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AdvertisementThen hurricane season went quiet. There were no named storms between August 13 and September 3 — typically around when hurricane season is reaching its peak. CHANDAN KHANNA/Getty ImagesAt the start of the Atlantic hurricane season in June, NOAA predicted up to 13 hurricanes by the season's end. Joe Raedle/Getty ImagesThis year's unusual hurricane season may be a sign of things to come. AdvertisementRosencrans said that there's a large window for peak hurricane season, and the peak varies each year.
Persons: Milton, We've, Hurricane Milton, Hurricane Helene, Kelly Núñez Ocasio, What's, Debby, Ernesto, Hurricanes Helene, Niña, it's, Matthew Rosencrans, CHANDAN KHANNA, Rosencrans, Stephanie Zick, It's, Núñez Ocasio, Helene, Joe Raedle Organizations: NOAA, Service, Atlantic, Texas, University's Department, Atmospheric Sciences, Atmospheric Administration, Hurricanes, Colorado State University's Department of Atmospheric, Virginia Tech's Department of Geology Locations: Hurricane, Florida, Pacific, Florida's, Bend, Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean, Hurricane Milton, Gulf, St, Petersburg , Florida
Artificial Intelligence Gives Weather Forecasters a New Edge The brainy machines are predicting global weather patterns with new speed and precision, doing in minutes and seconds what once took hours. GraphCast GraphCast Miss. specialist at the European Center for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, the agency that got upstaged on its Beryl forecast. Even so, reliable weather forecasts turn out to be extraordinarily hard to achieve. As a result, weather forecasts can fail after a few days, and sometimes after a few hours.
Persons: Hurricane Beryl, GraphCast, Beryl MEXICO, Hurricane Beryl Miss ., William B, Davis, , Matthew Chantry, Christopher S, Amy McGovern, Dr, McGovern, , Brandon Bell, Maria Molina, Bretherton, Sir Richard Friend, Rémi Lam, GraphCast’s, Lam, . Lam, Beryl, Hurricane Lee, DeepMind’s GraphCast, . Chantry, Chantry, Paul G, Allen, , we’ve, Molina, Jamie Rhome, Rhome, Mr, There’s Organizations: A.I, Beryl MEXICO CUBA European, JAMAICA European, Beryl MEXICO CUBA JAMAICA Hurricane, National Hurricane Center, Hurricane, NOAA, European Press Agency, Google, European Center, University of Washington, University of Oklahoma, University of Maryland, Royal Academy of Engineering, Cambridge University, Getty, Nvidia, Huawei, Fudan University, Allen Institute for A.I, Microsoft Locations: Va . Ky, N.C, Okla, ., Ala . Texas, Texas, Fla, Va, Kan, Mo, Ky, Beryl MEXICO CUBA, VENEZUELA COLOMBIA, Tenn, Okla ., Beryl MEXICO CUBA JAMAICA, Caribbean, Mexico, Houston, London, DeepMind, Land , Texas, A.I, Freeport , Texas, England, Canada, Nova Scotia, China, Corpus Christi , Texas, Miami
According to major forecasts, it looks like it’s going to be an above-average hurricane season. An average Atlantic hurricane season has 14 named storms, including seven hurricanes and three major hurricanes. In 2020, the May forecast was for 13 to 19 named storms, but an updated forecast for August was even higher, with 19 to 25 named storms. This region, from West Africa to Central America, is hotter this year than it was before the start of last year’s hurricane season, which produced 20 named storms. The possibility of a La Niña, combined with record sea surface temperatures this hurricane season, is expected to create a robust environment this year for storms to form and intensify.
Persons: Judson Jones, Rick Spinrad, Idalia, Zack Wittman, Alberto, William, Damon Winter, Brian McNoldy, , Phil Klotzbach, Benjamin Kirtman, Waters, Niño, El, Michelle L’Heureux Organizations: The New York Times, National Oceanic, Atmospheric Administration, NOAA, Hurricane Idalia, National Weather Service, New York Times NOAA, University of Miami, Colorado State University, El Locations: Florida’s Big Bend, America, Fort Myers Beach, Fla, West Africa, Central America, El
According to major forecasts, it looks like it’s going to be an above-average hurricane season. Those could include four to seven major hurricanes — Category 3 or higher — with winds of at least 111 m.p.h. An average Atlantic hurricane season has 14 named storms, including seven hurricanes and three major hurricanes. In 2020, the May forecast was for 13 to 19 named storms, but an updated forecast for August was even higher, with 19 to 25 named storms. This region, from West Africa to Central America, is hotter this year than it was before the start of last year’s hurricane season, which produced 20 named storms.
