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The euro has declined rapidly, meanwhile, briefly dipping below $1.05 on Nov. 14 for the first time since October 2023. Modeling by Barclays' economists shows the euro hitting dollar parity with a 10% tariff on European products and subsequent retaliation. The bank said the prospect of Trump tariffs and fiscal reforms had caused it to revise its view that the dollar would gradually decline through the year, instead seeing the U.S. currency "stronger for longer." Since hitting a low in September 2022, the euro has been comfortably back above parity even if below its long-range average. One of those 2022 factors roared back into focus this week, weighing broadly on European assets: the threat of escalating tensions with Russia.
Persons: Donald Trump, James Reilly, Reilly, George Saravelos, Trump, Saravelos, Goldman Sachs, Goldman Organizations: U.S, Republican, China —, Federal Reserve, Capital Economics, Federal, European Central Bank, FX Research, Deutsche Bank, Trump, Barclays, ECB, Fed Locations: Congress, China, U.S, Europe, Russia, Ukraine
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Russia warns of nuclear responseUkraine "struck a facility in [the] Bryansk region" of Russia using six U.S.-made missiles, said Russia's Ministry of Defense. On Tuesday, Russian President Vladimir Putin updated the country's nuclear doctrine, expanding the circumstances that would warrant a response using nuclear weapons. Markets recovered from jittersU.S. markets mostly closed higher on Tuesday after dipping in response to news of heightened geopolitical tensions.
Persons: Vladimir Putin, Cristiano Amon's, Atomico, Goldman Sachs, David Kostin Organizations: CNBC, Ministry of Defense, Micro Computer, Eurostat, Qualcomm Qualcomm, Qualcomm, Venture Locations: Russia, Ukraine, Bryansk, jitters U.S, New, Europe, Tuesday's, U.S
President-elect Donald Trump selected Robert F. Kennedy Jr. to lead the Health and Human Services Department, the United States' top health agency. This cabinet appointment has created jitters among various healthcare stocks. I want to find a way to hedge my healthcare exposure and also capitalize on further potential downside in the lagging healthcare sector by using options in Health Care Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLV) . The trade I want to buy a put spread to express my short-term bearish view on healthcare. BEFORE MAKING ANY FINANCIAL DECISIONS, YOU SHOULD STRONGLY CONSIDER SEEKING ADVICE FROM YOUR OWN FINANCIAL OR INVESTMENT ADVISOR.
Persons: Donald Trump, Robert F, Kennedy Jr, SPDR, Eli Lily, UnitedHealthcare, Johnson Organizations: Health, Human Services Department, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: United States, crosshairs
Trump's proposed tariffs could lead to increased global manufacturing activity temporarily. Related Video China, Russia boast that trade is at an "all-time high" despite Western sanctions"Just as businesses try to get ahead of that, you could actually see a little bit of pop in global manufacturing, China manufacturing, as we head into the first quarter," he added. Exports could dip with focus on trade deficitsAny a temporary boost in trade would just be that: temporary. Advertisement"Higher US tariffs on Chinese exports could re-direct those exports into Asia, hurting local production," wrote the Nomura economists. "More tit-for-tat trade retaliation, trade policy uncertainty and delayed policy easing in some Asian economies will also likely spill into domestic demand," they added.
Persons: , Donald Trump, Trump, Joe Lupton, Zichun Huang Organizations: Service, JPMorgan, Capital Economics, Exports, Nomura Locations: China, Russia, Vietnam, Japan, South Korea, India, Asia
West Palm Beach, Florida CNN —Donald Trump began his political comeback when many in his own party wanted him to go away. A lineup of former allies, including Trump’s first vice president, Mike Pence; ex-political protege Florida Gov. Trump’s political team seized on their change in fortune, selling T-shirts with his mug shot and consolidating support throughout the country. Trump’s campaign had made substantial gains among every demographic his campaign set out to find new votes. “They came from all quarters: Union, nonunion, African American, Hispanic American, Asian American, Arab American, Muslim American,” Trump said in his victory remarks.
