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AdvertisementUS home prices and rents have soared in part because of a shortage of housing. These are the cost of land, a shortage of construction workers, regulations, and NIMBYism. The US is suffering from a deep shortage of homes, and it's driving sky-high home prices and rents. Advertisement"We just hear more and more that it's harder to find affordable pieces of land to develop for housing," Tobin said. Fewer construction workers means less — and slower — residential construction and higher wages for workers, which in turn leads to higher home prices.
Persons: Jim Tobin, Tobin, , ANDREW CABALLERO, REYNOLDS, NIMBY, Donald Trump Organizations: National Association of Home Builders, Trump Locations: Los Angeles, Seattle, Chicago, Brambleton , Virginia
AdvertisementUS home prices and rents have soared in part because of a shortage of housing. These are the cost of land, a shortage of construction workers, regulations, and NIMBYism. The US is suffering from a deep shortage of homes, and it's driving sky-high home prices and rents. Advertisement"We just hear more and more that it's harder to find affordable pieces of land to develop for housing," Tobin said. Fewer construction workers means less — and slower — residential construction and higher wages for workers, which in turn leads to higher home prices.
Persons: Jim Tobin, Tobin, , ANDREW CABALLERO, REYNOLDS, NIMBY, Donald Trump Organizations: National Association of Home Builders, Trump Locations: Los Angeles, Seattle, Chicago, Brambleton , Virginia
Homebuilder M&A soars - here's why
  + stars: | 2024-11-18 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailHomebuilder M&A soars - here's whyCNBC's Diana Olick joins 'The Exchange' to report on homebuilder sentiment improving and why homebuilder M&A is soaring.
Persons: Diana Olick
Homebuilder sentiment improved for the third straight month
  + stars: | 2024-11-18 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailHomebuilder sentiment improved for the third straight monthCNBC's Diana Olick joins 'Squawk on the Street' to report on new data on homebuilder sentiment and an uptick of M&A in the space.
Persons: Diana Olick
Homebuilders and economists have said a deeper labor shortage could cause housing costs to spike. The issue is the construction labor force, whose 500,000-worker shortage is already making conditions more challenging. Related Video Musk visits border, calls for Trump-style wallForeign-born workers make up about a quarter of the construction workforce. They argue that the surge in home costs is largely a result of the nationwide housing shortage, and immigrants are a key part of building housing. AdvertisementDuring the pandemic, many older, experienced workers retired, and the pipeline of younger US-born workers isn't sufficient, homebuilders say.
Persons: Homebuilding execs, Donald Trump's, , Eric Finnigan, John Burns, Ben Metcalf, Jim Tobin, JD Vance, Trump, Vance, Barack Obama, Obama, Joe Biden, Tom Homan, Chad Blocker, Homebuilders, Dennis Webb Organizations: Service, Trump, University of California, National Association of Home Builders, Immigration, Biden Locations: Berkeley, Los Angeles, Phoenix
Exceptionally strong housing demand in the U.S. has large homebuilders in the driver's seat and smaller builders ripe for takeover. Whelan says she alone has four more set to close by year end, and there could be more from others. The surge is the result of still-growing housing demand that reignited at the start of the pandemic thanks to record low mortgage rates and sudden new migration. But mortgage rates also caused a historic housing shortage. That dynamic, sometimes called the mortgage rate lock-in effect, has exacerbated the housing shortage.
Persons: Margaret Whelan, Whelan Locations: U.S
Builders, meanwhile, are luring buyers with some perks but are barely budging on prices. That's partly because these companies have another place to turn: the rental market. Opportunistic investors — mostly small and midsize players, who own the vast majority of single-family rentals in the country — are happy to oblige. Builders have also started developing entire communities of single-family homes to be rented out rather than sold, a strategy known as build-for-rent. Their embrace of the rental market says more about the obstacles for buyers than for builders.
Persons: homebuilders, John Burns, Keith Hughes, , Horton, Don Mullen, they've, Adam Stern, Sean Morgan, Alex Offutt, Ray Sturm, Sturm, Selma Hepp, It's Organizations: John Burns Research, Consulting, Builders, John, Houston, Owners, SFR, Sun, Dallas, Local, Business Purpose, Offutt Locations: Tampa , Florida, Carolinas, Nashville, Horton
Beazer Homes is building "zero energy," climate-friendly homes even though they're more expensive. Challenges include higher costs, market education, and appraisal practices for green homes. The project was developed by Beazer Homes, one of the largest US homebuilders. Now Beazer has to educate customers and the broader real-estate market about the value of green homes. "Zero Energy Ready" homes feature energy-efficient appliances.
