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Crypto super PACs spent heavily on Republicans as well as key Democrats, including two who won open seats in the US Senate, Elissa Slotkin in Michigan and Ruben Gallego in Arizona. How Washington regulates the industry has enormous consequences for this burgeoning sector, along with the 52 million Americans who now hold digital assets. “The strategy is to have as many conversations with as many people in the Trump orbit as possible so that everyone has an understanding of what the crypto industry is most interested in,” she said. They also helped finance Fairshake, a crypto industry super PAC launched last year that was active in congressional contests. An industry super PAC spent $40 million to back to Republican Senate candidate Bernie Moreno in Ohio, who ousted three-term Democratic Sen. Sherrod Brown.
Persons: Donald Trump, Gary Gensler, Biden, Crypto, Elissa Slotkin, Ruben Gallego, Sam Bankman, “ Crypto, ” Kristin Smith, we’ll, that’s, ” Smith, , Smith, Dan Gallagher, Paul Atkins, Atkins, Gallagher, Bitcoin, Trump, , It’s, Barron, Steve Witkoff, multibillionaire Elon Musk, Cantor Fitzgerald Howard Lutnick, Carlos Barria, Reuters Howard Lutnick, Cantor Fitzgerald, Marc Andreessen, Ben Horowitz –, Sergio Gor, Andreessen, , Tyler, Cameron Winklevoss, Musk, Katie Porter, Massachusetts Sen, Elizabeth Warren, Porter, Adam Schiff, Bernie Moreno, Democratic Sen, Sherrod Brown, Brown, Moreno, Colin McLaren, ” Robert Weissman, Andreessen Horowitz, Kara Calvert, CNN’s David Wright Organizations: CNN, Trump, Securities, Exchange Commission, Industry, Crypto, Blockchain Association, SEC, Token Alliance, Liberty, Liberty Financial, of Government, Republican, Reuters, Venture, Biden, PAC, Democratic Rep, Democratic, Banking Committee, Commodities Futures Trading Commission, Cedar Innovation Foundation, Consumer, Public Citizen Locations: Washington, Michigan, Arizona, Madison, New York City, U.S, America, Bitcoin, Massachusetts, California, Ohio
Prediction markets swung in favor of Trump in the weeks before his victory, as polls showed a virtual tie. Proponents point to a number of factors that make betting markets more accurate. That was still hours before major news outlets called the electionPrediction site founders and researchers have long argued that betting markets are more accurate than traditional polling. I think this is the dawn of a new era for prediction markets, and prediction markets are here to stay," Mansour said. If they don't improve, the betting markets could replace them entirely, he predicted.
Persons: , Donald Trump's, Kamala Harris, Trump, They've, Tarek Mansour, Mansour, Harry Crane, Northwestern University's Thomas Miller, Miller, Biden, Harris, Crane, Davide Accomazzo Organizations: Trump, Service, Rutgers University, BI, Northwestern, Pepperdine Graziadio Business
Securities and Exchange Commission Chairman Gary Gensler has sought to dramatically increase regulation of corporate America, vastly increasing disclosure requirements in particular. In response, corporate America has brought an avalanche of lawsuits against Gensler and the SEC. With a new regime now coming into the SEC following Donald Trump's victory in the presidential race, how will they respond to the lawsuits? Are there are any favorites for SEC chairman? Dan Gallagher, now serving as Robinhood's chief legal officer and formerly a Republican SEC commissioner, has been floated as a possible replacement.
Persons: Gary Gensler, Donald Trump's, Larry Tabb, Gary Gensler's, Gensler, Trump, Dan Gallagher, Hester Peirce, Peirce, Mark Uyeda, Chevron Organizations: America, Securities, Exchange, Gensler, SEC, CNBC, Bloomberg Intelligence, Republican SEC, Republican, Treasury, Supreme, Chevron Locations: America, Congress
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailAmerica needs to catch up on regulatory clarity for crypto assets: CFTC CommissionerCaroline Pham, CFTC Commissioner shares the potential next steps for the new administration and the importance of these regulatory policies.
