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The S & P 500 is a mere 1.2% from its all-time high, yet only 60% of its member stocks are up for the year and just over 40% last week were above their 50-day moving average. .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500, 1-year We seem to undergo one of these periods of decrying a lack of market breadth every few months in recent years. Bespoke Investment Group last week looked at the small number of past instances when the S & P 500 was so close to a record yet most stocks were beneath a 50-day average. The 100-day correlation between the S & P 500 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average has hit its lowest level since the dot-com bust of the early 2000s, according to CNBC's Data & Analytics group. The S & P 500 at the highs hit 21-times forward earnings, and we've spent very little time above that outside the pandemic melt-up and the tech boom/bust a quarter-century ago.
Persons: Warren Pies, Dow, Scott Chronert, we've Organizations: Investment, 3Fourteen, Nvidia, Treasury, Microsoft, Apple, Dow Jones, Dell Technologies, Citi, UBS Locations: Banks
So the question is, are we going to have issues if rates remain higher for longer?" But financial markets, despite a recent 5.5% selloff for the S&P 500, have largely held up amid the higher-rate landscape. Higher rates can be a good signHistory tells differing stories about the consequences of a hawkish Fed, both for markets and the economy. Higher rates are generally a good thing so long as they're associated with growth. Futures market pricing implies a fed funds rate of 4.32% by December 2025, indicating a higher rate trajectory.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Mandel Ngan, Quincy Krosby, Krosby, Paul Volcker, David Kelly, Kelly, , Goldman Sachs, Loretta Mester Organizations: Federal Reserve, Financial, Afp, Getty, LPL, Fed, Asset Management, Market, Cleveland Fed, European Union Locations: Washington , DC
Countdown Is On for the Bitcoin ‘Halving’
  + stars: | 2024-04-18 | by ( David Yaffe-Bellany | ) www.nytimes.com   time to read: +1 min
Cryptocurrency enthusiasts have eagerly anticipated the third week of April, counting down the days until a potentially crucial moment in Bitcoin’s development called “the halving.”Essentially, the halving is a scheduled reduction in the number of new Bitcoin that go into circulation. But this year’s halving has drawn especially enthusiastic attention as the crypto industry rebounds from years of falling prices and corporate implosions. In recent months, Bitcoin’s price has surged to record highs, reaching $73,000 in March. Much of that increase was driven by the approval of new financial products tied to Bitcoin, which spurred billions of dollars in new investment. Crypto investors are hoping that the halving will create a similar effect, causing Bitcoin’s price to climb further.
At Vinco, Farnsworth employed several of the same tactics that he had at MoviePass and at his earlier ventures. "Ted took these press releases and really treated them like they were works of art for him," Matt Argall, a former advisor to Farnsworth, told BI. Hudson Bay has not been served the lawsuit as of the publication of this story. "Hudson Bay's investment in Vinco Ventures was a standard, fixed price convertible loan of which millions remain unpaid," Hudson Bay told BI in a statement. "If served, Hudson Bay will seek to have these baseless, factually flawed and frivolous claims, which have been repeatedly dismissed in other proceedings against other parties, dismissed expeditiously."
Persons: MoviePass, Ted Farnsworth, Maria Bartiromo, he'd, Farnsworth, Jaeson Ma, Ted Farnsworth playbook, Ted, Barnum, John Fichthorn, I've, Shadwrick Vick, Rudy, Vick, Roderick Vanderbilt, who's, hocking, La Toya Jackson, Helios, Matheson, Brian Quinn, Farnsworth's, Michael Hartstein, Vinco, Matt Argall, Mitch Lowe, Reuters Farnsworth, David, Goliath, TikTok, We're, Argall, Elton John, Jamie McCarthy, Lomotif, Lil Nas X, Snoop Dogg, Grimes, Zash, Allan Stern, Get2it, Stern, Robert N, Scola Jr, Scola, he's, , Lowe, Getty, Dave Kotinsky, Stringer Vinco, expeditiously, Farnsworth —, Vanderbilt, Jesse Law, Katherine Long Organizations: Fox Business, Hollywood, Business, Zash Global Media, Entertainment, Vinco Ventures, Fox, Hudson Bay, BI, Helios, Matheson, Matheson Analytics, Boston College Law School, Palladium Capital Group, Vinco, BHP Capital, Armistice, CVI Investments, National Enquirer, Reuters, AMC Theatres, AMC, Gemini Valuation, Hudson, Eightco Holdings, Elton John AIDS Foundation, 91st, EDC, Tampa Marriott, SEC, Publishing, National Examiner, Globe, The New York Times, Southern, Southern District of, Bloomberg, Bay, Vanderbilt, Federal Bureau of Investigation Locations: Hudson, Vinco, Zash, Hudson Bay, China, Syracuse , New York, Lomotif, Syracuse, West Hollywood , California, Vegas, Tampa, Argall, Boston, India, The, Miami, MoviePass, Southern District, Southern District of Florida, New York
[1/3] The Federal Deposit Insurance Corp (FDIC) logo is seen at the FDIC headquarters in Washington, February 23, 2011. FDIC Chairman Martin Gruenberg said in March the agency was also probing possible misconduct related to the collapses of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) and Signature Bank (SBNY.PK) New York. As with SVB and Signature Bank, the FDIC is probing whether First Republic executives and board members broke rules that require them to act in the bank's best interests. NO ACTIONThe March implosions of SVB and Signature Bank sparked a deposit run at First Republic. FDIC bank failure probes can take years.
