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One unbelievable event follows another, culminating in Joe Biden’s decision to withdraw from the presidential race. And in the aftermath of that shock, there was no firm foundation to fall back on. Few things recently have been more of a strain to live through than the uncertainty surrounding Mr. Biden’s presidency and the nature of presidential power. The June 27 debate clarified that Mr. Biden’s age had gotten away from him, and from a lot of people — that the situation hadn’t been entirely understood or appreciated, in the accounts of unevenness and the bad moments that followed. It was a collective experience, either affirmation of people’s fears and worries, or a shock to the system.
Persons: Joe Biden’s, Donald Trump, , Biden’s Organizations: Secret Service
Donald Trump didn’t sound any different, not really, during the debate than the way everyone knows him to be. He didn’t sound any different on Friday afternoon, either, at his post-debate rally in Chesapeake, Va. The world around him convulses and Mr. Trump pretty much stays the same. With Mr. Trump specifically, the way people talk about him like he’s the sly fox, there’s a version of this post-debate rally where he really deviated from the norm — went shorter, did something slightly different, to shape how people viewed last week. In politics, there’s a rule about not getting in the way of an opponent’s crisis, but in that parallel version of Friday’s rally, perhaps Mr. Trump would pursue some news-making surprise to press the advantage.
Persons: Donald Trump, convulses, Trump, there’s, Joe Biden, — Mr Locations: Chesapeake , Va
There won’t be a trial anytime soon — or maybe ever — for Donald Trump on charges related to Jan. 6. If Mr. Trump is elected, there might not be a trial at all. One of the things a trial gives you is an answer: There is an ending to a trial. But on some level even a hung jury provides an answer: Here is tangible evidence of a societal inability to resolve this issue. There won’t even be an ending like that to Jan. 6, and if you think about it, there still isn’t a clean separation between the event and the politics of 2024.
Persons: Donald Trump, Trump Locations: Manhattan
Opinion | Election Security, Trump-Style
  + stars: | 2024-05-30 | by ( Katherine Miller | ) www.nytimes.com   time to read: +2 min
building — are dedicated to one cause: election integrity.”She was sitting between her husband, Eric, and Jason Simmons, who is the new North Carolina G.O.P. “Election integrity,” in Donald Trump’s telling, tends to be about the past; party co-chairs like Ms. Trump usually talk about the present. The three sat onstage, motionless, as Mr. Trump talked about the border, then eventually, came to North Carolina. Theoretically, that Mr. Trump won while a Democrat won the governorship offers the best proof of all that the election was not stolen. But perhaps because to concede his own success in one place would render his failure elsewhere unbearable, Mr. Trump must instead believe that fraud took place there as well, and that Michael Whatley defeated it.
Persons: Lara Trump, Eric, Jason Simmons, Donald Trump’s, Trump, , Michael Whatley Organizations: Republican National Committee, North Carolina G.O.P, Democrat Locations: North Carolina, Greensboro, N.C, Pennsylvania, Georgia
The results of the latest New York Times/Siena College polls showing Donald Trump leading President Biden in five crucial battleground states were bad news to many Democrats. There’s still time for Mr. Biden to win back some swing voters, but a lot of his supporters are wondering the same thing: How? Or something more personal that only the president (and not his campaign or aides) can deliver? Not all readers support Mr. Biden, of course, but the polling prompted our curiosity about strategies to run for re-election. A selection of their responses, lightly edited for length and clarity, follows.
Persons: Donald Trump, Biden, There’s, , Katherine Miller, Mr Organizations: New York Times Locations: Siena
Nikki Haley’s announcement on Wednesday that she’s going to vote for Donald Trump wasn’t that much of a surprise. Eight years ago, she basically did the same thing: She was critical of him before he got the nomination, then once he did, said she’d vote for him and sort of faded into the background, before her surprise arrival in the administration. She’ll probably end up in the vice-presidential conversation again, even though Trump already said she won’t be, partly because he seems to like the curveball consideration. And, of course, she has now done what many of the skeptics thought she’d do: say she’d vote for Trump. Most of the failed candidates would probably say they were voting for Trump, as most Republican officials you can think of have been saying they would do for years — and the far more active issue would be that Trump would be the nominee.