Persons: Judson Jones, Rick Spinrad, Idalia, Zack Wittman, Alberto, William, Damon Winter, Brian McNoldy, , Phil Klotzbach, Benjamin Kirtman, Waters, Niño, El, Michelle L’Heureux Organizations: The New York Times, National Oceanic, Atmospheric Administration, NOAA, Hurricane Idalia, National Weather Service, New York Times NOAA, University of Miami, Colorado State University, El Locations: Florida’s Big Bend, America, Fort Myers Beach, Fla, West Africa, Central America, El
A key area of the Atlantic Ocean where hurricanes form is already abnormally warm, much warmer than an ideal swimming pool temperature of about 80 degrees and on the cusp of feeling more like warm bathtub water. These conditions were described by Benjamin Kirtman, a professor of atmospheric sciences at the University of Miami, as “unprecedented,” “alarming” and an “out-of-bounds anomaly.” Combined with the rapidly subsiding El Niño weather pattern, it is leading to mounting confidence among forecasting experts that there will be an exceptionally high number of storms this hurricane season. One such expert, Phil Klotzbach, a researcher at Colorado State University, said in his team’s annual forecast on Thursday that they expected a remarkably busy season of 23 named storms, including 11 hurricanes — five of them potentially reaching major status, meaning Category 3 or higher. In a typical season, there are 14 named storms with seven hurricanes and three of them major. Dr. Klotzbach said there was a “well above-average probability” that at least one major hurricane would make landfall along the United States and in the Caribbean.
Persons: Benjamin Kirtman, Phil Klotzbach, Klotzbach Organizations: University of Miami, Colorado State University Locations: United States, Caribbean
Satellites and spacecraft burning up in our atmosphere are leaving metal particles in the stratosphere — and scientists are worried it could harm our planet. Stratospheric particles can shape the ozone layerRemember the ozone layer? AdvertisementThat, in turn, can spark a chain reaction that creates rainbow-colored polar stratospheric clouds. Polar stratospheric clouds (PSCs) are seen in the sky over Jukkasjarvi, northern Sweden, on December 17, 2023 in Jukkasjarvi, Sweden. "There's an increasing number of rocket launches for small satellites and tourism, which burn kerosene or other fuels that emissions in the atmosphere.
Persons: Daniel Murphy, that's, Roy Rochlin, Murphy, Thomas Parent, Chelsea Thompson, Martin Chipperfield, Chipperfield, It's Organizations: Service, Business, National Oceanic, Administration Chemical Science, NASA, WB, NOAA, University of Leeds Locations: Montreal, Tonga, Sweden, Jukkasjarvi, Alaska, UK
Particle pollution is a “key ingredient” of wildfire smoke, Barrett told CNN. “Sometimes we can see, smell, and even taste the impacts of wildfire smoke,” Barrett said. Mountain ranges can shield some regions from worse air pollution by keeping smoke aloft when it travels, Mass said. Pittsburgh - June 29, 2023An MLB game between the San Diego Padres and Pittsburgh Pirates is delayed as Canadian wildfire smoke descends on downtown Pittsburgh. San Francisco - Sept. 9, 2020Smoke from northern California wildfires casts a reddish glow in San Francisco, California.