Persons: Jason Reed, Martin Gruenberg, SVB, Michael Roffler, James Herbert, Roffler, Michael Krimminger, IndyMac, Michael Perry, Douglas Gillison, Christine Prentice, Michelle Price, Matthew Lewis Organizations: Federal Deposit Insurance Corp, REUTERS, Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, First Republic Bank, Reuters, FDIC, Valley Bank, Signature Bank, Regulators, First Republic, U.S . Justice Department, Securities, Exchange Commission, SEC, First, Bloomberg, Federal, JPMorgan Chase &, JPMorgan, Reserve, New, Thomson Locations: Washington, Republic, New York, First Republic, Massachusetts, SVB
Last year’s crypto winter diminished the ability of crypto firms to draw legal and compliance talent. Photo: Omar Marques/Zuma PressThe cryptocurrency industry has been battered by the collapse of crypto exchange FTX and the fraud allegations surrounding it, as well as implosions at other big crypto players. For the firms that remain standing, growing regulatory pressure means there is a stronger need than ever for compliance talent.
Persons: Omar Marques Organizations: Zuma
“We expected a similar yield,” Dr. Town said. The better-than-predicted result indicates that with a few tweaks, laser fusion can become markedly more efficient. “It was a little bit surprising that we did not achieve ignition on all of them,” Dr. Town said. Instead of laser energy arriving perfectly balanced to compress the hydrogen fuel capsule, a slight imbalance nudges the capsule off in one direction. “If you can couple effectively more energy to the hot spot, you should get more yield,” Dr. Town said.
Persons: , , Siegfried Glenzer Organizations: TNT, Livermore, Accelerator Laboratory Locations: Menlo Park, Calif, Livermore
Los Alamos was the perfect spot for the U.S. government's top-secret Manhattan Project. The mission calls for modernizing the arsenal with droves of new workers producing plutonium cores — key components for nuclear weapons. James Owen, the associate lab director for weapons engineering, has spent more than 25 years working in the nuclear weapons program. Alexandra Martinez, 40, grew up in nearby Chimayo and is the latest in her family to work at Los Alamos. The film put the spotlight on Los Alamos and its history, prompting more people to visit over the summer.
Persons: James Owen, Owen, Alamosans, Greg Mello, Alexandra Martinez, chuckles, Martinez, J, Robert Oppenheimer, Christopher Nolan's, Oppenheimer, watchdogs, What's Organizations: U.S, Los Alamos National Laboratory, Associated Press, Los Alamos Study, Alamos, PF, Manhattan, , Trinity Test, Independent Locations: Alamos, Manhattan, New Mexico, Albuquerque, Los Alamos, Peñasco, Taos County, Chimayo, selfies
LOS ALAMOS, N.M. (AP) — Los Alamos was the perfect spot for the U.S. government’s top-secret Manhattan Project. The community is facing growing pains again, 80 years later, as Los Alamos National Laboratory takes part in the nation's most ambitious nuclear weapons effort since World War II. The mission calls for modernizing the arsenal with droves of new workers producing plutonium cores — key components for nuclear weapons. Alexandra Martinez, 40, grew up in nearby Chimayo and is the latest in her family to work at Los Alamos. Some of the hand-written notes touch on the complicated legacy left by the creation of nuclear weapons.