Persons: Allan Merrill, , Beazer, Merrill, It's, Donald Trump, haven't, Catherine Boudreau, they're, Woody Fincham, there's, Andrew Pizor, hasn't, Beazer isn't Organizations: Service, Energy, Beazer Homes, US Department of, Zero, Appraisal, appraisers, National Consumer Law Center, Congress, EV Locations: Baltimore, decarbonize, Parkville , Maryland, Parkville, Charlottesville , Virginia
KYOTO, Japan — The world’s first wooden satellite, built by Japanese researchers, was launched into space Tuesday in an early test of using timber in lunar and Mars exploration. Scientists at Kyoto University show LignoSat, the first satellite made from wood, in May. STR / Jiji Press / AFP - Getty Images file“Early 1900s airplanes were made of wood,” said Kyoto University forest science professor Koji Murata. “A wooden satellite should be feasible, too.”Wood is more durable in space than on Earth because there’s no water or oxygen that would rot or inflame it, Murata added. A wooden satellite also minimizes the environmental impact at the end of its life, the researchers say.
Persons: , Takao Doi, Doi’s, Koji Murata, ” Wood, Murata, Doi, ” Doi, LignoSat, Kenji Kariya Organizations: Kyoto University, homebuilder Sumitomo Forestry, International, SpaceX, Space Shuttle, NASA, LignoSat, Jiji Press, Getty, Elon, Station, Sumitomo Forestry Tsukuba Research Institute Locations: KYOTO, Japan, Kyoto
Kyoyo, Japan Reuters —The world’s first wooden satellite, built by Japanese researchers, was launched into space on Tuesday, in an early test of using timber in lunar and Mars exploration. An engineering model of LignoSat, pictured at Kyoto University ahead of Tuesday's launch. “Early 1900s airplanes were made of wood,” said Kyoto University forest science professor Koji Murata. “A wooden satellite should be feasible, too.”Wood is more durable in space than on Earth because there’s no water or oxygen that would rot or inflame it, Murata added. A wooden satellite also minimizes the environmental impact at the end of its life, the researchers say.
Persons: , Takao Doi, Irene Wang, Doi’s, Koji Murata, ” Wood, Murata, Doi, ” Doi, LignoSat, Kenji Kariya Organizations: Japan Reuters, Kyoto University, homebuilder Sumitomo Forestry, International, SpaceX, Space Shuttle, Reuters, NASA, Elon, Space, Sumitomo Forestry Tsukuba Research Institute Locations: Kyoyo, Japan, Kyoto
For many Americans, the most important focus heading into a presidential election is how the winner will impact their wallet. Related storiesFor drug prices, Harris has promised to expand two provisions in the Inflation Reduction Act, allowing Medicare to negotiate the prices of some drugs. HarrisHarris' planned policy includes the construction of 3 million new housing units, as well as an expansion to the Low-Income Housing Tax Credit. TrumpTrump has also proposed expanding the child tax credit, which currently provides up to $2,000 per child. In August, the vice presidential candidate JD Vance floated a child tax credit proposal that would include $5,000 per child for families of all income levels.
Persons: Harris, Trump, Trump's, Joe Biden's, Biden, Trump Trump, — Trump, Harris Harris, , Vance, hasn't Organizations: Trump, Federal Reserve, White, Trump Trump Locations: Americas
Horton makes the most sense as a Kamala Harris stock because of a promised $25,000 toward a first home. I don't know if either candidate can pull off huge tariffs (Trump) or a credit (Harris). Here are eleven surprising things about this earnings season that you can store up and pull out when the election is confirmed. The deficit will begin to hurt the stock market hard next year even if the economy continues to cool. Away from the hyperscalers, I like Marvell , where CEO Matt Murphy bought $1 million worth of stock in the open market.
