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The outlook for equity markets looks "decent" going into 2025, according to Barclays, as central banks cut interest rates and the global economy remains resilient. The bank named "overweight-rated stocks in which our analysts have high conviction in 2025 and see value in owning on an individual basis." Here are three of Barclays' top picks, which it gives over 35% upside potential: Shell Barclays is bullish on Shell and has a target price of £36 ($45.60) on the stock, giving it around 40% upside potential. They are currently trading around a three-times discount to their five-year average, Barclays' analysts said. Barclays has a target price of 160 euros ($169.50) on the Amsterdam-listed stock, giving it 44% potential upside.
Persons: BeSi, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Barclays, Shell Barclays, Shell, London Stock Exchange, AstraZeneca, London, Stockholm Stock Exchanges, BE Semiconductor, BE Semiconductor Industries, Euronext Locations: U.S, , Euronext Amsterdam, Amsterdam
AdvertisementDonald Trump has selected several Big Tech critics for top roles in his second administration. A number of his picks have been harsh critics of the Big Tech industry. Tom Williams/CQ Roll CallTrump's pick for attorney general, former Florida Rep. Matt Gaetz, has for years criticized Big Tech companies. Anna MoneymakerVice President-elect JD Vance cut his teeth in venture capital, and has long been a proponent for breaking up Big Tech. AdvertisementVance said that his experience in Silicon Valley taught him to be weary of Big Tech.
Persons: Donald Trump, Matt Gaetz, JD Vance, Elon Musk, Brendan Carr, Trump's, Trump, Brendan Carr Trump, Tom Williams, Carr, Elon, Musk's, Matt Gaetz Trump, Gaetz, Lina Khan, Jonathan Kanter, Elon Musk Elon, Marc Piasecki, Musk, donald, Biden, Tim Cook, X, Anna Moneymaker, Vance, we're Organizations: Big Tech, Trump, GOP, Google, Apple, Microsoft, Federal Communications Commission, Inc, Getty, Heritage, FCC, TikTok, United, Florida Rep, Federal Trade, Elon, Government, of Government, SpaceX, OpenAI, Bloomberg News Locations: Starlink, Florida, Silicon Valley, Trump
AdvertisementAndre Nader found himself in a financial hole after losing money trading options. He shifted his investment strategy and started buying low-cost index funds. He owns various Fidelity and Vanguard index funds, including VTI and VXUS. Andre Nader lost a good chunk of money in the stock market in his early 20s. Nader, who considers himself "semi-FIRE'd" since his wife still works, owns various Fidelity and Vanguard index funds.
Persons: Andre Nader, VXUS, Nader, Nader —, , I've Organizations: Fidelity, Vanguard, Bogleheads, Meta, Market, Index Fund Locations: San Francisco
the answer for many older voters ages 50 and over was "no," according to a new post-election poll released by the AARP. Almost half — 47% — of voters ages 50 and over said they are "worse off now," the research found, while more than half — 55% — of swing voters in that age cohort said the same. Among voters 50 to 64, Trump won by seven points. With voters ages 65 and over, Vice President Kamala Harris won by two points. Interviews were conducted with 2,348 "likely voters" in targeted congressional districts following Election Day between Nov. 6 and 10.
Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, Kamala Harris, Fabrizio Ward, Bob Ward, Ward Organizations: AARP, Finance, Research, Republican Locations: Bethlehem , Pennsylvania
The rise in India's income and wealth inequality is not a result of the poor getting poorer, Sumedha Dasgupta, senior analyst at the Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU) flags. India's income gap (which is the difference in wages earned between different demographic) comes alongside a worsening wealth divide too. Instead, the phenomenon comes as the "rich are getting much richer at a faster rate," she told CNBC's Inside India. India's 3 household groupsA more pressing issue brought on by India's wealth and income divide is the emergence of different categories of households with distinct standards of living. Unequal education opportunitiesThe EIU's Dasgupta attributes India's vicious wealth and income gap cycle in large part to mismatched education opportunities.
Persons: Knight Frank, Dasgupta, CNBC's, Shumita Deveshwar, Deveshwar Organizations: Economist Intelligence Unit, Blume Ventures, Oxfam, Private, Department of School Education, Global Commons Alliance, TS Lombard Locations: India, United States, Brazil, South Africa, Venture, Saharan Africa, Indian
When Andre Nader got laid off, he and his wife had enough in savings that he didn't have to job search. To go from 'semi FIRE' to 'full FIRE,' he calculated his family of 3 would need $5.6 million. He and his wife were living and working full-time in tech in San Francisco, raising a toddler, and loosely planning on eventually leaving the expensive Bay Area. His "enough number" is also different — it's closer to $5.6 million, he told Business Insider. His "enough number" is constantly shifting, but here's how he came up with $5.6 million for a family of three living in San Francisco.