Persons: James Owen, Owen, Alamosans, ” Greg Mello, Alexandra Martinez, chuckles, , Martinez, J, Robert Oppenheimer, Christopher Nolan’s “ Oppenheimer, watchdogs, “ What's Organizations: ALAMOS, U.S, Los Alamos National Laboratory, Associated Press, Los Alamos Study, Alamos, PF, Manhattan, , Trinity Test, Independent Locations: N.M, Los Alamos, Manhattan, New Mexico, Albuquerque, Alamos, Peñasco, Taos County, Chimayo, selfies
America’s largest renewable power company is among several U.S. energy and utility companies, including Exxon and Southern Company, that continue to promote big, concentrated bets on company stock in worker retirement plans. Nearly 50% of the investments in NextEra’s employee-funded 401(k) retirement plan are in company stock, the highest among all 30 companies in the S&P 500 Utilities Sector (.SPLRCU). NextEra declined to comment on its use of company stock in employee 401(k) plans. "If we saw a concentration of more than 20% in a single company stock, we would definitely tell them it's a big risk." `Keith Rasmussen, a retired geologist, said he still feels the financial repercussions of holding big bets on company stock in his retirement plans.
Persons: Robert Knoche, Yoon, NextEra, , Alicia Munnell, Kristin McKenna, McKenna, Ryan Frazier, Keith Rasmussen, jolt, Rasmussen, , ” Rasmussen, Richard Valdmanis, Anna Driver Organizations: REUTERS, Exxon, Southern Company, Corporate America, Enron, Utilities, Vanguard Group, Center for Retirement Research, Boston College, Employees, Silicon Valley Bank, Darrow Wealth Management, SEC, Corporations, U.S . Securities, Exchange Commission, Southern Co, Dominion Energy Inc, Dominion, Chesapeake Energy Corp, Thomson Locations: Douglas County , Kansas, U.S, Silicon, Boston, Atlanta , Georgia
Sam Bankman-Fried, the founder of the collapsed cryptocurrency exchange FTX, was ordered to jail on Friday after a federal judge in New York revoked his bail, in a dramatic twist less than two months before the case was set to go to trial. Mr. Bankman-Fried, 31, had been under house arrest at his parents’ home in Palo Alto, Calif., since he was arrested in December on fraud charges stemming from FTX’s implosion. The decision was the latest extraordinary development in one of the most dramatic corporate implosions in recent memory. Over just a few weeks, Mr. Bankman-Fried went from an industry titan courted by politicians and celebrities to a criminal defendant facing decades in prison. Ms. Ellison has pleaded guilty to fraud charges and agreed to cooperate with the prosecutors investigating Mr. Bankman-Fried.
Persons: Sam Bankman, , Judge Lewis A, Kaplan, Fried, FTX, Caroline Ellison, Bankman, Ellison Organizations: Federal, Court, New York Times Locations: New York, Palo Alto, Calif, Manhattan
CNN —Brian Harman won the 151st Open Championship on Sunday, sealing the first major of his career in dominant fashion. When Faldo birdied at the subsequent hole, Hoch's hopes of a first major win similarly went up in the air. David Cannon/Getty Images Europe/Getty Images Lorena Ochoa, US Women's Open (2005) Ochoa secured a top-four finish at the 2005 US Women's Open. Not when you led at the final hole. A par at the final hole would have been enough to put the American into the playoff, but an agonizing missed putt [pictured] epitomized her painful afternoon in San Francisco.
Persons: Brian Harman, Australia’s Jason Day, Austria’s Sepp Straka, Tom Kim, Jon Rahm, Harman, “ I’m, ” Harman, Osullivan, Brooks Koepka, Wyndham Clark, Rahm, Kim, Rory’s, Argentina’s Emiliano Grillo, ” McIlroy, , , Luke Walker, Greg Norman, France’s Jean van de Velde, , McIlroy, Andrew Redington, Sam Snead, Snead, Lew Worsham, Louis, Arnold Palmer, Palmer, Billy Casper, Casper, Ed Sneed, Sneed, Fuzzy Zoeller, Tom Watson, Watson, Scott Hoch, Hoch, Nick Faldo, skyward, Faldo birdied, Hoch's, Mark Calcavecchia, Calcavecchia, Colin Montgomerie, Germany's Bernhard Langer, Norman, Faldo, David Cannon, Jean Van De Velde, Van De, Van De Velde, Frenchman, Barry Burn, Paul Lawrie, Lorena Ochoa, Ochoa, Birdie Kim, Harry, Phil Mickelson, Mickelson, Lefty, Geoff Ogilvy, Ezra Shaw, Stewart Cink, Warren Little, Dustin Johnson, Johnson, Graeme McDowell, Donald Miralle, Jason Dufner, Dufner, Keegan Bradley, Bradley, Adam Scott, Ernie Els, Scott, Jordan, Buddy, Jordan Spieth, Danny Willett, Spieth, Jim Watson, Lexi Thompson, Yuka Saso, Thompson, Sean M, Mito Pereira, Pereira, Justin Thomas, Will Zalatoris, Christian Petersen, Van de Velde, Stuart Franklin, Ghostbuster Harman, Tommy Fleetwood, Read, Brian Harman shrugs, unflappable Organizations: CNN, 151st, PGA, Reuters, Northern, Royal Liverpool, PGA Championship, North, Louis Post, Bettmann, Augusta, Augusta National, Getty, Ryder, American, Scottish, Team Europe, . Augusta National, Barry Burn . Pictures, South Korean, Chevron, Royal Lytham, Nasa, Mito, Southern Hills Country Club, eventual Locations: Royal Liverpool, South, Georgia, Carnoustie, Augusta, North America, San Francisco, Kiawah, Europe, Jean Van De Velde , British, Scotland, Mexican, British, Turnberry, Atlanta, American, New York, St, Annes, squander, Tulsa, Liverpool, Harman’s
