market funds offering yields exceeding 5%, and some banks boosting their CD yields to lure deposits. See below for a table of longer-term CD yields and where you can get them. There's also a tradeoff: You can collect this higher yield, but you'll have to be comfortable with reduced access to your money. By locking in an 18-month or 24-month CD, savers can benefit from today's higher yields well after the Fed begins dialing back rates.
Persons: Banks, Sallie Mae, Morgan Stanley's Betsy Graseck, There's Organizations: Ally
The small-cap Russell 2000 has dropped close to 4% against a fractional gain in the S & P 500 year to date. In broad terms, the S & P 500 could retreat to 4600 or so – about 4% down from here – and still be in a routine technical check-back to its latest launch point in early December. Todd Sohn of Strategas notes that the Invesco S & P 500 Equal Weight ETF (RSP) saw inflows go vertical last year to $13.5 billion, 30% above its prior 12-month record. Betting on 'peacetime' Fed cuts Right or wrong, the market debate right now can never get far before turning into a Fed-policy-path discussion. Last week's CPI and PPI data added to the market's collective conviction that inflation's downside momentum is strong, opening the way for "peacetime" Fed rate cuts.
Persons: that's, Russell, Ned Davis, Tim Hayes, Tony Pasquariello, Goldman Sachs, Henry McVey, KKR's, McVey, Morgan Stanley, Todd Sohn, Strategas, they're, Jerome Powell Organizations: Ned Davis Research, Goldman, Nasdaq, Apple, CPI, PPI Locations: U.S
On an annual basis, inflation ticked up to 3.4% from 3.1% previously. The core CPI, stripping out energy and food costs, was unchanged but dipped down to 3.9% annually from 4% in November. Government measures of housing costs tend to lag market rates, which have been trending down for apartment rental rates lately. The central bank decided at its meeting last month to leave interest rates unchanged while also penciling in at least three cuts in 2024. The Fed did warn that, should the economy perform stronger than expected, it retains the option to increase interest rates, though the probability of that is seen as low.
Persons: , , Phillip Neuhart Organizations: Federal Reserve, Labor, Fed, Markets, First, Bank Wealth Management, Dow Jones Industrial
If you rode your Big Tech winners into the new year, now might be the time to consider whittling down a few of those overweight positions. "It's the only way to consistently buy low and sell high, but no one ever wants to do it," duQuesnay said. He noted that the iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) is a good way to get broad exposure to the space. The Federal Reserve's rate-hiking campaign made yields on an array of assets, ranging from Treasurys to money market funds, attractive. Ethridge, who bought six- and 12-month brokered certificates of deposit for clients in 2023, is going for longer-dated instruments these days.
Persons: rebalancing, Blair duQuesnay, duQuesnay, Morningstar, Amy Arnott, Arnott, it's, Barry Glassman, Russell, didn't, Malcolm Ethridge, Ethridge, Tesla, Glassman Organizations: Big Tech, Microsoft, Nvidia, Tesla, Ritholtz Wealth Management, Wealth Services, Wealth, AMD, Federal, Taxpayers Locations: New Orleans, North Bethesda , Maryland, Rockville , Maryland, rebalance
Municipal bonds, favored for their tax-free income, are looking at a solid year in 2024 and could be a compelling purchase for investors hoping to lock in attractive yields. "We will likely see positive total returns," said Cooper Howard, fixed income strategist at the Schwab Center for Financial Research. "Munis are one of the best things going in the fixed income space," he said. It provides all the attributes of fixed income, and it serves as ballast to an overall diversified portfolio." Naturally, rates are on the minds of fixed income investors and strategists, as well as recession risk.
Persons: Cooper Howard, who've, Peter Higgins, Ben Barber, Schwab's Howard, Paul Malloy, It's, Beth Foos, Malloy, Howard, you've Organizations: Schwab Center, Financial Research, Morningstar U.S, Municipal, Shelton Capital Management, York Life Investments, Franklin, AAA, Vanguard, Bond, Morningstar Locations: New York , New Jersey, California
Home Depot Looks to Pros for Shelter
  + stars: | 2023-11-14 | by ( Jinjoo Lee | ) www.wsj.com   time to read: 1 min
Home Depot had a fourth consecutive quarter of comparable-store sales declines. Photo: Joe Buglewicz/Bloomberg NewsHome Depot is turning to the pros. That marks the fourth consecutive quarter of comparable-store declines after some heady growth during the pandemic years, when Americans suddenly found themselves more homebound than they ever have been. Net income fell 12%, which was better than the 15% decline analysts expected. Home Depot shares jumped 6.6% Tuesday morning.
