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Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailTri-Pointe Homes CEO on what Trump 2.0 could mean for the housing marketDoug Bauer, CEO of Tri Pointe Homes, joins CNBC's 'The Exchange' to discuss what's next for housing and homebuilders, what the incoming administration could do for housing supply and affordability, and more.
Persons: Doug Bauer, what's Organizations: Pointe, Trump, Tri, Tri Pointe Homes Locations: Tri Pointe
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's full interview with UBS' John Lovallo and Brown Harris Stevens' Bess FreedmanBess Freedman, Brown Harris Stevens CEO, and John Lovallo, UBS homebuilders analyst, join CNBC's 'The Exchange' to discuss the state of the housing market, what the incoming administration could do for housing supply and affordability, and more.
Persons: John Lovallo, Brown Harris Stevens, Bess Freedman Bess Freedman, CNBC's Organizations: UBS
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe American dream of buying a first home has become a real challenge, says Brown Harris Stevens CEOBess Freedman, Brown Harris Stevens CEO, and John Lovallo, UBS homebuilders analyst, join CNBC's 'The Exchange' to discuss the state of the housing market, what the incoming administration could do for housing supply and affordability, and more.
Persons: Brown Harris Stevens, Bess Freedman, John Lovallo, CNBC's Organizations: UBS
Trump's plan to transform federal land into housing will be costly, given minimal existing infrastructure, UBS says. Those policies, plus a set of potentially inflationary proposals, could drive up both home prices and mortgage rates, they say. Trump's plan to transform federal land into more housing seems particularly challenged, the analysts say. The higher rates will likely continue the housing lock-in effect, where existing homeowners prefer to remain locked in at their current lower rates. In prepared remarks on Thursday, Fed Chair Jerome Powell said the US is in no hurry to cut rates, signaling that mortgage rates could stay higher for longer.
Persons: , Donald Trump's, homeownership, Trump, JD Vance, Vance, homebuyers, Jerome Powell Organizations: UBS, Service, Builders
Homebuilders and economists have said a deeper labor shortage could cause housing costs to spike. The issue is the construction labor force, whose 500,000-worker shortage is already making conditions more challenging. Related Video Musk visits border, calls for Trump-style wallForeign-born workers make up about a quarter of the construction workforce. They argue that the surge in home costs is largely a result of the nationwide housing shortage, and immigrants are a key part of building housing. AdvertisementDuring the pandemic, many older, experienced workers retired, and the pipeline of younger US-born workers isn't sufficient, homebuilders say.
Persons: Homebuilding execs, Donald Trump's, , Eric Finnigan, John Burns, Ben Metcalf, Jim Tobin, JD Vance, Trump, Vance, Barack Obama, Obama, Joe Biden, Tom Homan, Chad Blocker, Homebuilders, Dennis Webb Organizations: Service, Trump, University of California, National Association of Home Builders, Immigration, Biden Locations: Berkeley, Los Angeles, Phoenix
Exceptionally strong housing demand in the U.S. has large homebuilders in the driver's seat and smaller builders ripe for takeover. Whelan says she alone has four more set to close by year end, and there could be more from others. The surge is the result of still-growing housing demand that reignited at the start of the pandemic thanks to record low mortgage rates and sudden new migration. But mortgage rates also caused a historic housing shortage. That dynamic, sometimes called the mortgage rate lock-in effect, has exacerbated the housing shortage.
Persons: Margaret Whelan, Whelan Locations: U.S
Builders, meanwhile, are luring buyers with some perks but are barely budging on prices. That's partly because these companies have another place to turn: the rental market. Opportunistic investors — mostly small and midsize players, who own the vast majority of single-family rentals in the country — are happy to oblige. Builders have also started developing entire communities of single-family homes to be rented out rather than sold, a strategy known as build-for-rent. Their embrace of the rental market says more about the obstacles for buyers than for builders.