Persons: Caroline Pham Organizations: America
Kalshi and Polymarket catapulted to the most downloaded free apps on the Apple App Store on Tuesday. Kalshi and Polymarket show Trump favored to win the Electoral College, with Harris expected to win the popular vote. AdvertisementKalshi and Polymarket zoomed to the top of the Apple App Store on Tuesday amid a surge in election betting in the waning days of the 2024 US presidential campaign. Kalshi's ascent in the Apple App Store rankings represented a key goal being reached for the company's CEO, Tarek Mansour. 1 for the entire App Store by Election Day, so the demand curve truly is exponential," Mansour told CNBC last month.
Persons: Kalshi, Trump, Harris, , Tarek Mansour, we're gunning, Mansour, Polymarket, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris Organizations: Apple, Electoral, Service, CNBC, Electoral College Locations: Polymarket
The social media ads have flooded platforms including Facebook, Instagram and X. One advertisement — viewed more than 900,000 times on Facebook and Instagram since Oct. 28 — depicts Trump winning in the Polymarket odds, according to the Meta Ad Library. A separate sponsored campaign from the right-wing social media personality Shaneyy Richh included nine advertisements promoting Polymarket forecasts. Based on user bets, Polymarket says Trump’s odds of winning are roughly 65.5% and Harris’s odds of winning are 34.5% as of Oct. 31. The company has also used social media to promote election betting, spending over $140,000 on Meta ads, according to the company's ad library.
Persons: Donald Trump’s, Kamala Harris, isn’t, Shayne Coplan, Trump, Harris, Shaneyy Richh, pollsters, , Elon, Polymarket, “ Trump, ” Claudio Vallejo, They’re, , ” Polymarket, Coplan, we’ve, I’ve, ” Trump, “ Polymarket, that’s, Musk, ” John Fortier, “ It’s, you’re, Fortier, “ I’m Organizations: , Facebook, Trump, Meta Ad, , Polymarket, United, Commodity, U.S, NBC, American Enterprise Institute Locations: California , New York, Texas, United States, U.S, Michigan
Election bets were approved legally just weeks ago, as the 2024 race headed into its home sprint. The ongoing legal wrangling could still lead to a shutdown of U.S. election betting markets, but not until after the 2024 vote. The CFTC permits only U.S. residents to use the newly opened election betting markets, meaning many bettors on the platforms are also potential voters. Nonetheless, Adam Cochran, founder of venture capital fund Cinneamhain Ventures, says he worries about how voters perceive election betting odds. Mansour acknowledged it’s a “fair concern” that the general public might mistakenly see betting odds as the size of a candidate’s lead.
Persons: Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, ” Robinhood, Rostin Behnam, Kalshi, John Aristotle Phillips, Phillips, , multibillionaire Trump, Elon Musk, , ” Harris, Polymarket, bettors, Trump, Harris, Musk, Tarek Mansour, ” Mansour, Adam Cochran, ” Cochran, Mansour, it’s, There’s Organizations: Interactive, Futures Trading Commission, Republican, Democratic, Overseas, Victoria University of Wellington, NBC, Trump, Street Journal, Cinneamhain Ventures Locations: U.S, New Zealand, America
The big storyPresidential betsChris duMond; Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images; Jenny Chang-Rodriguez/BIWe're less than a week from election day, but one group can already claim victory: betting markets. Kalshi's legal victory in October over the CFTC to offer election betting paved the way for the trend. iStock; Rebecca Zisser/BIThe betting market's biggest tests might come after the election. Betting markets have Trump as a heavy favorite, whereas traditional polls indicate a tight race. AdvertisementShould Trump win in a landslide, it could strengthen the case for using betting markets as a key tool for election analysis.
