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Washington CNN —The US economy seems to have pulled off a remarkable and historic achievement. American shoppers continued to fuel economic growth in the third quarter with their spending, according to the report. That marked the biggest contributor to GDP growth in the third quarter by far. Government spending at both the federal and state level also contributed to third-quarter economic growth. Wednesday’s GDP report showed that the US economy remains on solid footing.
Persons: That’s, , James Bullard, Louis, Joe Biden, Harris Organizations: Washington CNN, Gross, Commerce Department, Federal, CNN, Federal Reserve Bank of St, Fed, White, Biden
In honor of Jayden Daniels’ historic start to his NFL career, the Power Rankings are checking in on rookies this week. Last week: 4Sunday: Beat Green Bay Packers 31-29The Vikings are having the NFL’s most surprising season without much help from their rookie class. Veteran wide receiver Rashee Rice is expected to miss the rest of the season after suffering a knee injury against the Chargers. Second-round wide receiver Ladd McConkey had a career-high 67 yards Sunday and leads the team with 173 receiving yards. Fourth-round tight end Erick All has been a surprise with 12 catches, but third-round wide receiver Jermaine Burton has been a disappointment.
Persons: Jayden Daniels, Daniels, Caleb Williams, they’ve, we’ve, J.J, McCarthy, Sam Darnold, Dallas Turner, Xavier Worthy, Rashee Rice, Worthy, Kingsley Suamataia, Roger Rosengarten, Derrick Henry, Henry, Keon Coleman, it’s, Coleman, James Cook, Terrion Arnold, Ennis Rakestraw, Arnold, Rakestraw, Jared Goff, Patrick Breen, Kamari Lassiter, Nico Collins, Byron Murphy, Geno Smith, Smith, Graham Barton, Bucky Irving, Irving, Mike Evans, Mason McCormick, Troy Fautanu, Zach Frazier, Justin Fields, Dominick Puni, Darren Yamashita, Puni, that’s, Ricky Pearsall, Jim Harbaugh, Joe Alt, Ladd McConkey, Javon Bullard, Bullard, Jordan Morgan, Edgerrin Cooper —, — Luke Musgrave, Tucker Kraft, Jayden Reed, Dontayvion Wicks, Love, mettle, DeMarcus Lawrence, Kneeland, Tyler Guyton, Cooper Beebe, Michael Penix Jr, hasn’t, Kirk Cousins, Ruke Orhorhoro, Brandon Dorlus, Bralen Trice, JD Bertrand, he’s, Taliese Fuaga, Aid McKinstry, Khristian Boyd, Weeks, Laiatu Latu hasn’t, Adonai Mitchell, Joe Flacco, Anthony Richardson, Anthony Richardson's, gam, Ang, e nt, No, Wil l iams: He, lea, dou, Tre, Ben, Lo, Bea, Caro, tigh, carr, rs does, ron, Nix, Eli M ann i, Fran, abou, Dalt, Andy Dalt, ake, Will Levi, Gian, Smit, Garr, Thom, Pede, arn Organizations: NFL, Washington, Green Bay Packers, Vikings, New York Jets, Chiefs, Los Angeles Chargers, Chargers, Veteran, New, New Orleans Saints, Beat Buffalo Bills, Bills, Ravens, 33rd, Cincinnati Bengals, Buffalo Bills, Baltimore Ravens, Buffalo, Houston Texans, Beat Seattle Seahawks, Lions, Ennis, The, USA, Beat Arizona Cardinals, Cleveland Browns, Beat Jacksonville Jaguars, Texans, Jaguars, Seattle Seahawks, Detroit Lions, Seahawks, New York Giants, Beat Philadelphia Eagles, Bucs, Tampa Bay’s, Atlanta Falcons, mojo, Indianapolis Colts, Steelers, South Dakota State, Colts, Dallas Cowboys, 49ers, New England Patriots, Central, Patriots, 33rd Team, Arizona Cardinals, Kansas City Chiefs, Minnesota Vikings, Packers, Los Angeles Rams, Beat New York Giants, Dallas, Pittsburgh Steelers, Beat New Orleans Saints, The Falcons, Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Aid, Beat Pittsburgh Steelers, Jacksonville Jaguars, Cal, Wil, pla, ims, unt, Sund, Jets, erc, ork Jets, acc, ard, lse Locations: Kansas, New Orleans, The Republic, Tampa, Central Missouri, Atlanta, Indianapolis
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFormer St. Louis Fed president: Fed should cut by a quarter point and signal the same going forwardJim Bullard, former St. Louis Fed president and Purdue University dean, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss Bullard's base case for the Federal Reserve, if the Fed needs to be more explicit than usual, and much more.
