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London CNN —In late September, as Israel’s nearly year-long war widened and its credit rating was downgraded yet again, the country’s finance minister, Bezalel Smotrich, said that, while Israel’s economy was under strain, it was resilient. Israel’s economy could shrink even more than that, based on a worst-case estimate by the Institute for National Security Studies at Tel Aviv University. Before the October 7 attack and ensuing Israel-Hamas war, the International Monetary Fund forecast that Israel’s economy would grow by an enviable 3.4% this year. Smotrich, the finance minister, is confident that Israel’s economy will bounce back once the war ends, but economists are concerned the damage will far outlast the conflict. Florion Goga/ReutersOther sectors of Israel’s economy, while less important than tech, have been hit much harder.
Persons: London CNN —, Bezalel Smotrich, ” Smotrich, Hassan Nasrallah, ratcheting, Karnit, , Menahem Kahana, , “ Israel, , Smotrich —, Flug, Ahmad Gharabli, Fitch, , Coface, Avi Hasson, Hasson, Florion Goga, Yaron Liberman, ” Liberman Organizations: London CNN, CNN, West Bank, United Nations, BMI, Fitch Solutions, Institute for National Security, Tel Aviv University, International Monetary Fund, of Israel, Getty, Bank of Israel, Israel Democracy Institute, Institute for National Security Studies, Moody’s, Startup Nation Locations: Lebanon’s, Beirut, Israel, Lebanon, Gaza, Israel’s, Iran, AFP, Egypt, Syria, Golan, Jerusalem's Old City, United States, Tel Aviv, housebuilding . Tourism
Read previewVice President Kamala Harris says she has a plan for America's middle class— building an "Opportunity Economy" to help them succeed. "Vice President Harris grew up in a middle class home as the daughter of a working mom. She believes that when the middle class is strong, America is strong," the Harris campaign wrote in a section titled "Build an Opportunity Economy and Lower Costs for Families." But just what exactly is Harris looking to do when she says she's going to build up the middle class through her "Opportunity Economy" agenda? During the debate, Harris accused Trump of only wanting to offer tax breaks to the richest people, while Trump countered by saying Harris lacked a detailed plan.
Persons: , Kamala Harris, Harris, Donald Trump, she's, Biden, Trump, Alice Tecotzky, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Service, Business, Trump, American, Biden, Pharma, New York Times, Siena College Locations: America, North Carolina
The German construction sector is showing no signs of recovering, even after being in a crisis for months and despite pledges of support and investment from the government. Recent economic data shows the industry is still in a "dismal situation," Carsten Brzeski, global head of macro research and chief economist for Germany at ING, told CNBC. The data shows that between January and May of this year, permits for single-family homes fell over 31%, and those for multi-family houses declined over 21% compared to the same time period last year. Felix Pakleppa, head of the Central Association of the German Construction Industry, noted the bleak outlook for the sector. "Building permits in Germany continue to only know one direction: downwards," he said, pointing to the data, which has not reflected growth since April 2022.
Persons: Carsten Brzeski, Felix Pakleppa, Housebuilding, Pakleppa Organizations: ING, CNBC, Central Association of, German Construction Industry Locations: Germany
The speech sets out the agenda of Keir Starmer, who defeated Rishi Sunak's Conservatives in this month's election. Starmer also formalized plans to renationalize Britain’s rail network in the coming years, and to create a publicly-owned renewable energy company. At home, a number of institutions were targeted for modernization – most awkwardly, the very room in which Charles gave his speech. “The party opposite has successfully tapped into the public’s desire for change, but they must now deliver change,” Sunak said. Those arguments will intensify in the coming weeks, as Labour introduces its first bills to Parliament – beginning with three priority measures from the speech later this week.
