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The yen carry trade unwind in August led to a temporary market pullback and recovery. AdvertisementThe foreign exchange market has been eerily quiet since the yen carry trade unwind. Much of the moves from the yen carry unwinding witnessed in August happened at this layer, Barrett said. But what we've seen in the yen carry trade is only the beginning, Barrett said. "Now, you may not think that's a yen carry trade, but it's absolutely the purest yen carry trade because all of that pension fund money started off as yen," Barrett said.
Persons: , David Barrett, allocators, unwinding, Barrett, It's, it's, Harris, David, Trump Organizations: Service, EBC Financial, Bank of, Bloomberg, Big Tech, Nvidia Locations: Bank of Japan, Japan
Western sanctions have forced Russia to rely on the Chinese yuan for reserves and trade. China's financial system is deeply tied to the greenback, limiting diversification options. These include the entrenched role of the greenback in the global commodities trade and much larger foreign reserves than Russia, wrote Greene, a former senior advisor at the US Treasury. However, many CIPS participants are highly connected to the dollar financial system and potentially subject to the reach of US sanctions. The dollar is still kingIn short, China just can't copy Russia's sanctions-proofing playbook and is likely to continue orbiting around the dollar financial system in the near-term.
Persons: , China —, Robert Greene, Greene, China's, It's, dollarization, James Lord, Morgan Stanley's, Michael Zezas Organizations: Service, Carnegie Endowment Asia, US Treasury, Patomak Global Partners, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston Locations: Russia, China, Beijing, Russia's, Ukraine
Introduction to the federal funds rateDefinition and purpose of the federal fund rateThe federal funds rate, or fed funds rate, is the interest rate set by the Federal Open Markets Committee. The Federal Reserve lowered the federal fund rate on September 19, 2024, to stop aggressive inflation and prevent a recession. Today, the federal fund rate is 5.00%, with the federal fund target rate being 4.75% to 5.00%. How the federal funds rate worksThe federal funds rate, or the overnight rate, is the interest commercial banks charge when they lend money to one another for extremely short-term periods — literally, overnight. Federal funds rate FAQsWhat happens when the federal funds rate is high?
Persons: Karen Fernandez Tessa Campbell, Tessa Campbell, Tessa, she’s Organizations: Federal Reserve, Federal, Federal Open Markets, Fed, Market, Fed's, Governors, Federal Reserve Bank, Susquehanna University
A "Buy Treasury bonds" poster is seen at a bank in Haian, East China's Jiangsu province, Aug 1, 2024. "We remain actively bullish," said a bond fund manager, undeterred by unprecedented government moves to cool the sizzling treasury market and arrest a plunge in yields, which move inversely to prices. Falling yields also complicate the People's Bank of China's (PBOC) efforts to stabilize the weakening yuan. Unlike the West, "China's financial markets, including the bond market, are subject to top-down regulation," said Ryan Yonk, economist with the American Institute for Economic Research. Late on Friday, the central bank said it will gradually increase the purchase and sale of treasury bonds in its open market operations.
Persons: Wang Hongfei, Ryan Yonk, Pan Gongsheng, Kiyong Seong, Tan Yiming Organizations: Bank of China's, American Institute for Economic Research, Societe Generale, Minsheng Securities Locations: Haian, East China's Jiangsu, Beijing, Shanghai, China, Asia
Bank of England reports problems with CHAPS payments system
  + stars: | 2024-07-18 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Blurred buses pass the Bank of England in the City of London on 7th February 2024 in London, United Kingdom. The Bank of England said on Thursday that a "global payments issue" was affecting the interbank payments service CHAPS, delaying some high-value and time-sensitive payments including some house purchases. "We are mindful of the impact this is likely to have and are working closely with a third-party supplier, industry and other authorities to resolve the issue as promptly as possible," it said in a statement. Retail payment systems and cash machines were unaffected, the BoE added. The CHAPS system - which is operated by the BoE - has suffered technical problems before, including in August last year and in 2014 when the Real-Time Gross Settlement system, which underpins CHAPS, did not work normally for several hours.