Persons: , William Barrett, Barrett, ” Barrett, Clifford, Talat Odman, Mass, “ It’s, “ You’re, Lev Radin, Scott Olson, Kevork, Joe Robbins, San Diego Padres, Andrew McCutchen, Carr, George Rose, Ray Chavez, David Zalubowski Organizations: CNN, American Lung Association, University of Washington, Georgia Institute of Technology, Washington DC, ” CNN, Pacific Press, York City, MLB, San Diego Padres, Pittsburgh Pirates, San Diego, Pirates, MediaNews, Mercury, Environmental Protection Agency Denver, Denver International Airport, Denver Locations: Canada, United States, Northern Europe, New York City, York City, Chicago, Irvine, Santiago, Irvine , California, California, Santa, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, Sacramento, Sacramento , California, Shasta County , California, San Francisco, San Francisco , California, San Francisco Bay
Polar bears live in 19 populations across the Arctic and are found in Canada, the United States, Russia, Greenland and Norway, according to conservation organization Polar Bears International. They found that the number of days polar bears were forced to go without food increased as greenhouse gas emissions accumulated. That allowed them to calculate the impact of cumulative emissions on the rate of polar bear survival. This would be about 60-plus gigatons over the 30-plus year life span of a polar bear in the southern Beaufort Sea. “They found that when we emit more carbon dioxide, it directly affects how many polar bear cubs can survive.
Persons: Steven Amstrup, Kt, Katharina M Miller, Amstrup, , Cecilia Bitz, Kirsten Zickfeld, Zickfeld, ” Amstrup Organizations: CNN —, Polar Bears, Kt Miller, Polar, University of Washington, University of Wyoming, ESA, US Department of Interior, Bears, CNN, Department, US Department of, Simon Fraser University Locations: Canada, United States, Russia, Greenland, Norway, Chukchi, Hudson Bay, Beaufort
"Over 90 percent of the excess energy on earth due to climate change is found in warmer oceans, some of it in surface oceans and some at depth." Put simply, the greenhouse gases serve to trap more heat, some of which is absorbed by the ocean," Kirtman told CNBC. In addition to the daily record on July 31, the monthly sea surface temperature for July was the hottest July on record, "by far," Copernicus said. CopernicusThese record sea surface temperatures arise from multiple factors, including the El Niño weather pattern, which is currently in effect. "These climate variations occur when sea surface temperature patterns of warming and cooling self-reinforce by changing patterns of winds and precipitation that deepen the sea surface temperature changes."
Persons: Baylor, Carlos E, Del Castillo, Castillo, Benjamin Kirtman, Kirtman, Copernicus, Gavin Schmidt, Kemper, Zeke Hausfather, Sarah Kapnick, Kapnick, Kempler, Hurricane Ian, Michael Lowry, Lowry, Rainer Froese, Daniel Pauly, Pauly, Vigfus, pollack, Sean Gallup, Lorenz Hauser, Hauser, Froese, Phanor Montoya, Javier, Carolyn Cole, Hans W, Paerl, Justin Sullivan, Christopher Gobler, Gobler, Gary Griggs, Kimberly McKenna, Angela Weiss, Griggs, it's, Judith Kildow, Kildow, It's Organizations: International, Baylor Fox, Kemper, Brown University, CNBC, Ecology Laboratory, NASA, University of Miami, NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies, Fox, El, Oceanic Atmospheric Administration, heatwave, NOAA, Northern Hemisphere, Miami Herald, Tribune, Service, Getty, Helmholtz, Ocean Research, University of British Columbia's Institute, Fisheries, School of, Fishery Sciences, Restoration Foundation, Coral Restoration Foundation, Looe Key, Los Angeles Times, University of North, Chapel Hill's Institute of Marine Sciences, Berkeley Marina, San, Quality, Centers for Disease Control, Stony Brooke University's School of Marine, Atmospheric Sciences, University of California, Stockton University Coastal Research, Afp, Ocean Economics Locations: Florida, El, Pacific, Berkeley, Fort Myers, Hurricane, Germany, New York, Nova Scotia, Hofn, Hornafjordur, Iceland, Seattle, Alaska, Looe, University of North Carolina, San Francisco Bay, Berkeley , California, San Francisco, Europe, Santa Cruz, Atlantic City , New Jersey, Atlantic City, Antarctica, Greenland
More intense summer heat resulting from emissions-driven climate change means animal heat stress that can result in billions of dollars in lost revenue for farmers and ranchers if not properly managed. But technology often insulates livestock in richer countries — another way global warming exacerbates the gap between wealthy and poor nations. Their cows are already showing signs of improved welfare, like chewing more cud, and there's more heat ahead this summer. "We're going to do what's best by our cows no matter what is or isn't going on with climate change," said Megan McAllister, a sixth-generation dairy farmer. As part of his work with Kansas State, Redmond gives presentations to producers and the general public, and he said that climate change has come up in conversations.