Persons: Andre Nader, doesn't, , Meta, Nader, They'd, I'm, I've, outsized, he's, Roth Organizations: Service, FIRE, Affordable, UC, Social Security, Vanguard, Market, Index Fund Locations: San Francisco, Meta, California
So far on Wednesday, the stock market was largely ignoring the morning's inflation report because the main CPI reading was as economists expected. But a look deeper into the report spells trouble for a stock market — and president-elect — that are going to want the Federal Reserve to keep cutting rates throughout next year to keep fueling the bull market. However, in recent months, policymakers have focused more on the headline number, saying shelter costs, which have an outsized influence on core CPI, will come down. But core inflation has remained unusually stubborn, suggesting the Fed may have to hold rates higher than investors were previously anticipating. Core CPI showed a third straight monthly increase of 0.3%, bringing the annual rate to 3.3%.
Persons: Chris Rupkey, Jerome Powell, Rupkey, Donald Trump, , Jeff Cox Organizations: Federal Reserve, Fed, White, Washington , D.C Locations: Washington ,
Evercore ISI downgrades Caterpillar to in line from outperform The firm said it sees earnings per share risk for Caterpillar. Barclays reiterates Instacart as overweight The firm said it is sticking with its overweight rating following earnings. " Telsey reiterates Target as outperform Telsey says it is sticking with its outperform rating on Target ahead of earnings next week. Jefferies reiterates Netflix as buy The firm said the latest report of monthly active users for Netflix weakens the bear case. " TD Cowen reiterates Cava as buy The firm said Cava had a "flawless" third quarter.
Persons: Oppenheimer, William M, Brown, reallocating, Wells, Morgan Stanley, Telsey, Salesforce, verticals, Jefferies, Piper Sandler, Wedbush, Tesla, Donald Trump, Elon Musk, TD Cowen, Cava Organizations: Caterpillar, CAT, UBS, DTC, Bank United, Bank, Solutions Holdings, C Insurance, Barclays, CART, Starbucks, Bank of America, Netflix, MAUs, Micron, Apple, ISI, Services, Department of Government, White, Trump Locations: 3Q24, FCF
The rule, proposed nearly a year ago, was mandated by the Inflation Reduction Act, which could make it more difficult for the second Trump administration to dismantle. The methane fee will be charged by the federal government until the companies fix the leaks. This fee was paired with financial incentives for oil and gas companies to fix leaky pipelines or infrastructure. The rule could prove tricky for the incoming Trump administration to overturn because the program was included in Biden’s climate law, which passed Congress in 2022. Undoing it would take another act of Congress; while not impossible if Republicans take the House of Representatives, it could be an uphill climb and take longer than if the Trump administration were acting on its own.
Persons: Biden, Trump, It’s, Michael Regan Organizations: CNN, Environmental Protection Agency, EPA
Elon Musk spent $44 billion to buy Twitter, now known as X, and at least $130 million to help get Donald Trump elected president. Since Trump’s victory last week, Musk is about $70 billion richer on paper. For Musk, getting Trump back into the White House became another full-time job. After the election last week, Musk briefly joined Trump’s phone call with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, NBC News reported. Musk owns 411.06 million Tesla shares, as of the latest filings, and about 304 million performance-based options.
Persons: Elon Musk, Donald Trump, It’s, That’s, Larry Ellison, Ellison, Musk’s, who’s, Trump, Musk, Kamala Harris, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, he’s, Brendan Carr, Florida Republican Sen, Rick Scott, ” Musk, “ He’s, , Gene Munster, Tesla, Munster, ” Munster, Judge Kathaleen McCormick, McCormick, Ellison aren’t, Brian Armstrong, Cryptocurrencies Organizations: Twitter, Tesla, Forbes, Oracle, White, America PAC, Trump, NBC News, The New York Times, ABC, Trump’s, Federal Communications Commission, Florida Republican, SpaceX, Co, CNBC, Elon, Shareholders Locations: Pennsylvania, Lago, Florida, Delaware
Andrew Kelly | ReutersThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. What you need to know todayThe bottom lineWhen the numbers are this good, you've got to start with them. "Equities are eager to price in Trump's domestic growth policies," Barclays strategist Venu Krishna said in a note to clients. While the Trump rally has gotten off to a roaring good start, it remains to be seen when — and more importantly, how — it'll end.
