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Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailPethokoukis: We have no idea what either candidate would do if markets decide U.S. debt is too highAEI's James Pethokoukis discusses the key fiscal decisions facing a Trump or Harris administration, as well as whichever party controls Congress, next year.
Persons: James Pethokoukis, Harris Organizations: Congress
Social Security may not be able to pay full retirement benefits as soon as 2033, based on current projections from the program's trustees. If Congress doesn't move to fix the situation by that date, the general expectation is that millions of retirees could see a 21% across-the-board benefit cut. The effects of that lost income could be enough to prompt a retirement crisis, since it would double the elderly poverty rate and reduce median senior household income by nearly 14%, according to new research from the American Enterprise Institute. Yet those broad benefit cuts would not necessarily have to happen, as the worst effects of insolvency could be prevented by executive action, according to the report. "It means big cuts on very rich people, but it avoids what you might think of as a retirement crisis, where everything is thrown into upheaval," Biggs said.
Persons: Andrew Biggs, Kristin Shapiro, " Biggs Organizations: American Enterprise Institute, Finance, Social Security Administration, Social Security, AEI Locations: BakerHostetler
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailChina will exaggerate economic data & oil demand will continue to lag, says AEI's Derek ScissorsDerek Scissors, senior fellow at American Enterprise Institute, joins CNBC's 'The Exchange' to discuss China's slowing oil demand, where global oil markets stand, and more.
Persons: Derek, Derek Scissors Organizations: China, American Enterprise Institute
CNN —All signs suggest that the partisan divide over changing gender roles in society could widen even further in the 2024 election, adding a new source of uncertainty to a contest already on a knife’s edge. That was only the latest example of his campaign signaling its support for traditional gender roles. “The messaging on gender coming out of the campaign broadly is very much about reaffirming traditional roles for women and for men,” Cassese said. In PRRI polling this year, nearly half of Republicans agreed with two absolutist statements about gender roles. His problem is that most voters outside the core GOP coalition are generally comfortable with the changes in gender roles and family dynamics since the “Father Knows Best” era in the 1950s.
Persons: Donald Trump’s, , , Trump, Republican pollster Christine Matthews, it’s, Rosetta Stone, Kamala Harris, ” Trump, Daniel Cox, Cox, Matthews, Joe Biden, Louis, Dobbs, Harris, ” Erin Cassese, Chip Somodevilla, Hulk Hogan, Dana White, JD Vance, ” Cassese, Robert P, Jones, , Ipsos, homemaking, Tresa Undem, ” Undem, that’s, ” Kamala Harris, Josh Edelson, ” Cox, Trump’s, I’ll, Donald Trump, Undem, ” Matthews, , ’ ” Harris, Biden Organizations: CNN, Republican, Survey Center, American Enterprise Institute, Suburban Housewives, America, GOP, Trump, University of Delaware, Fighting, Public Religion Research Institute, Pew Research Center, AEI, Politico, , , Air Force, San Francisco International Airport, Getty, Democratic, ” “, Harvard Kennedy School Institute, Politics, White Locations: Trump, New York, Pennsylvania, St, Washington ,, , AFP, Wisconsin, Michigan , Pennsylvania
China's stimulus rally will be short-lived: AEI's Derek Scissors
  + stars: | 2024-09-26 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailChina's stimulus rally will be short-lived: AEI's Derek ScissorsBill Bishop, publisher of the Sinocism China Newsletter, and Derek Scissors, Asia economist at the American Enterprise Institute, join CNBC's 'The Exchange' to discuss China's recent stimulus package, how long its rally can last, and more.
Persons: Derek Scissors Bill Bishop, Derek Scissors, CNBC's Organizations: American Enterprise Institute Locations: China, Asia
While it waits to amass the ammunition, manpower, and resources to launch a large-scale, well-timed counteroffensive, Ukraine should experiment with ways to take the initiative and gain momentum, war analysts say. "Ukrainian forces," they argued, "are very unlikely to be able to initiate significant counteroffensive operations in 2024 and into 2025." Such a strategy isn't necessarily new for Ukraine, which has repeatedly found ways to deal unexpected blows to Russian forces despite a grueling ground fight. "It will also protract the war and dramatically increase its costs to Ukraine and to Ukraine's supporters," they said. "Ukraine should thus seek every possible way of restoring maneuver to this war as soon as possible, daunting though that task appears."
