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☆ Want to cash in on China's stimulus? Here's what the pros expect next
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-12 | by ( Amala Balakrishner | In Amala-Balakrishner | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Chinese markets are back in the spotlight after a slew of government stimulus measures over recent weeks. "I think the right way of looking at what China's up to, really, is to see it as a process," he told CNBC's "Street Signs Asia" on Monday. His comments come as China's Ministry of Finance signaled Friday that more fiscal support could come next year . Stocks to watch As investors ponder how to navigate the Chinese market, Bernstein said there are attractive opportunities in "growth and high volume stocks [aligned] with policy led rebound." Both Tencent and Meituan trade on the Hong Kong Exchange and in the U.S. as American Depository Receipts (ADR) under the ticker TCEHY and MPNGY .

Persons: Jordan, CNBC's, we've, Paul Cavey, Donald Trump, Carey, Stocks, Bernstein, — CNBC's Evelyn Cheng, Michael Bloom Organizations: Pella Funds, Ministry, Finance, Asia Econ, Healthcare, China Internet, Hong, Hong Kong Exchange Locations: Pella, Asia, Real Estate, downgrades, China, Hong Kong, Tencent, U.S

☆ Stimulus for Chinese consumer key to spur growth, says economist
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-11 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailStimulus for Chinese consumer key to spur growth, says economistPaul Cavey from East Asia Econ says China needs to target "new growth", instead of focusing stimulus on the real estate, as economic growth shifts further from the traditional property market.

Persons: Paul Cavey Organizations: East Asia Econ Locations: East Asia, China

To lower housing costs, Trump has said he would allow homes to be built on federally protected land, something that could help increase the supply of homes in places like Nevada and Arizona. TaxesTrump has proposed a number of tax cuts, including a complete elimination of the federal income tax. Those cuts lowered the corporate tax rate to 21% from 35%, reduced individual income tax rates, and increased the standard deduction. That could create havoc for workers and consumers and reduce the amount of income taxes the federal government brings in. About 40% of Social Security recipients pay federal income taxes, typically because they have other sources of income that raise them above a certain threshold where they are required to pay income tax, according to the Social Security Administration.

Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, —, ” Trump, “, Decker, Matt Priest, ”, Priest, It’s, He’s, hasn’t, Immigration Trump, Jim Tobin, Trump’s Organizations: Trump, Chicago Economic, Companies, National Bureau of Economic Research, Footwear Distributors, Retailers, U.S, Federal Reserve, Immigration, Business, Pew Research Center, NBC News, National Association of Home Builders, NBC, University of New, University of Pennsylvania, Social Security, Social, Social Security Administration Locations: U.S, China, Nevada, Arizona, Alaska, Saudi Arabia, Russia, University of New Hampshire

☆ You will pay for Donald Trump’s across-the-board tariffs if he’s reelected. Here’s proof
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-04 | by ( Allison Morrow | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

How much and how fast is hard to know, but you can bet your bottom dollar you’ll be needing more dollars to pay for everyday goods if Trump’s sweeping tariffs are put in place. “If we get tariffs, we will pass those tariff costs back to the consumer,” said Philip Daniele, CEO of AutoZone, on an earnings call in September. But several studies conclude that the cost of those tariffs were borne almost entirely by American consumers and businesses. The most generous interpretation of Trump’s tariff plan would be that he’s trying to force US businesses to move their overseas operations back on US soil, creating jobs. Even if tariffs could undo decades of globalization, it likely wouldn’t have the effect Trump is hoping for.

Persons: ”, Philip Daniele, AutoZone, Daniele, it’s, we’ve, he’s, Trump, Timothy Boyle, Boyle, we’re, It’s Organizations: New, New York CNN, US Treasury, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Columbia, Washington Post, Trump, Associated Press, AP, Trump -, Walmart, Target, aren’t Locations: New York, China, Beijing, United States

☆ 16 cities where tenants can score significant rent savings as apartment prices stay high
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-31 | by ( James Faris | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Here are 16 real-estate markets where renters can save big. That's virtually unchanged from September's rate of $1,533, though it's 1.9% higher than the median price from a year ago. Two-bedroom setups went for around $1,910 in the nation's 100 largest real-estate markets, only a few dollars lower than last month and 2.6% higher than in October 2023. 16 cities where rent is reasonableEven though rent is stubbornly high on the national level, there are several cities among the 100 biggest rental markets where apartments are increasingly affordable. Along with each city are its year-over-year and month-over-month rent changes and its median rent, the savings compared to the national median, and its rank among the 100 top US real-estate markets.