Persons: Palm Beach , Florida CNN — Donald Trump, underwhelmed, Trump, , ” Trump, Jill Stein, , Brian Hughes, Susie Wiles, Chris LaCivita, Trump’s, Susie, Chris, Joe Biden, Rather, Kamala Harris, Mike Pence, Ron DeSantis, Nikki Haley, , Wiles, Palm Beach . Wiles, Haley, Joe Rogan —, Alex Bruesewitz, Barron, Biden, Ronna McDaniel, McDaniel, James Blair, “ We’re, Charlie Kirk, Elon Musk, Musk, Kirk, CNN’s David Wright Organizations: Palm Beach , Florida CNN, White, Sun, Republican, Detroit, Green, Democratic, Republican Jewish Coalition, Electoral, Republican Party, GOP, Gov, United, Nazi, Mar, Michigan autoworkers, Social Security, CNN, RNC, Trump, America PAC, Musk’s, Madison Locations: Palm Beach , Florida, Palm Beach, Midwest, Israel, Florida, Trump, American, Iowa, Vermont, Washington, DC, Michigan, Bronx, Nevada, Philadelphia, Arizona, Puerto Rico, Arab
Still, investors don’t appear to be letting their jitters get to them — at least not entirely. “Valuations at the market level and individual stock level are always the key to long-term performance. You may have a lot of noise in the short term, but for long-term investors, it’s always going to be all about valuation,” he said. An election year analysis from Danny Noonan at Morningstar Wealth found that investors are significantly better off in the long run if they ignore politics. For investors, that suggests the best strategy may be to keep calm, trade on — and leave the politics at the polling place.
Persons: , Keith Lerner, Wall, Helene, Milton, Lerner, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Brent Schutte, Dave Sekera, it’s, Danny Noonan, Noonan Organizations: New, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, Northwestern Mutual Wealth Management Company, Morningstar, Morningstar Wealth, Democrat, Republican, they’d Locations: New York, United States
A gold ingot and gold coins are seen in this illustration picture taken November 17, 2017. "Gold is very much being anchored on the U.S. election outcome ... "If we see hot inflation numbers or a strong jobs report, then there could be a derailment in gold prices," Wong added. In addition, Goldman Sachs lowered its gold forecast from $3,080 to $3,000 by December 2025, but maintained its bullish stance. On the retail front, Indian gold buyers overlooked record high prices, purchasing for the Dhanteras and Diwali festivals, hoping for continued price rallies amid a cooling stock market.
Persons: Gold, Kelvin Wong, OANDA, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Wong, Friday's, Goldman Sachs Organizations: U.S, Asia Pacific, U.S . Labor Department
The outcome of upcoming elections in the world's leading economy is set to ripple into global markets no matter who clinches leadership of the White House, UBS head Sergio Ermotti told CNBC on Wednesday. "We do expect, no matter who wins and the outcome, we do expect some market movements. Markets are bracing as voters flock to the polls on Nov. 5, with the U.S. holding both the world's foremost reserve currency and the largest stock exchange by market capitalization. Under a [Donald] Trump presidency, we see that as being inflationary on the back of his focus on immigration and on tariffs. But we don't see any outcome as being particularly growth positive.
Persons: Sergio Ermotti, CNBC's Annette Weisbach, Ermotti, Donald, Trump, Arun Sai, CNBC's Organizations: White House, UBS, CNBC, Swiss, U.S, U.S . Federal, . Treasury, Pictet Asset Management, Trump Locations: U.S
The Conference Board’s latest consumer survey showed that Americans this month became more optimistic about the future of both the labor market and the broader US economy. The monthly survey’s Consumer Confidence Index jumped in October by the fastest clip since March 2021. In September, jitters over the job market’s health weighed on consumer confidence, but economic data after that showed that the job market remains solid. “Views on the current availability of jobs rebounded after several months of weakness, potentially reflecting better labor market data,” Peterson said. Data for September pointed to a robust job market, which translated into better consumer confidence.