Persons: Nikki Haley’s, Donald Trump wasn’t, She’ll, Trump, won’t, Haley, she’d Organizations: Trump, Republican
Biden’s Future Problem - The New York Times
  + stars: | 2024-05-17 | by ( Katherine Miller | ) www.nytimes.com   time to read: +2 min
Between Kentucky and Ohio, there’s a bridge that will eventually be rebuilt and replaced. Billions and billions of infrastructure money is similarly slowly winding its way through various processes, but, as Politico recently reported in an in-depth look at Mr. Biden’s domestic agenda, only some of it has been actually spent. In reporting about voters’ views of Mr. Biden, it’s clear that at least some think he’s hardly doing anything at all — and that if re-elected, there might be no change. In the way the Biden campaign talks sometimes, they make it sound like manufacturing is already booming. He’s trapped in an in-between: Bigger changes are coming, the things people said they wanted are coming, but not for years.
Persons: Joe Biden, Mitch McConnell, Gina Raimondo, Mr, Biden, it’s Organizations: Politico, Intel, Companies Locations: Kentucky, Ohio, United States
Toward the end of Maggie and Shane’s article, they report that Trump campaign officials told donors that the 2024 race has only three swing states: Wisconsin, Pennsylvania and Michigan. But Trump campaign officials also showed donors an “expanded reality” map that included Minnesota and Virginia, neither of which has received much attention this year. First, maybe they’ve polled and really see something in those states; the electoral map can change, as when Democrats won Georgia in 2020. Second, sometimes campaigns will spend money in less apparently competitive states primarily to require opponents to divert resources from a more competitive state. As time has gone on, though, voter enthusiasm for that social conservatism seems to have waned, as Jamelle Bouie has argued.
Persons: Maggie, it’s, Glenn Youngkin, Trump, Bouie Organizations: Trump, Democrats, Georgia Locations: Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Minnesota, Virginia
On Saturday night, while Iran fired drones and missiles into Israel, Donald Trump talked a lot about chaos. “What’s going on with the world?” Mr. Trump said while telling a story onstage. Russia, Ukraine, Israel; the Middle East is blowing up. China’s going to be next with Taiwan; because of weakness, China’s going to be next. Sometimes, with the way Mr. Trump talks, he can subtly lock more and more people into his inability to process his 2020 defeat.
Persons: Donald Trump, “ What’s, Trump, , What’s, Frank Sinatra’s “, Elvis Presley’s, Israel, hadn’t Locations: Iran, Israel, Russia, Ukraine, Taiwan, Allentown, Pa, Afghanistan
Listen to and follow ‘Matter of Opinion’Apple Podcasts | Spotify | Amazon MusicMany voters from both parties are less than enthusiastic about their likely options this November. This week the Opinion writer and editor Katherine Miller joins Michelle Cottle, Lydia Polgreen and Carlos Lozada to talk about uncommitted voters, double haters and how they could affect the election, whether they turn out or not. Plus, Lydia makes a plea against the tyranny of clean lines and interior design monoculture. (A full transcript of this audio essay will be available within 24 hours of publication in the audio player above.)
Persons: Katherine Miller, Michelle Cottle, Lydia Polgreen, Carlos Lozada, Lydia Organizations: Spotify, Music
Ms. Haley responded instantly, “I will never give up,” and a big cheer went up. These crowds tend to have — as a percentage, not in real numbers — more women and more couples, especially in their 60s and 70s, than the crowds at Trump events. And the most reliable response from any crowd Ms. Haley speaks to involves just the prospect of her quitting the race. This is a real emotion,” she said in a brief interview on Friday. It’s a real concern that they have with Donald Trump and Joe Biden.”