Persons: Farmer Ken Ries, Atul Jain, Mario Herrero, McAllister, Megan McAllister, Michelle Schack, they've, let's, Schack, Gerald Nelson, Nelson, Chip Redmond, Redmond, Jackie Boerman, Boerman Organizations: Livestock, The University of Illinois, Cornell University, University of Illinois, USDA, Kansas State University, Kansas State, Purdue University Locations: Ryan , Iowa, U.S, The University of Illinois Urbana, Champaign, United States, New Vienna , Iowa, Arizona, University of Illinois Urbana
But that’s not the only effects expected: Combined with climate change, El Niño this year could dent US economic growth, potentially impacting everything from food prices to the winter clothing sales. Higher food prices are a common theme across El Niño events, according to a recent Deutsche Bank report. Dry weather has parched crops in El Salvador as the El Niño weather threatens food security. The last time there was an El Niño in 2018 through 2019, NOAA dubbed it “The Great Puny El Niño” due to its relatively weak impact on weather conditions. He projects that El Niño weather events could cause $84 trillion in economic losses in the 21st century.
Persons: Niño, that’s, , Christopher Callahan, ” Christopher Callahan, El, Lesley, Ann Dupigny, Giroux, Yi Yu, Linh Pham, Winters, Yu, Callahan, Simeon Siegel, , Chris Scheuring, “ It’s, Camilo Freedman Organizations: CNN, Oceanic, Atmospheric Administration, NOAA, Dartmouth, Southern, University of Vermont, University of California, Southwestern, Vietnam Electricity Group, Bloomberg, Getty, Deutsche Bank, BMO Capital Markets, Dupigny, US Federal Aviation Administration, California Farm Bureau, La Union, Prediction Locations: Niño, University of California Irvine, Asia, Australia, Southwestern United States, Tri An, Vinh Cuu, Dong Nai Province, Vietnam, United States, rainier, El, Pasaquina, La, El Salvador
[1/5] A woman holds an umbrella during a period of high temperatures in Mexico City, Mexico June 13, 2023. REUTERS/Henry RomeroMEXICO CITY/MONTERREY, Mexico, June 15 (Reuters) - Mexican authorities urged people across the country to take safety precautions on Thursday as an unusual late Spring heat wave sent temperatures soaring, with cooler days possibly weeks away. said Abigail Lopez, a nurse in normally sunny but temperate Mexico City who said she was drinking more water and wearing lighter clothes to try to beat the heat. In Mexico City, children splashed around in public fountains and commuters shielded themselves from the sun with umbrellas. "In the last 20 years, we haven't had such a long heat wave," he said.
Persons: Henry Romero MEXICO, Abigail Lopez, Roberto Cardenas, Erik Cavazos, haven't, Brendan O'Boyle, Daniel Becerril, Alberto Fajardo, David Alire Garcia, Sandra Maler Organizations: REUTERS, Henry Romero MEXICO CITY, of Atmospheric Sciences, National Autonomous University, Nuevo, Thomson Locations: Mexico City, Mexico, MONTERREY, Monterrey, Nuevo Leon
Experts contacted by Reuters dismissed claims shared online conflating the events that occurred weeks apart and emphasized that there is no evidence linking cloud formations to quakes. “Lenticular clouds form from a natural interaction of the air with mountains,” Mark Wysocki, senior lecturer in Cornell University’s Earth and Atmospheric Sciences department, told Reuters by email. A diagram illustrating this process provided by Wysocki is viewable (ibb.co/PmKM019)“And earthquakes form from the natural movement of the Earth’s crust. Experts contacted by Reuters say there is no evidence linking clouds to earthquakes. The science behind the formation of lens-like-shaped clouds, or lenticular clouds, has been documented.
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