Persons: Republican Donald Trump, Andrew Kelly, you've, Russell, Venu Krishna, Mislav Matejka, Neel Kashkari, Kashkari, — CNBC's Sean Conlon, Yun Li, Jesse Pound, Hakyung Kim Organizations: Republican, U.S, New York Stock Exchange, Reuters, CNBC, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Trump, Barclays, JPMorgan, Minneapolis Locations: New York City, U.S
Timothy A. Clary | Afp | Getty ImagesThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. What you need to know todayThe bottom lineWhen the numbers are this good, you've got to start with them. "Equities are eager to price in Trump's domestic growth policies," Barclays strategist Venu Krishna said in a note to clients. While the Trump rally has gotten off to a roaring good start, it remains to be seen when — and more importantly, how — it'll end.
Persons: Walter Lundon, Donald Trump, Timothy A, Clary, you've, Russell, Venu Krishna, Mislav Matejka, Neel Kashkari, Kashkari, — CNBC's Sean Conlon, Yun Li, Jesse Pound, Hakyung Kim Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Getty, CNBC, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Trump, Barclays, JPMorgan, Minneapolis Locations: New York City
Bank of America is primed to get a boost from multiple tailwinds, according to Citi. BAC YTD mountain BAC YTD chart Horowitz noted pointed to an attractive valuation for Bank of America relative to peers such as JPMorgan Chase. Less regulation under a new Trump administration could also bolster Bank of America shares. "On regulation, BAC is a low-risk firm and could benefit from lighter regulatory environment, and we expect room to run with a proposal re-write on B3 potentially driving returns above our 15% normalized assumption," the analyst added. Of the 24 who cover Bank of America, 17 have a buy or strong buy rating, LSEG data shows.
Persons: Keith Horowitz, Horowitz, JPMorgan Chase, CoE, Trump Organizations: of America, Citi, Bank of America, JPMorgan Locations: Thursday's
Donald Trump's second presidency could help supercharge small cap stocks further, according to Fundstrat managing partner and head of research Tom Lee. "Since 1987 small caps traded on a median price-to-earnings [ratio] at a premium basis to the S & P 500, and the S & P 500 is at 17 times. I think small caps could over the next couple of years outperform by more than 100%," Lee told CNBC's " Squawk Box " on Friday. Lee is also bullish on equities more broadly, and doesn't limit his optimistic outlook to only small caps. He also forecast the S & P 500 could break above 6,000 before the end of the year and top 6,700 in 2025.
Persons: Donald Trump's, Tom Lee, Lee, CNBC's, Russell, Stocks, Trump's, haven't, FundStrat Organizations: Trump, U.S, Granny Shots, Tesla, Oracle
Wondering what stocks might do well the rest of this year as America awaits Donald Trump take office for a second time in January? Others were high-beta growth stocks that can ride a broad market rally and benefit from corporate tax rates. Most analysts surveyed by LSEG hold buy ratings, but they expect KeyCorp shares to slide by more than 5% after their rally this year. Between Nov. 7 and the end of that year, KeyCorp shares ran up more than 25%. CarMax is a cyclical stock that should benefit from both deregulation and the rising tide for high-beta stocks.
Persons: Donald Trump, , Ebrahim Poonawala, financials, Poonawala, Bernstein, Bob Brackett, there's, Citigroup's Andrew Kaplowitz, Kaplowitz, Wednesday's, LSEG, Keycorp, Keith Horowitz, KeyCorp, CarMax Organizations: CNBC, Trump, White, Bank of America, Energy, Dow, Targa Resources, Citigroup Locations: Cleveland
Analyst David George downgraded the stock to underperform from neutral. He believes that JPMorgan is over-earning on both net interest income and credit and finds the stock expensive at current trading levels. "We know we are fighting the tape here, but believe it makes sense to sell the stock." JPM YTD mountain JPM, year-to-date George also noted that, even with a potentially more friendly regulatory environment under a second Trump administration, JPMorgan Chase may not grow its buyback program from here. LSEG data shows 15 of the 24 analysts covering the stock have a buy or strong buy rating.