Persons: CNN — Keir Starmer, , King Charles III, ” Starmer, Starmer, Keir Starmer, Rishi Sunak's, Dan Kitwood, Camilla, Black Rod –, Rishi Sunak, Kirsty Wigglesworth, Charles, Bill, , Theresa May, ” Sunak, Sunak Organizations: CNN, Commons, Labour, Tory, Conservative, Reform UK, Getty, Border Security Command, National Health Service, NATO, Locations: nationalize, Britain, Europe, Buckingham Palace, Westminster, Rwanda
King Charles III, wearing the Imperial State Crown and the Robe of State reads the King's Speech from the The Sovereign's Throne next to Queen Camilla, wearing the George IV State Diadem in the House of Lords chamber, in the Houses of Parliament on July 17, 2024 in London, England. LONDON — The U.K.'s new Labour government on Wednesday outlined a raft of proposed legislation, including the nationalization of rail operators and the creation of a publicly-owned clean power company. In a speech delivered by King Charles III on behalf of the administration, the government said it is "committed to a clean energy transition that will lower bills for consumers over time," adding that it would establish Great British Energy, headquartered in Scotland, to help accelerate investment in renewable energy such as offshore wind. The speech listed a broad range of proposals, many of which have already been announced. A pledge of economic growth was yet again front and center in the speech, described in the opening lines as a "fundamental mission" which would help the country move on from the cost of living crisis.
Persons: King Charles III, Queen Camilla, George IV, Charles Organizations: Imperial State Crown, George, Labour, British Energy, Microsoft Locations: State, London, England, Scotland
LONDON — Britain's new finance chief on Monday outlined a spate of measures to revitalize the U.K.'s languishing economic growth and address national housing shortages. "I have repeatedly warned that whoever won the general election would inherit the worst set of circumstances since the Second World War. A former Bank of England economist, Reeves was appointed as Britain's first female chancellor of the exchequer — equivalent to a finance minister — on Friday, when newly-invested Prime Minister Keir Starmer named his first cabinet. Ahead of her first speech, she championed economic growth as both a party priority and the "national mission." Housing and planning were center stage in Reeves' Monday speech:"First, we will reform the national planning policy framework, consulting on a new growth-focused approach to the planning system before the end of the month.
Persons: Rachel Reeves, Reeves, , Keir Starmer, Housebuilding Organizations: Treasury, Labour Government, LONDON, Bank of England, Conservative, Labour Locations: London, England
German Chancellor Olaf Scholz smiles during a question time on July 3, 2024 at the Bundestag (lower house of parliament) in Berlin. "It is about a strong defense, a strong [German army] that offers protection from the aggressive tyrants of our time. An economic growth initiative has been planned alongside the budget, Scholz said. But the budget must then be discussed by the German parliament after its summer break, before being finalized later in the year. Negotiations have been ongoing for weeks after spending plans shared by individual ministries exceeded constraints by billions.
Persons: Olaf Scholz, Scholz, Christian Lindner, Lindner Organizations: Bundestag, CNBC, NATO, German, Reuters Locations: Berlin
LONDON — Goldman Sachs on Friday upgraded its growth forecast for the U.K. after the Labour Party's thumping victory in the country's general election. The investment bank said in a note released early Friday morning that it expected Labour's fiscal policy agenda to provide a "modest boost to demand growth in the near-term" and raised its gross domestic product (GDP) forecasts for the U.K. by 0.1 percentage points in 2025 and 2026 to 1.6% and 1.5% respectively. "Reforms to the planning system could boost housebuilding and productivity; higher public sector investment could lift potential output; and closer trade ties with the EU could mitigate some of the costs of Brexit," Goldman Sachs economists said in the note.
Persons: Goldman Sachs Organizations: LONDON, Labour
The U.K.'s center-left Labour Party has won a substantial parliamentary majority in the country's general election, unseating the incumbent Conservatives after 14 years. Manthey and her team picked the FTSE 250 index , which can be traded through exchange-traded funds such as iShares FTSE 250 UCITS ETF or Vanguard FTSE 250 UCITS , over the large-cap index FTSE 100 , as their "preferred post-election trade." The strategists, however, cautioned that historical data pointed toward lackluster returns immediately after the election results. More broadly, the investment bank's economist Anna Titareva said U.K. markets remain "heavily discounted" since after Brexit. After the election results were confirmed, they reiterated their stock preferences: Taylor Wimpey and Persimmon .
