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U.S. consumers collectively owe an eye-popping $1.17 trillion in credit card debt — a record — according to estimates the Federal Reserve Bank of New York released this week. But while there are still major financial risks for carrying hefty balances, the researchers said the data suggests that “rising debt burdens remain manageable” for the typical consumer. Prices are still going up, but they’re not going up as fast, and incomes are once again going up at a faster rate than expenses. Earnings growth has averaged 6.2% per year since the pandemic began, compared to the cumulative debt balance rising 4% per year. “Especially for higher-risk borrowers, credit card and auto loan delinquencies are the highest in a dozen years, and that’s with unemployment at 4%.

Persons: ’, Donald Trump, they’re, Greg McBride What’s, TransUnion, That’s, ”, Greg McBride, “, McBride Organizations: ’ paychecks, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, New York Fed, Commerce Department, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Bankrate Locations: ’ paychecks . U.S

☆ Americans’ debt is growing — but so are incomes
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-13 | by ( Alicia Wallace | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +2 min

CNN —Americans are continuing to pile on debt at record levels — but for many households, those IOUs are completely manageable, according to new data released Wednesday. Balances grew across all major debt categories, with credit cards and auto loans continuing to see the biggest gains. However, by and large, most households have been able to handle that rising debt: Their after-tax income has grown even more, according to the New York Fed. Disposable personal income hit $21.8 trillion in the third quarter, bringing the total debt balance to income ratio to 82%. And, for 18 months running, that pay growth has outpaced inflation, according to Bureau of Labor Statistics data released Wednesday.

Persons: Delinquencies, “, ” “, ” Donghoon Lee, — Organizations: CNN, Federal Reserve Bank of New, New York Fed, of Labor Statistics

☆ NY Fed: Total delinquencies rise to 3.5%, highest since Q2 2020 but below pre-pandemic era
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-13 | by ( Steve Liesman | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailNY Fed: Total delinquencies rise to 3.5%, highest since Q2 2020 but below pre-pandemic eraCNBC's Steve Liesman reports on the latest news from the New York Federal Reserve.

Persons: Steve Liesman Organizations: New York Federal Reserve

☆ Americans are doom spending
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-10 | by ( Erika Tulfo | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

While this kind of catharsis might work to temporarily allay worries, experts say doom spending poses a danger to consumers’ long-term financial health. Joe Raedle/Getty ImagesThat financial gloom is powering doom spending and, in turn, driving up credit card debt. Beyond the economy, experts say that internet habits play a significant role in driving doom spending, especially for younger consumers. But Alev says that she anticipates a pop in spending whether Americans feel positively or negatively about the outcome of the election. How do you curb doom spending?

Persons: ”, Gen, “ We’re, Courtney Alev, “, Alev, Donald Trump, Trump, Kamala Harris, —, Sertan Kabadayi, Joe Raedle, Bankrate, Aja Evans, ’ ” Evans, hasn’t, ” Alev, Jeff Roberson, Biden, Evans Organizations: CNN, Wheaton College senior, YouTube, Credit, Gallup, Fordham University’s Gabelli School of Business, Federal, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, Finance, Brookings Institution Locations: Massachusetts, Miami , Florida, West Palm Beach , Florida

☆ Big banks are bracing for losses as Americans struggle to pay off debt
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-21 | by ( Jacob Zinkula | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +8 min

American consumers and businesses are having a hard time paying off credit card, auto, and commercial real estate debt. Bank CEOs said on recent earnings calls that elevated prices and interest rates continue to weigh on Americans. According to Federal Reserve data, the past-due debt share for credit card, auto, and commercial real estate has recently risen to above pre-pandemic levels. That's because some loans are coming due — forcing businesses to refinance at much higher interest rates. The financial roller coaster of pandemic payments, whipsawing inflation, and high interest rates are especially affecting lower-income Americans.