Persons: , AEI's Frederick Kagan, ISW's Kimberly Kagan, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Oleksandr Syrskyi, Zelenskyy, Vladimir Putin Organizations: Service, Russia, Business, American Enterprise Institute and Institute, Washington DC, Russian Ministry of Defense, Getty, MIC, REUTERS Kyiv, Kremlin Locations: Ukraine, Russia, Kursk, Russian, Anadolu, Kharkiv, Moscow, Sudzha, IZ.RU
Desmond Lachman, a former IMF deputy director, says there are "plenty of reasons to worry" about the US economy in the months ahead. Another risk is the prospect of a second Trump presidency, given his proposed policies around tariffs and taxes, Lachman said. Advertisement"There are a huge number of risks," Lachman said. "The Fed could cut interest rates midmeeting but that would be because the sky was falling. But if the sky is not falling, the Fed doesn't want to give the impression that the sky is falling," Lachman said.
Persons: Desmond Lachman, Lachman —, Lachman, Trump, , France Organizations: Service, Business, Lachman, American Enterprise Institute, AEI, Trump, EU Locations: China, Israel, Gaza, Lebanon, Palestine, Iran, France, Italy, Europe
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBiden is acting incredibly defensively towards people who care about him the most: Arthur BrooksArthur Brooks, AEI president emeritus, Harvard University professor and The Atlantic contributing writer, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the state of the 2024 race, increasing calls for President Biden to reconsider his bid for reelection, how leaders should transition, and more.
Persons: Biden, Arthur Brooks Arthur Brooks Organizations: AEI, Harvard University Locations: Atlantic
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailHarvard’s Arthur Brooks on the Biden-Trump debate: We got fear, not vision, aspiration, and ideasArthur Brooks, AEI president emeritus and Harvard University professor, joins ‘Squawk Box’ to discuss his takeaways from last night's presidential debate, the state of politics, and more.
Persons: Harvard’s Arthur Brooks, Arthur Brooks Organizations: Biden, Trump, AEI, Harvard University
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailIt was a 'very policy-free' presidential debate last night, says AEI's James PethokoukisJames Pethokoukis, American Enterprise Institute senior fellow, joins 'Money Movers' to discuss the presidential debate, economy, AI, congress, and more.
Persons: AEI's James Pethokoukis James Pethokoukis Organizations: American Enterprise Institute senior
By no means am I interested in tackling any impact policy differences may have upon non-market related subjects. Monetary policy So let's begin with monetary policy. Fiscal policy Now let's turn to fiscal policy. Trade policy Trade policy is easy. Regulatory policy Finally, the big kahuna, regulatory policy.
Persons: Donald Trump, Joe Biden, Clinton, Christopher Waller, Michelle Bowman —, Jerome Powell, Janet Yellen, Powell, Biden, Lisa Cook, Philip Jefferson, Bill Dudley's, Covid, Trump, Cato, Stocks Organizations: Trump, Federal Reserve, Fed, Trump Fed, Bloomberg, Democratic, Heritage, AEI, Biden Locations: China
In 2013, the share of self-identified liberals among young women exceeded the share among young men by 5 percentage points; by 2023, that gap was nearly four times as large. (In that survey, young men were substantially more likely than young women to say they rely on YouTube as a major source of news.) (In the Harvard poll, one-fourth of young women identified in some way as LGBTQ, more than double the share of young men.) “He’s got to make up for the defection of young men by winning young women by more, and he’s got to get every young woman he can out to vote,” said Lake, the Democratic pollster. Biden’s best hope of avoiding a catastrophic decline in his youth support is that the number of young women Trump repels exceeds the number of young men he attracts.
Persons: Joe Biden, Donald Trump, Biden, John Burn, Murdoch, , Harvard University’s John F, Daniel Cox, William Frey, Melissa Deckman, Gen, , Trump, John Della Volpe, Joe Biden doesn’t, Della Volpe, White, Deckman, aren’t, Cox, Dobbs, Anna Dean, Dean, ” Della Volpe, he’s, don’t, ” Cox, “ Donald Trump, “ He’s Organizations: CNN, Trump, Biden, Pew Research Center, Financial, NBC, Democratic, Republican, GOP, Institute of Politics, Harvard University’s, Kennedy, Republican Party, Harvard, Democrats, Survey Center, American Enterprise Institute, Biden didn’t, Brookings Metro thinktank, Religion Research Institute, Biden’s, YouTube, Pew, AEI, Blacks, Harvard Poll, Biden won’t Locations: Gaza, New York, Bentonville , Arkansas, America
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailIran faces legitimacy issues following death of President Raisi, says AEI's Michael RubinMichael Rubin, senior fellow at American Enterprise Institute, joins CNBC's 'The Exchange' to discuss the helicopter crash involving Iran's president and foreign minister, possible leadership successions for the country, and more.