Persons: —, Zumper, that's, hasn't, Anthemos Georgiades Organizations: Service

☆ Just ignore the word ‘tariff’ — it’s a tax
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-16 | by ( Allison Morrow | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +6 min

Especially when you hear words like “tariffs.”But, given the economy’s central importance in the 2024 race, it’s worth hammering on an Econ 101 fact: Tariffs are a tax on Americans. Very simply: When the US government decides to put a tariff (read: tax) on, say, Chinese goods, the actual money going to the US Treasury comes from the American company doing the importing. “To me, the most beautiful word in the dictionary is tariff,” Trump said at one point. But it’s important to judge Trump’s first-term trade policies and the Biden-Harris approach against context of the unprecedented tariff wave Trump is planning if he gets to Round Two. Bottom line: Tariffs might be a beautiful word to Trump’s ear, but he’s telling a fictional story about what they do in practice.

Persons: CNN Business ’, New York CNN —, Donald Trump, It’s, —, Annette Choi, Katie Lobosco, podcaster Sean Kelly, David Pakman, Kelly, he’s, ” Kelly, Pakman, “, Trump, ” Trump, John Micklethwait, Micklethwait, it’s, Joe Biden, Kamala Harris, Trump’s, Harris, ”, Scott Lincicome, United States —, ” David Kelly, Matt Egan Organizations: CNN Business, New York CNN, CNN, US Treasury, Bloomberg, Economic, of Chicago, Biden, Trump, Republican, Cato Institute, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Federal, Peterson Institute, Asset Management Locations: New York, China, United States, States

☆ Jim Cramer talks why bad econ data can distract you from buying opportunities
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-10 | by ( Jim Cramer | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailJim Cramer talks why bad econ data can distract you from buying opportunities'Mad Money' host Jim Cramer looks at the market impact of today's CPI print.

Persons: Jim Cramer

☆ Good news: The ‘hard landing’ forecasters got it wrong
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-07 | by ( Allison Morrow | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

But as we wind down 2024, one thing appears clear: The naysayers on Team Hard Landing got it wrong. The “soft landing” versus “hard landing” metaphor — perhaps overused but visually handy — refers to the economy as an airplane and the Fed as the pilot. Pull the right levers at the right time, and you get a nice comfortable soft landing, with inflation cooling and the labor market thriving. He was far from alone in thinking that a soft landing was little more than a fantasy. “We should just drop the soft landing versus hard landing discourse and start talking about a robust expansion at mid-cycle,” Joe Brusuelas, chief economist at RSM, told Schwab Network in an interview.

Persons: CNN Business ’, everyone’s, ”, Sung Won Sohn, we’d, ” Aaron, “, there’s, Justin Wolfers, Bill Dudley, “ I’ve, Dudley, Larry Summers, they’re, Joe Brusuelas Organizations: CNN Business, New York CNN, Loyola Marymount University, Fed, . Upjohn Institute, Employment Research, ICYMI, Bureau of Labor Statistics —, Federal Reserve Bank of New, Bloomberg, RSM, Schwab Network Locations: New York, Federal Reserve Bank of New York

☆ How Austin, Texas Cut Home Prices, Built Houses, and Stopped a Crisis
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-25 | by ( James Rodriguez | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +13 min

But as other pandemic Zoomtowns continue to see increases in prices and rents, Austin stands alone in its change of fortune. Housing in Austin has been through so many extreme distortions that nobody really knows what "normal" even means anymore. All told, Austin's housing stock has ballooned by more than 76,000 units since 2020, an 8.34% increase that includes single-family homes, condos, and townhomes. Considering the size of the Austin market, moving the stock of homes by nearly 10% is a colossal feat. Related storiesNobody watching the Austin market should be having flashbacks to the Great Recession.