Persons: Nikki Haley, , Don’t, Haley, Donald Trump, Haley’s, , Joe Biden Organizations: Republican, Gamecocks, Clemson, Army, Trump Locations: Rock, S.C, South Carolina
Opinion | Why Wasn’t DeSantis the Guy?
  + stars: | 2024-01-19 | by ( Katherine Miller | ) www.nytimes.com   time to read: +1 min
The back read “Can’t Miss DeSantis” and featured a cartoon drawing of Mr. DeSantis, flanked by palm trees, playing beer pong. The existence of the T-shirt suggests that it once seemed possible, to someone anyway, to adopt the MAGA intellectual ethos of using the state to rebalance society and smash ideological enemies, and also be relaxed, normal, above it. And that’s where you’d find the theoretical Mr. DeSantis, ironically playing beer pong at a Bucs tailgate after church and a Home Depot run. This is reading a lot into a T-shirt, but ideas and realities about who candidates are, and what voters really want, seem central to understanding the last few years in politics. And even in 2022 that T-shirt stood out for the way its relaxed, fun bro diverged from the harder, more lawyerly governor who promised an updated, aggressive social conservatism that would use most tools of the state to battle academics and bureaucrats.
Persons: Ron DeSantis, , DeSantis ”, DeSantis, bro Organizations: Free Locations: Free State, Florida
This is the third time that I’ve really closely covered these races. I do think the weather is an election story, but it’s hard to know exactly what it means. I’ve heard people say that because it’s so cold, there are Trump voters who are going to say, eh, he’s going to win it anyway. That’s really cold. It seems like nobody will ever really know exactly what the weather did.
Persons: I’ve, I’m, Trump, Ron DeSantis, Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton, John Edwards, let’s, it’s Organizations: Trump, Republican, Democratic Locations: Iowa
Nikki Haley Is Gaining Ground - The New York Times
  + stars: | 2023-11-08 | by ( Katherine Miller | ) www.nytimes.com   time to read: +3 min
She’d need to continue dominating debates; she’d need to not fade or completely lose it when Mr. Trump turns a real attack on her; and more than anything she’d need a substantive critique, even if gently delivered, of Mr. Trump to feel true and land with people. A win in Iowa or New Hampshire for Ms. Haley would reset the entire primary. That response likely derived from the ridiculous period after Jan. 6, when Ms. Haley criticized Mr. Trump harshly, then seemed to dial it back. Part of it is the smooth, pain-free way Ms. Haley entered and extricated herself from the Trump administration, after criticizing him in 2016 and endorsing Marco Rubio. This picture of Ms. Haley culminated in Vivek Ramaswamy congratulating her on her future on the Raytheon board.
Persons: Trump, Haley, Sarah Palin, Mitt Romney, today’s, Jan, Mr, extricated, Marco Rubio, Vivek Ramaswamy, Eva Braun, , Rex Tillerson, Tim Alberta, Stuart Stevens, Marjorie Taylor Greene, Nikki, Katon Dawson, Organizations: Mr, South Carolina Legislature, Ivy, Raytheon, Democratic Party, Yorker, Locations: New Hampshire, Iowa, South Carolina, Alberta
Matthew Continetti Governor Haley is an excellent communicator, but her message was often lost amid all the cross talk. Daniel McCarthy In this debate, Governor Haley decided to play the role that Vivek Ramaswamy played last time, frequently interrupting and attacking others. Matthew Continetti Governor DeSantis is not an exciting debater, but he remains the most plausible alternative to Donald Trump. Jane Coaston He really, really, really wanted to fight Donald Trump, who was not present. His worst moment was a canned line in which he compared Donald Trump to Donald Duck (Disney defamation suit to follow).