Persons: BoE, underpins CHAPS Organizations: Bank of England Locations: City of London, London, United Kingdom
The Chinese yuan made up 99.6% of Russian foreign exchange market in June, Bloomberg reported. This comes after the dollar and euro were barred from Russia's main exchange. One expert predicted this would happen, claiming the yuan would become Russia's main trade currency "once and for all." AdvertisementAverage daily volumes in the foreign exchange market contracted by close to a third in the month's second half, the bank report said. AdvertisementHowever, a surge of Russian demand for the Chinese currency has created a yuan liquidity shortage, Bloomberg separately reported.
Persons: , Moex, Alexandra Prokopenko Organizations: Bloomberg, Service, of, Moscow Exchange, Treasury, Carnegie Russia Eurasia Center, Bank of Locations: of Russia, Moscow, Russia, Beijing, Bank of Russia
“What worries policymakers is the interest rate risk, which will rise once the dominant narrative shifts from deflation to reflation,” Hu from Macquarie said. If that happens, bond yields will rise as investors switch back into riskier stocks. The country’s “4,000 or so small and medium-sized banks” will be particularly vulnerable to the interest rate risk, he added. “The bubble formed by the rush of funds into the bond market is accumulating interest rate risks,” the Securities Times said in an editorial. Economic risksThe rapid decline in Chinese bond yields also poses significant risks to the economy.
Persons: , , Pan Gongsheng, SVB, Larry Hu, ” Hu, Macquarie, Hu, Zhang Jiqiang, Ken Cheung Organizations: Hong Kong CNN, Silicon Valley Bank, People’s Bank of China, prudential, , Federal Reserve, Macquarie Group, Zheshang Securities, Securities Times, Japan’s Norinchukin Bank, Huatai Securities, Mizuho Securities Locations: Hong Kong, Silicon, United States, Shanghai, China, Beijing, SVB, outflows
Steady dollar sends yen to the brink of 160
  + stars: | 2024-06-26 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
The dollar was firm on Wednesday and trading on the precipice of the 160 yen barrier as investors turned cautious and counted down to the release of U.S. price data at the end of the week. The dollar was firm on Wednesday and trading on the precipice of the 160 yen barrier as investors turned cautious and counted down to the release of U.S. price data at the end of the week. The Australian dollar dipped 0.1% to $0.6640 and the New Zealand dollar similarly slipped to $0.6115, with small moves reflecting thin trade. Sterling was steady at $1.268, while bitcoin has recovered somewhat from a dip below $60,000 this week to trade at $61,668. "The yen moves more, and yuan moves are more controlled, but they seldom move in opposite directions," said Societe Generale strategist Kit Juckes.
Persons: Pat Bustamante, Lisa Cook, Michelle Bowman, Bowman, bitcoin, Kit Juckes Organizations: Canadian, Westpac, Federal, Fed, New Zealand, Citi, Sterling, Generale Locations: Asia, U.S, China
A bank employee count China’s renminbi (RMB) or yuan notes next to U.S. dollar notes at a Kasikornbank in Bangkok, Thailand, January 26, 2023. Beijing has long touted its ambitions for increasing global use of the Chinese yuan — also known as the "renminbi" or "RMB" — in an international financial market where the U.S. dollar is the dominant currency. watch nowLast year, the HKEX announced a "Dual-Counter" program that allows investors to trade Hong Kong-listed securities in Hong Kong dollars or Chinese yuan. The euro was slightly higher at 5.6%, while the U.S. dollar dominated with a nearly 85% share, the data showed. A maturing financial marketDeveloping more Chinese yuan-denominated investment products also requires a maturation of the local financial sector.