Persons: beckons, Joe Biden, Biden, Donald Trump, D.R, Horton, Kamala Harris, Harris, let's, Let's, Trump, haven't, Myers, Abbvie, Eli Lilly, Anat Askenazi's, Abbott, neonatologists, Reckitt, Jim Hurst, Danaher, Jason Hollar, It's, Amgen, That's, Estee Lauder, Parker, Pat Gelsinger's, He's, Matt Murphy, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, David Paul Morris Organizations: U.S, NBC News, White, Ford Motor, Trump, Costco, Volkswagen, Bankers, Banco Santander, Apple, Amazon, GE Vernova, U.S ., Treasury, Merck, NEC, FDA, CDC, NIH, GE Healthcare, Cardinal Health, NPC, Nvidia, Caterpillar, Linde, Devices, heaven's, Intel, Marvell, Micron, Arista, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, Bloomberg, Getty Locations: Europe, Germany, China, Portugal, Ireland, Italy, Greece, Spain, It's, Santander, , Bristol, U.S, Taiwan, Eaton, Dover, Norwegian, Caribbean, San Francisco
Here are the biggest calls on Wall Street on Thursday: Goldman Sachs reiterates Microsoft as buy Goldman says the stock remains extremely attractive following earnings on Wednesday. Bank of America reiterates as Meta as buy Meta remains a "top AI pick" following earnings on Wednesday. Deutsche Bank downgrades Kraft Heinz to hold from buy Deutsche says it sees "reduced growth" following earnings. BTIG upgrades Wingstop to buy from neutral BTIG said investors should buy the dip following earnings on Wednesday. "We are upgrading shares of Wingstop to Buy from Neutral with a $370 price target following the post-earnings selloff in shares yesterday."
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Al, Oppenheimer, Wolfe, Bernstein, it's, JPMorgan downgrades Brinker, Morgan Stanley downgrades Biogen, Morgan Stanley, Deutsche Bank downgrades Kraft Heinz, KBW, Wells, Wells Fargo, L3Harris Organizations: Microsoft, Bank of America, Meta, JPMorgan, Chili's, Corp, Deutsche Bank, Deutsche, Walmart, Technologies, of America Locations: Robinhood, 4Q24, OW
Homebuilder Meritage Homes could see outsized growth even in the midst of a housing lull, thanks to a strategy that emphasizes homes that are "move-in ready," according to Goldman Sachs. Existing home sales remain sluggish and housing turnover below historical norms due to affordability issues for consumers hit by higher mortgage rates. But even against a backdrop of tight housing supply, Goldman analyst Susan Maklari expects Meritage to outshine competitors owing to a unique strategy. Maklari believes Meritage is poised for further upside to its 2028 targets because the company offers a competitive proposition to buyers. Meritage provides a "turnkey solution" to consumers — fully outfitted units that don't need add-ons — with a 60-day closing guarantee on homes.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Susan Maklari, Maklari, Meritage Organizations: realtors, Elliott Homes
For the fiscal second quarter, the company posted adjusted earnings of 60 cents per share on $2.76 billion in revenue. Cadence Design Systems – The stock jumped more than 5% after the electronic design company's third-quarter earnings beat Wall Street estimates. JetBlue's third quarter results did beat analyst estimates on the top and bottom lines. PayPal – Shares fell 3% after PayPal posted third-quarter revenue that missed expectations. Crocs – Shares tumbled around 12% despite the company's third-quarter earnings beating estimates.
Persons: Ford, Trex, FactSet, Jim Conroy, John Hazen, Conroy, Crypto, Stocks, Horton, PayPal –, StreetAccount, Crocs, Lisa Kailai Han, Samantha Subin, Jesse Pound, Sarah Min, Pia Singh, Tanaya Macheel, Michelle Fox Theobald Organizations: Corporation, Ford Motors, Cadence, Systems, BP –, Pfizer, Revenue, Ross Stores, JetBlue –, JetBlue, LSEG, Mizuho, PayPal, FactSet, Xerox
Check out the companies making headlines in midday trading: VF Corporation — Shares jumped more than 22%. VF Corporation posted adjusted earnings of 60 cents per share on revenue of $2.76 billion. That is above the 37 cents per share in earnings and $2.71 billion in revenue that analysts surveyed by LSEG were expecting. The firm also upped the midpoint of its non-GAAP earnings per share forecast for the full year. F5 posted adjusted earnings of $3.67 per share and revenue of $747 million in the fiscal fourth quarter.