Persons: , ” Dana Peterson, jitters, ” Peterson, Kamala Harris, , Lael Brainard, Robert Frick, August’s Organizations: Washington CNN, Conference Board’s, White House, Navy Federal Credit Union
“A complete jump ball,” said Dennis Lennox, a Republican strategist who works in Michigan. “Nobody really knows what will happen.”Beyond the suburbs, Republicans see opportunities to peel off traditionally Democratic voters, like Black men. Now, many Lebanese American and Palestinian American voters in Michigan say they will not vote for Harris under any circumstance. And she signaled that she believes support for Harris from Republicans like Upton could be key to the race. “This is the center of the political universe, here in Michigan.”Alex Seitz-Wald reported from Camden, Maine; Henry Gomez reported from Detroit, Michigan.
Persons: Kamala Harris, Haley Stevens, Harris, Donald Trump, , , she’s, Sen, Mitt Romney, It’s, Liz Cheney, Fred Upton, Trump, Ron Robinson, “ I’ve, ” Robinson, Biden, it’s, Dennis Lennox, “ Trump, ” Lennox, Barack Obama, Pamela, Harris canvasser, , Obama, I’ve, Liz Cheney's, Alabas, Lyin ’ Kamala Harris, ” Trump, Dick Cheney, Massad Boulos, Tiffany Trump, Boulos, Lara Trump, Trump’s, Jill Stein, , Gretchen Whitmer, Upton, Tim Walz, ” Whitmer, Republicans don’t, Jennifer Conlin, Ann Arbor, “ I’m, ” Conlin, , , Paul Hudson, Hillary Scholten, ” Hudson, ” Alex Seitz, Wald, Henry Gomez Organizations: DETROIT, Democratic, Democrat, Democratic Party, Republican, Utica City, Michigan House, Trump, Michigan Arab, U.S, Lebanese, Palestinian American, Lebanese American Democrat, Dearborn, Renaissance, Republican National Committee, NBC News, Republicans, Locations: Michigan, Gaza, Oakland County, Detroit, Bloomfield Hills, R, Utah, , Detroit’s Macomb County, Utica, , LaSalle Washington, Washington, Lebanon, Dearborn, Iraq, Lebanese American, Rochester, Ann, Grand, Camden , Maine, Detroit , Michigan
Federal authorities, meanwhile, say their security procedures are sound heading into Election Day, Nov. 5. Its domestic flight bookings are down 19% for the week of the election compared with the same week last year. That has left more room for political jitters to creep into consumers’ travel considerations, travel agents say. That’s partly why Olivia MacLeod Dwinell, 64, and her husband Ross Dwinell, 74, were in Europe this month. Olivia MacLeod Dwinell and her husband, Ross Dwinnell.
Persons: Emily Reeve, , , Reeve, Ed Bastian Delta, Ed Bastian, Delta, they’d, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, they’re, Kelly Soderlund, Thibaud Moritz, ” Soderlund, Transportation Security Administration “, Jeffrey Price, Olivia MacLeod Dwinell, Sonia Bhagwan, Ross Dwinell, Dwinell, Ross’s, “ We’re, ” Kimberly Kracun, Kimberly, Ross Dwinnell, Olivia MacLeod Dwinell “, ” Kracun, Chirag, Panchal Organizations: Federal, Delta Air, Ed Bastian Delta Air, CNBC, United Airlines, AFP, Getty, Republican, Trump, Transportation Security Administration, ” Flyers, MMGY Travel Intelligence, Future Partners, Baby Boomers, Chirag Panchal, Dallas Locations: Hawaii , Florida, Portland , Oregon, U.S, Navan, Portland, Europe, London, France, Harpers Ferry, West Virginia, Dallas
Investors will contend with earnings results from five of the Magnificent Seven companies next week. .SPX 1M mountain S & P 500 "I sort of refer to this period that we're in right now as like a strange brew," said Mark Malek, investment chief at Siebert. On Friday, the Nasdaq Composite hit an all-time high , but the S & P 500 snapped a six-week win streak. In fact, the high concentration of the mega-cap leaders in the S & P 500 spurred Goldman Sachs' David Kostin this month to release a dim long-term forecast for the overall market. HSBC head of equity strategy Nicole Inui upped her S & P 500 year-end target to 5,900.