Persons: Louis, Jim Bullard Organizations: Former, Louis Fed, Purdue University, Federal Reserve Locations: St
New York CNN —Federal Reserve officials won’t say how former President Donald Trump winning a second term could impact the economy. But transcripts of closed-door Fed meetings from Trump’s first term give some clues about top economists’ true feelings about Trump’s economic agenda. “We don’t want to be involved … in politics in any way,” Powell said after July’s monetary policy meeting. The transcripts of past meetings that are publicly available, the most recent being from the December 2018 monetary policy meeting, suggest that some Fed officials had legitimate concerns about Trump’s trade policy and its impact on the economy. ‘Ill-conceived US government policies’At later meetings, as the Trump administration began to set the stage for a potential trade war with China, Fed officials started to sound more concerned.
Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, Jerome Powell, Powell, ” Powell, Sen, Jack Reed, , it’s, Loretta Mester, ” Mester, , James Bullard, Bob Dylan, ” Bullard, Bullard, Mitch Daniels, , , , ” William Dudley, ” Dudley Organizations: New, New York CNN — Federal, Democrat, Trump, CNN, Cleveland Fed, Fed, Federal, Market, Louis Federal Reserve, Chicago Cubs, Mitch Daniels School of Business, Washington, Lee University Locations: New York, Rhode Island, , China, United States, Dudley
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFormer St. Louis Fed President: Probability of a recession isn't any higher now than ordinary timesFormer St. Louis Fed President James Bullard joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the state of the economy, what to make of today's GDP report, impact on the Fed's inflation fight, rate path outlook, and more.
Persons: Louis, James Bullard Organizations: Former, Louis Fed, St
Countdown to Fed rate decision:Here's what you need to know
  + stars: | 2024-06-11 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailCountdown to Fed rate decision:Here's what you need to knowJames Bullard, Purdue University's Business School Dean and former St. Louis Fed President, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss why it could be wise to cut sooner but slower, whether the Fed will stick with higher for longer, and if the Federal Reserve is keying in on rival central banks.
Persons: James Bullard, Purdue University's Business School Dean, Louis Organizations: Purdue University's Business School, Louis Fed, Federal
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFormer St. Louis Fed Pres. Bullard: March jobs report shows 'the economy is running pretty hot'James Bullard, Purdue University's Business School Dean and former St. Louis Fed President, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the March jobs report, the impact on the Fed's interest rate path, state of the economy, and more.
Persons: Louis Fed Pres, Bullard, James Bullard, Purdue University's Business School Dean, Louis Organizations: Former, Purdue University's Business School, Louis Fed
ET, the yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note was down by around 3.7 basis points at 4.1050% and the yield on the 30-year Treasury bond slipped 3.7 basis points to 4.3418%. U.S. Treasury yields were lower on Wednesday morning as investors brace themselves for two key pieces of economic data in the second half of the week. Two significant pieces of economic data are on the slate this week: a preliminary fourth-quarter gross domestic product growth figure is due on Thursday, followed by the Commerce Department's closely watched personal consumption expenditures price index for December on Friday. Both data points will inform the Federal Reserve as it maps out when and by how much to begin cutting interest rates, which will be a key factor in determining the path of markets and the economy this year. Auctions will be held for $60 billion of 17-week Treasury bills, $61 billion of 5-year notes and $28 billion of 2-year FRNs (floating-rate notes).