Persons: Baird, David George, George, Trump, JPMorgan Chase, buybacks Organizations: JPMorgan Chase, JPMorgan
AppLovin shares soared 45% on Thursday after the online gaming and advertising company issued guidance that was well above estimates and reported better-than-expected earnings and revenue. For the fourth quarter, AppLovin sees revenue of $1.24 billion to $1.26 billion, representing growth of about 31% at the middle of the range. The company said software platform revenue in the quarter increased 66% to $835 million, driven by improvements in AXON's models. Net income in the quarter increased 300% to $434.4 million, or $1.25 a share, from $108.6 million, or 30 cents a share, a year earlier. "AppLovin continues to impress with outsized revenue growth and incredible EBITDA conversion," analysts at Wedbush wrote in a report on Thursday.
Persons: It's, AppLovin, Wedbush, Adam Foroughi, it's, Foroughi, CNBC's CJ Haddad, Unity Organizations: Revenue
Jim Watson | Afp | Getty ImagesAs Donald Trump celebrated his presidential victory early Wednesday morning, Elon Musk was right there with him. Elon," Trump said onstage at his Mar-a-Lago resort, thanking the world's richest person for spending two weeks campaigning in Pennsylvania. Musk's investment in Trump is already paying off, even though Trump doesn't take office until Jan. 20. Musk was introduced by Cantor Fitzgerald CEO Howard Lutnick, who called the Tesla CEO the "greatest capitalist" in U.S. history. Having a role in a bespoke commission could give Musk power over federal agencies' budgets, staffing and the ability to push for the elimination of inconvenient regulations.
Persons: Elon Musk, Donald Trump, Jim Watson, Elon, Trump, Musk's SpaceX, Musk, surrogates, Tony, Cantor Fitzgerald, Howard Lutnick, Lutnick, Biden, Tesla, Sergio Flores, Geoff Orazem, Orazem, Vladimir Putin, Xi Jinping, Bill Nelson, Putin, Tenet, JD Vance Organizations: Republican, Afp, Getty, Trump, U.S, Tesla, SpaceX, Twitter, Department of Government, SEC, Environmental Protection Agency, Federal Aviation Administration, IRS, Microsoft, Meta, U.S . Army, National Security Agency, FedScout, NASA, U.S . Air Force, Space Force, Federal Emergency Management Agency, National Labor Relations Board, Street Journal, NBC News, Tenet Media, Department of Justice, Putin, Kremlin, PAC Locations: Butler , Pennsylvania, Lago, Pennsylvania, China, Hurricane, New, Puerto Rico, Meta, U.S, Taiwan, Russian, Ukraine
Memecoins surged early Wednesday on the back of election results that showed former President Donald Trump in a strong position to gain a second term. "Certain sectors that have buoyed prices, such as the renewed interest in memecoins, may experience major price movements as individual states report election results." In the lead-up to Election Day, memecoins and AI-related crypto tokens outperformed the overall crypto market. The sector of the crypto market is used as a measure of retail investors' risk appetite. The crypto market seemed to be positioning for a Trump victory Wednesday as investors monitored the results of the U.S. presidential election.
Persons: Memecoins, Donald Trump, Dogecoin, Shiba Inu, Chris Chung, Ryan Rasmussen, I'm, Trump, Chung, Elon, Nic Puckrin Organizations: Elon, Metrics, Titan, Solana, Bitwise Asset Management, CNBC, lotto, Trump, U.S, Securities, Exchange, of Government, Department of Government Locations: memecoins, bitcoin
Eugene Tanner | AFP | Getty ImagesThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. It may be tempting to view market moves as a proxy for the direction that the elections will go. But UBS thinks any outsized market moves caused by election volatility is an opportunity for investors to build up their portfolios. The optimism around the economy and markets is shared by Ryan Detrick, chief market strategist at Carson Group.
Persons: Honolulu Hale, Eugene Tanner, Tesla, Elon Musk's, Donald Trump, Stocks, Nomura, Marcelli, Ryan Detrick, Detrick, Fred Imbert, Pia Singh, Jesse Pound, Samantha Subin Organizations: AFP, Getty, CNBC, Democratic, Republican Party, UBS, Americas, UBS Global, Carson Group, White Locations: Honolulu, Honolulu , Hawaii, U.S
Stocks may be in rally mode after former President Donald Trump's election victory, but not every sector is poised to get a lift. Clean energy One potential big loser is solar and clean energy stocks that benefited from tax credits instituted under President Joe Biden 's Inflation Reduction Act. Retailers Along with changes to clean energy, Trump has hinted at tariffs to buoy U.S. producers. The firm also highlighted companies with greater than 20% China exposure, including Crocs and American Eagle Outfitters , as being among potential tariff losers. STZ 1D mountain Constellation Brands falls amid Trump tariff concerns "With a 50% American whiskey tariff, we would expect BFB to pass some cost along to the consumer, which would put additional pressure on volumes," he wrote.