Persons: Joe Buglewicz Organizations: Bloomberg, Street, Alpha, Home Depot Locations: U.S
Reuters Image Acquire Licensing RightsAnd that is reflected in the return of the "term premium," the amorphous amount of compensation investors demand for buying long-dated bonds instead of rolling over bills. A San Francisco Fed model estimates that the term premium on the 10-year Treasury bond has risen around 100 basis points since July. Reuters Image Acquire Licensing RightsAnalysts at Morgan Stanley reckon the term premium and debt sustainability worries could prompt a rethink of the bill-coupon supply balance. Bill supply around these levels would be well down on net issuance of just over $1.6 trillion in fiscal year 2023. Reuters Image Acquire Licensing RightsReuters Image Acquire Licensing RightsIn an ideal world, Treasury would not choose to rely on such short-term funding needs.
Persons: Kevin Lamarque, Morgan Stanley, Bill, Committee's, Jamie McGeever, Marguerita Choy Organizations: Department of, U.S . Treasury, REUTERS, Rights, U.S, Treasury, San, San Francisco Fed, New York Fed, Bank of America, TD Securities, Bills, Reuters, Securities, Thomson Locations: Washington , U.S, Rights ORLANDO , Florida, San Francisco
So before tip-off, here is everything you need to know ahead of the new NBA season. How to watchThe 78th NBA regular season will begin on Tuesday, October 24, running until Sunday, April 14, 2024. Games will be broadcast across TNT, ESPN, ABC, NBA TV and ESPN Radio in the US over the season, while NBA TV and NBA League Pass will broadcast games internationally. The dominant talking point of the NBA offseason was what color jersey Damian Lillard would be putting on this season. Holiday dribbles during the second half of the Celtics' preseason game against the New York Knicks.
Persons: There’s, Damian Lillard, Lillard, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Antetokounmpo, Adam Pantozzi, “ I’ve, I’ve, , Giannis, , Sarah Phipps, , Jayson Tatum, Jaylen Brown, Porziņģis, Joe Mazzulla, Maddie Meyer, , Joel Embiid, Nikola Jokić, Jamal Murray, Bruce Brown, Jeff Green, Bradley Beal, Devin Booker, Kevin Durant, Durant’s, didn’t, Beal, Frank Vogel, who’s, Larry O’Brien, Ja Morant, – Kawhi Leonard, Paul George –, Zion Williamson, Victor Wembanyama, Frenchman, Wembanyama, Gregg Popovich, LeBron James, Garrett Ellwood, Oklahoma City Thunder’s Chet Holmgren, Holmgren, Scoot Henderson –, Thompson, Ausar Organizations: CNN, National Basketball Association, NBA, TNT, ESPN, ABC, NBA TV, ESPN Radio, Portland Trail Blazers, Miami Heat, Milwaukee Bucks, Milwaukee, Trail Blazers, Boston Celtics, Lakers, Bucks, Milwaukee’s, Los Angeles Lakers, , Oklahoma City Thunder, Eastern Conference, Celtics, New York Knicks, Philadelphia 76ers, Denver Nuggets, Denver, Jokić, Nuggets, Memphis Grizzlies, Phoenix Suns, Los Angeles Clippers, Golden State Warriors, Minnesota Timberwolves, New Orleans Pelicans, Dallas Mavericks, Suns, Grizzlies, Clippers, Pelicans, Warriors, Timberwolves, Mavericks, San Antonio Spurs, Spurs ’, Heat, Oklahoma City, Thunder, Summer League, Spurs, Houston Rockets, Detroit Pistons Locations: Las Vegas, Oregon, Boston, East, Sacramento Kings, Alamo City
"You've got to take them at their word that they want to get another 25" basis points, said the asset management giant's CIO of global fixed income. BlackRock fixed income chief Rick Rieder thinks the Federal Reserve can stop raising interest rates, though it probably won't. The fed funds rate, used as a benchmark for many forms of short-term debt, currently is targeted in a range between 5.25%-5.50%. "I love commercial paper," Rieder said. Rieder said he expects the Fed to start cutting at some point, but probably not until the latter half of 2024.