Persons: Jim Reid, Bullard, Reid, that's Organizations: Treasury, U.S, Commerce, Federal Reserve, Deutsche Bank's, Global, Bank of Canada, European Central Bank, St Louis Fed, PMI
Wells Fargo now says it pegs the odds of a recession at 40% in 2024. The Blue Chip Economic survey released last week echoed the bonhomie. More than two-thirds, 69%, of small business and 67% of midsize business leaders expressed optimism about their company’s performance. This week, members of Congress will learn the details and begin signaling whether the plan has the support of both houses. Meanwhile, in Davos, Switzerland, where many of the world’s leaders, business executives and others have gathered for the World Economic Forum’s 54th meeting, Chinese Premier Li Qiang delivered a bullish speech on China’s economic prospects.
Persons: , Wells, , , Wells Fargo, Sam Bullard, ” Bullard, JPMorgan Chase, Li Qiang Organizations: Federal Reserve, BCA Research, Federal Reserve Bank, Atlanta’s, University of Michigan, Wells, Investment Banking, JPMorgan, Capitol Locations: U.S, Davos, Switzerland
Opinion | Is the Fed Falling Prey to Groupthink?
  + stars: | 2024-01-15 | by ( Peter Coy | ) www.nytimes.com   time to read: +2 min
If you’re looking to argue that the Fed suffers from too much unanimity, the inflationary surge of 2022 looks like evidence. In speeches, various members of the committee had been expressing concerns about inflation, but they weren’t voting that way. She worked at the Fed for 25 years in stints between 1984 and 2022, including one writing up the minutes of Federal Open Market Committee meetings. Meade said one reason dissents are few is that “the meetings aren’t about today, they’re about tomorrow.” Committee meetings occur eight times a year. If a voter feels uncomfortable with the (unanimous) rate decision, that person will try to rally support for a different path at future meetings.
Persons: James Bullard, Louis, Ellen Meade, , ” Meade, Levin, Meade Organizations: Federal Reserve Bank of St, Duke University, Fed, Open
Economist Alberto Musalem was named the next president and CEO of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis on Thursday. The St. Louis Fed representative is an alternate member of the rate-setting Federal Open Market Committee and will vote in 2025. St. Louis Fed First Vice President Kathy O'Neill has been holding the position in the interim. "Alberto will be an outstanding president and CEO of the St. Louis Fed," said St. Louis Fed director Carolyn Chism Hardy, president and CEO of Chism Hardy Investments and deputy chair of the bank's search committee. "I am deeply honored to serve as the next president of the St. Louis Fed and grateful for the opportunity to promote a strong, resilient and inclusive economy," Musalem said.
Persons: Alberto Musalem, Louis, Musalem, James Bullard, Kathy O'Neill, Alberto, Louis Fed, Carolyn Chism Hardy, Chism, Hardy, Paul Tudor Jones Organizations: Federal Reserve Bank of St, Purdue University, Louis Fed, Market, Investments, Evince Asset Management, New York Fed, Tudor Investment Corp, Eighth, CNBC PRO Locations: St
Who to Believe? Jerome Powell or the Markets?
  + stars: | 2023-12-04 | by ( Tim Smart | Dec. | At A.M. | ) www.usnews.com   time to read: +4 min
Last Friday provided a split-screen view of the markets and the Federal Reserve. “Indeed, we look for the return of striking workers to add nearly 45K jobs to November’s payrolls. Wednesday brings the first measure of the November job market when private payroll firm ADP releases its monthly survey of employers. October came in at 150,000, a drop from the recent trend of around 200,000 jobs added per month. Consequently, we expect the post-meeting statement will keep the door open to the possibility of additional tightening this cycle.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell, ” William Blair, Richard de Chazal, that’s, de Chazal, , payrolls, , Sam Bullard, November’s, Bullard, Wells Fargo Organizations: Federal Reserve, Spelman College, , Futures, United Auto Workers, UAW, Hollywood, Wells, Labor
Now, as Fed policymakers note improvement on inflation and some cooling in the labor market, the risks are seen as more balanced and the choices more nuanced. The following chart offers a look at how officials currently stack up on their outlooks for Fed policy and how to balance their goals of stable prices and full employment. Note: Fed policymakers began raising interest rates in March 2022 to bring down high inflation. Their most recent policy rate hike, to a range of 5.25%-5.50%, was in July. Below is a Reuters count of policymakers in each category, heading into recent Fed meetings.