Persons: China’s renminbi, Athit Perawongmetha, Bonnie Chan, Chan, We're, SWIFT, Fred Hu, Hu, it's, Patience, Kenny Lam Organizations: Reuters, Hong Kong Exchanges, U.S ., International Monetary Fund, U.S, Primavera Capital, Sigma Asia Locations: U.S, Bangkok, Thailand, Reuters DALIAN, China, Beijing, Russia, Dalian, Hong Kong, Shanghai, Pacific
The latest batch of US sanctions against Russia will promote further use of the yuan, a think tank said. It argued that as ruble volatility increases, the Chinese currency will offer stability. While sanctions also threaten Chinese entities, they won't be enough to disrupt yuan trading, it said. AdvertisementFresh sanctions on Russia are too late to be a game-changer, but they will help cement the role of China's yuan in place of Western currencies, a think tank said. "In May, its share in exchange trading once again hit a new record, reaching 53.6 percent.
Persons: , Alexandra Prokopenko, Prokopenko Organizations: Russia, Service, Carnegie, Carnegie Russia Eurasia Center, Kremlin Locations: Russia, Carnegie Russia, Moscow, Beijing, Kazakhstan, UAE
The emergence of new regional payment systems likely won't spur de-dollarization, OMFIF said. According to commentary published Thursday, obstacles are already afflicting new regional payment systems, even as de-dollarization rhetoric creeps up. AdvertisementMeanwhile, efforts to assemble regional financial systems have delivered the Pan-African Payment and Settlement System, OMFIF cited as one example. For instance, it's even launched its own payments infrastructure, the Cross-border Interbank Payment System. But China's efforts to create an alternative system are a defensive ploy for now, OMFIF wrote in a separate note from May.
Persons: OMFIF, , Julian Jacobs, it's, That's, Zoe Liu Organizations: Service, Monetary, Financial, Forum, United Arab, China, Foreign Relations Locations: China , Hong Kong, United Arab Emirates, Thailand, Russia, Ukraine, Beijing, Taiwan
There's one major thing the West could, but won't, do: kill all Russian banks' access to the Society for Worldwide Interbank Financial Telecommunications, or SWIFT. 'Russia's economy is in deep, deep trouble'Despite the West's frustration with how Russia's economy still appears to be holding up, the sanctions appear to be finally working. "In five years, you're going see a really disastrous slowdown in the Russian economy," said Portes, who called for stronger sanctions enforcement. AdvertisementIn April 2022, Russia's central bank governor Elvira Nabiullina warned Russia's reserves can't last forever. "A significant problem is that they are running out of foreign exchange reserves, and you can't create foreign reserves," Portes added.
Persons: , hasn't, SWIFT, Alex Capri, Richard Portes, Portes, Alexander Kolyandr, Elvira Nabiullina, Russia's Organizations: Service, West, Society, Worldwide Interbank Financial Telecommunications, Business, SWIFT, European Union, National University of Singapore, US Customs Service, London Business School, Carnegie Endowment, International Peace, Central Bank of Locations: Russia, Ukraine, Moscow, Russian, SWIFT, Capri, Asia Pacific, Europe, India, China, Central Bank of Russia, Russia's
Huawei’s comeback gathers pace as quarterly profit surges
  + stars: | 2024-05-01 | by ( ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +2 min
Beijing Reuters —Huawei Technologies’s net profit leapt 564% to 19.65 billion yuan ($2.71 billion) in the first quarter, a regulatory filing by its parent company showed on Tuesday, as it continues to recover from US sanctions. Huawei’s revenue for the quarter to the end of March rose 37% to 178.5 billion yuan, the filing to China’s National Interbank Funding Center showed. It did not break down how business units, such as consumer and smart car components, performed. Apple’s share in the world’s biggest smartphone market fell to 15.7% in the first quarter from 19.7% a year earlier. It has become a force in smart car technology too, with its driver assistance system touted by at least seven Chinese automakers at the Beijing auto show.