Persons: Donald Trump's, Kamala Harris, Joe Biden, Trump, Goldman Sachs, Brian Lee, Lee, Melanie Nuñez, Cowen's Robert Moskow, Brown, Forman, Bank of America's Joanna Gajuk, Gajuk, bode, Andrew Mok Organizations: NBC News, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Technologies, Enphase Energy, Bank of America, American Eagle Outfitters, Constellation Brands, Diageo, EU, Consumer, . Hospital, Republican, Bank of America's, Ardent Health Partners, Universal Health Services, HCA Holdings, Barclays Locations: financials, U.S, China, Scotch, Mexico
With Donald Trump reclaiming the White House , Bank of America thinks his threat of steep tariffs could hurt Five Below . The bank downgraded the discount retailer to underperform from neutral on Wednesday and slashed its price target to $75 per share from $98. BofA's new forecast implies for nearly 20% downside for the stock. President-elect Trump campaigned on the prospect of tariffs on Chinese imports, and BofA analyst Melanie Nuñez thinks that Five Below's outsized exposure to China could serve as a material headwind moving forward. FIVE YTD mountain Five Below stock.
Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, Melanie Nuñez, Nuñez Organizations: House, Bank of America Locations: China
Morgan Stanley reiterates Live Nation as overweight Morgan Stanley raised its price target on the stock to $140 per share from $120. Bank of America reiterates Apple as buy Bank of America says it sees "limited" impact to Apple earnings regardless of the Presidential outcome. Bank of America reiterates Palantir as buy The firm says Palantir is an AI "juggernaut" following earnings on Monday. Bank of America reiterates Arista Networks as buy Bank of America says it sees share gains ahead for the networking equipment company. Morgan Stanley reinstates Krispy Kreme as equal weight Morgan Stanley says Krispy Kreme has a balanced risk/reward right now.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, it's bullish, Eli Lilly, Palantir, Bernstein, Eaton, Deutsche, there's, Jefferies, Rick Dreiling, MTZ, Morgan Stanley reinstates Krispy, Krispy Kreme Organizations: Bank of America, Boeing, JPMorgan, RBC, Microsoft, " Bank of America, Broadcom, Apple, Republicans, Arista Networks, Arista, Meta, Deutsche Bank, eBay, Barclays, Energy, Infrastructure, Communications, Resources, IDA Locations: San Antonio, Redmond , WA
The euro rose 0.4% to $1.0876 but faces resistance around $1.0905, while the dollar dipped 0.3% on the yen to 152.45 yen . Analysts believe Trump's policies on immigration, tax cuts and tariffs would put upward pressure on inflation, bond yields and the dollar, while Harris was seen as the continuity candidate. "A Harris win and a split Congress would likely result in 'Trump trades' quickly reversed and priced out," he added. Uncertainty over the outcome is one reason markets assume the Federal Reserve will choose to cut rates by a standard 25 basis points on Thursday, rather than repeat its outsized half-point easing. Futures imply a 99% chance of a quarter-point cut to 4.50%-4.75%, and an 83% probability of a similar-sized move in December.
Persons: Kamala Harris, Republican Donald Trump, Harris, Chris Weston, Trump, Goldman Sachs, Jan Hatzius Organizations: Democratic, Republican, Dealers, Trump, Reserve, of England, Norges Bank, Reserve Bank of Australia, Labor, China's National People's Congress, Reuters Locations: Asia, United States, Iowa, Treasuries, gilts, Beijing
Nvidia, on the other hand, recently leapfrogged Intel as the biggest chipmaker by revenue, creating a clear one-for-one swap opportunity. With Intel being the only chipmaker in the index, the sector is underrepresented relative to its position in the economy. Nvidia positioned itself to join the Dow in May, when the company announced a 10-for-1 stock split. Amazon joined the Dow in January, giving the internet sector greater representation in the index. Meta's price of almost $562 would currently give it the heftiest weighting in the Dow, just ahead of UnitedHealth Group .
Persons: Dow Jones, Howard Silverblatt, Dow, Silverblatt, Sherwin, Williams Organizations: Intel, Dow Jones, Nvidia, Dow, Verizon, Chevron, Dow Inc, Amazon, UnitedHealth, AMD Locations: U.S
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