Persons: Jeff Schmid, Adriana Kugler, Louis Fed, James Bullard, Louis, Kathleen O'Neill Paese, Ann Saphir, Paul Simao Organizations: Federal, Federal Open Market, New York Fed, Kansas City Fed's, Fed's, Governors, Interim, Louis Fed, Thomson Locations: Kansas, St
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFormer St. Louis Fed president says the FOMC still has 'a ways to go' on inflationJames Bullard, former president of the St. Louis Fed, discusses the outlook for interest rates and the U.S. economy.
Persons: Louis Fed, James Bullard Organizations: Former Locations: U.S
The week starts off with a bevy of unpleasant surprises for the markets and the economy but with maybe a hope of good news on the inflation front. “The decline in oil prices will feature prominently in explaining October's CPI and PPI reports. Core CPI likely slowed in October as well, with lower prices of new and used cars, lower airfares, and lower shelter costs all leaning the same way. PPI inflation likely moderated in October, too, with diesel prices following crude oil prices lower, albeit not by as much as gasoline. Powell’s comments were not anything new, but the timing seemed to suggest he was dampening down enthusiasm in the markets.
Persons: Moody’s, Mike Johnson, , Bob Doll, Republican Sen, Tim Scott of, David Cameron, Rishi Sunak, Stocks, Bill Adams, Waran Bhahirethan, ” Adams, Jerome Powell spooked, ” Powell, Oliver Rust, Sam Bullard, ” Bullard Organizations: U.S, AAA, Louisiana Republican, GOP, Senate, Crossmark Global Investments, Republican, Tim Scott of South Carolina, Conservative, Analysts, Comerica Bank, PPI, CPI, Federal Reserve, International Monetary Fund, Central Bank, , Wells Locations: U.S, Louisiana, Tim Scott of South, London, Iraq, Syria, Gaza City, September’s, Israel, Washington
The anticipated moderation in employment growth last month would also be pay back after September's enormous gains, the largest in eight months. The Labor Department's closely watched employment report on Friday is expected to show labor market conditions steadily easing, with annual wage growth the smallest in nearly 2-1/2 years and significant growth in the supply of workers. Manufacturing payrolls are forecast falling 10,000 after advancing 17,000 in September. Last week, the BLS reported at least 30,000 UAW members were on strike during the period it surveyed businesses for October's employment report. Wages gains would still be above the 3.5% that economists say is consistent with the Fed's 2% target.
Persons: Brian Snyder, Detroit's, Sam Bullard, payrolls, Veronica Clark, we've, Sung Won Sohn, we're, Brian Bethune, that's, Lucia Mutikani, David Gregorio Our Organizations: Taylor Party, Equipment Rentals, REUTERS, UAW, United Auto Workers, Labor, Federal Reserve, Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics, Manufacturing, BLS, Citigroup, UPS, Finance, Loyola Marymount University, Boston College, Thomson Locations: Somerville , Massachusetts, U.S, WASHINGTON, Wells, Charlotte , North Carolina, New York, Los Angeles
Fed Meeting, Jobs Report Make for a Spooky Week
  + stars: | 2023-10-30 | by ( Tim Smart | Oct. | At A.M. | ) www.usnews.com   time to read: +5 min
Do policymakers look back to last week’s report that the nation’s economy grew at a 4.9% rate in September, beating expectations? Or this week’s report on job growth for October due out on Friday after the Fed meeting on Tuesday and Wednesday? On Wednesday, the jobs data onslaught begins with private payroll firm ADP reporting its monthly employment survey for October. Political Cartoons on the Economy View All 602 ImagesWednesday also has the Fed announcing its decision on interest rates. These include adjustments to the Fed’s new regime of higher interest rates for a longer period and the government’s fiscal situation that requires a greater level of debt issuance.