As a two-term Democratic mayor of New York City, Bill de Blasio earned mixed reviews, at best. But now that he’s out office, he’s getting raves for the way he is handling an unexpected development: his separation from his wife and the transformation of their marriage. It was an unexpected moment of both transparency and ambiguity that transfixed many New Yorkers. The couple did not plan to divorce, they said, though they didn’t rule it out. And it was, in its emotional risk taking, somehow very New York.
Persons: Bill de Blasio, he’s, de Blasio, Chirlane McCray, implosions, Organizations: The Locations: New York City, The Times, New York
It's likely too risky to try recovering the remains of Titan's passengers, an ROV expert said. The search for the sub near the Titanic has already cost millions; recovery would cost even more. The five passengers on the Titan sub were British billionaire Hamish Harding, French submersible pilot Paul-Henri Nargeolet, British businessman Shahzada Dawood and his son Suleman, and the CEO of OceanGate Expeditions Stockton Rush. The Titan submersible had made three previous trips down to the wreckage. But shortly after the vessel vanished Sunday, key questions began emerging about the design and operation of the Titan.
Persons: It's, , Dr, Brendan Englot, Englot, OceanGate didn't, Hamish Harding, Paul, Henri Nargeolet, Shahzada Dawood, Suleman, Rush, Aileen Maria Marty, James Cameron Organizations: Service, Stevens Institute for Artificial Intelligence, OceanGate Expeditions Stockton Rush, US Coast Guard, Titan, Florida International University, CNN, ABC Locations: French, British
“We’ve never had an accident like this,” James Cameron, the Oscar-winning director of “Titanic,” said on Thursday. Mr. Cameron, an expert in submersibles, has dived dozens of times to the ship’s deteriorating hulk and once plunged in a tiny craft of his own design to the bottom of the planet’s deepest recess. In an interview, Mr. Cameron called the presumed loss of five lives aboard the Titan submersible from the company OceanGate like nothing anyone involved in private ocean exploration had ever seen. An implosion in the deep sea happens when the crushing pressures of the abyss cause a hollow object to collapse violently inward. If the object is big enough to hold five people, Mr. Cameron said in an interview, “it’s going to be an extremely violent event — like 10 cases of dynamite going off.”
Persons: “ We’ve, ” James Cameron, Oscar, , Cameron, “ There’ve, “ it’s Organizations: Titan
Wall Street desperately wants the stock market to go back to the good ol' days. In that environment, any idiot — or anyone on Wall Street — could buy almost any asset, sit back, and watch its value increase. In this scenario, the stock market gets choppy. It was a pull-in-case-of-emergency valve that we pulled for so long that now it feels normal to Wall Street. Despite this constant caterwauling from Wall Street, Americans are working, spending, and helping the economy defy doom-and-gloom forecasts.
Persons: Justin Simon, Jasper Capital, that's, hasn't, it'll, Richard Hayne, , haven't, Joe Weisenthal, Richard Haynes, Torsten Slok, Simon, Linette Lopez Organizations: Street, San Francisco Fed, Fed, Urban Outfitters, Auto, Walmart, Bloomberg, Urban, NASDAQ, Federal, Apollo Global Management Locations: Jasper, Wall Street, American
[1/4] A view of the Park Avenue location of the First Republic Bank, in New York City, U.S., March 10, 2023. FDIC regulators had raised the specter of systemic risk from the failure of large regional banks months before the SVB and Signature Bank collapses, records reviewed by Reuters show. SECRETS REVEALEDThe Fed will release its report on SVB at 11 a.m. EDT (1500 GMT) on Friday. FDIC Chair Martin Gruenberg has not provided much detail about the supervision of Signature, which like SVB had grown rapidly in recent years. The Fed's inspector general will have a report on each bank in the third quarter.