Persons: —, Wells Fargo's, haven't, Bruce McClary, David Schiff, Schiff, Edmunds, Stephen Biggar, Biggar, Jane Fraser, Brian Moynihan, Charles Scharf, Wells, Jeremy Barnum, There's, I'm Organizations: Bank, Service, Federal Reserve, Business, Bank of America, JPMorgan, Citigroup, Bank of, New, Fed, National Foundation, Credit, Argus Research, Bank of America's Locations: Wells Fargo, delinquencies

☆ Visa is undervalued considering its consistent growth, says Mike Khouw. How to trade it
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-17 | by ( Michael Khouw | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

As a global leader in digital payments, Visa has 4.2 billion credit and payment cards in circulation across more than 200 countries. Through its advanced transaction processing network, VisaNet, the company facilitates payment authorization, clearing, and settlement, and it is one of the most remarkable and consistent growth stories around — along with fellow payment processing company Mastercard. The following chart illustrates its remarkably consistent growth since the pandemic plunge (which naturally suspended considerable economic activity). While a 30 P/E is higher than the market's, the S & P trades closer to 26 times earnings; Visa should trade at a premium. The ability for consumer spending growth to continue apace is limited, so presumably, topline growth will slow somewhat.

Organizations: Visa, Mastercard, DOJ, Nvidia, United Health, Southwest Airlines, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL

☆ Bank bosses aren't worried about lower interest rates — and even see some upside
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-17 | by ( Theron Mohamed | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Wall Street's biggest banks face a less profitable lending environment as interest rates fall. Bank bosses shrugged off those concerns this week and pointed to several benefits of lower rates. AdvertisementLending threatens to become far less lucrative for Wall Street's biggest banks as interest rates fall. But he said the Fed's jumbo rate cut might have sparked more activity in debt capital markets recently. AdvertisementCEO David Solomon said the Fed's first rate cut has raised hopes of avoiding a US recession, which could translate into more economic activity.

Persons: shrugged, —, Alistair Borthwick, Banks, Jane Fraser, Fraser, Mark Mason, Wells, Charles Scharf, Wells Fargo, Morgan Stanley, Sharon Leshaya, Citi's Fraser, Jeremy Barnum, Barnum, Goldman Sachs, David Solomon, BoA, Goldman Organizations: Bank, Service, Wall, Federal Reserve, Bank of America, Citigroup, Citi Locations: refi

☆ Here's how to invest in the Q3 earnings season as profits re-accelerate despite misplaced recession myths
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-06 | by ( James Faris | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +9 min

AdvertisementCorporate earnings are on pace for their best non-pandemic year since 2018, and market strategists expect the party to continue in the upcoming earnings season and into 2025. "There's not always a one-for-one relationship between economic growth and earnings growth," Reynolds said. "You can still see earnings growth at a pretty robust level, even if economic growth moderates to some extent. "That could be a little bit of a headwind for the market," Saglimbene said. That's a normal earnings growth kind of environment, and I think that's enough to continue to push the market higher."

Persons: —, Mike Reynolds, Anthony Saglimbene, He's, Saglimbene, Joe Quinlan — who's, Bank of America —, Quinlan, Reynolds, it's, Andrew Slimmon, Jim Baird, Plante, Michael Smith, Smith, There's, Slimmon, he's Organizations: Service, Business, Ameriprise, Merrill, Private Bank, Bank of America, Morgan Stanley Investment Management, Financial, Allspring Global Investments, Bears Locations: what's

☆ The 3 biggest themes investors are watching for as earnings season kicks off
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-06 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

Investors expect S&P 500 earnings growth of 4.6% as the stock market trades near record highs. Key themes to watch for include AI adoption, consumer health, and the impact of lower interest rates. AdvertisementEarnings season is fast approaching, and investors have a lot to be on the lookout for as companies report third-quarter results. AdvertisementIn addition to the actual earnings figures, investors will be monitoring key themes as company executives offer guidance during earnings calls. Hainlin said he is encouraged by continued growth in consumer spending as credit card defaults "are within normal levels" and the holiday shopping season is right around the corner.

Persons: Wells, —, Michael Dickson, Tom Hainlin, they're, John Belton, There's, Dickson, delinquencies, Hainlin Organizations: PepsiCo, JPMorgan, Service, Wells, Investments, Business, Wall Street, Bank Wealth Management, Aerospace, Defense, Consumer, Federal Reserve Locations: Wells Fargo, FactSet

While there's no universal minimum credit score to rent an apartment, landlords generally prefer applicants with a good credit score, which is at least 670. How to improve your credit score for rentingIf your credit score isn't stellar right now, don't worry. The average credit score of a Gen Z consumer is 680 compared to the average baby boomer's credit score of 745. Credit builder loans and rent reporting companies can help you add credit history to your credit report. Frequently asked questions about apartment credit score requirementsCan you rent an apartment if you do not have credit?

