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Wall Street should still being watching out for a possible recession, said strategist Paul Dietrich. If temporary government jobs were removed from the lastjobs report, unemployment would be 4.5%, Dietrich said. AdvertisementThe US is riding high, but one strategist says economic optimism will eventually be cut short as unseen labor weakness bites. AdvertisementThat plays into Dietrich's broader point that rising unemployment can be a sure sign of recession. Though other analysts have also scrutinized the unemployment rate, its importance has been questioned in today's unusual economic cycle.
Persons: Paul Dietrich, Dietrich, , Riley, Wall, joblessness, Dietrich isn't Organizations: Service, Riley Wealth, US
London CNN —A medallion containing some of the original mold involved in the discovery of penicillin is expected to fetch up to $50,000 when it goes up for auction later this month. The mold medallion will be auctioned by Bonhams later this month. Bonhams“The cultures were contaminated by an airborne mold and before disposing of the cultures, he noticed that the mold had prevented normal growth by the staph,” it adds. It is expected to fetch $30,000-$50,000 in an online auction that runs from October 13 to 23. Penicillin changed the course of modern medicine, with antibiotics key to the decline of many diseases over the course of the 20th century.
Persons: Scottish bacteriologist Alexander Fleming, Bonhams, , Fleming, Alexander Fleming, , Pope Pius XII , Queen Elizabeth II, Prince Philip, Marlene Dietrich, Winston Churchill, Theodore Roosevelt, underdose, Katie Hunt Organizations: London CNN Locations: London, Scottish, United Kingdom, United States
FedEx earnings miss could signal a slowing economy
  + stars: | 2024-09-20 | by ( Chris Isidore | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +3 min
CNN —FedEx said a weaker industrial economy produced a “challenging” quarter that caused it to trim its outlook for later this year, a sign of possible cooling in the wider economy. “The labor market is in solid condition, and our intention with our policy move today is to keep it there,” Powell said. “You can say that about the whole economy: The US economy is in good shape. The labor market is at a strong pace. Shares of FedEx had been up 21% year-to-date through Thursday’s close before Friday’s decline.
Persons: Rajesh Subramaniam, ” Subramaniam, John Dietrich, Subramaniam, , , we’re, Jerome Powell, ” Powell Organizations: CNN, FedEx, Federal Reserve
J&J’s Red River Talc unit made its filing in the U.S. Bankruptcy Court for the Southern District of Texas. J&J faces lawsuits from more than 62,000 claimants who alleged that its baby powder and other talc products were contaminated with asbestos and caused ovarian and other cancers. After being rebuffed twice by federal courts, New Brunswick New Jersey-based J&J is attempting again to end the litigation in a so-called “Texas two-step” bankruptcy. J&J said the Red River unit filed the bankruptcy case after it received support of about 83% of current claimants for the proposed bankruptcy plan. The goal is to use the proceeding to force all plaintiffs into one settlement, without requiring J&J itself to file for bankruptcy.
Persons: Reuters —, Johnson, J, Dietrich Knauth, Leigh Jones, Will Dunham, Sandra Maler, Shounak Dasgupta Organizations: Reuters, Johnson, Bankruptcy, Southern, Southern District of, Supreme, Purdue Locations: U.S, Southern District, Southern District of Texas, New Brunswick New Jersey, Texas, Bengaluru
Some of the looks on the red carpet at the 81st Venice Film Festival could suggest the year was 1924, rather than 2024. Since the 11 day event began on August 28, attendees have given elegant nods to old Hollywood glamour: from time-honored dress silhouettes to vintage-inspired accessories. Taylor Russell floated across the carpet in a pale yellow silk crepon dress with a matching scarf attached to the train. Stefania D'Alessandro/WireImage/Getty ImagesChilean actor Mariana di Girolamo similarly resurrected a vintage silhouette for her Venice Film Festival appearance. The lesson is simple, and applicable to both fashion and film: Sometimes old is gold.