Persons: Ronald Reagan, Jane Coaston, Tim Scott, Vivek Ramaswamy, Ramaswamy, Gail Collins, Matthew Continetti, Haley, Ron DeSantis, I’m, Michelle Cottle, Ross Douthat, Amy Klobuchar, Vivek Ramaswamy’s Pete Buttigieg —, Michelle Goldberg, Katherine Mangu, Ward, Daniel McCarthy, Katherine Miller Haley, Scott, ” Peter Wehner, she’d, DeSantis, Donald Trump, zinged Trump, Trump, he’s, Nobody, Michelle Goldberg DeSantis, DeSantis —, Daniel McCarthy He’s, don’t, Katherine Miller, Peter Wehner, Christie, Donald Duck, Matthew Continetti Governor Christie, He’s, , Ross Douthat “ Donald DUCK, “ Donald Duck, ” Katherine Mangu, Biden, ” Daniel McCarthy Governor Christie, Katherine Miller Christie, stemwinders, Donald Trump’s, Haley —, , , ” Matthew Continetti, MAGA populists, MAGA, Haley didn’t, Reagan, Ward Ramaswamy, Katherine Miller Ramaswamy, Burgum, Ross, Yep, Katherine Miller Burgum, Gail Collins Boy, Pence, , Mike Pence, Asa Hutchinson, Peter Wehner Trump Organizations: Republican, Ronald Reagan Presidential, American Special Operations, Washington, Trump, Fox, Washington , D.C, South, Blacks, , Reagan Locations: California, Iowa, New Hampshire, Mexico, Florida, Ukraine, Washington ,, New Jersey, Simi Valley, China, America, North Dakota
If we don’t control the border, it might not be our country, Mr. Scott said. We will repel the intrusion with force, Mr. DeSantis said. “I’m sick and tired of being sick and tired watching the weaponization of the D.O.J. “You’re going to have housecleaning at the Department of Justice,” Mr. DeSantis said. It can be hard to remember what made Mr. Trump distinct eight years ago, because it has become the texture of our lives.
Persons: Wallace, Wells, Ramaswamy, DeSantis, Tim Scott, Scott, , nobody’s, Mr, ” Mr, Joe Biden, Merrick Garland, Christopher Wray, “ You’re, , Darius Rucker’s, Trump, naïve, it’s, Iowa’s Organizations: Department of Justice, Bush Republican Party, Disney, Republican, Justice Department Locations: Iowa, New Hampshire
Donald Trump keeps the country in suspended animation from time to time — trying to get through the current situation, waiting for the next one, without an ending, indefinitely. People are waiting to see how the Republican primaries turn out. People are waiting for another election. And four times this spring and summer, people have waited for indictments, bookings, the reactions to the indictments and bookings and, surreally, the mug shot of Mr. Trump, framed in the same box as his fellow defendants’, framed in a phone screen on iMessage or Instagram. In Fulton County, Ga., District Attorney Fani T. Willis’s indictment is the biggest yet, charging 19 people in a document aiming for the historical record and bringing them to Atlanta — the conclusion to months of indictments.
Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, , Fani Organizations: Republican Locations: Fulton County ,, Atlanta
Opinion | Mark Meadows Is Everywhere and Nowhere
  + stars: | 2023-08-18 | by ( Katherine Miller | ) www.nytimes.com   time to read: +2 min
The image of Mr. Meadows somewhere surreal and incorrect, and only partially visible, is a fitting one. And in the audio where Mr. Trump jokes about classified documents and ruffles papers around, he’s reportedly talking to Mr. Meadows’s ghost writer. Then, later in the day, he contradicted his remark to say that Mr. Trump was “doing very well.”Why did he do any of this? At the time, the writer Tim Alberta noted various theories: Was Mr. Trump actually in bad shape inside the hospital, and Mr. Meadows thought people should know? Was Mr. Meadows overwhelmed?
