With nearly all the ballots now counted in the 2024 election, we can fully evaluate the performance of the national and battleground polls this cycle. The battleground polls also weren’t far off the mark, either, although their misses were slightly larger than what we saw in the national polling. What else the polls got rightBeyond signaling that the 2024 presidential election was competitive and uncertain, the polls nailed the political atmospherics that shaped the contest. Additionally, the polls foretold many of the key demographic trends that ended up defining the 2024 election, including Trump’s gains with Latino voters. That was a major story in the 2024 election: There were more self-identified Republican voters than Democratic voters.

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Persons: Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Harris, Joe Biden, overperforming Biden, Trump Organizations: NBC News, Trump, New York Times, Pew Research, NBC, Telemundo, CNBC, Biden, Democratic, Republicans Locations: Arizona, Michigan, Nevada, Wisconsin, Trump