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☆ A resilient economy and strong earnings are overpowering normal election worries
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-04 | by ( Bob Pisani | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +8 min

.SPX YTD mountain S & P 500, YTD It's because the economy and earnings remain resilient. That is the main reason the S & P 500 is less than 2% from its historic high. Third quarter earnings for the S & P 500 are up 8.4%, well above the 6.0% estimated at the start of October. It's fourth quarter earnings that matter Remember, the most important thing to watch is the trend and whether it is accelerating or decelerating. The S & P 500 is up 50% in those two years.

Persons: There's, Tom Lee, Phil Mackintosh, Mackintosh, John Butters, Scott Chronert, Alec Young, MapSignals.com, Young, We're Organizations: Tech, Nasdaq, Democrat, Republican, Citigroup Locations: backwardation

☆ Iceland embraced a shorter work week. Here’s how it turned out
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-25 | by ( Olesya Dmitracova | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +3 min

London CNN —Iceland’s economy is outperforming most European peers after the nationwide introduction of a shorter working week with no loss in pay, according to research released Friday. In two large trials between 2015 and 2019, public sector employees in Iceland worked 35-36 hours per week, with no reduction in pay. The trials involved 2,500 people — more than 1% of Iceland’s working population at the time — and were aimed at maintaining or increasing productivity while improving work-life balance. Following the trials, Icelandic trade unions negotiated reductions in working hours for tens of thousands of their members across the country. That is much higher than the country’s average growth rate of almost 2% in the decade between 2006 and 2015.

Persons: Alda Organizations: London CNN, Autonomy Institute, Iceland’s Association for Sustainability, Democracy, Iceland …, International Monetary Locations: Iceland, Europe, United Kingdom, Malta, United States, Ireland

☆ Fed outlook pushes dollar to 2-1/2 month peak; yen under pressure
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-23 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The U.S. dollar hovered at a 2-1/2-month peak on Wednesday as investors adjusted bets toward a gradual reduction of interest rates while keeping an eye on a close presidential election race. The yen remained under pressure as the dollar and U.S. Treasury yields marched higher, pushing it to a three-month low. That less dovish outlook for the Fed has helped buoy Treasury yields. The dollar index , which measures the U.S. currency against six others, was last up 0.11% at 104.18 after ticking up to 104.19, its highest since Aug. 2. The rise in U.S. Treasury yields kept the heat on the yen which sank to a three-month low of 151.72 against the greenback.

Persons: Matt Simpson, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, there's, Index's Simpson, Komeito, Sterling Organizations: U.S, Treasury, Federal Reserve, Fed, Republican, Reuters, Democratic U.S, Markets, Trump, greenback, Liberal Democratic Party, of, European Central Bank Locations: Harris, U.S, Japan

☆ Netflix is a company on a decelerating trajectory, says Rosenblatt's Barton Crockett
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-18 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailNetflix is a company on a decelerating trajectory, says Rosenblatt's Barton CrockettBarton Crockett, Rosenblatt Securities senior analyst, joins 'Squawk Box' to break down Netflix's quarterly earnings results, growth outlook, and more.

Persons: Rosenblatt's Barton Crockett Barton Crockett Organizations: Netflix, Rosenblatt Securities

Mortgage rates dropped a lot over the last few months in response to what appeared to be cooling in the labor market. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's mortgage rates will affect your monthly and long-term payments. You can calculate this by dividing your closing costs by the amount you're saving on your monthly mortgage payment. 5-Year Mortgage Rate TrendsHere's how 30-year and 15-year mortgage rates have trended over the last five years, according to Freddie Mac data. Mortgage rates are determined by a variety of different factors, including larger economic trends, Federal Reserve policy, your state's current mortgage rates, the type of loan you're getting, and your personal financial profile.