Persons: homebuilders, John Burns, Keith Hughes, , Horton, Don Mullen, they've, Adam Stern, Sean Morgan, Alex Offutt, Ray Sturm, Sturm, Selma Hepp, It's Organizations: John Burns Research, Consulting, Builders, John, Houston, Owners, SFR, Sun, Dallas, Local, Business Purpose, Offutt Locations: Tampa , Florida, Carolinas, Nashville, Horton
AdvertisementA key sticking point for the 73,479,065 Americans (and counting) who voted for President-elect Donald Trump was inflation. Inflationary promisesThe main Trump proposals viewed as inflationary are: sweeping tariffs on imports, mass deportation of immigrants, and lower taxes. Related storiesTypically, US companies simply pass the tariff costs to consumers via higher prices, and company executives are already signaling this to investors. Possible inflation falloutIf Trump delivers on all of these proposals, then a rebound in inflation is all but guaranteed, economists have said. AdvertisementIt's worth noting that the tariffs Trump enacted in his first term did not result in a significant inflation increase.
Persons: , Donald Trump, Trump, It's, Taylor Rogers —, Philip Daniele, Timothy Boyle, Wendy Edelberg, Nobel, Paul Krugman, Ned Davis, Veneta Dimitrova, Dimitrova Organizations: Trump, Service, White, Biden, Republican National, Center, Columbia, Washington Post, National Association of Homebuilders, Federal Reserve Locations: China,
The news on Home Depot Telsey Advisory Group, a leader in retail industry analysis, upgraded Home Depot stock to a buy-equivalent outperform on Friday. The news on Best Buy Citi lowered its Best Buy price target to $109 per share from $115 on Friday while maintaining its buy-rating on the stock. BBY YTD mountain Best Buy stock performance year-to-date. Bottom line Despite Citi's concerns, we're sticking with Best Buy. Best Buy should be well-positioned to benefit from falling interest rates if home sales pick up again.
Persons: , Telsey, Jim Cramer, Jim, they're, Donald Trump's, Jim Cramer's, Ting Shen Organizations: Advisory, Depot, Federal, Home Depot, Home, Citi, Trump, CNBC, Home Depot Inc, Bloomberg, Getty Locations: China, Washington , DC
Beazer Homes is building "zero energy," climate-friendly homes even though they're more expensive. Challenges include higher costs, market education, and appraisal practices for green homes. The project was developed by Beazer Homes, one of the largest US homebuilders. Now Beazer has to educate customers and the broader real-estate market about the value of green homes. "Zero Energy Ready" homes feature energy-efficient appliances.
Persons: Allan Merrill, , Beazer, Merrill, It's, Donald Trump, haven't, Catherine Boudreau, they're, Woody Fincham, there's, Andrew Pizor, hasn't, Beazer isn't Organizations: Service, Energy, Beazer Homes, US Department of, Zero, Appraisal, appraisers, National Consumer Law Center, Congress, EV Locations: Baltimore, decarbonize, Parkville , Maryland, Parkville, Charlottesville , Virginia
Detailed below is what Harris and Trump have proposed in order to address these worries. Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump have both pledged to address high prices by boosting the supply of homes. Related storiesThe Democratic candidate also said she plans to expand the existing low-income housing tax credit, which incentivizes the rehabilitation or building of housing targeted at lower-income households. As president, Trump proposed major cuts to the federal Department of Housing and Urban Development's budget, including slashing housing assistance and community development aid. AdvertisementWhile in office in 2017, Trump proposed a budget for the 2018 fiscal year that would have significantly cut rural housing subsidies.
Persons: Harris, Trump, , Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Daryl Fairweather, Redfin, Fairweather, Jessica Lautz, multifamily Organizations: Service, Business, Democratic, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Builders, of Housing, Urban, National Association of Realtors, Democratic Party Locations: America
There could be trouble ahead for consumers and the economy if interest rates don't come down, the latest financial results from D.R. "While mortgage rates have decreased from their highs earlier this year, many potential homebuyers expect rates to be lower in 2025," he said in a statement . Horton year to date The rate for a 30-year fixed mortgage is currently 7%, according to Mortgage News Daily . Mortgage rates are tied to the yield on the 10-year Treasury note, which has recently spiked higher. For the fiscal fourth quarter that just ended, it reported earnings of $3.92 per share on revenue of $10 billion.