Persons: , Chris duMond, Chip Somodevilla, Jenny Chang, Rodriguez, Matthew Fox, Donald Trump, Polymarket, iStock, Rebecca Zisser, Nate Silver, Tesla, Zuckerberg, Citadel's, Justin Lubell, Lubell, Steve Schwarzman, Ken Griffin, Trump, Tyler Le, Harris, Sundar Pichai, Elon Musk, Dan DeFrancesco, Jordan Parker Erb, Hallam Bullock, Milan Sehmbi Organizations: Business, Service, Apple, CFTC, Trump, TikTok, Meta Connect, Meta, Bank of America, Blackstone, Republican, Amazon, AWS, Five Apple Intelligence, Google, The Washington Post, Street, Microsoft, Starbucks Locations: French, New York, London
The election markets have not gone unnoticed by the Republican Party’s presidential nominee, Donald Trump, who has touted his odds on social media and at campaign events. With more than 50 million ballots already cast ahead of Tuesday’s election, here’s what you need to know about election betting in the US. Robinhood, a popular stock-trading app, launched presidential election betting on Monday. PredictIt, another prediction market embroiled in a legal fight with the CFTC, also offers election contracts while its case is ongoing. Researchers, however, have long studied political prediction markets.
Persons: Donald Trump, , Trump, Kamala Harris, Kalshi, , PredictIt, David G, Schwartz, ” Schwartz, Paul Rhode, Koleman Strumpf, isn’t, Elon Musk, Cantrell Dumas, it’s, ” Dumas Organizations: CNN, White, Kalshi, Republican, Democratic, Futures Trading Commission, Senate, DC, Appeals, CFTC, University of Nevada, The University of Iowa, Iowa Electronic Markets, Victoria University of Wellington, Commission, Better Locations: United States, Washington ,, Michigan, Las Vegas, New York City, Rhode, Nevada , Texas , Michigan, Iowa, New Zealand, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania
This combination of pictures created on October 25, 2024 shows US Vice-President and Democratic Presidential candidate Kamala Harris in Houston, Texas on October 25, 2024 and former US President Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump in East Del Valle, Austin, Texas on October 25, 2024. Upstart broker Robinhood is jumping into the prediction betting game, announcing Monday users can begin trading the 2024 presidential election that is eight days away. Shortly after, Interactive Brokers launched various political contracts, including on the election. The election markets have generated some controversary this year with some concerned about light volume allowing the markets to be skewed. For now, only the presidential election contracts will be available to trade on the system.
Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Robinhood, Kalshi, Polymarket Organizations: Democratic, Republican, Interactive Brokers, Commodity Futures Trading Commission, CFTC, Interactive, Trump Locations: Houston , Texas, East Del Valle, Austin , Texas, U.S
Robinhood is the latest platform to allow traders to wager on the 2024 election. A recent federal court ruling opened the door to wider betting on US elections. For now, only the 2024 election contracts will be available. Until a September federal court ruling, betting on US elections was largely limited to a narrow set of academics and students. Related storiesCFTC Chairman Rostin Behnam has strongly opposed election betting, previously testifying to Congress that allowing such wagers would turn his agency into "an election cop."
Persons: Robinhood, , Donald Trump, Rostin Behnam, Sen, JD Vance, Trump's, Theo Von's, Vance, we've Organizations: Service, Court, Commodity Futures Trading Commission, GOP Locations: New York
"Things were going okay before the election contracts, but since we put them on the platform there's been a lot more interest," Sanders said. The election contracts on each site are binary, and they pay out $1 if the correct outcome is chosen and $0 for the incorrect outcome. A fifth arena, Polymarket, is a blockchain-based prediction platform that is not open to U.S. customers. If they prove to be accurate over time, the prediction markets may also serve non-traders such as consultants and fundraisers who want to glean more insight into the election. Concerns More ominously, critics of the election markets have raised alarm that they could be moved by one or two big traders for possibly nefarious purposes.
