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Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailNomura: Japan economy still doing well, foresee BoJ December rate hikeYujiro Goto of Nomura expects the dollar-yen cross to trade between 140 and 145 as concerns over new Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba's policies dissipates. Japanese businesses remain resilient, paving the way for a potential rate hike by the Bank of Japan in December 2024.
Persons: Goto, Nomura, Shigeru Organizations: Email Nomura, Bank of Japan Locations: Japan
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBOJ decision on rates will be a 'very close call,' strategist saysYujiro Goto, head of FX strategy for Japan at Nomura, says wage data has been improving, but the Bank of Japan will be concerned about weak consumption.
Persons: Yujiro Goto Organizations: Nomura, Bank of Japan Locations: Japan
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailNomura: there is 'high chance' for the Japanese government to intervene if dollar-yen surpasses 152Yujiro Goto of Nomura discusses the change in rhetoric during Japan's three finance parties meeting, and possibility for intervention as the yen continues to weaken against the dollar.
Persons: Goto, Nomura Organizations: Email Nomura
Deutsche Bank's emerging market carry strategy index had its best year on record in the 12 months to May. Reuters GraphicsOVERCROWDING FEARSInvestors, however, are becoming concerned the carry trade might be becoming too popular for its own good. "You have to be worried about some of these more crowded positions," said Stephen Gallo, European head of FX strategy at BMO Capital Markets. "I think that is big enough to offset any carry trade income," said Yujiro Goto, head of FX strategy for Japan at Nomura. A hypothetical $50,000 invested in a short Norwegian crown, long dollar carry trade in the first three weeks of July would have lost $3,000, according to Refinitiv.
Persons: Refinitiv, Kamakshya Trivedi, Goldman Sachs, Stephen Gallo, Gallo, James Athey, Yujiro Goto, Oliver Brennan, Brennan, Robin Winkler, Goldman's Trivedi, Geoff Yu, BNY Mellon, Harry Robertson, Alun John, Ankur, Rae Wee, Bernadette Baum Organizations: LONDON, Bank of America, FX, Deutsche, Federal Reserve, European Central Bank and Bank of Japan, BMO Capital Markets, Nomura, BNP Paribas, Bank of England, Bank of Japan, Reuters Graphics, Federal, Deutsche Bank, Swiss, Reuters, Korean, BNY, Thomson Locations: SINGAPORE, Japan, European, U.S, America, Asia, London, Singapore
Europe-wide inflation data is due at 0900GMT. French inflation data on Friday also came in a whisker above expectations, and Dutch inflation also rose. "Inflation data in the eurozone will be an important driver, (for the euro)" said Francsco Pesole, FX strategist at ING, who expects the euro to reach $1.10 some time next week, after consolidating today. The dollar has also been dragged back as the focus on the U.S. banking sector in March caused U.S. interest rate markets to dramatically reprice the outlook. Both currencies found support from expanding Chinese manufacturing activity, though data on Friday showed the pace was slowing down.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe Bank of Japan is going to shift its focus away from 10-year yield, says NomuraYujiro Goto of the financial services firm says that when it comes to Japan's economy, the 5-year yield or 3-year yield is much more important for capital expenditure and housing investments.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBank of Japan's decision to keep yield curve control policy unchanged is 'sensible,' Nomura saysYujiro Goto of the financial services firm says the market is "too excited" about potential changes such as the scrapping of negative interest rates.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailNomura discusses the impact of the Bank of Japan's yield curve control policy tweakYujiro Goto of the financial services firm discusses the ripple effects that a stronger yen might have on regional currencies.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailJapan's economy could do better than other advanced economies next year, says NomuraYujiro Goto of the financial services firm says that's because inflation in the country is "relatively limited."
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