Persons: Beata Manthey, Manthey, Anna Titareva, Titareva, Anthony Codling, Taylor Wimpey, Gleeson, Bellway, Investec Organizations: Labour Party, Labour, Vanguard, UBS, Companies, FTSE, FTMC, RBC Capital Markets, Jefferies, Genuit Locations: Swiss
The Labour party's pledge, for example, to increase taxes on the compensation that private equity fund managers received raised a few eyebrows, and led to questions on what this could mean more broadly. In a note Friday, analysts at Jefferies said, despite concerns raised by a strong showing for the right-wing Reform UK Party, the Labour Party's U.K. election win would help make the U.K. appear "relatively stable." "A widely predicted Labour win in the UK could usher in an era of greater stability for the UK … which should help bolster investor sentiment towards the UK," she said. "U.K. bank stocks in the end are one of the biggest proxies for U.K. economic growth," he said. If results are as expected, attention will shift away from the U.K. election quickly, Shreyas Gopal, strategist, and Sanjay Raja, senior economist at Deutsche Bank, said in a note published Wednesday.
Persons: Vuk Valcic, hasn't, Jefferies, James McManus, Susannah Streeter, Hargreaves Lansdown, McManus, Liz Truss, Streeter, Richard Donnell, Nutmeg's McManus, CNBC's Silvia Amaro Friday, Mark Fielding, Fielding, Shreyas Gopal, Sanjay Raja, BoE, Francesco Pesole, Pesole Organizations: City of, Labour Party, Conservatives, U.S ., Labour, CNBC, Stock, Reform UK Party, Hargreaves, Deutsche Bank, ING, Bank of England, ECB Locations: Bishopsgate, City, City of London, London, France
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailKey housing focus for UK's Labour Party will be on supply side, Investec analyst saysAynsley Lammin, equity analyst at Investec, says the U.K. Labour Party's plan to restore mandatory housebuilding targets is a "quick win" for the sector that should boost planning and supply.
Persons: Aynsley Organizations: UK's Labour Party, Labour
One strategist, however is looking keenly at European equities, and notes that "Europe isn't a boring market." "You would hope that will translate through to the stock market in terms of company earnings growth in Europe. "While you might see some kind of short-term downturn, in the longer-term the picture is very positive for the sector," Field added. He sees value in payments, which he described as "one of the most undervalued parts of European financial services." The sector has trailed market performance, with valuations looking "interesting" over the last 12 months, Morningstar noted in its recent report.
Persons: Michael Field, Field, Morningstar Organizations: CNBC Pro, European Central Bank, Consumer, Swatch Group, Financial, Morningstar, ING Bank, Group, Health, Novo Nordisk Locations: U.S, Europe, Netherlands, British, Swiss
Modern tech-enabled versions of modular housing promise a faster, more sustainable solution to housing crises, according to experts. The fact that modular housing is also made in a controlled factory environment means less waste is generated, while also resulting in more energy-efficient homes. A 2022 report from industry group Make UK Modular highlighted that 80% fewer vehicle movements were needed to development sites with modular building. In the U.K. last year, Ilke Homes collapsed, while Legal & General moved to wind down its modular housing factory. By comparison, a Make UK Modular report published last year said more than 3,000 modular homes were being built in the U.K. annually, though there was capacity to build five times that number.
Persons: Prefabrication, William the Conqueror, Andrew Shepherd, Shepherd, Modulous, Jonatan Pinkse, Pinkse, Suzanne Peters, Daniel Paterson, prefabrication, Richard Valentine, Valentine, Selsey Organizations: Bloomberg, Getty, Sears, CNBC, University of Cambridge, Edinburgh Napier University, Ilke, Legal, King's College, Alliance Manchester Business School, Savills Research, McKinsey, Company, Ikea, Vonovia Locations: Foston, Derby, housebuilding, England, U.S, King's College London, Wales, Selsey, Sweden, Japan, prefabrication, Berlin, Germany
Patrick Pleul | Picture Alliance | Getty ImagesGermany's housebuilding sector has gone from bad to worse in recent months. "The housebuilding sector is, I would say, a little bit in a confidence crisis," Dominik von Achten, chairman of German building materials company Heidelberg Materials, told CNBC's "Squawk Box Europe" on Thursday. In January both the current sentiment and expectations for the German residential construction sector fell to all-time lows, according to data from the Ifo Institute for Economic Research. The business climate reading fell to a negative 59 points, while expectations dropped to negative 68.9 points in the month. Habeck pointed to higher interest rates as a key challenge for the economy, explaining that those had led to reduced investments, especially in the construction sector.
