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Dollar pulls ahead as markets focus on Trump policies, Fed outlook
  + stars: | 2024-11-21 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
After stalling for three sessions, the greenback was back on the march higher, with investors lifting the dollar index measure against its key rivals closer to a one-year high of 107.07 hit last week. The dollar has rallied more than 2% since the Nov. 5 U.S. presidential election on bets Trump's policies could reignite inflation and temper the Fed's future rate cuts. The dollar index held steady at 106.56, up from a one-week nadir hit in the previous session. "The Russia-Ukraine conflict is heating up, which is further denting sentiment towards the euro alongside the prospects of trade tariffs," another "bullish cue" for the dollar index given the euro's heavy weighting, City Index's Simpson said. The dollar gave up some gains against the yen, down 0.33% at 154.91 yen , although the Japanese currency remained under pressure.
Persons: Donald Trump's, Matt Simpson, CME's, Michelle Bowman, Lisa Cook, Index's Simpson, Kazuo Ueda, Sterling, bitcoin, Bitcoin Organizations: U.S, Federal Reserve, Wednesday, Storm, ATACMS, Bank of Japan, Bank of England's Locations: Europe, China, Russia, Ukraine, Paris
Eli Lilly on Wednesday fell short of profit and revenue expectations for the third quarter, weighed down by disappointing sales of its blockbuster weight loss drug Zepbound and diabetes treatment Mounjaro, and slashed its full-year adjusted profit guidance. Eli Lilly now expects full-year adjusted earnings of between $13.02 and $13.52 per share, down from previous guidance of $16.10 to $16.60 per share. Eli Lilly also lowered the high-end of its revenue outlook for the year and now expects sales of between $45.4 billion and $46 billion. The weekly injection raked in $1.26 billion in sales for the period, below the $1.76 billion that analysts expected, according to StreetAccount. As of Wednesday, the Food and Drug Administration's drug database said all doses of Zepbound and Mounjaro are available in the U.S. after extended shortages.
Persons: Eli Lilly, Mounjaro, Eli Lilly's Organizations: Novo Nordisk, LSEG, Food Locations: U.S
Russian artillery depends on a complex supply chain vulnerable to sanctions, defense experts say. Each company has its own supply chain of subcontractors, such as factories that make special steel. Current Western sanctions tend to be too broad and sporadic to cripple Russian defense production. A better approach would be a mixture of economic sanctions and diplomatic pressure focused on Russia's artillery supply chain, concluded the report. AdvertisementNonetheless, sanctions might ultimately prove to be a more effective approach than trying to destroy Russian artillery in combat.
Persons: , Charly TRIBALLEAU, RUSI, NIMI Bakhirev, Reich, Michael Peck Organizations: Service, Royal United Services Institute, Scranton Army, Plant, Getty, Burevestnik Research, NATO, Allied, Germany, Central, Defense, Foreign Policy, Rutgers Univ, Twitter, LinkedIn Locations: Russia, Ukraine, Donetsk, British, Soviet, Scranton, Pennsylvania, AFP, China, Germany, South Korea, Italy, Japan, Taiwan, Yekaterinburg, Volgograd, Perm, Nizhny Novgorod, Uzbekistan, Kazakhstan, Kazakh, Turkey, Forbes
The dockworkers' strike threatens supply chains, while Hurricane Helene caused costly damage. Devastation from Hurricane Helene, a dockworkers' strike, and escalating conflict in the Middle East all threaten to scramble supply chains and inflate prices. How much the strike impacts prices depends on how much of a cushion companies have built to deal with any bottlenecks. Bottlenecks also encourage carriers to raise their prices, increasing retail and consumer goods prices, Kent said. The hurricane has also disrupted some supply chains, including healthcare supplies and high-purity quartz needed for semiconductor manufacturing.
Persons: Helene, , Israel ramped, Douglas Kent, Dockworkers, dockworkers, Morgan Stanley, Kent, Fazili, Lauren Saidel, Baker, she's, Biden, Hurricane Helene, Adam Kamins Organizations: Service, Association for Supply Chain Management, JPMorgan, National Economic, Biden, ITR, International Longshoremen's Association —, United States Maritime Alliance, Homeowners Locations: Israel, Iran, Hurricane, Lebanon, Maine, Texas, East Coast, Gulf, Kent, West Coast, North Carolina, Florida
Hong Kong CNN —A Chinese investment bank known for making some of the biggest deals in the country’s tech sector during its heyday has revealed it received a massive bill for 78 million yuan ($11 million) related to the disappearance of its star banker, Bao Fan. The request for payment from unspecified Chinese authorities only deepens the mystery surrounding the whereabouts of Bao, who founded boutique investment bank China Renaissance in Beijing in 2005 and made it one of the top dealmakers for Chinese tech firms. He helped broker the 2015 merger between two of the country’s leading food delivery services, Meituan and Dianping. In February 2023, China Renaissance reported him missing amid a wider anti-corruption crackdown. CNN has reached out to the investment bank for additional information.