Persons: Raisi, AEI's Michael Rubin Michael Rubin Organizations: American Enterprise Institute
download the appSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. Defense experts say that an aggressive Chinese coercion campaign, short of war but still threatening, is more likely than a full-scale invasion and the US needs to prepare for such an event. Economic and diplomatic pressure is notable, and Chinese misinformation operations and the potential to slowly set up a blockade of Taiwan are also concerns. Annabelle Chih/Getty ImagesThe report identifies four things key to resisting Chinese coercion. CM-11 tanks fire artillery during the 2-day live-fire drill, amid intensifying threats military from China, in Pingtung county, Taiwan, 7 September 2022.
Persons: , Han, Annabelle Chih, MANDY CHENG, Lai Ching, Lai, Ceng Shou Yi, John Aquilano, Xi, Aquilano, Carlos Del Toro, Frank Kendall Organizations: Service, Business, American Enterprise Institute, Institute for, Liberation Army, PLA, AEI, Cobra, Getty, Democratic Progressive Party, Taiwan, Getty Images, US, Pacific Command, US Armed Services, Air Force, Department of Defense Locations: Taiwan, China, Pingtung, US, Pacific, Hualien, AFP, Pingtung county, Guam, Japan
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBiden admin. is caving to domestic concern and not providing protection to Israel: AEI's Kori SchakeKori Schake, American Enterprise Institute director of foreign and defense policy studies, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the state of the Israel-Hamas war, President Biden's Israel ultimatum, the impact on U.S.-Israel relations, and more.
Persons: AEI's, Schake, Biden's Israel Organizations: American Enterprise Institute Locations: Israel
A new report says China's $229 billion military budget in 2022 was actually equivalent to $711 billion. AdvertisementIn June 2023, Sen. Dan Sullivan of Alaska warned Congress that China's military was catching up to America's faster than previously imagined. That makes Beijing's spending in 2022 "nearly equal" to the US defense budget of about $740 billion that year, wrote Eaglen, a senior fellow at AEI. Using that factor, Eaglen wrote that it's highly likely China's spending on personnel that year was worth $293 billion of US military spending. US military spending is also often cited as higher than the actual defense budget.
Persons: , Sen, Dan Sullivan, Mackenzie Eaglen, Sullivan, Eaglen, haven't Organizations: AEI, Service, Republican, American Enterprise Institute, Pentagon, Beijing, United Nations, Labor, US Army, People's Armed Police, Liberation Army's, Publishing, Getty, China's, Guard Locations: Alaska, Beijing, Washington, China, Nanning, South, Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous, United States
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailHarvard professor Arthur Brooks on finding happiness in an election yearArthur Brooks, AEI president emeritus, Harvard University professor and The Atlantic contributing writer, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the presidential rematch between Joe Biden and Donald Trump, how to find happiness in an election year, and more.
Persons: Arthur Brooks, Joe Biden, Donald Trump Organizations: Harvard, AEI, Harvard University Locations: Atlantic
AdvertisementSix experts on hostage-negotiation efforts, who spoke to Business Insider, explained how Hamas might have been able to allow hostages to go missing in Gaza. "You've got to appreciate that there's lots of confusion, with the fact that Gaza is essentially a warzone," he told Business Insider. Hamas rounded up a lot of hostages on October 7, and Gaza quickly found itself in a state of chaos amid Israeli retaliatory strikes. All of the aboveFor Chris White, the co-founder of Negotiation Global, who has experience of hostage negotiations in Gaza, hostages going missing could be plausibly explained by all of the above explanations. He told Business Insider: "Is it possible that some hostages escaped?
Persons: , Scott Walker, You've, Brian Carter, Lebanon's, Hans, Jakob Schindler, Schindler, I've, There's, Roni Krivoy, Rachel Briggs, Boaz Ganor, Ganor, Chris White, Hamas doesn't Organizations: Business, Service, Financial Times, UN, Hamas, Martyrs ' Brigade, Wall, Counter, Factory, Israel's Reichman University, Negotiation Locations: Israel, Gaza, al, Jihad
AEI's James Pethokoukis weighs in on Bidenomics
  + stars: | 2023-11-27 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailAEI's James Pethokoukis weighs in on BidenomicsJames Pethokoukis, American Enterprise Institute analyst, joins 'Power Lunch' to discuss President Biden's announcement to ease costs on the supply chain industry.