Persons: they've, Freddie Mac Organizations: Zillow, ARM, Federal Housing Administration, Department of Veterans Affairs, Fed Locations: U.S, Chevron

☆ China's luxury market has been in a slump, and we're about to find out how bad it really is
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-15 | by ( Lian Kit Wee | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

China's luxury market could face its worst quarter in four years, amid aggressive stimulus measures. AdvertisementLuxury brand investors are bracing to see if China's aggressive stimulus measures could be enough to pull its faltering luxury market out of the woods. While Beijing's recent moves to inject liquidity and lower interest rates have sparked some hope in pulling Chinese shoppers out of their spending slump, experts are skeptical of an immediate revival of China's luxury market. Related storiesWhile China's poor economic growth had deterred luxury spending for some, others continued their luxury shopping sprees — outside China. AdvertisementAlthough the outlook for China's luxury market remains bleak in the short run, Jefferies analysts are expecting a recovery as soon as 2025, Reuters reported.

Persons: bellwether, —, Markus Hansen, LVMH, Patrice Nordey, Trajectry, Nordey, Marc Jacobs, Hermès Organizations: Service, Burberry, Reuters, CNBC, Jefferies Locations: China, Asia, Japan, Paris, Shanghai, LVMH

☆ Hubble telescope captures Jupiter’s Great Red Spot contracting like a stress ball
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-11 | by ( Ashley Strickland | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

CNN —New observations of Jupiter’s Great Red Spot captured by the Hubble Space Telescope show that the 190-year-old storm wiggles like gelatin and shape-shifts like a squeezed stress ball. Although storms are generally considered unstable, the Great Red Spot has persisted for nearly two centuries. Recently, a separate team of astronomers peered into the heart of the Great Red Spot using the James Webb Space Telescope to capture new details in infrared light. The Great Red Spot seems to wiggle like a bowl of gelatin over the 90-day period. NASA/ESA/STScI/Amy SimonThe new Hubble study fills in more pieces of the puzzle about the Great Red Spot, Fletcher said.

Persons: Hubble, it’s, ”, Amy Simon, we’ve, ” Simon, James Webb, Leigh Fletcher, Simon, ” Fletcher, Joseph DePasquale, Mike Wong, “, Wong, Fletcher Organizations: CNN, Hubble, Science, Planetary Sciences, Goddard Space Flight, NASA, ESA, of Geophysical Research, UK’s University of Leicester, University of California Locations: Boise , Idaho, Greenbelt , Maryland, Berkeley

As long as inflation continues to come down, the Fed should continue cutting rates, allowing mortgage rates to ease as well. But what happens in the labor market will also have a big impact on how mortgage rates trend for the rest of 2024. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's mortgage rates will affect your monthly and long-term payments. 5-Year Mortgage Rate TrendsHere's how 30-year and 15-year mortgage rates have trended over the last five years, according to Freddie Mac data. Mortgage rates are determined by a variety of different factors, including larger economic trends, Federal Reserve policy, your state's current mortgage rates, the type of loan you're getting, and your personal financial profile.

Persons: they've, Freddie Mac Organizations: Fed, Federal Reserve, Zillow, ARM, Federal Housing Administration, Department of Veterans Affairs Locations: Chevron

☆ U.S. economy is on a 'decelerating trend,' Invesco says
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-07 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailU.S. economy is on a 'decelerating trend,' Invesco saysPaul Jackson, global head of asset allocation research at Invesco, discusses the U.S. stock market.

Persons: Invesco, Paul Jackson Organizations: U.S

☆ Fed close to pulling off the elusive economic soft landing in 2024 after great September jobs report
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-04 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

"It also increases the possibility of a no-landing as well, meaning even stronger economic data for 2025 than we currently expect." watch nowBeyond that, it virtually eliminated any chance that the Federal Reserve would be repeating its half percentage point interest rate cut from September anytime soon. But broadly speaking, the news was very good and raised questions over just how aggressive the Fed will need to be. Jones said the Fed will have a dilemma on its hand as it figures out the proper policy response. "In an election year, passions run high and every economic report or event can garner intense reaction.

Persons: Anna Rose Layden, We've, Beth Ann Bovino, Friday's nonfarm, Dow Jones, Bovino, David Royal, Kathy Jones, Charles Schwab, Jones, they're, Elizabeth Renter Organizations: Outfitters, Getty, Federal Reserve, U.S . Bank, Fed, Fed Bank of America, Wall, U.S Locations: Tysons , Virginia, U.S

Over the last few months, mortgage rates have dropped dramatically, going from near 7% to below 6%. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's mortgage rates will affect your monthly and long-term payments. You can calculate this by dividing your closing costs by the amount you're saving on your monthly mortgage payment. 5-Year Mortgage Rate TrendsHere's how 30-year and 15-year mortgage rates have trended over the last five years, according to Freddie Mac data. Now that the Fed has started lowering its benchmark rate, mortgage rates are down.