Persons: Bao Fan, Bao, Mr Bao, Zhonghui, Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu Organizations: Hong Kong CNN, Economic Observer, Central Commission, CNN, Financial Times, China Renaissance, Zhonghui Anda CPA, Deloitte Locations: China, Hong Kong, Beijing, Dianping, Bao, Zhonghui Anda
New York CNN —The McDonald’s $5 meal deal is staying on menus until December, a sign that inflation-weary customers are devouring value meals recently offered by fast food chains. The Chicago-based fast-food giant announced the $5 meal deal in June. In July, McDonald’s said that the vast majority of restaurants would keep it on the menu until August. The meal features either a McChicken sandwich or McDouble cheeseburger, small fries, 4-piece Chicken McNuggets and a small soft drink. McDonald’s also announced a slew of fall deals — from $0.50 Double Cheeseburgers for National Cheeseburger Day on Sept. 18 to a $2 McCrispy sandwich for National Fried Chicken Sandwich Day on Nov. 9.
Persons: McDonald’s, Chris Kempczinski, Burger, we’re, ” Joe Erlinger Organizations: New, New York CNN, McDonald’s USA Locations: New York, Chicago
It’s never been harder to be Mister Softee
  + stars: | 2024-08-24 | by ( Nathaniel Meyersohn | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +7 min
Once, there were more than 2,000 Mister Softee trucks in 38 states during the company’s peak in the 1960s. Now, there are only around 630 Mister Softee trucks looping around neighborhoods and parks in 21 states. A Mister Softee truck during a spring training baseball game in Goodyear, Arizona, in 2013. A freshly made cup of Mister Softee ice cream is displayed during a bicycle safety event held in Evesham Township, New Jersey, in 2024. As goes the nation, so goes Mister SofteeThe Mister Softee business is a window into changes in neighborhoods, family sizes and children’s habits.
Persons: New York CNN — It’s, Softee, ” Mike Conway, Mister Softee, Mister, James, William Conway, John Sleezer, ” William Conway, Carlos Vazquez, Alexi Rosenfeld, Vazquez, , , Chris Lachall, Graeme Pitkethly, Conway, They’re, ” Carlos Vazquez Organizations: New, New York CNN, Mister, CNN, Kansas City Star, Tribune, Service, Getty, USA, Unilever, Census Bureau Locations: New York, Runnemede , New Jersey, Philadelphia, United States, Goodyear , Arizona, New York City, Van Leeuwen, Maine, California, Evesham Township , New Jersey, Europe
Read previewIssues with charging have nearly half of electric vehicle owners in the US considering going back to fossil fuels – the latest bad sign for the EV transition. The top reason respondents listed for ditching their EV was a lack of charging infrastructure. Charging infrastructure here has long been a hot-potato issue, which has held back efforts to build more chargers. While a push from the automotive industry to fund charging infrastructure has led to a boom in public charging stations in the last two years, these have largely been money-losing ventures. On the government side, the Biden Administration has set aside $7.5 billion for charging infrastructure with a vow to add 500,000 EV charging stations by 2030.
Persons: , Tesla, Biden Organizations: Service, McKinsey & Co, EV, Business, Biden Administration Locations: Australia
Read previewIssues with charging has nearly half of electric-vehicle owners in the US considering going back to fossil fuels — the latest bad sign for the EV transition. A recent consumer study conducted by McKinsey found that 46% of US EV owners surveyed were likely to switch back to a gas-powered vehicle, compared to a global average of 29% of EV owners who said they would likely switch back to an internal-combustion engine. Respondents said the top reason for ditching their EVs was a lack of charging infrastructure. Though a push from the automotive industry to fund charging infrastructure has led to a boom in public charging stations in the last two years, these have largely been money-losing ventures. The Biden administration has set aside $7.5 billion for charging infrastructure and has said it would add 500,000 EV charging stations by 2030.
Persons: , Tesla, Biden Organizations: Service, McKinsey, EV, Business Locations: Australia
Short bets against funds that track major US indexes have declined to record lows, JPMorgan said. As the S&P 500 and Nasdaq have hit a streak of record highs this year, short interest in funds that track the indexes has dropped, the bank said. AdvertisementFirst, short bets are expensive to maintain when a stock or fund is climbing, a risk that's especially relevant in today's bull run. Second, regulators have added restraints to short selling, by mandating transparency and adding costs to short sellers that target equities, JPMorgan said. According to JPMorgan, short positions are also disappearing from individual stocks, with a clear decline in the top seven leading equities.