Persons: Tilda Swinton, Audrey Hepburn, Pablo Larrian’s “ Maria ” —, Maria Callas —, Angelina Jolie, Tamara Ralph, Jolie, Marlene Dietrich, Joan Crawford, Greta Garbo, Tamara Ralph’s, Angelina Jolie's, Gisela Schober, Taylor Russell's Loewe, Jolie wasn’t, Maria ”, Taylor Russell, Loewe, Marilyn Monroe, Monroe, Coco Chanel, Isabelle Huppert, Huppert, Cartier, Isabelle Huppert's Balenciaga, JB Lacroix, Mariana Di Girolamo, Stefania D'Alessandro, Mariana di Girolamo, , Di Organizations: CNN, 81st, British Vogue, Getty, Venice Locations: 81st Venice, yore, British, Chilean
The AI-fueled tech bubble could be approaching its end date, according to Paul Dietrich. The market strategist pointed to similarities between the recent tech sell-off and the dot-com crash. He pointed to the similarities between the dot-com crash and the latest drop in the stock market. AdvertisementThe flow of "smart money" in the market also suggests more downside could be on the way for tech stocks, Dietrich noted. Advertisement"What kind of evidence does one need to see that we are moving into a business cycle recession," Dietrich said.
Persons: Paul Dietrich, , Dietrich, Jeff Bezos, Mark Zuckerberg, Jensen Huang Organizations: Service, Riley Wealth, Nasdaq, Apple, Meta, Nvidia, Artificial Intelligence
The Buffett Indicator is indicating US stocks might be overvalued. AdvertisementWarren Buffett's favorite stock market valuation indicator just hit a record high, signaling that stocks might be highly overvalued. The stock market experienced a painful year-long bear market shortly after the Buffett Indicator peaked in November 2021. But despite the Buffett Indicator's flaws, it is flashing a big warning signal for stock market investors at current levels, according to Bloomstran. Advertisement"I think it's screaming the cap-weighted stock market, the Wilshire 5000 [and] the S&P 500, is incredibly dangerous today.
Persons: Warren Buffett, Buffett, , Warren, Riley, Paul Dietrich, Chris Bloomstran, Semper Augustus, Bloomstran Organizations: Service, Buffett
A C-130 Hercules aircraft undergoes scheduled maintenance in a hangar at Robins Air Force Base. A C-130 flies above Robins Air Force Base in Georgia. US Air Force photo by Jamal D. SutterRetired Col. J.F. Advertisement"He was dedicated to what he did," Michael Lohrey said. When asked whether Fisher's arrest feels like justice at all, Michael Lohrey said, "Absolutely not."
Persons: , Michael, Teresa Lohrey, Ryan Lohrey, Military.com, Teresa, We're, James Michael Fisher, Fisher, Joseph Mather, Kelsey McCarty, McCarty, Greg Feith, Jamal D, Sutter, J.F, Joseph, Caine, Sean E, Mark, Brendan C, Johnson, Joshua M, Snowden, Julian M, Owen J, Lennon, Cpl, Daniel I, Collin J, Schaaff, Robert H, Cox, William J, Chad E, Jenson, Talon, Leach, Joseph J, Murray, Dietrich, Michael Lohrey Organizations: Service, KC, 130T, Marines, Business, Air Force, Robins Air Force Base, US Air Force, Aviation, National Transportation Safety, Marine Corps, Lohrey, Elliott, Hopkins, Staff Locations: Mississippi, Georgia
The S&P 500 could crash 48% when the bubble in stocks pops and a recession hits, Paul Dietrich said. The elite strategist pointed to a massively overvalued market and cracks in the economy. AdvertisementThe S&P 500 could be cut in half when the stock-market bubble pops and the US economy sinks into recession, Paul Dietrich says. He attributed that to institutional investors buying the haven asset as they expect a "major correction or stock market crash due to our wildly overvalued stock market and a slowing underling economy." The Wall Street veteran is one of several top forecasters predicting pain for stocks and a recession ahead.