Persons: Austin, homebuyers, homebuilders, Zillow, Elon Musk, Joe Rogan, Homebuyers, Keith Hughes, I'd, That's, Jason Lewris, Lewris, Doreen Sidney, Austin wasn't, Austin's homebuilders, Freddie, Sean Kelly, Rand, Freddie Mac, Jenny Schuetz, homebuilding, Kelly, he's Organizations: Austin, Oracle, Facebook, Google, Elon, Census, Parcl Labs, Federal Reserve, San Antonio —, Austin ., Freddie Mac, Brookings Institution Locations: California, Austin, Real, Texas, Francisco, San Francisco, San Antonio, Boston

☆ JPMorgan's junior bankers just gained an ally in their fight against overwork. Here's what we know about the longtime exec tapped to advocate for them.
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-19 | by ( Emmalyse Brownstein | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +10 min

Read previewLast week, JPMorgan Chase announced that it would be seeking to limit junior bankers' work hours to 80 per week to tackle concerns over unhealthy working conditions. "So a lot of investment bankers — they've been traveling all week. Jamie Dimon on Tuesday addressed Ryland McClendon's new job ScreenshotThe investment banker's daughterMcClendon grew up near Atlanta, Georgia with her parents and three siblings. AdvertisementIn a 2023 episode of JPMorgan's "Women on the Move" podcast, McClendon said her career path has been heavily influenced by her parents. AdvertisementIn the 2023 podcast, McClendon said she likes to use storytelling as a tool to educate because it can be more effective than numbers alone.

Persons: —, Ryland McClendon, Leo Lukenas, Lukenas, McClendon, Michael Nagle, Jamie Dimon, Dimon, aren't, — they've, It's, Ryland McClendon's, Raymond J, Pryor, Ryland, Marion Barry, SunTrust Robinson Humphrey, we've, what's Organizations: Service, JPMorgan Chase, CNBC, JPMorgan, Business, of America, Getty, Bank of America, Georgetown University, Hartsfield, Jackson Atlanta International Airport, Washington D.C, Duke, econ, Wall Locations: Atlanta , Georgia, Atlanta, Washington, Florida

☆ A portfolio manager who's outperformed a major value index for over a decade shares 4 cheap stocks that the market's overlooking
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-18 | by ( Christine Ji | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Market disconnectsSpeaking of mistakes in the market, Rosenthal thinks the current composition of the market is untenable and due for a correction. "We don't think the equal-weighted S&P or any kind of index ex the Mag Seven is at an extremely low valuation," Rosenthal said. Rosenthal holds CVS (CVS) in his portfolio. Nippon Sanso (NPXYY) is a Japanese oil and gas company that Rosenthal believes is undervalued. Combined with the structural tailwind of corporate reforms within Japan, Rosenthal believes this Japanese company's stock is well-positioned to appreciate in the coming years.

Persons: —, Scott Rosenthal, Rosenthal, Rosenthal's, it's Organizations: Service, Hotchkis & Wiley Capital Management, Wiley Global Value Fund, Business, Econ, CVS, Nippon Locations: Japan

☆ The Fed’s rate cuts could have unintended consequences for the housing market
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-18 | by ( Allison Morrow | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

The market had become all but impenetrable after mortgage rates went from historic lows in 2020 to their highest levels in a generation last year. “And I think if we even go down to 5.9%, that would be really psychologically impactful to the housing market. The current 6.2% mortgage rate average is, of course, preferable to last year’s peak of 7.8% — a difference that could translate to hundreds of dollars in monthly payments. As my colleague Samantha Delouya wrote this week, a drop in mortgage rates could be a double-edged sword. “A further drop in mortgage rates could bring a surge of demand that makes it tougher to actually buy a house.”

Persons: ” Daniel Alpert, Alpert, “, ” Daryl Fairweather, Samantha Delouya, ”, Greg McBride Organizations: New, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, Westwood Capital, Fed, Bankrate Locations: New York

☆ You might have just missed Earth-shattering economic news
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-12 | by ( Allison Morrow | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

Instead, the single best economic news of the past decade is but a murmur of chit-chat, barely audible against a clamor of politicos shouting about President Joe Biden’s age. Bidenomics worked and no one caresFor the past three years, President Biden’s biggest political liabilities have been painfully obvious: his age and inflation. Still, Thursday should have been a day for the White House to spike the football and double down on a message that has, historically, fallen flat — that Bidenomics is working. Rather than doing a victory lap, Biden on Thursday was preparing for a high-stakes news conference in front of a ravenous White House press corps that focused their questions almost entirely on his fitness to lead. The White House can finally cross out “inflation” on its list of presidential liabilities.