Persons: Horton, David Auld, LSEG Organizations: Wall, Mortgage News, Federal Reserve, Treasury, Toll, Pulte, KB, Home Locations: Arlington , Texas
Related storiesA 2022 George W. Bush Institute study found that US metros with the highest immigrant population growth scored the lowest construction costs. Without the supply of these workers, history suggests housing costs are likely to rise. These could be significant, given that the construction industry would be competing against other immigrant-dependent sectors. Trump's campaign has implied that cracking down on immigration will help ease housing unaffordability by effectively removing one source of demand. Meanwhile, Trump's platform is also pushing another policy initiative that's unlikely to help housing costs: tariffs.
Persons: Donald Trump, , Donald Trump's, doesn't bode, Jim Tobin, Tobin, George W, JD Vance Organizations: Service, Republican, National Association of Home Builders, Home Builders Institute, Bush, SC, Congressional
Take Los Angeles, where about three-quarters of residential-zoned land in 2021 was zoned exclusively for developing single-family housing. This country needs to build more homes, but there's no reason all those new homes need to look the same. Tokyo has homes in all shapes and sizes: detached single-family homes, attached row houses, small apartment buildings, midsize apartment buildings, and colossal residential high-rises. Allow apartment buildings with one staircase: Making it legal to build more apartment buildings with only one staircase would substantially reduce construction costs and allow for apartment buildings to be built on smaller lots. People who really like single-family homes should still have access to single-family homes.
Persons: , we'll, homebuilders, Stephen Smith Organizations: sameness, Center for, The New York Times Locations: United States, Levittown , New York, Los Angeles, Connecticut, Levittown, Tokyo, American, Japan, North America
Here are some of the ways Bank of America analysts think the upcoming election results could affect the stock market. Harris presidency, split government A victory for Democratic candidate Kamala Harris in the White House, plus a Republican-controlled Congress, could be "the best outcome" for online media companies, according to Bank of America analyst Justin Post. He noted that Harris is likely to enforce a potential ban on TikTok — which could boost Meta Platforms and Snapchat . Trump president, split government A win for Republican candidate Donald Trump and a split government would be the best-case scenario for bank stocks, per analyst Ebrahim Poonawala. On the other hand, a Trump presidency would be viewed positively by gig-economy companies, including Uber and Lyft, according to analyst Post.
Persons: , Harris, Kamala Harris, Justin Post, Lorraine Hutchinson, Donald Trump's, , Athletica, Joanna Gajuk, Gajuk, Jessica Reif Ehrlich, Ehrlich, Jason Kupferberg, Kupferberg, Dick Durbin's, Donald Trump, Ebrahim Poonawala, Poonawala, Republicans —, Dimple, Trump, Uber, Craig Siegenthaler, Siegenthaler, Rafe Jadrosich, Trump's, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: White, Bank of America, of America, Democratic, Republican, Democrat, Department of Justice, Eagle Outfitters, Urban Outfitters ., Health, Tenet Healthcare, Universal Health Services, Democrats, Agilon, Humana, Big Tech, House, Trump, Republicans, Oscar Health, Centene, GOP, Securities, Exchange, Entertainment, Packaging Corporation of America, American Eagle Outfitters Locations: Hutchinson, U.S, China, Washington
Homebuilders are the most direct beneficiaries of rate cuts, says Jim Cramer'Mad Money' host Jim Cramer looks at new charting on homebuilders.
Persons: Jim Cramer
“Losing the workers would devastate our companies, our industry and our economy.”‘The math is just not there’There is evidence that foreign-born construction workers help keep the housing market in check. “Immigrant construction workers in Sun Belt metros like Raleigh, Nashville, Houston, and San Antonio have helped these cities sustain their housing cost advantage over coastal cities despite rapid growth in housing demand,” the authors wrote. Undocumented workers would likely flee ahead of any national deportation effort, Hetrick said, even though many have been in the U.S. for well over a decade. Past as prologueLast year, the state’s Republican governor, Ron DeSantis, enacted a series of restrictions and penalties to deter the employment of undocumented workers. Many immigrant workers hastily left the state even before the policies took effect, with social media videos showing some construction sites sitting empty.