Persons: Paul Dietrich, Dietrich, , Riley Wealth, Warren Organizations: Service, Microsoft, Nvidia, Federal Reserve, Wall
FedEx shares soared more than 15% after hours Tuesday after the company reported results that topped analysts' estimates in both earnings and revenue. FedEx further expects the demand environment to moderately improve through the next fiscal year, according to Carere. Investor's eyes are also on the company's largest segment Express, which has been struggling with margin growth the past year. Subramaniam said improving performance of the Express segment is a "top priority" for the company. USPS was the largest customer for the company's Express segment.
Persons: Brie Carere, Carere, Raj Subramaniam, Subramaniam, John Dietrich Organizations: FedEx, LSEG, Services, Federal Express Corporation, U.S . Postal Service, United Parcel Service, UPS, USPS Locations: United States
In “Becoming Karl Lagerfeld” he is brooding, combative and ambitious, sure — but we are equally encouraged to root for him. Despite Dietrich’s protestations, the creators of “Becoming Karl Lagerfeld” seem to side with their muse. Parisian fashion in the 1970s was, “Becoming Karl Lagerfeld” suggests, a scene broadly gatekept by a handful of squabbling men. "Becoming Karl Lagerfeld" intends to plunge the viewer into the heart of 1970s Paris, Monaco and Rome, to "follow the formidable blossoming of this complex and iconic personality," say the show notes. “Becoming Karl Lagerfeld” is, stylistically, a luxurious tribute to ‘70s flair: gorgeous to look at and offering an aggressively humanized look at some of fashion’s biggest names.
Persons: CNN —, Karl Lagerfeld, Daniel Brühl, Jacques de Bascher, Théodore Pellerin, , , Kaiser Karl, Bascher, , Yves Saint Laurent, Arnaud Valois, King, King Louis XIV, Lagerfeld, Caesar Flickerman, Stanley, Chuck Bass, Ed Westwick, Chanel, Jean, Claude Sauer, Gaby Aghion, Agnès Jaoui, Karl Lagerfeld ”, Saint Laurent, fawning, ” Karl Lagerfeld, couturier Pierre Balmain, ullstein, Marlene Dietrich, Sunnyi Melles, Dietrich, , Charles Frederick, Worth, ” Claire Wilcox, ” Worth, Caroline Dubois, Abigail Joseph, — Louis XIV, Joseph, Pierre Larousse’s, Schiaparelli, de Organizations: CNN, Hulu, Metropolitan Museum of Art, German, London’s, Albert Museum, , Jour, Disney, Peterborough Express ”, Leitrim Advertiser, Dior, Balmain, Givenchy Locations: France, Chloé, Paris, Monaco, Rome, Worth, Peterborough
The US economy and stock market are on a clear path to recession, according to Paul Dietrich. The B. Riley Wealth Management CIO pointed to a handful of warning signs that suggest a downturn is on the horizon. The final blow to the economy could be the US pulling back on stimulus spending, he warned. AdvertisementThere's a large number of warnings flashing for the US that suggest the economy is on a near-certain path to recession, according to B. Riley Wealth's chief investment strategist Paul Dietrich. In a recent note, he pointed to a cluster of warning signs in the economy, such as hotter-than-expected inflation throughout the first quarter and greater volatility in the market.
Persons: Paul Dietrich, , Riley Wealth's, Dietrich Organizations: Riley Wealth, Service, Wall Street, Business
download the appSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. Read previewWarren Buffett is cashing in stocks like Apple because he knows the good times won't last — but he'll spend big once disaster strikes, a veteran strategist says. AdvertisementThe conglomerate's disposals fueled a $21 billion increase in its stack of cash and Treasurys to a record $189 billion. Related storiesDietrich underscored that as a value investor, Buffett prizes underpriced assets and avoids expensive ones. Apple, which remains Buffett's largest stock holding by far, has more than tripled in value since he finished building the position in 2018.