Persons: CNN Business ’, New York CNN —, it’s, Aaron Sojourner, Jay Powell, Joe Biden’s, Bidenomics, Biden’s, doesn’t, that’s, whoever’s, aren’t, Alicia Wallace, Biden, Donald Trump, it’ll, sipping Champagne Organizations: CNN Business, New York CNN, econ, Biden, Consumers, Labor Department, White, House, Democratic Locations: New York, America

Supply and DemandThe case for housing deregulation starts with Econ 101: Allowing builders to significantly increase housing supply leads to much lower prices. It isn’t rising demand, as the U.S. population rose even faster back when housing prices were roughly stable. Standard of LivingWhat would happen if homebuilders could once again freely build until housing prices were driven back down to cost? The admittedly small number of studies on the link between YIMBY and babies support common sense: Less regulation lowers housing prices, and lower housing prices generally raise birth rates and hasten child-bearing. In a rational world, the panacea policy of housing deregulation would be a done deal.

Persons: Ben Denzer, Taylor, Wharton, homebuilders, Thomas Piketty’s, ”, Matthew Rognlie, Peter Ganong, Daniel Shoag, Anne Case, Angus Deaton Organizations: Republicans, Research, Area, Wharton, Francisco, Francisco Los Angeles New, Francisco Los Angeles New York Phoenix Denver Houston Dallas, Japan Japan France France Britain Britain, Japan Japan France France Britain Britain Canada, → Utah Nevada Arizona New, San, San Francisco New, Atlanta Houston Boston, Democrats, Republican Locations: Minnesota , Oregon, California, New York City, Houston, Dallas, Francisco Los, Francisco Los Angeles New York, Wharton, United States, Japan, France, Britain, Canada, U.S, Japan Japan France France, Japan Japan France France Britain Britain Canada Canada, Bay, Dodge, → California Nevada Florida New York Arkansas, → Utah Nevada Arizona, → Utah Nevada Arizona New York West Virginia, Washington, San Francisco, San Francisco New York Los Angeles Rochester, N.Y, Atlanta

☆ Work is getting really weird
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-01 | by ( Dan Defrancesco | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

The big storyBizarro workplaceLorenzo Matteucci for BILet's be honest: Work has gotten really weird. Workers hiring shadow stand-ins can be unqualified for their jobs, overwhelmed, greedy, or just lazy. Shadow stand-ins are typically paid a fraction of the salary earned by the actual employee. One employee also described to Rob struggling to deal with a shadow stand-in's sub-par work and eventually "firing" them. Getty Images; Alyssa Powell/BIMeanwhile, the people who are doing all the work themselves are having a tough time getting any recognition.

Persons: —, Lorenzo Matteucci, Rob Price, Rob, Alyssa Powell, BI's Aki Ito, Roaring Kitty, Bain, Chris Miller, Greg Peters, Ted Sarandos, Peters, Chelsea Jia Feng, Coach's, David Rosenberg, Donald Trump's, Dan DeFrancesco, Jordan Parker Erb, Hallam Bullock, Grace Lett, Annie Smith, Amanda Yen Organizations: Service, Business, BI, Super, Facebook, Workers, Corporations, Getty, GameStop, McKinsey, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Netflix, Walgreens, CVS, Rite, Wimbledon Locations: Chicago, India, Pakistan, China, Taiwan, New York, London

☆ Wall Street is turning more bullish
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-18 | by ( Krystal Hur | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +6 min

New York CNN —It’s tough being a Wall Street bear these days. The S&P 500 index has climbed nearly 15% this year and clinched 30 record-high closes. The new backdrop of cooling inflation coupled with rate cuts on the horizon is prompting investors to up their bullish wagers. Evercore ISI raised its price target to 6,000 for the S&P 500, a reversal from its previous, more gloomy 4,750 target. Much of the S&P 500 index’s returns are tied to the mega-cap tech Magnificent Seven stocks, leaving the market dependent on just a handful of names to continue its monster run.

Persons: New York CNN —, Goldman Sachs, ”, Julian Emanuel, index’s, Bacon, Danielle Wiener, Bronner, fuming, Jin Bian, Samantha Delouya, Bian, “, Ron DeSantis, isn’t, Bill 264, Sellers, Read Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, ISI, Evercore ISI, Shoppers, Bureau of Labor Statistics, CNN Locations: New York, Monday’s, Florida, Tampa , Florida, Nanjing, China

☆ The strange economics of pig meat: Ham prices are down, but bacon’s up
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-17 | by ( Danielle Wiener-Bronner | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

New York CNN —Shoppers in the meat aisle may have noticed something weird last month: Bacon prices are sizzling, but ham’s not so hot. But ham prices were lower, falling 5.4% overall and dropping 6.3% when you exclude canned varieties. It’s all relativeGlynn Tonsor, a professor in the department of agriculture economics at Kansas State University suggests that if you zoom out, pork prices are indeed going up across the board. But prices for ham actually went up higher than the prices of bacon and pork chops. Scott Olson/Getty Images/FilePeople love baconAnother reason for high bacon prices: Strong demand, even when it’s expensive.