Persons: they've, Freddie Mac Organizations: ADP, Federal Reserve, Zillow, ARM, Federal Housing Administration, Department of Veterans Affairs, Fed Locations: Chevron

☆ South Korea's export growth slows as external demand moderates
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-01 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

South Korea's export growth slowed in September, with shipments to the United States barely increasing, in an outcome that may support market expectations for an easing of monetary policy as early as next week. South Korea's export growth slowed in September, with shipments to the United States barely increasing, in an outcome that may support market expectations for an easing of monetary policy as early as next week. Exports increased 7.5% in September from a year ago, decelerating from an 11.2% rise in the previous month, the customs service agency reported on Tuesday. The result, which beat the 6.5% consensus estimate from analysts, was driven by slower shipments growth of 3.4% to the United States in September after increasing 11% in August.

Locations: United States

Even though the Fed plans to continue cutting rates, mortgage rates might not fall much more this year. Mortgage rates trended down ahead of this decision, but now that the cut has happened and the rest of this year's cuts are priced in, it will take a change in the economic outlook to push mortgage rates down further. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's mortgage rates will affect your monthly and long-term payments. 5-Year Mortgage Rate TrendsHere's how 30-year and 15-year mortgage rates have trended over the last five years, according to Freddie Mac data. Mortgage rates are determined by a variety of different factors, including larger economic trends, Federal Reserve policy, your state's current mortgage rates, the type of loan you're getting, and your personal financial profile.

Persons: they've, Freddie Mac Organizations: Federal Reserve, Fed, Zillow, ARM, Federal Housing Administration, Department of Veterans Affairs Locations: U.S, Chevron

As the Fed lowers its benchmark rate, mortgage rates are expected to ease in 2024 and 2025. A lot of people assume that when the Fed cuts rates, mortgage rates will drop, too. By the time the Fed actually gets around to cutting rates, mortgage rates typically already reflect the impact of that cut. 5-Year Mortgage Rate TrendsHere's how 30-year and 15-year mortgage rates have trended over the last five years, according to Freddie Mac data. Mortgage rates are determined by a variety of different factors, including larger economic trends, Federal Reserve policy, your state's current mortgage rates, the type of loan you're getting, and your personal financial profile.

Persons: they've, Freddie Mac Organizations: Federal Reserve, Fed, Zillow, ARM, Federal Housing Administration, Department of Veterans Affairs Locations: Chevron

☆ Stocks making the biggest moves midday: Intuitive Machines, U.S. Steel, Victoria's Secret and more
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-18 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Check out the companies making headlines in midday trading: Intuitive Machines — Shares soared 51% after the space exploration company secured a roughly $5 billion space network contract from NASA. The move is likely intended to push a decision on the politically controversial takeover past the presidential election in November. Victoria's Secret — The intimate apparel maker gained 5% after Barclays upgraded shares to equal weight from underweight, citing a more balanced risk/reward backdrop. The investment firm said VF Corp should start to see benefits from last year's CEO change this fall. Casella Waste Systems — The recycling company fell 5% after announcing a $400 million public offering of its Class A common stock.

Persons: Steward, McGrath RentCorp —, McGrath, Eli Lilly's GLP, — CNBC's Sean Conlon, Michelle Fox, Lisa Han, Yun Li, Jesse Pound, Pia Singh Organizations: NASA, United States Steel, Nippon Steel, Barclays, Medical Properties, Medical Properties Trust, WillScot Holdings, Wolfe Research, Casella Waste Systems Locations: U.S

The Federal Reserve is expected to start lowering rates this week, and mortgage rates are down as a result. But will mortgage rates drop further once the Fed cuts rates? See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's mortgage rates will affect your monthly and long-term payments. 5-Year Mortgage Rate TrendsHere's how 30-year and 15-year mortgage rates have trended over the last five years, according to Freddie Mac data. Mortgage rates are determined by a variety of different factors, including larger economic trends, Federal Reserve policy, your state's current mortgage rates, the type of loan you're getting, and your personal financial profile.

