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According to CME FedWatch, which estimates interest rate changes based on market predictions, the size of the rate cut is a coin toss. As of Friday afternoon, there's a 51% chance the Federal Reserve will cut rates by 25 basis points and a 49% chance it'll be an extra-large 50-basis-point cut. That's because a larger rate cut makes borrowing cheaper, which tends to drive up spending and fuel price increases. Rate cuts will also eventually make it cheaper for small businesses to take out loans. A rate cut could cause a rush of buyers to enter the market in the short term, driving up prices and competition.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Michael Madowitz, she's, McTier, it'll, Mark Hamrick, Banks, Hamrick, NerdWallet, Sara Rathner Organizations: Service, Federal, CME FedWatch, Federal Reserve, Business, Washington Center for Equitable Growth, Fed, Consumer Financial, Bureau, asheffey Locations: Jackson Hole , Wyoming, McTier
But around a year and a half ago, she decided to pursue what she calls a "portfolio career." Anna Mackenzie has a portfolio career and likes the variety of gigs she can do with this type of work. Mackenzie SweetnamJanel Abrahami, who also has a portfolio career, doesn't see workers going back to how work was before the pandemic. Some people may take on a freelance job or work more than one job to kick off their portfolio career. AdvertisementThe pros and cons of a portfolio careerMackenzie and Abrahami both think a portfolio career isn't for everyone.
Persons: , Anna Mackenzie, Mackenzie, Mackenzie Sweetnam Janel Abrahami, doesn't, it's, divesting, Abrahami, Janel Abrahami, Janel Abrahami Mackenzie, who've, who's, " Mackenzie Organizations: Service, Business Locations: New Jersey, Australia
In Japan, for example, most people are actually quite satisfied with housing costs. In recent years, rising rents and home prices driven by a severe housing shortage — coupled with elevated mortgage rates — have caused Americans' housing costs to soar to near-record levels of unaffordability. Some experts have pointed to Japan, where housing costs are lower than peer countries, as a potential model for solutions the US could adopt. While Japan's abundance of housing isn't entirely a positive story, when it comes to Tokyo, housing experts say there are many lessons the US could learn from its ally. AdvertisementWhile a population slowdown could help moderate housing costs, some experts believe a substantial population decline would have big economic consequences in the long run.
Persons: , aren't Organizations: Service, Business, Housing, Gallup Locations: Japan, Israel, Turkey, Slovenia, Portugal, United States, Tokyo
Universum released the latest ranking of where global tech students most want to work for. Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. AdvertisementSome college students think it would be great to work for Google, Samsung, or Oracle one day. Universum, an employer branding specialist, shared with Business Insider the results of its World's Most Attractive Employers rankings. This story is available exclusively to Business Insider subscribers.
Persons: Universum, Organizations: Google, Service, Samsung, Business
Some engineering students would love to work for Google if they got the chance. Mercedes-Benz Group moved up from last year to complete the top 3 based on engineering students. 1 most desirable employer for engineering students around the world in a new ranking from Universum. Still, soon-to-be graduates or students preparing for the future are excited to hopefully work for particular companies. Engineering students worldwide find Google, Microsoft, and Mercedes-Benz Group as attractive employers.
Persons: Universum, Organizations: Google, Mercedes, Benz Group, Service, Universum, Engineering, Microsoft, Business
Business students worldwide think it would be great to work for Apple, Google, or JPMorgan Chase. They were at the top of an ideal employer list according to business students in different countries. Go to newsletter preferences Thanks for signing up! AdvertisementUniversum, an employer branding specialist, used feedback from thousands of business students from around the world to see where they really want to work. This story is available exclusively to Business Insider subscribers.
Persons: JPMorgan Chase, , Universum Organizations: Apple, Google, JPMorgan, Deloitte, Big, Service, Business
You can opt-out at any time by visiting our Preferences page or by clicking "unsubscribe" at the bottom of the email. The consumer price index, published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, increased 2.5% over the year from August 2023 to this past August, matching the forecast of 2.5% and below July's 2.9% rate. The new data will factor into the Federal Open Market Committee's interest-rate decision next week, with the hot core figure decreasing the odds of a jumbo 50-basis-point cut. Softening but still relatively strong labor market data will also weigh on the Fed's decision. "If that test is met, a reduction in our policy rate could be on the table as soon as the next meeting in September."