Persons: Bacon, Glynn Tonsor, ” Tonsor, Scott Olson, ”, Christine McCracken, They’re, you’ll, It’s, McCracken, “ You’ll Organizations: New, New York CNN, Shoppers, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Kansas State University, Federal Reserve, St, RaboBank, Retailers, KFC, Starbucks Locations: New York, Louis, Mexico, “, Chicago , Illinois, Burger King

☆ Americans are still paying more for shoes, luggage and hats after Biden left Trump’s tariffs in place
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-16 | by ( Katie Lobosco | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +12 min

Courtesy Abby ChowningThe tariffs Biden left in place – which are paid by US importers and not China – hit roughly $300 billion of goods. After Trump’s tariffs hit, some US companies sought new manufacturers in other countries. The Covid-19 pandemic upended the global economy roughly two years after Trump’s trade war began. Several studies show that Trump’s tariffs only marginally contributed to the rise in US inflation experienced after the pandemic and the following supply chain crisis. Trump’s tariffs were meant to get China to address those issues.

Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, Tiffany Zarfas Williams, ”, Zarfas Williams, Joe Biden, –, “ Trump, ” Biden, “, Biden, ’, Abby, China –, Rick Muskat, Jake Muskat, Alena Margolis, Muskat, ” Muskat, Phil Page, Page, Bryan Finch, ” Page, Morgan, Nate Herman, Matt Priest, Priest, Steve Madden, ” Jared Bernstein, we’ve, ” Bernstein, Justin Sullivan, ” Herman, Xi Jinping, Biden “ Organizations: Washington CNN —, China, Trump, Biden, Deer Stags, JCPenney, America, Cap America, American Apparel & Footwear Association, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Footwear Distributors, Retailers of America, Adidas, Columbia, Nike, White House Council, Economic Advisers, China Business, Trade, National Council of Textile Organizations, Port Locations: Lubbock, Texas, China, Ukraine, Missouri, Vietnam, Bangladesh, Port of Oakland, Oakland , California

☆ No, Americans Aren’t Completely Stupid About Inflation - The New York Times
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-27 | by ( Peter Coy | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +1 min

Stefanie Stantcheva was 11 years old in 1997 when annual inflation in Bulgaria, the country from which she and her family had emigrated, surpassed 2,000 percent. “The episode helped shape her eventual decision to study economics,” according to a profile in the International Monetary Fund’s Finance & Development magazine. Inflation and how people perceive it still fascinate Stantcheva, now a professor of political economy at Harvard and the founder and director of its Social Economics Lab. This year she released a pair of papers on the topic, the first about why people dislike inflation and the second, with a pair of co-authors, about how they understand it. Some people will take this as evidence that ordinary Americans are simply wrong.

Persons: Stefanie Stantcheva, we’re, Tom Jensen Organizations: Monetary Fund’s Finance, Development, Harvard, Social, Econ, Public, Democratic Locations: Bulgaria

☆ A Gen Zer who spends $180,000 designing luxury vans shares the biggest mistake people make converting them
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-23 | by ( Mikhaila Friel | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

High-end travelers are turning to supervans with heated floors, Italian tiles, and home theatres, according to Lucas Ravizza, who builds and designs luxury vans for a living. AdvertisementLucas Ravizza is photographed inside one of the luxury vans he designed. Ravizza is among the many luxury van influencers sharing their designs online. Matt MaloneRavizza said he usually spends $180,000 buying and converting luxury vans for clients who use them as vacation homes. Ravizza said anyone can upgrade a van to add luxury elements, but there's one mistake they should avoid.

Persons: —, Lucas Ravizza, Tom Ripert, Ripert, Lucas, Matt Malone, Ravizza, Matt Malone Ravizza Organizations: Service, Business, Financial Times, Econ Market Research Locations: San Francisco

☆ Biden’s trade chief walks back comments contradicting Biden on tariffs and inflation
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-16 | by ( Matt Egan | Kayla Tausche | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +8 min

Research shows that former President Donald Trump’s tariffs on China did indeed raise prices on consumers and businesses — despite his claims otherwise. The study found tariffs imposed by former President Donald Trump did not meaningfully contribute to inflation. “The new Biden tariffs, like the more extensive ones that Trump has promised, will worsen US inflation. It is fair to debate how much the Biden tariffs will impact inflation because they are not nearly as widespread as what Trump imposed and what Trump is promising if he’s reelected. Trump enacted sweeping tariffs on $300 billion in Chinese imports, setting off a trade war between the world’s two biggest economies.