Persons: LSEG, Jim Conroy, Trex, FactSet, Xerox, Horton, Corning, — CNBC's Pia Singh, Michelle Fox, Samantha Subin, Sean Conlon, Alex Harring Organizations: , Cadence, BP — U.S, BP, Pfizer, JetBlue Airways —, JetBlue, LSEG, Xerox, FactSet, PayPal, Caribbean, Ford Locations: Corning
There could be trouble ahead for consumers and the economy if interest rates don't come down, the latest financial results from D.R. "While mortgage rates have decreased from their highs earlier this year, many potential homebuyers expect rates to be lower in 2025," he said in a statement . Horton year to date The rate for a 30-year fixed mortgage is currently 7%, according to Mortgage News Daily . Mortgage rates are tied to the yield on the 10-year Treasury note, which has recently spiked higher. For the fiscal fourth quarter that just ended, it reported earnings of $3.92 per share on revenue of $10 billion.
Persons: Horton, David Auld, LSEG Organizations: Wall, Mortgage News, Federal Reserve, Treasury, Toll, Pulte, KB, Home Locations: Arlington , Texas
This is the first in a five-part series about the impact both Trump and Harris presidencies could have on US consumers. To date, Trump and Harris have outlined specific policy proposals that will impact different parts of the stock market. The guide covers four specific asset classes, and is divided between the Trump and Harris impact on each. Advertisement"Our upbeat projections for the stock market in 2024 and 2025 are predicated on a view that hype over AI will continue to fuel a stock market bubble," the research firm said. And since presidential actions usually impact rates, the bond market will be shaped by what either Trump or Harris end up doing.
Persons: Harris, , Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Today's, they're, BofA, It's, Financials, Trump's, Trump, Peter Berezin, Joe Biden's, Bonds, Crypto, Bernstein, Gautam Chhugani, bitcoin, Chhugani, Harris Harris, she's, I'm, Larry Fink, Biden, it's Organizations: Trump, Service, Business, Wall, Bank of America, Allies, Foundation, BCA Research, Harris, Democratic, Economics, Capital, Federal, Harris Capital Economics, Federal Reserve, Bloomberg, bitcoin, BlackRock, Capital Economics, Fed Locations: China
Related storiesA 2022 George W. Bush Institute study found that US metros with the highest immigrant population growth scored the lowest construction costs. Without the supply of these workers, history suggests housing costs are likely to rise. These could be significant, given that the construction industry would be competing against other immigrant-dependent sectors. Trump's campaign has implied that cracking down on immigration will help ease housing unaffordability by effectively removing one source of demand. Meanwhile, Trump's platform is also pushing another policy initiative that's unlikely to help housing costs: tariffs.
Persons: Donald Trump, , Donald Trump's, doesn't bode, Jim Tobin, Tobin, George W, JD Vance Organizations: Service, Republican, National Association of Home Builders, Home Builders Institute, Bush, SC, Congressional
UBS says buy this homebuilder with more than 25% upside
  + stars: | 2024-10-25 | by ( Sean Conlon | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
Analyst John Lovallo initiated coverage on the stock with a buy rating, with his price target of $232 implying more than 27% upside from Thursday's close. Lovallo joins 11 other analysts covering the stock on Wall Street who have a strong buy or buy rating, per LSEG. Within that same time, he also sees adjusted earnings growing roughly 16% annually and mid-to-high single-digit organic revenue growth. "We believe BLDR is uniquely positioned to grow with its homebuilder customers and drive above market organic growth through its size/scale advantage and idiosyncratic growth initiatives, including the digital platform rollout," Lovallo also said. BLDR YTD mountain BLDR, year-to-date The stock rose around 1% in premarket trading Friday after his move.
Persons: John Lovallo, Lovallo Organizations: UBS, Wall Locations: FirstSource, U.S
But now, as Trump lines up against DeSantis in a battle over a high-profile ballot initiative to legalize marijuana in Florida, the governor’s old ally, Jeff Roe, is working against him. The relationship, however, soured after DeSantis’ presidential ambitions went up in flames. In June, a Fox News survey found that 66% of Florida voters were for marijuana legalization while just 32% were against it — and that came before Trump said he would support the marijuana initiative. So whenever you’re going against that much money, it’s obviously a tough fight.”Jeff Roe led Never Back Down, the main super PAC backing DeSantis' presidential primary bid. “It’s obviously a different opinion than [DeSantis] has.”Other prominent DeSantis supporters are also in potentially difficult political positions.