Persons: Trump, You’d, couldn’t, Stan Marek, Marek, “ You’d, ” Bryan Dunn, , , Trump’s, ” Taylor Rogers, Karoline Leavitt, ” Tobin, Jim Tobin, ” Marek, George W, Bob Croslin, Ron Hetrick, Hetrick, Ron DeSantis, Luciano, Taylor, Rick Roth, weren’t, Dunn, ” Dunn, he’s “, Kamala Harris, ” Taylor Organizations: Republican, Trump, Companies, Big, Republican National, National Association of Home Builders, Bush Institute and Southern Methodist University, U.S, Sun, NBC, Workers, NBC News Republican Locations: Texas, an, Arizona, Southwest, Greenland, Aurora , Colorado, U.S, Raleigh, Nashville, Houston, San Antonio, Tampa, Fla, Florida, Mexico, South Florida, Tempe, “ Arizona
Tom Lee, Fundstrat's head of research, said in an Oct. 17 note to clients that the firm is opening a six-month "tactical overweight" on the homebuilding sector. The six-month timeline counts on a strong seasonal pattern where homebuilders tend to rally from late October to late April. While the reason for the historical trend is not clear, the fact that it currently coincides with a rate-cutting cycle for the Federal Reserve should lend homebuilders' stocks even more support, Lee said. "The Fed is cutting interest rates, at a time when U.S. housing has been in a recession. The sector exchange-traded funds highlighted by Lee include the iShares U.S. Home Construction ETF (ITB) , the SPDR S & P Homebuilders ETF (XHB) and the Invesco Building & Construction ETF (PKB) .
Persons: Tom Lee, Fundstrat's, Lee Organizations: Federal, Home, Construction Locations: U.S
Getting ready for the "two problematic stories," Wells Fargo and JPMorgan , which came later in the morning, took some real digging. ET – Wells Fargo shares turned and started inching up. With what you saw in Wells Fargo and JP Morgan on Friday. Think like this: When the psychology of the market changes, people don't want to bang out of Wells Fargo, they want to get in. But there is no doubt that Wells Fargo at 11 times forward earnings now seems a little silly given that the background is so positive.
Persons: Larry Fink, Wells, Wells Fargo, Charlie Scharf, Jamie Dimon, Jeff Marks, JP Morgan, Scharf, It's, Warren Buffett, Morgan Stanley, Eli Lilly, haven't, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Squawk, Virginia Sherwood Organizations: BlackRock, JPMorgan, Wall, Club, Wells Fargo, Elon, SpaceX, Federal, New York Stock Exchange, Fed, Bank of America, Boston, Walmart, Costco, Semiconductors, Enterprise, JFrog, Microsoft, , Dow, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC Locations: Wells Fargo, NII, U.S
The upcoming month is a crucial time for the stock market, with a series of events that will make an impact. A quick peek at the history of S & P earnings reveals a couple of things. Note that the chart below depicts S & P earnings on a logarithmic scale —S & P earnings have grown by more than ninefold since January 1991. Over the past two years, S & P earnings have grown from ~$196 "per share" to about $204, an increase of 4%, but the S & P 500 Index has risen by more than 60% over the same period. Why not purchase a downside SPDR S & P 500 ETF Trust put spread if these cause a pullback?
Persons: Low, we'll Organizations: U.S, Trust, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: U.S
Wells Fargo upgrades Gilead to overweight from equal weight Wells says the biopharma company has an attractive setup. Wells Fargo upgrades Canadian National to overweight from equal weight Wells says it sees "accelerating growth" for the railway company. Barclays downgrades Netflix to underweight from equal weight Barclay says the "growth algorithm is getting more complex." Wells Fargo downgrades Amazon to equal weight from overweight Wells says the "positive revision story [is] on pause for Amazon. JPMorgan upgrades Ally Financial to overweight from neutral and downgrades American Express to neutral from overweight JPMorgan downgraded American Express and says it sees "asymmetric risk."
Persons: Jefferies, Wells, Morgan Stanley, it's bullish, Barclay, NFLX, Piper Sandler, Piper, Mizuho, JPMorgan downgrades Lamb Weston, JPMorgan, downgrades Sherwin, Williams, KeyBanc, Bernstein, Campbell, underperform Bernstein, Coupang, CPNG, Barclays downgrades, Avery Dennison, Garmin, Hershey Organizations: Apple, Apple Intelligence LT, UW, Vertiv Holdings, Coty, Barclays, Netflix, MKSI, Mizuho, JPMorgan, Deutsche Bank, Alliance, Deutsche, UBS, NXP, Express, American Express, Barclays downgrades DuPont, DuPont, Bank of America downgrades Constellation Brands, Bank of America, Constellation Brands, Bank of America downgrades Comerica, of America, CMA, Air Products, Hershey Locations: OW, Gilead, Canada, underperform
After all of these years, after all of the rather incredible rallies and gains in the stock market from so many groups, the typical morning still starts with a bevy of negativity. We hear about OpenAI and its brilliant $167 billion valuation , but we don't see any stock available to public-market investors. I have been furious at myself for thinking the Chinese government couldn't do anything about the country's struggling stock market. The Chinese stock market has been rallying nicely since the stimulus announcements. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio.