Persons: , Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou, Jim Chanos Organizations: JPMorgan, Service, Nasdaq
Some analysts are eyeing zero rate cuts from the Fed this year. AdvertisementAfter the latest jobs report all but dismissed an interest rate cut in July, some analysts are taking it a step further, and expect no rate cuts at all this calendar year. That's more pessimistic than what investors continue to bet on, with fed fund futures indicating at least one 25-basis point rate cut to occur in 2024. According to market veteran Ed Yardeni, the Federal Reserve should "take a vacation," and leave interest rates unchanged through 2024, he told CNBC-TV18. AdvertisementMeanwhile, Catalyst Capital's David Miller agreed that the Fed shouldn't cut interest rates in 2024, citing that this would allow inflation to run hotter.
Persons: RBC's Lori Calvasina, , That's, It's, Lori Calvasina, Ed Yardeni, Capital's David Miller, Mark Zandi, I've Organizations: Service, Bloomberg, Treasury, Federal, CNBC, TV18, Yardeni Research, Moody Analytics, Federal Reserve
Labour leader Tony Blair arriving in Downing Street after his election victory with crowds waving flags in the background, 2nd May 1997. The more domestically-oriented FTSE 250 has tended to outperform the FTSE 100 following elections, with stronger outperformance following Labour victories, it said. Leon Neal | Getty Images News | Getty ImagesAccording to Capital Economics, the U.K. stock market has faltered on five occasions under past Labour governments. Higgins also observed that the relative performance of U.K. stocks has "generally been underwhelming since 2010," when the Conservatives took office. Three could be attributed to the "unsustainability of fixed exchange rate regimes" between the 1930s and 1970s, one to the Great Financial Crisis, and the fifth to the 1976 Debt Crisis, he said.
Persons: Tony Blair, Jeff, Rishi Sunak, Rachel Reeves, Sir Keir Starmer, Angela Rayner, Leon Neal, John Higgins, Higgins, Labour's, Keir Starmer, Reeves, Venkatakrishnan, Liz Truss, Sunak Organizations: BBC News, Current Affairs, Labour Party, Labour, Conservative Party, Citi, Conservative, Centre, Getty, Capital Economics, Conservatives, Shadow, Economic, Barclays, C.S, CNBC Locations: Downing, Purfleet, United Kingdom, Davos
Bitcoin's break below $58,000 on Wednesday clears a path for it to fall as low as $50,000, Standard Chartered said in new research. The crypto's decline has been driven by rising ETF outflows and falling US liquidity levels. AdvertisementDeteriorating conditions are denting the Bitcoin rally, with this week's drop below $60,000 putting it en route for an even lower price range. According to commentary from Standard Chartered, the apex token could temporarily reach as low as $50,000, signaling an over 13% drop from current levels. Among these are shrinking investments in spot bitcoin ETFs, funds that first sparked the rally at the year's start.
Persons: , Geoff Kendrick, Kendrick, Mike Novogratz, he's Organizations: Chartered, outflows, Service, Standard Chartered, FX Locations: Hong Kong
The strikes are doing serious damage to Russia's oil and gas sector. Bloomberg reported that Russia's oil refining is at an 11 month low. AdvertisementBloomberg earlier this week reported that Russia's oil refining is at an 11-month low because of flooding and Ukraine's drone campaign. Ukraine's attacks on Russian oil depots are one of the few bright spots in its war in recent months. "Future Ukrainian drone strikes may disable and disrupt more of Russia's refining capacity and inflict critical constraints on Russian refining that begin to substantially impact Russia's production of distillate products," the analysts said.
Persons: , Joe Biden's Organizations: Bloomberg, Service, AFP, Metallurgical, The Locations: Ukraine, Russia, Russia's Smolensk, Lipetsk, Russia's, Ukraine's, US
Chinese regulators are pushing banks to speed up approvals of new loans to cash-starved private property developers, people with knowledge of the matter said, a bid to revive homebuyer sentiment that risks denting lenders' asset quality. Chinese regulators are pushing banks to speed up approvals of new loans to cash-starved private property developers, people with knowledge of the matter said, a bid to revive homebuyer sentiment that risks denting lenders' asset quality. The property sector in the world's second-largest economy has lurched from one crisis to another since 2021, after a regulatory crackdown on developers' high leverage led to a liquidity crisis. The sources spoke on condition of anonymity because they were not authorized to speak to the media on the subject. Developers and bank statements say banks have been reluctant to grant new loans to property projects, while mostly extending maturity and lowering interest rates of existing loans.