Persons: Jerome Powell, ” Sam Bullard, Wells, ” Bullard, ” Chris Diaz, , Louisiana Republican Mike Johnson, Johnson Organizations: Conference Board, Fed, Treasury, Federal, Brown Advisory, Labor Department, McDonalds, Apple, Dow Industrial, Louisiana Republican Locations: Louisiana
That is more than double the 2.1% recorded in the second quarter and a testament to the strength of consumers. But he warned that stronger than expected economic data, particularly as regards the labor market, could leave the door open to even more pressure to raise rates or keep them higher for longer. "Additional evidence of persistently above-trend growth, or that tightness in the labor market is no longer easing, could put further progress on inflation at risk and could warrant further tightening of monetary policy." Complicating matters is that the post-pandemic economy has not gone according to script where higher interest rates almost always blunt economic activity and cause a marked slowdown in the labor market. “The labor market is still adjusting, if it ever does, there’s a question whether retail will ever recover completely,” he says.
Persons: ” Sam Bullard, Wells, Jerome Powell, Powell, , George Calhoun, Calhoun, Bill Adams, , speakership Organizations: Federal, Economic, of New, Stevens Institute of Technology, University of, Comerica, Locations: U.S, of New York, Washington, Israel
With two wars, a rising price of oil and a shaky bond market, there is plenty of worry for the markets and economists this week, including a slew of corporate earnings reports and data on the state of the housing market and retail spending. Meanwhile, Russia has been pressing its invasion of Ukraine that is now a year and a half old. Last week ended with a surprise increase in consumer’s expectations of inflation in the University of Michigan’s sentiment survey. Where new home construction a few months ago was holding up the housing market, now it has slumped amid mortgage rates that have brushed 8%. The firm published its monthly economic outlook last week and did not include any more Fed rate hikes in the current cycle.
Persons: , Jerome Powell, Powell, ” Sam Bullard Organizations: Hamas, University of, , BCA Research, , National Association of Home Builders, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, National Association of Realtors, Economic, of New, Wells Locations: East, Ukraine, Gaza, Israel, Palestinian, U.S, Iran, Lebanon, Russia, of New York
Consumers fell prey to inflation that remains high, especially for life’s necessities like food and gasoline, according to the latest monthly survey from the University of Michigan. The consumer sentiment survey fell by 7% overall to 63 from 68.1 in September, while the current conditions reading dropped to 66.7 from 71.4 and the future expectations was at 60.7, down from 66 a month ago. Notably, expectations for the annual rate of inflation a year from now rose to 3.8% from 3.2% in September. “Assessments of personal finances declined about 15%, primarily on a substantial increase in concerns over inflation, and one-year expected business conditions plunged about 19%,” said Joanne Hsu, survey director. “Owners remain pessimistic about future business conditions, which has contributed to the low optimism they have regarding the economy,” said Bill Dunkelberg, NFIB chief economist.
Persons: , Joanne Hsu, Sam Bullard, Joe Brusuelas, Tuan Nguyen, NFIB, Bill Dunkelberg, JP Morgan Chase, Jamie Dimon Organizations: University of Michigan, Monetary Fund, Federal Reserve, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, Wells Locations: U.S, Washington
St. Louis Fed Pres. Bullard: Markets hate uncertainties
  + stars: | 2023-10-09 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailSt. Louis Fed Pres. Bullard: Markets hate uncertaintiesJim Bullard, former St. Louis Fed president, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss how Bullard thinks about the macroeconomy relative to the moves in treasuries, Friday's jobs report, and if recent geopolitical events will have any impact to the United States' rate trajectory.