Persons: Patrick Pleul, Dominik von Achten, CNBC's, Klaus Wohlrabe, Robert Habeck, Wohlrabe, It's, Achten Organizations: Getty, Heidelberg Materials, Ifo Institute for Economic Research, Hamburg Commercial Bank, PMI, Climate Locations: Germany, Ifo, Heidelberg
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailGerman housebuilding is in a 'confidence crisis,' Heidelberg Materials CEO saysHeidelberg Materials CEO Dominik von Achten discusses the company's results and the state of the German housebuilding sector.
Persons: Dominik von Achten Organizations: Heidelberg
Robert Habeck, German Minister for Economy and Climate Protection and Vice Chancellor, is pictured during the weekly meeting of the cabinet on February 21, 2024 in Berlin, Germany. Germany's gross domestic product is now expected to grow by just 0.2% this year, as the country wades in "tricky waters," German Economy Minister Robert Habeck said Wednesday. The revised GDP growth forecast is down from a previous estimate of 1.3%. Speaking during a news briefing, the minister attributed the revised forecast to an unstable global economic environment and to the low growth of world trade, alongside higher interest rates. "The economy is in tricky waters," Habeck said in a statement released online, according to a CNBC translation.
Persons: Robert Habeck, Habeck Organizations: Protection, CNBC Locations: Berlin, Germany, Ukraine
Fast forward two years, and German housebuilding looks like it's collapsing, putting pressure on both his hard-to-reach goal, but also the overall economy of the country. Over 22% of companies surveyed reported the cancellation of residential construction projects in Germany in October, a new record high. Expectations for the residential construction industry fell to what the Ifo described as an "exceptional low." "Things continue to go from bad to worse in Germany's construction sector. But it's also the jobs market that could be impacted by troubles in the homebuilding sector, Brzeski noted.
Persons: Soeren, Germany's Olaf Scholz, , Cyrus de la Rubia, Carsten Brzeski, Brzeski, Klaus Wohlrabe, Wohlrabe, it's Organizations: Getty, Ifo Institute for Economic Research, Hamburg Commercial Bank, German Federal, Office, ING, CNBC, European Central Bank, ECB, European Commission Locations: downtown Wittenberg, Germany, Hamburg
Miners boost FTSE 100 on China optimism; Vistry jumps
  + stars: | 2023-09-11 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +1 min
Signage for the London Stock Exchange Group is seen outside of offices in Canary Wharf in London, Britain, August 3, 2023. REUTERS/Toby Melville/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsSummaryCompanies FTSE 100 up 0.6%, FTSE 250 adds 0.4%Sept 11 (Reuters) - The UK's exporter-heavy FTSE 100 index opened higher on Monday boosted by miners after positive China data signalled stability in the world's second-largest economy, while Vistry shares jumped after the homebuilder kept its annual profit outlook. The blue-chip FTSE 100 index (.FTSE) rose 0.6% in early trade, while the mid-cap FTSE 250 index (.FTMC) was up 0.4%. Vistry Group (VTYV.L) jumped 14.4% after the British homebuilder said it would merge its affordable-housing business 'Partnerships' with its Housebuilding operations, while maintaining its annual profit forecast. Reporting by Siddarth S in Bengaluru; Editing by Rashmi AichOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Persons: Toby Melville, British homebuilder, Pascal Soriot, Siddarth, Rashmi Organizations: London Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Vistry, AstraZeneca, The Mail, Barclays, Reuters, Thomson Locations: Canary Wharf, London, Britain, China, British, Bengaluru
Vistry flags tough housing market, reiterates profit forecast
  + stars: | 2023-07-20 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
July 20 (Reuters) - British homebuilder Vistry Group (VTYV.L) on Thursday joined its bigger rivals in flagging an intensifying slowdown in the housing market but retained its annual profit forecast, reflecting resilience in its key affordable homes business. The FTSE 250 (.FTMC) firm, which works with local authorities and housing associations to build affordable homes, expects adjusted pre-tax profit for the year ending Dec. 31 to be in excess of 450 million pounds. Vistry, which is typically better insulated against housing market shocks as demand for affordable housing is high, said it was able to mitigate the slowdown in the market through bulk transactions in both its Partnerships and Housebuilding businesses. However, the group said its Housebuilding business, which is similar to its rivals' operations, had faced "more challenging market conditions" in the half-year period with the broader macro-economic challenges particularly impacting first-time buyers. Reporting by Suban Abdulla in London and Aby Jose Koilparambil in Bengaluru; Editing by Sonia Cheema and Kate HoltonOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Persons: Greg Fitzgerald, Suban Abdulla, Aby Jose Koilparambil, Sonia Cheema, Kate Holton Organizations: Vistry, Thursday, FTSE, Bank of England, British, Countryside, Thomson Locations: British, London, Bengaluru
UK housebuilders face slow and painful refurb
  + stars: | 2023-03-01 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
LONDON, March 1 (Reuters Breakingviews) - UK housebuilding is facing a bleak future. In previous slowdowns, the UK’s Conservative Party bailed out the sector with packages like Help to Buy, which subsidized mortgages to help buyers. After Wednesday’s 9% share price decline, it’s share price is now worth less than half of what it was before the outbreak of Covid-19. With little help on the horizon, UK housebuilders face a slow and painful rebuild. They do not reflect the views of Reuters News, which, under the Trust Principles, is committed to integrity, independence, and freedom from bias.