Persons: —, TransUnion, Kendall Meade, Jay Zigmont, Jennifer, Read Organizations: Fair, Childfree, Business, Yahoo, Finance, CBS, MSNBC, CNBC, Forbes, Black Enterprise, USA, The Johns Hopkins University Carey School of Business, Business Journalists Locations: AnnualCreditReport.com, SoFi, Chevron, America, TheGrio, New York City

The information for the following product(s) has been collected independently by Business Insider: U.S. Bank Shopper Cash Rewards™ Visa Signature® Card, My Best Buy® Visa® Card, U.S. Bank Cash+® Visa Signature® Card, Citi Custom Cash℠ Card, Citi® Double Cash Card. Introduction to Store Credit CardsStore credit cards can be incredibly enticing for shoppers looking to save at their favorite retailers. Closed-Loop Credit Cards vs. Open-Loop Credit CardsThere are two types of store cards: closed-loop cards that can be used only within a specific store (or website), and open-loop cards that can be utilized anywhere most credit cards are accepted. Ulta Credit CardUlta has a closed-loop Ulta Beauty Rewards™ Credit Card and the open-loop Ulta Beauty Rewards™ Mastercard® Credit Card. Store Credit Card Frequently Asked QuestionsWho is the Best Buy store card through?

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☆ Student loan payment 'on-ramp' ends, putting some borrowers at risk of delinquency
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-02 | by ( Jessica Dickler | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

watch nowThe one-year grace period for student loan borrowers who miss a payment expired this week. The goal of the 12-month "on ramp" to repayment was to give borrowers some breathing room as they worked student loan payments back into their budgets. Some borrowers haven't made payments in yearsCongress initially passed legislation to allow federal student loan borrowers to pause their loan payments in March 2020 as part of the Covid economic response. It's now been roughly a year since student loan payments resumed. TransUnion data shows that just over half of student loan borrowers made payments over the past several months.

Persons: servicers, haven't, they've, Billy Hensley, Intuit Credit Karma, Karma, Brandon Bell, Ted Jenkin, Jenkin, Sallie Mae's, delinquencies, Liz Pagel, hasn't, Pagel, Andrew Housser, Housser Organizations: National Endowment, Financial Education, CNBC, Financial Wellness, Board, Intuit Credit, Rice University Library, Getty, CNBC's, College, Finance Locations: HOUSTON , TEXAS, Houston , Texas, Atlanta

☆ High Credit Card Interest Rates Are Loading Americans With Debt
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-02 | by ( Ayelet Sheffey | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +11 min

The average credit-card interest rate is now just over 21%, up from about 15% a decade ago. Additionally, as credit-card companies continue to charge high interest rates, more cardholders in debt become delinquent — and that could push the US economy closer to recession. Advertisement'The highest credit-card rates we've ever seen'Until 1978, most states had laws capping interest rates for credit cards and consumer products. Lowering the current high interest rates, and the profits that come with them, has become a priority across the aisle. Ted Rossman, a senior industry analyst at Bankrate, described the feedback loop of high prices and high interest rates as "a tough cycle to break."

Persons: Lana Linge, it's, Linge, isn't, Adam Rust, Bruce McClary, TransUnion, Austan Goolsbee, Rust, You've, you've, Antoinette Schoar, Schoar, David Silberman, GOP Sen, Josh Hawley, Hawley, Democratic Sen, Elizabeth Warren, Michele Raneri, Ranieri, Ted Rossman Organizations: Consumer Federation of America, Federal Reserve, National Foundation, Credit, Federal Reserve Bank of New, New York Fed, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, Louis Federal Reserve, Federal, Financial, MIT, Center for Responsible Lending, Lawmakers, GOP, Democratic, Reserve, TransUnion Locations: overspending, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, South Dakota, Delaware

☆ Fruzzetti: Don't want to own small caps in recessions.
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-27 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFruzzetti: Don't want to own small caps in recessions. Patrick Fruzzetti, Managing Director, Rose Advisors at Hightower, expresses concerns about small-cap stocks and rising credit delinquencies while recommending a company benefiting from near-shoring.