Persons: “ digitalization, decarbonization ”, Counterpoint Organizations: Beijing Reuters, Huawei, Apple Locations: Beijing
UK Libor trader Hayes loses appeal against rate-rigging conviction
  + stars: | 2024-03-27 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
Thomas Hayes, a former trader at banks including UBS Group AG and Citigroup, on Aug 3, 2015. Tom Hayes, the first trader jailed worldwide for interest rate rigging, lost his appeal against his conviction in a London court on Wednesday. Hayes, a former star Citigroup and UBS trader, was convicted in 2015 of conspiracy to defraud by manipulating Libor, a benchmark rate once used to price trillions of financial products globally. His appeal against his conviction was heard alongside that of Carlo Palombo, a former Barclays trader convicted in 2019 of skewing Libor's euro equivalent, Euribor. Hayes and Palombo were given 14 days to apply for permission to appeal to the Supreme Court.
Persons: Thomas Hayes, Tom Hayes, Hayes, Libor, Carlo Palombo, Palombo's, David Bean, Palombo Organizations: UBS Group AG, Citigroup, UBS, Prosecutors, London, Barclays, Deutsche Bank, Supreme Locations: London, U.S
Bank of America shares fell 1.1% Friday after the firm reported declining fourth-quarter earnings amid hefty one-time charges. Here's what the company reported compared to Wall Street expectations, according to LSEG, formerly known as Refinitiv:Earnings per share: 70 cents, adjusted vs. 68 cents expected. 70 cents, adjusted vs. 68 cents expected. Revenue: $22.1 billion vs. $23.74 billion expected. Bank of America stock is down 2.6% this year after a mere 1.7% gain in 2023.
Persons: Brian Moynihan Organizations: of America, Revenue, Bank of America, London, Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, Valley Bank, Signature Bank, CNBC PRO Locations: Charlotte , North Carolina
What is the federal funds rate?
  + stars: | 2023-11-28 | by ( Karen Fernandez | Richard Richtmyer | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +8 min
Set by the Federal Reserve, the federal funds rate is the interest banks charge each other to borrow money overnight. The federal funds rate (or fed funds rate, for short) is only used between banks. The federal funds rate is an interbank interest rate. Federal funds rate FAQsWhat happens when the federal funds rate is high? Is the federal funds rate the same as the prime rate?
Persons: Organizations: Federal Reserve, Service, Federal, Finance, Fed, Market, Fed's, Governors, Federal Reserve Bank
European Union (EU) flags fly in front of the headquarters of the European Central Bank (ECB) in Frankfurt, Germany, July 8, 2020. REUTERS/Ralph Orlowski/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsFRANKFURT, Nov 28 (Reuters) - The European Central Bank may need to take on a bigger role in supervising shadow banks as they are now bigger than conventional lenders and may be sitting on elevated risk, the outgoing head of the ECB's supervision arm told European newspapers. "These are different animals to banks, so we shouldn’t expect to supervise them in the same way as we supervise banks." Taking on oversight of shadow banks would require legislative changes, a time consuming process even under the best of circumstances, and requiring broad political agreement. But some have argued that such a change could ease liquidity stress, particularly if shadow banks gained access to the ECB lending operations.
Persons: Ralph Orlowski, Andrea Enria, Expansión, Enria, Balazs Koranyi, Tomasz Janowski Organizations: Union, European Central Bank, REUTERS, Rights, prudential, ECB, Thomson Locations: Frankfurt, Germany
REUTERS/Tingshu Wang/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsSHANGHAI, Nov 27 (Reuters) - Cash conditions in China's money market showed signs of tightness on Monday, as market participants grew cautious about month-end demand and a recent liquidity squeeze remained fresh in memory. The price of the benchmark seven-day repos traded in the interbank market, hit a high of 2.8% on Monday, the highest level since Oct. 31. Meanwhile, the borrowing cost of such repos for non-bank financial institutions was about 3.5%, according to traders. "Money that can help span the month-end has tightening bias, and it's expensive for non-banks," said a trader at a Chinese bank. NCDs has been a popular short-term debt instrument used by financial institutions in the interbank market for financing.
