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☆ Europe faces a 'full-blown recession' under Trump's tariffs, big bank says
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-11 | by ( Polly Thompson | Will Martin | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Europe could fall into recession in 2025 under Trump's economic proposals, a major EU bank said. AdvertisementThe eurozone economy faces the possibility of a looming recession as tariffs promised by President-elect Trump look set to dampen growth, according to analysts at a Dutch bank. Trump pledged on the campaign trail to impose a fresh era of trade tariffs, building on policies he enacted during his first term as president. European Union economic growth is already struggling, and has lagged behind the US in recent years. He said Europe's economic challenges, including high energy costs, sluggish economic growth, and geopolitical instability, would only get worse in the event of a tariff battle with the US.

Persons: —, Trump, James Knightley, Nigel Green, Green Organizations: ING, Service, Trump, deVere Locations: Europe, China, Europe's, Ukraine, NATO

☆ The world prepares for a fresh era of tariffs under Trump 2.0
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-06 | by ( Polly Thompson | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

During his first term, Trump imposed tariffs on key industries in both Europe and China. AdvertisementThis time around, analysts told BI that Trump's policies could have a particular impact on Europe. Related storiesEurope is particularly vulnerable to Trump's aggressive trade policies for two main reasons, said Nigel Green, CEO of financial advisory firm deVere Group. AdvertisementDonald Trump met European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen at the World Economic Forum in Davos in 2020. Steven Kennedy, the most senior civil servant in Australia's Treasury department, said Wednesday he expected Trump's tariffs to impact the country's economy.

Persons: Donald Trump's, Trump, —, Donald Trump, Bilal Hafeez, Nigel Green, Green, Morningstar, Trump's, Michael Brown, Ursula von der Leyen, JIM WATSON, Steven Kennedy, Kennedy, Fitch, Latinvex Organizations: Service, European Union, Macro, Economic, of Chicago, Street Journal, deVere, Pharmaceuticals, Morningstar DBRS, Trump, stoke, European, Getty, European Commission, Treasury, News.com.au Locations: Europe, China, Ukraine, Davos, Australasia, Latin America, America, Mexico

☆ Kamala Harris has a golden opportunity to pull Silicon Valley away from Trump and Vance
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-26 | by ( Beatrice Nolan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

The US President endorsed his current vice president, and many prominent Democrats, including Barack Obama, have followed his lead. Money has been pouring into Harris's campaign, and the vice president has already begun campaigning against former president Donald Trump. With Vance by his side, Trump has been trying to woo Silicon Valley away from Biden. Notably, the vice president hasn't taken a strong stance on cryptocurrency, but some expect her to become more pro-crypto than Biden. Meanwhile, with support from pro-crypto running mate JD Vance, Trump has announced he plans to be the first "crypto president."

Persons: —, Kamala Harris, Harris, Joe Biden's, Barack Obama, Donald Trump, Sheryl Sandberg, Trump, JD Vance, David Sacks, Peter Thiel, Vance, Thiel, Elon Musk, Aaron Levie, techies, Sean Parker, Tony West, Kamala, she's, Ron Conway, Chiente Hsu, Biden, She's, Hsu, Reed Hastings, Levie, hasn't, Nigel Green Organizations: Service, Democratic, Business, PAC, Politico, VC, Biden, Facebook, Big Tech, Biden Administration, Democratic Party, deVere Group Locations: Silicon, California, Oakland, Bay, Harris, FTX

☆ America's Economic Plan Will Hurt World Economy, Global Stock Markets
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-09 | by ( Linette Lopez | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +11 min

The European Central Bank began easing interest rates on Thursday, cutting its benchmark rate by 0.25%. Investors and economists expect the Federal Reserve to follow suit and cut interest rates in September. This combination means there's a good chance that the September cut Wall Street is praying for may never materialize. The US already has somewhat higher interest rates than other countries — the Fed's benchmark rate is 5.25%- 5.50%. And in Asian economies, where interest rates are already significantly lower than in the US, things could get even messier.

Persons: Tamara, Vasiljev, Peter Schaffrik, Nigel Green, Green, we're Organizations: European Central Bank, Investors, Federal Reserve, Oxford Economics, JPMorgan, UBS, Bloomberg, of International Finance, Markets, RBC Capital Markets, deVere, Fed, We're, ECB, Bank of, EU, Bank of Canada, Bank of Canada's, Bank of England Locations: stagflation, China, Europe, Japan, South Korea, It's, America, United States, EU, Bank of England, Canada, East Asia

☆ Japanese yen: How the currency’s record slump is squeezing the Japanese
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-03 | by ( Juliana Liu | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

Higher interest rates in the United States and other countries mean investors can make bigger returns on investments there than they can in Japan. This encourages carry trades, in which investors borrow money in yen to invest it in higher-yielding assets priced in other currencies. That weakens the Japanese currency. A Big Mac costs 50% more in the next cheapest G10 currency, the New Zealand dollar, than it does in yen, he added. … and lots of drawbacksBut the falling yen has caused much pain at home and not just for small businesses like Japan Fraise.

Persons: hasn’t, Hiroko Ishikawa, “ It’s, ” Ishikawa, “, we’re, We’re, Himari Semans, That’s, ” Nigel Green, Kit Juckes, Warren Buffett, ” Sean Callow, ”, Sato Hitomi, Semans, I’ve, —, Laura He, Chris Lau Organizations: Tokyo CNN, US, Reserve, CNN, Nikkei, Bank of Japan, deVere, greenback, Labor, Societe Generale, New Zealand, Japan’s National Tourism Organization, Tokyo’s Locations: Hong Kong, Tokyo, Japan, United States, Sydney, Hawaii

☆ Why Meta's shiny new dividend and whopping $50 billion buyback plan may divide investors
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-02 | by ( Theron Mohamed | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Mark Zuckerberg's Meta declared its first dividend and another $50 billion in approved buybacks. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementMeta announced its first dividend and another $50 billion of authorized stock buybacks in its fourth-quarter earnings on Thursday. The social-media giant is clearly eager to reward its shareholders, but its latest moves could divide investors. Meta's new dividend and large-scale buybacks are intended to show it values its shareholders and wants to reward them.