Persons: Mark Malek, Siebert, Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Siebert's Malek, they've, Nicole Inui, Inui, D.R Horton, Price, Eli Lilly, Lauder Organizations: Microsoft, Meta, Apple, Nasdaq, U.S, Treasury, Big Tech, HSBC, FactSet, Richmond Fed, Dallas Fed, Ford, Semiconductor, Caesars Entertainment, Devices, Pfizer, Royal Caribbean Group, PayPal, ADP, Kraft Heinz, Caterpillar, GE Healthcare Technologies, Holdings, ECI Civilian Workers, PCE, PCE Deflator, Chicago PMI, Cruise Line Holdings, Uber Technologies, Lauder Companies, Mastercard, Generac, Jobs, PMI, Manufacturing, Exxon Mobil Locations: U.S, Chicago
The S & P 500 is down 0.9% week to date, on pace to snap a six-week advance. There may be more turbulence next week as the election draws closer, but history shows all is not lost for the market. The week of the election itself, the broad market index has seen a median gain of 0.56%. In 2020, the S & P 500 dropped 5.6% the week before the election, then rallied 7.3% the week of the vote. Elsewhere on Wall Street this morning, KeyBanc downgraded Apple to underweight, citing concerns around the company's iPhone sales.
Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Harris, Trump, KeyBanc Organizations: U.S, CNBC, America Economic Survey, CNBC Pro, Apple
The S & P 500 suffered its first three-day decline since early September. Chief market technician Jonathan Krinsky noted a "decent probability" the broad market index could fall as much as 5% to roughly 5,500 in coming weeks. The S & P 500 has pulled back this week from record highs reached just Oct. 17. Krinsky pointed to the recent move higher in Treasury yields as the key catalyst. Elsewhere on Wall Street this morning, JPMorgan reiterated Live Nation with an overweight rating and raised a $137 price target, implying upside of more than 19%.
Persons: BTIG, Jonathan Krinsky, Krinsky, Tesla Organizations: UPS, JPMorgan
Gold ticks higher as safe-haven bids offset firm dollar
  + stars: | 2024-10-24 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Gold bars seen at Gold Investments bullion dealers in London, U.K., on January 15, 2014. Gold prices drifted higher on Thursday, as safe-haven demand countered a firmer dollar, while palladium hit a more than one-month peak. Spot gold rose 0.3% to $2,725.51 per ounce by 0143 GMT. A stronger dollar makes gold more expensive for other currency holders. "The Fed's monetary easing cycle, stimulus measures in China, and supply constraints will continue to drive silver prices higher into 2025 where it could potentially scale higher levels of around $45," Sachdeva said.
Persons: Kamala Harris, Republican Donald Trump, Sugandha Sachdeva, Sachdeva, Nornickel Organizations: Gold Investments, U.S, Republican, New, SS, Bloomberg News Locations: London, New Delhi, ., China, U.S
CNN —Disney is about to have its fourth board chair in just over three years, as the company continues to navigate ongoing tumult in the media industry. Chairman Mark Parker will step down at the end of the year, the company announced Monday. Arnold had served on Disney’s board for a decade and a half. Gorman currently serves as the chair of Disney’s succession planning committee, which is responsible for the CEO search. The company said Gorman will prove a valuable leader to help navigate Disney through it all.