Persons: You've, you've, Rieder, Rick Rieder, Rebecca Patterson, Ray Organizations: Alpha, BlackRock, Economic Education, Delivering Alpha, Council for Economic Education, Bridgewater Associates, AA, Fed Locations: BlackRock
Asian shares are lower, tracking a slump on Wall Street after the Federal Reserve said it may not cut interest rates next year by as much as it earlier thought. U.S. stocks slumped Wednesday after the Federal Reserve said it may not cut interest rates next year by as much as it earlier thought, regardless of how much Wall Street wants it. The Fed held its main interest rate steady at its highest level in more than two decades, as was expected. Wednesday on Wall Street, the S&P 500 fell 0.9% to 4,402.20. Shares of Klaviyo, which helps advertisers market over email and text messaging, rose 9.2% in their first day of trading.
Persons: Jerome Powell, it’s, ” Anderson Alves, ActivTrades, Hang Seng, Australia's, Grant Robertson, Fonterra, Powell, ” Powell, Instacart, Brent, Nick Perry Organizations: Federal Reserve, Fed, Nikkei, Toshiba Corp, Statistics New, Finance, Zealand, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Treasury, Big Tech, Microsoft, Apple, Nvidia, Arm Holdings, New York Mercantile Exchange, U.S Locations: U.S, Shanghai, Seoul, Statistics New Zealand, China, Wellington , New Zealand
Fed unlikely to raise rates in November, says Goldman Sachs
  + stars: | 2023-09-16 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
The exterior of the Marriner S. Eccles Federal Reserve Board Building is seen in Washington, D.C., U.S., June 14, 2022. REUTERS/Sarah Silbiger/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsSept 16 (Reuters) - The Federal Reserve is unlikely to raise interest rates at its Oct. 31-Nov. 1 meeting, Goldman Sachs strategists wrote on Saturday, while also forecasting the U.S. central bank would lift its economic growth projections when policymakers gather next week. The odds for the policy rate, which is currently in the 5.25%-5.50% range, staying unchanged at the Oct. 31-Nov. 1 gathering stood at roughly 72% on Saturday, CME's data showed. Next year could see "gradual" rate cuts if inflation continues to cool, Goldman's strategists added. They also said the central bank could raise its estimates for 2023 U.S. growth to 2.1% from 1%, when policymakers update their economic projections on Wednesday, reflecting the economy's resilience.
Persons: Sarah Silbiger, Goldman Sachs, Janus Henderson, Ira Iosebashvili, Paul Simao Organizations: Eccles Federal Reserve, Washington , D.C, REUTERS, Federal, Morgan Asset Management, Janus Henderson Investors, Thomson Locations: Washington ,
What they likely won't be changing: Keeping one more rate hike on the table. Given that rosier picture, Luzzetti - like most analysts polled by Reuters - says Fed policymakers probably won't lift the policy rate any further. Many other economists also expect Fed policymakers to signal fewer rate cuts next year. That's only a touch higher than the 3.2% rate the Fed had expected to see at the end of this year. Reuters GraphicsIf progress towards the Fed's 2% goal slows next year though, as many economists forecast, that may mean fewer interest rate cuts next year.
Persons: Sarah Silbiger, won't, Matthew Luzzetti, Luzzetti, Tim Duy, Duy, That's, Loretta Mester, Kathy Bostjancic, Ann Saphir, Dan Burns, Andrea Ricci Organizations: Eccles Federal Reserve, Washington , D.C, REUTERS, Federal Reserve, Deutsche Bank, Reuters, Reuters Graphics Reuters, U.S, Fed, Cleveland Fed, Thomson Locations: Washington ,, U.S, China
Global stocks notched their second-worst month of the year in August, with the MSCI broad aggregate of world indexes dropping 2.96%, according to LSEG data. This has carried into a tepid start to September trade, but Madison Faller, global investment strategist at JPMorgan Private Bank, said in a research note on Friday that 2023 can still finish strong. "While there are still things we don't know, the read from the key players — central banks, Wall Street, Main Street and the C-suite — suggests that the outlook feels brighter today than it did a year ago," Faller said. "With less worry about the near term, more firms are starting to focus on how they can continue growing in the long term. Technology stocks, particularly those with a heavy focus on AI, have driven a huge portion of the market's gains so far this year.
Persons: Madison Faller, Faller, haven't, Jerome Powell, Powell didn't, Goldman Sachs, it's, Peter Oppenheimer, we're, Tesla Organizations: NYSE, NYSE Stock, JPMorgan Private Bank, Federal Reserve, Fed, European Central Bank, Bank of England, Global Equity, CNBC, Nvidia, Facebook Locations: Wall, China, U.S
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