Persons: , Elon Musk, he's, isn't, Carl Quintanilla, David Tepper, holler, That's, that's, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Spencer Platt Organizations: Federal Reserve, Walmart, Fed, SpaceX, Nike, Walgreens, CVS Health, Club, GE Healthcare, Wynn Resorts, Chinese Communist Party, Apple, PDD Holdings, JD.com, Baidu, Diamondback Energy, Exxon Mobil, CNBC, New York Stock Exchange, Getty Locations: U.S, China, , New York City
Investors expect S&P 500 earnings growth of 4.6% as the stock market trades near record highs. Key themes to watch for include AI adoption, consumer health, and the impact of lower interest rates. AdvertisementEarnings season is fast approaching, and investors have a lot to be on the lookout for as companies report third-quarter results. AdvertisementIn addition to the actual earnings figures, investors will be monitoring key themes as company executives offer guidance during earnings calls. Hainlin said he is encouraged by continued growth in consumer spending as credit card defaults "are within normal levels" and the holiday shopping season is right around the corner.
Persons: Wells, , Michael Dickson, Tom Hainlin, they're, John Belton, There's, Dickson, delinquencies, Hainlin Organizations: PepsiCo, JPMorgan, Service, Wells, Investments, Business, Wall Street, Bank Wealth Management, Aerospace, Defense, Consumer, Federal Reserve Locations: Wells Fargo, FactSet
The Dog Bar — a sprawling dog venue in Saint Petersburg, Florida —has had at least six (human) proposals, and one wedding. AdvertisementVirtually all US pet owners now say their furry companions are part of their family — up from 86% of dog owners and 78% of cat owners in 2006. "The dog today is not the dog of 10 years ago," Bobby Boivin, the co-owner of Boo's Dog Bar in Sarasota, Florida, said. And so we do that once or twice a year at Dog Bar." After adopting two puppies, he fell in love with a dog bar in his neighborhood.
Persons: , Saint Petersburg , Florida —, It's, Kendal Kulp, Bobby Boivin, Stephanie Marble, Marble, Kyle Cissel, aren't, Cissel, Tara Downs, she's, Fred Metzler, Metzler, Luke Silverman, Stephanie Chez, Silverman, Kevin Knutson, Knutson, Kulp, they'd, That's, that's Organizations: Service, National Association of Realtors, Wall Street, American Pet Products Association, IKEA Locations: Saint Petersburg , Florida, Asheville , North Carolina, Sarasota , Florida, Florida, Santa, Washington, DC, Colorado, St . Petersburg , Florida, Sephora, Minnesota, Wagbar
Hallways are disappearing from America's homes
  + stars: | 2024-10-05 | by ( Alcynna Lloyd | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +7 min
AdvertisementAs homeowners and builders make tough design choices, hallways are disappearing from many newly built homes. Highland Homes' Palermo floor plan. Courtesy of Highland HomesBy contrast, a Highland Homes floor plan from 2018 for a one-story home has more hallways. Why long hallways are becoming passéThere are several reasons hallways are being phased out of newly built homes, apart from saving money for builders. Courtesy of Highland HomesPictured above is Highland Homes' 608 floor plan, a two-story home of about 4,500 square feet released in 2020.
Persons: John Burns, Mikaela Arroyo, Arroyo, It's, Taylor Morrison, Jen Shurtleff, Shurtleff, Organizations: National Association of Home Builders, John Burns Research, Consulting, Trends, JBREC, Tri Pointe Homes, Forbes, Highland Homes, Highland, Homes, Generations United Locations: Tri Pointe, Texas, Highland, Dallas, Fort Worth , Houston, Austin, San Antonio, Palermo
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