Persons: Patrick Fruzzetti, Rose, Hightower

☆ Take auto loan defaults with a 'grain of salt' in read on overall consumer health, says UBS' Mish
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-25 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailTake auto loan defaults with a 'grain of salt' in read on overall consumer health, says UBS' MishMatthew Mish, UBS head of credit strategy, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss how severe the level of auto delinquencies are, which types of loans may not be as bad, and much more.

Persons: Matthew Mish Organizations: UBS

☆ Bloomberg's chief economist shares why there's a 70% chance the US economy is recession-bound — and warns a stock-market sell-off could sink consumer spending
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-24 | by ( William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Read previewThere's a 70% chance the US economy is either in a recession or headed toward one in the months ahead, according to Bloomberg Economics Chief US Economist Anna Wong. The one that stands out most to Wong is the much-talked-about sustained rise in the unemployment rate. "Initially, in all the recessions, this is how the unemployment rate tends to rise," she said. Another key metric economists watch to judge whether the economy is in recession is consumer spending, which makes up around two-thirds of GDP in the US. LendingTreeWong believes wealthier Americans are spending due to the wealth effect, where high asset prices boost consumer confidence and fuel spending.

Persons: —, Anna Wong, Wong, Louis Fed, Louis Fed Wong, LendingTree Wong Organizations: Service, Bloomberg Economics, Business, Fed Locations: St

☆ Colliers U.S. CEO: Commercial real estate still has some stress to come and loans to be worked out
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-20 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailColliers U.S. CEO: Commercial real estate still has some stress to come and loans to be worked outGil Borok, Colliers U.S. and Latin America CEO, joins 'Money Movers' to discuss if Borok thinks rate cuts mark the peak in commercial real estate delinquencies, how the chief executive sees the current environment, and much more.

Persons: Gil Borok, Borok Organizations: Colliers, Colliers U.S, America

☆ Increase in consumer holiday spending expected this year, says Mastercard's Michelle Mayer
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-19 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailIncrease in consumer holiday spending expected this year, says Mastercard's Michelle MayerMichelle Mayer, Mastercard Economics Institute U.S. chief economist, joins CNBC's 'Money Movers' to discuss the state of the consumer, how to read auto delinquencies, and more.

Persons: Mastercard's Michelle Mayer Michelle Mayer Organizations: Mastercard Economics Institute U.S

☆ Increase in consumer holiday spending expected this year, says Mastercard's Michelle Meyer
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-19 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailIncrease in consumer holiday spending expected this year, says Mastercard's Michelle MeyerMichelle Meyer, Mastercard Economics Institute U.S. chief economist, joins CNBC's 'Money Movers' to discuss the state of the consumer, how to read auto delinquencies, and more.

Persons: Mastercard's Michelle Meyer Michelle Meyer Organizations: Mastercard Economics Institute U.S

The Federal Reserve is expected to announce Wednesday its first interest rate cut since 2020. While layoffs remain low, hiring has virtually ground to a halt, especially in some white-collar professions, making the job search process unusually difficult for many. That would entail a cut of at least 0.5% at some point by the time the Fed announces its interest rate in January. The Fed believes Wednesday's anticipated cut, and ones likely coming over the next several months, should put a floor under further economic deterioration. "Layoffs remain low, job openings remain high, GDP is growing at a healthy pace, and there have not been any major negative shocks," David Mericle, Goldman Sachs' chief U.S. economist, said in a note to clients.

Persons: Jay Bryson, Wednesday's, David Mericle, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Federal, Bank of America, Fed, NBC News, Citi Locations: U.S, Wells Fargo

☆ The Fed gives the US its first jumbo interest-rate cut in 4 years
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-18 | by ( Ayelet Sheffey | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

It's the first time the Federal Reserve has cut rates since March 2020. The unemployment rate also ticked down in August, giving the Fed the data it needed to cut rates. AdvertisementAccording to CME FedWatch, which estimates interest-rate changes based on market predictions, a rate cut was all but certain; the question was how big of a cut the Fed would implement. Additionally, some economists and Democratic lawmakers had for months been calling for a rate cut of at least 50 basis points. "They're going to cut rates this week," Bharat Ramamurti, a senior advisor for economic strategy at the American Economic Liberties Project, told reporters during a Monday briefing.