Persons: politicos, Kalshi, Steven Sanders, Sanders, John Phillips, Phillips, Tarek Mansour, Bob Elliott, Ray, Elliott, Polymarket, Nikki Haley, Michelle Obama, Matt Thompson, Thompson, Koleman Strumpf, Cantrell Dumas, Dumas, PredictIt's Phillips, Strumpf, Mansour, We've Organizations: Wall, Interactive, Futures Trading Commission, CFTC, Kalshi, Funds, Bridgewater Associates, South Carolina Gov, Republican, Little Harbor Advisors, Wake Forest University, Better, CNBC, Wake Locations: Iowa, Winston, Salem, N.C, Susquehanna
A federal appeals court has fast-tracked the Commodity Futures Trading Commission's case challenging the right of the event exchange Kalshi to offer U.S. political election contracts. Kalshi touted its presidential election contracts on electronic signs in New York City's Times Square over the weekend. The CFTC told the appellate court that election contracts "are susceptible to market manipulation" and also pose a risk to election integrity or how the public views the integrity of elections. Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour, in a statement, said his company is "confident" that the law allows election contracts. As of Monday, Kalshi had booked more than $7 million in contracts on the presidential election outcome.
Persons: Kalshi, Tarek Mansour, Mansour, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris Organizations: Long, Fitness Center, Interactive, U.S, Senate, New York City's, Appeals, District of Columbia Circuit, CFTC, Washington , D.C Locations: Virginia's, Arlington , Virginia, New York, U.S, Washington ,
Kalshi wagers on the presidential race outcomes were split 50-50, roughly reflecting national polling on the contest. The new contracts were added to Kalshi's platform within days of a favorable federal appeals court ruling for the company on Oct 2. Even more political races could soon become available for betting with Kalshi contracts, the CFTC said, citing contract terms published on the exchange's web site. But the commission argues that Kalshi's contracts might cast doubt on the integrity of elections. The appeals court initially blocked that judge's ruling from taking effect, which meant Kalshi could not offer any political contracts.
Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Kalshi, KalshiEx, It's, there's, Tarek Mansour, Mansour, Patricia Millett Organizations: White, Electoral, Commodity Futures Trading Commission, U.S ., Appeals, District of Columbia Circuit, CNBC Locations: Washington ,
In today's big story, Google Search is going to look a whole lot different thanks to generative AI . According to Rhiannon Bell, the vice president of user experience for Google Search, it's a "pretty dramatic shift from where we were before." AdvertisementAnd yes, in case you were wondering if it was coming, Google is going to start putting ads in its AI Search results — but only when Google deems them relevant. Google's new AI-organized search results GoogleSearch's revamp addresses a big concern for the rest of the internet. One survey conducted earlier this year found 60% of people who used Google's AI search found it more effective than non-AI powered Search.
Persons: , Morgan Stanley, Tyler Le, Hugh Langley, Tech's, Hugh, Rhiannon Bell, Gen, Jenny Chang, Rodriguez, Ned Davis, Kalshi, Andy Jassy F, Carter Smith, Chelsea Jia Feng, Andy Jassy, Marc Andreessen, he's, Alyssa Powell, dockworkers, hasn't, Dan DeFrancesco, Jordan Parker Erb, Hallam Bullock, Milan Sehmbi, Amanda Yen Organizations: Business, Service, Costco, Tech, Google, Getty, Ned, Ned Davis Research, CFTC, Bloomberg, Getty Images, Amazon, LinkedIn, YouTube, EU . US Department of Labor Locations: China, San Francisco, EU, New York, London
Americans can bet on the outcome of US elections following a legal fight. Last month, Kalshi briefly listed bets on congressional election outcomes before the CFTC shut them down. On Wednesday, prediction market Kalshi got the go-ahead to take bets on congressional elections after a months-long legal battle with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. That makes it one of the only options for Americans to bet on election outcomes, and the only legal one for Americans to wager large amounts of money. The court's decision comes just five weeks before the elections, and follows years of legal battles between prediction markets and the CFTC.
Persons: Kalshi, , CoinDesk, Harry Crane Organizations: CFTC, Service, Futures Trading Commission, Federal, Kalshi, Senate, Rutgers University Locations: New York, New Zealand
Appeals court greenlights betting on congressional elections
  + stars: | 2024-10-02 | by ( Dan Mangan | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
A federal appeals court on Wednesday refused to block a lower-court ruling allowing Americans to bet on the outcome of the 2024 congressional elections. The CFTC had barred KalshiEx from listing its congressional contracts on the exchange, which the commission regulates, on the ground that they would violate the laws of many states that ban gambling on elections. But a judge in U.S. District Court in Washington, D.C., ruled last month that the CFTC had erred in finding that KalshiEx's congressional contracts involved gaming or gambling. That ruling was in effect for only about eight hours before the D.C. appeals court stayed it at the request of the CFTC. That administrative stay was lifted in Wednesday's ruling.