Bank stocks still remain under pressure and that signals the sector's turmoil hasn't ended yet, Jim Bianco said. Financial stocks faced a rout over the past month following the collapses of Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank. The KBW bank stock index is down 3% this week, after a 25% slump in March that was the biggest monthly drop in three years. Shares of lenders and other financial companies have been under pressure since the implosions of Silicon Valley Bank, Signature Bank and Silvergate Capital last month. Otherwise, the bank stocks might be in trouble ... oh, wait!," Bianco, who runs Chicago-based Bianco Research, tweeted on Wednesday, alongside a chart showing sharp declines in bank stock indexes.
Growth stocks are beating value peers by the most in 3 years, despite interest-rate increases and banking-sector turmoil. Sizzling rallies in Nvidia, Meta and Tesla shares have helped power the surge in growth stocks. BlackRock strategists projected a similar view, saying in a late February report that they expect value stocks to outperform. Nvidia, Tesla, MetaStunning rallies in the shares of tech giants such as Nvidia and Meta as well as electric-vehicle maker Tesla have helped growth stocks beat their value peers by such an impressive margin. "Lower rates feed into lower discount rates, making future cash flows of growth companies more attractive," Dutta said.
Nvidia has breezed through the banking turmoil, and is the S&P 500's best performer with a 81% rise year-to-date. The chipmaker has added $87 billion in market value since Silicon Valley Bank was taken over by regulators. "We are at the iPhone moment of AI," CEO Jensen Huang said this week amid the ChatGPT buzz. At about $654 billion, Nvidia is valued almost six times as much as its longtime rival Intel. NVIDIA stock has significantly outperformed the US stock market.
Bill Ackman highlighted risks to the economy and smaller banks as interest rates keep rising even with a banking crisis. The billionaire investor warned the US economy is heading for a "train wreck" as the Fed raises rates again. Ackman also slammed Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen for walking back on plans to support depositors. I fear we are heading for another a train wreck. "The longer the uncertainty continues, the more permanent the damage is to the smaller banks, and the more difficult it will be to bring their customers back," Ackman said.
Bank runs don’t change Fed’s focus on high prices
  + stars: | 2023-03-14 | by ( Ben Winck | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +3 min
The federal government took emergency action to stave off other implosions, but SVB’s collapse cast a shadow over the Fed’s next rate decision. Economists at Goldman Sachs and Barclays scrapped their forecasts for a rate hike and now expect the central bank to hold rates steady when it meets on March 22. That is three times the central bank’s inflation target. Inflation remains much too hot for the Fed’s liking, and the central bank has more reason to repeat February’s 25-basis-point hike than to deviate from it. Its last policy meeting concluded with the central bank lifting the federal funds rate by 25 basis points to a range of 4.5% to 4.75%.
The Fed's inflation fight was a key factor in Silicon Valley Bank's collapse, Jeremy Siegel said. Siegel flagged the growing risk of recession if the Fed keeps raising rates. Higher rates increase borrowing costs and encourage saving over spending, which typically pulls down asset prices, saps demand, and increases the risk of a recession. One of SVB's key mistakes was investing its deposits in long-duration bonds, which plunged in price as interest rates rose. They warned that if the US central bank hikes rates by 50 basis points in March, that would increase the risk of more SVB-type implosions.
The implosion of SVB makes for scary headlines, but it could actually be great for the stock market. That's because the Federal Reserve may be forced to slow the pace of rate hikes it's been enacting since March 2022. A number of Wall Street firms have already forecasted a pause in rate hikes, Goldman Sachs chief among them. A reversal in a key market dynamicFast-rising interest rates throughout 2022 dinged company valuations and sent the broader stock market into a bear market. Some have pointed to the 1994 bankruptcy of Orange County as an event with parallels to today's interest rate environment.
US stocks sank on Thursday as investors brace for Friday's key February jobs report. Investors are pricing in higher odds that the Fed dials rate hikes back up to 50 basis points later this month. Financial stocks were battered Friday after implosions at Silicon Valley Bank and Silvergate Capital. Stocks, however, reversed course to slide in afternoon trading, with the Dow losing over 500 points as investors turned their focus to Friday's non-farm payrolls report. Meanwhile, financials took a beating on Thursday, with bank stocks plunging after implosions at Silicon Valley Bank and Silvergate Capital rattled the sector.
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