Persons: , Jerome Powell, Powell Organizations: Service, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Business, Federal
Read previewMore children fell into poverty last year — and it could signal a major issue for both candidates as the presidential election heats up. But child poverty rose faster than that, from 12.4% to 13.7%. "The effectiveness of such a policy is evident when one considers the effects of the Child Tax Credit." And with child poverty only worsening, what candidates can deliver for parents might be particularly salient. Is the rise in child poverty and lack of assistance impacting your family?
Persons: , Steven Durlauf, Joe Biden's, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump's, Joseph Costello, Harris, Walz, JD Vance, Anna Kelly, Kelly, Trump, Adam Ruben, Josh Bivens, they'd Organizations: Service, Business, The University of Chicago, Stone Center for Research, Harris School of Public, Child Tax, Pew Research Center, Economic Security, Census, Economic Policy Institute, jkaplan Locations: U.S
While jobs are stable for workers, it's bad news for job seekers. Go to newsletter preferences Thanks for signing up! AdvertisementIf you're struggling to find a job, perhaps you can take solace in an age-old saying: It's not you. The era of the Great Resignation and zero interest rates meant corporate America was practically handing out jobs — and big raises to boot. While skilled vocational trades like health services and construction were big drivers of job gains in August, sectors like information, which encompasses tech and white-collar fields, haven't fared as well.
Persons: , It's Organizations: Service, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Business Locations: America
The data is a crucial input as the Fed decides how much to cut interest rates later this month. Go to newsletter preferences Thanks for signing up! download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementUnemployment slid, as expected, to 4.2% in August after a surprise increase to 4.3% in July. The unemployment figure solidifies outlooks for an economic soft landing and is unlikely to derail expectations for a Federal Reserve interest-rate cut later this month.
Persons: , payrolls Organizations: Service, Federal, Investors, Business
That means that the tens of thousands of Black men who are incarcerated aren't being included in these calculations, effectively boosting the Black male employment rate. As of July, the BLS estimated a there were 16.2 million US Black men in the noninstitutional population, compared to 18.8 million Black women. AdvertisementThe bottom line: If the survey data had a more complete picture of Black men, Holzer said the Black male employment rate would likely be "considerably worse." Education differences and discrimination can work against Black menEducation is one factor that can help explain the lower employment rate of Black men, Wilson said. A strong job market and workforce development programs could drive progressThere are several things that might help get more Black men into the workforce.
Persons: , there's, it's, Harry Holzer, aren't, Holzer, Valerie Wilson, Wilson, Jared, Black, didn't, weren't, " Holzer Organizations: Service, Business, Georgetown University, US Department of Labor, Pew, BLS, Black, University of California, University of Chicago, BI, Harvard, Stanford, Initiative Locations: Berkeley
It's the first time the inflation rate has been below 3% since March 2021, and it adds to the case that the Federal Reserve could cut rates at its next meeting. Over the month, the consumer price index rose 0.2% in July. The Fed is watching for inflation to cool before committing to rate cuts. Many economists think it's well past time for the Fed to cut interest rates and have expressed worries about the rapidly cooling labor market. AdvertisementThe labor market is cooling off, and it might be harder to get a job than a few years ago.
Persons: , Jerome Powell, Nick Bunker, Claudia Sahm, Powell Organizations: Service, Federal, Business, Core CPI, of Labor Statistics, Fed, North America, Bureau of Labor Statistics, New Century Advisors, Federal Reserve
download the appSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. Assuming no changes to Social Security benefits, 37% of Gen Z and 44% of millennials could experience retirement shortfalls, coming in below 47% of Gen X and 52% of boomers. One 68-year-old previously told BI that she cannot afford to retire and is living off her Social Security and salary. According to the report, only around 28% of US households would face retirement shortfalls if they retire at 70. "You can delay claiming Social Security and get a bigger benefit and inflation-adjusted benefit."
Persons: , Gen Xers —, Zers, Gen X, X, Spencer, Morningstar, Xers, Gen Organizations: Service, Financial, Morningstar, Social Security, Business, Consumer, Alliance, Lifetime, Pensions
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailTensions in the Middle East could lead to a $10 spike in oil prices, says commodities strategistBenjamin Hoff, global head of commodities strategy at Societe Generale, says it would be safe to assume prices would spike if Iran were to disrupt the safe passage of vessels through the Strait of Hormuz.