Persons: Mark Parker, Morgan Stanley, James Gorman, Parker, , ” Gorman, Peter Parks, Susan Arnold, Arnold, Gorman, Bob Iger, Iger, “ James Gorman, , James Organizations: CNN, Disney, Getty, Iger, ESPN, ABC Locations: AFP
Safe-haven gold breaks $2,700 per ounce level as uncertainty looms
  + stars: | 2024-10-18 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Spot gold firmed 0.5% to $2,706.76 per ounce by 0220 GMT, adding nearly 2% so far in the week. U.S. gold futures rose 0.5% to $2,722.00. It's just a bull market that shows no signs of exhaustion," said Tai Wong, a New York-based independent metals trader. Spot silver rose 0.5% to $31.92 per ounce and was headed for a weekly gain. Elsewhere, data showed that top metals consumer China's economy expanded 4.6% in the third quarter from a year earlier, slightly beating analysts' expectations.
Persons: Tai Wong, Yahya Sinwar, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump Organizations: U.S ., Treasury, Federal, European Central Bank, Democratic, Republican Locations: New York, U.S, Israel
The anxiety abated for a bit when Vice President Kamala Harris replaced him on the ticket and her poll numbers spiked. With Harris' numbers stagnant now for weeks, many Democrats are once again fretting that the election is slipping away and that Donald Trump may yet regain power. Harris appears to be OK with the collective jitters, recognizing that if Democrats fear they might lose, they're more apt to show up at the polls and help her win. Polling shows that neither Harris nor Trump has built a lead outside the margin of error. Claims that Harris is an underdog amount to “a liberal plot to get us overconfident on the Trump side,” he added.
Persons: Joe Biden, Kamala Harris, Harris, Donald Trump, Trump, , can’t, That’s, “ She’s, she’s, Hillary Clinton, , John McLaughlin, , She’s, ” Harris, Biden, “ You’ve, you’ve, ” David Plouffe, Barack Obama, “ Kamala Harris, Tim Walz, strode, — Obama, — Clinton, Ellen DeGeneres, “ Hamilton, Lin, Manuel Miranda Organizations: WASHINGTON, Trump, Democratic, Fox News, IGN Locations: West Palm Beach , Florida, Greenville , North Carolina, Detroit, Erie , Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Michigan, Georgia, Greenville, Pennsylvania, Ohio, Seattle
TSMC's growth was driven by strong demand for artificial intelligence technology. But the market is questioning whether the euphoria over AI and AI chips is sustainable. AdvertisementChip giant Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company just reported strong growth, thanks to continued enthusiasm for artificial intelligence — even amid persistent questions over the return on investment from the technology. The Taiwanese company's blockbuster results came after Dutch chip equipment maker ASML — a supplier to TSMC — reported guidance on Tuesday that disappointed investors and triggered a sell-off in chip stocks. But it doesn't mean AI demand is fizzling.
Persons: , LSEG, TSMC —, Wei, Goldman Sachs, Christophe Fouquet, Roger Dassen, ASML, Dassen, Andy Li, Li Organizations: Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Service, Taiwan, Nvidia, New York Stock Exchange, ASML Locations: Taiwan, Dutch, China
China's stock markets slumped after a 10-day rally that was driven by Beijing's stimulus announcement in September. Retail investors dominate China's markets, influencing sentiment and market movements. AdvertisementChina's top leadership has a problem with its economic stimulus: its own investors at home saw right through the hype this week. China's domestic stock markets slumped on Wednesday after a 10-day blitz culminated in a two-year high. China's domestic stock markets are dominated by over 200 million mom-and-pop retail investors, who account for about 70% of the trading volume.
Persons: , weren't, Jun Rong, that's, Vishnu, Li Qiang, Hele Qiao, Qiao Organizations: Investors, Service, People's Bank of China, Reform Commission, BofA Global Locations: Shanghai, Shenzhen, China, Hong Kong, Beijing, Asia, Japan, Xinhua, Greater China, China's
5 uniform to the first-round pick last May, is one of the best in the NFL at his position. Until the lone punt in Week 4, they had 16 consecutive scoring drives (excluding kneel-down situations). Nobody needs to punt if the offense continually marches down the field. Way said he’s constantly thinking on the sideline about when he’s checking in, what the wind velocity is and what specifically to aim for. It was a decent punt that our guys went down and made a great tackle.