Persons: Ron DeSantis, Donald Trump, Jeff Roe, DeSantis, Roe, , , Trump, ” Jeff Roe, hasn’t, Trump’s, Anthony Farhat, Ron, Jeff, Sen, Joe Gruters, ” Morgan Hill, Trulieve, Roe —, James Uthmeier, Uthmeier, Farhat, Tom Brady, Robert Kraft, Brady, ” Farhat, ” Matt Dixon, Allan Smith Organizations: Florida Gov, Trump, DeSantis, GOP, Republican, Fox News, PAC, Ballard Partners, Capital City Consulting, NBC News, Florida Republican Party, Republicans, Libertarians, Independents, Smart, New England Patriots, Patriots, Tampa Bay Buccaneers Locations: TALLAHASSEE, Fla, Florida, Tallahassee, New England, Tallahassee , Florida, New York
“Losing the workers would devastate our companies, our industry and our economy.”‘The math is just not there’There is evidence that foreign-born construction workers help keep the housing market in check. “Immigrant construction workers in Sun Belt metros like Raleigh, Nashville, Houston, and San Antonio have helped these cities sustain their housing cost advantage over coastal cities despite rapid growth in housing demand,” the authors wrote. Undocumented workers would likely flee ahead of any national deportation effort, Hetrick said, even though many have been in the U.S. for well over a decade. Past as prologueLast year, the state’s Republican governor, Ron DeSantis, enacted a series of restrictions and penalties to deter the employment of undocumented workers. Many immigrant workers hastily left the state even before the policies took effect, with social media videos showing some construction sites sitting empty.
Persons: Trump, You’d, couldn’t, Stan Marek, Marek, “ You’d, ” Bryan Dunn, , , Trump’s, ” Taylor Rogers, Karoline Leavitt, ” Tobin, Jim Tobin, ” Marek, George W, Bob Croslin, Ron Hetrick, Hetrick, Ron DeSantis, Luciano, Taylor, Rick Roth, weren’t, Dunn, ” Dunn, he’s “, Kamala Harris, ” Taylor Organizations: Republican, Trump, Companies, Big, Republican National, National Association of Home Builders, Bush Institute and Southern Methodist University, U.S, Sun, NBC, Workers, NBC News Republican Locations: Texas, an, Arizona, Southwest, Greenland, Aurora , Colorado, U.S, Raleigh, Nashville, Houston, San Antonio, Tampa, Fla, Florida, Mexico, South Florida, Tempe, “ Arizona
"It would be detrimental to the construction industry and our labor supply and exacerbate our housing affordability problems," said Jim Tobin, CEO of the National Association of Home Builders. Brent Taylor President of Taylor Construction Group, Tampa, Fla.Nearly 11 million undocumented immigrants were living in the U.S. as of 2022, the latest federal data shows, down from an 11.8 million peak in 2007. The labor pool is tight already, with the U.S. construction industry still looking to fill 370,000 open positions, according to federal data. 'The math is just not there'There is evidence that foreign-born construction workers help keep the housing market in check. Undocumented workers would likely flee ahead of any national deportation effort, Hetrick said, even though many have been in the U.S. for well over a decade.
Persons: Mike Blake, Donald Trump's, Jim Tobin, Brent Taylor, Taylor, couldn’t, Stan Marek, Marek, Tobin, George W, Ron Hetrick, Hetrick Organizations: Reuters, National Association of Home Builders, Taylor Construction Group, Pew Research Center, NBC News . Industry, Sun, Companies, Bush Institute and Southern Methodist University, U.S Locations: Menifee , California, Tampa, Fla, U.S, Florida, Texas, Raleigh, Nashville, Houston, San Antonio
Tom Lee, Fundstrat's head of research, said in an Oct. 17 note to clients that the firm is opening a six-month "tactical overweight" on the homebuilding sector. The six-month timeline counts on a strong seasonal pattern where homebuilders tend to rally from late October to late April. While the reason for the historical trend is not clear, the fact that it currently coincides with a rate-cutting cycle for the Federal Reserve should lend homebuilders' stocks even more support, Lee said. "The Fed is cutting interest rates, at a time when U.S. housing has been in a recession. The sector exchange-traded funds highlighted by Lee include the iShares U.S. Home Construction ETF (ITB) , the SPDR S & P Homebuilders ETF (XHB) and the Invesco Building & Construction ETF (PKB) .
Persons: Tom Lee, Fundstrat's, Lee Organizations: Federal, Home, Construction Locations: U.S
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailAugust business inventories post in line with estimates; Homebuilder sentiment rises in OctoberCNBC's Rick Santelli reports on the latest economic data to cross the tape.
Persons: Rick Santelli
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