The "no recession relief rally" has ended for the stock market, according to Stifel's Barry Bannister.
The S&P 500 is up about 17% year-to-date, but has declined by about 3% since the start of August.
Bannister expects the S&P 500 to finish the year at 4,400, suggesting potential downside of about 2% from current levels.
According to data from Bank of America, stock market returns are typically muted between July and December in the third year of the Presidential Cycle, which reference a four-year stock market cycle that tracks with the four-year term of the US President.
That's well below consensus estimates of the S&P 500 generating $226 in earnings per share next year.
Persons:
Stifel's Barry Bannister, Bannister, Barry Bannister, committement, wouldn't, Stephen Suttmeier
Organizations:
Service, Federal, Bank of America
Locations:
Wall, Silicon