L&G succession planning misses the mark
  + stars: | 2023-01-30 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
LONDON, Jan 30 (Reuters Breakingviews) - Chief executives always like to see their company’s share price dip when they announce their departure. But it might also express mild discontent with the board’s succession planning. Even so, the smoothest way to sign off on Wilson’s tenure would have been to announce his successor now, rather than the news it might take up to a year to find one. After all, the L&G board had long enough to identify a suitable internal candidate. Chairman John Kingman’s reticence may reflect a preference for a big-hitting external candidate to grow the company beyond UK borders.
The Conservative Party has already ousted two prime ministers in 2022 - Boris Johnson and Liz Truss - and trails the opposition Labour party in the polls by double digits, with another national election expected in 2024. Sunak became prime minister in October when Truss resigned after less than two months. Sunak has reversed those plans and instead raised taxes, reassuring financial markets, but upsetting some Conservative lawmakers. A separate group - Conservative Democratic Organisation - was also launched on Sunday aiming to "take back control" of the party on behalf of the party's membership, after Johnson and Truss were ousted - and Sunak selected - by the parliamentary party. Johnson and Truss were both chosen via a vote by the Conservative Party's membership of around 170,000.
LONDON, Dec 6 (Reuters) - Growth in Britain's construction industry slowed to a crawl in November as high borrowing costs and the gloomy economic outlook crimped building work, a survey showed on Tuesday. The S&P Global/CIPS UK Construction Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) fell to a three-month low of 50.4 from 53.2 in October, barely above the 50 dividing line between growth and contraction. The survey's gauge of future activity sank to its lowest level since the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic, consistent with recession. With demand fading from the economy, various measures of price pressures from consumers and businesses have started to ease - including in Thursday's survey. The construction PMI's index of input prices fell in November to its lowest level since January 2021.
Oct 27 (Reuters) - Heavy-equipment maker Caterpillar Inc (CAT.N) posted a rise in third-quarter profit on Thursday as robust demand, low inventories and raised prices helped it mute the impact of higher material and freight costs. "We continued to see healthy demand across most of our end markets during the third quarter," Chief Executive Jim Umpleby said. In the previous quarter, the company had flagged a bigger drop in demand for its excavators in its growth market, China. Caterpillar's revenue for the quarter through September rose to $15.0 billion from $12.4 billion a year ago. Adjusted profit rose to $3.95 per share from $2.66 per share a year earlier.
The London Stock Exchange Group offices are seen in the City of London, Britain, December 29, 2017. read moreThe internationally focussed FTSE 100 (.FTSE) extended losses, falling 1.6% to its lowest since July 15, while the domestically focussed FTSE 250 index (.FTMC) dropped 1.1% to hit near two-year lows. It is among UK's worst performing sectors this year as rising rates sparked worries about affordability. read moreOil (.FTNMX601010) and mining (.FTNMX551020) majors were the biggest drags on the FTSE 100 as commodity prices weakened against a strong dollar. read moreSmiths Group (SMIN.L) rose 4.1% after the industrial technology group provided upbeat full-year 2023 forecast.
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