Organizations: Reuters, National Financial Regulatory Administration Locations: Beijing
Here's a question on the minds of investors amid recent hotter-than-anticipated inflation readings and this powerful rally: Are we due for a stock market scare? However, as of late, there have been some early warning signs that the declines in inflation may be slowing. Other areas have also sent up some flags that could adversely affect stocks and bonds in the short run. However, it is unwise to ignore what market signals are suggesting, at least in the short run. But in the short run, we should remain on heightened alert for changes in this year's outlook.
Persons: It's, I'm, John Maynard Keynes, Ron Insana Organizations: Federal Reserve, New York Federal Reserve, West Texas, Atlanta Federal, CNBC, Financial Partners Locations: York
The first rocket launched by the Japanese start-up Space One exploded seconds after takeoff on Wednesday, denting its ambition to become the country’s first private company to put a satellite into orbit. The Kairos solid-fuel rocket launched just after 11 a.m. local time and burst into flames less than ten seconds later, livestreams of the launch showed. The explosion left behind a large plume of smoke and set off a fire in a nearby forest that firefighters were battling to extinguish. The 60-foot-long rocket weighs 23 tons and was launched from Space Port Kii in Wakayama Prefecture on Japan’s main island, according to the company’s website. Space One did not respond to requests for comment early Wednesday afternoon.
Locations: Space Port, Wakayama Prefecture
Within the Club, we heard this week from Foot Locker on Wednesday, then from Costco and Broadcom on Thursday. The big economic data drop of the week arrived Friday with February's nonfarm payrolls report . The center of attention is Tuesday's February consumer price index report . On Thursday, the February produce price index is due out. ET: Producer Price Index 8:30 a.m.
Persons: FactSet, Locker, Foot Locker, February's nonfarm, Jerome Powell, he's, we'll, MANU, LEN, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Mostafa Bassim Organizations: Nasdaq, Dow Jones Industrial, Costco, Broadcom, Commerce, Federal, PPI, Ballard Power Systems, Fortrea Holdings, Casey's, Vail Resorts, MTN, Daniels, Midland, Kohl's Corporation, Kanzhun, Game Technology, Manchester United, Blade Air Mobility, Clover Health, Beauty Health, Energy Vault Holdings, PHX Minerals, Guild Holdings, Finance, Heron Therapeutics, ZIM Integrated Shipping Services, Arcos Dorados Holdings, ARCO, Petco, Wellness Company, Farms, Sonoma, WSM, ESS Tech, DICK'S Sporting, Inc, Futu Holdings, Bear, Autolus Therapeutics, III Apparel, Solo Brands, Weibo Corporation, Embraer, CNBC, Washington DC, Anadolu, Getty Locations: U.S, Asana, ASAN, Williams, Washington, United States
Just weeks after Amazon cut hundreds of jobs across its Prime Video and MGM Studios divisions, the advertisements officially arrived on Prime Video on Jan. 29. This gives Amazon first-hand customer data from Prime members it can leverage for advertisers who want to show ads during Prime Video shows. "While still early days, streaming TV advertising continues to grow quickly," Jassy said on the fourth-quarter earnings call. Additionally, the potential audience for Prime Video is huge – the company has said it has more than 200 million Prime subscribers. Prime Video keeps putting out new movies and shows like the popular "Lord of the Rings", "Reacher", "Mr. & Mrs. Smith", and "Citadel".
Persons: There's, Andy Jassy, , Jassy, Brian Olsavsky, Cowen, TD Cowen, Canaves, Smith, Peacock, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim Organizations: MGM Studios, Netflix, Disney, Amazon, Amazon Web Services, Walmart, Kroger, Insider Intelligence, Prime, Paramount Global, Walmart –, TV, U.S, Intelligence, National Football League, Football, Nielsen, QR, NFL, Comcast, Miami Dolphins, Kansas City Chiefs, Chiefs, San Francisco 49ers, Super, Paramount, CNBC
download the appSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. Read previewChina's extended stock market rout was so bad that leader Xi Jinping was set to personally pay attention to it — and it looks like his solution was to fire the country's top markets regulatory late on Wednesday. After all, there were suggestions earlier that authorities are considering a stabilization fund to rescue the flailing stock market. Stock markets in China and Hong Kong have accelerated losses into 2024. The analysts at the Eurasia Group aren't the only ones who say China needs to double down on economic reforms to shore up its economy.