Persons: James Pethokoukis, Bidenomics James Pethokoukis, Biden's Organizations: American Enterprise Institute Locations: Bidenomics
A satellite image of the Al Shifa hospital complex is annotated to show parts of the hospital, including a maternity department, a dialysis unit, a surgery and a morgue. Al Shifa hospital in Gaza City has become the main target of the Israeli ground operation in northern Gaza. Israeli forces say the hospital sits atop tunnels housing a headquarters for the Palestinian Islamist group Hamas whose fighters are using patients as shields, a claim which Hamas denies. A map shows the location of the Al Shifa Hospital complex in Gaza. The IDF said its operation in Al Shifa was “precise and targeted” in a “specified area” of the hospital.
Persons: Al, Al Shifa, , , Crescent Organizations: Technologies, Israel Defense Forces, Hamas, IDF, Institute for, AEI, Al, handout, Palestinian, Israeli Defence Forces Locations: Gaza’s, Al, Gaza City, Gaza, Palestinian, Israel, Al Shifa, Rantisi, al, Quds
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe U.S.-China relationship isn't likely to improve, says AEI's Derek ScissorsDerek Scissors, senior fellow at the American Enterprise Institute, joins 'Power Lunch' to discuss the U.S.-China relationship ahead of President Biden's meeting with President XI.
Persons: Derek, Derek Scissors, Biden's, XI Organizations: American Enterprise Institute, U.S . Locations: China, U.S
A map of northern Gaza shows the extent of Israeli forces’s invasion of the Gaza Strip. South of Gaza City, Israeli forces have cut a line from Gaza’s eastern border to the Mediterranean Sea in the west, effectively cutting off northern Gaza and encircling Gaza City. Israel’s armed forces have encircled Gaza City — the largest city in the Gaza Strip — in their assault on Hamas, the military said. Maps distributed by the IDF have directed Gazans to different areas of the southern part of the Gaza Strip. Pamphlets dropped in Gaza on Oct. 13 directed people to evacuate south of the Wadi Gaza, a coastal wetland in central Gaza.
Persons: Jonathan Conricus, ” Conricus, we'll, , Gazans, Khan Younis, Deir Organizations: AEI, United Nations Office, Humanitarian Affairs, Israel Defense Forces, IDF Locations: Gaza, Gaza City, Israel, Balah governorate, Maghazi, Deir
After over three weeks of heavy air strikes, Israeli ground forces have entered Gaza. A map of the northern part of the Gaza Strip shows Israeli forces ground incursions at two places along the northern border and one place along the eastern border, just south of Gaza City. 3 Cutting off Gaza City from the southAlthough the military has refused to say exactly where troops are operating, images on social media appear to show Israeli tanks on the road south of Gaza City. This line may threaten Salah Ad Deen Road, the main transport artery that runs the length of the Gaza Strip. Cutting it off would effectively split Gaza in two and isolate Gaza City from the south.
Persons: ” Amos Yadlin, Erez, , Omri Attar, Ben Milch, Salah Ad Deen Organizations: Observers, Gaza, Israel, Hamas, Combat Engineering, Combat Engineering Corps Locations: Gaza, Gaza City, Israeli
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailJim Jordan as House Speaker is a recipe for a 'long shutdown', says AEI's James PethokoukisJames Pethokoukis, American Enterprise Institute senior fellow, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss the implications of the speakership vote for the U.S. budget, Pethokoukis' faith in the ability to avoid a prolonged government shutdown, and what will happen with defense spending.
Persons: Jim Jordan, AEI's James Pethokoukis James Pethokoukis, Pethokoukis Organizations: American Enterprise Institute senior, U.S
While the Israeli military began raids into the Gaza Strip on Friday with tank-backed troops, violence along Israel’s border with Lebanon and within the West Bank has also been escalating. In the West Bank, Israeli security forces killed nine Palestinians and wounded dozens in confrontations on Friday, according to reports from the Palestinian health ministry. The Israeli military has said it is prepared for an escalation in the West Bank and is on high alert. A map of the West Bank and surrounding region showing many clashes and protest marches across the West Bank, including in the cities of Jenin, Hebron and Ramallah. Along Israel’s northern border with Lebanon, the Israeli military and Lebanese militia Hezbollah have been trading fire in border clashes.
Organizations: West Bank, Institute for, Palestine Islamic Jihad, Al, Martyrs Brigade, Hamas, Lebanese, Hezbollah, Reuters Locations: Gaza, Lebanon, Jenin, Hebron, Ramallah, Palestine, Israel
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