Persons: Benjamin Hoff Organizations: Societe Generale Locations: Iran, Hormuz
Did you have a job, own a home, and have significant investments in the stock market? If the answer was yes to all three, then there's a decent chance you're feeling OK about the current state of your finances. But the job market has slowed over the past year. To be sure, not everyone has enough extra cash to invest in the stock market. This is among the reasons a growing share of Americans have dipped their toes into the stock market.
Persons: , haven't, there's, There's, It's, what's, Roland Hesmondhalgh, he's, Republicans —, Tiffany Bell, didn't, Bell, she's, she'll Organizations: Service, Business, Federal Reserve, University of Michigan, Republicans, Federal Locations: Virginia, Pennsylvania, Houston
AdvertisementBut for job seekers who are struggling, there are ways you can try to improve your odds. Related storiesHaller said job seekers should reply to a job posting within 24 hours "to at least have a shot to be in the mix." That's how long Haller said job seekers have "to capture somebody's attention by your résumé or by your profile." Haller said job seekers may want to see who they can contact at the company beforehand. Getz said "to be cautious about how often you're following up" because you're not the only job candidate a hiring manager is talking to.
Persons: , Leanne Getz, Stacie Haller, ResumeBuilder.com, Haller, Gabrielle Davis, I'm, Davis, company's, Getz, it's, I've, you've, doesn't Organizations: Service, of Labor Statistics, Business, LinkedIn Locations: mhoff@businessinsider.com
"The US economy is still growing," said Claudia Sahm, the chief economist at New Century Advisors, a former Federal Reserve economist, and the creator of the Sahm rule. Despite rebuking the idea that the US is in a recession, Sahm does have concerns about the labor market and high interest rates. Advertisement"The most important lever to pull is to normalize interest rates," Sahm said, joining a chorus of economists who say the Federal Reserve has waited too long to cut interest rates. The Fed decided to hold interest rates steady in its July meeting at the end of the month. It's not surprising that the labor market has cooled after the booming post-pandemic recovery.
Persons: , Claudia Sahm, Sahm, It's, it's Organizations: Service, New Century Advisors, Federal Reserve, Business, Fed
Go to newsletter preferencesSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. In today's big story, interest-rate cuts are almost certainly coming, but the relief won't be felt immediately . The big storyCrash landingKevin Dietsch/Getty, Tyler Le/BIOur bend-don't-break economy might finally have reached its limit. After a year of resiliency in the face of high interest rates, the cracks are showing in the US economy. But it's not a silver bullet, and the rate cut's effect will take time to make its way through the economy.
Persons: , Kevin Dietsch, Tyler Le, it's, Chelsea Jia Feng, Claudia Sahm, Madison Hoff, McDonald's, Jared Siskin, Bobby, Jordan Grumet, Justin Best, Brian Stauffer, Michal Kosinski, Rob Price, sompong, Seng kui Lim, Getty, Joe Biden's, Elon, Dan DeFrancesco, Jordan Parker Erb, Hallam Bullock, Annie Smith, Amanda Yen Organizations: Service, Business, Relief, Getty, Fed, Amazon, Big Tech, Madison, Park Conservancy, Citadel, FIRE, Union Square Advisors, Nvidia, America Locations: resiliency, Central, Switzerland, Canada, Park, Paris, New York, London
In 2022, Amelie Krikorian bought books, rugs, chocolate, paint, flashcards, beads, and more for her students and classroom with her own money. "Teachers who want to make elementary school a positive and enriching experience do feel pressure to spend their own money," she told BI. Krikorian, who has since left the education field, said teachers shouldn't have to spend their own money on their classrooms. And when schools don't supply all the materials, teachers often step up. For enrichment purposes over the years, Krikorian "bought books that enabled the kids to do additional reading about what we were doing in history and science," she said.
Persons: Amelie Krikorian, shouldn't, Krikorian, it's Organizations: Service, Business, Survey, eBay, Walmart, Target Locations: Egypt
She left the corporate grind earlier this year and turned her side gigs into a full-time job. Her last position before moving into full-time self-employment had a base salary of $94,000. Advertisement"I was at this job, wasn't totally happy with it, and I knew I had been making decent money doing my side hustles part-time," she said. "When I'm doing that, I'm like, oh, I couldn't be doing this right now if I was working my corporate job," she said. Have you left your corporate job, made a career change, or turned your side hustle into a full-time job?