Persons: Louis Fed Pres, Jim Bullard, Louis, Bullard Organizations: St, Louis Fed Locations: St, treasuries, United States
Comedy Wildlife Photo Award 2023 finalists revealed
  + stars: | 2023-10-04 | by ( Maureen O'Hare | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +2 min
Fat Bear Week is underway, with public voting starting Wednesday after the event was nearly a casualty of a US government shutdown, and now the UK-based Comedy Wildlife Photo Awards has revealed its 2023 shortlist. Should the crown go to the spherical seal galumphing at speed along the English coast? The awards, founded in 2015 by professional photographers Paul Joynson-Hicks and Tom Sullam, also promote wildlife conservation. Adrian Ślązok/Courtesy Comedy Wildlife Photography AwardsThe expert judges include UK celebrities such as TV presenter Kate Humble and comedian Hugh Dennis, as well as renowned wildlife photographers Daisy Gilardini and Will Bullard-Lucas. The first Comedy Wildlife Guided African Safari will launch in Tanzania in October 2024, guided by the awards’ co-founders Hicks and Sullam and wildlife expert Humble.
Persons: CNN — It’s, There’s, joey, , Paul Joynson, Hicks, Tom Sullam, Adrian Ślązok, Kate Humble, Hugh Dennis, Daisy Gilardini, Will Bullard, Lucas, Mara Organizations: CNN, Whitley Fund for Nature Locations: Tanzania, Sullam
That was close, but in the end Congress found a way to avert a government shutdown. “That said, we still look for the gradual deceleration in labor market conditions to continue in the coming months,” Bullard added. Collectively, the three reports will show whether the labor market is slowing – and by just how much. The week will also reveal whether the markets have settled down following the aversion of a government shutdown and concern over rising interest rates in the wake of the Fed’s pause. “The continuation of the disinflation process suggests that the Fed may not need to hike interest rates again this cycle.”
Persons: ” Sam Bullard, , ” Bullard, Jerome Powell – Organizations: Federal Reserve, Wells, Labor Department, Stock, BCA Research Locations: August’s, payrolls, Washington
Fed doves, Fed hawks: US central bankers in their own words
  + stars: | 2023-09-29 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
The following chart offers a stab at how officials stack up on their outlook for Fed policy and how to balance their goals of stable prices and full employment. Note: Fed policymakers began raising interest rates in March 2022 to bring down high inflation. Their most recent policy rate hike, to a range of 5.25%-5.5%, was in July. Neither Jeff Schmid, Kansas City Fed's president since August and a voter in 2025, nor Adriana Kugler, a permanent voter who was confirmed to the Fed Board in September, have yet made any substantive policy remarks. The St. Louis Fed has begun a search to succeed president, James Bullard, who took a job in academia; the new chief will be a 2025 voter.
Persons: Jeff Schmid, Adriana Kugler, Louis Fed, James Bullard, Ann Saphir, Andrea Ricci Organizations: Federal, Federal Open Market, New York Fed, Jeff Schmid , Kansas City Fed's, Fed, Thomson Locations: Jeff Schmid , Kansas, St
CNN —Florida authorities have identified the woman found dead after an alligator was seen with a body in its mouth. The Pinellas County Sheriff’s Office on Saturday identified the victim as Sabrina Peckham, 41. A witness, JaMarcus Bullard, told CNN affiliate Spectrum News 13 he earlier saw an alligator with a body its mouth. Officials humanely killed In the the 13-foot, 8.5-inch male, according to the sheriff’s office and Florida Wildlife Conservation Commission. Alligators have been spotted in the area before, but resident Jennifer Dean told Spectrum News 13 that she had never seen one this large.
Persons: Sabrina Peckham, JaMarcus Bullard, ” Bullard, Jennifer Dean, ” Dean Organizations: CNN, Pinellas County Sheriff’s, Florida Wildlife Conservation Locations: Florida, Largo, Tampa, Pinellas County
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