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☆ The common national experience that explains Trump’s 2024 gains
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-12 | by ( Ronald Brownstein | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +15 min

Biden in 2020 did not gain ground across the country in as large a percentage of counties as Trump did in 2024. In 2020, Biden won Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, the three former “blue wall” states that decided the election, by a combined 257,029 votes. “In 2020, Biden picks up everywhere. In 2020, Biden won only a little more than one-sixth of the nation’s counties, but the places he captured generated over 70% of the nation’s total economic output. The highest-output counties Trump flipped were almost entirely in the Sun Belt: from Hillsborough (Tampa) and Tarrant (Fort Worth) to Maricopa (Phoenix).

Persons: Donald Trump’s, Kamala Harris, Trump, Joe Biden’s, Trump hasn’t, Biden, ”, Alan Abramowitz, Harris, Harry Truman, Lyndon Johnson, Republican George W, Bush, Lynn Vavreck, “, Barack Obama, John Kerry’s, Obama, Hillary Clinton, Mitt Romney, Abramowitz, That’s, Vavreck, Trump’s, —, ” Vavreck, Mark Muro, Muro, Brookings, Elon Musk, ” Muro, NORC Organizations: CNN, Trump, Emory University, GOP, Biden, Republican, UCLA, Daily, Rural Studies, Michigan, White, Colorado and, Brookings Metro, Republicans, Democratic, Truman, Elon, Edison Research, Associated Press Locations: nation’s, nonmetropolitan, Nevada, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Iowa, Ohio, Colorado, Colorado and Virginia, Trump, Hillsborough, Tampa, Tarrant, Fort Worth, Maricopa, Phoenix

Vice President Kamala Harris’ campaign laid out what it sees as her path to victory in Pennsylvania in a memo shared exclusively with NBC News ahead of Monday night’s rally in bellwether Erie County. “The Harris campaign’s path to win Pennsylvania capitalizes on Trump’s unprecedented weakness in the suburbs,” the memo, which also highlighted the campaign’s focus on Haley voters, reads. “They can point to the suburbs, but they’re losing ground in places like Philadelphia,” a Trump campaign official said. Kush Desai, the Trump campaign’s Pennsylvania spokesperson, highlighted Obama’s visit as a sign the Harris team was scrambling. Speaking with NBC News, Pennsylvania state Sen. Vincent Hughes said he could “understand the frustration” Obama expressed.

Persons: Kamala Harris ’, Harris, Joe Biden’s, Nikki Haley, Donald Trump, “, Haley, Trump, Brendan McPhillips, Tim Walz, Hillary Clinton, McPhillips, ”, Biden, Elon, It’s, We’ve, Barack, Obama, They’ve, Kush Desai, isn’t, ” Desai, ” Obama, Sen, Vincent Hughes, Let’s, Donald Trump’s, He’s, ” Hughes, it’s Organizations: NBC, Democratic, Pennsylvania, Trump, Philadelphia Inquirer, New York Times, Siena College, Marist College, Biden, Quinnipiac University, Times, Street, Minnesota Gov, America PAC, Trump campaign’s, Black, undecideds, NBC News Locations: Pennsylvania, bellwether Erie County, Siena, reddest, Harris ’ Pennsylvania, Johnstown, Lancaster, Rochester, Philadelphia, Bucks, Luzerne, Beaver, Trump, Pittsburgh

☆ How a false rumor about pets in Ohio and Laura Loomer’s presence helped derail Trump’s planned attacks on Harris
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-14 | by ( Eric Bradner | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

CNN —Donald Trump wanted to spend this week attacking one of Democratic rival Kamala Harris’ biggest political vulnerabilities. The promotion of the claims overshadowed a series of speeches aimed at the economy and blaming Harris for border security failures. However, during Tuesday’s debate, Trump’s attacks on Harris over immigration veered into the outrageous, as he falsely claimed that migrants are eating dogs and cats in Springfield. Democratic National Committee rapid response director Alex Floyd on Friday highlighted Trump’s relationship with Loomer and other controversial allies. We’re going to be spending a lot more time in Pennsylvania,” Harris told reporters at a bookstore in Johnstown on Friday.