Persons: Patricia Millett, Millett Organizations: U.S, Capitol, federal, Futures, Commission, CFTC, Appeals, District of Columbia Circuit, Washington , D.C, CNBC Locations: Washington ,, U.S
CNN —A federal appeals court in Washington, DC, on Wednesday allowed a prediction market to offer election betting, denying a government watchdog’s request to halt a ruling that made way for legal political gambling in the United States. It is unclear whether the New York-based startup will launch more election markets. “US presidential election markets are legal. Because the sources of information that election markets absorb can be “opaque and unreliable,” like polls with undisclosed methodologies or fake news reports, Schwartz suggested that they can be uniquely susceptible to manipulation. While the legal dispute with Kalshi plays out, the CFTC has also embarked on a broader clampdown on events-based betting.
Persons: ” “, Patricia Millett, , ” Kalshi, Jia Cobb, Tarek Mansour, X, Stephen Hall, ‘ deepfakes, Kalshi, , Rob Schwartz, Schwartz, Yaakov Roth, ” Roth, Rostin Behnam Organizations: CNN, Senate, Futures Trading Commission, DC, Appeals, US, DC Circuit, Kalshi, CFTC, Better Locations: Washington ,, United States, New York, Washington,
And bitcoin IRAs overall may not be the best way to get exposure to digital assets into your retirement portfolio, he adds. Read on for more on the pros and cons of bitcoin IRAs, and which investors they may make sense for. Self-directed bitcoin IRAs offer many of the same tax benefits as regular IRAs, like tax-deferred growth in traditional IRAs and tax-free withdrawals from Roth IRAs. Supports IRA rollovers, traditional IRAs, Roth IRAs, SEP IRAs, and 401(k)sCheck mark icon A check mark. Supports IRA rollovers, traditional IRAs, Roth IRAs, SEP IRAs, and 401(k)sCheck mark icon A check mark.
Persons: Bitcoin, Rollovers, Roth, bitcoin IRAs, Chris Chen, Read, Chen, Roth IRAs, they've, bitcoin, it's, Bitcoin IRAs Organizations: BitcoinIRA, Insight Financial, IRA, Better, Pew Research, SEC, CFTC Locations: cryptocurrency, U.S, bitcoin
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailCFTC Chair Russ Behnam on U.S. election betting: We don't want to commoditize electionsCommodities Future Trading Commission (CFTC) chairman Rostin Behnam joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the agency's scrutiny of polymarket and other offshore crypto betting platforms, betting on U.S. elections, and more.
Persons: Russ Behnam, Rostin Behnam Organizations: Trading Commission
CNN —A federal judge made way on Thursday for legal political gambling in the United States, rejecting a federal watchdog’s last-minute effort to delay a prediction market from offering bets on the November elections. She also denied a request by the government during Thursday’s hearing to block Kalshi from offering contracts pending its appeal. The CFTC has argued that the contracts count as illegal gambling and that it doesn’t have the resources to monitor them. Its chairman, Rostin Behnam, has also warned that election contracts would “ultimately commoditize and degrade the integrity” the electoral process. Luana Lopes Lara, a co-founder of Kalshi, celebrated the decision on Thursday, writing on X, “WE’RE LIVE.” The CFTC declined to comment.
Persons: Jia Cobb, , ” Cobb, Kalshi, Rostin Behnam, Luana Lopes Lara, Organizations: CNN, Senate, Futures Trading Commission, DC, Kalshi, CFTC Locations: United States, Washington ,, Kalshi, New York
This week, a judge signed off on Do Kwon and his bankrupt Terraform Labs settling with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission for $4.5 billion. This comes after a jury unanimously found Kwon and his company liable for securities fraud following less than two hours of deliberation. But investors piled in anyway, giving luna and UST a combined market value of almost $40 billion at one point. Terraform and Kwon fought our efforts to investigate – taking a fight over investigative subpoenas all the way to the Supreme Court. They are Caroline Ellison, the Alameda Research CEO who at one time dated Bankman-Fried; FTX engineering chief Nishad Singh; and Gary Wang, the co-founder and chief technology officer of FTX.