Persons: he’s, Ginni, Donald Trump Jr, Cassidy Hutchinson, Meadows’s, Trump, Meadows, Trump’s, Walter, , Tim Alberta Organizations: Fox News, Trump White House, Walter Reed National Military Medical
They left behind a few panicked people who remained grounded in reality like former White House counsel Pat Cipollone and Mr. Pence, and then Rudy Giuliani, Sidney Powell and the rest. Again and again, people describe desperate circumstances, arguments about doing things like seizing the voting machines, or trying to persuade Mr. Trump to call off the riot. According to prosecutors, at 7:01 p.m. on Jan. 6, Mr. Cipollone called Mr. Trump and asked him to withdraw his objections to certification; Mr. Trump refused. In his book, “Why We Did It,” Tim Miller debates this question with Alyssa Farah Griffin, a former White House communications official. In his book, Mr. Esper describes the way Mr. Pence represented a sane, normal presence in meetings.
Persons: Trump, Pat Cipollone, Pence, Rudy Giuliani, Sidney Powell, Cipollone, Jonathan Swan, Trump’s, Tim Miller, Alyssa Farah Griffin, , Miller, Alyssa, flack, George Floyd, Mark Esper, Esper Organizations: Mr, White, Trump, Federal Trade Commission, White House
archived recording (joe manchin) I’m happy to speak to that because I believe in an all in energy policy. archived recording (joe manchin) Because Jon and I have a different opinion. archived recording (kevin cirilli) And because if there is a Republican and a Democrat, respectively — archived recording (jon huntsman) We can fix problems. archived recording (joe manchin) Well, nobody knows. katherine millerManchin says —archived recording (joe manchin) Well, they tried in 1864.
Persons: katherine miller I’m Katherine Miller, I’m, Trump, They’ve, Joe Biden, Donald Trump, katherine miller, Joe Manchin, who’s, Jon Huntsman, He’s, katherine, , he’s, jon, Jon, you’ve, Kevin Cirilli, there’s, kevin cirilli, Huntsman, jon huntsman, We’ve, Manchin Organizations: Biden, Voters, Tea Party, Republican, Democrat, West Virginia, New Hampshire, Democratic, White Locations: New Hampshire, Utah, New, who’s, United States
How Serious is No Labels? - The New York Times
  + stars: | 2023-07-20 | by ( Katherine Miller | ) www.nytimes.com   time to read: +3 min
No Labels is this last refuge, a resting place inside and outside the two parties and a half-finished Washington dreamscape. This fact is the firm but vibrating floor beneath the No Labels project and the panic it has produced — the recognition that we’re approaching a 2024 election that will make American voters unhappy. Unhappy enough to vote for a mystery unity ticket, only on the principle of their unhappiness? I don’t know that the electoral effects of No Labels are as clear as people say. And No Labels is here to take advantage of that sadness with a half-finished idea.
Persons: Brad Schneider of, , Brad Schneider, , Huntsman, I’ve, They’re, That’s, , ‘ I’ve, there’s, Manchin, Larry Hogan, Biden Organizations: U.S . Rep, Washington dreamscape, Republican, Republican Party, Biden, Trump, Mr Locations: Brad Schneider of Illinois, China, Russia, New Hampshire, Atlanta, Colorado, Maryland, America
The proof of the existence of this bargain is the way people talk about prospective trades: Would you give up this for that? But the table feels like it’s tilting like that in the 21st century, the bargain rebalancing in unpredictable ways, even when unwanted by the public. Governors who sign laws that reverse older laws sometimes stay quiet; Republican presidential candidates remain vague about what policy should look like. We didn’t know if we’d be fined,” a Florida woman told CNN. A Republican participant said, “If they are demanding control here, where does it end?”
Persons: Roe, Wade, we’d, something’s, , Organizations: South, Republican, , CNN, Arizona Republican, Politico Locations: Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, Florida, Arizona
The drag and scrutiny in the aftermath of Jan. 6 might be an answer. With many entry points to the problem, and without a shared consensus about what the real problem with the Trump era was, satisfaction here might be difficult to achieve. And Mr. Trump is raising a lot of money and consolidating his polling advantage in the wake of the first indictment. Ms. Lofgren noted that the Jan. 6 committee was different from any experience she’d had, beginning with its unique presentation structure. It’s like some mixed-up version of deterrence and truth, with a society trying something, anything, with possibly volatile precedents for the future.
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