Persons: Mark Zuckerberg's Meta, Warren Buffett, —, Susan Li, Nigel Green, Tesla, Instagram, Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway doesn't, allocator, Buffett, Zuckerberg, Apple's buybacks, Kraft Heinz Organizations: Service, Meta, Reality Labs, Facebook, Warren, buybacks, Chevron, Kraft

☆ Oil prices jump again as explosion at Gaza hospital jacks up tensions in the Middle East
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-18 | by ( George Glover | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

The flare-up came after an explosion at a Gaza hospital fueled investors’ fears that the crisis in the Middle East will escalate. AdvertisementAdvertisementOil prices flared up again Wednesday after a devastating explosion at a hospital in Gaza fueled investors' fears that the ongoing crisis in the Middle East will escalate. The commodity's next move will be driven by how Joe Biden responds to the hospital explosion, according to analysts. "Oil prices rallied 2% following the deadly explosion at the Gaza hospital as it boosts tensions across the Middle East just before the arrival of US President Joe Biden," deVere Group CEO Nigel Green said. AdvertisementAdvertisement"Clearly, the US is a major influence in the Middle East due to its economic interests, military presence, national security concerns, strategic alliances, and diplomacy efforts," he added.

Persons: Brent, —, Joe Biden, Biden, Jordan, Nigel Green, – Organizations: Service, West Texas, Hamas Locations: Gaza, Israel, Palestine, Iran, Saudi Arabia, East

☆ World stocks gyrate as bank contagion fears bite
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-24 | by ( Koh Gui Qing | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

"The growing sense of unease about the global banking system is heightening volatility in stock markets around the world," said Nigel Green, chief executive of deVere Group, a financial advisor. The failure of U.S. regional banks Silicon Valley Bank (SIVB.O) and Signature Bank (SBNY.O) this month triggered fears of a banking contagion and prompted U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen on Thursday to pledge action to safeguard bank deposits. JP Morgan Chase (JPM.N) dropped 1.52%, the S&P 500 banks index (.SPXBK) was down 0.33%, while the KBW regional bank index (.KRX) climbed 2.92%. "I don't expect this volatility (in bank stocks) to subside anytime soon," said Peter Doherty, head of investment research at private bank Arbuthnot Latham in London. Doherty said issues of "contagion risk within the U.S. banking sector" were undoubtedly weighing on appetite for bank stocks elsewhere.

☆ How bad is the banking crisis?
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-20 | by ( Spriha Srivastava | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

The Fed along with five other central banks announced coordinated action to reassure global banks. To make sense of those acronyms, GFC refers to the global financial crisis of 2007 to 2009, EZ crisis is the Eurozone crisis of 2009 onwards, temper tantrum likely refers to the taper tantrum of 2013, and the Covid 3/20 shock is when global markets went haywire in the early stages of the pandemic. So, you might be wondering: Just how bad is the banking crisis? "It means the banking crisis we've seen over the past few weeks has started a new chapter rather than reaching its ending." After the 2008 financial crisis, the Bank of International Settlements (BIS) made it necessary for all European banks to issue CoCo bonds.

☆ Silicon Valley Bank's spectacular implosion shows how digital banking can decimate a lender in 24 hours
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-13 | by ( Hasan Chowdhury | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Silicon Valley Bank's rapid implosion showed how bank runs can go at warp speed in the digital age. But while digital banking meant SVB's collapse accelerated to warp speed, its foundations had been left shaky. Digital banking, and the expectation of instantaneous transactions, is now the norm for the internet generation. Bianco said SVB's collapse should "scare the hell" out of bankers and regulators worldwide. Nigel Green, CEO of deVere Group, an independent financial adviser, said SVB's collapse had brought Trump-era deregulation into question.

☆ UK's Rishi Sunak inherits in-tray of anarchy as he takes over as PM of country in crisis
▼ + stars: | 2022-10-25 | by ( Karen Gilchrist | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

Rishi Sunak has been named as the U.K.'s new prime minister and the country's first leader of color. Sunak's officiation is momentous not least in that it marks Downing Street's first prime minister of color and the U.K.'s youngest leader of modern times. Uniting a divided Conservative PartySunak's task as prime minister is further complicated by deep and severe divisions within the ruling Conservative Party. Rishi Sunak is tasked with a daunting in-tray as the U.K.'s new prime minister, including a crisis in public finances, political infighting and soaring energy bills. Chris Mcgrath | Getty Images News | Getty Images

☆ The pound jumps against the dollar after Liz Truss resigns as prime minister, but more volatility could be in store for markets as political and economic risks linger
▼ + stars: | 2022-10-20 | by ( Carla Mozée | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

The pound rose against the US dollar Thursday as Liz Truss resigned as UK prime minister. Truss' 45 days in office were marked by turmoil in financial markets over her government's mini-budget. Analysts said market volatility may lie ahead as the UK looks for its new prime minister. Pound sterling rose as much as 1.1% to $1.1337 before paring the rise to 0.8%. To investors, the UK looks ungovernable, and its economy resembles that of an emerging market, not a G7 nation," he wrote.

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