Persons: , Warren Buffett, Paul Dietrich, Riley Wealth, Buffett, Dietrich, He's, Jeff Bezos, Jamie Dimon, Meta's Mark Zuckerberg, he'll, Goldman Sachs, Davidson Organizations: Service, Apple, Business, Berkshire Hathaway, Berkshire, Walmart, downturns, Electric, Dow Chemical Locations: Berkshire
CNN —Red Bull’s pioneering engineer and Chief Technical Officer Adrian Newey is set to leave the outfit in the first quarter of 2025, the team announced in a statement on Wednesday. Prior to Red Bull, the 65-year-old enjoyed successful spells at Williams and McLaren. “For almost two decades, it has been my great honour to have played a key role in Red Bull Racing’s progress from upstart newcomer to multiple title-winning team,” Newey said in the statement released by Red Bull. He was later cleared of any wrongdoing as announced by the Formula One team’s parent company, Red Bull GMBH. According to multiple reports in March, Red Bull suspended the female employee who had leveled the accusations against Horner.
Persons: Adrian Newey, Newey, Red Bull, McLaren, ” Newey, , Christian Horner, ” Horner, , Dietrich Mateschitz, Max Verstappen, Clive Mason, Horner, Mercedes ’ Toto Wolff Organizations: CNN, Red Bull, Constructors, Williams, , Red Bull Racing Team, Red, Dutchman, Prix, Getty, Australian, Formula, Red Bull GMBH
Some may already be tired of the debate over White Christian nationalism, whose followers blend sexism, racism and hostility to non-White immigrants in a quest to create a White Christian America. But Wallis has been warning people about the dangers of White Christian nationalist beliefs long before the term became popular. You write that White Christian nationalism is not new, and that it’s a form of heresy. This [White Christian nationalism] is an old idea from the Doctrine of Discovery, which says that this country was for people who were White Americans. Tom Brenner/ReutersWhat’s the difference between patriotism — believing that the US is an exceptional country — and White Christian nationalism?
Persons: Jim Wallis, Marx, Wallis, ” Wallis, , Obama, White, ” Wallis ’, Jesus, You’ve, Donald Trump, Tom Brenner, Pete Seeger’s, It’s, Trump, that’s, it’s, don’t, they’re, Dietrich Bonhoeffer, Adolf Hitler, Michael Gonzalez, haven’t, Let’s, I’ve, Martin Luther, King didn’t, he’s, King, Michael Nigro, Mark Twain, Hitler, , didn’t, you’ll, John Blake, Organizations: CNN, , White, Christian America, New York Times, Macmillan “, MAGA, Faith, Justice, Georgetown University, Commission, White Americans, Reuters, Pastors, Candler, Emory University’s Candler, of Theology, Cornerstone, Justice Department Locations: Vietnam, Detroit, America, Washington, Circleville , Ohio, Atlanta , Georgia, German, Germany, Quemado , Texas, Southern, That’s, Pittsburgh, Blacks, White, Hungary, Turkey, Black
The S&P 500 is at risk of plunging 44% to around a four-year low, Paul Dietrich said. The top strategist explained that selling stocks well before they crash can yield outsized returns. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementThe stock market may be headed for a 44% crash — and getting out early could pay off, Paul Dietrich said. This story is available exclusively to Business Insider subscribers.
Persons: Paul Dietrich, Dietrich, , Riley Wealth Organizations: Service, Business
The bond market's famous recession gauge has been flashing for 18 months. A downturn could be delayed for months after the yield curve first inverts, Paul Dietrich said. Dietrich pointed to the inverted Treasury yield curve, a highly accurate recession gauge that flashes when the yield on the 2-year US Treasury surpasses the 10-year Treasury. In the past, recessions have taken up to 28 months to officially start after being signaled by the yield curve and leading economic indicators, he noted. Dietrich is among the more bearish forecasters on Wall Street, having warned investors of an impending recession for months.
Persons: Paul Dietrich, , Riley Wealth's, Dietrich, Stocks Organizations: Service, Treasury
download the appSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. Read previewWarren Buffett's favorite market gauge has surged to a two-year high of 184%, signaling stocks are overvalued and could suffer a devastating crash. Investors use it to compare the overall value of the stock market to the size of the national economy. It also relies on GDP, which excludes overseas income, whereas US stocks price in the value of companies' domestic and international operations. AdvertisementYet the metric's return to the lofty levels that preceded past market disasters is a clear red flag for some experts.