Persons: , Xi Jinping, Wu Qing, Xi, Eswar Prasad, China's Organizations: Service, China Securities Regulatory, Bloomberg, Business, Eurasia Group, Eurasia Group aren't, Cornell University, International Monetary Fund, Nikkei, Index, Hong Kong Stock Exchange Locations: China, Hong Kong, Beijing
download the appSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. Read previewChina is taking steps to support its economy and stock markets, but there are limits to what can be achieved, said economist Eswar Prasad. Stock markets in China and Hong Kong have accelerated losses into 2024 after shedding trillions of dollars since 2021. "The likelihood of the prediction that China's GDP will one day overtake that of the US is declining," Prasad added to Nikkei. This is because Trump is likely to ratchet up trade protectionism, causing fragmentation in the trade and financial sectors, Prasad told Nikkei.
Persons: , Eswar Prasad, Prasad, China hasn't, Trump, Prasad doesn't, Donald Trump Organizations: Service, Cornell University, International Monetary Fund, Nikkei, Business, Stock, Reuters Locations: China, Hong Kong, Beijing, Asia
At McDonald’s, which has repeatedly boasted about its ability to raise menu prices without denting sales, executives are finally acknowledging that customers need a break. But his focus on affordability marked a shift from just a few months ago, when he boasted that US menu prices, which went up as much as 10% in 2023 alone, weren’t deterring sales. On TikTok, it’s a common refrain for McDonald’s customers to say the company has gone too far, charging more than $3 for a single hash brown in some locations. Still, up until recently, McDonald’s found most customers were still willing to pay. Kempczinski said McDonald’s would double down on its “D123” strategy, which prices some items between $1 and $3.
Persons: Chris Kempczinski, Kempczinski, didn’t, , McDonald’s, y’all y’all, “ we’re, Organizations: New, New York CNN — Corporate Locations: New York, Darien , Connecticut, United States, Darien, America, Des Moines
Only 5.7% of the 1.3 million eligible voters cast ballots at the 39 voting stations around the city, the newspaper Le Monde said. Demur said heavier cars make congestion “even more complicated” and that ”one must consider the ecology, the parking issues." It’s about freedom.”The vote follows another City Hall consultation last year on whether to ban for-hire electric scooters. In a country of car-lovers, home to Renault, Citroen and Peugeot, Hidalgo has worked for years to make Paris less car-friendly. It’s become a central Paris haven for cyclists, runners, families and romantics since Hidalgo closed it to motor traffic in 2016.
Persons: Anne Hidalgo, Le, Hidalgo, , Demur, Hall's, Leicester Organizations: PARIS, Socialist, Le Monde, Renault, Citroen, Peugeot, Paralympic Games Locations: Paris ’, Paris, It’s, Hidalgo, Le Pecq, France
Rising bond yields have thrown cold water on the major averages, but a few winners may emerge even if rates remain elevated. These developments have spurred worries that the Fed policymakers could keep rates higher for longer. Bond prices and yields are inversely related, which means that as yields rise, bond prices will fall. Generally, insurers benefit when interest rates rise , since their investment portfolios will generate more yield. Shares of both real estate investment trusts, which specialize in communications services, could take a hit as higher rates make their dividends less attractive.
Persons: W.R ., Humana, Jefferies, Centene, Sherwin, Williams, Baird Organizations: Federal Reserve, CNBC Pro, Treasury Bond ETF, CME Group, Molina Healthcare, W.R, Florida Medicaid, American Tower Corporation, SBA Communications Locations: Molina, UnitedHealth, Florida
By Farah MasterBEIJING (Reuters) - China's population fell for a second consecutive year in 2023, as a record low birth rate and a wave of COVID-19 deaths when strict lockdowns ended accelerated a downturn that will have profound long-term effects on the economy's growth potential. Japan's birth rate was 6.3 per 1,000 people in 2022, while South Korea's rate was 4.9. Long-term, U.N. experts see China's population shrinking by 109 million by 2050, more than triple the decline of their previous forecast in 2019. POLICY ISSUESChina's 2023 rate of 7.87 deaths per 1,000 people was higher than a rate of 7.37 deaths in 2022. Marriages are a leading indicator for birth rates in China, where most single women cannot access child-raising benefits.
Persons: Farah Master, Mao, Washington ., Xi Jinping, Marius Zaharia, Jamie Freed Organizations: Farah Master BEIJING, National Bureau of Statistics, United Nations, Academy of Sciences Locations: China, Japan, South Korea, South, India, Beijing, Washington, United States, Hong Kong
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