Persons: they've, Freddie Mac Organizations: Federal, Zillow, ARM, Federal Housing Administration, Department of Veterans Affairs Locations: Chevron

☆ Investors are ignoring 2 big risks to markets, says CIO, naming stocks that are bond 'substitutes'
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-13 | by ( Weizhen Tan | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Investors are ignoring two major risks to the market, according to Vahan Janjigian, chief investment officer at Greenwich Wealth Management. Geopolitical tensions and weak oil prices are the second risk, Janjigian said. He has been "surprised" that the Russia-Ukraine war, the Israel-Hamas conflict and weak oil prices haven't elicited a bigger reaction from the market. The International Energy Agency said in its recently monthly reports that global oil demand has been decelerating , adding that oil consumption in China — long the "engine of global oil demand growth" — contracted in April and May this year. In June, it added that Chinese oil demand contracted for a third consecutive month , driven by a slump in industrial activity.

Persons: Vahan Janjigian, CNBC's, Janjigian, —, Pfizer —, he's Organizations: Greenwich Wealth Management, U.S, International Energy Agency, IEA, IBM, Verizon, Pfizer, FactSet, Nvidia Locations: U.S, United States, U.S . Federal, Russia, Ukraine, Israel, China

☆ To pop or not to pop: the smart way to invest in AI without worrying about the bubble
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-13 | by ( Laila Maidan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +8 min

It's also common to draw parallels between the dot-com bubble and today's hype, leading investors to wonder if there's an AI bubble that's about to pop, too. Goldman Sachs' big AI headline of the month is "To buy, or not to buy, that is the question." The note from September 5, led by Peter Oppenheimer, suggests the answer is "to buy" but also to diversify. And the third is the application providers, which are the companies creating services for end users to harness AI. It comes from machine learning or big data workloads that various companies and governments use, Belton noted.

Persons: —, Goldman Sachs, Peter Oppenheimer, John Belton, doesn't, Brian Colello, Nancy Tengler, that's, it's, Tengler, Wall, Larry Ellison, Colello, Belton Organizations: Service, Business, Gabelli Funds, Morningstar Equity Research, Investments, Nvidia, Companies, Microsoft, Intel, Oracle, IBM, Broadcom, AMD, Cadence Design Systems, Google, AWS, Eaton Corporation Locations: GenAI, Belton

As the Fed lowers its benchmark rate, mortgage rates should continue to go down. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's mortgage rates will affect your monthly and long-term payments. FHA Interest RatesFHA interest rates were 5.03% last month, and they've been a bit lower in recent weeks. 5-Year Mortgage Rate TrendsHere's how 30-year and 15-year mortgage rates have trended over the last five years, according to Freddie Mac data. Mortgage rates are determined by a variety of different factors, including larger economic trends, Federal Reserve policy, your state's current mortgage rates, the type of loan you're getting, and your personal financial profile.

Persons: they've, Freddie Mac Organizations: Federal Reserve, Traders, Zillow, ARM, Federal Housing Administration, Department of Veterans Affairs Locations: Chevron

☆ We're adding to a hard-hit stock that should see relief from rate cuts and election clarity
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-06 | by ( Jeff Marks | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

We are buying 200 shares of Nextracker at roughly $34.20 Following the trade, Jim Cramer's Charitable Trust will own 1,150 shares of NXT, increasing its weighting to 1.2% from 1%. A stock that has been hit hard lately is Nextracker, the solar tracking solutions provider for large utility-scale projects. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio. If Jim has talked about a stock on CNBC TV, he waits 72 hours after issuing the trade alert before executing the trade.