Persons: , Warren, Buffett, yardstick, Buffett's yardstick, John Hussman, Paul Dietrich, Riley Wealth Organizations: Service, Business, Wilshire Indexes, Wilshire, Nvidia, Microsoft, Federal, Nasdaq, Hussman Investment Trust Locations: Wilshire, Berkshire
Just because the current valuation backdrop isn't as extreme as 1999-2000, we are still in a market bubble, and valuations are even more stretched today than they were at the market peaks in 2007, 1990, and 1980." Rosenberg ResearchSecond, the S&P 500 is outperforming the HYG/TLT Ratio. AdvertisementRosenberg ResearchAnd third, even tech stocks, which have been overwhelmingly supporting the S&P 500, appear to be running out of gas, Rosenberg said. The same goes for Paul Dietrich, the chief strategist at B. Riley Wealth, who says the S&P 500 could fall 49% when the current bubble pops. The bull market has thrown egg onto their faces again and again: since the October 2022 lows, the S&P 500 is up a whopping 42%.
Persons: , David Rosenberg isn't, Merrill Lynch, Rosenberg, he's, manias, HYG, Michael Hartnett, Jeremy Grantham, Paul Dietrich, Riley Wealth, Dietrich, Grantham, Carol Schleif Organizations: Service, Rosenberg Research, Business, Equity Model, Dow Jones, Dow Transports Index, Bank of America's, Bank, America, BMO Family Office
Here are six recent bubble warnings from experts this week:Advertisement1. "We are nonetheless in a market bubble." Paul Dietrich"The Stock Market Bubble Is About to Burst — Look Out!" AdvertisementGrantham also suggested the AI craze would end and bring the stock market down with it. Michael GayedGayed flagged the recent surge in gold, utility stocks, and long-term Treasury bonds as evidence of mounting market jitters in an InvestorPlace op-ed this week.
Persons: , David Rosenberg, Merrill Lynch, Rosenberg, Paul Dietrich, Riley Wealth, Jeremy Grantham Stocks, Grantham, Michael Hartnett, Hartnett, Larry Summers, Summers, Michael Gayed Gayed Organizations: Service, Nvidia, Business, Rosenberg Research, North, Bloomberg, Bank of America, Tidal Locations: North American
Here's a roundup of recent recession warnings from six experts:This story is available exclusively to Business Insider subscribers. Jamie Dimon, JPMorgan Chase CEOAdvertisementThere's a long history of investors being caught off guard by sudden downturns, Dimon told CNBC this week. AdvertisementSteve Hanke, Johns Hopkins professorThe US economy is headed for a recession if history is any indication, Hanke told Business Insider this week. AdvertisementPaul Dietrich, B. Riley Wealth Management's chief investment strategist"We're still on the path to recession," Dietrich told Business Insider in a recent interview. AdvertisementJeffrey Gundlach, DoubleLine Capital CEO"I think recession is closer than most people think," Gundlach said in a recent YouTube video.
Persons: , Jamie Dimon, There's, Dimon, David Solomon, Goldman Sachs, Solomon, Ellen Zentner, Morgan Stanley's, Zentner, Steve Hanke, Johns Hopkins, Hanke, Paul Dietrich, Riley Wealth, We're, Dietrich, Jeffrey Gundlach, Gundlach Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, Business, JPMorgan, CNBC, UBS, DoubleLine Locations: American, Russia, Ukraine, Israel
Read previewSteep rate cuts from the Federal Reserve could be coming later this year thanks to weakening in the job market, which likely isn't as robust as some of the latest data has made it out to be, according to Wells Fargo strategist Erik Nelson. Advertisement"We need a catalyst, we need some data that shows these recent, strong data were just a blip. But much of that strength may be seasonal and no longer reflected in upcoming job reports, Nelson said. Other market commentators have warned that hiring activity could weaken in 2024 as tighter financial conditions take a toll on businesses. Though the jobless rate is low, continuing unemployment claims are hovering around 1.9 million, according to Fed data.