Persons: Katherine Tai, Joe Biden’s, ” Tai, —, Donald Trump’s, Tai, Angela Perez, Donald Trump, Goldman Sachs, Tai’s, “ Trump, ” Biden, “, Alex Durante, Tai’s “, Maury Obstfeld, Biden, ”, Trump, he’s, ” Perez, White, Morgan, Daleep Singh, Jen Psaki, Jared Polis, ” Polis, Ed Mills, Raymond James, David Kelly, ” Kelly Organizations: New, New York CNN, US, White, Research, CNN, US International Trade Commission, “, China, Tax, Obama, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Biden, Atlantic Council, Bretton, Committee, ”, Colorado Gov, Republicans, Asset Management Locations: New York, China, Ukraine, EVs, Europe

☆ Taiwan earthquake: Impact on export sector 'quite minimal' so far, economist says
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-04 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailTaiwan earthquake: Impact on export sector 'quite minimal' so far, economist saysPaul Cavey of East Asia Econ discusses how the earthquake in Taiwan might affect its economy.

Persons: Paul Cavey Organizations: Taiwan, East Asia Econ Locations: East Asia, Taiwan

☆ European Central Bank holds rates and trims its inflation forecast
▼ + stars: | 2023-12-14 | by ( Jenni Reid | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

BRUSSELS, BELGIUM - NOVEMBER 27: Christine Lagarde, President of the European Central Bank speaks during the European Parliament's Committee on Economic and Monetary Affairs (ECON) meeting in Brussels, Belgium on Nevember 27, 2023. (Photo by Dursun Aydemir/Anadolu via Getty Images)The European Central Bank on Thursday held interest rates steady for the second meeting in a row, as it revised its growth forecasts lower and announced plans to speed up the shrinking of its balance sheet. The latest staff macroeconomic projections see average real GDP expanding 0.6% in 2023, from a prior forecast of 0.7%. Headline inflation is meanwhile seen averaging 5.4% in 2023, 2.7% in 2024 and 2.1% in 2025. Members see core inflation, excluding energy and food, averaging 5% this year and 2.7% in 2024, 2.3% in 2025, and 2.1% in 2026.

Persons: Christine Lagarde, Dursun Aydemir, James Smith, CNBC's Joumanna Bercetche Organizations: European Central Bank, European Parliament's, Economic, Monetary Affairs, Getty, ECB, ING Locations: BRUSSELS, BELGIUM, Brussels, Belgium, Anadolu

☆ The Fed will likely cut interest rates 4 times next year as the economy remains resilient
▼ + stars: | 2023-12-04 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

US economic growth will remain resilient next year, making the Fed cautious about rate cuts, Barclays said. The central bank will likely cut by 100 basis points in 2024 and another 100 points in 2025. AdvertisementUS economy will remain resilient next year, making the Federal Reserve cautious about rate cuts, Barclays said in a Monday note. AdvertisementThat implies the Fed will make four 25-basis-point rate cuts next year. Meanwhile, analysts at ING have predicted the Fed will deliver six rate cuts next year as the economy slows, amounting to 150 basis points.

Persons: —, they're Organizations: Barclays, Service, Federal Reserve, ING, UBS, White House, Congress

☆ Morning Bid: Markets turn risk-averse after bumper month
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-27 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

REUTERS/Staff Acquire Licensing RightsA look at the day ahead in European and global markets from Wayne Cole. Most regional share markets are modestly lower, as are Wall Street and European futures. Data on EU inflation is also due Thursday, along with measures for Germany and Spain. Core EU inflation is forecast at 3.9%, the lowest since the middle of last year. If realised, this will support market wagers of no more rate hikes, and policy easing in 2024.

Persons: Wayne Cole, Asia, hasn't, Brent, Jerome Powell, Christine Lagarde, Edmund Klamann Organizations: REUTERS, Staff, Treasury, China PMI, Japan's Nikkei, Federal, Core, Fed, ECB, European Central Bank, EU, Economic, Monetary Affairs, Parliament, CBI, Thomson Locations: Frankfurt, Germany, Wayne, China, Saudi Arabia, Spain

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