Persons: Jayden Daniels, Tress, he’s, , , Daniels, Kliff, it’s, It’s, haven’t, Dan Snyder, Josh Harris, Adam Peters, Dan Quinn, Terry McLaughlin, I’m Organizations: Washington, NFL, NBC News, NFC, Cardinals, New England Patriots, Denver Broncos, San Francisco 49ers, Atlanta Falcons, Dallas Cowboys, Arizona Locations: Washington
After Hoda Kotb’s emotional announcement that she is leaving "TODAY" next year, Jenna Bush Hager tearfully remembered how Kotb was in her corner when it came to becoming her co-host. “You are who I come to, and you believed in me first,” Bush Hager told Kotb on the fourth hour of "TODAY" on Thursday. “Looking at you and seeing magic was one of the easiest things I’ve ever seen in my life,” Kotb told Bush Hager. Kotb recalled Bush Hager calling her father, former President George W. Bush, to work through the jitters at first. “Certain relationships are one in a million, and this is,” she told Bush Hager.
Persons: Jenna Bush Hager, Kotb, ” Bush Hager, , , , ” Kotb, Bush Hager, George W, Bush, ’ ” Bush Hager, they’re, I’m, “ Hoda, Bush Hager’s, , that’s, you’ve
I felt a tremendous sense of guilt when my mother unexpectedly died on Christmas Eve in 2004 at the young age of 48. I think some of it stems from the guilt I've felt over her death. "But it's not a given that if your mom or dad died young, you're definitely going to die young." "Guilt is there because our culture does not provide children, especially young ones, with the reason why their parents died," she explains. Soon, she says, I will begin to realize that just because my mother died young doesn't mean I will, too.
Persons: didn't, I've, I'm, Jumoke Omojola, Omojola, doesn't Organizations: Service, Business, Social, National Institutes of Health Locations: Illinois, Kansas City , Missouri
Hezbollah fighters at the funeral of a commander in August, in the southern suburbs of Beirut, Lebanon. By 2000, Israel had withdrawn from Lebanon, making Hezbollah a hero to many Lebanese. In that war, Israel rained bombs on southern Lebanon and Beirut, the capital; the fighting killed more than 1,000 Lebanese. Even some of Hezbollah’s traditionally loyal Shiite Muslim constituents in southern Lebanon are questioning the price of the current fighting. Estimates vary about just how many missiles Hezbollah has and just how sophisticated its systems are.
Persons: Israel hasn’t, Israel, Hassan Nasrallah, Nasrallah, Diego Ibarra Sánchez, Bashar al, Assad, Euan Ward Organizations: Hezbollah, Hamas, Palestine Liberation Organization, Credit, The New York Times, Central Intelligence Locations: Beirut, Lebanon, Gaza, Israel, Iran, Lebanese, United States, Syria
Read previewMidsize stocks are an investment straight out of the "Goldilocks and the Three Bears story," and Goldman Sachs believes they're destined for a fairy-tale ending. Goldman Sachs suspects that a reversal is coming as mid-cap earnings top those of large caps. And while small caps should post even higher earnings growth next year, that cohort is filled with unprofitable companies, Ma noted. "Low-quality segments of the market, such as small caps, will likely remain pressured at these levels due to weak balance sheets and low profitability." Below are 25 mid-cap stocks in the S&P 400 that Goldman Sachs spotlighted due to their solid balance sheets, double-digit expected earnings growth for 2025, above-average sales growth, and cheap valuations based on their forward earnings multiple versus their five-year median.
Persons: , Goldman Sachs, Jenny Ma, Ma, they've, Goldman Organizations: Service, Business, Federal Reserve
Total: 25