Persons: , Wells, Erik Nelson, Nelson, Paul Dietrich Organizations: Service, Federal, Bloomberg, Business, Fed, New York Fed, Yale School of Management
NEW LOOK Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . In today's big story, we're looking at why side hustles are all the rage these days . Call it “overemployed light,” but working side jobs for some extra income is en vogue, especially for young people. For as much energy as they put into eliciting change, they also view their job as… just a job.
Persons: , I've, Andrew Hollenhorst, we’re, hasn’t, Gen Zer, Jackie Mitchell, Mitchell, Business Insider’s Madison Hoff, Michell isn’t, Zers, don’t, Z, Eve Upton, Clark, Keida Dervishi, Jeremy Grantham, ” Grantham, Riley Wealth's Paul Dietrich, Bryan Erickson, Craig Hastings, Isabel Fernandez Pujol, Oppenheimer, Dan DeFrancesco, Hallam Bullock, Jordan Parker Erb, George Glover Organizations: Business, Service, Citi, Boston Globe, Labor, Getty, Netflix, Walmart Locations: California, TikTok, New York, London
New York (AP) — The original location of the legendary Barney’s Department store in the Chelsea section of Manhattan set the stage for designer Michael Kors to present his Fall-Winter 2024 collection at New York Fashion Week. Before the show, Kors explained his mission for this collection during an interview with The Associated Press. But then there are some warm tones of cappuccino and chocolate, lots of metallics, gunmetal, which I love,” Kors said. That’s why today you will see models of every age and every size, which makes it interesting for me,” Kors said. He added: “When they get dressed, they put something on, and it makes them feel ready to greet the day and feel their best self.”
Persons: Michael Kors, Blake Lively, Katie Holmes, Rachel Zegler, Brie Larson, Gabrielle Union, Anna Wintour, Kelsea Ballerini, Kors, Joan Kors, ” Kors, , Carole Lombard, Jean Harlow, Marlena, Dietrich, Katharine Hepburn, Rachel Brosnahan, ” Brosnahan, Maisel, Lois Lane, , there’s Organizations: Barney’s Department, New York, Vogue, Associated Press, Hollywood Locations: York, Chelsea, Manhattan, Atlanta
CNN —In 1930 George Hoyningen-Huene pulled off one of the greatest dupes in the history of photography. George Hoyningen-Huene Estate ArchivesRönngren said Huene was “like Forrest Gump. George Hoyningen-Huene Estate ArchivesAll this gossip and glamour would, of course, make great television: and Rönngren is now working on a Netflix drama about the photographer’s life and times. The Jaeger exhibition, which presents works, dating from 1927 to 1955, coincides with the publication of “George Hoyningen-Huene: Photography, Fashion, Film” by Susanna Brown (Thames & Hudson). Photographer George Hoyningen-Huene in the studio in Paris, 1937.
Persons: George Hoyningen, Huene, Horst P, Horst, Lee Miller, , “ George Hoyningen, Katherine Hepburn, Josephine Baker, Benjamin Jaeger, Steffi, ” Huene, Baron Barthold Theodor Hermann von Hoyningen, Tsar Nicholas II, Susannah Brown, George, Salvador Dalí, Weissmuller, Huene “, Tommy Rönngren, Asa, Tommy “, Rönngren, Forrest Gump, Joseph Pilates, Ava Gardner, Sophia Loren, George Cukor, Condé Nast, Cole Porter, “ sauvage, Greta Garbo, Marlene Dietrich, , Dietrich, Garbo, ’ ” Heune, Miriam Hopkins, Susanna Brown, Baker, Roger Schall, Lisa Fonssagrives, Irving Penn, Jaeger Organizations: CNN, Vogue, Cote, Jaeger Art, Jaeger, , British Army, Condé, Thames & Hudson, Nexus Hall, Neue, Hudson Locations: Paris, Russian, New York, Côte, Berlin, St Petersburg, England, France, Montmartre, Swedish, Huene, Horst’s, Stockholm, , Hollywood, revolté, Thames, Tokyo, Europe, Germany
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