Persons: Tingshu Wang, repos, Liu Yu, NCDs, Kim Coghill Organizations: People's Bank of China, REUTERS, Rights, GF Securities, AAA, Reuters, Shanghai, Thomson Locations: Beijing, China
China keeps lending benchmark rates unchanged, as expected
  + stars: | 2023-11-20 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +3 min
Paramilitary police officers stand guard in front of the headquarters of the People's Bank of China, the central bank (PBOC), in Beijing, China September 30, 2022. The one-year loan prime rate (LPR) was kept at 3.45% and the five-year LPR was unchanged at 4.20%. Most new and outstanding loans in China are based on the one-year LPR, while the five-year rate influences the pricing of mortgages. The steady fixings came after the central bank kept its medium-term interbank liquidity rate unchanged last week. The LPR, which banks normally charge their best clients, is set by 18 designated commercial banks who submit proposed rates to the central bank every month.
Persons: Tingshu Wang, Julian Evans, Pritchard, Winni Zhou, Tom Westbrook, Sam Holmes Organizations: People's Bank of China, REUTERS, Rights, Capital Economics, Thomson Locations: Beijing, China, Rights SHANGHAI, SINGAPORE, United States, outflows
BARCELONA, SPAIN - MARCH 01: A view of the MasterCard company logo on their stand during the Mobile World Congress on March 1, 2017 in Barcelona, Spain. (Photo by Joan Cros Garcia/Corbis via Getty Images)SINGAPORE — There isn't enough justification for the widespread use of central bank digital currencies right now, which makes broad adoption of such assets "difficult," Ashok Venkateswaran, Mastercard 's blockchain and digital assets lead for Asia-Pacific, told CNBC. A retail CBDC, which is the digital form of fiat currency issued by a central bank, caters to individuals and businesses, facilitating everyday transactions. This is different from a wholesale CBDC which is used exclusively by central banks, commercial banks and other financial institutions to settle large-value interbank transactions. But a lot of the central banks nowadays have gotten very innovative because they are working very closely with private companies like ours, to create that ecosystem," said the Asia-Pacific lead.
Persons: Joan Cros Garcia, Corbis, Ashok Venkateswaran, Venkateswaran, Kong's Organizations: MasterCard, Mobile, Congress, Getty Images, Mastercard, CNBC, Singapore FinTech, Monetary Fund, Atlantic Council, Hong Locations: BARCELONA, SPAIN, Barcelona, Spain, SINGAPORE, Asia, Pacific, Singapore, U.S, Hong Kong
China expected to keep key lending rates unchanged next week
  + stars: | 2023-11-17 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
A man wearing a mask walks past the headquarters of the People's Bank of China, the central bank, in Beijing, China, February 3, 2020. In a poll of 26 market watchers, all participants predicted both the one-year LPR and the five-year tenor would stay unchanged. "The changes in LPR are more affected by the MLF rate," Zhou said, expecting the LPR to stay unchanged this month. The PBOC on Wednesday injected 1.45 trillion yuan ($200.12 billion) worth of one-year MLF loans into the banking system but kept the rates on those loans unchanged. Expectations of steady LPR fixings also come as new bank lending in China fell less than expected in October from the previous month.
Persons: Jason Lee, Zhou Maohua, Zhou, Winni Zhou, Wu Fang, Tom Westbrook, Sam Holmes Organizations: People's Bank of China, REUTERS, Rights, China Everbright Bank, Thomson Locations: Beijing, China, Rights SHANGHAI, SINGAPORE, United States, outflows, Shanghai, Singapore
Ravi Menon, managing director of Monetary Authority of Singapore, speaks during the Singapore FinTech Festival in Singapore, on Thursday, Nov. 16, 2023. SINGAPORE — Come 2024, Singapore will pilot the live issuance and use of wholesale central bank digital currencies, said Ravi Menon, managing director of the Monetary Authority of Singapore. "I'm pleased to announce that MAS will pilot the live issuance of wholesale CBDCs to instantaneously support payments across commercial banks here," Menon said. MAS is the city-state's central bank and financial regulator. Wholesale CBDC is a digital currency issued by a central bank, that's used exclusively by central banks, commercial banks or other financial institutions to settle large-value interbank transactions.