Persons: Kwon, Woohae Cho, Sam Bankman, Changpeng Zhao, Luna, atoning, Alex Mashinsky, Wall, Stevo Vasiljevic, Reuters Kwon, He's, Satoshi Nakamoto, Elon Musk, Mike Novogratz, Gary Gensler, , Fried, Fatih Aktas, Lewis Kaplan, Kaplan, Bankman, convicting, Prosecutors, Ryan Salame, Caroline Ellison, Nishad Singh, Gary Wang, FTX, Jason Redmond, Zhao, Richard Jones, , Binance, Justin Sullivan Organizations: Terraform Labs, Bloomberg, Getty, U.S, Forbes, Arrows Capital, Voyager, U.S . Securities, Exchange Commission, Labs, U.S . Justice Department, Futures Trading Commission, Treasury Department, bitcoin, BlackRock, Fidelity, Reuters, terraUSD, UST, Traders, Twitter, SEC, Supreme, Anadolu Agency, Alameda Research, ., Republicans, Bankman, AFP, of Prisons, District, Bank, DOJ, CFTC, Treasury, Binance, New, Commercial Bank Locations: U.S, Balkans, Podgorica, Montenegro, Singapore, Dubai, Serbia, Balkan, South Korea, United States, lockstep, New York, Manhattan, Seattle, Lompoc , California, Binance
Christy Goldsmith Romero, commissioner of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) speaks during the DC Blockchain Summit in Washington, D.C., on Tuesday, May 24, 2022. President Joe Biden will nominate Christy Goldsmith Romero to replace Martin Greunberg as head of the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation. A longtime financial regulator, Goldsmith Romero is currently a commissioner at the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, the nation's financial derivatives regulator, and previously worked with the Department of Treasury. Her previous nominations to the nation's financial regulators were unanimously confirmed by the Senate. Gruenberg's resignation would not be official until Goldsmith Romero nomination is finalized.
Persons: Christy Goldsmith Romero, Joe Biden, Martin Greunberg, Gruenberg's, Goldsmith Romero, Sen, Sherrod Brown, Gruenberg, Cleary Gottlieb Steen, Hamilton, hasn't, Tim Scott Organizations: Futures Trading Commission, DC, Washington , D.C, Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, White, Commodity Futures Trading Commission, Department of Treasury, Georgetown University, Senate, Banking Committee, Republicans, FDIC, Republican Locations: Washington ,, Ohio
The White House will nominate markets regulator Christy Goldsmith Romero as Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation chair imminently as it targets the week of July 8 for her first hearing, a person with direct knowledge of the matter said on Wednesday. The White House will nominate markets regulator Christy Goldsmith Romero as Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation chair imminently as it targets the week of July 8 for her first hearing, a person with direct knowledge of the matter said on Wednesday. The White House declined comment. She had been lined up for the Treasury role before Gruenberg succumbed last month to political pressure to resign. Punchbowl News earlier on Wednesday reported that the White House would announce Romero's nomination on Thursday.
Persons: Christy Goldsmith Romero, Sherrod Brown, Joe, Goldsmith Romero, Martin Gruenberg, Kristin Johnson, Spokespeople, Brown, Johnson, Goldsmith Romero's, Gruenberg Organizations: Federal Deposit Insurance Corp, Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, imminently, White House, Democratic, Banking, U.S, Commodity Futures Trading Commission, Treasury Department, Treasury, FDIC, Labor, Street, Punchbowl Locations: Washington , DC, Washington
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailCFTC chairman on supporting House crypto bill: It largely fills the gap in regulationCommodities Future Trading Commission (CFTC) chairman Rostin Behnam joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the state of the crypto regulatory environment, whether he's in support on the crypto bill passed in the House, and more.
Persons: Rostin Behnam Organizations: Trading Commission
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