Persons: —, Jerome Powell's, Skanda Amarnath, Democratic Sens, Elizabeth Warren, John Hickenlooper, Sheldon Whitehouse, Powell, delinquencies, Bharat Ramamurti Organizations: Service, Federal, Market Committee, Federal Reserve, Business, CME FedWatch, Democratic, Fed, American Economic Liberties Locations: Jackson Hole , Wyoming, America

☆ Here's what Morgan Stanley, Wells Fargo stand to gain from lower interest rates
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-18 | by ( Morgan Chittum | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

The Club has stayed with Morgan Stanley on expectations that its investment banking outfit will flourish again. At Wells Fargo , the Club's other financial name, lower rates should help its burgeoning investment banking business. Wells Fargo shares year-to-date have performed better than Morgan Stanley, gaining 11%. WFC YTD mountain Wells Fargo (WFC) year-to-date performance The Corporate and Investment Banking division makes up 23% of overall revenue. To be sure, Wells Fargo management said during July's second-quarter earnings call that the bank will continue to de-risk its office portfolio.

Persons: Banks, Erica Groshen, Morgan Stanley, Morgan, Jim Cramer, Jim, Goldman Sachs, Charlie Scharf, Wells, July's, Jim Cramer's, Jerome Powell, William McChesney Martin, Chip Somodevilla Organizations: Federal Reserve, New York Fed, CNBC, Cornell University, Fed, Investment, Morgan Stanley's Institutional Securities, Morgan Stanley's, Wells, Investment Banking, CIB, Federal Reserve Bank, Getty Locations: Wells Fargo, Wells, Washington ,

☆ Apple is in talks with JPMorgan for bank to take over card from Goldman Sachs
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-17 | by ( Hugh Son | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Apple is in discussions with JPMorgan Chase for the bank to take over the tech giant's flagship credit card program from Goldman Sachs , a person with knowledge of the negotiations said. But the move shows the extent to which Apple's choices were limited when Goldman Sachs decided to pivot from its ill-fated retail banking strategy. There are only a few card issuers in the U.S. with the scale and appetite to take over the Apple Card program, which had saddled Goldman with losses and regulatory scrutiny. JPMorgan is the country's biggest credit card issuer by purchase volume, according to the Nilson Report, an industry newsletter. Apple and JPMorgan declined to comment on the negotiations, which were reported earlier by the Wall Street Journal.

Persons: JPMorgan Chase, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Nilson Organizations: Apple, JPMorgan, Apple Card, Wall Street Locations: U.S

☆ Americans Really Hate the so-so Economy, Worried About Recession
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-17 | by ( Emily Stewart | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +9 min

We expected there to be a cooling labor market — that's kind of the goal — and it's always just, you know, how cool?" That being said, when it comes to the labor market … it is, in fact, so over. That's an improvement over July's 4.3% unemployment rate, but overall, the jobs market in the US is cooling off. Related stories"If you imagine a labor market like a bathtub, the bathtub is full," said Dana Peterson, the chief economist at the Conference Board. Despite the strong labor market, they're sending endless résumés into the ether without getting any bites, and they don't understand why.

Persons: I've, it's, Allison Shrivastava, Joanne Hsu, there's, Dana Peterson, Jaime, Alexis Fowler, she'd, That's, pang, Hsu, Michael Madowitz, Y, Peterson, We're, Emily Stewart Organizations: Federal, University of Michigan, Conference Board, Roosevelt Institute, Business

The pace of inflation likely moderated again in August — further relief for beleaguered consumers still smarting from pandemic-era price shocks. Though price growth has largely returned to the Federal Reserve's official 2% target, the sting of rapid price increases over the past four years lingers for many consumers. The latest inflation report is likely to cement a 0.25% cut in the Federal Reserve's key interest rate, currently at about 5.3%, later this month. But experts say it will take some time for consumers to feel the impact of the lower interest rate — and the relatively small size of the cut means borrowing costs will still be somewhat elevated. While the Fed is now widely expected to cut interest rates, a cut of just 0.25% may not be enough to stave off that scenario.

Persons: —, There's, Joe Biden, Kamala Harris, Zillow, Paul, ” Marina Walsh, ” Walsh, Torsten Slok, Slok, Sophia Kearney, Jerome Powell's, Kearney, Lederman Organizations: of Labor Statistics, Federal Reserve's, Democratic, Labor Statistics, Princeton, “, Mortgage Bankers Association, Apollo Global Management, FHN, NBC News, Fed Locations: U.S, New York, Los Angeles, Minneapolis, St, Las Vegas, Phoenix

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