Persons: Donald Trump, Kamala Harris ’, Trump’s, Harris, Trump, Ohio Sen, JD Vance, “, ” Trump, ”, “ It’s, Joe Biden’s, Biden, ” Biden, brunch, Springfield Mayor Rob Rue, Vance –, ” Rue, Pope Francis, lambasting Harris, Vance, “ Don’t, Kamala Harris, Loomer, Laura Loomer, She’s, that’s, Alex Floyd, ” Harris, SSRS, –, CNN’s Kit Maher, Betsy Klein, Ebony Davis, Kate Sullivan Organizations: CNN, Democratic, White, Springfield Police Division, Springfield City School District, Springfield Mayor, Trump, GOP, Democratic National Committee, Pennsylvania Trump, Trump’s Locations: Ohio, Arizona, Nevada, California, Springfield , Ohio, Springfield, Clark County, Haiti, United States, Venezuelan, Aurora , Colorado, Aurora, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, America, Springfield “, Trump, Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pittsburgh, – Cambria, Luzerne, Johnstown

Andy Beshear won reelection to Kentucky’s highest office Tuesday by improving upon the path to victory he carved in his successful 2019 bid. Political Cartoons View All 1237 ImagesAlso key to Beshear’s victory were the seven swing counties Trump won in 2020 with less than 60% of the vote. He won 10 of the 21 counties Trump won with 60% to 70% of the vote, up from 6 counties in 2019. He also prevailed in 11 of the 89 counties Trump won with more than 70% of the vote, up from nine counties in 2019. Twenty-one of the counties Beshear carried Tuesday were ones that he not only carried in 2019 but that his father also carried twice.

Persons: Andy Beshear, Beshear, Matt Bevin, cobbling, Donald Trump, Daniel Cameron, Cameron, Jefferson, Joe Biden, Biden, Franklin, Bevin, Steven Beshear, Ernie Fletcher, Andy Beshear’s Organizations: WASHINGTON, — Democratic, Republican, Democratic, Trump, Oldham, Kentucky Democrats, Beshear Locations: Fayette, Jefferson, Lexington, Louisville, Franklin County, Frankfort, Kenton, Warren, Kentucky

The No side initially led in the Election Day vote on Tuesday evening in the early stages of vote-counting, but that advantage steadily eroded. No was ahead in Dayton and appears to have picked up Toledo, which voted with abortion rights supporters in August. Ohio is the latest state to put the question of abortion rights directly to voters. In 2022, voters in California, Michigan and Vermont approved state constitutional amendments enshrining abortion rights, while voters in Kansas and Kentucky rejected measures to amend their state constitutions to restrict the procedure. Montana voters also rejected a proposal that year backed by opponents of abortion rights.

Persons: ”, Donald Trump, Trump, Putnam, Joe Biden, It’s Organizations: WASHINGTON, Democrats, Associated Press, Ohio, AP, counties Trump, Trump, Toledo Locations: Ohio’s, Cincinnati, Cleveland, Columbus, Youngstown, Dayton, . Ohio, California , Michigan, Vermont, Kansas, Kentucky, Montana

DES MOINES, Iowa (AP) — Former President Donald Trump heads to southeast Iowa Sunday in the middle of a fall campaign push aimed at locking in supporters with large organizing events. As he has with his other recent travels to the leadoff caucus state, Trump will campaign in an area that formerly supported Democrats but has embraced him. Trump was planning to headline an afternoon event in Ottumwa, where his campaign was expecting more than 1,000 potential supporters. The small city is a hub in eastern Iowa and the seat of Wapello County, one of 31 counties Trump carried in 2016 that Democrat Barack Obama had won four years earlier. Trump, the first Republican to capture the county since the Eisenhower administration, campaigned the week before in northeast Iowa.

Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, Barack Obama, Eisenhower, Democrat Joe Biden, Trump’s, Obama, Jonathan J, Cooper Organizations: DES, Trump, Republican, Democratic, Democrat, sparred, Associated Press Locations: DES MOINES, Iowa, Ottumwa, Wapello County, Jackson County, Mississippi, Dubuque County, Wapello, U.S, Canada, Mexico, California, Orange County, Southern California, Michigan, Macomb County , Michigan, Detroit, Macomb County, Anaheim , California

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