Persons: Ravi Menon, Menon, I'm, that's Organizations: Monetary Authority of, Singapore FinTech Festival, Singapore FinTech, MAS Locations: Monetary Authority of Singapore, Singapore, SINGAPORE
The Amplify Samsung SOFR ETF , which debuted Wednesday, is the first ETF to track SOFR, the overnight interbank lending rate that has emerged as the U.S. replacement for the now-defunct Libor gauge of overnight borrowing interest costs. The new fund's launch comes amidst a wave of enthusiasm for ultra-short term fixed income ETFs, as yields on products throughout the fixed income spectrum have risen to multi-year highs following an aggressive rate hiking cycle by the Federal Reserve. "It wasn't until this year that rate-driven products became priorities," said Bill Belden, president of Amplify. Flows into money market and ultra-short term products account for about 36% of all inflows into fixed income ETFs this year, though the category represents only 15% of all fixed income ETF assets, according to Matthew Bartolini, head of product research at State Street Global's SPDR Americas ETF division. Belden said that a large institutional investor has provided seed capital of $50 million for the new ETF.
Persons: Yves Herman, Bill Belden, Matthew Bartolini, SOFR, Belden, Suzanne McGee, Ira Iosebashvili, Cynthia Osterman Organizations: Samsung, REUTERS, ETF, Federal Reserve, Thomson Locations: Brussels, Diegem, Belgium, U.S, Americas
A gardener works outside the headquarters of the central bank of the People's Republic of China in Beijing October 8, 2008. REUTERS/Jason Lee (CHINA) Acquire Licensing RightsSHANGHAI/SINGAPORE, Nov 15 (Reuters) - China's central bank ramped up liquidity injection but kept the interest rate unchanged when rolling over maturing medium-term policy loans on Wednesday, matching market expectations. The central bank said the loan operation was meant to maintain banking system liquidity reasonably ample to counteract short-term factors including tax payments and government bond issuance. All 31 market watchers polled by Reuters this week had expected the central bank to inject fresh funds to exceed the maturity. The most likely outcome is for PBOC to inject more support through open market operations, while leaving the MLF rate unchanged."
Persons: Jason Lee, Carlos Casanova, corporates, Xing Zhaopeng, Winni Zhou, Tom Westbrook, Christian Schmollinger, Stephen Coates Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, People's Bank of China, Reuters, AAA, ANZ, Thomson Locations: People's Republic of China, Beijing, China, CHINA, Rights SHANGHAI, SINGAPORE, Asia, UBP, United States
Peng Zhao, CEO, Citadel Securities speaks at the 2023 Milken Institute Global Conference in Beverly Hills, California, U.S., May 1, 2023. If Citadel Securities were to obtain a licence, it would be the first foreign firm to formally foray into market-making in China outside interbank and foreign exchange market making. "We are pleased to see the introduction of the market-making program in China," Zhao told Reuters in an interview in Hong Kong. Citadel Securities in July appointed Tony Tang, the former head of BlackRock's China business, to helm its China operations. This year, Citadel Securities also launched an investment-grade corporate bond market-making business in the United States.
Persons: Peng Zhao, Mike Blake, Zhao, Ken, Tony Tang, Summer Zhen, Selena Li, Sumeet Chatterjee, Edwina Gibbs Organizations: Citadel Securities, Milken, Global Conference, REUTERS, Reuters, Beijing Stock Exchange, Nasdaq, China's Stock, Treasuries, Asia, Thomson Locations: Beverly Hills , California, U.S, HONG KONG, China, interbank, Hong Kong, United States, Beijing, Asia
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