Persons: Jim Cramer's, oversold, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, we've, Nextracker, Jim Cramer, Jim Organizations: NXT, Democratic, Republican, Wall Street, Federal Reserve, CNBC Locations: Nextracker

☆ Friday's jobs report for August is going to be huge. Here's what to expect
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-05 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The Wall Street consensus is for nonfarm payrolls growth of 161,000 for August and a slight decline in the unemployment rate to 4.2%, according to Dow Jones. In turn, markets are certain the Fed will start lowering interest rates in a couple weeks, with the possibility of a jumbo cut depending on what Friday's report shows. "What the Fed is going to do in response, how are they going to adjust rates, that's why we are having this conversation." While job growth has been tailing off through much of 2024, the deceleration hit home for the market with a July report that showed payroll growth of just 114,000. The latest bad news came Thursday when payrolls processing firm ADP put August private job growth at just 99,000, the smallest gain since January 2021.

Persons: Dow Jones, Giacomo Santangelo Organizations: Labor Department, Federal Reserve, Fed

Slowing rate of change in earnings growth There are two important trends to follow in earnings. In the case of Nvidia, earnings are continuing to increase, but the rate of change is decelerating. This earnings report will likely be the final time in this stretch that Nvidia will see triple-digit earnings growth. But the impact has been shrinking – just as the overall Mag 7 impact has been diminishing with second quarter earnings growth broadening out. Last season (Q1), Nvidia was responsible for a little more than one-third of the S & P 500's 8% earnings growth.

Persons: ChatGPT, It's, Wall, Jensen, Josh Brown, Christopher Rolland, I've, you've, Lori Calvasina, it's, Matt Bryson, Nvdia's, Huang, Stifel, Blackwell, Mark Lipacis, NVDA, Hopper, Angelo Zino, Dan Ives, Ives, Brown Organizations: Nvidia, Jensen Huang's, Ritholtz Wealth Management, CNBC, RBC Capital Markets, Microsoft, Meta, Analysts, Nvdia's Blackwell, Blackwell Locations: Susquehanna, Wedbush

☆ Snowflake shares sink 14% on decelerating product revenue growth
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-22 | by ( Ashley Capoot | In | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Shares of Snowflake closed down more than 14% on Thursday after the data cloud analytics company released fiscal second-quarter 2025 earnings that beat Wall Street's estimates but showed decelerating product revenue growth compared to past quarters. The company reported $829.3 million in product revenue, which accounts for most of Snowflake's sales, up 30% year over year. They said the company's smaller product revenue beat and deceleration in growth will not inspire weary investors. "A 2% product revenue beat in Q2, down from 5% in Q1, with product revenue growth dipping further to 29.5% YoY," likely sows "enough doubt in the investor conversation to keep shares under pressure in the near-term," the analysts wrote in a note Thursday. "True, 30% y/y product growth is slower than the 33-34% level we saw the past 2 quarters.

Persons: Sridhar Ramaswamy, Morgan Stanley, Snowflake's, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: LSEG, Barclays Locations: Toronto

Several analysts raised their ratings and price targets on Starbucks a day after news that Chipotle CEO would take over at the coffee chain. Starbucks shares rallied on the news, while Chipotle shares fell. He also lowered his price target on shares to $685 from $750, which implies just 6% upside from Monday's close. Chipotle shares pulled back of 7% comes as decelerating trends and a sector rotation already impacted Chipotle's multiple. Since Niccol took the position of CEO in 2018, Chipotle shares surged more than 770%.

Persons: Bernstein, Fatima Boolani, Boolani, — Hakyung Kim, Eli Lilly Eli Lilly's, Berenberg, Lilly, Kerry Holford, " Holford, Morgan Stanley, Keith Weiss, Weiss, Hakyung Kim, Brian Niccol's, Danilo Gargiulo, Gargiulo, Niccol, Chipotle, Laxman Narasimhan, Brian Niccol, Baird, David Tarantino, Fred Imbert Organizations: CNBC, Citi, Palo Alto, Palo Alto Networks, pharma, Intuit, Starbucks, Deutsche Bank, SBUX Locations: Tuesday's

☆ Oil demand growth is decelerating, strategist says
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-13 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailOil demand growth is decelerating, strategist saysMartijn Rats, global commodities strategist at Morgan Stanley, says there is no impact on oil prices from geopolitical risks.

Persons: Martijn, Morgan Stanley Organizations: Email

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