Persons: , Amber Smith, Smith, it's, I'm, wasn't, she's, I've, Taylor Swift Organizations: Service, Business, eBay Locations: Iowa, mhoff@businessinsider.com
Read previewThe July jobs report has thrown the economy's soft landing into question — and the Federal Reserve is taking the heat. AdvertisementGiven the jobs report, Nick Bunker, economic research director for North America at the Indeed Hiring Lab, told Business Insider that "the soft landing for the US labor market is in peril." Advertisement"The problem is there's very few indications that this is the labor market we're going to stick around in," Bunker said. "It's clear that momentum of the labor market continues to be downward. "But I continue to stand by the idea that this is still part of the soft landing that people thought was not possible."
Persons: , it's, Nick Bunker, Claudia Sahm, Sahm, Jerome Powell, Julia Pollak, It's, We're, Bunker, Powell, Harris, doesn't, Labor Julie Su, Su, they've Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Business, North America, New Century Advisors, Fed, Biden, Labor
The weak report all but confirms the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates in September, an outcome that was already carrying a near-100% probability heading into the report. AdvertisementFriday's jobs report comes after this week's Federal Open Market Committee meeting, where the Federal Reserve held interest rates steady once again. "I think it's past time for them to cut interest rates," Mark Zandi, chief economist of Moody's Analytics, told Business Insider in July. "The question will be whether the totality of the data, the evolving outlook, and the balance of risks are consistent with rising confidence on inflation and maintaining a solid labor market," Powell said. There were around 3.3 million quits in June and the quits rate was 2.1%.
Persons: , payrolls, Mark Zandi, Jerome Powell, Powell Organizations: Service, Business, Labor Statistics, Reserve, Stock, Federal Reserve, Bureau of Labor Statistics
It's safe to say that Americans can count on an interest rate cut pretty soon, but probably not this week. On Wednesday, the Federal Open Market Committee will announce its next interest rate decision, and it's once again expected to hold rates steady. However, the FOMC's September meeting could finally bring Americans the relief they've been waiting for — CME FedWatch showed markets think it's all but certain the Fed will cut rates that month. Lower interest rates would make borrowing more affordable for consumers and businesses alike. "You have kept interest rates too high for too long: it is time to cut rates," they wrote.
Persons: it's, Claudia Sahm, Greg McBride, There's, Jerome Powell, Powell, Sahm, Matt Colyar, September's, Elizabeth Warren, Jacky Rosen, John Hickenlooper Organizations: Service, Federal, CME FedWatch, Business, New Century Advisors, Fed, Banking, Housing, Urban Affairs, Democratic, Moody's
AdvertisementFinding a relatively large apartment to rent without paying a lot each month might be attractive to people who work remotely. That includes El Paso at 1,147 square feet and Lubbock at 1,220 square feet. Still, there were Texas locations with averages under 1,000 square feet, like Dallas at 815 square feet. Meanwhile, most of the large cities in California and Florida had low averages, reflecting their more expensive housing markets. "Notably, Texas has four locations among the top 20 small cities offering the most apartment space for $1,500," the blog post said.
Persons: , Alexandra Both, RentCafe Organizations: Service, South, Business, Midwest Locations: Southeast, Wichita , Kansas, Oklahoma, Texas, El Paso, Lubbock, Dallas, California, Florida, Queens , New York, Newark , New Jersey, Columbus , Georgia, , Texas
He said he didn't "have a timeline in mind until after" he was accepted into the Tulsa Remote program in Oklahoma in 2021. Dalton said the cost of living and pace of life are pros of living in Tulsa. Several people who have participated in the Tulsa Remote program, which launched in late 2018, have previously talked to BI about their moving experience. The new remote job would help him qualify for a move from California to Oklahoma through the Tulsa Remote program. Tulsa's slower pace of life gives Dalton more time to enjoy life and have fun with others.
Persons: , Morgan Dalton, Dalton, Tulsans, I've, It's, he's, Joe's, it's, Guthrie Organizations: Service, Business, BOK Center, Tulsa, Tulsa Drillers Locations: Los Angeles, Tulsa, Oklahoma, West Coast, West, Mexican, Texas, Houston, California, LA, Southern California, New York, DC, San Francisco
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